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 Investment (Local and International), Everything About Investment

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lklatmy
post Dec 6 2005, 12:17 AM

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QUOTE(mobiusone @ Dec 5 2005, 04:13 PM)
It is suitable for all kinds of market,technical analysis got sooooooooooooooo many methods,and each one has its ups and downs,so some of them will work on certain market while some dont.The reasons people are losing money in malaysia stock markets because the obvious odds are against them,you have only around 30% to profit and 70% to loose your money.Why? Because you cant sell short those stocks.Thats why malaysian stock market isnt an ideal place to invest.Since i'm educated on western markets,thats why i prefer futures.Futures contracts expired on the end of a month or couple of months,thats why you cant hold your position more than 30 days,you have to close it at the end of the month,or else your positions will be bukkake'd by the market's rediculous closing price.Most futures trader stop trading on the last 10 days of the month and moves on to the next month,because at the end of the month,the price moves are extremly volatile.
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AFAIK,Technical Analysis,no matter which method is used ,is based on the principle that one try to predict the future trend,or to be more specific,the price of an instrument/stocks,using the past history of price and volume and tabulated or extrapolated in various ways.Technical analysis therefore,totally ignore external factors that can affect the future trend or price.Example of these external factors are typhoon,coup-detat,force majore,profit and dividend record,discovery of new souce of supply or inventions etc.This inherent limitation renders TA,IMHO,not suitable for people who invest on a long term basis.

As for futures contract,there are basically two method of settlement on maturity of the contract.One is by physical delivery of the underlying commodity,and the second method is by cash settlement where all outstanding open positions are settled based on a settelment price determine by the Exchange.The determination of the settelement price is done either by the exchange or clearing house based on predetermined formula and parameters that is clearly spelt out in writing.It's done in a transparent way.This second method applies to most financial futures such as index and bond futures.
As a trader in a futures contract which hv the option for cash settlement,you hv the choice not to liquidate the open position and wait for finnal settlement by the exchange.
lklatmy
post Dec 6 2005, 12:56 PM

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QUOTE(mobiusone @ Dec 6 2005, 01:01 AM)
But i think it could predict some ummm...."man made events?",give me some of the important events that happened in malaysia like 97 crisis and stock market boom in the early 90s,or sacking of anwar.Someone showed me a chart containing the impact of those events to the stock market,but i forgot the website...i try to draw out one..if you dont mind blush.gif
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Sorry,I 'm not following,is there anything I can help out?

lklatmy
post Dec 28 2005, 10:26 AM

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QUOTE(dreamer101 @ Dec 23 2005, 08:07 PM)
It is the share of Public Bank itself. You become the share holder of Public Bank..

Dreamer
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If you are looking for yield,there are many loan stock listed in Bursa which give you better interest return than Fixed Deposits. But be forewarned that you also have to take other factors into consideration if you choose to invest in these loan stocks,ie:

1.convertability and the conversion ratio into the mother share,

2.coupon rate, drool.gif

3.duration to maturity, ohmy.gif

4.rated by any rating agency,

5.borrower's ability to repay on maturity (for redeemable loan Stock) doh.gif
lklatmy
post Dec 28 2005, 04:01 PM

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QUOTE(lklatmy @ Dec 28 2005, 10:26 AM)
If you are looking for yield,there are many loan stock listed in Bursa which give you better interest  return than Fixed Deposits. But be forewarned that you also have to take other factors into consideration if you choose to invest in these loan stocks,ie:

1.convertability and the conversion ratio into the mother share,

2.coupon rate, drool.gif

3.duration to maturity, ohmy.gif

4.rated by any rating agency,

5.borrower's ability to repay on maturity (for redeemable loan Stock) doh.gif
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QUOTE(dreamer101 @ Dec 28 2005, 01:42 PM)
Yes, there might be many many other alternatives that give better better yield BUT it is at significant  higher risk than Public Bank Share.

Could you suggest/recommend/show an example of a loan stock that give better yield at not much higher risk than Public Bank Share??  Please noted that Malaysia will not allow Public bank to go bankrupt not matter what.  Does the same thing apply to loan stock??

Please educate me...

Dreamer
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I thuoght I was quite clear in my posting that there are several other factors to be taken into consideration when investing in loan stocks. tongue.gif

Of course,risk wise,it is much much safer to invest in Public bank and no one will doubt this. biggrin.gif

In the abv posting,the first line itself I made it clear that if one is looking for YIELD,you can consider Loan stocks and I am not proposing that loan stock is in anyway safer than Public Bank.that's not what I meant and I apologise if my posting led you to that.

For discussion,let's look at Jetson loan stock.The price now is 60 sen and the coupon rate is 5%.That means for every Rm600(not including cost of acquiring)invested,the yearly interest receiveable is Rm50 and that is a return of approx. 8.5%.notwithstanding this ,if the price of the mother share goes down,you will lose out because the price of the loan stock should move in unison.Conversely,if the price of the mother share goes up,you will enjoy capital appreciation.

(Disclaimer:this is not a recommedation on the above securities and I am not responsible if any loss is suffered by any person due to this article/posting)
lklatmy
post Dec 29 2005, 09:15 AM

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Let me add my 2 sen.

Dividend declared is based on par value.eg ,par value is Rm1,dividend of 15% will be Rm150 and after lessing out S108 credit of 28%,the receipient actually receives Rm 108.if the shareholding is 1000shares.

Dividend yield is based on mkt price.In the abv eg,if the mkt price is Rm3,the div yield will be 150/3000 viz 5% only.

As for the disclaimer I included,it is because only persons licensed under the Securities Industries Act can give advice on investment.Though I am licensed to do so,I woudn't want to be seen as providing advice in a community forum like LYN.In addition to that,I may be sued if someone actually invested based on my posting and the decision may actually turn bad. tongue.gif
lklatmy
post Dec 29 2005, 09:24 PM

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QUOTE(abubin @ Dec 29 2005, 04:41 PM)



I am saying you won't lose money but it's not as easy as losing money in share trading. You can make money if share go up or down or even sideway!!!
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You mean won't or could?

QUOTE(Darkmage12 @ Dec 29 2005, 08:01 PM)
wow your a licensed person  thumbup.gif  btw u working for which securities?
anyone here who is really trading and not just talking ?
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UGPM
lklatmy
post Dec 30 2005, 09:24 PM

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QUOTE(whtrader @ Dec 30 2005, 04:04 PM)

What is UGPM? And what are the perks getting a licensed? What it is for? How to get it?

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UGPM =you got private message.

The licence refers to Investment Adviser's representative or Dealer's Representative licence under the Securities Industries Act.Dealer's representative is the term used in the SIA for Remisiers.

With the current stock market condition,these licenses are,in my opinion and without offence to anyone,worthless.

lklatmy
post Jan 2 2006, 10:44 PM

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QUOTE(mobiusone @ Dec 29 2005, 07:20 PM)

But i was forced to invest it for the sake of other people,it is the most boring market i ever seen in my life,i just sit infront of the computer whole day,and the price just move sideways all day,providing me the opportunity to spam in LYN.

see? i got to top 10 today lol
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QUOTE(mobiusone @ Jan 1 2006, 12:05 AM)
*applauds
nod.gif

btw..did you take the license test directly or study other stuff about stock market and investment 1st?
because i going to study these kind of subjects too,but i cant find a decent college that has these subjects.
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Are you also a Dealer's Representative?which firm are you from?

lklatmy
post Jan 7 2006, 09:25 PM

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QUOTE(mobiusone @ Jan 7 2006, 02:47 PM)

selling the stock in the same day you brought it is called contra or something like that...,am i rite?
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Yes,as long as you sell off the purchased stock before it is due for payment(currently ,3 business days after the date of purchased,also known as T+3,)the purchase contract will be offset against the selling contract and the resulting financial difference is known as contra profit or contra loss.This process is known as contra trading.

The above refers to Malaysian stock market.

lklatmy
post Jan 9 2006, 09:33 AM

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QUOTE(mobiusone @ Jan 7 2006, 10:12 PM)
hmm...u mean that foreign markets like the US,has no such thing as contra trading?
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I'm not sure.But some overseas mkt like Hong Kong,China or Taiwan hv shorter settlement period than Malaysia.


QUOTE(Darkmage12 @ Jan 8 2006, 12:59 PM)
i love to contra thumbup.gif
btw if i dun pay them within 3 days they will sell off my shares rite? if i make a profit will they pay me?
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Of course!Conversely,if u made losses,you hv to pay. wink.gif
lklatmy
post Jan 9 2006, 10:54 AM

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Maybe dEviLs, the forumer that works in the clearing house can enlighten us on the limit up rules of Bursa. notworthy.gif


lklatmy
post Feb 5 2006, 12:56 AM

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During recession,interest bearing instruments should be the best bet as your capital will be protected.
lklatmy
post Feb 5 2006, 11:50 PM

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QUOTE(Darkmage12 @ Feb 5 2006, 11:21 PM)
u meaning fixed deposit?
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Yes,instruments such as FD,Govt bonds etc


QUOTE(Geminist @ Feb 5 2006, 11:35 PM)
Somehow I believe fixed deposit isn't all that good ...

Readjusting the earnings after accounting for inflation everyyear, the itnerest rate offered by FD doesn't mean much sad.gif
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These instruments are only good at the time of recession.
lklatmy
post Feb 6 2006, 10:01 AM

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At the time of recession,prices of most investments will be falling.So,one has to change the strategy from looking for best return to protection of capital.Under such circumstances,FD offers a risk free alternative where your capital will not be eroded.

I totally agree that during normal time,FD is not a good choice. biggrin.gif
lklatmy
post Feb 14 2006, 10:11 AM

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QUOTE(mobiusone @ Feb 13 2006, 11:46 PM)
btw...anyone here can elaborate the difference between loan stocks and warrants? these stuffs are playing jedi mind tricks with me
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In Malaysian context:
Loan stock is a loan to a company ,normally interest bearing,either convertible into mother shares on maturity(convertible loan stock),or fully redeemable by the borrower company (unconvertible loan stock).This instrument will not become worthless as long as the mother share is listed and there is a ready market.

Warrants were formerly known as TSR(Transferable subscription rights).There r two types,one is issued by the company and is known as warrants per se.The other one is issue by a third party and is known as call warrants.Warrants and call warrants r actually a call option which give the holder rights to subscribe to the mother share at the strike price. Warrants and call warrants can be in or out of money ,if out of money,it will expire worthless.

This post has been edited by lklatmy: Feb 14 2006, 11:28 AM
lklatmy
post Feb 14 2006, 11:38 AM

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QUOTE(mobiusone @ Feb 14 2006, 10:47 AM)
so loan stocks are like bonds?



i dont understand this part
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Yes,but ith added flavour of convertability to mother shares.

If you hold 1000 units of Telekom CA(Call Warrant),you can excercise to subscribe 1000 units of Telekom shares at strike price of Rm9.21.

This post has been edited by lklatmy: Feb 14 2006, 11:45 AM
lklatmy
post Feb 14 2006, 03:03 PM

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QUOTE(mobiusone @ Feb 14 2006, 12:24 PM)
but most of the people brought warrants because it is cheap,compared to the mother shares.

I heard that hardly anyone convert warrants into mother shares.

thats what i think of the warrants
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The determining factor is whether the warrant is in or out of the money.A lot of the warrants are actually exercised in Malaysian market.

Just to add,if a person is holding the mother share and the if the warrant premium together with the strike price is lower than the price of the mother share,then,oppotunity for arbitraging exist .This happens quite often in Malaysian mkt.

lklatmy
post Feb 15 2006, 10:07 AM

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QUOTE(jsm @ Feb 15 2006, 08:21 AM)
Can you explain the "tax deductability" aspect further?

I am not familiar with Malaysian tax issues pertaining to insurance.  I know that over here in Canada, insurance premiums are not tax deductable but one of the benefits is that when you die and the life insurance is paid out to the beneficiaries that unlike almost all other financial instruments it will not be considered taxable income to your estate or to those it was paid to.  How about Malaysia?
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With effect from Y/A 2005(year of assessment) onwards, relief for Life insurance premium AND contributions to approved funds (eg EPF) shall be Rm 6,000 per annum.

Proceeds from life insurance,afaik,is not liable to income tax but is subject to estate duty.Pls correct me if i'm wrong.

lklatmy
post Feb 15 2006, 04:43 PM

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QUOTE(kons @ Feb 15 2006, 02:57 PM)
Anyone knows how to close a trading account?

Planning to close mine.
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Trading account for stock trading?If so, just go to your broker's office and fill up the closing account form.
lklatmy
post Feb 15 2006, 11:34 PM

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QUOTE(kons @ Feb 15 2006, 05:52 PM)
Wondering will they return me the balance..
It's CIMB by the way.
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Cash balance, if any,should be refunded to you.If there is any stocks in your CDS a/c,even 1 share,the CDS a/c cannot be closed unless you transfer the share to your CDS a/c with another broker.Only CDS a/c with no shares in it can be closed.

But you should have no problem in closing your trading a/c since CDS a/c can exists without a trading a/c,in which case,you can't trade anymore but can trasfer the shares out .

This post has been edited by lklatmy: Feb 16 2006, 08:42 AM

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