QUOTE(mirzan007 @ Nov 1 2012, 11:11 AM)
Failed get-rich schemes and consumer spending
November 1, 2012
Economists say the large amount of cash tied up in those schemes may have an impact on consumer spending.
By Anuja Ravendran & Farah Saad
High-return investment schemes that go bust may hurt more than just the unfortunate investors, as economists say the large amount of cash tied up in those schemes may have an impact on consumer spending.
The magnitude of such investments was revealed by Deputy Finance Minister Dr Awang Adek in Parliament yesterday when he said that one company alone, Genneva Malaysia Sdn Bhd, a gold-trading firm that was shut down by Bank Negara Malaysia (BNM) recently, could have raised RM10 billion from 35,000 investors.
Awang Adek said current investigations into the company has so far accounted for RM4 billion raised from investors.
According to one industry insider, the large amount of money invested in these schemes cannot be captured as a measurement of the gross national product on the supply side, but there will be definitely an impact on consumption.
“Many of these investors were reliant on the monthly returns from these investments to do things like travel, eat out, shop etc. So there is some direct implication on consumption,” he said.
In one possible scenario, Rating Agency Malaysia Holdings Bhd chief economist Dr Yeah Kim Leng said that based on 2011 gross national income figures and assuming 60% of the RM10 billion allegedly tied up at Genneva Malaysia goes into supporting household spending, this would translate into 1.4% reduced spending capacity for consumers in the country.
“Those affected would need to cut back on spending and this could also impact their capacity to repay borrowings or lead to them defaulting on borrowings,” he said.
Genneva was just one of a slew of gold trading companies that were raided by Bank Negara Malaysia and other authorities. In October alone it raided the premises of Pageantry Gold Bhd, Caesar Gold Sdn Bhd and Worldwide Far East Bhd.
Last year, four directors of Bestino Golden House Sdn Bhd were charged with over 300 counts of money laundering and taking deposits without licence. In that case, authorities recovered RM24.2 million.
In the Dewan Rakyat yesterday, Awang Adek said BNM would need time to investigate Genneva Malaysia because of the large number of investors and sum of money involved.
According to Bernama, Awang Adek told Parliament that Genneva’s liabilities were more than its assets which clearly showed that it would not be able to pay due returns to all its investors.
Awang Adek said BNM may ask for more punishing sentences to deter operators of get-rich-quick schemes to curb the proliferation of such operations which in effect are cheating people.
Such investment schemes doubled to 25 in 2011 as Malaysians searched for investments that offer higher yields than bank interest rates, Bloomberg reported.
Too true, when hibah was flowing, those with a few kilos will buy premium cars, designer goods. Those with less will shop and dine.