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 US stock discussion v4, Bulls-Bears HUAT AH!! Pigs get slaughter

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danmooncake
post Oct 26 2012, 09:26 PM

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QUOTE(Myoswee @ Oct 26 2012, 08:58 PM)
The Obama anti plunge team is coming to save the market again  flex.gif
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Crap.. they announced better than expected GDP forecast.. the red almost gone... Frackkk!!! mad.gif


Added on October 26, 2012, 9:40 pmHurrahh.. the small spiked down got me out.. Whew!!
Going to bring the family for nice meals again this weekend! biggrin.gif

This post has been edited by danmooncake: Oct 26 2012, 09:40 PM
danmooncake
post Oct 26 2012, 11:00 PM

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QUOTE(Myoswee @ Oct 26 2012, 09:52 PM)
Congrats, trading aapl tonight?

Never break 600  hmm.gif
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yes... got a little more to push down.. watching that 603..602... gimme gimme..I'm ready to click out one more time. sweat.gif


Added on October 26, 2012, 11:02 pm600.80... I'm completely out!! laugh.gif

This post has been edited by danmooncake: Oct 26 2012, 11:02 PM
danmooncake
post Oct 26 2012, 11:05 PM

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QUOTE(Myoswee @ Oct 26 2012, 11:03 PM)
NASDAQ koyak  laugh.gif
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Dow and SP500 still holding.... so, bulls still got hope. If DOW drops below 13k and SP500 below 1400.. lookout below...
Bloodshed begins.. brows.gif


Anyway..this week been very good week (ahem at least for me laugh.gif )..

Here's the chart for AAPL short'in game.

This post has been edited by danmooncake: Oct 26 2012, 11:24 PM
danmooncake
post Oct 26 2012, 11:52 PM

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QUOTE(Myoswee @ Oct 26 2012, 11:47 PM)
Aapl officially koyak

Nice short  thumbup.gif
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Whoa....! the $600 floor broken.

Ok.. watch for $580-585 price target. But, I had enough tonight.. my plate full already. Cannot be too greedy. smile.gif


Added on October 27, 2012, 12:05 amUpdate:

Alamak.. almost forget, I got some commons waiting to be PUT to me if AAPL closes below 585 by closing.
I hope it won't happen tonight..otherwise it's ramp up my margin. sweat.gif


Added on October 27, 2012, 4:28 amSaved!!! tongue.gif

Ok, will go enjoy the fruits of labor for this weekend. Next week.. all eyes on AAPL to play the LONG side.. yes, it is time. wink.gif

This post has been edited by danmooncake: Oct 27 2012, 04:28 AM
danmooncake
post Oct 29 2012, 07:54 PM

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QUOTE(theboringguy @ Oct 29 2012, 06:34 PM)
ooops, storm coming, no trading today~~~
may the storm bring down the stock market too~~wakakakkakak

http://finance.yahoo.com/news/world-stocks...-094918374.html
update: ooouu it seems electronic trading would continue?
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Some elec (futures and cme till 9am us est) will continue but majority shutdown. I won't trade either because it like after hours because the volume is way down and price movement all subject to manipulation by computers. It may be a two days situation... just watching all the excitement on their live TVs on the crazy weather there.. oh well, that's ok. Time to go prep for halloween party. laugh.gif


Added on October 30, 2012, 9:56 amHurricane Sandy Update 9:56am:
Crap.. all downtown Manhattan got power outage now and flood some more. I don't think market will open tonight..
My vpn service to US also sporadic.. this is really Storm of the Century. doh.gif

This post has been edited by danmooncake: Oct 30 2012, 09:56 AM
danmooncake
post Oct 31 2012, 06:00 AM

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QUOTE(yok70 @ Oct 31 2012, 02:56 AM)
What will happen to Apple tomorrow?
Now human resource also got war already, not only war with Samsung.  laugh.gif
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Maybe got another selloff.. need a clean and sharp dive back to 585 area... drool.gif

Anyway,I was off yesterday.. no calls came into our center. My voip to US office still busted ...
company got server in east coast of US. Still got no power yet. Free holiday. laugh.gif


danmooncake
post Oct 31 2012, 09:28 PM

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My buys are ready for AAPL.... come 'mon. Going to play a little longs here.
Let's AAPL dive dive dive first.. biggrin.gif


Added on October 31, 2012, 9:46 pmGot some AAPL @ 588.25



This post has been edited by danmooncake: Oct 31 2012, 09:46 PM
danmooncake
post Oct 31 2012, 11:07 PM

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QUOTE(theboringguy @ Oct 31 2012, 09:57 PM)
hoho seems like a nice price u got in there~ rclxms.gif
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I was hoping for short term play for price to fill that gap left open since close last week.
AAPL looking weak.. market.. also looking weak.
Price target to exit 595~603

Let see how it goes.


Added on October 31, 2012, 11:31 pm596.. 1st batch out the door.. biggrin.gif

Let see.. hopefully it can close that gap up there.

This post has been edited by danmooncake: Oct 31 2012, 11:44 PM
danmooncake
post Nov 1 2012, 06:14 AM

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QUOTE(yok70 @ Nov 1 2012, 04:24 AM)
Wow! closed at 595. Looks like more downside coming.... drool.gif
Almost reaching 585 today, but I think I should lower my target now. Maybe 550... brows.gif
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Depending on your time horizon..575-585 should be good spot 'coz the 200ma is here already.
550 - maybe dangerous spot because next dive is around 520-530 support.

Anyway, I got my 2nd price target to exit @ 600.. (gap fill area) achieved... halloween party time in office. biggrin.gif
danmooncake
post Nov 1 2012, 11:01 AM

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QUOTE(Myoswee @ Nov 1 2012, 08:43 AM)
Er Dan...whats the blue line ?  unsure.gif

Anyway, all the index look like bottoming

Time to buy the Dip  brows.gif  brows.gif
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The blue line is 50ema which tells me when to take profit before Skynet does. brows.gif

Works most of the time. : laugh.gif
danmooncake
post Nov 1 2012, 09:26 PM

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Premarket looking ok..jobless claims also ok.

I''ll be watching for AAPL to see if it can break above 603 or not.. if not,
I'll look for shorting opportunity for another round to go on the southbound train. biggrin.gif

It will be wonderful buys for bulls waiting at the 575-585 area.. we're almost there.


Added on November 1, 2012, 10:04 pmSo far..no entry tonight.. AAPL still pretty tight range (mid range - no trade zone).

Macro data (ISM, Consumer, Jobless claim) that came out all pretty good, supporting this market.
Dow up, S&P up, Nasdaq up.. looks like bottoming process in making here. hmm.gif


Added on November 1, 2012, 11:25 pmLooks like majors are ripping up trying to reverse
the trend ahead of the job numbers tomorrow.

Also, AAPL attempting to break out.. gap filled to 603.. small pull back to 600.
if 596 or higher holds.. stay long. wink.gif

This post has been edited by danmooncake: Nov 1 2012, 11:26 PM
danmooncake
post Nov 2 2012, 08:04 AM

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QUOTE(yok70 @ Nov 2 2012, 03:27 AM)
Looks like Apple is going to stay flat for today... hmm.gif
FB continues to fall?..... tongue.gif

Does sifus think Well Fargo is expensive now? It's one of bank that benefits the most from housing loan right?  notworthy.gif
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I think WFC is cheap now..(33.50 ~ 33.75). Trailing PE: 10, Fwd: 9..

That's the same price that WB bought more after the earnings missed about two wks ago.
danmooncake
post Nov 2 2012, 08:42 PM

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QUOTE(yok70 @ Nov 2 2012, 04:44 PM)
Wow, then I am interested to play this long term....since US housing recovery seems warming up....do you see it this way too?  notworthy.gif
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Long term as in ??? (weeks? months? years?)
What your timeline?

WFC is consolidating now... between 32.80 and 33.50 is a good buy if you can get it.
Danger if falls below 32.50

For bank, I'm playing C. You know this.. it's a much tradable stock but I'm not really long term for C.
I got some positions left to let this bad boy ride up with trailing stop..It's treading up slowly.
Hopefully, it may break 39 shortly.

Also, if you're thinking playing banks for housing recovery.. that may not be a good proxy 'coz
low interest kills banks profits. Look for REITs..or homebuilders stocks.


AAPL - iPAD mini goes on sale... but lines aren't that long. So, it may not be a hot item as many would think it is.
But, on the other hand..MSFT surface tablet indeed generating a lot of buzz. This thing could be next thing the PC windows users could be waiting for. For the past few days, MSFT is seeing a lot of money flowing into it.


Added on November 3, 2012, 3:21 amUpdate:
AAPL Price Alert 585.00 at 14:02:52 EST US
The AAPL dam has broken.. waterfall....All hands.. becareful, wear thick gloves if you want it, it has turned into falling sharp knives. shakehead.gif


Added on November 3, 2012, 3:30 am
AAPL PRICE ALERT: 580.00 at 15:24:34 EST
Flooding downstream.....

This post has been edited by danmooncake: Nov 3 2012, 03:31 AM
danmooncake
post Nov 3 2012, 04:09 AM

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AAPL PRICE ALERT: 575.00 at 15:55:34 EST

There you go! Price target achieve. brows.gif

Hoping for a quickie bounce up game play next week.. sweat.gif

This post has been edited by danmooncake: Nov 3 2012, 04:28 AM
danmooncake
post Nov 3 2012, 07:32 AM

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QUOTE(theboringguy @ Nov 3 2012, 07:29 AM)
bear attack apple, bear trader wins~ icon_idea.gif
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Bears not only like fish but likes AAPL too.. biggrin.gif


Added on November 3, 2012, 7:42 am
QUOTE(yok70 @ Nov 3 2012, 06:54 AM)
My long term means few years if things go well.  biggrin.gif
Thanks for the concern on low interest rate worry. If economy recovering to a better shape, the interest rate should also raise right? But ya, I believe that could be years away before it really happen. As on REITs, I guess I'll just buy Malaysia REITs since their performance are quite stable and nice.
Do you think C is a good proxy for US recovery? If housing is recovering, I guess the whole country also will be recovering too?  notworthy.gif

Apple had reached beyond my target of 585! Anyway, I haven't bought in. Still hesitating as it continues to fall.... sweat.gif
Really? MSFT surface is a hit? That's a surprise!  shocking.gif
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Interest rate only rise if the central banks feels that the economy is too hot and wants to reign in the money supply.
Now, the economy is still cool... not even warm yet. World economy is still recovering.. I think we got a few more years (Uncle Ben say.. 2015 before his team will act.. by that time, he's already gone).

Personally, I don't like Malaysia REIT at this price.. I think it's heading towards a big bubble with all the speculation - just like US back in 06-07. I like US reit now since the bubble has burst, deflated and on its way to recovery. Riding the recovery is less dangerous than riding the bubble.

No, I don't think C is a good proxy for US recover... if housing is recovering, it DOES NOT mean the whole country will recover. The main issue is jobs (employment) in US. Need unemployment go back below 5% first, then their major consumer economy will be back later.

As for AAPL.. just watch it for now. It broke the 200MA (588).. don't catch the falling knives. Wait for your buy signal later.

But, traders like me like to juggle knives... so I got some thick gloves to wear to play along. laugh.gif

This post has been edited by danmooncake: Nov 3 2012, 07:50 AM
danmooncake
post Nov 4 2012, 11:00 PM

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QUOTE(yok70 @ Nov 4 2012, 09:38 PM)
Thanks a lot for your comments.  notworthy.gif

True, Malaysia REIT has been up high, yield is compressing. Gotta neutralize my REITs holding for yield concern. Stareit seems pretty good at the moment with yield of above 8% for FY13 expecting Australia's acquisition can be completed successfully by this year end. By then, its assets diversification will be better at about half in Malaysia and another half in Australia. Local retail REITs valuation are quite high now.  nod.gif

Can you recommend some good REITs with growth potential in the US for long term investment? Thanks!  notworthy.gif
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I like US REITs but I can't recommend any at this time because many of them still have to do a lot of research before putting real money in especially because it is all regional specific. It's all demand vs. supply and housing data always lagging. Different region, different demand. One area is booming, the other area is still recovering.. Have to be pretty picky. Right now, midwest area is growing faster than the west or east or south coast because of the oil fracking boom. US is 50 times size of Malaysia, so maybe difficult to say everything is healthy in general.

But, I particularly like the builders supplliers..or the home materials providers that SELL to the builders.

For example: HD - Home Depot - huge home suppliers this company is like the AAPL of the IT sector but they function in home building.
During recession or slow down, they sell to those who want to remodels.. during boom times, they sell more to the builders who are building new homes... pretty good solid balance sheet so far and ok dividends.

That's why I think if housing is recovering.. I think banks can't make much money because of the low interest, low margin, and much stronger regulation that prevent them from investment or trade but the suppliers of homes materials will make money better than banks.

Disclosure: A member of my family owns HD stock.

Having say that eventho I like HD, I'm NOT recommending buying HD at this level. wink.gif

This post has been edited by danmooncake: Nov 4 2012, 11:19 PM
danmooncake
post Nov 5 2012, 05:24 AM

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QUOTE(yok70 @ Nov 5 2012, 03:04 AM)
Appreciate your feedback very much!  notworthy.gif
I'll look into this HD and if it's good, I can wait for a good entry price.  thumbup.gif
Lets see if next few days can see panic market or not for president election.  biggrin.gif

Thanks again!  icon_rolleyes.gif
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No problem... let's continue to make money in this crazy market. Election will most likely spike up the volatility (I hoping.. brows.gif).

I'm trading AAPL, but it time to have a little bounce up next week. Oversold already.
Thick gloves on.. & guns loaded with ammo also already.. smile.gif

This post has been edited by danmooncake: Nov 5 2012, 07:41 AM
danmooncake
post Nov 5 2012, 09:43 PM

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QUOTE(learn2earn8 @ Nov 5 2012, 02:44 PM)
its up to the americans who they wanna elect, I'll jus adjust my strategies according to their new policies  cool2.gif 
Same here...

My take on this..If Obama wins, I'll go long. If Romney wins.. I'll go short.

Tonight, I'll be trading AAPL. 3 mln iPads sale should make the stock price bounce back up. drool.gif


danmooncake
post Nov 5 2012, 11:02 PM

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QUOTE(ManutdGiggs @ Nov 5 2012, 10:25 PM)
Bro I'm ready for AAPL too. Wat price do u think is gd to go in???
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It all depends on your timeframe... AAPL will give you chance to make money.

Are you swing trader, position trader, daytrader or long term investors (willing to hold 1 year or more)?
danmooncake
post Nov 5 2012, 11:27 PM

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Ka-ching! Got out half from my AAPL @ 585.. 10 pts gain from last week late entry.
Going to put the rest of the trailing stop.. biggrin.gif


Added on November 5, 2012, 11:29 pm
QUOTE(bryan5073 @ Nov 5 2012, 11:23 PM)
After 1.5 hours trading, Dow Jones has fallen 35 points...

What if Obama wins? What if Romney wins?

This article shows the effect on the stock market after the victory of either Obama or Romney. If Obama wins, stock market will fall; if Romney wins, stock market will go up. However, recent polls have shown Obama to have the edge... So???

Be prepared for a bumpy ride... Wonder how does this affect our own KLCI???  hmm.gif
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I think KLCI doesn't care..about US election.

But, KLCI may worry more about the leadership change in China.
Also, if crude price continue to go down.. it may hit KLCI. brows.gif

This post has been edited by danmooncake: Nov 5 2012, 11:29 PM

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