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TM International’s (TMI) shares hit a low of RM2.15 and closed at RM2.16 yesterday. The share price is still 25% off the level it was trading at when the rights issue was proposed on Feb 26, although it may have found the bottom. Much of the sell-down over the last 3 weeks was attributed to concerns over the magnitude of dilution, with RM5.25bn set to be raised and where TMI has yet to fix the price of the rights shares, which will clearly give rise to the risk of further dilution
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RECOMMENDATION
Trading opportunities ahead of rights pricing. We think there may be trading opportunities over the next week or so as we draw closer to the price fixing date (based on the 5-day volume weighted moving average price prior to the price fixing date of March 27). Essentially, the dilutive impact from the rights would be less strenuous should TMI’s share price ‘rally’ ahead of the price fixing date. We are eyeing a trading range of RM2.40-RM2.50, based on the similar discount levels offered by recent rights issues in the market. We upgrade our recommendation on the stock to a TRADING BUY from NEUTRAL given the probability of a sustained uptick in its share price over the window period (March 20-26) in order to mitigate the dilution risks.
Trading opportunities ahead of rights pricing. We think there may be trading opportunities over the next week or so as we draw closer to the price fixing date (based on the 5-day volume weighted moving average price prior to the price fixing date of March 27). Essentially, the dilutive impact from the rights would be less strenuous should TMI’s share price ‘rally’ ahead of the price fixing date. We are eyeing a trading range of RM2.40-RM2.50, based on the similar discount levels offered by recent rights issues in the market. We upgrade our recommendation on the stock to a TRADING BUY from NEUTRAL given the probability of a sustained uptick in its share price over the window period (March 20-26) in order to mitigate the dilution risks.
source: http://bursastreet.blogspot.com/2009/03/tm...ernational.html
Mar 20 2009, 10:13 PM, updated 17y ago
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