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 REIT V2, Real Estate Investment Trust

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wwloon32
post Mar 29 2010, 11:22 AM

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QUOTE(cherroy @ Mar 24 2010, 11:53 PM)
As long as the rationalisation or selling of its properties at or around its NAV which is expected to be, NAV won't change.

In fact those rationalisation process will realise the capital gain/properties valuation appreciation which is distributable if they wish to.  drool.gif
But just my wishful thinking which I don't think it will. My view only.
Invest in Reit, the primary concern is about yield, not about how much undervalued on its NAV (although it is an important as well, just it is secondary to the earlier factor).

It is not about short term debt vs long term debt at current point situation. As at current point, bankers are willing to lend and credit facilities are available, so short term debt or long term debt is not much an issue. Long term debt will become short term when come or near to its maturity as well, it is all about timing. As long as refinancing is achievable with ease, this is a none issue. And focus should shift to secured interest rate on the loan.

Reit share pricing is primary towards yield issue, not on NAV. So you see reit price generally pricing at around 7-8% across. They follow the yield instead of NAV.

Reit is not popular here, so seldom being discussed in general, no surprise, as many investors here still not fully aware and fully understanding about reit due to the fact reit is boring and somemore low liquidity which make reit volume is low and price generally move little.
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NAV do change when properties are revalued, there is an unrealised gain in most REIT.
The primary concern of yield should also add by the earning power of REIT, since most REIT distribute 90% of their income for tax free purpose.

If gearing should be a problem , consider wise that any equity may require to pay an hefty 8% return for unit holder, compare to 4~5% of interest.
wwloon32
post Mar 29 2010, 05:51 PM

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QUOTE(cherroy @ Mar 29 2010, 01:59 PM)
The NAV part posted is when Stareit disposes its properties at NAV then NAV will not change due to the disposal of properties.

Don't know what is your meaning especially on the bolded part.  rclxub.gif

There is no requirement or mandate to pay unit holder 8% or whatever %.
Any distribution is given based on 90% of its profit or income.
Lower income low distribution.
No income, no distribution.

Unit holder is not lendign money to reit company, unit holder is the one 'own' the company.
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Starhill REIT NAV doesn't change much when the propose disposal because they already revalued it. In fact, in the proposed disposal, there is a loss of 50 million. REITs are allowed to dispose their properties for no less than 90% of the last six month valuation.

There is a policy for Stareit to distribute 90% of it realised income, that is 8% yield for unit holders. If they wish to expand, one way is to issue more unit and meet the expected yield of 8% too, or dilute earning that may lead to liquidation that happen to AHP2. So, instead of yielding so much money, I think they should have borrow it somewhere else with only 4% interest.


wwloon32
post Mar 29 2010, 10:52 PM

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QUOTE(Jordy @ Mar 29 2010, 09:00 PM)
Moolah,

REIT is a "trust" (or custodian) for the properties. It does not operate the properties under its trust. It is a management company which leases out all properties under it, be it hospitals or hotels. Therefore, the trust will only be earning rental for all its properties.

Although STAREIT owns hotels, but it doesn't operate the hotels. In fact, it leases its hotels to its parent company (in this case is YTL) which in turn operates the hotels. So the cyclinal nature of the business only affects YTL's account. STAREIT will still be earning the rental even if the hotels are facing a downturn.
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That's right. It's a chance to go for it. Imagine if there is 1 billion and after reposition, the 1 billion investment give 10% of earning, there will be much increase in earning. On top of that, Stareit still owns JW Marriot and The Residences . So my thought is I pay for the 1 billion and I get the free JW Marriot and The Residences to keep.
wwloon32
post Apr 9 2010, 01:10 AM

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QUOTE(espree @ Apr 7 2010, 09:57 PM)
REIT players hope for better year

fter two quiet years in the local real estate investment trust (REIT) market, industry players are hoping for a better year in 2010 through more active retail interest, asset expansion plans, and entry of new players.

ccording to Malaysian REIT Managers Association (MRMA) protem committee chairman Stewart LaBrooy, news of some existing REITs’ plans to grow their portfolios after a two -year hiatus is encouraging.

uite a number of REITs have plans to expand their asset portfolio, with expansion by UOA REIT, AmanahRaya REIT and Al-Aqar REIT to involve new investments of RM1bil.

e said REITs would have better upside yields accretion potential if they had steady portfolio expansion through regular strategic asset acquisitions.

n whether raising enough funding for their asset expansion plans still posed a challenge to REITs, LaBrooy said: “Since the global financial crisis, there has been a game change on the regulatory environment that is helping REITs and capital markets cope with issues like faster capital raising and more self regulation.”

lthough under existing Securities Commission (SC) rules REITs can place out new units of only up to 20% of their unit base and it can be done only once every 12 months, the SC is prepared to grant specific approval to REITs to raise additional capital within 12 months on a case to case basis,” he told StarBiz.

t is possible that with the upcoming capital raising plans and new listings, there is potential for the market size to be increased to RM18bil from the current RM8bil.

aBrooy said if the listing of a few more sizeable REITs took place by this year-end, it would further add to the depth and liquidity of the market.

he upcoming REITs include the Sunway REIT which is estimated to have asset value of around RM4bil and Malaysia’s first cross-border REIT, the RM1bil Qatar REIT.

he coming onstream of these new players will inject a lot of liquidity into the market. This will create more excitement in the REIT sector in terms of size and asset class diversification and should place REITs on the radar of more local retail investors and larger foreign funds,” added LaBrooy, who is also Axis REIT Managers Bhd chief executive officer.

urrently, retail investors only account for 10% to 15% of the total REITs’ market capitalisation of close to RM6bil. The biggest portion comes from institutional investors who account for close to 60% and REITs promoters at 25%,

o promote greater trading interest and volume for REITs, the target is to raise the retail portion to 40% of the market capitalisation.

ith the huge liquidity in the local system now, there is huge potential to expand the retail interest for REITs,” LaBrooy said.

e added that retail investors were generally ill informed of the benefits of investing in REITs. “Investor education is essential and as a result the MRMA, has undertaken to conduct an investor outreach programme. So far we have conducted public roadshows in Penang, Ipoh, Klang Valley and Malacca. Our next roadshow will be held in Kuching on May 8.”

aBrooy said to make REITs more popular with the retail investor, there was a need for more liberalisation on the regulatory front and the removal of the withholding tax for individuals.

urrently, both local and foreign retail investors have to pay 10% witholding tax to the Government.

e said the recently established MRMA, with nine out of the 11 REIT managers as members, would engage the regulators to overhaul the prevailing regulations and speak as an industry body on tax issues affecting REITs in time for the 2011 budget.

n challenges ahead, LaBrooy said: “The biggest challenge for local REITs is to reach a size of US$500mil and grow beyond this. This is the minimum requirement if we are to attract foreign funds to our market and has to be an aggressive strategy for each manager.

o achieve this, the REITs have to have four conditions in place – stock price that trades at a premium to net asset value (NAV), so that capital can be raised in a non- dilutive manner; an identifiable pipeline of new assets to acquire; market yield that is achievable at the time of acquisition; and a recovery in the bond market so that new sources of financing can be obtained without reliance on bank lending,” he pointed out
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I would like to point out in fact there isn't enough information for investor to participate in REITs. The aforemention MRMA isn't online, and info can't pass through internet, which is one of the most common way to distribute information. That is problem 1.

Problem 2 is the policies and guidelines changes too often and not consistent. REITs suppose to be mandated to distribute 90% of their income, but I think there is no guidelines for this and debt ratio limits difer from one to another, and the same happen in NAV calculations, where unrealised gain recurring in some and not recurring in some, aren't asset should be revalue once every year according to guideline ?

Third, it should be noted most (expect three) REITs are trading below their IPO or NAV. I believe the very reason for this is ex-date reference price have been adjusted to dividend paid. Stareit IPO price have been above RM1 , but dipped till 80 sen level after paying dividend for years, sum up those dividends we get the difference between IPO price and current unit price.

Forth, the illiquid forms that took tolls on REITs, assets can't be sold and divided, neither there is cash to buy anymore asset. REITs turn into cash cow , where investor get milked. When the cow is fat enough, just butcher it. This is what happen to Amanah Harta 2, which resolution has been passed to disband the fund by unsatisfied unit holder. Instead of getting 2 sen dividend years afters years , they will realised the gains of property sold. REITs neither growth nor liquid.

Fifth, while there is discount for NAV , REITs are trading above PE ratio of 10, while paying 90% of their income. That indicated a very disappointed return for assets which they manage. For every RM1 of asset, they earn 10sen and pay 9 sen. How can we pay above RM1 while expecting 10% of return ? It isn't growing, it isn't cheap and it isn't paying much.




wwloon32
post Apr 9 2010, 06:52 PM

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QUOTE(wankongyew @ Apr 9 2010, 04:11 PM)
This sounds very unreasonable to me. How much return would you think is sufficient to compensate for the lack of capital appreciation?
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That is the big problem,on comparison, most REITs have RM1 of asset but only return 5 sen and distribute 4 sen. What I said is only the medicore ones, but there is much worse out there. What I really mean is that Earning per Unit aren't matching the NAV. Thereby affecting the yield and share price.

I think it's the best to have 10% earning compare to NAV, 100% NAV to Share price, 100% distribute income and 10% yield. But for Malaysia REITs, it most REITs only archived half, reflecting 70~80% NAV and 7~8% of yield, therefore 50~60% of earning.


Added on April 9, 2010, 7:01 pm
QUOTE(cherroy @ Apr 9 2010, 01:27 PM)
2) yes, there is guideline, debt ratio cannot more than 50% of their NAV. Asset is required to be revalued every 3 years.

3) This is not much an issue for long term investors, as if properties value still intact, the value of Stareit based on NAV is still more than Rm1.00. As share price is a reaction to the yield issue which there is little or no income increment as compared to other reit.

4) Asset can be sold if the property manager wish to, just like Stareit.
Reit currently under 90% distriubtion policy only can grow through private placement to raise money which needed for new asset acquisition. AHP2 is a disappointed incident.
It all depended on how well property manager manage the property and particular property issue, like location, rental demand for the particular type of property.

5) Reit is about how much yield investors willing to pay for or willing to have.
Every year you are getting 9% yield while property is still yours. It is not like you are paying Rm1.00 to them and not returning back, The Rm1.00 property is still belonged to yours.

In fact in reality, you buy a property (residential) adn rent out, it is almost near impossible to have yield more than net 8%. Someore the property you bought is more illiquid than reit. Which reit you can sell whenever you wish to, and with any amount.

At 9%, it is miles better than money parked in FD.

10% return rate is considered moderate high or ok for investment class, giving that reit risk exposure is lesser than ordinary businesses.

Yes, reit growing is little as they can only grow, if there is rental increment, or newer acquisition to improve yield while acquisition financing is only through either borrowing or private placement.
As 90% distribution policy means that only 10% of income is retained in the company.
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2,They changed the guideline again? Last time I look into the guidelines it said 40% and asset are revalued every year once. Doesn't matter, as most REITs have their own rules, such as revalue or syariah. Then there is MER, too very rclxub.gif for me to understands as it reads " difer from one to anothers".

3, That one of the reason AHP2 disband, it doesn't reflect NAV. Share price drop and drop, volume isn't there, it is not liquid. In the long term, I guess it will be zero, huh?

4, Asset can be sold, but not less than 90% of six month their value. Consider this carefully, when buyers bought these asset , their maximum gain will only be 10% on market value. That is not very attractive, and REITs asset are huge numbers, meaning that they can't find buyers easily. Stareit sold their asset to relate REITs and reposition into hospitality REIT, that something different.

Fifth I already reply.

This post has been edited by wwloon32: Apr 9 2010, 07:01 PM
wwloon32
post Apr 10 2010, 05:11 PM

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QUOTE(cherroy @ Apr 10 2010, 12:05 AM)
I don't think this is the case for most reit here. Generally there is around 7-8% out there. A lot of their NAV has been going up due to revaluation as we know properties price in general has gone up recent few year. But if taking into the origin NAV in consideration, they are achieving around 8% in average.

10% yield is asking a bit too much out there (but if one has bought last year, most are carrying more than 10% yield), you need to considered there is 1% charge on the management fee side of story. To have a property that can achieve gross 11-12% yield, which is not a reasonable target.

2) The guideline never change. Revaluation is every 3 years. There is SC guideline, not the like every reit has their own rules. It has been there since the reit industry kick off if not mistaken.
Syariah and revaluation is 2 totally different matter. Doesn't relate.

3) AHP2 didn't fetch any income (I don't know what is the reason, as I don't follow the issue), but as far as I had known, shareholders had formed some group to sell off the asset owned which in return will get back money through the asset disposal. They still own the property, not zero. Whatever left is the property.
When a company didn't generate any income, for sure, share price will drop and drop. Who want to invest in a share that doesn't make any money for you.

Share not liquid has nothing to do with reit or any listed company fundamental. Again it is 2 different matter, it is the fundamental issue that causing the reit has little value or depreciated in market price.

4) This rule is to protect shareholders, imagine property manager sold the asset at 50% discount to someone (or though RPT), surely shareholders benefit will be hurt. The rule is to prevent property manager sold the property at significant discount rate due to whatever reason or intention. Any special circumstance can always apply exemption from SC. So this is little case of asset illiquid.

Any guidelines/rules, you consider the unit holders benefit, where got people consider buyer or other party benefit one?  rclxub.gif
You want to sell your property as close as to the market value. Let say your property/house market value is Rm300K, do you consider buyer must make more than 10% profit, then you decide you must only can sell less than 270K?
It doesn't make sense.

Having reit is about having faith the property manager is managing property properly and generate rental income or yield to the shareholders.
Disposal of properties generally is not something good news to reit, what you want from reit is to expand the rental income scope and getting more properties into thier portfolio and diversified the asset and rental income.

Invested in reit is about expectation of fixed income through rental collection, just like buying a property and rent it out and collect the rent.

If one expect more return like 10-20%, reit is not a place to be. It is more like a fixed income instrument.
Reit is not ordinary share. It is another different class of investment. Risk wise and risk rewards ratio is different. Cannot take in ordinary share return to compare with reit.

The most important for ordinary reit investors, how much return and yield you can get through buying the reit in the market.

You buy Axreit at Rm2.00, it can genearate about 16 cents or little more for you then it is 8%+ gross yield
You buy Stareit at Rm0.86, it can generate about 7 cents, it is about 8% yield.

So reit price is adjusting to the yield attractiveness in general.
Properties revaluation or higher NAV is another bonus aspect, and investors out there don't buy the reit based on NAV but people buy reit due to the yield factor.
Investors buying share out there don't look merely on NAV alone, what investors want is hard real return each year. It is as same acorss stock market. We have a lot of property counter (not reit) that are trading at Rm1.xx but NTA is Rm3-4 as well, why? Because share price react to ability to generate profit to the shareholders.
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Some REITs do have "Unrealised Income" or "Fair value adjustment on investment properties" every year . If I'm not mistaken, those revalued property are counted in NAV, so when we buy a REITs, it already reflected the gained value on NAV. Unfortunately, some others REITs such as Stareit only revalue them once three year, hence there isn't any "Valuation fees" incurred. The guideline only asking a revaluation every three years, but most REITs do revalue every year.

And some REITs have syariah , some doesn't. When some do have, becareful because it maybe prohibited to have non-halal tenants, but the guidelines doesn't speak any of these. I wonder what the syariah fee for? Isn't the guideline be uniform about syariah issue?

There is too a Management Expenses Ratio:

Management Expense Ratio (MER) is computed based on total fees including Manager’s fee, Trustee’s fee , valuation fees and administration expenses charged to the Trust divided by the average net asset value during the year. Since the average net asset value of the Trust is calculated on a monthly basis, the MER of the Trust may not be comparable to the MER of other real estate investment trust/unit trusts which may use a different basis of calculation.

For the borrowing issue:

Borrowings may be used for the acquisition of real estate and single-purpose companies.

Unless otherwise approved by the trustee and the SC, the total borrowings of the fund shall not exceed 35% of the total asset value of the fund at the time the borrowings are incurred.

I think they do consider approving most of the borrowing above 35%? Isn't the debt ratio should be applied to all? Even some REITs are stating they are borrowing until 50%. And how they calculate it? Long term liabilities? What about short terms one?

I think they should solve these guideline. It's easy to confuse. That is only problem 2.

Thrid, it's about the share price, not the property. The main reason AHP2 disband is they wish to sell those asset and get their money back. These asset are worth more than their unit price, and they didn't bring much value for unit holder. Unit holder can only get return through appreciation of share price or the distributed income of unit trust. But for every sen of distributed income, the unit trust price drops. In the long tem, because of ex date, most unit trust fall below their IPO price and NAV, and I wonder will their unit price goes zero while NAV is increasing.

4, That why real estate are consider illiquid, because there are rules that prevent buyer to buy and seller to sell. Hence, REITs assets can be consider illiquid, and are very dependent to manager for appreciation of assets or increase of income. When these two factor doesn't come in, REITs can't gworth. That's a problem for Malaysia REITs, they can't get enough income which can't increase value of assets, thus stagnant yield and unit price. Moreover, most Malaysia REIT's NAV already reflected the "revalued" asset, but there is no increase of income and yield, thus discount to NAV become more and more. Either the increased income yield unit holder more realised gain, or the appreciation of assets increase unit price, making unrealised gain for unit holder. But Malaysia REITs do neither.

5, The EPU/NAV for REITs which measure how much gain for net asset value, range from 10% to 5%, average 7.5%, only 5 manage to achieve above 7.5% against 12 REITs (excluding AHP2 which soon disband), while yield average 8.5%, as most REITs have borrowing that could buy more asset and get more return. It means our assets are not running as efficient as I wish, 9.7% return before deducting 0.7% of managent fee. It's an alarm that REITs may not have an high return exceeding 7% without borrowing, and with shrinking unit price but increasing net asset value, REITs may see more disgruntled unit holder and in the long term request disband, such as AHP2.

wwloon32
post Apr 10 2010, 10:25 PM

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QUOTE(cherroy @ Apr 10 2010, 05:50 PM)
Properties is required to be revalued every 3 years, that's for sure. But under reit, there are many properties, so the every 3 years period is not the same for each one, so you may see revlaution happen every year, but they will state which one is revalued in the period.

Borrowing cannot exceed 50% disregard long term or short term. can refer here http://www.axis-reit.com.my/images/axisrei..._08_chap1-8.pdf

Regarding the ex-date, deduct out the share price, as long as company is earning constantly through rental income, the lower price of the share price, the higher yield it is and more attractive.
It will not become zero. For eg. Stareit is earning 7 cents, so after 10 years, it deduct out 70 cents, so theorectically, it will become 0.86-0.70 = 0.16. It is not the case.
If Stareit is still continue rent out its properties, and earn 7 cents, I can assure the share price won't be 0.16. It is no braniner to see it will be 0.16 if it is still earning 7 cents.

Do not take ex-div which deduct out share price will devalue the share. It doesn't. The share valuation come from ability to generate profit/income to shareholders.
Share price will auto adjust by market force which dictate by yield factor.

For eg.
Axreit is giving out average 12-15 cents for the past few years, but share price of Axreit is higher than before because it managed to grow its earning, diversified and expand through acquisition which through private placement.
AHP2 didn't generate any income to the shareholder previously which is the major downfall of this reit and the reason why unit holder disgruntled, not about share price below or above NAV. So unit holders have no choice to liquidate the properties to get back the money. As said before, no one will want to invest in anything that doesn't generate income for them.

Reit is about renting, leasing properties which is the core income and attractiveness. You look for the properties can be rent out for long term.

You buy reit not because of NAV, you buy reit because about its yield.

As said, if wish to see return rate of 10%, reit is not a place to be.

It is as same as you buy a property then rent out only. The situation is identical to reit. You cannot grow your properties portfolio, if you have no new money or through borrowing. You cannot possible get more than 10% yield through renting out.

Rental market yield is about 7-8%.
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The Al-‘Aqar KPJ REIT recorded additional contribution to the income from the revaluation of properties in conformance with Financial Reporting Standard 140 (FRS 140) requiring the revaluation of all properties annually. The revaluation, announced on 31 December 2009, increased the valuation of the nineteen properties by RM 17 million, concurrently increasing the Al-‘Aqar KPJ REIT’s market value to RM 962 million.

The real estates shall be revalued at least once every (3) years from the date of the last valuation (or such other times as required under the Securities Commission Guidelines on REITs), or at any time where the Trustee, the Manager or the independent auditor appointed by Atrium REIT reasonably believes that there has been a significant change in the value of real estates.

They can revalue any time , any properties or annually revalue. Difer from one and another. Did you see the Stareit income statement for 2008, they don't have valuation fee? I wonder what the guideline trying to tell me, are REITs setting their own revaluation policy?

Regarding the ex-date, deduction of unit price is a pain. Imagine you brought Stareit and its IPO price is above RM1, now there is only RM0.86 left, that is the distribution amount you collected past years. It makes sense that price seems "attractive" when distributed profit hasn't changed much, but the price drop and drop. Example, Stareit pay 6 sen of dividend, with 5% on the very beginning, but till today, it still pay 6 sen, but it yield 8%, because the price droped and the more it drop, the more it seems more "attractive", but the truth is there is an unrealised loss and if you sell them they will incurred realised loss. And a particular truth is, now Stareit propose to reposition their REITs into a Hospitality REITs, that is not something that you want since IPO and you have two choices, either selling at a loss or continue to go along.

Story never end there, AHP2 may another sad story. There maybe more out there, only three REITs manage to have 120% gain since their IPO, 7% annualised gain on unit price, over the period of 3 years. Adding dividends, only these three manage to reflect their "appreciation" on properties, their high "yield" and their "expected" return that deflect inflation. Out of 12 REITs (excluding AHP2), 3 dipped below their IPO price despite the roaring market. The medicore 6 only manage to cling around 100%.

To make REITs a steady option to invest, at least REITs should reflect strong unit price. If one were to find an so called attractive yield of 7%, then he/she maybe dissapointed that the unit price dipped below purchased price, yielding 14% even though distributed income remain same. That is a loss of 50% of unit price, which I believe some of REITs perform during 2008-2009.

NAV doesn't reflect to share price, so does the yield too, the more the yield, the less the unit price, while the distributed income remain same.

And as you said, rental yield 7%, if one have RM1 and borrow another RM1 with 4% interest, it only have to pay 4 sen while collecting 14 sen, net income 10 sen, that already 10%, but the fact is REITs only manage to have a 7% of return on equity, that mean even though they borrow RM1 and have RM1, they only manage to earn 11 sen on a total of RM2, pay 4 sen of interest and another 7 sen for unit holder. That only 5.5% of return on total asset. Or they may pay more interest, which maybe perceived as more riskier.

This post has been edited by wwloon32: Apr 10 2010, 10:35 PM
wwloon32
post Apr 12 2010, 01:39 AM

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QUOTE(cherroy @ Apr 11 2010, 05:41 PM)
For revaluation issue,

Reit guideline has stated 3 years once at least.
New FRS stated every year. This is applied across all company account if they start to adopt the new FRS. This is not applied on reit only.

So I don't see any clash between the guideline and FRS. If adopted the new FRS, then every year revaluation once. I don't see an issue here. The new FRS every year revalaution means they will overwrite the guideline only.

There is no such thing of every reit adopted their own guideline.

If one view the ex-date distrubtion/dividend deduction is actually culprit of share price dropping, I can't help to explain more further (has been explained many times). In actual fact, it is not. Whether there is distrubtion or not, share price still will drop to 0.8x to match the overall market yield around 8% if Stareit cannot earn more than 6.+ cents. Market share price always respond and react to how much earning ability.

After the recent financial crisis, investors demanded more yield to justify their risk, especially with real estate is the main culprit of recent crisis and a number of overseas reit actually went under and have their own problem, mainly due to leverage issue.

If one view short term like that (ex-date of dividend deduct out the share price), then please don't buy any dividend stocks. No offence.  smile.gif

Stareit IPO price at 6.x% yield is not attractive enough for investors, that's why the share price drop to 0.8x become a 8.+% yield. Somemore Stareit DPU never go up at all and with the rationalisation plan uncertainty (new properties injection), then share price will be traded at this range for near term until situation become clearer and how much the future yield it will be.

As said before, you buy reit, you look at yield as primary factor, you don't look at its IPO price nor NAV, as this is secondary.

Look at how much IPO offer price at what expected yield, then only decide the price you are going to enter. If yield is not attractive enough as compared to overall market existing has, then high chance it will drop below IPO price or NAV.

Every reit situation is different, some may have rental revision for every 2-3 years, so if the rental being revised upwards, then there is positive contribution to the profit made.

To make reit price steady, the only and effective way to to have consistently earning power and may be some little improvement in income. (it is not possible to see earning of reit double or triple over short to mid-term, without expanding through borrowing or private placement.

If a reit is earning steady 7% over the long term, it is very unlikely to see its market price drop become 14%, as people will already snap up if the yield become higher and higher. It is no brainer for anyone to sell the reit which is yielding 14% and still able to earn steady and consistently over long period of time.
Except for some special circumstance like financial crisis which lead to risk of reit facing (like cannot find tenants, refinancing facilities is totally shut like what happen during 2008 etc) or FD interest rate become 7% which make 7% reit become non-attractive.
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Guidelines do change and different company have different revaluation, that leads to two earnings. In the next few years there will be changes and beware of different company that have different revaluation. If guidelines are mean to guide and uniform, why things have different interpretions?

Market share price doesn't reflect yields. REITs do have tendency of dropping even though earning and therefore yield is rising. Given the statistics of mid 2008, when markets did perform average, only half of 12 REITs manage to cling above IPO price, another half sinking below it. It average yield is 7%, compare to 8.5%, still REITs unit price perform sluggish, haven't recover, although earning and yield did improve. As the matter of fact, the top three REITs yield of 2008 unit price did fall, compare to 2010 unit price.

The main things is unit price, it doesn't go along with yields and NAV, it isn't as effective as you thought. If you opened The Edge, you will find our REITs are one of the highest yield in the world. And a point to counter yours, if REITs yields average on 8.5%, which make it more attractive compare to listed dividend counter and our country bond, REITs should attract these capital and make it yield lower in long term, but it didn't happen.
wwloon32
post May 16 2010, 01:27 PM

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There is a misunderstading for some REIT holder. One may assume it property value goes up and end up with a higher value when they revalue the REIT after some time. But different REIT have different valuation policy, some only comply with SC guildeline that is revalue it once every three years, or some may chose to revalue it every years.

So, buying on revaluations and appreciations must consider very carefully, as case such as Starhill REIT have just revalue their property, which resulted in a huge gain, and they only revalue it once since their listing, listed around 2006 and revalue it on 2009. At another hand, The Al-‘Aqar KPJ REIT recorded additional contribution to the income from the revaluation of properties in conformance with Financial Reporting Standard 140 (FRS 140) requiring the revaluation of all properties annually.
wwloon32
post May 19 2010, 12:13 AM

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Yesterday I receive my Starhill REIT circular.
Basicly I'm OK with the proposal, but haven't really decide vote against or vote for it.

It propose selling of Starhill and Lot 10 for RM1.03 Billion, to be satisfied with issue of CPU and cash. Most of these cash and CPU will end up buying YTL Corp Hotels, which I must rethink twice. Nonetheless, if such proposal goes accordingly, Starhill REIT will become the first Malaysian Hospitality REIT.
wwloon32
post May 27 2010, 10:36 PM

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QUOTE(cherroy @ May 19 2010, 02:17 PM)
Disregard whether YTL holds how much the stake, if one doesn't like it, then just vote "no".
It might not has any material effect, but if there is significant minority shareholders vote "no", then it also sends the message to the management board as well. (besides disposing)

SC is going to change the new regulation on asset liabilities disposal issue in the near future as well.

I would say exercise your right/preference disregard the outcome, although one might think or in actual fact, it could be irrelevant.
You never know what happens next.
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We can always vote "NO", and if there is enough "hands" to say "no",
then the resolutions will not be passed.
It's not about how much share that vote, it's about how much shareholder that vote.
And the more share concentrated, the more dangerous it's,
because when there is 99.9% of share goes to big shareholder and the company management,
and 1 share for another shareholder, if the small shareholder vote "NO" in every resolutions,
it'll effectively force to AGM to ground. Because as company management,
they don't exercise their vote, which is why I believe that HO HUP tussle was set in.

wwloon32
post May 29 2010, 05:59 PM

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QUOTE(cherroy @ May 27 2010, 11:59 PM)
Company resolution is passed on the basic of majority of shareholders agree aka on the basic of majority in shareholding.

Unless in certain special circumstance like going to be implemented "asset and liabilities" sale/disposal ruling proposed by SC, which need higher watermark or some special circumstances that majority shareholders can't vote due to legislation or ruling incurred (which to protect the minority shareholders interest issue one), most resolution are passed based on majority in shareholding.

Ho Hup tussle has a lot of number of shareholding as both parties didn't hold the majority stake of 51%. They need other shareholders to vote favourable them to win in the EGM.

The % of shareholding dictates whether the resolution proposed can be go through or not.
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Normally voting will be by a show of hands and, as such, each shareholder has only one vote irrespective of the number of shares held, but a shareholder can demand that a “poll” vote is taken and a poll vote will count votes in proportion to the number of shares held by each shareholder.

Ho Hup tussle is a tricky business. As the EGM demand, it can't appoint proxy unless it's a lawyer. This is a clearly breach of Company Act where is a shareholder can appoint proxies if they can't attend meetings. Also noted that the ex-management didn't take part in it, as does SSM doesn't endorse it. In short, it's clearly out of favour for minority shareholder.




wwloon32
post May 31 2010, 11:09 PM

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QUOTE(cherroy @ May 30 2010, 07:55 PM)
Yup.

The vote by hands is to reduce the red tape and hassle of need to verify shareholding when voting, it is just for simplitic solution, nobody want to wait hours for verify and calculate the shareholding in voting most ordidnary resolution which generally not much issue or disagreemnt to start with.

But it doesn't mean more hands will win either, as take this scenario like Stareit.
Even there are plenty of Staretit minority disapprove the sale of Lot 10 and Starhill, it cannot stop the resolution to pass through as well. As YTL as the major shareholder (99% chance) will request the resolution to be passed on the basic of shareholding number to pass through the resolution. After all, this is what they proposed one.

By no mean, I discourage or encourage shareholders to vote against or for this resolution. Don't get me wrong.

Vote according to you like/wish in the resolution should be one adopted disregard the outcome of it.
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If there is enough of minority against the proposal, it only take 18% to reject it.
YTL as RRPT is forbidden to vote. And Poll depends on whether it's call.
Let see what happen tomorrow, we'll never know what happen.
wwloon32
post Jun 1 2010, 04:12 PM

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QUOTE(RobinHood888 @ Jun 1 2010, 03:17 PM)
STAREIT can be consider. Reason: LOT 10 & Starhill have sold to starhill global singapore, now their hand holding big money, may have suprise news.

I love Reit too
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No surprise, actually. It's not new and it's very clear that Francis Yeoh is going to buys hotel from YTL.
Some EGM info: http://investalks.com/viewthread.php?tid=2983
wwloon32
post Jun 1 2010, 08:47 PM

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QUOTE(RobinHood888 @ Jun 1 2010, 04:33 PM)
How they play the hotel & how the result is the real surprise. We never know. That what I mean hihi  biggrin.gif
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If you look at YTL corp hotel segment, you may get some figures.
And there will be next EGM, that is the important one.
By the time they push for the next EGM,
we as unitholder will get circular which list down those assets and their earnings.

Not a surprise, you will know it next few month.
wwloon32
post Jun 3 2010, 11:43 PM

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QUOTE(RobinHood888 @ Jun 2 2010, 04:36 PM)
already know mean not a surprise,
surprise mean we dont know yet. haha

We never know the future. Maybe new concept of hotel or resident? etc, etc.
The question. Stareit with new hotel business beneift will be higher than the LOT10 & Starhill or not?
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It's already known.
It's already said and written.
No new hotels except for YTL corp ones.
There isn't much hotels at YTL corp, and I can name few:

Pangkor Laut's, Vistana's, Ritz-Carlton's , Tanjong Jara's, Cameron's,Niseko's etc.
I personally expect 60 mil for it.

This post has been edited by wwloon32: Jun 3 2010, 11:51 PM
wwloon32
post Jun 5 2010, 11:33 AM

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QUOTE(cherroy @ Jun 5 2010, 10:54 AM)
Personally, I will sit out the IPO and wait the market price to adjust itself and see how afterwards.
As 6.x% is not attractive enough.

IPO is rather weak across lately. So I don't expect market to trade at premium to its IPO especially consider that it only carries 6.3% as you mentioned.

Just my personal view.
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Agree with you.
Unless Sunway offer 7%+, it won't be attractive enough.
Every REIT IPO offering less than 7% will dip for some time.
wwloon32
post Jun 6 2010, 12:32 PM

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QUOTE(cherroy @ Jun 5 2010, 11:51 PM)
I knew roughly some in my memory.

Axreit start off around 1.50-1.60, if not mistaken, this can't remember accurately
Qcapital around 0.8x-0.90
Amfirst 1.00
Stareit around 1.02 or 0.99, forget a bit already
Atrium 0.99 or 1.00.

I stand for corrected as this is somehow can straight away retrieve from my memory one.

But Sunway Reit probably may start off with a few cents premium if IPO is good and manage to find many cornerstone instituitional investors to support it. As Singapore investment arms, PNB, EPF and some insurance fund also potential to become the cornerstone investors of it.

I forsee may be start off with flat in IPO and a little few cents above IPO, then as time goes on, probably ease off to around 7% or more yield unless the reit can improve their earning and DPU and show high potential in rental revision upwards afterwards.

Just my personal opinion though.
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http://investalks.com/viewthread.php?tid=123&extra=page%3D1

I uploaded the comparisons and IPO price there.
If you are interested, just download it.
I'm not allowed to upload it here.
wwloon32
post Jul 13 2010, 01:55 AM

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QUOTE(kbandito @ Jul 12 2010, 09:43 AM)
Speaking of the Japan Resort that Starhill mentioned to buy, I don't see any official announcement on the proposed acquisition at Bursa website.
Is it really coming?
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It doesn't mention about it.
The Japan resort is bought by YTL.
After an EGM and approval, Starhill may buy resort from YTL.

wwloon32
post Jul 13 2010, 04:35 PM

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QUOTE(cherroy @ Jul 13 2010, 10:56 AM)
No special dividend lar, already mentioned as well as stated in the rationalisation proposal.
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Unless at another EGM, the proposal have been defeat.

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