If RM going to fast, it will hurt exporters. Do remember, bulk of export is E&E, (electrical and electronic product) which is sensitive to pricing. If RM appreciate too much, it means Malaysia product become more expensive and will drive importer to source alternative place.
Malaysia gov earning, 50% is come from O&G, but not on export side, it is 2 different things. See the export figure breakdown will explain it all.
Malaysia economy rely heavily on E&E and export orientated product which is one of the main driving force and job provider in the countries.
Added on October 14, 2009, 12:39 amForeign reserves increment depended on trade surplus as well as capital inflow.
As we know, there is only a few foreign participant in local stock market, so there is little inflow of capital which can result in surge of foreign reserves.
Foreign reserves doesn't represent the strength of economy recovery or not.
In fact, if domestic demand is strong, you will see foreign reserves dipping because local people have strong purchasing power to buy goods from overseas i.e. import a lot resulted a trade deficit, which happened before 1997 crisis. Since after 1997, Malaysia and Asian region countries never has a trade deficit.
Having said that, trade deficit is not good for the currency. But too high trade surplus also not good, as it just means you rely heavily on export, while your domestic demand is weak, i.e. your people have low purchasing power in other word, your people earn little.
excellent insight cherroy. thanks a lot!
i've always thought that reserves were strongly correlated to economy strength. but now that u mention domestic consumption it lights up the entire room!