QUOTE(WinDs @ Dec 21 2006, 01:01 AM)
Let's see how the new year local bursa saham going to perform following the currency control at Thailand.
I believe it will bring more benefits to KLSE at short terms with all the funds direct into other share markets excluding Thailand. However in long run, the economic crisis back in 1997 might be coming back again. It's okey to exercise capital control I believe. However, we should ask, when is THE RIGHT TIME to exercise that. And in my opinion, it's still too early to do that. We would like to know more how US Dolar & China Yuan going to affect the economic next year, not to forget Japanese YEN too.
Thanks a lot.
Not necessary when you see the on the foreign fund perspective especially those so called emerging fund that invested in those developing country like Thailand, Malaysia, India etc.I believe it will bring more benefits to KLSE at short terms with all the funds direct into other share markets excluding Thailand. However in long run, the economic crisis back in 1997 might be coming back again. It's okey to exercise capital control I believe. However, we should ask, when is THE RIGHT TIME to exercise that. And in my opinion, it's still too early to do that. We would like to know more how US Dolar & China Yuan going to affect the economic next year, not to forget Japanese YEN too.
Thanks a lot.
Foreign fund has plenty of choice, if that region is not favourable, they might as well pull the fund together go to elsewhere like India,, Brazil or Scandinavia country which is more exciting, not necessary Malaysia.
Also, Malaysia has a bad track record of sudden capital control also, while rules and regulation keep on changing which most foreign investors are more afraid of. While Singapore is more likely to benefit from the Thailand issue since they are well know to have most liberal and stable regulations among the region.
I don't quite agree as reported by newspapers that those hit by currency crisis like Thailand and Malaysia (S. Korea is a exceptional) has recovered and stronger now and can withstand another crisis. Yes, trade and financial situation is improving from last time, no doubt, much better than last time but not as strong as reported.
Still those country rely heavily on lower currency rate to boost export which eventually push start the GDP growth while domestic consumption is still relatively weak. If not the export growth, their economy might still at stagnant stage.
Dec 22 2006, 03:43 PM
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