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 REIT V3, Real Estate Investment Trust

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CP88
post Aug 11 2011, 12:32 PM

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QUOTE(teehk_tee @ Aug 11 2011, 12:03 PM)
haha, at least we have the same reits thumbup.gif
*
Cheers Bro Tee thumbup.gif


Added on August 11, 2011, 12:34 pm
QUOTE(whizzer @ Aug 11 2011, 11:50 AM)
S & P again !!! mad.gif  vmad.gif
*
My goodness. Another S&P influence. Sigh.. rclxub.gif

This post has been edited by CP88: Aug 11 2011, 12:34 PM
wongmunkeong
post Aug 11 2011, 12:47 PM

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Bro Cherroy,

U mentioned earlier about better liquidity & sizing attracting fund managers and institutional investors to CMMT and SUNREIT even though their DY% is miserable compared to BSDREIT, TWRREIT, etc.

Wouldnt this "liquidity" be a two-edged thing?
I mean, the last i checked for the few days' tumble, heaviest casualty in terms of % of price falling were CMMT and SUNREIT.

Just thinking in terms of "reason of buying REITs" to a small fry like me lar - if i buy into CMMT or SUNREIT and it's nearly as volatile as things like PBank, Digi, LPI, why do it for the miserable DY%.

Thus, picking your brains / opinions:
Is there any major difference between such "sized & liquid" REITs like CMMT or SUNREIT (other than sector and tax % on dividends)
VS
"blue chips & dividend paying" like PBank, Nestle, Digi, etc
that small retail investors (not traders) to leverage on?

My apologies if it's an obvious Q, newbie alert here tongue.gif

This post has been edited by wongmunkeong: Aug 11 2011, 12:48 PM
panasonic88
post Aug 11 2011, 01:01 PM

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I realise that I couldnt hold tight my reits for more than two quarters. *shame on myself*

No doubt the yield is OK (between 7-8% based on current price), but appreciation wise is slower than growth stock such as Maybank, Public Bank, Gab, Nestle, F&N, Bkawan, Lpi, Carlberg, Dlady, KLK, LPI, PPB, Bat, Jtinter etc.
cherroy
post Aug 11 2011, 01:30 PM

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QUOTE(wongmunkeong @ Aug 11 2011, 12:47 PM)
U mentioned earlier about better liquidity & sizing attracting fund managers and institutional investors to CMMT and SUNREIT even though their DY% is miserable compared to BSDREIT, TWRREIT, etc.

Wouldnt this "liquidity" be a two-edged thing?
I mean, the last i checked for the few days' tumble, heaviest casualty in terms of % of price falling were CMMT and SUNREIT.

Just thinking in terms of "reason of buying REITs" to a small fry like me lar - if i buy into CMMT or SUNREIT and it's nearly as volatile as things like PBank, Digi, LPI, why do it for the miserable DY%.

Thus, picking your brains / opinions:
Is there any major difference between such "sized & liquid" REITs like CMMT or SUNREIT (other than sector and tax % on dividends)
VS
"blue chips & dividend paying" like PBank, Nestle, Digi, etc
that small retail investors (not traders) to leverage on?

My apologies if it's an obvious Q, newbie alert here tongue.gif
*
Imagine you have 100 million to invest in reit, do you invest in a reit that has only 200 million unit?
You will have hard time to dispose, same with buying time.

Liquidity means you can dispose or buy in large quantity with ease.
It doesn't mean its price cannot swing more.

Low liquidity stock, buyer Q 1.20 with 50 lot, seller Q 1.35, you have 1000 lots, you will have difficulty to dispose in one shot.


Added on August 11, 2011, 1:35 pmReit and ordinary stocks are different class risk exposure.

Ordinary stocks, like financial, if recession hit, NPL sky-rocketing, it can bring down a banking stock even it is a super blue chip.

Reit
Recession hit, current tenants mostly still fulfill the lease contract signed until expired, then may be difficulty to get tenant when lease expired time.
If the reit is low in leverage, no leverage, just mean no income and expenses losses only.

Yes, if reit yield is the same with a super blue chips, the blue chip may be more attractive due to higher capital appreciation and growth when good time.
But risk wise is not the same.
Reit, you will know how much you make for this year already due to lease contract signed.
Ordinary business, the business is still on going, profit or loss not yet know.

This post has been edited by cherroy: Aug 11 2011, 01:35 PM
wongmunkeong
post Aug 11 2011, 01:37 PM

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QUOTE(cherroy @ Aug 11 2011, 01:30 PM)
Imagine you have 100 million to invest in reit, do you invest in a reit that has only 200 million unit?
You will have hard time to dispose, same with buying time.

Liquidity means you can dispose or buy in large quantity with ease.
It doesn't mean its price cannot swing more.

Low liquidity stock, buyer Q 1.20 with 50 lot, seller Q 1.35, you have 1000 lots, you will have difficulty to dispose in one shot.
*
Yeah, i understand that portion - "moving the market" being detrimental to the institutional investors when they accumulate or dispose a "small market cap" REIT vs a enormous monster-sized REIT.

Just thinking aloud and hopefully pick your experience in REITs - whether or not worthwhile these kinda monster-sized REITs with relatively low yields% at the market price
VS
common / normal stocks that's been shooting out dividends too
blush.gif

I'm just hoping to see / learn something i've not considered before notworthy.gif, as i'm currently just going after the higher DY% and comparatively lower or ok D/E & higher ROE / ROTA REITs.

----------
Whoops - heheh, i replied too fast, just saw your updates/edit. Danke danke rclxms.gif

This post has been edited by wongmunkeong: Aug 11 2011, 01:42 PM
cherroy
post Aug 11 2011, 01:42 PM

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QUOTE(panasonic88 @ Aug 11 2011, 01:01 PM)
I realise that I couldnt hold tight my reits for more than two quarters. *shame on myself*

No doubt the yield is OK (between 7-8% based on current price), but appreciation wise is slower than growth stock such as Maybank, Public Bank, Gab, Nestle, F&N, Bkawan, Lpi, Carlberg, Dlady, KLK, LPI, PPB, Bat, Jtinter etc.
*
It depends what you want actually. smile.gif

Ordinary stock income tax rate is 25%, reit 10% witholding tax.

So those ordinary stock generally has 5-6% yield, the net yield is around 4%,
reit 7.7-8% % net yield is 7%.
So there is still a gap of 3% net yield.

That's why I find difficulty to buy CMMT and Sunreit, despite quite like their properties portfolio, because it is better for me as retailers to buy those stocks that you mentioned at roughly comparable yield.

Reit is more like alternative to FD, instead compared head to head with ordinary stocks.
At least locally, because local reit is conservative in nature, as compared overseas reit with higher leverage.
wongmunkeong
post Aug 11 2011, 01:53 PM

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QUOTE(cherroy @ Aug 11 2011, 01:42 PM)
It depends what you want actually.  smile.gif

Ordinary stock income tax rate is 25%, reit 10% witholding tax.

So those ordinary stock generally has 5-6% yield, the net yield is around 4%,
reit 7.7-8% % net yield is 7%.
So there is still a gap of 3% net yield.

That's why I find difficulty to buy CMMT and Sunreit, despite quite like their properties portfolio, because it is better for me as retailers to buy those stocks that you mentioned at roughly comparable yield.

Reit is more like alternative to FD, instead compared head to head with ordinary stocks.
At least locally, because local reit is conservative in nature, as compared overseas reit with higher leverage.
*
Yeah - read / heard that there are things like Mortgage REITs overseas too, buying mortgages and loan. Heheh - oo.. reminds me of those nasty CDOs that got AAA ratings in 2008's kablooey.
cwhong
post Aug 11 2011, 02:13 PM

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QUOTE(panasonic88 @ Aug 11 2011, 01:01 PM)
I realise that I couldnt hold tight my reits for more than two quarters. *shame on myself*

No doubt the yield is OK (between 7-8% based on current price), but appreciation wise is slower than growth stock such as Maybank, Public Bank, Gab, Nestle, F&N, Bkawan, Lpi, Carlberg, Dlady, KLK, LPI, PPB, Bat, Jtinter etc.
*
ok NOTED all this is ur fav or current stocks whistling.gif


teehk_tee
post Aug 11 2011, 04:59 PM

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QUOTE(panasonic88 @ Aug 11 2011, 01:01 PM)
I realise that I couldnt hold tight my reits for more than two quarters. *shame on myself*

No doubt the yield is OK (between 7-8% based on current price), but appreciation wise is slower than growth stock such as Maybank, Public Bank, Gab, Nestle, F&N, Bkawan, Lpi, Carlberg, Dlady, KLK, LPI, PPB, Bat, Jtinter etc.
*
pana jie, i notice u type lpi twice. u must really like lpi tongue.gif
wongmunkeong
post Aug 11 2011, 05:03 PM

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QUOTE(teehk_tee @ Aug 11 2011, 04:59 PM)
pana jie, i notice u type lpi twice. u must really like lpi tongue.gif
*
I like LPI a lot too tongue.gif - unfortunately hit my trailing stop loss and took profits of about 40%+pa 2 days back. Held since 1st or 2nd quarter 2009.
benedict1213
post Aug 11 2011, 06:31 PM

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check in.

let start poll...

AXREIT - 2.560
HEKTAR - 1.290
ARREIT - 0.900

which one would you enter? what the yield return will get? hmmm
wongmunkeong
post Aug 11 2011, 06:51 PM

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QUOTE(Bonescythe @ Aug 10 2011, 11:51 PM)
To play with them smile.gif And earn money
*
Bro, play? Them REITs (bought at the right price) are like collectibles lar - buy and simpan only (while collecting dividends) tongue.gif


Added on August 11, 2011, 6:55 pm
QUOTE(benedict1213 @ Aug 11 2011, 06:31 PM)
check in.

let start poll...

AXREIT - 2.560
HEKTAR - 1.290
ARREIT -  0.900

which one would you enter?  what the yield return will get?  hmmm
*
er.. i'd take D - BSDREIT - 1.42 pls tongue.gif

This post has been edited by wongmunkeong: Aug 11 2011, 06:56 PM
benedict1213
post Aug 11 2011, 07:28 PM

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wongmunkeong, mind to tell me why BSDREIT? hmmm
wongmunkeong
post Aug 11 2011, 07:39 PM

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QUOTE(benedict1213 @ Aug 11 2011, 07:28 PM)
wongmunkeong,  mind to tell me why BSDREIT?  hmmm
*
It's a plantation REIT, getting $ from plantation management AND a % of the sales of oil palm. It's past 2 to 3 years' D/E is low enough + the ROTA/ROE looks good enough and at $1.42, a slight discount from its NAV/NAPS with expected gross DY% about 8%.

Anyways, i'm just aiming to get into plantation REIT & healthcare REIT. Healthcare - currently way too low DY%, thus plantation REIT first lor - I'm an opportunist tongue.gif. Heck even if office REITs like TWRREIT, UOAREIT or AXIS falls, thus DY% goes up, enough i'll take a nibble while keeping enough ammo to still get enough healthcare & plantation if opportunity arises.

Oh, 1 more thing - nothing scientific, just a gut feel though, with food prices climbing and stuff + population growth, food related & land related companies' returns will keep climbing.

This post has been edited by wongmunkeong: Aug 11 2011, 07:43 PM
benedict1213
post Aug 11 2011, 07:52 PM

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thanks, wongmunkeong.. i attended a class today! thanks! smile.gif
yhtan
post Aug 11 2011, 07:57 PM

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QUOTE(wongmunkeong @ Aug 11 2011, 07:39 PM)
It's a plantation REIT, getting $ from plantation management AND a % of the sales of oil palm. It's past 2 to 3 years' D/E is low enough + the ROTA/ROE looks good enough and at $1.42, a slight discount from its NAV/NAPS with expected gross DY% about 8%.

Anyways, i'm just aiming to get into plantation REIT & healthcare REIT. Healthcare - currently way too low DY%, thus plantation REIT first lor - I'm an opportunist tongue.gif. Heck even if office REITs like TWRREIT, UOAREIT or AXIS falls, thus DY% goes up, enough i'll take a nibble while keeping enough ammo to still get enough healthcare & plantation if opportunity arises.

Oh, 1 more thing - nothing scientific, just a gut feel though, with food prices climbing and stuff + population growth, food related & land related companies' returns will keep climbing.
*
what do u think about STAREIT, a 100% hotel REIT hmm.gif
wongmunkeong
post Aug 11 2011, 08:13 PM

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QUOTE(yhtan @ Aug 11 2011, 07:57 PM)
what do u think about STAREIT, a 100% hotel REIT hmm.gif
*
Based on this: http://mreit.reitdata.com/ +HLeB's gross DY% , DY% looks ok-ish
It's current ration & acid test ratio is strong 4.61 (ie. can pay fast, $4.61 for every $1 owed), most probably due to its low D/E of 0.18 only.

However something weird here (see snapshot) - ROE & ROTA past 2 to 3 years, looks as though something was disposed and now oh oh.
ie huge spike in 2009 and crash in 2010.
Operating cash flow also looks to be hit in 2010 too.
Attached Image

Very very mixed signals - thus, i'm steering clear of it as i've got other REITs options biggrin.gif
Anyways, not in my basic / simpleton approach of "filtered to watch" list of REITs, even for opportunities tongue.gif

This post has been edited by wongmunkeong: Aug 11 2011, 08:19 PM
dopp
post Aug 11 2011, 10:23 PM

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Nevermind

This post has been edited by dopp: Aug 11 2011, 10:24 PM
yok70
post Aug 12 2011, 02:16 AM

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QUOTE(wongmunkeong @ Aug 11 2011, 10:53 AM)
Oh oh.. no wonder the "free fall" in ARREIT earlier.

http://biz.thestar.com.my/news/story.asp?f...85&sec=business
PETALING JAYA: Standard & Poor's (S&P) has withdrawn all ratings for AmanahRaya Real Estate Investment Trust (AR-REIT) at the company's request after the rating agency gave it a “negative” outlook.

The Singapore-based S&P affirmed its BBB- long-term corporate credit rating and axBBB+ Asean scale rating on the company but said the “negative” outlook reflected its assessment that the extraordinary support from the Government could weaken if a proposed transaction between AR-REIT and Perbadanan Kemajuan Negeri Selangor proceeded as planned.

AR-REIT could not be reached for comment. A Singapore-based S&P analyst said he could not disclose the reasons for AR-REIT's request to withdraw all ratings.

The analyst said the BBB- rating comprised two components its stand-alone credit profile and the “moderate” likelihood of extraordinary Government support, based on S&P's criteria on government-related entities.

Although AR-REIT enjoys stable and resilient cashflows, high tenant security deposits and an improving market position in the Malaysian real estate investment sector, its credit profile shows a high exposure to the office property segment and increasing leverage.

AR-REIT is majority-owned by state pension fund Kumpulan Wang Bersama (KWB). The trust owns properties including Holiday Villa hotels in Langkawi and Alor Setar as well as Segi College branches in Kota Damansara and Subang Jaya.

The Selangor State Development Corp (PKNS) plans to inject three properties into AR-REIT in exchange for RM165mil cash and a 20% stake in the trust.

If this goes through, KWB's stake in AR-REIT will be diluted to 43% from 54%. One of S&P's rating criteria for government-related entities is the support of Government, measured by the latter's stake in a company.

“The proposed transaction with PKNS may result in the diminishing and perhaps eventual disappearance of Government support for AR-REIT,” the analyst said.

S&P also said in a statement that it could have revised the outlook to “stable” if the transaction with PKNS did not proceed, which would have resulted in KWB maintaining its majority shareholding in AR-REIT.
*
I don't really get it. What does it mean by "disappearance of Government support for AR-REIT"? It's Amanahraya Reit, Amanahraya itself is a government company, am I wrong? How can a government company not supported by government? rclxub.gif
The injection of PKNS should be very important to its near future expansion plan, isn't it? I'd even think if the plan does not succeed, it's more bad news than the "disappearance of Government support".
What's S&P thinking? I'm really rclxub.gif

Anyway, I switched all my Arreit at 0.89 into Axreit at 2.41 during market selldown last 2 days. Not because of this news since I just first time read this news right now. I made the switch because I am more confident on Axreit and I'm too excited to see its price dropped so much that day! drool.gif

btw, nice to see a fresh new REIT thread. thumbup.gif

soonlee33
post Aug 12 2011, 09:24 AM

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any new reits coming out this year?

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