QUOTE(super911 @ May 6 2011, 04:36 PM)
I think those that still buy high rise property for the sake of flipping will be the first get burned. At this price level, they just can't rent out the unit to cover the installment and if they wish to sell higher also very hard because price has gone up too much beyond affordability. Just take a condo in ss2 for example, launching price was 800k. How much do they want to flip for a profit when the condo is ready? 1 mil? How many can afford it? Furthermore, there are hundreds of units also in the market for sale. If they can't sell it for a profit, how about renting it out? Let say they take out a loan of 90%, which is 720k, installment is easily RM3k. Plus the maintenance fee, the unit has to be rented out for RM3.5K just to break even. How many is willing to rent a condo in ss2 for RM3.5K? You know I know.
i don't understand why many people still thinks that once installment is higher than rent collectible, it's all doom.
and of course i can't speak for others especially investors if their school of thoughts are the same but consider this:
assuming the loan to be rm3k per month. how much goes to interest and how much goes to interest. this is going to be tricky because interest are initially high and taperring to low nearing the end of the tenure of the loan, right? so let's just say it's a 50/50 since by the time you finish the loan, it's like borrow rm720k, pay rm1.44mil. and so, again assuming the property does not appreciate in price and NEITHER does the property experience any drop in price (and for discussion's sake, please leave out the inflation factor for this illustration).
and the unit is rented out for say rm2.5k per month. now, the owner might be paying the additional rm500 to the bank and rm500 for maintenance. and so the big question is, is the owner losing money? is the owner at a disadvantage because he has got no positive cashflow?
i like to think that he is still making money albeit less. think of it differently, every month, he is forking out rm1k to foot a rm3.5k bill. in which, out of the rm3.5k bill, rm1.5k is his actual fixed gain (payment for principal). over the entire tenure period of the loan and when he succeed in paying off the loan, he would start to gain rm2k every month then + a fully paid property.
i know some will argue the above case with inflation, misc charges, etc.
but look at the macro aspect of it. and i believe that is why, most if not all speculators and investors are able to hold negative cashflow properties. problems only arises when rentals are lower than payment to banks that can't even cover the interest. but on hindsight, he is still paying less to own the property than a normal buyer on his own without rent.
but the above is just merely my own 2 yen...