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 US stock discussion v4, Bulls-Bears HUAT AH!! Pigs get slaughter

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yok70
post Nov 10 2012, 04:04 AM

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Wow! Found this website. Can track WB's last quarter trading. Cool! rclxms.gif
http://www.gurufocus.com/StockBuy.php?Guru...=Warren+Buffett


Added on November 10, 2012, 4:30 amToday's market is surprisingly mild as Obama mentioned on increase tax for trading (and dividend too?).
I don't know, Monday may see sellers return? hmm.gif

This post has been edited by yok70: Nov 10 2012, 04:30 AM
yok70
post Nov 13 2012, 12:40 AM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Nov 12 2012, 11:41 PM)
Sideway trading tonight....

AAPL forming a base..and support here (535-545..)
LVS (42.50 ~ 43.50) .. same.

Watching $SPX (SPY).. bulls going to try to work hard to take back 200MA here (1382 or higher).
If not, we're going down to 1365 for support soon.

Maybe need to sell some options to take advantage of weekly expiration..  hmm.gif
*
1365....very near already.... drool.gif
yok70
post Nov 13 2012, 03:41 AM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Nov 13 2012, 03:34 AM)
Uh uh... rumor has it that Samsung has increase 20% in price for its chip to Apple.. therefore it could hurt AAPL profit margin.
Another hit at AAPL coming..  whistling.gif
*
Ya, just read that news too. Looks like hard to hold.
530 recent low follow by 500 psychological line? laugh.gif
525 will be roughly 25% drop from peak.
Now I see its large cash reserve really required when facing this sort of problem. It needs to invest a lot of money to minimize threats from rivals on own R&D. hmm.gif

Crazy! iphone 5S coming? ipad 5 also soon early next year? rclxub.gif


Added on November 13, 2012, 5:04 amToday US market super flat. Wondering what's happening....everyone does just it. tongue.gif

This post has been edited by yok70: Nov 13 2012, 05:04 AM
yok70
post Nov 13 2012, 04:25 PM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Nov 13 2012, 08:32 AM)
Not just that (competition)... but  the product cycles are getting shorter and shorter... then, the newer product will cannibalize the the older products sales eventho it is vaporware.

People just put off buying because they know newer and better ones will be here soon.
*
This is a new strategy for Apple. Not sure how it will be on concern of profit.
Technology upgrades too fast, I guess that's where Apple find it hard to follow up with Samsung. Tech vice, Samsung always ahead of Apple in the past 2+ years. Apple's decision to make its own chip is a right move, since Samsung will only sell them an older chip of course.
And Apple's 1-year-1-product previous strategy also puts risk to its production since business will be heavy on new launch and then ease out after a while. And when production volume unable to catch up(such as right now on iphone 5 case) fast, its sales may be overtaken by rivals such as Samsung.

I guess these are some of the reasons why Apple choose to shorter product cycles. hmm.gif
Last time no competitor, now got Samsung, and Google+Microsoft also coming up. Tough war ahead for Apple. laugh.gif
yok70
post Nov 13 2012, 10:38 PM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Nov 13 2012, 10:14 PM)
There you go.. home builder Home Depot scored again this quarter.  rclxms.gif

HD (HomeDepot) - earnings call
Beat EPS: 74c vs 70c estimate
Beat Revenue: 18.1 bln vs 17.9 bln

Premarket: 62.22 +1.06 +1.73%

HD plans to do shares buyback (up to $700 mln) and raised outlook.

A sign that US housing has bottomed and recovering.

Also, the aftermath of Hurricane Sandy will definitely help them to boost more revenue for
next Q because of rebuilding.

Disclosure: My family owes HD but I am NOT recommending anyone buying it here at this level.

Tonight, watching $SPX (see if 1365 support can be tested), AAPL (if 535 can hold or not), LVS (same range: 42.50-43.50)
*
Good call on HD! But ya, it's expensive. I'm targeting WFC though, riding on housing recovery too?.... hmm.gif

AAPL 535 just a rice away.... laugh.gif
yok70
post Nov 13 2012, 10:54 PM

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FB's fall got limit or not? Current price PE 103x? On this PE, I cannot predict its bottom. Maybe....1.90? sweat.gif

yok70
post Nov 13 2012, 11:19 PM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Nov 13 2012, 10:58 PM)
--
Price Alert for VOD -
  VODAFONE GROUP PLC - Sale price dropped to 25.5000
  Last Sale: 25.50 at 09:30:42
  Price when alert was set: 26.9102 on 11/05/12 20:54:55 EST
--
Negative:
Revenue down 7.4% to £21.78 billion (US 34.87 bln) versus £23.52 billion (US 37.34) for 1st half.
VOD got beaten down because of write down £5.9 billion (US9.4 bln) for Spain and Italy.

Positive:
VZ expected pay VOD £2.4 billion (US 3.81 bln) in dividends.
£1.5 billion (US 2.38bln) shares buyback to commence.

I'm hoping VOD will get a buyout from VZ. This will help boost VOD later.

VOD got 7.5% divi.., so I plan to get some VOD later at this level.    wink.gif


Added on November 13, 2012, 11:06 pm

Dunno lah.. Difficult to gauge FB since it only got 1 Q of earnings to study. So, I'm not touching it.
Also, the lock up period for FB is due this month, so more insider sales of shares will commence.
*
didn't know you also play dividend stock.
just curious, what percentage on your total capital invested on holding dividend stocks plan for long term?

ya, read that 800m coming soon, then another 100+m next month. After that, only left small amount for next year. biggrin.gif

yok70
post Nov 13 2012, 11:49 PM

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QUOTE(netmask8 @ Nov 13 2012, 11:45 PM)
Greetings + G'Day,

    I think, CASH will be KING again in 1st and 2nd Qtr of year 2013.. Adviced my friends/colleagues for lock profits after 2 weeks QE3 annoucement,
to sell all non-performing USA stocks, put the CASH in FD @ monthly rate for 6-8 mths and continue to hold good blue-chips dividend counters.

My US-based MNC company business order/demand drop 30% per last qrtr and 45% per last 2 qrtr while my
friend US-based MNC company business order/demand drop more than 60%.. Many US companies HOLD their orders/investment
and to watch how fiscal cliff will take affect beginning year 2013...  Hence, the earnings/financial reporting
for next coming 2 qrtrs will be disappointed and usually, weak earnings = market slump = VIX > 30pts = CASH is KING..
Poor Earnings will leads to cost cuttings, unemployment, conservative/pessimism business, weak investor confidence and ..etc

Best MEGA SALES picks for past 5 years were 6th March and 9th March 2009. Hope it will repeat again and everyone hope to
get good MEGA Sales Discount. Optimism of X'Mas and New Year 2013 Sales will be opposite.

Have a great day.
*
Thanks for sharing! notworthy.gif

yok70
post Nov 14 2012, 12:10 AM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Nov 13 2012, 11:51 PM)
The divi type of stocks (low volatility, beta < 1%) not really for not trading but for the longer term portfolio (keeping 1 year or more) - I look for the stocks with divi plays, must be at least 2%-3% or higher than what bank interest rates pays.
*
True. i even trade reit sometimes. Some reits can be quite volatile especially during the dividend ex-date period. biggrin.gif
yok70
post Nov 14 2012, 01:08 AM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Nov 14 2012, 12:50 AM)
SP500 went from -5 to +5, Dow went from -60 to +60, AAPL went from low 536 to high 548..($11-$12) spread.

Typical MM trapping bears at open.. luring bulls to keep buying... laugh.gif
*
wondering trapping bulls or bears? only time will tell. tongue.gif
yok70
post Nov 16 2012, 05:12 AM

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500 coming... brows.gif
yok70
post Nov 19 2012, 10:57 PM

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bull? hmm.gif
yok70
post Nov 19 2012, 11:47 PM

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bear then. tongue.gif
yok70
post Nov 20 2012, 03:15 AM

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this apple, drop is slow, up is fast. hmm.gif
yok70
post Nov 20 2012, 11:24 AM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Nov 20 2012, 09:39 AM)
The rating agency.. has no credibility.
Look at S&P action last year, they downgraded US.. initially tanked. after that  rallied 200+.  laugh.gif

As long as Uncle Ben has his finger on the money machines... nothing can stop him except Obama.  nod.gif
*
Agreed. Who cares about rating agency anymore. tongue.gif


Added on November 20, 2012, 11:49 am
QUOTE(danmooncake @ Nov 20 2012, 07:10 AM)
Confirmed 505 is low now.
I'm hanging on to the long side.... I think major short covering and also oversold past week.

Got myself some commons too. I'm going ride this baby up.

So, stay long for now and if it dips. just BUY it with both hands.  brows.gif
*
Great to have a "floor plan" now. biggrin.gif

This post has been edited by yok70: Nov 20 2012, 11:49 AM
yok70
post Nov 21 2012, 02:25 AM

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begins dropping... biggrin.gif
yok70
post Nov 22 2012, 12:07 AM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Nov 21 2012, 10:44 PM)
Still holding up good.. most traders left for long weekend holidays. US congressman also shut down - everyone eating turkey at home.

Left machines on to do auto-trading. So, I don't expect much volatility unless big news come out from outside US that will affect market.

One more trading day left to collect holiday money for this weekend. US folks going on holiday, my call center also shutdown starting tomorrow night.  laugh.gif
*
Your recent profit should afford to order one turkey for each of your family members. biggrin.gif
yok70
post Nov 24 2012, 02:24 AM

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market rally like mad today. hmm.gif
yok70
post Nov 27 2012, 01:19 AM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Nov 26 2012, 11:58 PM)
Any one got a good volatile stock to play?
*
definitely FB biggrin.gif


Added on November 27, 2012, 1:19 am
QUOTE(danmooncake @ Nov 26 2012, 11:58 PM)
Any one got a good volatile stock to play?
*
definitely FB biggrin.gif

This post has been edited by yok70: Nov 27 2012, 01:19 AM
yok70
post Nov 30 2012, 04:49 AM

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FB. rclxm9.gif

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