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 US stock discussion v2

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Erroralot
post May 12 2010, 08:37 AM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ May 11 2010, 09:01 PM)
Sure.. 1 trillion is not going to solve their problem if they continue to party and be care free nation.
Therefore, they got 2nd thought. Buckle up and let see how it goes..

Lots of good opportunities for some badly battered good stocks to go long here.  biggrin.gif

Update: Someone asked me what are some of those longs that I would be looking at during market panic:

Here's what I'm looking at some of these, holding them over much longer timeframe (quarters/years):
AAPL, CSCO, CAT, TM, YUM, MCD, KMP, GE, GLD, VTI. 

I don't swing or daytrade those above.. just accumulate during big dips - like last Thursday/Friday.
Every quarter, I project that we may have up to 5% to 15% pullback from the highs (Dow/SPX). Just calculate a price point relative to the general index and set a BUY order (in small position by scaling in) for them.

I'll be adding C to the above list soon (if it can maintain price over $4 over at least two quarters).

I'm also looking at BP - finally broke down below $50 - way over sold now.
If it touch close to 52weeks low (approx $4 from here), I'm a buyer.  brows.gif
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QUOTE(zamans98 @ May 11 2010, 10:43 PM)
I'm with you for good stock for long haul, but the W shape is coming as many have seen. Data came out are not that solid yet to hold long position more than 2 Q
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Yeah, I got some AAPL at 230 last Friday. Pretty sweet deal smile.gif

Am looking into BP as well but am wondering when will it really bottom? So much negative press on it.

So guys, what's your take for tonight? smile.gif Oil inventories to look good? thumbup.gif
Erroralot
post May 12 2010, 04:56 PM

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Zamans!! ING posted profit! Pre-market up a lot smile.gif Grats to u mate! flex.gif
Erroralot
post May 13 2010, 08:25 AM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ May 13 2010, 02:28 AM)
C under pressure.. because of Morgan Stanley.

Closing update
Dow 10896.91 +148.65 +1.38%
Nasdaq 2425.02 +49.71 +2.09%
S&P 500 1171.67 +15.88 +1.37%


Wow! Looks like the bulls are back. They're hitting at the 50 days MA door already. Dow already crossed over, now waiting at S&P500.
The percentage of S&P500 stocks above the 50MA now has risen to 45% as compared to only 15% just last Friday.  biggrin.gif

TCK took a beating earlier when hedge fund sold and buy Gold (look at Gold price now..ridiculously high).
Lucky, it has recovered some.  sweat.gif

Also, I just look at my AAPL calls purchase last week.. I'm not going to jinx it by saying anything now..
hopefully I get more good news by tomorrow.  biggrin.gif

Update:
CSCO reported earnings - beat estimates but cautionary remarks from CEO caused some sell off AH.  doh.gif
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Yeah, C and TCK took a slight beating today. Was hoping for further upside as Dow closed positive 140+.

AAPL's looking good smile.gif Hopefully 270 soon thumbup.gif
Erroralot
post May 18 2010, 03:41 PM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ May 18 2010, 01:10 AM)
Closing update:
Dow 10626.88 +6.72 +0.06%
Nasdaq 2354.23 +7.38 0.31%
S&P 500 1136.97 +1.29 +0.11%


Got out of short (SDS) with small profit.  Buyers came back in..at close.  biggrin.gif

Market should go up a few points tonight and will try to short again later.  smile.gif
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Looking at the futures now, looks like market may be GOING UP more than a few points but I have a bad feeling this is gonna be short lived.
Erroralot
post May 19 2010, 07:51 AM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ May 19 2010, 01:33 AM)
Oh darn..I'm slightly under water now with UCO. Need 9.86 to break even.
I think crude should go back up above 70.  I'm going hold for a while since we're already at lows.

Should have kept my SDS.  doh.gif  Oh well, can't win 'em all.

Update 1:45am
Folks, bulltrap part two here. I've jumped to VXX @ 27 to ride this down a bit.

Update 2:30am
Goldman Sachs said the upcoming Financial Regulations going to take up to 20% hit all banks profits if implemented!!  shocking.gif If so, time to get out or short financials folks!

Update 3:20am
Took some profit in VXX 29.10.

Closing update:
Dow 10510.95 -114.88 -1.08%
Nasdaq 2317.26 -36.97 -1.57%
S&P 500 1120.80 -16.14 -1.42%

Another day - another bull trap here.  Bulls got no more love anymore. We are getting very close to the 200MA here and if this blows thru another trading session or so.. a big trap door will open. We definitely going to drop below 10K, perhaps with a leg down to that fateful 'glitch' day on Dow 9800 or S&P 1065/1070.

Be very careful and stay cautious here..  Try stay in cash as much as you can (for longs).  nod.gif
Shorts - once the trap door is opened, you know what to do.  tongue.gif
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Awesome! u're playing VXX too? smile.gif I've been getting VIX Jun 15 '10 32.5 Calls, pretty amazing return man! 100% in a day! smile.gif

This week is options expiration day, choppy week ahead!
Erroralot
post May 19 2010, 10:18 AM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ May 19 2010, 10:02 AM)
You can buy VXX just like an ETF or stock during trading hours.
It has indirect play for VIX.
http://www.ipathetn.com/VXX-overview.jsp
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Yeah, VXX is an ETF.

I think any broker allows option trading right? As long as you subsribe for the service no?
Erroralot
post May 20 2010, 09:24 PM

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Hahahaha, it's going insane! More VIX calls tonight! thumbup.gif Sensing a -200 drop at least!

If AAPL breaks down all the way to 235, I think that's a pretty good buy for long term or for the bounce rclxm9.gif Next week, iPad goes international! thumbup.gif WWDC is during the first week of June!! Lots of cool stuff coming out then too! rclxm9.gif

This post has been edited by Erroralot: May 20 2010, 09:29 PM
Erroralot
post May 21 2010, 08:15 AM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ May 21 2010, 07:59 AM)
This bear is indeed vicious.. seems more powerful than the one appeared in February.  biggrin.gif
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Indeed indeed, mauling away like crazy!

VIX spiked to 29%+ yesterday!! My June 32.5 VIX calls are spiking like madd! Woohoooo!!!!!!!!! thumbup.gif

Wonder if we will bounce at S&P 1040-1045 support tonight.. hmm? Or more downward pressure still?

AAPL hit 236 yesterday! Looking attractive for the long run! Will u be getting July 250 calls soon?
Erroralot
post May 21 2010, 08:42 AM

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QUOTE(zamans98 @ May 21 2010, 08:40 AM)
wow, look at the bears... Can't stand to see my portfolio, down nearing 1800 alone yesterday. The worst since started to trade.

Dow down almost 1200 points, and my overall portfolio down almost 30%. Fark. Should cut loss C and STEC earlier.
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If the financial reform isnt as bad as it seems when it passes, U might be seeing a lot of upside potential for the financials and ur C will be in good hands smile.gif
Erroralot
post May 21 2010, 10:41 AM

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QUOTE(zamans98 @ May 21 2010, 10:09 AM)
PPT sleeping, scared. Hiding away. Eh, how was your C? Still holding ?
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I am still holding thumbup.gif Vix calls to hedge whistling.gif
Erroralot
post May 21 2010, 10:52 AM

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QUOTE(zamans98 @ May 21 2010, 10:46 AM)
Mine down more, -22%. Bought at 470.  shocking.gif
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I started at 4.30, so I am pretty down too LOL sweat.gif
Erroralot
post May 21 2010, 09:24 PM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ May 21 2010, 09:20 PM)
Don't care about Soros.. he's a long term investor. We're momentum here.
Dow will be still red but it will tapered off - not as worse as yesterday.

I'm holding my shorts till this mid trading day and will likely to cash out for the weekend.
I'm looking for a bounce around SP 1045 (Feb low) and go long on some positions.

Guys - if you've some cash.. now is the time to get some, Dow IS below 10K.  nod.gif
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Yeah same, holding my VIX calls till SP 1040-1045. Gonna try to get some AAPL at 225-230.
Erroralot
post May 21 2010, 10:00 PM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ May 21 2010, 09:58 PM)
I'm out of shorts.. waiting at sidelines.  Not buying this yet.
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Got out of 3/4 of my calls..will hold the 1/4 left to see how much energy does this bull have smile.gif
Erroralot
post May 23 2010, 08:34 AM

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I wonder if Monday will rally another 100, come down back into negative territory by mid day? Dmc, at what point would u enter your shorts at? S&P 1100? How about aapl calls? I got some last fri for July, wonder if I should get out by Monday or just ride it all the way till wwdc?
Erroralot
post May 25 2010, 07:47 AM

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Let the MAULING begin!

Sold my AAPL calls too! Sold a little early though! Oh well, a gain is a gain smile.gif still good!


Added on May 25, 2010, 2:36 pm
QUOTE(epalbee3 @ May 23 2010, 12:04 PM)
I uses OptionXpress to view Level II quotes..


Added on May 23, 2010, 12:09 pmPreparing to sideways.. until direction is clear..
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I think direction is quite clear today, looks to be southward bound!

This post has been edited by Erroralot: May 25 2010, 02:36 PM
Erroralot
post May 25 2010, 04:28 PM

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S&P futures are down to 1045, somehow holding pretty well. If futures gaps down WAYYYYYYYYYYYY lower than that, I think we're gonna bear mode quite hardcore tonight ! cool2.gif
Erroralot
post May 25 2010, 09:36 PM

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S&P holding strong above 1045!
Erroralot
post May 26 2010, 07:56 AM

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I read somewhere regarding S that they got some exclusive deal to some networking project and I think on Monday there was an announcement regarding the upcoming Iphone 4G's usage of their interface. Try to google it out I guess, overheard the news on CNBC and read it somewhere.

Will try to short at 1100 tonight if possible smile.gif
Erroralot
post May 26 2010, 09:17 AM

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Oh yeah, Goldman Sachs upgraded S from Neutral to Buy ! smile.gif
Erroralot
post May 26 2010, 11:33 AM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ May 26 2010, 10:47 AM)
Goldman needs to upgrade C.
And C can upgrade Goldman later. laugh.gif

Anyway, if you all take a look at C chart. It didn't do too bad these past 3 days when the market has dropped 5%.
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Goldman did upgrade C from neutral to buy on the same day it upgraded S (Monday)! Hence the spike up at pre market to 3.89 notworthy.gif

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