QUOTE(AVFAN @ Aug 19 2013, 07:06 PM)
i think 8% income growth p.a. for 5 yrs is too optimistic.
in my whole life making biz/strategic plans, 8% p.a. is used with some dog n pony magic to get next budget approved and keep my employment, never achieve wan..!!
my calculation is to illustrate if required to be less risk with rate hike, which we set a 5 years period to rate to stabilize, an 8% income growth is required. in my whole life making biz/strategic plans, 8% p.a. is used with some dog n pony magic to get next budget approved and keep my employment, never achieve wan..!!
and yes, i also agree that it's too optimistic to expect Pavreit to achieve this target.
so for his case of buying price at 1.56, he may face some capital loss but overall if inclusive the dividend, the total should still be profit as a whole. So, no need to be too sad if he plan to keep the stock for long term.
if you see rental fees going to fall in future, then we shouldn't even touch reits since to expect for acquisition for growth is too risky as we are also facing rate hike risk which will press down income by increasing of loan cost in the future.
This post has been edited by yok70: Aug 19 2013, 09:57 PM
Aug 19 2013, 07:53 PM

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