Jordy, do you think REIT price has been rising sharply this few month starting this year, and going way ahead of fundamental?
REIT V2, Real Estate Investment Trust
REIT V2, Real Estate Investment Trust
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Apr 30 2010, 09:06 PM
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All Stars
10,596 posts Joined: Jan 2003 From: Hinamizawa |
Jordy, do you think REIT price has been rising sharply this few month starting this year, and going way ahead of fundamental?
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Apr 30 2010, 09:37 PM
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Elite
5,626 posts Joined: Nov 2004 From: Klang, Selangor |
QUOTE(jasonkwk @ Apr 30 2010, 09:06 PM) Jordy, do you think REIT price has been rising sharply this few month starting this year, and going way ahead of fundamental? jasonkwk,No. In fact, the price is lagging the market. While fundamental is intact and prospects growing, the market will definitely follow suit. |
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Apr 30 2010, 11:44 PM
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Senior Member
5,191 posts Joined: May 2009 |
I cant believe my reits counter performed much better than those "growth" counters... and I collects equivalent to one year FD interest quarterly.... What else can I ask for more? |
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May 1 2010, 12:16 AM
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Staff
25,802 posts Joined: Jan 2003 From: Penang |
QUOTE(jasonkwk @ Apr 30 2010, 09:06 PM) Jordy, do you think REIT price has been rising sharply this few month starting this year, and going way ahead of fundamental? Reit just recover from slump and fear of recession and back to normal range. With inflation looming, properties valuation only has one way to go, i.e. up only. I would say reit is outperforming but not net in the stage of 'way ahead of fundamental' as even at current pricing (which has surged quite remarkably, yield wise is >7% which is about 3x current interest rate, which still a justify point to stay at current valuation, although I stated before valuation has reach a fair point, aka fully valued. But with interest rate is not going to shoot to the roof, there is little incentive for reit holders to dispose reit which carry >7% yield, so there is no incentive for big sell down, unless there is expectation to see a double dip, or potential economy problem that lead to difficulty in lease. To look at fundamental is simple, how much reit yield can offer as compared to interest rate, bond rate. If the gap is quite narrow, then yes, it could mean valuation is too rich. QUOTE(protonw @ Apr 30 2010, 11:44 PM) I cant believe my reits counter performed much better than those "growth" counters... and I collects equivalent to one year FD interest quarterly.... What else can I ask for more? In fact, AMfirst is making all time high of RM1.20. I hardly believe and never expect can make >30% on even without timing/making the investment during the bottom or crisis time.If get the timing right on Axreit, RM1.00, has made 100% gain even without taking account into the distriubtion along. In fact, a lot of so called 'growth stocks' are struggling due to their own issue, despite the economy recovering and KLCI has made up a lot of losing ground. |
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May 1 2010, 02:56 PM
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All Stars
23,851 posts Joined: Dec 2006 |
I think REITS were grossly undervalued in the past bcos many investors failed to understand REITS.
Now more investors understood the product, then tends to approach the fair value. In Malaysia, no matter how good a product is , if buyers do not get to see and believe, then slowly it becomes a bad product. Just my view. |
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May 1 2010, 10:01 PM
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Senior Member
943 posts Joined: Mar 2009 |
QUOTE(cherroy @ May 1 2010, 12:16 AM) Reit just recover from slump and fear of recession and back to normal range. My first entry into REIT was in AXREIT for which I bought RM1.01. I can tell you at time in the middle of the subprime crisis, buying things like REIT was a real challenge to the emotion With inflation looming, properties valuation only has one way to go, i.e. up only. I would say reit is outperforming but not net in the stage of 'way ahead of fundamental' as even at current pricing (which has surged quite remarkably, yield wise is >7% which is about 3x current interest rate, which still a justify point to stay at current valuation, although I stated before valuation has reach a fair point, aka fully valued. But with interest rate is not going to shoot to the roof, there is little incentive for reit holders to dispose reit which carry >7% yield, so there is no incentive for big sell down, unless there is expectation to see a double dip, or potential economy problem that lead to difficulty in lease. To look at fundamental is simple, how much reit yield can offer as compared to interest rate, bond rate. If the gap is quite narrow, then yes, it could mean valuation is too rich. In fact, AMfirst is making all time high of RM1.20. I hardly believe and never expect can make >30% on even without timing/making the investment during the bottom or crisis time. If get the timing right on Axreit, RM1.00, has made 100% gain even without taking account into the distriubtion along. In fact, a lot of so called 'growth stocks' are struggling due to their own issue, despite the economy recovering and KLCI has made up a lot of losing ground. As mentioned, REITs benefitting from publicity surrounding it. |
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May 2 2010, 12:36 AM
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Staff
25,802 posts Joined: Jan 2003 From: Penang |
QUOTE(whizzer @ May 1 2010, 10:01 PM) My first entry into REIT was in AXREIT for which I bought RM1.01. I can tell you at time in the middle of the subprime crisis, buying things like REIT was a real challenge to the emotion Reit is still unpopular among retailer investors. As mentioned, REITs benefitting from publicity surrounding it. In fact, a lot of people don't know what is reit. They still treat it like a share out there, which share price hardly move one. |
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May 2 2010, 10:21 AM
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Senior Member
637 posts Joined: Jan 2006 From: Petaling Jaya |
People are noticing REITs a lot more now.
Maybe some want exposure to Property but don't want to actually own one, so they go for REITs. In a way they treat it like a unit trust fund. |
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May 2 2010, 12:40 PM
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Elite
5,626 posts Joined: Nov 2004 From: Klang, Selangor |
It is not about the education or the knowledge of REITs (as I believe anybody who reads StarBiz would have understood REITs by now due to the coverage). It is more of the mindset of most Malaysian traders. They want quick profits, therefore they resort to trading.
Among my friends and investors, I can safely say that I am the only one investing for the long term. Even my mother was reluctant as first, but after my convincing, she eventually wanted to give REITs a try. |
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May 3 2010, 04:33 PM
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Senior Member
943 posts Joined: Mar 2009 |
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May 10 2010, 10:15 PM
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Senior Member
637 posts Joined: Jan 2006 From: Petaling Jaya |
Looks like ARREIT is gonna underperform for a while?
The dilution effects and the psychological impact of the cheaper placement price. |
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May 10 2010, 10:38 PM
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Senior Member
943 posts Joined: Mar 2009 |
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May 10 2010, 10:53 PM
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Senior Member
637 posts Joined: Jan 2006 From: Petaling Jaya |
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May 10 2010, 11:17 PM
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Senior Member
943 posts Joined: Mar 2009 |
QUOTE(Aggroboy @ May 10 2010, 10:53 PM) You think so? Snippet from Maybank report (also attached below) in April 2010 If they don't put the RM519m to good use, we're looking at a 33% dilution to their dividend payout? ( I thought they have some purchases in plan which is why the private placement) ........................................................................................................ Acquisitions to complete by May ‘10. In Jan ’10, ARREIT proposed the acquisition of two commercial properties (Selayang Mall and Dana 13 office building) for RM227m. This will be funded via issuance of 140m new ARREIT units (proceeds of RM119m, assuming 85sen/unit) and LT borrowings of RM111m (5-year fixed rate). The acquisitions are expected to complete by May ’10 and could generate additional RM16m p.a. in net property income (at net property yield of 6.9%). We maintain our forecasts at this juncture which have yet to include this. Attached File(s)
2010.04.14_MBB_ARREIT.pdf ( 82.93k )
Number of downloads: 54 |
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May 16 2010, 01:27 PM
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Junior Member
64 posts Joined: Nov 2009 |
There is a misunderstading for some REIT holder. One may assume it property value goes up and end up with a higher value when they revalue the REIT after some time. But different REIT have different valuation policy, some only comply with SC guildeline that is revalue it once every three years, or some may chose to revalue it every years.
So, buying on revaluations and appreciations must consider very carefully, as case such as Starhill REIT have just revalue their property, which resulted in a huge gain, and they only revalue it once since their listing, listed around 2006 and revalue it on 2009. At another hand, The Al-‘Aqar KPJ REIT recorded additional contribution to the income from the revaluation of properties in conformance with Financial Reporting Standard 140 (FRS 140) requiring the revaluation of all properties annually. |
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May 16 2010, 05:31 PM
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Staff
25,802 posts Joined: Jan 2003 From: Penang |
QUOTE(Aggroboy @ May 10 2010, 10:53 PM) You think so? Generally,If they don't put the RM519m to good use, we're looking at a 33% dilution to their dividend payout? Private placement is only being allowed when those money raised through it is for the use of aquisition + pare down borrowing. SC won't allow for simply a private placement without much intention. |
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May 16 2010, 06:33 PM
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Senior Member
1,106 posts Joined: Apr 2009 |
what u all think abt dijaya?
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May 17 2010, 08:15 PM
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Elite
5,626 posts Joined: Nov 2004 From: Klang, Selangor |
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May 17 2010, 10:08 PM
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Senior Member
1,106 posts Joined: Apr 2009 |
QUOTE(Jordy @ May 17 2010, 08:15 PM) de.crystal, sorry i am new to the share marketDijaya Corp is not a Real Estate Investment Trust. It is just a normal property developer-cum-property leasor. So I think it is not suitable to be discussed in this thread. so what are the counters for REIT? been searching at the 1st post but cant find any |
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May 17 2010, 10:52 PM
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Elite
5,626 posts Joined: Nov 2004 From: Klang, Selangor |
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