QUOTE(mobiusone @ Dec 5 2005, 04:13 PM)
It is suitable for all kinds of market,technical analysis got sooooooooooooooo many methods,and each one has its ups and downs,so some of them will work on certain market while some dont.The reasons people are losing money in malaysia stock markets because the obvious odds are against them,you have only around 30% to profit and 70% to loose your money.Why? Because you cant sell short those stocks.Thats why malaysian stock market isnt an ideal place to invest.Since i'm educated on western markets,thats why i prefer futures.Futures contracts expired on the end of a month or couple of months,thats why you cant hold your position more than 30 days,you have to close it at the end of the month,or else your positions will be bukkake'd by the market's rediculous closing price.Most futures trader stop trading on the last 10 days of the month and moves on to the next month,because at the end of the month,the price moves are extremly volatile.
AFAIK,Technical Analysis,no matter which method is used ,is based on the principle that one try to predict the future trend,or to be more specific,the price of an instrument/stocks,using the past history of price and volume and tabulated or extrapolated in various ways.Technical analysis therefore,totally ignore external factors that can affect the future trend or price.Example of these external factors are typhoon,coup-detat,force majore,profit and dividend record,discovery of new souce of supply or inventions etc.This inherent limitation renders TA,IMHO,not suitable for people who invest on a long term basis.As for futures contract,there are basically two method of settlement on maturity of the contract.One is by physical delivery of the underlying commodity,and the second method is by cash settlement where all outstanding open positions are settled based on a settelment price determine by the Exchange.The determination of the settelement price is done either by the exchange or clearing house based on predetermined formula and parameters that is clearly spelt out in writing.It's done in a transparent way.This second method applies to most financial futures such as index and bond futures.
As a trader in a futures contract which hv the option for cash settlement,you hv the choice not to liquidate the open position and wait for finnal settlement by the exchange.
Dec 6 2005, 12:17 AM

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