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 Are property prices going to up further? V3

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TSsampool
post Sep 30 2011, 09:23 PM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Sep 30 2011, 07:06 PM)
man, you aint see nothing yet. 1/3? it has been 3/4!
and i have seen someone swiping 3 credit cards to pay for a unit's dwnpmt.
another one rush apply new cards pay for another.

when maybank ceo wahid talks in public about the need to clampdown on cards and personal loan, you know it is very serious:
http://www.themalaysianinsider.com/busines...-maybank-chief/

can deny forever... bolehsians and rich and fine - like greece....
*
that mean ppl last time use CC to cover another CC... and now use CC to cover the housing loan... very scarely... hmm.gif
TSsampool
post Sep 30 2011, 11:23 PM

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Forecast says double-dip recession is imminent
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By Chris Isidore @CNNMoney September 30, 2011: 10:23 AM ET


http://money.cnn.com/2011/09/30/news/econo..._dip_recession/
TSsampool
post Oct 4 2011, 10:31 PM

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ALERT: Stocks Dip Into Bear Market on Europe Crisis

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-10-04/a...o-year-low.html
TSsampool
post Oct 5 2011, 02:25 PM

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QUOTE(lucerne @ Oct 5 2011, 12:59 PM)
very few are playing both prop and share.  for me, i am now more into prop. coz i dun hv time to trade/monitor share.  already cash out my share before 2008 crashed and concentrate in prop til now. since prop is not so liquid so it is difficult for me to go back to share now. now prefer to have stable passive income (rental).
*
how come on and off u still suggest ppl to buy stock je... blush.gif

passive income not mean POSITIVE income... one must understand. nod.gif
TSsampool
post Oct 5 2011, 02:45 PM

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QUOTE(22222222 @ Oct 5 2011, 03:33 PM)
Not really, still got a lot ppl playing both site....my group of friend all play both game.....now a bit suffer lah....fire kena tangan oledi.

One of my friend earn 400k++ from share market since 2008 - Jun 2011 and then he very tamak lor July 2011 go to refinace 2 prop and cash out 400k and pump in to share market and more "sohai" is almost all the money buy to same counter..... cry.gif

Now the counter share all the way down from RM1.80 drop to RM1.20++, last week i makan with him...he's want me to belanja......wei...brother he's is Millionaire ler....muka masam sangat lor....

Now needed to serve many loan lor....CC (money cash out to share market), Car loan (new car jz bought this year), 3 props loan (last time only serve 1 housing loan).

Now he's is a little bit scare oledi, think until kepala besar to find solution and call out "lan heng lan di" to help.....
*
he make mistake of finance his prop.... the worse case.. he may in bankrupcy.. this is wat will be expected for some of the ppl next yrs...


2012 sweat.gif

This post has been edited by sampool: Oct 5 2011, 02:46 PM
TSsampool
post Oct 5 2011, 03:16 PM

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QUOTE(prody @ Oct 5 2011, 04:12 PM)
This is the most basic mistake for people buying shares.
Once the share price goes down they keep it, thinking it will go back up again in the future.
Unfortunately sometimes it doesn't.
*
some ppl still willing to keep it for 10 yrs... till become toilet paper...
TSsampool
post Oct 6 2011, 08:42 AM

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QUOTE(keithcky @ Oct 5 2011, 08:24 PM)
God bless him... Bad Bad times are coming

Once things not handled properly... Millionaire jadi bankruptcy
*
Formula to become millionare...

$$ borrow from bank + Prop capital apppreciation = Millionare/Multimillionare on paper
TSsampool
post Oct 7 2011, 09:28 AM

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QUOTE(TheDoer @ Oct 7 2011, 02:29 AM)
What you guys don't realise is this is only half the truth.

There is a place in LYN for TZM Propaganda.  Please preach in http://forum.lowyat.net/topic/1679078
*
One word "CHANGE"

This post has been edited by sampool: Oct 7 2011, 09:36 AM
TSsampool
post Oct 7 2011, 04:32 PM

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QUOTE(kh8668 @ Oct 7 2011, 05:27 PM)
Any comments?
*
... in risk to loan few hundred thounds from bank only earn 5k..... sweat.gif better then fd?
TSsampool
post Oct 12 2011, 10:21 AM

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QUOTE(elawrenceong @ Oct 12 2011, 11:01 AM)
My dear ...anyway my gov has revenue/income besides borrowings...they get income through taxes, input from Petronas, etc.. Anyhow, the budget 2012 is a 'budget'..When soon they find out less income/less input from Petronas, they've to revise their plan or on hold some of the mega projects...So far, our country deficit is 4.7% as reported. Compared with GREECE...It's still far away ?

So, no point for you to feel scary at this point... nod.gif
*
i dun think there is any mega project in the pass 1-2 yrs beside mrt..

use rich ppl $$ to help poor is definately a good move... but dun expect there is any transform er..


TSsampool
post Oct 12 2011, 11:53 AM

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QUOTE(Gary1981 @ Oct 12 2011, 12:19 PM)
How abt ROL under greatest KL project?  How abt Legoland? How abt electrified double track(ipoh-padang besar)...I taught these are some mega projects?
*
i tot these proj already die few yrs ago.... laugh.gif ++ selangor science park 2.. rclxms.gif

This post has been edited by sampool: Oct 12 2011, 11:54 AM
TSsampool
post Oct 12 2011, 12:40 PM

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QUOTE(hackwire @ Oct 12 2011, 01:13 PM)
what's your forecast of 2012 economy outlook than?
*
the answer worth billion dollar.. tongue.gif
TSsampool
post Oct 16 2011, 09:39 AM

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QUOTE(hazairi @ Oct 16 2011, 02:26 AM)
Read the facts. It has spoken. It's whether to accept it or stay in denial..
*
.... see wat happen after the march 2012 lah.... laugh.gif


Added on October 16, 2011, 10:07 am
QUOTE(zuiko407 @ Oct 15 2011, 11:20 PM)
Well, u have to put some effort to find out the interesting story, u will get your answer and find out not only Ben Bernanke said so, why AIA in deep shit! Whose decision to tie-up the mortgage with insurance coverage! and the bank easily approve the sub-prime mortgage!
Is a trap setup by a group of big guy, if u wanna know more, just make a phone call to any friend in U.S bcos this's not secret anymore after the crisis and all American are knowing this.
Don't call me expert again, I'm just a normal person who earned million ringgit from property investment
*
I m sure BUBBLE SURE burst... from the statement.. How many so call normal person who also invest in prop... and earned million/millions from this round of prop rally...

this million/millions will be share by some ppl who need a place call "HOME".

Last time who capable of earning millions only developers or related parties... definately not the Normal ppl.. biggrin.gif

This post has been edited by sampool: Oct 16 2011, 10:14 AM
TSsampool
post Oct 17 2011, 07:27 AM

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QUOTE(ManutdGiggs @ Oct 17 2011, 01:37 AM)
No worries. One Q. R u gonna sell when it's not up to de price u wan? So I stil dun think it's gonna drop in price.

U r very rite tat developers ll build further away fr city. Lots a developers now focus at places like kajang, semenyih, rawang, bangi, etc etc.
*
hehe... actually the bubble is generated once the developer build house far away from reach or convernience of ppl... exactly wat will happen in usa.... urbanization


Added on October 17, 2011, 9:29 am
QUOTE(2wong @ Oct 17 2011, 05:14 AM)
guy the world is gone messy now the day gone by...if you still think malaysia property not head down ward then.....you are the guy invest heavy during the last few year.....you now denial it and want people from out sider to believe malaysia property never crash...buy some more to create you weatlh....
Face the fact....wake up....

Property Developers Hurting in China; New Homes Sales Down 50% in Shanghai; Preposterous Prices Won't Last; Commodities to be Hit in Building Slump

...  into bankruptcy.

"A wave of newly completed property is about to hit the market. Developers are likely to find themselves holding large volumes of unsold property."

In Shanghai -- where the average cost for one square metre of downtown housing was 48,000 yuan (about $7,500) last year, about 12 times the average monthly salary -- home buyers have little sympathy for cash-strapped developers.

"Considering the high housing prices in Shanghai, a new flat is just a dream," said Qian Xueqi, a manager at an international hotel.
Housing Math in China

One square meter = 10.7639104 square feet
Cost per square meter = $7,500
Cost per square foot = $7,500 ÷ 10.7639104 = $696.77
An 800 square foot home (74 square meters) would cost $557,418

How many in China can afford that? Moreover, other than bubble mentality, there is no reason to pay such prices, even if one could afford it.

http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com...?x#echocomments
*
prop market become like stock market now... i saw some advertisement thise week price 400k, then next week 450k, and few days later 400k back and on and on... hehe.. i think the agent/owner put the price tag is base on the news.. hehe.

once the commodity price drop... prop price will drop... prop market crash, financial system will follow as well.... this not difficult to predict as normal ppl also can earned mil in prop during rally.

This post has been edited by sampool: Oct 17 2011, 09:40 AM
TSsampool
post Oct 18 2011, 08:34 AM

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just finished my breakfast.
TSsampool
post Oct 18 2011, 01:30 PM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Oct 18 2011, 01:16 PM)
that is more true than not, imo.
low productivity and incr debt is what is plaquing many nations.
bolehsia's national debt at 51% gdp now, the law will need amendment when it hits 55%:
http://www.themalaysianinsider.com/malaysi...ng-warns-anwar/
one can argue 70% is still fine since usa is at 100% and took greece at 180% to see riots on the streets.
*
younger like facebook ing everyday n nite... "Like" here and "Like" there... some rather doing farming n gardening indoor instead of outdoor... !

不撙节国债2020年或达1万亿
智库:届时纳税人各分摊59万
http://www.malaysiakini.com/news/178958






This post has been edited by sampool: Oct 18 2011, 01:40 PM
TSsampool
post Oct 19 2011, 08:49 AM

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QUOTE(twincharger07 @ Oct 19 2011, 02:37 AM)
The difference between bolehland and US is that in US, loan are given to unqualified owners without assessing their repayment capability...
US government start giving guarantee to lenders to lend money to any tom dxck and harry..
Investment products are marketed as AAA rating and sold to other countries to fund their citizen's home loan...
Since the citizen has no obligation and just default when they cant repay..
When owners start defaulting their loan, it creates a ripple effect from US to other countries who bought their bad assets..

Americans are always live in debts, much more higher debt ratio compare to us.. it is shocking to see they willing to default their homeloan 1st but maintaining other debts to fund their lifestyle..

It is very different compare to Asians who position our home as the center of our life.. we can sell our cars but not our house, but the American did the other way round..

No doubt job opportunity in US is alarming.. a major factor is that all the manufacturing and outsourcing are done in low cost country which are asian countries.. Malaysia is a good example... there are plenty of jobs here bcos all this giant MNC set up their company in this low cost country, those are American companies, but majority of their emplyees are non-Americans..

Another factor that set us apart from the US is that Bolehland's bank are still being strictly ruled, credit profiles are still strictly examined, unlike the yankee's practising cowboy style...

so is Msia going into subprime?
*
america is knowing their weakness, but they unable to do much due to globalization effect... us currency rally is another tools to fund their living, they manage to buy cheap products with their bigger us value... so less $$ will be expected to consume... this make the supply over demand in commodity... u will see the effect is global...

pulling back the investment back to their home country could be another way to solve jobs issue... as stronger us value will encourage hot$$/fdi flow back... this is what we can see during my currency rally last 2 yrs..

how severe, only god know.
TSsampool
post Oct 19 2011, 12:46 PM

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QUOTE(lucerne @ Oct 19 2011, 01:30 PM)
i think econ cycle is oni benefit to the rich.  they will accumulate more $ and push up prices and rental.  our barang will oni be more expensive due to higher rental. eg mix rice, drinks etc.
of coz the developers will be happy to folow suit.

we normal ppl can opni forced to follow their game.
*
i dun think so... now u can get 60sen teh tarik and 40sen roti cenai = RM1.. things become cheaper...... deflation. Rental rally mainly depend on the prop value increase..

This post has been edited by sampool: Oct 19 2011, 12:47 PM
TSsampool
post Oct 19 2011, 01:17 PM

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QUOTE(kidmad @ Oct 19 2011, 01:50 PM)
If you fork out your own cash money you will still get the same amount gain la. Don't look at the % it's deceiving. The only difference here which we need to take into consideration is bank lawyer fee + 5% incase of lock in period. You save quite a huge sum from there. You put down payment when VP you flip and earn 100k, the person who use their own hard cash will have the same amount of earnings.

*however a greedy cash load free person will be looking into a few unit and instead of buying 1 unit most likely he will take his hard cash and split it to a few.


Added on October 19, 2011, 12:52 pm

Bro mana cari roti canai 40 cent and 60 cent teh tarik? if i can find a place here in CBJ ill go there everyday for breakfast. ahaha
*
http://www.malaysiakini.com/news/179057

This post has been edited by sampool: Oct 19 2011, 02:03 PM
TSsampool
post Oct 20 2011, 08:22 AM

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QUOTE(hazairi @ Oct 20 2011, 01:17 AM)
Conclusion:
Household debt getting high + GDP is not increasing + BNM making stricter rules + External influence of global economy meltdown + Maya Theory = GG

*
u forget maya theory d.. sad.gif sweat.gif

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