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 YTL power, Well managed company

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TSdarkknight81
post Aug 1 2008, 09:58 PM, updated 17y ago

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All sifus there,

Pls write down your wise comment on this stock. biggrin.gif


Added on August 1, 2008, 10:06 pm
QUOTE(darkknight81 @ Aug 1 2008, 10:58 PM)
All sifus there,

Pls write down your wise comment on this stock. biggrin.gif
*
I think this is one of the potential stock and fundamentally good company.
a) Cash rich
Which mean it can venture oversea or inside malaysia or capital repayment to shareholder
b) Dividend yield is good
c) IPP windfall tax doesn't really affect so much as YTL power venture overseas eg (Uk wessex water treatment), Indonesia and australia power plants.


This post has been edited by darkknight81: Aug 1 2008, 10:06 PM
skiddtrader
post Aug 3 2008, 10:37 PM

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QUOTE(darkknight81 @ Aug 1 2008, 09:58 PM)
I think this is one of the potential stock and fundamentally good company.
a) Cash rich
Which mean it can venture oversea or inside malaysia or capital repayment to shareholder
b) Dividend yield is good
c) IPP windfall tax doesn't really affect so much as YTL power venture overseas eg (Uk wessex water treatment), Indonesia and australia power plants.
*
a) Yeap, it is a cash rich company but it is also carrying a very large debt which is still manageble. It really has to start using it's cash for new acquisitions if it wants to create more company growth.

b) Dividend yield is good as well. 8+% if counting share dividends. But do remember to take the new warrants into consideration, as it can strongly dilute EPS if converted.

c) It does not own or operate power plants in Australia, only having the rights to maintain the distribution or power lines. Indonesian power plants and Australian distribution business still much lower than what it earns from power business in Malaysia. Best asset they have is still Wessex Water earning them more than 70% of their profits.

So far still no news whether this company making any new acquisitions, other than some minor expansion into the water business in China which is expected to bloom in next 10 years.

Money sitting in FD earning interest is not in the best interest of the company as inflation will easily erode the value. It has to start seriously looking for another acquisition to grow the company or face slow devaluation of their cash assets. Though I suspect they will start to look for troubled companies when the current downturn peaks. Just like when they snapped up the offer of Wessex Water from Enron during liquidation of assets.



What I like about the company;
Good dividends
Manageble long term debts
Cash is 3x their short term debts
Stable, predictable income and somewhat recession proof.

What I don't like;
Not doing anything with their pile of cash at the moment
Long Term debts not being cleared fast enough
High tax (windfall tax though crossing my fingers it'll get exempted)
High number of warrants in the market
georgechang79
post Aug 3 2008, 10:42 PM

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QUOTE(darkknight81 @ Aug 1 2008, 09:58 PM)
All sifus there,

Pls write down your wise comment on this stock. biggrin.gif


Added on August 1, 2008, 10:06 pm

I think this is one of the potential stock and fundamentally good company.
a) Cash rich
Which mean it can venture oversea or inside malaysia or capital repayment to shareholder
b) Dividend yield is good
c) IPP windfall tax doesn't really affect so much as YTL power venture overseas eg (Uk wessex water treatment), Indonesia and australia power plants.
*
1) Cash Rich = yeah it looks like its loaded.

2) Dividen yield is about 6.7% so it is better than FD

3) Windfall tax = well according to its website, 70% of its profit is now generated in UK, Indonesia and Australia, so it may be true that it is not so effected.

However based on its share trend and its daddy YTL corp, it looks to be going south. I would be interested in this stock if it is below 1.75 so if can wait for better deal, might as well wait.
TSdarkknight81
post Aug 4 2008, 08:15 AM

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QUOTE(georgechang79 @ Aug 3 2008, 11:42 PM)
1) Cash Rich = yeah it looks like its loaded.

2) Dividen yield is about 6.7% so it is better than FD

3) Windfall tax = well according to its website, 70% of its profit is now generated in UK, Indonesia and Australia, so it may be true that it is not so effected.

However based on its share trend and its daddy YTL corp, it looks to be going south. I would be interested in this stock if it is below 1.75 so if can wait for better deal, might as well wait.
*
Yeah !! agree with you wessex power plant contribute about 70% of the group income. Windfall tax at malaysia will have minor issue on the company. biggrin.gif
30% contribute by power asset. But don forget windfall tax only implies for malaysia power plant. YTL power have power plant at australia and indon.

Regarding the errode of EPS. I already calculate for RM 2.40 BEFORE the distribution of warrant B. RM 1.80 already count in the share dilution.

So if price reach RM 1.80 I WILL SAPU drool.gif


Added on August 4, 2008, 8:17 am
QUOTE(skiddtrader @ Aug 3 2008, 11:37 PM)

What I don't like;
Not doing anything with their pile of cash at the moment
Long Term debts not being cleared fast enough
High tax (windfall tax though crossing my fingers it'll get exempted)
High number of warrants in the market
*
Skidtrader,

think of the good side, cash pile can be good if there are better opportunities arises. Or maybe more dividend hmm.gif

This post has been edited by darkknight81: Aug 4 2008, 08:17 AM
cherroy
post Aug 4 2008, 09:41 AM

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For YTLpower, in term of EPS and PER calculated, bare in mind the huge dilution of its large amount of WA and WB. Don't use before dilution figure to justify.


TSdarkknight81
post Aug 4 2008, 12:39 PM

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QUOTE(cherroy @ Aug 4 2008, 10:41 AM)
For YTLpower, in term of EPS and PER calculated, bare in mind the huge dilution of its large amount of WA and WB. Don't use before dilution figure to justify.
*
There are issue of one WB with every 3 owning of YTL power mother share. With EPS of 0.22 sen before issuance of WB. That means EPS is reduce to 0.165. With current price of RM 1.80 PE is around 11. With a lot of cash in hand, ytl can either expand their water business or maybe more dividend. Cash is king laugh.gif


I don think they will simply use their cash for any expensive aquisition hmm.gif


Added on August 4, 2008, 12:48 pm
QUOTE(cherroy @ Aug 4 2008, 10:41 AM)
For YTLpower, in term of EPS and PER calculated, bare in mind the huge dilution of its large amount of WA and WB. Don't use before dilution figure to justify.
*
Cherroy,

If i bought one YTL power mother share and one lot of YTL POWER WB = RM 1.85 + RM 0.55 = RM 2.30.

1. Is still cheaper before the issuance of warrant B = RM 2.70
2. If i not mistaken with 3 mother share you can get one warrant B for RM 0.10

Thats y i think the price is good. But of course by considering the EPS and PE.

This post has been edited by darkknight81: Aug 4 2008, 12:48 PM
Jordy
post Aug 4 2008, 01:04 PM

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QUOTE(darkknight81 @ Aug 4 2008, 12:39 PM)
There are issue of one WB with every 3 owning of YTL power mother share. With EPS of 0.22 sen before issuance of WB. That means EPS is reduce to 0.165. With current price of RM 1.80 PE is around 11. With a lot of cash in hand, ytl can either expand their water business or maybe more dividend. Cash is king  laugh.gif
I don think they will simply use their cash for any expensive aquisition  hmm.gif
*
"With a lot of cash in hand, ytl can either expand their water business or maybe more dividend. Cash is king"

I would prefer not to receive that higher dividend which means higher tax.
Another better alternative is to do regular buybacks. Then it is a good thing for the company smile.gif
keelim
post Aug 4 2008, 01:24 PM

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QUOTE(Jordy @ Aug 4 2008, 01:04 PM)
"With a lot of cash in hand, ytl can either expand their water business or maybe more dividend. Cash is king"

I would prefer not to receive that higher dividend which means higher tax.
Another better alternative is to do regular buybacks. Then it is a good thing for the company smile.gif
*
If you notice, YTL is currently doing heavy shares buyback.
Jordy
post Aug 4 2008, 01:37 PM

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QUOTE(keelim @ Aug 4 2008, 01:24 PM)
If you notice, YTL is currently doing heavy shares buyback.
*
I noticed as well as we could see them buying back 140 million shares last financial year.
Witht he amount of money they have now, they could do share buybacks for 10 years smile.gif
Margin is high at 20% - 30%, ROE although low in the beginning, is beginning to go higher.
The only concern now would be its ROE, which has not been very high throughout the years.
And with the warrants and share dividends, the ROE would be maintained at below 20%.
cherroy
post Aug 4 2008, 03:16 PM

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QUOTE(darkknight81 @ Aug 4 2008, 12:39 PM)
There are issue of one WB with every 3 owning of YTL power mother share. With EPS of 0.22 sen before issuance of WB. That means EPS is reduce to 0.165. With current price of RM 1.80 PE is around 11. With a lot of cash in hand, ytl can either expand their water business or maybe more dividend. Cash is king  laugh.gif
I don think they will simply use their cash for any expensive aquisition  hmm.gif


Added on August 4, 2008, 12:48 pm

Cherroy,

If i bought one YTL power mother share and one lot of YTL POWER WB = RM 1.85 + RM 0.55 = RM 2.30.

1. Is still cheaper before the issuance of warrant B = RM 2.70
2. If i not mistaken with 3 mother share you can get one warrant B for RM 0.10

Thats y i think the price is good. But of course by considering the EPS and PE.
*
I don't track YTLpower closely, but if before issuance of WB, EPS is 0.22 then you need to take into the account of WA as well which numbers roughly 800 millions of WA, so about 16% more dilution (YTL has outstanding share or roughly 1.5 billins if not mistake, so diluted EPS would be around 19 cents.


1. Prior before they annonced the new WB to be issued at 0.10, YTLPower was hovering aroound 2.20-2.40 level. 2.70 was the price that already after people knew they will issue at 0.10 which already drive up the price.


Added on August 4, 2008, 3:26 pm
QUOTE(Jordy @ Aug 4 2008, 01:37 PM)
I noticed as well as we could see them buying back 140 million shares last financial year.
Witht he amount of money they have now, they could do share buybacks for 10 years smile.gif
Margin is high at 20% - 30%, ROE although low in the beginning, is beginning to go higher.
The only concern now would be its ROE, which has not been very high throughout the years.
And with the warrants and share dividends, the ROE would be maintained at below 20%.
*
If the YTLPower share price continue to drop further, then buyback programme might not seen as good while reducing the cashflow of the company.
My personally view, if company not going to use the cash then pay back to the shareholders in term of dividend or capital repayment, if the company need the cash for business operation or expansion then fine, no problem.

I don't like the idea company sitting with huge cash pile, doing nothing. If doing nothing, then better give back to the money to the shareholders. As cash sitting in the company, mostly company will put in money market fund of FD which similar to ours ability that we can do as well.

I had posted before the downside of buyback like financial stocks in US, whereas like Citi annonced buyback at 50-60, now facing credit crisis, need to issue new share to raise capital then it issued to near market price around when is was 30. Those buy back resulted a loss of 40-50% to all the shareholders.
Then those money paid for the buyback is indeedly totally wasted.

This post has been edited by cherroy: Aug 4 2008, 03:26 PM
skiddtrader
post Aug 4 2008, 04:27 PM

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QUOTE(darkknight81 @ Aug 4 2008, 08:15 AM)
Yeah !! agree with you wessex power plant contribute about 70% of the group income. Windfall tax at malaysia will have minor issue on the company.  biggrin.gif
30% contribute by power asset. But don forget windfall tax only implies for malaysia power plant. YTL power have power plant at australia and indon.

*
I repeat again, YTLPOWER does NOT own any power plants in Australia. All they have is a distribution concession. Meaning they maintain powerlines and substations.


Regarding buybacks, YTLPOWER distribute all their share buybacks, back to the shareholders as share dividend. They have done this for the past 3 years and doesn't seem to be stopping.


If you think YTLPOWER will rebound after the Windfall Tax issue is resolve, I recommend buying the warrant instead of the mothershare.


Cheeroy, regarding the warrant dilution effect. I was trying to calculate the effect of the dilution of EPS versus the gain in NTA since the cash received from warrants converted will be a form of cash injection for the company. But since the mother company YTL is the majority holder of at least 60% of the WA warrants including the families of Yeoh, it'll be like transferring from one company to another, isn't it?


Added on August 4, 2008, 4:37 pm
QUOTE(darkknight81 @ Aug 4 2008, 12:39 PM)
There are issue of one WB with every 3 owning of YTL power mother share. With EPS of 0.22 sen before issuance of WB. That means EPS is reduce to 0.165. With current price of RM 1.80 PE is around 11. With a lot of cash in hand, ytl can either expand their water business or maybe more dividend. Cash is king  laugh.gif
I don think they will simply use their cash for any expensive aquisition  hmm.gif


Added on August 4, 2008, 12:48 pm

Cherroy,

If i bought one YTL power mother share and one lot of YTL POWER WB = RM 1.85 + RM 0.55 = RM 2.30.

1. Is still cheaper before the issuance of warrant B = RM 2.70
2. If i not mistaken with 3 mother share you can get one warrant B for RM 0.10

Thats y i think the price is good. But of course by considering the EPS and PE.
*
Darknight, YTLPOWER's reasoning for such massive warrant issue is not just to pile up cash for fun. They have repeatedly said they are hoarding cash in good times to buy companies in bad times. So an acquisition is expected nowadays because of the recent downturn. Sitting on a pile of cash while earning peanuts from FD is the worst thing a company can do. I only hope and pray they catch another Wessex Water but doubtful anything like that will ever surface again unless there is forced liquidation of American/European companies.

They will use up most of their cash reserve for an acquisition to minimize their loans hence interests accrued. Expectedly another bond issue might occur as well. Don't forget how much YTLPOWER paid for Wessex Water, buying profitable companies is not cheap especially utility assets which has huge debts.

Regarding the share price prior to the WB issuance, it was holding steady around RM2.40. It spiked to RM2.70 when the WB price was announced so that should not be taken into account because it already factored in the WB.


This post has been edited by skiddtrader: Aug 4 2008, 04:37 PM
TSdarkknight81
post Aug 4 2008, 06:48 PM

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QUOTE(Jordy @ Aug 4 2008, 02:04 PM)
"With a lot of cash in hand, ytl can either expand their water business or maybe more dividend. Cash is king"

I would prefer not to receive that higher dividend which means higher tax.
Another better alternative is to do regular buybacks. Then it is a good thing for the company smile.gif
*
Yap, after buy back there are few alternatives.

1. share cancellation (less share in the market which means higher EPS)
2. Share bonus issuance


Added on August 4, 2008, 6:57 pm[quote=skiddtrader,Aug 4 2008, 05:27 PM]
I repeat again, YTLPOWER does NOT own any power plants in Australia. All they have is a distribution concession. Meaning they maintain powerlines and substations.
Regarding buybacks, YTLPOWER distribute all their share buybacks, back to the shareholders as share dividend. They have done this for the past 3 years and doesn't seem to be stopping.
If you think YTLPOWER will rebound after the Windfall Tax issue is resolve, I recommend buying the warrant instead of the mothershare.
Cheeroy, regarding the warrant dilution effect. I was trying to calculate the effect of the dilution of EPS versus the gain in NTA since the cash received from warrants converted will be a form of cash injection for the company. But since the mother company YTL is the majority holder of at least 60% of the WA warrants including the families of Yeoh, it'll be like transferring from one company to another, isn't it?

Ok biggrin.gif Yup i am accumulating both mother share (for dividend, or maybe capital repayment (but very low posibility though)
at the same time i also bought Warrant B.

currently i have 30 lots of mother share biggrin.gif
but the warrant have smaller quantity only 10 lots as i am worry (if capital repayment happen on ytlpower then ytl power WB will be no value.Agree?)
One more thing i wonder if i got to convert my warrant to mother share (if warrant did not go up - the worst case i mean then i got to convert to mother share) . When can i convert the warratn to mother share? Is it anytime?


Added on August 4, 2008, 7:04 pm[quote=skiddtrader,Aug 4 2008, 05:27 PM]
I repeat again, YTLPOWER does NOT own any power plants in Australia. All they have is a distribution concession. Meaning they maintain powerlines and substations.
Regarding buybacks, YTLPOWER distribute all their share buybacks, back to the shareholders as share dividend. They have done this for the past 3 years and doesn't seem to be stopping.
If you think YTLPOWER will rebound after the Windfall Tax issue is resolve, I recommend buying the warrant instead of the mothershare.
Cheeroy, regarding the warrant dilution effect. I was trying to calculate the effect of the dilution of EPS versus the gain in NTA since the cash received from warrants converted will be a form of cash injection for the company. But since the mother company YTL is the majority holder of at least 60% of the WA warrants including the families of Yeoh, it'll be like transferring from one company to another, isn't it?


Added on August 4, 2008, 4:37 pm

Ok biggrin.gif Yup i am accumulating both mother share (for dividend, or maybe capital repayment (but very low posibility though as like what you mentioned they want to expand their water business)
at the same time i also bought Warrant B.

currently i have 30 lots of mother share
but the warrant have smaller quantity only 10 lots as i am worry (if capital repayment happen on ytlpower then ytl power WB will be no value.Agree?)
One more thing i wonder if i got to convert my warrant to mother share (if warrant did not go up - the worst case i mean then i got to convert to mother share) . When can i convert the warratn to mother share? Is it anytime? hmm.gif




This post has been edited by darkknight81: Aug 4 2008, 07:04 PM
Jordy
post Aug 4 2008, 07:36 PM

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[quote=darkknight81,Aug 4 2008, 06:48 PM]
Yap, after buy back there are few alternatives.

1. share cancellation (less share in the market which means higher EPS)
2. Share bonus issuance


Added on August 4, 2008, 6:57 pm[quote=skiddtrader,Aug 4 2008, 05:27 PM]
I repeat again, YTLPOWER does NOT own any power plants in Australia. All they have is a distribution concession. Meaning they maintain powerlines and substations.
Regarding buybacks, YTLPOWER distribute all their share buybacks, back to the shareholders as share dividend. They have done this for the past 3 years and doesn't seem to be stopping.
If you think YTLPOWER will rebound after the Windfall Tax issue is resolve, I recommend buying the warrant instead of the mothershare.
Cheeroy, regarding the warrant dilution effect. I was trying to calculate the effect of the dilution of EPS versus the gain in NTA since the cash received from warrants converted will be a form of cash injection for the company. But since the mother company YTL is the majority holder of at least 60% of the WA warrants including the families of Yeoh, it'll be like transferring from one company to another, isn't it?

Ok biggrin.gif Yup i am accumulating both mother share (for dividend, or maybe capital repayment (but very low posibility though)
at the same time i also bought Warrant B.

currently i have 30 lots of mother share biggrin.gif
but the warrant have smaller quantity only 10 lots as i am worry (if capital repayment happen on ytlpower then ytl power WB will be no value.Agree?)
One more thing i wonder if i got to convert my warrant to mother share (if warrant did not go up - the worst case i mean then i got to convert to mother share) . When can i convert the warratn to mother share? Is it anytime?


Added on August 4, 2008, 7:04 pm[quote=skiddtrader,Aug 4 2008, 05:27 PM]
I repeat again, YTLPOWER does NOT own any power plants in Australia. All they have is a distribution concession. Meaning they maintain powerlines and substations.
Regarding buybacks, YTLPOWER distribute all their share buybacks, back to the shareholders as share dividend. They have done this for the past 3 years and doesn't seem to be stopping.
If you think YTLPOWER will rebound after the Windfall Tax issue is resolve, I recommend buying the warrant instead of the mothershare.
Cheeroy, regarding the warrant dilution effect. I was trying to calculate the effect of the dilution of EPS versus the gain in NTA since the cash received from warrants converted will be a form of cash injection for the company. But since the mother company YTL is the majority holder of at least 60% of the WA warrants including the families of Yeoh, it'll be like transferring from one company to another, isn't it?


Added on August 4, 2008, 4:37 pm

Ok biggrin.gif Yup i am accumulating both mother share (for dividend, or maybe capital repayment (but very low posibility though as like what you mentioned they want to expand their water business)
at the same time i also bought Warrant B.

currently i have 30 lots of mother share
but the warrant have smaller quantity only 10 lots as i am worry (if capital repayment happen on ytlpower then ytl power WB will be no value.Agree?)
One more thing i wonder if i got to convert my warrant to mother share (if warrant did not go up - the worst case i mean then i got to convert to mother share) . When can i convert the warratn to mother share? Is it anytime? hmm.gif
*

[/quote]

Exercising of warrants is anytime.
TSdarkknight81
post Aug 4 2008, 08:41 PM

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QUOTE(Jordy @ Aug 4 2008, 08:36 PM)
Exercising of warrants is anytime.
*
Thanks Jordy Sifu notworthy.gif
Then i think it is ok to buy more Warrant B then hmm.gif
Jordy
post Aug 4 2008, 09:30 PM

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QUOTE(darkknight81 @ Aug 4 2008, 08:41 PM)
Thanks Jordy Sifu  notworthy.gif
Then i think it is ok to buy more Warrant B then  hmm.gif
*
Currently there is a 3 sen discount on the WB, so if you can get it at this price and the price of YTLPOWR rise anymore, then you can exercise for a bigger discount.
TSdarkknight81
post Aug 4 2008, 09:53 PM

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QUOTE(Jordy @ Aug 4 2008, 10:30 PM)
Currently there is a 3 sen discount on the WB, so if you can get it at this price and the price of YTLPOWR rise anymore, then you can exercise for a bigger discount.
*
I think we can agree that YTL power have strong management. So my strategy for this stock is the mother share keep for long term (for dividend and also price appreciation) . Whereas WB will be good for trading. My view is you can get 100% return for WB once the market rebound. hmm.gif
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post Aug 5 2008, 01:23 AM

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QUOTE(darkknight81 @ Aug 4 2008, 09:53 PM)
I think we can agree that YTL power have strong management. So my strategy for this stock is the mother share keep for long term (for dividend and also price appreciation) . Whereas WB will be good for trading. My view is you can get 100% return for WB once the market rebound.  hmm.gif
*
"My view is you can get 100% return for WB once the market rebound"

I am not so into warrants trading, but your view seems a little doubtful. Yes you might be able to get that return, but for that to happen, YTLPOWR's price "should" increase by RM0.57 as well, based on a 1:1 ratio. Though I am not sure about the delta of YTLPOWR-WB over YTLPOWR, I cannot really comment on its return. But theoretically, if both made a jump of RM0.57, then the ROI on its WB would be greater.
skiddtrader
post Aug 5 2008, 10:46 AM

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QUOTE(Jordy @ Aug 5 2008, 01:23 AM)
"My view is you can get 100% return for WB once the market rebound"

I am not so into warrants trading, but your view seems a little doubtful. Yes you might be able to get that return, but for that to happen, YTLPOWR's price "should" increase by RM0.57 as well, based on a 1:1 ratio. Though I am not sure about the delta of YTLPOWR-WB over YTLPOWR, I cannot really comment on its return. But theoretically, if both made a jump of RM0.57, then the ROI on its WB would be greater.
*
WB will follow the mothershare sen to sen. Since there is no conversion ratio and the conversion price is fixed at RM1.25. So definitely buy the WB if you are aiming for capital gains as the ROI is much better. Mothershare buy for dividends since WB no dividends. So if you buy both, you can offset your loss in WB due to dividend payout by the dividend received in mothershare. WB lasts for 10 years, so no worries on expiry.

I don't think they are going to do any capital repayment, it would be quite controversial if they did that.

cherroy
post Aug 5 2008, 11:23 AM

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QUOTE(Jordy @ Aug 4 2008, 09:30 PM)
Currently there is a 3 sen discount on the WB, so if you can get it at this price and the price of YTLPOWR rise anymore, then you can exercise for a bigger discount.
*
For those stock giving high dividend, generally the 'sons' will be discount a bit because of potential reduction in share price due to dividend.


Added on August 5, 2008, 11:26 am
QUOTE(skiddtrader @ Aug 5 2008, 10:46 AM)
I don't think they are going to do any capital repayment, it would be quite controversial if they did that.
*
Highly unlikely. Although, YTLPower is a cash rich company, it carries significant of long term debt as well. It is not a totally net cash position to give capital repayment.

This post has been edited by cherroy: Aug 5 2008, 11:26 AM
Jordy
post Aug 5 2008, 05:32 PM

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QUOTE(cherroy @ Aug 5 2008, 11:23 AM)
For those stock giving high dividend, generally the 'sons' will be discount a bit because of potential reduction in share price due to dividend.
*
Oh, thanks for the top cherroy smile.gif
But, it is still a good opportunity for one to buy its discounted warrants to exercise to mother share?
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post Aug 5 2008, 06:35 PM

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Thanks for all the comments made by all the Expert notworthy.gif
So in conclusion, don wait anymore. start to accumulate YTL power and YTLpower -WB now !!! biggrin.gif as it will compensate each other.
cherroy
post Aug 5 2008, 08:53 PM

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QUOTE(Jordy @ Aug 5 2008, 05:32 PM)
Oh, thanks for the top cherroy smile.gif
But, it is still a good opportunity for one to buy its discounted warrants to exercise to mother share?
*
Warrants has one advatange ie. gearing. If the warrant is discouting more than 3-5%, then it is a very useful tools for those cash strapped and less capital investors/traders as you can free up the cash while still enjoying the upside potential of the stock as same as those holding mothershare one.

But if company give capital repayment of special huge dividend then it would be disaster to the warrant holders.

It is a trade off.

Warrant can be a powerful and tool to use in certain situation especially those good company warrant.

But sadly to say, most good and strong company don't issue warrant as they already are financial sound and cash rich, don't need to issue warrant as a way to raise capital instead they are making capital repayment. tongue.gif Haha.

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post Aug 5 2008, 09:05 PM

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QUOTE(cherroy @ Aug 5 2008, 09:53 PM)
Warrants has one advatange ie. gearing. If the warrant is discouting more than 3-5%, then it is a very useful tools for those cash strapped and less capital investors/traders as you can free up the cash while still enjoying the upside potential of the stock as same as those holding mothershare one.

But if company give capital repayment of special huge dividend then it would be disaster to the warrant holders.

It is a trade off.

Warrant can be a powerful and tool to use in certain situation especially those good company warrant.

But sadly to say, most good and strong company don't issue warrant as they already are financial sound and cash rich, don't need to issue warrant as a way to raise capital instead they are making capital repayment.  tongue.gif Haha.
*
That is one of the issue i concern most before i bought in WB as i worry of capital repayment. But seeing that they are going to expand their power plants and water asset business it seems very unlikely for capital repayment.

Doesn't mean only strong company will give capital repayment right?. If that "strong company" is very aggresive in terms of expanding their business then i don think
they will have capital repayment. My view is for business which need constant growth and high business model capital repayment is not applicable. I can say YTL-power is in this category.

Stock like Amway, digi , bat ... have a high possibility of capital repayment especially Amway which doesn't need high business model.


Added on August 5, 2008, 9:13 pm
QUOTE(Jordy @ Aug 4 2008, 02:04 PM)
"With a lot of cash in hand, ytl can either expand their water business or maybe more dividend. Cash is king"

I would prefer not to receive that higher dividend which means higher tax.
Another better alternative is to do regular buybacks. Then it is a good thing for the company smile.gif
*
Jordy,

I think Ytl power buy back the share then will distribute the share back to share holder. It is much more better then dividend (which you have mentioned "higher tax")
By doing so, % holding of the shareholder will increase which means increase in EPS. Kill two birds with one stone. Is a wise decision. Thats y i love YTL power so much.
laugh.gif I can stop trading for at least 5 to 10 years. tongue.gif

This post has been edited by darkknight81: Aug 5 2008, 09:13 PM
Jordy
post Aug 5 2008, 09:27 PM

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QUOTE(darkknight81 @ Aug 5 2008, 09:05 PM)
Jordy,

I think Ytl power buy back the share then will distribute the share back to share holder. It is much more better then dividend (which you have mentioned "higher tax")
By doing so, % holding of the shareholder will increase which means increase in EPS. Kill two birds with one stone. Is a wise decision. Thats y i love YTL power so much.
laugh.gif I can stop trading for at least 5 to 10 years.  tongue.gif
*
Mind you, if the shareholders fund "increases", the EPS would "decrease". I think you got the wrong idea there smile.gif
TSdarkknight81
post Aug 5 2008, 09:49 PM

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QUOTE(Jordy @ Aug 5 2008, 10:27 PM)
Mind you, if the shareholders fund "increases", the EPS would "decrease". I think you got the wrong idea there smile.gif
*
YTL power bought back the share. IF i am not wrong now the treasuries of share is 0.17 bil shares.
Thereare two options i think.

i) Distribute back to the shareholder (Which means the % of shareholding is more) Agree?

ii) Cancellation of the shares (Less share which means higher EPS)


Added on August 5, 2008, 9:57 pm
QUOTE(darkknight81 @ Aug 5 2008, 10:49 PM)
YTL power bought back the share. IF i am not wrong now the treasuries of share is 0.17 bil shares.
Thereare two options i think.

i) Distribute back to the shareholder (Which means the % of shareholding is more) Agree?

ii) Cancellation of the shares (Less share which means higher EPS)
*
Lets take this scenario A and B

Scenario A

Total shares = 100

Shareholder A = 20 shares (20%)

Shareholder B = 20 shares

Shareholders C = 60 shares (20%)


Lets say B sold off all his shares and ytl power bought back and distribute to shareholders

Shareholder A will increase his stakes to become (5 + 20) shares = 25%

Shareholder C with 20% share holding will get (15+ 60) shares = 75%


Added on August 5, 2008, 10:01 pmScenario B
will be cancelation of the share bought back.

Share holder A = 20 shares (20%)
Share holder B = 20 shares (20%)
Share holder C = 60 shares (60%)

Shareholder B sold off his shares 20% stake.
LETS say ytl power bought back the share and cancel it. Which means thereare 80 shares left in the market. Then directly increase the EPS of the shares.

This post has been edited by darkknight81: Aug 5 2008, 10:01 PM
skiddtrader
post Aug 6 2008, 12:48 AM

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QUOTE(darkknight81 @ Aug 5 2008, 09:49 PM)
YTL power bought back the share. IF i am not wrong now the treasuries of share is 0.17 bil shares.
Thereare two options i think.

i) Distribute back to the shareholder (Which means the % of shareholding is more) Agree?

ii) Cancellation of the shares (Less share which means higher EPS)


Added on August 5, 2008, 9:57 pm

Lets take this scenario A and B

Scenario A

Total shares = 100

Shareholder A = 20 shares (20%)

Shareholder B = 20 shares

Shareholders C = 60 shares (20%)
Lets say B sold off all his shares and ytl power bought back and distribute to shareholders

Shareholder A will increase his stakes to become (5 + 20) shares = 25%

Shareholder C with 20% share holding will get (15+ 60) shares = 75%


Added on August 5, 2008, 10:01 pmScenario B
will be cancelation of the share bought back.

Share holder A = 20 shares (20%)
Share holder B = 20 shares (20%)
Share holder C = 60 shares (60%)

Shareholder B sold off his shares 20% stake.
LETS say ytl power bought back the share and cancel it. Which means thereare 80 shares left in the market. Then directly increase the EPS of the shares.
*
I think the way you wrote it sounded as though you thought that distributing back as dividend increases the EPS as well. But since you've already clarified the increase as EPS as a different scenario then you are right.

FYI past share dividends are 1 share for every 25 shares held. So it's a 4% tax free dividend.
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post Aug 6 2008, 01:24 AM

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QUOTE(darkknight81 @ Aug 5 2008, 09:49 PM)
YTL power bought back the share. IF i am not wrong now the treasuries of share is 0.17 bil shares.
Thereare two options i think.

i) Distribute back to the shareholder (Which means the % of shareholding is more) Agree?

ii) Cancellation of the shares (Less share which means higher EPS)


Added on August 5, 2008, 9:57 pm

Lets take this scenario A and B

Scenario A

Total shares = 100

Shareholder A = 20 shares (20%)

Shareholder B = 20 shares

Shareholders C = 60 shares (20%)
Lets say B sold off all his shares and ytl power bought back and distribute to shareholders

Shareholder A will increase his stakes to become (5 + 20) shares = 25%

Shareholder C with 20% share holding will get (15+ 60) shares = 75%


Added on August 5, 2008, 10:01 pmScenario B
will be cancelation of the share bought back.

Share holder A = 20 shares (20%)
Share holder B = 20 shares (20%)
Share holder C = 60 shares (60%)

Shareholder B sold off his shares 20% stake.
LETS say ytl power bought back the share and cancel it. Which means thereare 80 shares left in the market. Then directly increase the EPS of the shares.
*
Your scenarios shown are true. But what I was talking about is the "total shareholders fund", which looks like this:

Total shares: 100
Total earnings: RM100
EPS: RM1

Shareholder A: 20
Shareholder B: 20
Shareholder C: 60

So shareholder B sells his shares, company buys back:

Total shares: 80 (Treasury: 20)
Total earnings: RM100
EPS: RM1.25

Shareholder A: 20
Shareholder C: 60

So as a conclusion, in the first scenario, the company can pay less dividend compared to the second scenario, where the company's EPS increased by RM0.25.

What I am trying to say is, you statement "% holding of the shareholder will increase which means increase in EPS" is wrong. In fact, the correct statement should be ""% holding of the shareholder will increase which means increase in DPS" smile.gif

This post has been edited by Jordy: Aug 6 2008, 01:28 AM
cherroy
post Aug 6 2008, 10:04 AM

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QUOTE(darkknight81 @ Aug 5 2008, 09:05 PM)
I think Ytl power buy back the share then will distribute the share back to share holder. It is much more better then dividend (which you have mentioned "higher tax")

By doing so, % holding of the shareholder will increase which means increase in EPS. Kill two birds with one stone. Is a wise decision. Thats y i love YTL power so much.
*
Not necessary better. It depends.
If those buy back at high price then it doesn't better than giving out dividend.

Eg. If a Company take out Rm2.60 to buy back, but share price plunge to RM1.70, after that distributed to the shareholders as share dividend, then in this scenario it is much better if company initially decide to give back the RM2.60 in cash dividend. Then we can keep the Rm2.60 and buy now at Rm1.80. Which is much much better. Buy back at high price is not good at all and benefit for the shareholders.

Those tax on special dividend can be claimed back by personal depended on your tax bracket under the old imputation system.
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post Aug 6 2008, 03:39 PM

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QUOTE(cherroy @ Aug 6 2008, 11:04 AM)
Not necessary better. It depends.
If those buy back at high price then it doesn't better than giving out dividend.

Eg. If a Company take out Rm2.60 to buy back, but share price plunge to RM1.70, after that distributed to the shareholders as share dividend, then in this scenario it is much better if company initially decide to give back the RM2.60 in cash dividend. Then we can keep the Rm2.60 and buy now at Rm1.80. Which is much much better. Buy back at high price is not good at all and benefit for the shareholders.

Those tax on special dividend can be claimed back by personal depended on your tax bracket under the old imputation system.
*
Yup. But i think YTL power didn't buy back at high price the range is between RM 1.77 - RM 1.80. One of the company which bought back the share at high price is top glove. It has good business and fundamentally sound but their move in bought back the share in high price is one of the concern of the shareholder now.
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post Aug 6 2008, 04:19 PM

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QUOTE(darkknight81 @ Aug 6 2008, 03:39 PM)
Yup. But i think YTL power didn't buy back at high price the range is between RM 1.77 - RM 1.80. One of the company which bought back the share at high price is top glove. It has good business and fundamentally sound but their move in bought back the share in high price is one of the concern of the shareholder now.
*
That's a wrong assumption. YTLPOWER did in fact bought back shares even when the price spiked after the WB pricing was announced. They bought about 6.5 million shares after the price was pushed up.

Because the company buy the shares on a staggered basis throughout the year, it will more or less average itself out by the end of it. No one and not even this company knows the future and can predict a bottom.

But 6.5 million shares out of the 170 million bought so far since last year is considered small and they still have about 4 months of buying left to accumulate enough for share dividend.

This post has been edited by skiddtrader: Aug 6 2008, 04:21 PM
cherroy
post Aug 6 2008, 04:29 PM

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QUOTE(darkknight81 @ Aug 6 2008, 03:39 PM)
Yup. But i think YTL power didn't buy back at high price the range is between RM 1.77 - RM 1.80. One of the company which bought back the share at high price is top glove. It has good business and fundamentally sound but their move in bought back the share in high price is one of the concern of the shareholder now.
*
It has been buying back since back 2 years ago, not just currently.

A lot of company in KLSE did buyback quite high though generally in last 1-2 years time, because of bull run across in this period of time. Edited, even in US!

Anyway, I still prefer they distributed the cash available to the shareholders which is more realistic and straigh forward. If not use the cash to repay borrowing or expand the business further.
Just my personal preference and opinion.

This post has been edited by cherroy: Aug 6 2008, 05:01 PM
TSdarkknight81
post Aug 6 2008, 08:50 PM

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Yap. It is base on personal preference like what you said. For you, you may prefer dividend. For me of course dividend is good but i think that buy creating net worth of the share (bonus issue through share buy back ) is good also as it can avoid tax . But actually can claim back also when you declare your income tax as i did before. But for me it is one of the gem in KLSE. May i know anyone here is YTLPOWER fans? biggrin.gif beside me

This is the latest news of YTL power regarding their bids for senoko power plant.


http://www.dnaindia.com/report.asp?newsid=1181799


Added on August 7, 2008, 1:03 pmWith an electricity generating capacity of 3,300 megawatts, Senoko is larger than the 2,670MW Tuas Power that was sold to China's Huaneng Group for S$4.2 billion (RM10 billion) in March.

3,300 Megawatts is almost 3 times the capicity of YTL power generation in malaysia.


In the financial year ended March 31 2008, Senoko had revenue of RM6 billion and earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation of S$245 million RM586 million.

Market participants have estimated that the sale of Senoko, which generates about 30 per cent of Singapore's electricity, could fetch around US$3 billion and that the winning bidder could need debt financing of up to US$2 billion (RM6.5 billion)-equivalent to back its offer.

Pricing is expected to be from 100 basis points to 150 basis points, and will ultimately depend on Senoko's debt multiples and enterprise value as well as the sponsor's financial strength.


The financing's structure is expected to include a bridging loan followed by a non-recourse takeout facility - similar to Huaneng Power International's facility to back its S$4.2 billion acquisition of the Tuas Power Ltd genco, the first of Temasek's power divestments, earlier this year.


Huaneng in March got a S$2.25 billion (RM5.4 billion) 18-month bridge arranged by BNP, Calyon, DBS, Fortis, OCBC and SMBC via Sinosing Power Pte Ltd.


Added on August 11, 2008, 12:58 pmAny one got updates regarding the Singapore Senoko plant latest bidding results? I personally think TATA power will get the bid.

This post has been edited by darkknight81: Aug 11 2008, 12:58 PM
skiddtrader
post Aug 12 2008, 05:45 PM

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Hard to say. What makes you say TATA will get it and not Mitsubishi or even YTLPOWER?
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post Aug 12 2008, 10:03 PM

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QUOTE(skiddtrader @ Aug 12 2008, 06:45 PM)
Hard to say. What makes you say TATA will get it and not Mitsubishi or even YTLPOWER?
*
Just my six sense biggrin.gif


Added on August 12, 2008, 10:04 pm
QUOTE(skiddtrader @ Aug 12 2008, 06:45 PM)
Hard to say. What makes you say TATA will get it and not Mitsubishi or even YTLPOWER?
*
Six sense icon_rolleyes.gif


Added on August 15, 2008, 8:18 amhttp://www.investlah.com/forum/index.php?action=printpage;topic=1978.0

How do you all look at this? Possible? Pls comment


Added on August 15, 2008, 8:19 amhttp://www.investlah.com/forum/index.php?action=printpage;topic=1978.0

Pls comment.

This post has been edited by darkknight81: Aug 15 2008, 08:19 AM
skiddtrader
post Aug 16 2008, 02:20 PM

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As I've commented on the Stock Market thread. YTLPOWER will not be privatised.

Reason being, although YTLPOWER is a steady income earner, it would be more profitable if it stays public company because it can raise capital much more easier. And raising capital from new shares issue is much more cheaper than taking a loan from a bank.

As long as it can still raise capital, it can always expand.


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post Aug 16 2008, 08:48 PM

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QUOTE(skiddtrader @ Aug 16 2008, 03:20 PM)
As I've commented on the Stock Market thread. YTLPOWER will not be privatised.

Reason being, although YTLPOWER is a steady income earner, it would be more profitable if it stays public company because it can raise capital much more easier. And raising capital from new shares issue is much more cheaper than taking a loan from a bank.

As long as it can still raise capital, it can always expand.
*
Yup agree with you. Thats is the main reason behind y they want to be listed becos they need to raise capital. But some of the company once they don need to expand anymore they will privatize as they don wan to share the profit. Few example here that are going to privatize:

KFC
MAXIS
GCE
Astro
....

Thats y big fish always win in the end. They will neglect the minor shareholder once they don need them anymore. HOW pitiful doh.gif


Added on August 16, 2008, 8:48 pm
QUOTE(skiddtrader @ Aug 16 2008, 03:20 PM)
As I've commented on the Stock Market thread. YTLPOWER will not be privatised.

Reason being, although YTLPOWER is a steady income earner, it would be more profitable if it stays public company because it can raise capital much more easier. And raising capital from new shares issue is much more cheaper than taking a loan from a bank.

As long as it can still raise capital, it can always expand.
*
Yup agree with you. Thats is the main reason behind y they want to be listed becos they need to raise capital. But some of the company once they don need to expand anymore they will privatize as they don wan to share the profit. Few example here that are going to privatize:

KFC
MAXIS
GCE
Astro
....

Thats y big fish always win in the end. They will neglect the minor shareholder once they don need them anymore. HOW pitiful doh.gif

This post has been edited by darkknight81: Aug 16 2008, 08:48 PM
cherroy
post Aug 17 2008, 06:44 PM

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QUOTE(darkknight81 @ Aug 16 2008, 08:48 PM)
Yup agree with you. Thats is the main reason behind y they want to be listed becos they need to raise capital. But some of the company once they don need to expand anymore they will privatize as they don wan to share the profit. Few example here that are going to privatize:
*
Another point of privatisation is to take advantage of the constant cashflow of the privatised company (if the company is cash rich).

If one company is cash rich, but even as major shareholders, they can't move the cash easily in those public company (for whatever purposes, inter-company etc). But once it is a private company, then yes, one can utilise the cash of it much easily without violating any law.
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post Aug 17 2008, 07:18 PM

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I think this stock will not climb is near term. Maybe got to wait for years . Should not enter so much that day sweat.gif
skiddtrader
post Aug 18 2008, 01:57 AM

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QUOTE(darkknight81 @ Aug 17 2008, 07:18 PM)
I think this stock will not climb is near term. Maybe got to wait for years . Should not enter so much that day  sweat.gif
*
YTLPOWER is supposed to be a dividend stock. It does not go up and down so much unless something happen lke the windfall tax on IPP.

You can slowly accumulate also no harm if your goal is for long term investment. But if you are hoping for a sudden uptrend, I highly doubt it will happen this year unless they can be exempted from the windfall tax or win the bid for Senoko Power.

But if you think the price will jump in near future, it's better to buy the WB warrants instead.

This post has been edited by skiddtrader: Aug 18 2008, 02:04 AM
TSdarkknight81
post Aug 18 2008, 05:04 PM

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QUOTE(skiddtrader @ Aug 18 2008, 02:57 AM)
YTLPOWER is supposed to be a dividend stock. It does not go up and down so much unless something happen lke the windfall tax on IPP.

You can slowly accumulate also no harm if your goal is for long term investment. But if you are hoping for a sudden uptrend, I highly doubt it will happen this year unless they can be exempted from the windfall tax or win the bid for Senoko Power.

*
I don like slowly accumulate, as i prefer a bit timing (when i see the price is right then buy it one go) to save the service charge. If you buy one lot of YTLPOWER the service charge is about RM 40++ PER lot. Where as if you buy more, i calculated which is less than RM 20. brows.gif

If i not mistaken the minimum charges is RM 40++ per single transaction day.
cherroy
post Aug 18 2008, 08:59 PM

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QUOTE(darkknight81 @ Aug 18 2008, 05:04 PM)
I don like slowly accumulate, as i prefer a bit timing (when i see the price is right then buy it one go) to save the service charge. If you buy one lot of YTLPOWER the service charge is about RM 40++ PER lot. Where as if you buy more, i calculated which is less than RM 20.  brows.gif

If i not mistaken the minimum charges is RM 40++ per single transaction day.
*
Online trade mostly min is Rm28. Phone up remisier is Rm40.

Slowly accumulate for some might be mean 30-50 lots per transaction. (x100) icon_rolleyes.gif
So buy 50 lots or 100 lots, commission rate still the same.

This post has been edited by cherroy: Aug 18 2008, 08:59 PM
TSdarkknight81
post Aug 18 2008, 09:02 PM

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QUOTE(cherroy @ Aug 18 2008, 09:59 PM)
Online trade mostly min is Rm28. Phone up remisier is Rm40.

Slowly accumulate for some might be mean 30-50 lots per transaction. (x100)  icon_rolleyes.gif
So buy 50 lots or 100 lots, commission rate still the same.
*
LIKE what i mentioned before, i use my online trading account to look at stock price only. I personally still prefer callling up remisier let him key in. I don really have confidence on online trading in case typing the wrong figure. biggrin.gif

I invested about 80 k in YTL power and WB in one day tongue.gif . No more money to enter already sweat.gif

This post has been edited by darkknight81: Aug 18 2008, 09:04 PM
dragony
post Aug 19 2008, 07:56 AM

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QUOTE(darkknight81 @ Aug 18 2008, 09:02 PM)
LIKE what i mentioned before, i use my online trading account to look at stock price only. I personally still prefer callling up remisier let him key in. I don really have confidence on online trading in case typing the wrong figure.  biggrin.gif

I invested about 80 k in YTL power and WB in one day  tongue.gif . No more money to enter already  sweat.gif
*
lol....just key carefully is enuf. no need to pay extra to remisier.
for me i trade online...then call remisier just asking for information. tongue.gif
PleaseEnterYourName
post Aug 19 2008, 10:23 AM

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sry to jump in hehe, but i'm abit confuse...

i wanted to start some online trading and about that commission rate, how many lot min that will make what we buy is a good value for a small time trader and for starter?


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post Aug 19 2008, 01:01 PM

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QUOTE(PleaseEnterYourName @ Aug 19 2008, 11:23 AM)
sry to jump in hehe, but i'm abit confuse...

i wanted to start some online trading and about that commission rate, how many lot min that will make what we buy is a good value for a small time trader and for starter?
*
Charges Per transaction (one day)

Minimum Rm 40 / 0.7%

Scenario One

So lets say You invest 1000 in one day.

(0.7 x 1000)/100 = Rm 7 .. Instead of being charge RM 7.00 you are being charged RM 40.00

Scenario Two

You invested 5000 in one day

(0.7 x 5000)/100 = RM 35 Since minimum charges is RM 40.00 you still have to pay RM 40.00

So it is aviseable to invest More than RM 5000 at one time to save the brokerage fee.

malaysia3g
post Aug 19 2008, 05:23 PM

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QUOTE(cherroy @ Aug 18 2008, 08:59 PM)
Online trade mostly min is Rm28. Phone up remisier is Rm40.

Slowly accumulate for some might be mean 30-50 lots per transaction. (x100)  icon_rolleyes.gif
So buy 50 lots or 100 lots, commission rate still the same.
*
PB Bank, HLeBank offer online trade rm12 .... brows.gif brows.gif brows.gif
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post Aug 19 2008, 07:49 PM

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YTLPOWER DISTRIBUTE TREASURY SHARES.


Distribution of One (1) treasury share for every Forty (40) existing ordinary shares of RM0.50 each held in the Company ("Share Dividend")


Ok this although a good thing seem to come a bit early as usually past few years the distribution is in December and normally 1:25 or 4%.

The 1:40 distribution means only 2.5% dividend.

Ex-date is 09/09/2008.

Edit: After reading the quarterly report another additional cash dividend of 7.5% is recommended for approval by shareholders for year ending 30th June 2008. Cash equivalent of RM0.0375 per share or at current markets 2.2% cash dividend. rclxms.gif

So total is about 4.7% including share and cash dividend at current market prices.

This post has been edited by skiddtrader: Aug 19 2008, 08:05 PM
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post Aug 19 2008, 08:27 PM

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QUOTE(skiddtrader @ Aug 19 2008, 08:49 PM)
YTLPOWER DISTRIBUTE TREASURY SHARES.
Distribution of One (1) treasury share for every Forty (40) existing ordinary shares of RM0.50 each held in the Company ("Share Dividend")
Ok this although a good thing seem to come a bit early as usually past few years the distribution is in December and normally 1:25 or 4%.

The 1:40 distribution means only 2.5% dividend.

Ex-date is 09/09/2008.

Edit: After reading the quarterly report another additional cash dividend of 7.5% is recommended for approval by shareholders for year ending 30th June 2008. Cash equivalent of RM0.0375 per share or at current markets 2.2% cash dividend.  rclxms.gif

So total is about 4.7% including share and cash dividend at current market prices.
*
I got 35 Mother shares (350 x 100 lots) then i can only get (35/40) = 0.875 share? IF I WANT to get 1 share tat means i got to convert 5 more shares from my WB RIGHT?
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post Aug 19 2008, 08:45 PM

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QUOTE(darkknight81 @ Aug 19 2008, 08:27 PM)
I got 35 Mother shares (350 x 100 lots) then i can only get (35/40) = 0.875 share? IF I WANT to get 1 share tat means i got to convert 5 more shares from my WB RIGHT?
*
huh? I don't get how you can have 35 mother shares when you say you have 350 x 100, that would be 35000 mother shares right?

Just take the total shares you have divide it by 40 and you will get the sum of shares which will be distributed to you. If you want to make it so you get a round number, you can either buy more mother shares or convert the warrants if you want to. In my opinion more worth it to buy the mother shares from the market as the warrants are at a premium now because of the drop in the mother share price.

If you have 35000 mother shares (350 x 100 lots) then you will get 875 dividend shares or about 8.75 lots.
(1 lot = 100 shares)

Edit: This kind of dividend will always make your share having some odd numbers. If you are a long-term investors, it doesn't really matter because the dividends are calculated per share basis. So whether you have 500 shares or 537 shares, it doesn't matter.

But if you are a trader and don't want to have this kind of odd lots in your CDS, you can try to buy more shares to even up the number so when the dividend share is paid, you will have accurate 'lots' that can be sold.



This post has been edited by skiddtrader: Aug 19 2008, 08:49 PM
TSdarkknight81
post Aug 19 2008, 09:04 PM

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QUOTE(skiddtrader @ Aug 19 2008, 09:45 PM)
huh? I don't get how you can have 35 mother shares when you say you have 350 x 100, that would be 35000 mother shares right?

Just take the total shares you have divide it by 40 and you will get the sum of shares which will be distributed to you. If you want to make it so you get a round number, you can either buy more mother shares or convert the warrants if you want to. In my opinion more worth it to buy the mother shares from the market as the warrants are at a premium now because of the drop in the mother share price.

If you have 35000 mother shares (350 x 100 lots) then you will get 875 dividend shares or about 8.75 lots.
(1 lot = 100 shares)

Edit: This kind of dividend will always make your share having some odd numbers. If you are a long-term investors, it doesn't really matter because the dividends are calculated per share basis. So whether you have 500 shares or 537 shares, it doesn't matter.

But if you are a trader and don't want to have this kind of odd lots in your CDS, you can try to buy more shares to even up the number so when the dividend share is paid, you will have accurate 'lots' that can be sold.
*
blush.gif pai sei . Actually i am a bit confuse about the terms shares and lot sweat.gif
For me when i tell my remisier 1 lot = (For example YTL power is RM 1.80 = RM 1800 I GOT TO Pay)
If i not mistaken last time 1 lot is 1000 shares but not 1 lot is 100 shares right?

I bought YTL power at RM 1.85 (35 lot) = Which is about 63k So i will get (35/40) x shares = (how to define)

Can anyone here define lot and share the different?

This post has been edited by darkknight81: Aug 19 2008, 09:10 PM
skiddtrader
post Aug 19 2008, 09:09 PM

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QUOTE(darkknight81 @ Aug 19 2008, 09:04 PM)
blush.gif pai sei . Actually i am a bit confuse about the terms shares and lot  sweat.gif
For me when i tell my remisier 1 lot = (For example YTL power is RM 1.80 = RM 1800 I GOT TO Pay)
*
Well we have that confusion in what lots = ? even before this sub-forum was created. But the standard is 1 lot = 100 shares. Of course some remisiers and brokers have their own definitions.

So always remember 1 lot = 100 shares
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post Aug 19 2008, 09:19 PM

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QUOTE(skiddtrader @ Aug 19 2008, 10:09 PM)
Well we have that confusion in what lots = ? even before this sub-forum was created. But the standard is 1 lot = 100 shares. Of course some remisiers and brokers have their own definitions.

So always remember 1 lot = 100 shares
*
So if i want to round up my share of YTL power i can convert my WB to mother share before 9- sep -2008 right?
Which means PPL who bought WB will not benefited from this issues right? But as i know normally warrant conversion price will be reduce after bonus issue For example WB whish conversion price is RM 1.25 maybe reduce to RM 1.10 for example.
wirelessdude
post Aug 19 2008, 09:20 PM

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How will the bonus shares affect the warrants?
skiddtrader
post Aug 19 2008, 09:23 PM

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QUOTE(wirelessdude @ Aug 19 2008, 09:20 PM)
How will the bonus shares affect the warrants?
*
As far as I know the share dividend after distribution will only deflate the share price by a bit so the warrants will also suffer slight drop but normally after cash dividend issue, warrant exercise price would be adjusted and so far no details of it has been announced.


Added on August 19, 2008, 9:24 pm
QUOTE(darkknight81 @ Aug 19 2008, 09:19 PM)
So if i want to round up my share of YTL power i can convert my WB to mother share before 9- sep -2008 right?
Which means PPL who bought WB will not benefited from this issues right? But as i know normally warrant conversion price will be reduce after bonus issue For example WB whish conversion price is RM 1.25 maybe reduce to RM 1.10 for example.
*
Yup that could happen as well, but warrant strike price adjustments are considered and will probably be announced later.

This post has been edited by skiddtrader: Aug 19 2008, 09:24 PM
cantdecide
post Aug 20 2008, 01:39 PM

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Hmm, don't see much ppl sapu-ing YTL Power share though they have announced the final dividend (is it 7.5 cents?). Perhaps the windfall tax is doing its unjustice to many of the IPP.

By the way, does anyone know why YTL Power is not paying the first installment for the windfall tax? I don't seem to see their name on the list published in theSTAR. Is it because they are exempted or there is no effect on them (due to lower earnings?)?
malaysia3g
post Aug 20 2008, 03:03 PM

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please dun look down the special tax.
The account is refer to half year only.
The tax will be charges start July 2008 ....
Jordy
post Aug 20 2008, 03:28 PM

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QUOTE(cherroy @ Aug 18 2008, 08:59 PM)
Online trade mostly min is Rm28. Phone up remisier is Rm40.

Slowly accumulate for some might be mean 30-50 lots per transaction. (x100)  icon_rolleyes.gif
So buy 50 lots or 100 lots, commission rate still the same.
*
Cherroy, since the minimum brokerage went effective, I seem not affected by it.
I did my transactions like normal through my remisier, but sometimes i did get charged less than RM40 for my smaller trades.
I am still being charged the usual 0.7% by my broker. How come it's like that? wink.gif
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post Aug 20 2008, 03:33 PM

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QUOTE(Jordy @ Aug 20 2008, 03:28 PM)
Cherroy, since the minimum brokerage went effective, I seem not affected by it.
I did my transactions like normal through my remisier, but sometimes i did get charged less than RM40 for my smaller trades.
I am still being charged the usual 0.7% by my broker. How come it's like that? wink.gif
*
If one always transact more than roughly 5K per transaction, it won't have any effect.

I don't know your exact situation, more details will help to clear air.

0.7% is pretty high, the 2 remisiers I usually deal with is imposing 0.6% only, but this rate can be varied depended on investment bank and remisier themselves. But for sure, max is 0.7%.
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post Aug 20 2008, 04:47 PM

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QUOTE(cherroy @ Aug 20 2008, 03:33 PM)
If one always transact more than roughly 5K per transaction, it won't have any effect.

I don't know your exact situation, more details will help to clear air.

0.7% is pretty high, the 2 remisiers I usually deal with is imposing 0.6% only, but this rate can be varied depended on investment bank and remisier themselves. But for sure, max is 0.7%.
*
Most of the time, my trades are above RM10,000 for second-liners, except for those penny stocks (which would normally be less than RM5,000).
I am registered under a nominee account, so I guess that was why my brokerage is higher?
cherroy
post Aug 20 2008, 05:16 PM

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QUOTE(Jordy @ Aug 20 2008, 04:47 PM)
Most of the time, my trades are above RM10,000 for second-liners, except for those penny stocks (which would normally be less than RM5,000).
I am registered under a nominee account, so I guess that was why my brokerage is higher?
*
Then change brokers lor. whistling.gif

Seriously, sometimes you have to ask for it, especially your transaction record is good one (pay on time) should get 0.6%, as nowadays, commission rate is no longer like last time out which is fixed. Now, it is fully negotiable. But for small fish for retailers, generally and majority is 0.6% and 0.42% (online, 30% discount).

It depends on individual and investment bank.

PS: I had no experience with nominee account as personally never like nominee account, all are direct account with investment banks.
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post Aug 20 2008, 07:19 PM

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QUOTE(cantdecide @ Aug 20 2008, 01:39 PM)
Hmm, don't see much ppl sapu-ing YTL Power share though they have announced the final dividend (is it 7.5 cents?).  Perhaps the windfall tax is doing its unjustice to many of the IPP.

By the way, does anyone know why YTL Power is not paying the first installment for the windfall tax?  I don't seem to see their name on the list published in theSTAR.  Is it because they are exempted or there is no effect on them (due to lower earnings?)?
*
The cash dividend for this quarter is only 3.75 cents or RM0.0375 per share.

The windfall tax is going to shave off a good 10% of it's yearly nett profits as the estimated tax is around RM90 - 120 million.

According to The Edge Daily, YTLPOWER already paid the tax but never released the information how much they paid.


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As long as you are IPP you got to pay windfall tax, no one can be exempted. sweat.gif Unless you are making a loss. But it is not logic at all... The reason behind IPP windfall tax is government is seeing IPP enjoying lucrative earnings for the past decades... thats the reason y windfall tax is being impose.

I think you better go see the source of income of YTL power before you make an assumption on the effect on windfall tax on YTL power.

This post has been edited by darkknight81: Aug 20 2008, 08:21 PM
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post Aug 20 2008, 08:36 PM

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QUOTE(cherroy @ Aug 20 2008, 05:16 PM)
Then change brokers lor.  whistling.gif

Seriously, sometimes you have to ask for it, especially your transaction record is good one (pay on time) should get 0.6%, as nowadays, commission rate is no longer like last time out which is fixed. Now, it is fully negotiable. But for small fish for retailers, generally and majority is 0.6% and 0.42% (online, 30% discount).

It depends on individual and investment bank.

PS: I had no experience with nominee account as personally never like nominee account, all are direct account with investment banks.
*
Haha, I don't think I need to change broker lo. For big transactions, I will have to pay 0.1% more, but for small transaction, I won't be charged the minimum RM40 tongue.gif So, I lose one side, but gain on the other side brows.gif But, I just want to find out, is it possible that anyone escape the minimum RM40 ruling?
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post Aug 20 2008, 08:45 PM

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QUOTE(cherroy @ Aug 20 2008, 04:33 PM)
If one always transact more than roughly 5K per transaction, it won't have any effect.

I don't know your exact situation, more details will help to clear air.

0.7% is pretty high, the 2 remisiers I usually deal with is imposing 0.6% only, but this rate can be varied depended on investment bank and remisier themselves. But for sure, max is 0.7%.
*
Is it possible to negotiate the fee of 0.7% to 0.6%?? drool.gif
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post Aug 20 2008, 08:47 PM

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QUOTE(darkknight81 @ Aug 20 2008, 08:45 PM)
Is it possible to negotiate the fee of 0.7% to 0.6%??  drool.gif
*
I'm using OSK and it's automatically 0.6%. Maybe I talk very nicely to my brokers and flirt with them a bit. haha rclxms.gif
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post Aug 20 2008, 08:48 PM

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QUOTE(skiddtrader @ Aug 20 2008, 09:47 PM)
I'm using OSK and it's automatically 0.6%. Maybe I talk very nicely to my brokers and flirt with them a bit. haha  rclxms.gif
*
sweat.gif My remisier is a guy .... cry.gif

Can i change to OSK as now i am not using OSK? Can i sell my shares at OSK which i bought at current broker? I think can right ?

This post has been edited by darkknight81: Aug 20 2008, 08:53 PM
cherroy
post Aug 20 2008, 09:31 PM

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QUOTE(darkknight81 @ Aug 20 2008, 08:48 PM)
sweat.gif My remisier is a guy .... cry.gif

Can i change to OSK as now i am not using OSK? Can i sell my shares at OSK which i bought at current broker? I think can right ?
*
Cannot, you need to transfer the shares in your current CDS to the newly open OSK CDS account before you can sell, otherwise at OSK side, you are deem short-sell even though you have the shares at other investment bank CDS account.
cherroy
post Aug 20 2008, 09:35 PM

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QUOTE(darkknight81 @ Aug 20 2008, 08:45 PM)
Is it possible to negotiate the fee of 0.7% to 0.6%??  drool.gif
*
QUOTE(skiddtrader @ Aug 20 2008, 08:47 PM)
I'm using OSK and it's automatically 0.6%. Maybe I talk very nicely to my brokers and flirt with them a bit. haha  rclxms.gif
*
Most I encounter with or experience with the investment bank, they are charging at 0.6% throughout even for new customers, so don't need to negotiate either.

Then tell you remiser, how about doing more research after trading hour, so we come out at night to have a drink to discuss. brows.gif biggrin.gif
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QUOTE(cherroy @ Aug 20 2008, 10:35 PM)
Most I encounter with or experience with the investment bank, they are charging at 0.6% throughout even for new customers, so don't need to negotiate either.

Then tell you remiser, how about doing more research after trading hour, so we come out at night to have a drink to discuss.  brows.gif  biggrin.gif
*
Yup look like got to do some research with him brows.gif
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post Aug 21 2008, 02:43 AM

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QUOTE(darkknight81 @ Aug 20 2008, 09:58 PM)
Yup look like got to do some research with him  brows.gif
*
Haha why don't you try flirting with him although he is a guy, you'd never know... rclxms.gif

So OT liau tongue.gif
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post Aug 21 2008, 08:53 AM

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QUOTE(darkknight81 @ Aug 20 2008, 09:58 PM)
Yup look like got to do some research with him  brows.gif
*
him? I taught is 'her' ler. sweat.gif


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QUOTE(cherroy @ Aug 21 2008, 09:53 AM)
him? I taught is 'her' ler.  sweat.gif
*
Better be "he" If is leng loi later not so good to negotiate sweat.gif
Some more my gf might angry if i keep on calling a "she" remisier. hmm.gif


Added on August 21, 2008, 8:36 pm
QUOTE(malaysia3g @ Aug 20 2008, 04:03 PM)
please dun look down the special tax.
The account is refer to half year only.
The tax will be charges start July 2008 ....
*
IPP windfall tax as compare to this:

<<An 11.7% decrease from RM1,175.6 million (US$356.3 mil) for the same period last year, due to an exceptional tax credit of RM132.9 million recognised in the 4th quarter of the 2007 financial year, relating to the release of a deferred tax provision arising from the change in corporation tax rates in the UK. >>

I think this will give more impact on YTL power earnings compare to IPP windfall tax



This post has been edited by darkknight81: Aug 23 2008, 12:02 PM
TSdarkknight81
post Aug 23 2008, 12:02 PM

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Added on August 22, 2008, 7:59 pmMerrill Lynch : YTL Power Intl - Meeting expectations; Buy for 10 .6% net yield

YTL Power International Bhd.
Meeting expectations; Buy for 10.6% net yield

Accounting for 100% of net profit (NP) forecasts
YTL Power (YTLP) NP of RM1,038mn was 12% lower than FY07's NP. Stripping
off one-off tax credit of RM133mn in FY07, YTLP FY08 NP would have registered
zero growth, in line with our and consensus forecasts accounting for 100% of
forecasts. YTLP declared a final DPS of 3.75sen (tax exempt), within forecasts.
We are keeping a Buy on YTLP for its achievable dividend yield of 10.6% (net).

Overseas ventures soften domestic weaknesses
For FY08, wholly owned subsidiary Wessex Water (2% growth muted by stronger
RM vs £) and 35%-associate PT Jawa Power (13% growth supported by higher
bonus) cushioned YTLP's domestic core operations weaknesses (down 8%).
YTLP 4Q NP of RM280mn, though improved 1%QoQ, was 5%YoY weaker due to
lower contribution from Wessex Water and domestic IPP (20-24% lower).

FY09 NP should be flat
We expect flat FY09 NP of RM1,027mn. The potential improvements from
overseas ventures would likely be stripped off by the 30% windfall tax announced
by the government (June 2008). IPPs have commenced their first monthly
payment mid-August 2008. We forecast windfall levy of RM90mn for FY09.
Malaysia IPP now accounts for less than 20% of YTLP's earnings.

On the prowl for new concessions
Despite the regulatory setback in Malaysia, YTLP is still actively bidding for
projects overseas, most recent - Senoko Power, Singapore (estimated price tag
of US$3bn). With YTLP's current cash balance of RM9.4bn, it has sufficient
ammo for future acquisitions. Our RNAV based PO of RM2.07 offers 22% upside
potential. YTLP is trading at PE09E of 11.5x, a discount to its historical average of
15.2x.
skiddtrader
post Aug 24 2008, 12:48 PM

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Cheeroy,

You were right about the bond thing with YTLPOWER and I was originally right about the warrant strike price bringing in the money.

I re-read the report and found that I missed the RM2.2 bil in bonds they issued at the same time the warrants was issued. And tally with their liability and asset went up together. Liability in terms of bonds and asset in terms of cash.

Warrant strike price is still to be their future capital as and when it is fully converted. Like we discussed earlier, booking their capital for the future.

Just FYI. rclxms.gif


Added on August 24, 2008, 12:53 pm
QUOTE(darkknight81 @ Aug 21 2008, 01:22 PM)

Added on August 21, 2008, 8:36 pm

IPP windfall tax as compare to this:

<<An 11.7% decrease from RM1,175.6 million (US$356.3 mil) for the same period last year, due to an exceptional tax credit of RM132.9 million recognised in the 4th quarter of the 2007 financial year, relating to the release of a deferred tax provision arising from the change in corporation tax rates in the UK. >>

I think this will give more impact on YTL power earnings compare to IPP windfall tax
*
Not really, that was expected as a 1 off gain.

Windfall Tax was the un-expected thing. So far I haven't found any source or article pointing to how much they actually paid for their 1st windfall installment.





This post has been edited by skiddtrader: Aug 24 2008, 12:53 PM
cherroy
post Aug 24 2008, 03:15 PM

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QUOTE(skiddtrader @ Aug 24 2008, 12:48 PM)
Cheeroy,

You were right about the bond thing with YTLPOWER and I was originally right about the warrant strike price bringing in the money.

I re-read the report and found that I missed the RM2.2 bil in bonds they issued at the same time the warrants was issued. And tally with their liability and asset went up together. Liability in terms of bonds and asset in terms of cash.

Warrant strike price is still to be their future capital as and when it is fully converted. Like we discussed earlier, booking their capital for the future.

Just FYI.  rclxms.gif

*
Noted, thanks for the information. That's where forum and discussion can help each other.
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post Aug 24 2008, 07:29 PM

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Added on August 24, 2008, 12:53 pm
Not really, that was expected as a 1 off gain.

Windfall Tax was the un-expected thing. So far I haven't found any source or article pointing to how much they actually paid for their 1st windfall installment.
*

[/quote]

http://biz.thestar.com.my/news/story.asp?f...17&sec=business

I say so base on this article. Pls go through and give your comment on this notworthy.gif

This post has been edited by darkknight81: Aug 24 2008, 07:31 PM
ahpoh
post Aug 24 2008, 09:11 PM

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share didven of 1 treasury share for every 40 existing ordinary shares
09/092008

what does it mean?

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post Aug 24 2008, 09:35 PM

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QUOTE(ahpoh @ Aug 24 2008, 10:11 PM)
share didven of 1 treasury share for every 40 existing ordinary shares
09/092008

what does it mean?
*
It means if you are holding one share you will be entitled for 1/40 share
If you are holding 40 share you will be given 1 share as a dividend instead of cash dividend.
ahpoh
post Aug 24 2008, 11:20 PM

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QUOTE(darkknight81 @ Aug 24 2008, 09:35 PM)
It means if you are holding one share you will be entitled for 1/40 share
If you are holding 40 share you will be given 1 share as a dividend instead of cash dividend.
*
so is something like odd lot?
if i have 15 lot of share is equal how many share?
is it 15000?
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QUOTE(ahpoh @ Aug 25 2008, 12:20 AM)
so is something like odd lot?
if i have 15 lot of share is equal how many share?
is it 15000?
*
Yup. You gonna have odd lots. But its ok one. If you want to sell next time sell it one go.
skiddtrader
post Aug 25 2008, 01:43 PM

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[quote=darkknight81,Aug 24 2008, 07:29 PM]

Added on August 24, 2008, 12:53 pm
Not really, that was expected as a 1 off gain.

Windfall Tax was the un-expected thing. So far I haven't found any source or article pointing to how much they actually paid for their 1st windfall installment.
*

[/quote]

http://biz.thestar.com.my/news/story.asp?f...17&sec=business

I say so base on this article. Pls go through and give your comment on this notworthy.gif
*

[/quote]


Thanks for the link. Yeah that was the estimated amount of tax that is to be paid. I've seen values from RM90 mil to RM130 for YTLPOWER, so far this article provided the lowest estimated tax needed to pay. If I'm not mistaken, payments are every month so for 1 year, there are 12 payments.

A rough estimation can be made on how much they are suppose to pay base on their 1st month payments which I multiplied by 12 months to get the total tax needed to pay.

The 1st installment payments are highlighted in this article in here.
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http://integrastock.blogspot.com/2008/07/u...ing-impact.html

Skidtrader you seems to be interested to this stock also? Am i right? brows.gif

This post has been edited by darkknight81: Aug 25 2008, 07:00 PM
cantdecide
post Aug 27 2008, 04:27 PM

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QUOTE(skiddtrader @ Aug 20 2008, 07:19 PM)
The cash dividend for this quarter is only 3.75 cents or RM0.0375 per share.

The windfall tax is going to shave off a good 10% of it's yearly nett profits as the estimated tax is around RM90 - 120 million.

According to The Edge Daily, YTLPOWER already paid the tax but never released the information how much they paid.
*
Thanks for the correction and information. It is just my curiousity how will the windfall tax affect YTLPower since there is no such report on its payment figure and how it will impact the cash-flow, divident, etc.


QUOTE(darkknight81 @ Aug 20 2008, 08:19 PM)
As long as you are IPP you got to pay windfall tax, no one can be exempted.  sweat.gif Unless you are making a loss. But it is not logic at all... The reason behind IPP windfall tax is government is seeing IPP enjoying lucrative earnings for the past decades... thats the reason y windfall tax is being impose.

I think you better go see the source of income of YTL power before you make an assumption on the effect on windfall tax on YTL power.
*
I tried TheEDGE, TheEDGE daily, local newspaper and can't seem to find any reports on YTLPower and its impact from windfall tax and hence I am here seeking more info from fellow forumers. Do you know of any other means to get those reports?


QUOTE(ahpoh @ Aug 24 2008, 09:11 PM)
share didven of 1 treasury share for every 40 existing ordinary shares
09/092008

what does it mean?
*
Where did you get this info? Is it the latest round of rewarding the shareholders? Is it confirm?
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post Aug 27 2008, 07:10 PM

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QUOTE(cantdecide @ Aug 27 2008, 05:27 PM)
Thanks for the correction and information.  It is just my curiousity how will the windfall tax affect YTLPower since there is no such report on its payment figure and how it will impact the cash-flow, divident, etc.
I tried TheEDGE, TheEDGE daily, local newspaper and can't seem to find any reports on YTLPower and its impact from windfall tax and hence I am here seeking more info from fellow forumers.  Do you know of any other means to get those reports?
Where did you get this info?  Is it the latest round of rewarding the shareholders?  Is it confirm?
*
If you really want to find out more about this company, you can ask your remisier. They sure got more detail info one..
The share redistribution is confirmed already . you can see it in their homepage.

http://www.ytlcommunity.com/commnews/ytlauspower.asp
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post Aug 27 2008, 07:54 PM

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http://www.theedgedaily.com/cms/content.js...151520-8573f4e5



This post has been edited by darkknight81: Aug 27 2008, 08:07 PM
Yahoo8888
post Aug 28 2008, 11:47 AM

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QUOTE(darkknight81 @ Aug 27 2008, 07:54 PM)
YTL Power shows a bit of sunshine today. Will tomorrow be a sunny day? Any idea?
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QUOTE(Yahoo8888 @ Aug 28 2008, 12:47 PM)
YTL Power shows a bit of sunshine today. Will tomorrow be a sunny day? Any idea?
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Go to chinese temple and ask the bomoh brows.gif

Don speculate on this stock. IF you want to speculate, better opt for other. This stock is more like income stock which give shareholder dividend + bonus share + warrant.

This post has been edited by darkknight81: Aug 28 2008, 12:58 PM
Yahoo8888
post Aug 29 2008, 10:33 AM

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QUOTE(darkknight81 @ Aug 28 2008, 12:21 PM)
Go to chinese temple and ask the bomoh  brows.gif

Don speculate on this stock. IF you want to speculate, better opt for other. This stock is more like income stock which give shareholder dividend + bonus share + warrant.
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Different people have different kind of thinking and manipulate in share. That why in 1997, George soros been accused as a speculator that cause Malaysia economic down in 1997. As this show that different people have diff thing.

Those who wish to speculate is their choice and those who want to keep it also is their choic. And one important thing is maximizing the profit.
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post Aug 29 2008, 12:26 PM

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QUOTE(Yahoo8888 @ Aug 29 2008, 11:33 AM)
Different people have different kind of thinking and manipulate in share. That why in 1997, George soros been accused as a speculator that cause Malaysia economic down in 1997. As this show that different people have diff thing.

Those who wish to speculate is their choice and those who want to keep it also is their choic. And one important  thing is maximizing the profit.
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FYI different stock have different trend. So different ppl with different appetite will choose the stock which suit them.
Yahoo8888
post Aug 29 2008, 01:05 PM

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QUOTE(darkknight81 @ Aug 29 2008, 12:26 PM)
FYI different stock have different trend. So different ppl with different appetite will choose the stock which suit them.
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As you stated that "So different ppl with different appetite will choose the stock which suit them" that means that everybody have their choice whether to keep it or speculate it. Just want to clarify, correct me if i am wrong.


And refer to what you have posted just now, people will speculate or keep it just depend on their appetite? It sound that you are not allowing people to speculate it.



"Go to chinese temple and ask the bomoh

Don speculate on this stock. IF you want to speculate, better opt for other. This stock is more like income stock which give shareholder dividend + bonus share + warrant"



TSdarkknight81
post Aug 29 2008, 08:54 PM

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QUOTE(Yahoo8888 @ Aug 29 2008, 02:05 PM)
As you stated that "So different ppl with different appetite will choose the stock which suit them" that means that everybody have their choice whether to keep it or speculate it. Just want to clarify, correct me if i am wrong.
And refer to what you have posted just now, people will speculate or keep it just depend on their appetite? It sound that you are not allowing people to speculate it.
"Go to chinese temple and ask the bomoh 

Don speculate on this stock. IF you want to speculate, better opt for other. This stock is more like income stock which give shareholder dividend + bonus share + warrant"
*
From what i see there are few types of stock

a) dividend stock which give you steady income where as the price of the stock does fluctuate much. Normally this type of stock you don expect it to goes up so much. As most of their earings repay back to share holder. So which means less growth / no more growth for the company. E.g. BAT, PUBLIC BANK, AMWAY, NESTLE, ....

b) growth stock which means this stock is more look into aggressive growth. Which means the earnings will more likely be kept by the company and used for reinvestment for their company future expansion.E.g Air asia, Genting, , IOI,,, They will / will not give dividend but very less.

Some stock maybe combination of both.

YTL power earning is quite steady and if you can see the price does not fluctuate much. Thats y i means don expect this stock to climb up out of a sudden. The recent go down of this stock is due to IPP windfall tax. So you cun expect it to go up so soon i mean. There is one possibility which is the bidding of senoko plant by ytl power provided it can win the bid.

This post has been edited by darkknight81: Aug 29 2008, 08:57 PM
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post Sep 2 2008, 12:31 PM

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http://ytlcommunity.com/commnews/shownews.asp?newsid=40423
skiddtrader
post Sep 3 2008, 11:05 AM

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http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=206...4yQs&refer=asia

Latest news about the possible acquisition by YTLPOWER.
Yahoo8888
post Sep 3 2008, 01:15 PM

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News stated that all companies under IPP have paid their windfall tax on the 14/08/08 with the figures been shown. However, YTL Power was the one that did not announced how much the windfall tax that been hmm.gif paid.

Ada udang di sebalik Batu/Mee? blink.gif
TSdarkknight81
post Sep 3 2008, 01:22 PM

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QUOTE(Yahoo8888 @ Sep 3 2008, 02:15 PM)
News stated that all companies under IPP have paid their windfall tax on the 14/08/08 with the figures been shown. However, YTL Power was the one that did not announced how much the windfall tax that been  hmm.gif paid. 

Ada udang di sebalik Batu/Mee? blink.gif
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IPP windfall tax now won affect the share price of YTL power so much as i think it is over. Now is on how they gonna use pile of cash they have to do any aquisition.


Added on September 3, 2008, 1:26 pm
QUOTE(skiddtrader @ Sep 3 2008, 12:05 PM)
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=206...4yQs&refer=asia

Latest news about the possible acquisition by YTLPOWER.
*
Thanks for your update. So far still not clear who got the bids yet. sweat.gif

This post has been edited by darkknight81: Sep 3 2008, 01:26 PM
Yahoo8888
post Sep 3 2008, 01:45 PM

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QUOTE(darkknight81 @ Sep 3 2008, 01:22 PM)
IPP windfall tax now won affect the share price of YTL power so much as i think it is over. Now is on how they gonna use pile of cash they have to do any aquisition.


Added on September 3, 2008, 1:26 pm

Thanks for your update. So far still not clear who got the bids yet.  sweat.gif
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The tender for selling off Senoko Power by Temasek will be due tomorrow, kindly refers to address follow icon_rolleyes.gif :
(Sorry as the statement shown under Mandarin) icon_rolleyes.gif For our beloved YTL Power laugh.gif

http://www.nanyang.com/index.php?ch=7&pg=12&ac=879552
cantdecide
post Sep 3 2008, 02:22 PM

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QUOTE(skiddtrader @ Sep 3 2008, 11:05 AM)
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=206...4yQs&refer=asia

Latest news about the possible acquisition by YTLPOWER.
*
QUOTE(Yahoo8888 @ Sep 3 2008, 01:45 PM)
The tender for selling off Senoko Power by Temasek will be due tomorrow, kindly refers to address follow icon_rolleyes.gif :
(Sorry as the statement shown under Mandarin)  icon_rolleyes.gif  For our beloved YTL Power  laugh.gif

http://www.nanyang.com/index.php?ch=7&pg=12&ac=879552
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They have been talking about this acquisition for quite some time. It might be a good catalyst to boast YTLPower share price only if they won the deal. Look at the heavyweights bidding for the job, it might be a tough battle. Perhaps it is a good thing to monitor when Termasek will annouce the winner and go in to try your luck (like gambling) then pray hard that YTLPower win!

The IPP windfall tax really is killing me as I am still too worry to enter even if YTLPower is at RM1.70 though I know this is really a good price. Sigh. Hate uncertainties caused by the government.
Yahoo8888
post Sep 3 2008, 02:46 PM

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QUOTE(cantdecide @ Sep 3 2008, 02:22 PM)
They have been talking about this acquisition for quite some time.  It might be a good catalyst to boast YTLPower share price only if they won the deal.  Look at the heavyweights bidding for the job, it might be a tough battle.  Perhaps it is a good thing to monitor when Termasek will annouce the winner and go in to try your luck (like gambling) then pray hard that YTLPower win!

The IPP windfall tax really is killing me as I am still too worry to enter even if YTLPower is at RM1.70 though I know this is really a good price.  Sigh.  Hate uncertainties caused by the government.
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Ya. Agree with you. Now only need to wait and hopefully YTL Power will win the bid.

With the substantial amount of buying and selling estimated shown in the news, surely tis will help the share price to soar if YTL Power win. nod.gif



TSdarkknight81
post Sep 3 2008, 08:29 PM

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Since Wessex water contributed 70% of YTL power income, then does that means during RM weaken then the earings of YTL power will increase due to conversion of pound to RM?

YTL power can hedge against weaken in RM also during RM weaken (provided Pound maintain its value). Pls comment.

This post has been edited by darkknight81: Sep 5 2008, 09:28 PM
skiddtrader
post Sep 6 2008, 01:58 AM

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YTLPOWER did not win the bid for Senoko Power.

SENOKO POWER SOLD


Added on September 6, 2008, 2:01 am
QUOTE(darkknight81 @ Sep 3 2008, 08:29 PM)
Since Wessex water contributed 70% of YTL power income, then does that means during RM weaken then the earings of YTL power will increase due to conversion of pound to RM?

YTL power can hedge against weaken in RM also during RM weaken (provided Pound maintain its value). Pls comment.
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Yup, that's true. As the profits from WW is in pounds, and RM weakening might actually boosts profits. But keep in mind that their debts in Pounds would also increase.

This post has been edited by skiddtrader: Sep 6 2008, 02:02 AM
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post Sep 6 2008, 08:18 AM

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QUOTE(skiddtrader @ Sep 6 2008, 02:58 AM)
YTLPOWER did not win the bid for Senoko Power.

SENOKO POWER SOLD


Added on September 6, 2008, 2:01 am

Yup, that's true. As the profits from WW is in pounds, and RM weakening might actually boosts profits. But keep in mind that their debts in Pounds would also increase.
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Thanks for you update for senoko plant.

I beliv they pay their debt from the earnings of WW in pound. So the remaining will be the same. The remaining of the pound converted back to RM will be more

This post has been edited by darkknight81: Sep 6 2008, 09:24 AM
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post Sep 6 2008, 01:58 PM

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Since the weakening of RM now, i think any oversea aquisition will be costly for YTL power. To make full use of the RM 8 bil, i think they better use it for sharebuy back which indirectly enhance the EPS of YTL power. Doesn't it will benefit the shareholder more by doing this?? hmm.gif
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post Sep 6 2008, 03:47 PM

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QUOTE(darkknight81 @ Sep 6 2008, 01:58 PM)
Since the weakening of RM now, i think any oversea aquisition will be costly for YTL power. To make full use of the RM 8 bil, i think they better use it for sharebuy back which indirectly enhance the EPS of YTL power. Doesn't it will benefit the shareholder more by doing this??  hmm.gif
*
I am not a big fan of buying back, better give it as dividend. nod.gif
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post Sep 6 2008, 04:43 PM

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QUOTE(cherroy @ Sep 6 2008, 04:47 PM)
I am not a big fan of buying back, better give it as dividend.  nod.gif
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http://www.theedgedaily.com/cms/content.js...8c3f00-e4b43c88

http://biz.thestar.com.my/marketwatch/buyb...?searchstr=6742

One thing good YTL power sharebuy back is they distribute the treasury share back to share holder. So in fact it is better than dividend which are being taxed 25%. Whereas you got bonus share you can either keep if you think that there is long term prospect or you can choose to sell it either to have some cash in return. Doesn't it better than dividend?

One more thing good about YTL power is they don buy low sell high for trading purpose. They buy back the share for the intention to reward the shareholder.


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post Sep 6 2008, 05:26 PM

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QUOTE(darkknight81 @ Sep 6 2008, 04:43 PM)
http://www.theedgedaily.com/cms/content.js...8c3f00-e4b43c88

http://biz.thestar.com.my/marketwatch/buyb...?searchstr=6742

One thing good YTL power sharebuy back is they distribute the treasury share back to share holder. So in fact it is better than dividend which are being taxed 25%. Whereas you got bonus share you can either keep if you think that there is long term prospect or you can choose to sell it either to have some cash in return. Doesn't it better than dividend?

One more thing good about YTL power is they don buy low sell high for trading purpose. They buy back the share for the intention to reward the shareholder.
*
You have a point, but my view is always, getting in return as cash is still much better in other form, which I can choose whether re-invest into the same share (buy more using those dividend) or divesify into others.

Just like now share price is 2.00, they give 15 cents annually, so next year share price being adjusted to 1.85. So if EPS is stil the same, that's mean at 1.85, then you can buy at lower PER as well as dividned yield. After 10+ years or so, all initial capital has been recoup back. So the rest is the net profit already. I don't need to worry much in the future.
But for company that didn't give any dividend and decide to keep all the money in the company and use the money to buy back, then if in the future, something goes wrong on the company, all gone together including your initial money.
Just my extreme example, doesn't necessary true.
Don't get me wrong, keeping all the cash and grow with the company also can lead to higher profit in the future. Nothing is certain right or wrong. Just highlight the pro of dividend

Don't forget, those money generated from profit in the company already being taxed 25% also as well, it is not totally tax free as well.

Have to research more details with accountant personnel or google very details before I can comment futher. It can be quite complex, you know lar, whenever involved tax issue, there are a lot of tiny fine details need to identify, which make a lot of people always confuse about it.

If company has a lot of tax credit, they can distribute those dividend with tax exempted status because those money being taxed initially. Most of the time, there won't be double taxation.

Bonus share is a zero sum game, share price will be adjusted accordingly. Bonus share or not doesn't matter actually for shareholders, as if company continues to earn big buck, then share price will keep going up, typically example would be BAT (which not give bonus share or having buy back but give generous dividend while share price continue to surge because of profit incremental which support the share price).
Bonus issue although make you own more, but in term of % wise your right in the company still the same. Major difference come from accounting point of stand.

Just like Berkshire Hathaway, they don't split their share or give bonus issue, which lead to current its share price more than USD 100K per share.

Don't get me wrong, buyback also a good thing which benefitted the shareholders and show company is financially sound. Just different point of view for comparison. smile.gif

This post has been edited by cherroy: Sep 6 2008, 05:34 PM
TSdarkknight81
post Sep 6 2008, 07:03 PM

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<<But for company that didn't give any dividend and decide to keep all the money in the company and use the money to buy back, then if in the future, something goes wrong on the company, all gone together including your initial money. >>

Ytl power has been constantly giving out dividend about 12 sen per share. Besides, they are giving out bonus share. What i mean is by having the bonus share the shareholder are flexible to choose either keep their bonus share or sell it off and consider that as a dividend. hmm.gif


<<Bonus share is a zero sum game, share price will be adjusted accordingly. Bonus share or not doesn't matter actually for shareholders, as if company continues to earn big buck, then share price will keep going up, typically example would be BAT (which not give bonus share or having buy back but give generous dividend while share price continue to surge because of profit incremental which support the share price).
Bonus issue although make you own more, but in term of % wise your right in the company still the same. Major difference come from accounting point of stand.>>

For YTL power case will be different i think. The bonus share is not newly issue you see. It is the share that being buy back and redistribute to the shareholder. So actually it means the EPS per share before and after redistribution is still the same. So by getting bonus share which means the shareholder are having increase in EPS. Because the amount of share in the market is still the same just that your % owning has been increased. By doing this it is benefitting the long term investor. Where as the one who buy it for trading will not benefit much from this counter. As it is giving either bonus share, dividend or even warrant frequently.


Correct me if i am wrong. notworthy.gif


cherroy
post Sep 7 2008, 09:48 AM

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QUOTE(darkknight81 @ Sep 6 2008, 07:03 PM)
<<But for company that didn't give any dividend and decide to keep all the money in the company and use the money to buy back, then if in the future, something goes wrong on the company, all gone together including your initial money. >>

Ytl power has been constantly giving out dividend about 12 sen per share. Besides, they are giving out bonus share. What i mean is by having the bonus share the shareholder are flexible to choose either keep their bonus share or sell it off and consider that as a dividend.  hmm.gif
<<Bonus share is a zero sum game, share price will be adjusted accordingly. Bonus share or not doesn't matter actually for shareholders, as if company continues to earn big buck, then share price will keep going up, typically example would be BAT (which not give bonus share or having buy back but give generous dividend while share price continue to surge because of profit incremental which support the share price).
Bonus issue although make you own more, but in term of % wise your right in the company still the same. Major difference come from accounting point of stand.>>

For YTL power case will be different i think. The bonus share is not newly issue you see. It is the share that being buy back and redistribute to the shareholder. So actually it means the EPS per share before and after redistribution is still the same. So by getting bonus share which means the shareholder are having increase in EPS. Because the amount of share in the market is still the same just that your % owning has been increased. By doing this it is benefitting the long term investor. Where as the one who buy it for trading will not benefit much from this counter. As it is giving either bonus share, dividend or even warrant frequently.
Correct me if i am wrong.  notworthy.gif
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Yes, you are right. But EPS is still the same (unless they cancel out the treasury share from the buyback), if distributed to shareholders, EPS still the same because number of outstanding share still the same, just you have more shares on it.

Those are share dividend (distributed those buying back share to the shareholders) not bonus issue. In my previous post regarding bonus share, I am talking on general issue not specific regarding on YTLpower.

Bonus issue of share is not the same as those bonus you are thinking on the YTLpower share dividend. smile.gif
repcoyeoh
post Sep 7 2008, 01:03 PM

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I prefer acquisition......Enlarging market share therefore long term higher return =)
TSdarkknight81
post Sep 7 2008, 08:16 PM

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QUOTE(repcoyeoh @ Sep 7 2008, 02:03 PM)
I prefer acquisition......Enlarging market share therefore long term higher return =)
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Aquisition doesn't guarantee higher return. If they acquire on the non profit making business / company then they will make a loss. Besides, before you do any aquisition you need to analyse the risk involves in that country. So if the company business is good and can guarantee steady income i still prefer them by giving dividend / share redistribution or even warrant like what YTL power do. biggrin.gif


This post has been edited by darkknight81: Sep 7 2008, 08:18 PM
skiddtrader
post Sep 8 2008, 11:42 AM

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QUOTE(darkknight81 @ Sep 7 2008, 08:16 PM)
Aquisition doesn't guarantee higher return. If they acquire on the non profit making business / company then they will make a loss. Besides, before you do any aquisition you need to analyse the risk involves in that country. So if the company business is good and can guarantee steady income i still prefer them by giving dividend / share redistribution or even warrant like what YTL power do.  biggrin.gif
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I'm with Repcoyeoh on the acquisition. Companies like YTLPOWER are concentrated on utilities have no room to grow domestically. The only way up in this country is out of the country. Foreign acquisitions of profitable companies like WW can immediately jack up the price of their shares as well as the value it represents. Higher revenues with higher profit margins means higher dividends.

Unless the mother company YTL sells some acquired water projects in China to YTLPOWER, they would have to scout diligently for a new acquisition. Singapore still has 1 more acquisition target they can try for which is Power Seraya which is next in line to be sold by Temasek Holdings.

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post Sep 8 2008, 03:49 PM

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QUOTE(skiddtrader @ Sep 8 2008, 12:42 PM)
I'm with Repcoyeoh on the acquisition. Companies like YTLPOWER are concentrated on utilities have no room to grow domestically. The only way up in this country is out of the country. Foreign acquisitions of profitable companies like WW can immediately jack up the price of their shares as well as the value it represents. Higher revenues with higher profit margins means higher dividends.

Unless the mother company YTL sells some acquired water projects in China to YTLPOWER, they would have to scout diligently for a new acquisition. Singapore still has 1 more acquisition target they can try for which is Power Seraya which is next in line to be sold by Temasek Holdings.
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Yup of course if they make the right acquisition certainly the EPS and dividend will go up. What i want to say is acquisition got risk which does not guarantee high return.


Added on September 8, 2008, 4:08 pm
<<Singapore still has 1 more acquisition target they can try for which is Power Seraya which is next in line to be sold by Temasek Holdings.>>

Where you got this news?

This post has been edited by darkknight81: Sep 8 2008, 04:08 PM
TSdarkknight81
post Sep 8 2008, 04:18 PM

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YTL POWER trading volume is quite high today due to tomolo 1/40 share distribution i think. sweat.gif
skiddtrader
post Sep 8 2008, 05:04 PM

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QUOTE(darkknight81 @ Sep 8 2008, 03:49 PM)

Added on September 8, 2008, 4:08 pm
<<Singapore still has 1 more acquisition target they can try for which is Power Seraya which is next in line to be sold by Temasek Holdings.>>

Where you got this news?
*
Read it in one of the articles when the Senoko Power deal was in progress. Temasek has 3 power generation facilities(gencos) it wants to sell, and so far they have sold Tuas Power to a China company, the recent Senoko Power to a Japanese Consortium and their last one is Power Seraya which is planned to be sold before end of 2009.

I believe Tanjong was one of the un-successful bidders of the Tuas Power and YTLPOWER is the un-succesful bidder of Senoko Power. Power Seraya will be their last chance in Singapore. A very rare chance to hold some utilities in Singapore.
repcoyeoh
post Sep 8 2008, 06:11 PM

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Have you seen a company acquire another company not because of the idea that the company has but for the cash that the company held??? (The company might have too much cash and have no idea what to spend it on...Therefore they are being acquired by others who are innovative but lack of cash)

And of course...acquisition is a very big decision making...even if the results after acquiring the company aren't as good as expected, the company and its subsidiary company gains an insight of how the market is and able to target and segment their way through...Short term bumpy, long term market domination...
skiddtrader
post Sep 9 2008, 10:30 AM

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QUOTE(repcoyeoh @ Sep 8 2008, 06:11 PM)
Have you seen a company acquire another company not because of the idea that the company has but for the cash that the company held??? (The company might have too much cash and have no idea what to spend it on...Therefore they are being acquired by others who are innovative but lack of cash)
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This would be extremely rare. The only case I could think of that happening was when Multipurpose bought controlling stake of Magnum so it can give itself large dividend payouts from Magnums cashpile. But then MultiPurpose was already a major shareholder.

Very rarely would a company flushed with cash be taken over by another cash-strapped company with a good 'idea'. More likely the cash rich one will buy-over the 'innovative' company as a subsidiary and sponsors it's ideas.


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post Sep 9 2008, 10:57 AM

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QUOTE(skiddtrader @ Sep 9 2008, 11:30 AM)
This would be extremely rare. The only case I could think of that happening was when Multipurpose bought controlling stake of Magnum so it can give itself large dividend payouts from Magnums cashpile. But then MultiPurpose was already a major shareholder.

Very rarely would a company flushed with cash be taken over by another cash-strapped company with a good 'idea'. More likely the cash rich one will buy-over the 'innovative' company as a subsidiary and sponsors it's ideas.
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Ya. It is only logic for the cash rich company to take over a good company instead of putting their cash into FD.

Between YTL power is slumping today... sweat.gif
skiddtrader
post Sep 9 2008, 11:03 AM

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QUOTE(darkknight81 @ Sep 9 2008, 10:57 AM)
Ya. It is only logic for the cash rich company to take over a good company instead of putting their cash into FD.

Between YTL power is slumping today...  sweat.gif
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Share dividend ex-date is it?
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post Sep 9 2008, 11:09 AM

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QUOTE(skiddtrader @ Sep 9 2008, 12:03 PM)
Share dividend ex-date is it?
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1/40 BONUS share redistribution today laugh.gif
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post Sep 9 2008, 11:33 AM

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<<
YTL Power active in share buyback — and distribution
Share buybacks can also give stocks a defensive quality. YTL Power International (RM1.79) has a big gross cash pile, totalling more than RM9.4 billion at end-June 2008. The company actively buys back its own shares and distributes them back to shareholders, thus boosting overall shareholders’ returns.

The last share distribution exercise was completed in January 2008, where shareholders received one YTL Power share for every 25 shares held. The company has proposed another such exercise. This time, the distribution ratio is one-for-40 shares, which will yield returns of 2.5%. The entitlement date is Sept 9, 2008.

The stock has been buffeted by uncertainties and negative sentiment following the government’s decision to levy a windfall tax on all independent power producers (IPPs). Any excess returns over the 9% return on assets threshold will now be subjected to a 30% tax, effective July 2008.

We estimate this will cost YTL Power some RM75 million or so annually. The company reported net profit of RM1.04 billion in FY June 2008. The windfall tax will shave an estimated 4% off the company’s net profit in the current financial year.
Positively, the impact is relatively muted because the bulk of the company’s earnings come from investments abroad. The UK-based water concessionaire, Wessex Water, and a power plant in Indonesia account for about 65% and 10%, respectively, of the company’s earnings before interest and taxes.

By contrast, its share price has fallen 15% from the recent high of RM2.22, just before the windfall tax announcement. This could be due, in part, to the broader market selloff. Nonetheless, the unexpected windfall tax is likely to have dented investor confidence in local IPP concessionaires.

IPP concessionaires used to be widely viewed as defensive stocks because their rates of returns are agreed upon at the outset and earnings streams are fairly predictable over the entire concession period.

Nevertheless, YTL Power’s cash flow remains relatively intact and shareholders should continue to enjoy steady dividends. Dividends totalled 11.25 sen per share in FY08, giving a fairly high yield of 6%. The company has yet to fix the entitlement date for its final net dividend of 3.75 sen per share.
Note: This report is brought to you by Asia Analytica Sdn Bhd, a licensed investment adviser. Please exercise your own judgment or seek professional advice for your specific investment needs. We are not responsible for your investment decisions. Our shareholders, directors and employees may have positions in any of the stocks mentioned.>>



repcoyeoh
post Sep 9 2008, 03:51 PM

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QUOTE(darkknight81 @ Sep 9 2008, 01:57 PM)
Ya. It is only logic for the cash rich company to take over a good company instead of putting their cash into FD.

Between YTL power is slumping today...  sweat.gif
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No...Its the other way....not cash rich borrows from bank....then use that money to take over cash rich company...Because if the company itself is cash rich, they will be taking over companies long time ago...won't be sitting on so much cash. Reason is they don't know where to put their cash...

Conclusion: Cash rich = Waiting to be taken over...
TSdarkknight81
post Sep 9 2008, 04:00 PM

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QUOTE(repcoyeoh @ Sep 9 2008, 04:51 PM)
No...Its the other way....not cash rich borrows from bank....then use that money to take over cash rich company...Because if the company itself is cash rich, they will be taking over companies long time ago...won't be sitting on so much cash. Reason is they don't know where to put their cash...

Conclusion: Cash rich = Waiting to be taken over...
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You got to see the balance sheet of that company also ler my frend. If the company is too aggresive in expanding then owe a lots of debts is also not healthy. Who say cash rich company is waiting for ppl to acquire. As i told you already cash rich does not mean they don know how to take over other company and they are not good. If they are not good how they earn that money? They must wait for the best time to do aquisition which means buying company which is desperate in cash. You must be smart on making full use of your cash in hand ler.. not simply spending like what our government are doing.
repcoyeoh
post Sep 9 2008, 04:05 PM

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QUOTE(darkknight81 @ Sep 9 2008, 07:00 PM)
You got to see the balance sheet of that company also ler my frend. If the company is too aggresive in expanding then owe a lots of debts is also not healthy. Who say cash rich company is waiting for ppl to acquire. As i told you already cash rich does not mean they don know how to take over other company and they are not good. If they are not good how they earn that money? They must wait for the best time to do aquisition which means buying company which is desperate in cash. You must be smart on making full use of your cash in hand ler.. not simply spending like what our government are doing.
*
In general...According to statistics...Its cash rich company being taken over by someone bigger than them even when they don't have enough cash to acquire.
Yahoo8888
post Sep 9 2008, 04:29 PM

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QUOTE(repcoyeoh @ Sep 9 2008, 04:05 PM)
In general...According to statistics...Its cash rich company being taken over by someone bigger than them even when they don't have enough cash to acquire.
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In general...According to statistics

Mind to share where u get this statistics?
TSdarkknight81
post Sep 9 2008, 04:35 PM

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QUOTE(repcoyeoh @ Sep 9 2008, 05:05 PM)
In general...According to statistics...Its cash rich company being taken over by someone bigger than them even when they don't have enough cash to acquire.
*
Ya. Its all depends on how much they want to buy and how much they want to sell. I think last time during YTL power acquired WW the size of WW is bigger than YTL power. biggrin.gif What i mean is it make more sense for a "Good company with pile of cash in hand to acquire a good business which is selling on discount during market downturn" Like we buying stock also the same, if we buy during market downturn we can acquire more shares which selling at discount.


skiddtrader
post Sep 9 2008, 05:38 PM

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QUOTE(repcoyeoh @ Sep 9 2008, 03:51 PM)
No...Its the other way....not cash rich borrows from bank....then use that money to take over cash rich company...Because if the company itself is cash rich, they will be taking over companies long time ago...won't be sitting on so much cash. Reason is they don't know where to put their cash...

Conclusion: Cash rich = Waiting to be taken over...
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Can't agree with the statement because it does not make sense.

The benefits of having a large pile of cash is the ability to acquire or buyout any company that offers a good return. Using the cash for not so good deals are really not very convincing of a capable boardroom. Like the recent Maybank acquisition which drew flak from investors.

Like Warren Buffett says, "I rather buy a wonderful company for a fair price than buying a fair company at a wonderful price".



TSdarkknight81
post Sep 9 2008, 08:12 PM

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QUOTE(skiddtrader @ Sep 9 2008, 06:38 PM)
Can't agree with the statement because it does not make sense.

The benefits of having a large pile of cash is the ability to acquire or buyout any company that offers a good return. Using the cash for not so good deals are really not very convincing of a capable boardroom. Like the recent Maybank acquisition which drew flak from investors.

Like Warren Buffett says, "I rather buy a wonderful company for a fair price than buying a fair company at a wonderful price".
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Agree with what you said. Acquisition is similar like we buying stock also. By analysing the company balance sheet, future earnings so on. If you want to buy a business selling at a discount of course it is better to buy when they are desperate to sell. you must value the company like how you value the stock. If not will end up like maybank BII acquistion not only the valuation is high but they not even research fully on the risk involved which made them end up by losing 480 mil..


TSdarkknight81
post Sep 9 2008, 08:13 PM

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http://biz.thestar.com.my/marketwatch/buyb...?searchstr=6742

YTL power have massive share buy backs these few days. drool.gif
repcoyeoh
post Sep 9 2008, 09:12 PM

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Put it this way...A company wouldn't be cash rich if they know where to put their money...
cherroy
post Sep 9 2008, 09:49 PM

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Just to guide into more proper channel of discussion.

There are 2 type of cash rich company.

Type 1
Current asset is cash rich, but so does it long term liability like YTLpower. It is not a real net cash position (after deduct the liability on bond and loan taken up). Taking over it mean although one get the access of the cash but so does its liability.

Type 2
Net cash rich, no debt, cash sitting in company doing nothing.
Normally in this type of company, company has 2 choice, acquisition for business expansion or giving generous dividend (like Panamy, Guiness, JTinter etc).
So those cash won't be sitting too idle for too long as well. Shareholders will get a chunk of it.

It is plain not wise for the board of company directors to see those cash sitting idle for years, normally they will do either newly acquisition or plan in the future (something wait for opportunity) or giving generous dividend if they had no plan to do anything in near future. If the company director board is doing nothing as mentioned, then this is not a good company management already which they don't look after shareholder benefit at all.

Acquisition made normally have lot of consideration, not purely on cash position alone. Even one company is cash rich, but shareholding is quite 'tight' in the hand of the major shareholders, then it won't be possible to get the deal done.

Another point, is that normally people would only interested in to acquire a healthy company, so it means most of the time, those being acquired company should have considerable amount of cash if the company previously was run in a healthy way.
Cashflow is the main ingredient or like blood in the body for company to stay alive.



TSdarkknight81
post Sep 9 2008, 10:10 PM

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QUOTE(cherroy @ Sep 9 2008, 10:49 PM)
Just to guide into more proper channel of discussion.

There are 2 type of cash rich company.

Type 1
Current asset is cash rich, but so does it long term liability like YTLpower. It is not a real net cash position (after deduct the liability on bond and loan taken up). Taking over it mean although one get the access of the cash but so does its liability.

Type 2
Net cash rich, no debt, cash sitting in company doing nothing.
Normally in this type of company, company has 2 choice, acquisition for business expansion or giving generous dividend (like Panamy, Guiness, JTinter etc).
So those cash won't be sitting too idle for too long as well. Shareholders will get a chunk of it.

It is plain not wise for the board of company directors to see those cash sitting idle for years, normally they will do either newly acquisition or plan in the future (something wait for opportunity) or giving generous dividend if they had no plan to do anything in near future. If the company director board is doing nothing as mentioned, then this is not a good company management already which they don't look after shareholder benefit at all.

Acquisition made normally have lot of consideration, not purely on cash position alone. Even one company is cash rich, but shareholding is quite 'tight' in the hand of the major shareholders, then it won't be possible to get the deal done.

Another point, is that normally people would only interested in to acquire a healthy company, so it means most of the time, those being acquired company should have considerable amount of cash if the company previously was run in a healthy way.
Cashflow is the main ingredient or like blood in the body for company to stay alive.
*
Thank you Cherroy for your explanation. Do you know the reason behind y Termasek want to dispose all its power asset? First is Tuas second is Senoko and Seraya is the upcoming one.
dragony
post Sep 11 2008, 10:31 AM

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this discussion is massive complicated......: (
TSdarkknight81
post Sep 11 2008, 02:02 PM

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Latest update.. . I just received warrant notice from YTL power. WA conversion price adjusted to RM 1.17 WB conversion price adjusted to RM 1.21. laugh.gif
FD2r
post Sep 11 2008, 05:59 PM

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Saw that cabinet had put a stop on the windfall levy tax on ipp.. good news for Ytlpower...
keith_hjinhoh
post Sep 11 2008, 06:06 PM

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QUOTE(FD2r @ Sep 11 2008, 05:59 PM)
Saw that cabinet had put a stop on the windfall levy tax on ipp.. good news for Ytlpower...
*
http://biz.thestar.com.my/news/story.asp?f...10&sec=business

A good news indeed... Haih, disappointed with our flip flop government
TSdarkknight81
post Sep 11 2008, 08:59 PM

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QUOTE(keith_hjinhoh @ Sep 11 2008, 07:06 PM)
http://biz.thestar.com.my/news/story.asp?f...10&sec=business

A good news indeed... Haih, disappointed with our flip flop government
*
Certainly it will not affect YTL Power share price much. As most of YTL POWER income source are from oversea. Actually weakening of pound conversion to RM are the main reason y this counter drop so much. What i concern more is how they are going to use the 8 bil cash in hand... laugh.gif
TSdarkknight81
post Sep 11 2008, 08:59 PM

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2012 olympic will be held in UK. So i think the growth in UK for these few years should be shooting up. Pound will be strenghen then...

This post has been edited by darkknight81: Sep 11 2008, 09:05 PM
cherroy
post Sep 11 2008, 09:02 PM

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Currently equities market is quite bearish overall, so those not a major good news won't have much significant effect. Expect some little respond from the market only, which might be short-live.

TSdarkknight81
post Sep 11 2008, 09:15 PM

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QUOTE(cherroy @ Sep 11 2008, 10:02 PM)
Currently equities market is quite bearish overall, so those not a major good news won't have much significant effect. Expect some little respond from the market only, which might be short-live.
*
i strongly beliv the current stock price is quite solid already unless got any bad news on it. As it is utility stock with steady income you cannot expect it to go down further more. It will sustain at this level for quite sometimes though. hmm.gif
cherroy
post Sep 11 2008, 09:25 PM

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QUOTE(darkknight81 @ Sep 11 2008, 09:15 PM)
i strongly beliv the current stock price is quite solid already unless got any bad news on it. As it is utility stock with steady income you cannot expect it to go down further more. It will sustain at this level for quite sometimes though. hmm.gif
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What I meant in the previous post is the market won't take that as a major good news (abolish of windfall tax) as a significant factor for stock price upwards movement. My prediction is that it will response a little (up few cents or so), but it can't run away from the market bearish tone currently (don't mean it will go down, just upside potential is capped by the market tone).
This stock usually moves in lesser degree than the market (which usually does for this stock as historical data said it has low beta compared to KLCI)
skiddtrader
post Sep 11 2008, 11:46 PM

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Awesome news indeed. rclxms.gif


Yahoo8888
post Sep 12 2008, 11:15 AM

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QUOTE(skiddtrader @ Sep 11 2008, 11:46 PM)
Awesome news indeed.  rclxms.gif
*
With the news of discarding the IPP windfall tax, the price for YTL Power and the warrant B did show a good result this morning especially with the substantial volumn buying in Warrant B. brows.gif
TSdarkknight81
post Sep 12 2008, 07:44 PM

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QUOTE(Yahoo8888 @ Sep 12 2008, 12:15 PM)
With the news of discarding the IPP windfall tax, the price for YTL Power and the warrant B did show a good result this morning especially with the substantial volumn buying in Warrant B.  brows.gif
*
As i mentioned before windfall tax impact on this counter is minor. What concern more on this counter will be the weakening of pound...

Two things can really have big impact on this stock will be

a) How are they going to use that 8 bil cash in hand

b) strengthening of pound which i think upcoming olympic in UK will make UK economy turn better for these few years at least.

skiddtrader
post Sep 15 2008, 12:30 PM

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QUOTE(darkknight81 @ Sep 12 2008, 07:44 PM)
As i mentioned before windfall tax impact on this counter is minor. What concern more on this counter will be the weakening of pound...

Two things can really have big impact on this stock will be

a) How are they going to use that 8 bil cash in hand

b) strengthening of pound which i think upcoming olympic in UK will make UK economy turn better for these few years at least.
*
a) I think they have already RM9 bil in hand. Too bad the Singapore acquisition didn't go through.

b) I doubt the Olympics will have any significant economic impact on the UK. Since most of their infrastructure is already in place. Tourists arrivals will no doubt surge during the Olympic season but will be considered something very short term rather than long term. Meaning no new businesses will be created due to Olympics because the businesses that needs to be there are already there. Their retails business will see some boom during Olympics but then it'll be just like an additional Christmas Season for the year, nothing more. So I doubt the pound would have any effect due to Olympics.
TSdarkknight81
post Sep 15 2008, 12:35 PM

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<< I doubt the Olympics will have any significant economic impact on the UK. Since most of their infrastructure is already in place. Tourists arrivals will no doubt surge during the Olympic season but will be considered something very short term rather than long term. Meaning no new businesses will be created due to Olympics because the businesses that needs to be there are already there. Their retails business will see some boom during Olympics but then it'll be just like an additional Christmas Season for the year, nothing more. So I doubt the pound would have any effect due to Olympics.>>

Even though does not have any effect. But the pound has been plummeted RM 7.00 to RM 6.00 which is about 15%.
I think will be sustained at current level. Where as for RM, with current political uncertainties, CPO price sliding, withdrawal of FDI... i think doesn't it be better invest abroad through YTL POWER (wessex water)?


Added on September 15, 2008, 12:45 pmThe price has been solid like rock at currrent level sweat.gif don you ppl agree? i beliv the support level for this stock is somewhere at RM 1.60...

If any good acquisition happened this stock will go up even. icon_idea.gif

This post has been edited by darkknight81: Sep 15 2008, 12:45 PM
skiddtrader
post Sep 15 2008, 12:47 PM

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QUOTE(darkknight81 @ Sep 15 2008, 12:35 PM)
<< I doubt the Olympics will have any significant economic impact on the UK. Since most of their infrastructure is already in place. Tourists arrivals will no doubt surge during the Olympic season but will be considered something very short term rather than long term. Meaning no new businesses will be created due to Olympics because the businesses that needs to be there are already there. Their retails business will see some boom during Olympics but then it'll be just like an additional Christmas Season for the year, nothing more. So I doubt the pound would have any effect due to Olympics.>>

Even though does not have any effect. But the pound has been plummeted RM 7.00 to RM 6.00 which is about 15%.
I think will be sustained at current level. Where as for RM, with current political uncertainties, CPO price sliding, withdrawal of FDI... i think doesn't it be better invest abroad through YTL POWER (wessex water)?
*
You mean buying YTLPOWER shares as a proxy for overseas investments? Hmm interesting way to look at it, but I'm not all to familiar how the forex would react in the near future but am interested in keeping ahead of the fall in RM by keeping SG dollars and possibly other currencies.

Edit: And yeah, I believe the support would be at RM1.60-RM1.65.

This post has been edited by skiddtrader: Sep 15 2008, 12:48 PM
TSdarkknight81
post Sep 15 2008, 12:54 PM

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QUOTE(skiddtrader @ Sep 15 2008, 01:47 PM)
You mean buying YTLPOWER shares as a proxy for overseas investments? Hmm interesting way to look at it, but I'm not all to familiar how the forex would react in the near future but am interested in keeping ahead of the fall in RM by keeping SG dollars and possibly other currencies.

Edit: And yeah, I believe the support would be at RM1.60-RM1.65.
*
Yup thats what i mean. biggrin.gif

As 70% of YTL power income is in pound (wessex water)

7-8% is from Electra net (auzzi)

7% is from indon (no comment for this)



This post has been edited by darkknight81: Sep 15 2008, 07:48 PM
TSdarkknight81
post Sep 15 2008, 07:49 PM

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Any one know there is a large number of warrant b conversion today? i saw it on cimb itrade but want to find it no more already....anyone know about it??
TSdarkknight81
post Sep 17 2008, 05:10 PM

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This counter has been solid like rock... the price does not fluctuate at all laugh.gif
skiddtrader
post Sep 18 2008, 02:34 PM

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QUOTE(darkknight81 @ Sep 17 2008, 05:10 PM)
This counter has been solid like rock... the price does not fluctuate at all  laugh.gif
*
Wouldn't move much from here since it has already fallen quite a lot since last year.

Don't forget though that next quarter results will show the windfall tax payment and will affect their nett profits.
TSdarkknight81
post Sep 18 2008, 03:04 PM

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<<Don't forget though that next quarter results will show the windfall tax payment and will affect their nett profits.>>

Like what Cherroy always says the stock price most of the time will reflect the futures earnings especially for this type of steady income stock. Current price has been adjusted. hmm.gif




This post has been edited by darkknight81: Sep 18 2008, 07:15 PM
TSdarkknight81
post Sep 21 2008, 08:05 PM

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Got few questions here:

Does the bond consider as long term liability in the balance sheet?



How about the warrant after conversion? I mean the cash after conversion of warrant. Is it categorize under current asset?

notworthy.gif pls advise
skiddtrader
post Sep 22 2008, 10:33 AM

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QUOTE(darkknight81 @ Sep 21 2008, 08:05 PM)
Got few questions here:

Does the bond consider as long term liability in the balance sheet?
How about the warrant after conversion? I mean the cash after conversion of warrant. Is it categorize under current asset?

notworthy.gif pls advise
*
The bonds should be reflected under long-term liabilities.

For the cash from warrant conversion, these will reflect as financial activities of the cash flow report. Not very sure how the balance sheet will report, could be cash will be in assets and the other side would be balance off under equities. Will need someone to clarify on this as well.
SKY 1809
post Sep 22 2008, 11:54 AM

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QUOTE(darkknight81 @ Sep 21 2008, 08:05 PM)
Got few questions here:

Does the bond consider as long term liability in the balance sheet?
How about the warrant after conversion? I mean the cash after conversion of warrant. Is it categorize under current asset?

notworthy.gif pls advise
*
Let talk about short term (liability ) debts first.

Any debts that due within the next 12 months are classified as current liabilities.

Any debts fall outside or exceeding 12 months would be term as long term liabilities.

The balance sheet date such as at 30/6/08 is used as the computation point.

For bonds that are due in within 12 months time, could be considered as current liabilities. Just like any creditors, the co must have the money to pay when due. A sinking fund is usually created together with the issue of bond. Accounting uses conservative and going concern approach. Impact on Share prices even there is a rumour going on.

Warrant converted by way of cash :-

There is always a debit and credit reflected with an item created in the accounts.

When warrant is converted from cash from the subscribers, let say 1m

Then the co would have cash or money in the bank account as debit, under the current asset. If subsequently used for purchase let say a building, then it becomes a fixed asset. Or to reduce a loan , and buy investments. What i mean, it is not static like what you think.

and reflected as share capital in the co balance sheet ( as a credit item ).

However, the share capital is always maintained at par value, so anything exceeding the par value would go under the share premium account. Likewise , anything falls short of the par market, it must cover by some reserves or share premium account.

Using simple accounting approach. Correct me if i am wrong.

This post has been edited by SKY 1809: Sep 22 2008, 01:55 PM
TSdarkknight81
post Sep 22 2008, 01:19 PM

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QUOTE(SKY 1809 @ Sep 22 2008, 12:54 PM)
Let talk about short term (liability debts )  first.

Any debts that due within the next 12 months are classified as current liabilities.

Any debts fall outside or exceeding 12 months would be term as long term liabilities.

The balance sheet date such as at 30/6/08 is used as the computation point.

For bonds that  are due in within 12 months  time, could be considered as current liabilities. Just like any creditors, the  co must have the money to pay when due. A sinking fund is usually created together with the issue of bond. Accounting uses conservative and going concern approach. Impact on Share prices even there is a rumour going on.

Warrant converted by way of cash :-

There is always a debit and credit reflected with an item created in the accounts.

When warrant is converted from cash from the subscribers, let say 1m

Then the co would have cash or money in the bank account as debit, under the current asset. If subsequently used for purchase let say a building, then it becomes an fixed asset. Or to reduce a loan , and buy investments. What i mean, it is not static like what you think.

and reflected as share capital in the co balance sheet ( as a credit item ).

However, the share capital is always maintained at par value, so anything exceeding the par value would go under the share premium account. Likewise , anything falls short of the par market, it must cover by some reserves or share premium account.

Using simple accounting  approach. Correct me if i am wrong.
*
Agree with you. nod.gif

Current liability will most probably be the interest of lending need to be paid on that year.


This post has been edited by darkknight81: Sep 22 2008, 05:13 PM
TSdarkknight81
post Sep 23 2008, 11:17 AM

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YTLPOWR-EXERCISE OF 2,000 WARRANTS 2000/2010 AND 8,337,274 WARRANTS 2008/2018
23 Sep 2008, 09:42
YTLPOWR-EXERCISE OF 2,000 WARRANTS 2000/2010 AND 8,337,274 WARRANTS 2008/2018
('EXERCISE')LISTING'S CIRCULAR NO. L/Q : 51525 OF 2008
Kindly be advised that the abovenamed Company's additional 8,339,274 new
ordinary shares of RM0.50 each arising from the aforesaid Exercise will be
granted listing and quotation with effect from 9.00 a.m., Wednesday, 24
September 2008.

Sr. Mgr. Issuers, Listing Div.

TSdarkknight81
post Sep 23 2008, 05:28 PM

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There is a heavy sellilng on this counter today. Anyone know the reason behind?
skiddtrader
post Sep 23 2008, 05:46 PM

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QUOTE(darkknight81 @ Sep 23 2008, 05:28 PM)
There is a heavy sellilng on this counter today. Anyone know the reason behind?
*
Heavy selling? Not really when you look at the volumes for the day. But the individual selldown of some 3000 lots and another 1000 lots is probably by EPF or something. Noticed there was a last minute large buy-in as well of 3500 lots, not in line with normal buy-back times.
Yahoo8888
post Sep 25 2008, 01:28 PM

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Anyone having latest information for YTL Power ? The share seems stable at the price RM1.77 to RM1.80 although the mother share did shown some colour but not the YTL power. cry.gif


I think the "Avatar" from one of the forummers need to come to assist this stock. drool.gif
TSdarkknight81
post Sep 25 2008, 03:10 PM

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QUOTE(Yahoo8888 @ Sep 25 2008, 02:28 PM)
Anyone having latest information for YTL Power ? The share seems stable at the price RM1.77 to RM1.80 although the mother share did shown some colour but not the YTL power.  cry.gif
I think the "Avatar" from one of the forummers need to come to assist this stock.  drool.gif
*
I always say this counter is steady income stock. What do you expect it to suddenly surge? The only thing we can expect is how they are going to use the 7.6 bil cash. Thats what most of the investor holding this stock for. Without any news on any acquisition basically you cannot expect the price to go up
Yahoo8888
post Sep 25 2008, 03:25 PM

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QUOTE(darkknight81 @ Sep 25 2008, 03:10 PM)
I always say this counter is steady income stock. What do you expect it to suddenly surge? The only thing we can expect is how they are going to use the 7.6 bil cash. Thats what most of the investor holding this stock for. Without any news on any acquisition basically you cannot expect the price to go up
*
Hey bro,

Kindly read through who i had wrote

I am asking any latest news for tis share and not asking why tis stock not soar ...........

Suggestion: You might need a good spectacle ............... i would borrow mine if you not mind cool2.gif
SKY 1809
post Sep 25 2008, 03:37 PM

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QUOTE(darkknight81 @ Sep 25 2008, 03:10 PM)
I always say this counter is steady income stock. What do you expect it to suddenly surge? The only thing we can expect is how they are going to use the 7.6 bil cash. Thats what most of the investor holding this stock for. Without any news on any acquisition basically you cannot expect the price to go up
*
This company seems to have vision.

It was listed just before the 1997 crisis, and this company held a lot of cash pile, while many others suffered.

Now again with big cash pile, they may foresee things that forumers may not see.

Interesting counter.





TSdarkknight81
post Sep 25 2008, 07:36 PM

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QUOTE(SKY 1809 @ Sep 25 2008, 04:37 PM)
This company seems to have vision.

It was listed just before the 1997 crisis, and  this company held a lot of cash pile, while many others suffered.

Now again with big cash pile, they may foresee things that forumers may not see.

Interesting counter.
*
Just to remind you also this company debt to equity ratio is quite high too as the business they are doing need a lot of capital. But for me this counter is something like combination of Growth + income stock. Which means you get capital appreciation and dividend. But this stock is certainly not for trader or speculator laugh.gif

One more thing i discover about this counter is . It is 61% owned by YTL Corp. And YTL Corp is 53% own by FRANCIS YEOH. Which means Francis Yeoh is indirectly owned about 35% of YTL power. Francis Yeah is continuing increasing his stake in YTL power. Last Year, YTL ISSUED 1 to 1 YTL power share to YTL share holder at RM 1.00. Which means Francis Yeoh is increasing his stake in YTL power as you know YTL power has the biggest contribution to YTL POWER.

Further more, YTL power are accumulating its own share by share buying back everyday and distributed back to the shareholder.

By looking at all these, FRANCIS Yeoh is deem interested in this company. He is the one who knows everything about YTL power from head to toes. He must see the bright future of YTL power and this business especially waste water treatment business as you know our environment is being polluted so basically supply of clean water is becoming less.

Further more i am looking at streagthening of pound which 70% of ytl power is in pound.



This post has been edited by darkknight81: Sep 25 2008, 07:45 PM
calmwater
post Sep 25 2008, 11:45 PM

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Something I don't understand about YTL POWER is it hardly made any difference to it's share price even after windfall taxes was discontinued and also all renegotiations of past IPP agreements have been immediately halted.

What's the problem?

Anyone has an idea?
skiddtrader
post Sep 26 2008, 03:24 AM

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QUOTE(calmwater @ Sep 25 2008, 11:45 PM)
Something I don't understand about YTL POWER is it hardly made any difference to it's share price even after windfall taxes was discontinued and also all renegotiations of past IPP agreements have been immediately halted.

  What's the problem?

  Anyone has an idea?
*
When the times were bearish, it was holding quite steady. But when the windfall tax news came about, it was what broke the camel's back and send it downwards. Since then even though the windfall tax is discontinued, they still need to pay at least 1 years windfall tax for 2008.

Until the actual amount is known (no one knows for sure how much they paid), the share will continue to be like this until the announcement is made.

If you are expecting a sudden surge in the share price, it's better if you speculate on the WB warrants as the returns would be much better.
calmwater
post Sep 26 2008, 10:09 AM

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QUOTE(skiddtrader @ Sep 25 2008, 03:24 PM)
When the times were bearish, it was holding quite steady. But when the windfall tax news came about, it was what broke the camel's back and send it downwards. Since then even though the windfall tax is discontinued, they still need to pay at least 1 years windfall tax for 2008.

Until the actual amount is known (no one knows for sure how much they paid), the share will continue to be like this until the announcement is made.

If you are expecting a sudden surge in the share price, it's better if you speculate on the WB warrants as the returns would be much better.
*
Your analysis makes good sense and yes, WB is indeed my choice too.

What's with the Pound business, does it matter that much?

If Pound goes down, tranlates to lower revenue but if reserves are in Ringgit that should offer some counter balance.

Or rather I hope it does!! rclxub.gif
SKY 1809
post Sep 26 2008, 10:16 AM

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I think generally buying warrants at the times of uncertainty worldwide and locally , could increase one's risk.

Afterall, there could be more companies with better valuations to consider, more options for your money. And if you were to buy a blue chip, some how it would be able to grow in term of revenues like the case of Public Bank or YTL Power , though market is bad.

And also on what basis could you consider warrants are cheap or attractive in term of valuations ? It is not so simple , though possible to calculate. Warrants would not allow you to share the profits or dividends, unless converted to shares.

But if you want to speculate , then again warrants may not the first to go up if there is a trend reversal .

What i mean is to avoid warrants at times of uncertainty. Look for some certainty in times of uncertainties.

Just my 2sen opinion.

Do not mean to flame you.

This post has been edited by SKY 1809: Sep 26 2008, 10:34 AM
TSdarkknight81
post Sep 26 2008, 10:57 AM

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QUOTE(SKY 1809 @ Sep 26 2008, 11:16 AM)
I think generally  buying warrants at the times of uncertainty worldwide and locally , could increase one's risk.

Afterall, there could be more companies with better valuations to consider, more options for your money. And if you were to buy a blue chip, some how it would be able to grow in term of revenues like the case of Public Bank or YTL Power , though  market is bad.

And also on  what basis could you consider warrants are cheap or attractive in term of valuations ? It is not so simple , though possible to calculate. Warrants would not allow you to share the profits or dividends, unless converted to shares.

But if you want to speculate , then again warrants may not the first to go up if there is a trend reversal .

What i mean is to avoid warrants at times of uncertainty. Look for some certainty in times of uncertainties.

Just my 2sen opinion.

Do not mean to flame you.
*
Er... there is a lot of warrent in the market. Some is call warrant...which is very risky.

So before you invest make sure you really understand what you are doing.

Basically buying YTLpower -WB will be similar like buying the mother share.Let me elaborate more.

YTL POWER MOTHER SHARE

- you can get annual dividend
- you will get bonus share
- you got the right to vote (with the low % of holding you don have much say also it is mostly for the major share holder)

YTL power warrant B

-you use less capital to enter this stock
- The price will go like this way = YTL POWER PRICE - CONVERSION PRICE (RM 1.21)
- You can convert 1 warrant B to 1 mother share anytime
- the expiry date is 2018

This post has been edited by darkknight81: Sep 26 2008, 11:37 AM
SKY 1809
post Sep 26 2008, 11:05 AM

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QUOTE(darkknight81 @ Sep 26 2008, 10:57 AM)
Er... there is a lot of warrent in the market. Some is call warrant...which is very risky.

So before you invest make sure you really understand what you are doing.

Basically buying YTLpower -WB will be similar like buying the mother share.Let me elaborate more.

YTL POWER MOTHER SHARE

- you can get annual dividend
- you will get bonus share
- you got the right to vote (with the low % of holding you don have much say also it is mostly for the major share holder)

YTL power warrant B

-you use less capital to enter this stock
- The price will go like this way = YTL POWER PRICE - CONVERSION PRICE (RM 1.21)
*
Are you aware many warrants became toilet papers after 1997 crisis ?

Have you heard of 5 years extension for warrants ?

And there is a political crisis going on.

This post has been edited by SKY 1809: Sep 26 2008, 11:12 AM
TSdarkknight81
post Sep 26 2008, 11:51 AM

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QUOTE(SKY 1809 @ Sep 26 2008, 12:05 PM)
Are you aware many warrants became toilet papers after 1997 crisis ?

Have you heard of 5 years extension for warrants ?

And there is a political crisis going on.
*
Agree with what you said

FOR example Mother share for stock A = RM 9

Conversion price is RM 6

WARRANT price is RM 3

If market crash stock,

Stock A = RM 5 Then there is no point for you to buy that warrant anymore as you can buy at lower price.

But for YTL power warrant B i see it is quite potentiol.

Due to 10 years expiry date and unless it really drop to BELOW rm 1.21
SKY 1809
post Sep 26 2008, 12:11 PM

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QUOTE(darkknight81 @ Sep 26 2008, 11:51 AM)
Agree with what you said

FOR example Mother share for stock A = RM 9

Conversion price is RM 6

WARRANT price is RM 3

If market crash stock,

Stock A = RM 5 Then there is no point for you to buy that warrant anymore as you can buy at lower price.

But for YTL power warrant B i see it is quite potentiol.

Due to 10 years expiry date and unless it really drop to BELOW rm 1.21
*
Sounds like you have all the confidence that this warrant has no other way but to go up.


It is your choice. All the best to you.

TSdarkknight81
post Sep 26 2008, 12:46 PM

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QUOTE(SKY 1809 @ Sep 26 2008, 01:11 PM)
Sounds  like you have all the confidence that this warrant has no other way but to go up.
It is your choice. All the best to you.
*
You still don get what i mean. I mean the warrant can be buy to hold or to convert to mother share next time. Let me elaborate

I am holding 350 lots of the mother share which bought at RM 1.83 LAST FEW MONTHS. I just got the bonus share of 1/40 last month.

During i bought the mother share i wan to buy more actually , but i choose to buy some on the warrant B which about 200 lots. With lower entering price RM 0.54. Conversion price is now adusted to RM 1.21 FROM RM 1.25 . So which means i can convert my warrant B TO MOTHER SHARE ANYTIME By paying extra RM 121 for each lots i hold.

Thats y i said you must understand how it works before you invest. Not everywarrant is high risk as you think.


The reason y i bought some warrant are

1. If the mother share go up 50 sen my warrant will folo too. but i gain about 20% from my mother share only where as i gained 100% from my warrant. This is for trading side

2. I can convert my warrant anytime just before 2018. I got the confident on the mother share tats y i dare to buy the warrant.
keith_hjinhoh
post Sep 26 2008, 12:51 PM

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QUOTE(darkknight81 @ Sep 26 2008, 12:46 PM)
You still don get what i mean. I mean the warrant can be buy to hold or to convert to mother share next time. Let me elaborate

I am holding 350 lots of the mother share which bought at RM 1.83 LAST  FEW MONTHS. I just got the bonus share of 1/40 last month.

During i bought the mother share i wan to buy more actually , but i choose to buy some on the warrant B which about 200 lots. With lower entering price RM 0.54. Conversion price is now adusted to RM 1.21 FROM RM 1.25 . So which means i can convert my warrant B TO MOTHER SHARE ANYTIME By paying extra RM 121 for each lots i hold.

Thats y i said you must understand how it works before you invest. Not everywarrant is high risk as you think.
The reason y i bought some warrant are

1. If the mother share go up 50 sen my warrant will folo too. but i gain about 20% from my mother share only where as i gained 100% from my warrant. This is for trading side

2. I can convert my warrant anytime just before 2018. I got the confident on the mother share tats y i dare to buy the warrant.
*
There are some disadvantage too.

1] No dividend
2] Assuming mother share drop 50%, and warrant at toilet paper price. ( i guess this is what they've been talking about). No people would want the warrant anymore.
3] Assuming mother share price remain constant, you're losing 'interest' indirectly.
TSdarkknight81
post Sep 26 2008, 12:59 PM

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QUOTE(keith_hjinhoh @ Sep 26 2008, 01:51 PM)
There are some disadvantage too.

1] No dividend
2] Assuming mother share drop 50%, and warrant at toilet paper price. ( i guess this is what they've been talking about). No people would want the warrant anymore.
3] Assuming mother share price remain constant, you're losing 'interest' indirectly.
*
Thats y i said as i got confidence on the mother share thats y i dare to buy the warrant. With 8 bil cash in hand during economy crisis, they can buy a lot of business involved water treatment and power plant. For the dividend side, if the mother share does not go up then no choice i will convert to mother share then which 6% cash dividend 4% bonus share distribution.
Yahoo8888
post Sep 26 2008, 02:00 PM

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According to the Edge, regarding the FDI in Malaysia, currently the outflow figure surpassing the inflow figure.
YTL is one of the company that been stated.

The future for YTL should be bright. brows.gif
TSdarkknight81
post Sep 26 2008, 03:33 PM

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QUOTE(Yahoo8888 @ Sep 26 2008, 03:00 PM)
According to the Edge, regarding the FDI in Malaysia, currently the outflow figure surpassing the inflow figure.
YTL is one of the company that been stated.

The future for YTL should be bright.  brows.gif
*
YTL power major shareholder is from YTL CORP which is the yeoh's family , second will be EPF, I can say the free float for YTL power is less than 30%. FDI only consists less than 5% in this counter.
SKY 1809
post Sep 26 2008, 07:03 PM

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QUOTE(darkknight81 @ Sep 26 2008, 12:46 PM)
You still don get what i mean. I mean the warrant can be buy to hold or to convert to mother share next time. Let me elaborate

I am holding 350 lots of the mother share which bought at RM 1.83 LAST  FEW MONTHS. I just got the bonus share of 1/40 last month.

During i bought the mother share i wan to buy more actually , but i choose to buy some on the warrant B which about 200 lots. With lower entering price RM 0.54. Conversion price is now adusted to RM 1.21 FROM RM 1.25 . So which means i can convert my warrant B TO MOTHER SHARE ANYTIME By paying extra RM 121 for each lots i hold.

Thats y i said you must understand how it works before you invest. Not everywarrant is high risk as you think.
The reason y i bought some warrant are

1. If the mother share go up 50 sen my warrant will folo too. but i gain about 20% from my mother share only where as i gained 100% from my warrant. This is for trading side

2. I can convert my warrant anytime just before 2018. I got the confident on the mother share tats y i dare to buy the warrant.
*
Read what i underline.

Those were the thinkings of investors during the 1997 crisis. They had seen Second Boards counters gone up so much in prices before, and during bad times, they still had a lot of hopes that one day the second board counters will come back and shine. I am sad to tell you this day has yet to come. I do not mean your warrants would not have a chance to go up by 50% or more. Both directions as compared to one direction , are more likely.

On the other hands, a few investors started to change their thinking by switching to Public Bank or IOI PB, they see the days.

So what if the mother share price comes down, not likely , right ? Then you are just like the other investors that i just mentioned.



To be good in the market, you cannot think like the ordinary investors.

Just my 2sen opinion

http://biz.thestar.com.my/news/story.asp?f...21&sec=business


This post has been edited by SKY 1809: Sep 26 2008, 08:57 PM
TSdarkknight81
post Sep 26 2008, 09:50 PM

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QUOTE(SKY 1809 @ Sep 26 2008, 08:03 PM)
Read what i underline.

Those were the thinkings  of investors during the 1997 crisis. They had seen Second Boards counters gone up  so much in prices before, and during bad times, they still had a lot of hopes  that one day the second board counters will come back and shine. I am sad to tell you this day has yet to come. I do not mean your warrants would not have a chance to go up by 50% or more. Both directions as compared to one direction , are more likely.

On the other hands, a few investors started to change their thinking by switching to Public Bank or IOI PB, they see the days.

So what if the mother share price comes  down, not likely , right ? Then you are just like the other investors that i just mentioned.
To be good in the market, you cannot think like the ordinary investors.

Just my 2sen opinion

http://biz.thestar.com.my/news/story.asp?f...21&sec=business
*
For me the price of the mother share is quite attractive already at RM 1.80. i don see it will come down below RM 1.50 or lower base on the steady income of this stock. I mean you must see what type of business they are doing. I do admit there are a lot of stock valuation is quite high which i don dare to touch at all. Thats y i am confident to buy its warrant. The warrant just adjusted it conversion price from RM 1.25 to RM 1.21 RECENTLY. I DO ADMIT this stock is a very dull counter as you can see there is not much fluctuation. You will know what i mean if you really study this stock. I got do my own research on this stock before i go in. For you, you may think pb look attractive and IOI look attractive? But for me it is still expensive. TAKE FOR example IOI, the EPS is 20 sen during CPO boom at RM 4000 PER TONNE. Now the CPO is only around RM 2300 PER TONNE. Do you think the EPS will be errroded lower less than 20 sen? i can assure you if market get worse, IOI will get a hard hit compare to YTL POWER.

I am not critized but i think that the way you said you seems did not research on the earnings and balance sheet of that company, it is the most important things before you invest. You got to see on what situation what stock will get the hardest hit. Take for example if klse go down 50%. Stock A might go down 10% only, whereas stock B may go down 70%. It all depends on what type of business and what type of crisis the economy is facing.

This post has been edited by darkknight81: Sep 26 2008, 10:02 PM
calmwater
post Sep 27 2008, 03:52 AM

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QUOTE(darkknight81 @ Sep 26 2008, 09:50 AM)
For me the price of the mother share is quite attractive already at RM 1.80. i don see it will come down below RM 1.50 or lower base on the steady income of this stock. I mean you must see what type of business they are doing. I do admit there are a lot of stock valuation is quite high which i don dare to touch at all. Thats y i am confident to buy its warrant. The warrant just adjusted it conversion price from RM 1.25 to RM 1.21 RECENTLY. I DO ADMIT this stock is a very dull counter as you can see there is not much fluctuation. You will know what i mean if you really study this stock. I got do my own research on this stock before i go in. For you, you may think pb look attractive and IOI look attractive? But for me it is still expensive. TAKE FOR example IOI, the EPS is 20 sen during CPO boom at RM 4000 PER TONNE. Now the CPO is only around RM 2300 PER TONNE. Do you think the EPS will be errroded lower less than 20 sen? i can assure you if market get worse, IOI will get a hard hit compare to YTL POWER.

I am not critized but i think that the way you said you seems did not research on the earnings and balance sheet of that company, it is the most important things before you invest. You got to see on what situation what stock will get the hardest hit. Take for example if klse go down 50%. Stock A might go down 10% only, whereas stock B may go down 70%. It all depends on what type of business and what type of crisis the economy is facing.
*
During times of crisis many unforseeable things happen. Going to the beach one nice morning, we have no idea there is a Tsunami coming.
Similarly we cannot judge what may happen tommorrow or the day after in the financial markets. What the effect may be, again we cannot judge.
But we cannot live on a hill all the time so that we do not drown.Some risk taking is necessary, it is part of life.

Now talking about risks, which are the counters that are safest? My choice is in utilities. Now choosing which utility player to place my bet on, I would want to choose a really strong player. So come what may, at the end of the day, it should be there like a rock. Now which counter is that?

My unanimous choice is none other than YTL POWER. For not only it has long term contracts and solid ones too ( yummy,yummy) but also our Tai Koh ( Tan Sri Francis ) has been through and seen the effects of many market crashes from as early as the 70's. He knows how to wait patiently for the next one and has built up a massive war chest to face the big challenges coming ( can be seen on the horizon already ). Come those horrible days, I expect many large corporations to be out there crying for financing (especially those that party too much during the good times ), as the credit market is drying up if not already dry.

That is when my favorite horse will pull away to win the race.

Choosing between the mother and WB, again my bet is on WB. But one will need guts of steel to go through the upheavel that may soon come. To survive I plan not to panic even if it seems my investment may turn into toilet paper.

Aiyo !! that thought really frightens me. But how to win if so scared?

Still I need to be careful, so the idea is to keep about 30% in cash. whistling.gif


constant
post Sep 27 2008, 11:05 AM

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Why is the exercise for the WB lowered from 1.25 to 1.21? is it because dividends has been paid out?

Thanks
SKY 1809
post Sep 27 2008, 12:28 PM

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I am talking about warrants in general , and that includes YTLPower warrants in line with earlier discussion, where as you talk about blue chips like YTL Power.

No matter how good the mother share is, I still think that the warrant still stands a chance to be of zero sum ( out of the value ). it is like a relationship between a mother and the son. if it is the same, then all investors prefer to buy warrants instead of mother share.

Let say one is talking about call warrant of Maybank, then other jumps to the conclusion on Maybank mother share. Then, I guess we are not at same risk levels.

Whether one can take risk or not is in accordance with one own risk profile, you cannot just apply across the board, not even to your own brothers and sisters. Again, there is a vast different in risk levels for warrants and mother shares.

It is wrong if you are risk taker, and then advise your all friends to be on par with you. if you still believe what you are doing is correct, then make sure you do not regret few years down the road.

This post has been edited by SKY 1809: Sep 27 2008, 04:16 PM
gowin_goh
post Sep 27 2008, 12:52 PM

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I can convert my warrant B TO MOTHER SHARE ANYTIME By paying RM1.21+RM0.52=RM1.73 as at 26/9/08? BUT the mother share is price at RM1.78 as at 26/9/08, which mean i earn a profit of RM0.05 on conversion?Can anyone explain wheteher it is true? icon_question.gif icon_question.gif

This post has been edited by gowin_goh: Sep 27 2008, 12:54 PM
SKY 1809
post Sep 27 2008, 12:58 PM

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QUOTE(gowin_goh @ Sep 27 2008, 12:52 PM)
I can convert my warrant B TO MOTHER SHARE ANYTIME By paying RM1.21+RM0.52=RM1.73 as at 26/9/08?                                         BUT the mother share is price at RM1.78 as at 26/9/08, which mean i earn a profit of RM0.05 on conversion?Can anyone explain wheteher it is true? icon_question.gif  icon_question.gif
*
yes, definitely you can. But the mother share price is not static at rm 1.78, could be higher or lower in accordance with market situations ( the health of our economy ) and local politics at that moment ( at the point of selling ).

This post has been edited by SKY 1809: Sep 27 2008, 04:19 PM
TSdarkknight81
post Sep 27 2008, 02:28 PM

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<<On the other hands, a few investors started to change their thinking by switching to Public Bank or IOI PB, they see the days.

So what if the mother share price comes down[/color], not likely , right ? Then you are just like the other investors that i just mentioned.
To be good in the market, you cannot think like the ordinary investors.>>

Public Bank

Banking stock are the most volatile during economy downturn. Yup public bank is a best banking stock in malaysia but if the economy slowdown it will certain get hit also. The NPL will increase no doubt about it. Thats y for me still out of my list. But, yes it can be kept for the generous dividend. But the dividend may go down too.


IOI

If you follow the trend like most ppl buying stock out there. Then you will get trap ....It is certainly not the stock you can hold to weather during economy slowdown.First you must know, past few month crude oil hike which caused commodity boom that make this stock surge up 100% in one year time. The bubble is bursting now and it is not the end yet...

During CPO boom, CPO was at RM 4000/TONNE, looking at the EPS of IOI is about 20 sen. IF THE STOck price is RM 8.00 The PE is 40 times. Speculator don want to miss the train so they all go and join the commodity boom. Almost similar like US subprime loan crisis but not as serious like US. If you think by buying this counter you can weather against another downturn then you are wrong. Let say, CPO price sustain at current level (which i think may go down further) which is RM 2300/tonne for 4 years. You think IOI can sustain at current price of RM 4.80? It cun sustain at current price with PE of almost 20 times. It will goes down further. It is a falling dagger....

Why i think YTL power mother share can sustain at current price?

It is not a bubble stock, it is a income stock which give constant dividend and bonus share .. I bough it during the windfall tax issue as i think "the windfall tax issue" may happened only once in your lifetime. Recently the windfall tax is cancelled but they got to pay one lump sum of money to the government which is short term pain. It will not affect this counter future earnigs. There are a lot more on good things about this stock if you really go through this topic. It is a steady income stock without much speculation. Thats y i am confidend with the mother share. That is the logic behind y i bought some of the warrant too as i can convert them slowly to mother share which means i can buy the mother share at lower cost.

constant
post Sep 27 2008, 04:09 PM

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QUOTE(constant @ Sep 27 2008, 11:05 AM)
Why is the exercise for the WB lowered from 1.25 to 1.21? is it because dividends has been paid out?

Thanks
*
anyone who knows pl answer..thank q

TSdarkknight81
post Sep 27 2008, 05:38 PM

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QUOTE(constant @ Sep 27 2008, 05:09 PM)
anyone who knows pl answer..thank q
*
No dividend has nothing to do with the adjustment of WB. It is due to the 1/40 of YTL power mother share pay back to the shareholder.
Yahoo8888
post Sep 29 2008, 08:54 AM

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Anyone receive letter from YTL Power for the treasury share given? brows.gif
cherroy
post Sep 29 2008, 09:08 AM

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QUOTE(constant @ Sep 27 2008, 11:05 AM)
Why is the exercise for the WB lowered from 1.25 to 1.21? is it because dividends has been paid out?

Thanks
*
Yes, warrant exercise price normally will be adjusted according to extra shares being given out (like bonus, rights, share dividend etc) so that warrant holders has equal treatment throughout except for cash dividend.


Added on September 29, 2008, 9:10 am
QUOTE(gowin_goh @ Sep 27 2008, 12:52 PM)
I can convert my warrant B TO MOTHER SHARE ANYTIME By paying RM1.21+RM0.52=RM1.73 as at 26/9/08?                                        BUT the mother share is price at RM1.78 as at 26/9/08, which mean i earn a profit of RM0.05 on conversion?Can anyone explain wheteher it is true? icon_question.gif  icon_question.gif
*
Yes,

But you lose your gearing advatange of a warrant.

But you gain interm of getting cash dividend.

As it is one of dividend stocks, so normally warrant for dividend stocks will be discount a bit as warrant holders can't enjoy those cash dividend and while when stock price being ex-dividend time, share price will be adjusted downwards which is a disadvantage factor for warrant.

This post has been edited by cherroy: Sep 29 2008, 09:10 AM
TSdarkknight81
post Sep 29 2008, 04:30 PM

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QUOTE(Yahoo8888 @ Sep 29 2008, 09:54 AM)
Anyone receive letter from YTL Power for the treasury share given?  brows.gif
*
Check with my broker already. The bonus share already go in the account. brows.gif
Yahoo8888
post Sep 29 2008, 04:39 PM

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QUOTE(darkknight81 @ Sep 29 2008, 04:30 PM)
Check with my broker already. The bonus share already go in the account.  brows.gif
*
oooooO .................i thought ur one been eaten. cool2.gif


Added on September 30, 2008, 2:06 pmSifus Darkknight 81

He was right as YTL power share always maintain the price around RM1.70 to RM1.80. Although KLCI dropped, the share price for YTL Power still solid as rock.

wow ....you should work as a remiser..........so sayang la if you're not in this field coz the company may short of more earnings because you not involve la ............ laugh.gif

This post has been edited by Yahoo8888: Sep 30 2008, 02:06 PM
rayloo
post Oct 2 2008, 02:14 AM

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Sifus, I am planning to get some YTL power this few days, hope can get below RM1.70. But the annual tax at RM91 Million after the cancellation of windfall tax really bothers me a lot. The annual tax will surely affect the earning from this year on.

From the previous thread, I get to know that power business only contributes 30% of its total income, but will this bring huge impact to its value ?
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post Oct 2 2008, 09:45 AM

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QUOTE(rayloo @ Oct 2 2008, 03:14 AM)
Sifus, I am planning to get some YTL power this few days, hope can get below RM1.70. But the annual tax at RM91 Million after the cancellation of windfall tax really bothers me a lot. The annual tax will surely affect the earning from this year on.

From the previous thread, I get to know that power business only contributes 30% of its total income, but will this bring huge impact to its value ?
*
Let you know the earnings of YTL power first:

2007 Turnover is 4068 million
2006 Turnover is 3758.1 million

2007 OPERATING profit is 1851 million
2006 operating profit is 1607 million.

Operating Profit from power generation is 368.3 million on 2007 and 523.3 million on 2006.

30% from 368million is 122 million. Power generation in malaysia let say about 80 million...So Does not make much differnt for them....If they pay 30% out of the operating profit every year they gonna lose more....

What is 91 million to them? Further more it is paying one lump sum. Short term there is pain but long term does not have much impact.

But if you taking this stock like gambling which you want to trade for short term, this stock is definitely not for this purpose.
rayloo
post Oct 2 2008, 11:03 AM

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Thanks darkknight81, I agree only long term investment can bring out fruitful return. I oppose speculation.
Aiyo, US senate passes the 700 billion bailout plan already. Don't know can affect YTL Power price or not in next morning..

This post has been edited by rayloo: Oct 2 2008, 11:29 AM
skiddtrader
post Oct 2 2008, 11:28 AM

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QUOTE(darkknight81 @ Oct 2 2008, 09:45 AM)
Let you know the earnings of YTL power first:

2007 Turnover is 4068 million
2006 Turnover is 3758.1 million

2007 OPERATING profit is 1851 million
2006 operating profit is 1607 million.

Operating Profit from power generation is 368.3 million on 2007 and 523.3 million on 2006.

30% from 368million is 122 million. Power generation in malaysia let say about 80 million...So Does not make much differnt for them....If they pay 30% out of the operating profit every year they gonna lose more....

What is 91 million to them? Further more it is paying one lump sum. Short term there is pain but long term does not have much impact.

But if you taking this stock like gambling which you want to trade for short term, this stock is definitely not for this purpose.
*
Actually RM91 mil is almost about 9% of YTLPOWER's Nett profit. That means if in 2007 their nett profit was RM1 bil, 2008 will be RM909 mil if the profits stays the same. But this RM91 mil is a ONE time event. It won't be recurring in 2009 unless the governement flips flops again.

Unfortunately this can't be reversed just of yet. No one knows whats the next step of taxes or PPA negotiations that will impact the financials. But definitely the current government now knows that simply announcing a new tax without even thinking it through will be subjected to more scrutiny.

But as darkknight81 has said, YTLPOWER's strenght is it's resilience during downturns because of it's dividends and utilities steady business. As I've always said, if you think the share is going to go up soon, buy the WB warrants instead of mother share for maximum returns. If you're aiming for steady dividends then go for mother share. Balance both in your portfolio if you wish to experience both kind of returns.

This post has been edited by skiddtrader: Oct 2 2008, 11:30 AM
SKY 1809
post Oct 2 2008, 12:17 PM

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Utility companies play an important role in any economy. They have a social obligation towards the people , and especially towards the lower and middle income groups in particular. Also not forgetting those SME that play an important role in the economy.

Our government is fully aware of that, only thing they are not capable of passing back the benefits to the rakyat.

Look at Selangor as an example, free water though for limited amount could be good start , after all could be none for the past 50 years or so.

PPA negotiations are likely in view we have a new finance minister, or even a new Prime Minister, from BN or otherwise.

If they want to get better support from the voters, the cheaper utility is one of the must have. What happens to US now could be a yardstick for our local politics. People's money vs corporate revenue protection. Which one comes first.

That might translate into less favourable bottomline for YTL Power in the near future.

Just my 2sen opnion.

This post has been edited by SKY 1809: Oct 2 2008, 04:17 PM
TSdarkknight81
post Oct 2 2008, 01:40 PM

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QUOTE(SKY 1809 @ Oct 2 2008, 01:17 PM)
Utility companies play an important role in any economy. They have a social obligation towards the people , and especially towards  the lower and middle income groups in particular. Also not forgetting those  SME that play an important role in the economy.

Our government is fully aware of that, only thing they are not capable of  passing  back the benefits to the rakyat.

Look at Selangor as an example, free water though for limited amount could  be good start , after all  could be none for the past 50 years or so.

PPA negotiations are likely in view we have a new finance minister, or even a new Prime Minister, from BN or otherwise.

If  they want to get better support from the voters, the cheaper utility is one of the must have. What happens to US now could be an yardstick for our local politics. People's  money vs corporate revenue protection. Which one comes first.

That might  translate into less favourable bottomline for YTL Power in the near future.

Just my 2sen opnion.
*
Agree with that. Thats one of the reason why i choose YTL power compare to other utilities counter like MMC, TANJONG... as ytl power exposure in malaysia only about 10% and futher more they are aggressively expand their business oversea. Like recently bid on senoko power plant which is at singapore. I beliv they won have any expansion in malaysia anytime soon. They are going to expand their business oversea.
rayloo
post Oct 2 2008, 03:28 PM

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I bought MMC but sold few months later, made a mistake by not studying the financial status. Look at MMC debt, my god. Luckily I escaped with minor profit.



This post has been edited by rayloo: Oct 3 2008, 09:22 PM
rayloo
post Oct 3 2008, 09:21 PM

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Today I stock in some at RM1.77
This price O.K huh ? Previously my target was RM1.68, but after seeing a news in The Star Online dated 30/9/08 as below, I had decided not to wait liao.

QUOTE
The Star Online, 30 September 2008
US government officials rush to seal a deal for a bailout of its financial system, warning of a credit crisis. Cash-rich individuals and institutions make their acquisition moves, or would soon do so.

Over here, the Yeoh family who controls the YTL group would also be able to sign a cheque today for billions of ringgit and it would clear. On a recent roadshow, Tan Sri Francis Yeoh, who leads the group, told investors YTL has US$3bil (RM10.3bil) and is well positioned to start buying assets again. The group has been waiting for such times, given its track record of buying distressed assets. Yeoh is known to have waited patiently for many years to acquire distressed assets, believing excesses in the global financial system, including the massive issue of derivatives, would cause a downturn. A major acquisition by YTL Corp Bhd or YTL Power International Bhd is expected in this market cycle.
BTW
Just wondering, is YTL Power under value or YTL Corp over value ? Please refer the following....

______________________YTL Corp.................YTL Power
EPS in year 2007__________RM0.475......................RM0.2384
Assest Per Share_________ RM4.85........................RM1.2
Price on 3/10/08__________RM6.15........................RM1.77

While EPS for YTL Power is only half of YTL Corp, but how come the price for YTL Corp is 3.5 times higher of YTL Power ? If we consider the assest, it is 4 times higher for Corp to Power. But if we think another way, does it mean that YTL power can utilise RM1 of its assest to generate 19 cents of profit, while YTL Corp spends RM1 to make 9 cents of profit ?
Would it be that YTL Power is under value ?

Please correct me if I am wrong.

This post has been edited by rayloo: Oct 3 2008, 09:29 PM
skiddtrader
post Oct 3 2008, 09:56 PM

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YTLPOWER's latest EPS is 19.97 cents. At the current price of Rm1.77, the PER is 8.86x excluding dilution from future warrant conversion.

YTL's latest EPS is 56.5 cents. At current price of RM6.15, the PER is 10.88x excluding dilution from future warrant conversion.


YTL owns about 60% of YTLPOWER + other subsidiaries such as YTLCEMENT, YTLLAND and YTLE-Solutions.

Bulk of YTL's value is derived from YTLPOWER's asset, including assets + liabilities.

So when you look at YTL's financial, it actually includes YTLPOWER + all the other subsidiaries which are listed + those which are not listed.


And also regarding prices of share, it depends on how many shares the company has in total. YTLPOWER has about 6 billion shares now while YTL only has about 1.5 billion.

If you take the profits for both companies and divide it by the number of shares they have, you will arrive at their EPS.

Their share price divided by their EPS will be their PER or price earning ratio, which is commonly used to determine how expensive or cheap a stock is. Never look at a share price to decide whether a company is cheap or not because it's like comparing a $10k BMW car vs a $10k t-shirt. Both are priced the same, but the value you get is different.

Learn more on how to evaluate companies at Investopedia


TSdarkknight81
post Oct 3 2008, 10:40 PM

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From the graph you can see the support level of this stock falls between RM 1.77 - RM 1.74...
Yup the current asset is a lot right now which enable them to acquire new asset.

Personally i don really like YTL corp compare to YTL power as ytl corp diversified to few businesses. I personally think that YTL power earnings is more stable which means you can almost know how much they are going to earn...

For your information YTL corp offered their share holder RM 1.00 per YTL power share on 2007. As i have mentioned previously as the yeoh family is the major shareholder of YTL corp. Actually means they are the one who benefitted most from it. From the pattern you can see the yeoh's family are doing many ways to increase their stakes on YTL power if you notice it properly.

Yup like what you said YTL power looks more attractive than YTL corp by the figures. But i cannot guarantee though what will YTL corp do next as the YTL corp hold more than 60% of ytl power shares...Which means the yeoh's family major stake is on YTL corp and currently they want to increase their stake on ytl power. So don know what is their next move.
rayloo
post Oct 3 2008, 10:42 PM

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Thanks skiddtrader and appreaciate for the latest EPS report, if PER for YTL Power is 8.86x and YTL Corp is 10.88x, dont it mean YTL Power is more worthy to buy ? Instead of mother, son run faster.
Sorry for my naive questions, just I am a novice in stock investment. Will look into investopedia..

Ya darkknight81, don know what what will YTL Corp will do to YTL Power in future...Hope something good.

This post has been edited by rayloo: Oct 3 2008, 10:45 PM
TSdarkknight81
post Oct 3 2008, 10:50 PM

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QUOTE(rayloo @ Oct 3 2008, 11:42 PM)
Thanks skiddtrader and appreaciate for the latest EPS report, if PER for YTL Power is 8.86x and YTL Corp is 10.88x, dont it mean YTL Power is more worthy to buy ? Instead of mother, son run faster.
Sorry for my naive questions, just I am a novice in stock investment. Will look into investopedia..

Ya darkknight81, don know what what will YTL Corp will do to YTL Power in future...Hope something good.
*
For me personally, i beliv YTL corp are not yet attractive enough for me to enter yet laugh.gif ytl corp is a bit kedekut in giving out dividend.

What i look at ytl power is = DIVIDEND + GROWTH stock which means you get yearly income via dividend and at the same time you get capital appreciation.

cherroy
post Oct 4 2008, 10:13 AM

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QUOTE(rayloo @ Oct 3 2008, 10:42 PM)
Thanks skiddtrader and appreaciate for the latest EPS report, if PER for YTL Power is 8.86x and YTL Corp is 10.88x, dont it mean YTL Power is more worthy to buy ? Instead of mother, son run faster.
Sorry for my naive questions, just I am a novice in stock investment. Will look into investopedia..

Ya darkknight81, don know what what will YTL Corp will do to YTL Power in future...Hope something good.
*
It depends, can't say which one is better totally. Different comparison.

YTLpower - involved in Wessex and IPPs, so earning wise is quite predictable.

YTL - as a group and construction related, earning wise can shoot up quite fast in good time so does share price might appreciate more than YTLpower when market good time.

Not necessary mother or son wil run faster, it depends on individual company financial and prospect issue.

This post has been edited by cherroy: Oct 4 2008, 10:14 AM
skiddtrader
post Oct 4 2008, 02:29 PM

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QUOTE(rayloo @ Oct 3 2008, 10:42 PM)
Thanks skiddtrader and appreaciate for the latest EPS report, if PER for YTL Power is 8.86x and YTL Corp is 10.88x, dont it mean YTL Power is more worthy to buy ? Instead of mother, son run faster.
Sorry for my naive questions, just I am a novice in stock investment. Will look into investopedia..

Ya darkknight81, don know what what will YTL Corp will do to YTL Power in future...Hope something good.
*
Comparing the PER of both companies will be like comparing apples/oranges because of their different sectors. Although YTLPOWER's is part of YTL corp, they still have plenty of other businesses.

In the case of PER, different sectors has their different average PER. Like steel counters normally have a lower PER compared to tech counters. So if you want to compare PER, you have to find an equivalent comparison for YTLPOWER. Normally should be able to find other counters under the utilities section like MMC which owns Malakoff IPP, Tanjong (also a consortium like YTL), SARAWAK power and etc.

Also try to be aware under stable market conditions the PER is different from when the market is bullish or bearish. Normally PER plays an important role when you find the counter falls or rises significantly during bull or bear periods. The normalised or rather 'stable PER' can then be used as reference to see if it is really over-valued or under-valued. It is useless to use a bull-market PER and then compare it with a Bear market PER and claims the counter is very CHEAP.

For YTLPOWER's case, I would say under such bearish conditions and the controversial IPP windfall tax, it beat the stock down pretty much from it's above RM2 range to the current below RM1.8 range. I was expecting the counter to hold well above RM2 after the ex-date of their massive WB warrant issue but the IPP tax issue pushed it down further.
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post Oct 4 2008, 03:54 PM

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If you buy company with steady income stream.

a) Consider the company does not do any acquisition (which means they did not increase their debts basically)
b) NO share dilution (Number of share stay the same)

After they clear off their debts slowly every year. Basically you can expect their EPS will increase annually as they slowly pay off their debts and thus increase their net income
as EPS = NET INCOME / NUMBER OF SHARE

rayloo
post Oct 4 2008, 05:16 PM

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Oh right, I forgot not to compare different nature of counters...

By the way, I don know whether shall I ask here,
1) Where I can get accurate previous PER records ? What I did was average the price for the whole financial year and divided by EPS announced to get my own PER. whistling.gif
2) I can't figure out the difference of Basic Earning and Diluted Earning. All sifus mind to elaborate ?

This post has been edited by rayloo: Oct 4 2008, 05:17 PM
TSdarkknight81
post Oct 4 2008, 05:33 PM

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QUOTE(rayloo @ Oct 4 2008, 06:16 PM)
Oh right, I forgot not to compare different nature of counters...

By the way, I don know whether shall I ask here,
1) Where I can get accurate previous PER records ? What I did was average the price for the whole financial year and divided by EPS announced to get my own PER.  whistling.gif
2) I can't figure out the difference of Basic Earning and Diluted Earning. All sifus mind to elaborate ?
*
1. You can get EPS track records from the previous annual financial report.
2. Exercise of warrant to mother shares / distribution of new shares will dilute the EPS as the number of share increased whereas the company earnings still the same. Therefore EPS is diluted.
rayloo
post Oct 4 2008, 06:02 PM

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QUOTE("darkknight811")
. You can get EPS track records from the previous annual financial report.
I mean previous PER records.
skiddtrader
post Oct 4 2008, 08:08 PM

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QUOTE(rayloo @ Oct 4 2008, 06:02 PM)
QUOTE("darkknight811")
. You can get EPS track records from the previous annual financial report.
I mean previous PER records.
*
PER as far as I know is always changing depending on share price, so there are no known record of the PER unless it is recorded for a specific day.

Since PER is based upon the quarterly updated EPS and everchanging share prices, the EPS is the constant and should be used as reference every quarter to calculate the PER. Don't forget to annualised the quarterly EPS because the quarterly EPS is just for that quarter and PER is normally calculated by using the total EPS for the year.


calmwater
post Oct 4 2008, 09:17 PM

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The British Pound is on a downtrend, has depreciated from

1 Pound = 7 rinngit ( beginning of the year )

to

1 Pound = 6.12 ringgit ( Oct 03 2008 )

Earnings to be reported by YTLPOWR could take a hit with effects of
one lump sum payment of windfall tax as well as less profit from
Wessex due to lower exchange rate.


TSdarkknight81
post Oct 5 2008, 12:18 AM

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QUOTE(calmwater @ Oct 4 2008, 10:17 PM)
The British Pound is on a downtrend, has depreciated from

             1 Pound = 7 rinngit  ( beginning of the year )

                                         to

             1 Pound = 6.12 ringgit ( Oct 03 2008 )

       Earnings to be reported by YTLPOWR could take a hit with effects of
       one lump sum payment of windfall tax as well as less profit from
       Wessex due to lower exchange rate.
*
Brother current share price already take into consideration of the depreciation of pound ... It is not jsut today issues, it is quite sometimes already which means investor mostly know about it and it is not something new lol. As i mentioned in my previous post, one of the factor which this stock may appreciate is strengthening of pound against RM as our local political issues...
Windfall tax already become history already lar... as you know it is one lump sum payment which does not really affect its future earnings.

Thats y from what i see i can say almost nothing worse can happened to this counter ... thats y it is quite a suitable time to buy in this counter.


Added on October 5, 2008, 12:24 am
QUOTE(calmwater @ Oct 4 2008, 10:17 PM)
The British Pound is on a downtrend, has depreciated from

            1 Pound = 7 rinngit  ( beginning of the year )

                                        to

            1 Pound = 6.12 ringgit ( Oct 03 2008 )

      Earnings to be reported by YTLPOWR could take a hit with effects of
      one lump sum payment of windfall tax as well as less profit from
      Wessex due to lower exchange rate.
*
Tailou,

All these is yesterday news ler... almost everyone know about it...
Current share price already reflected all these....It will not wait until the next financial report come out then the price drops again unless there are somemore bad news happened on this counter...

As i have mentioned on my last last post, one of the reason i bought this stock is also due to pound has depreciated a lot and our local politics is very unstable... if something bad happene to our economy which means exchanged between pound and RM will go up.... I beliv pound will stay quite steady at current exchange rate .....

Windfall tax is already a history since they will pay in one lump sum once and for all....

All this are not important... what we are more interested are on how they going to use their huge cash pile

This post has been edited by darkknight81: Oct 5 2008, 12:24 AM
skiddtrader
post Oct 5 2008, 02:57 AM

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Darkknight81,

I'm sure calmwater is just trying to show another angle of possible risks involve and he is more than welcome to join the discussion regarding how the currency may play part in future profits.

For me, the currency exchange rate is a none issue because Wessex is earning in pounds which you think might be affected but then their long term loans are also in pounds which is reduced whenever the exchange rate increases in favor of RM. So both negate each other in terms of currency exchange fluctuations.

For example, if 1 Pound increases back to RM 7, their profits might go up another RM 1 for every Pound they make, but then for every Pound they took in loans will also increase by RM 1 which would mean, their monthly payments would increase by RM 1 for every Pound they pay. So like I said, it is a none issue.

Unlike other companies such as TENAGA which took their loans in American Dollars but their operational revenue is in RM, the currency exchange rate affects their quarterly performance. Because if the exchange rate increase is faster than their revenue growth, sooner or later they will start making a loss and would need to re-finance their loans in another currency to hedge against the Dollar appreciation.

In the case of YTLPOWER, over time when the loans in Pound is repaid and reduced, the exchange rate will have a more significant role to play in their profits as there aren't anymore loans that hedge against it. But their long term loans I believe are stretched over 15 years or more, and will probably be re-financed again so this scenario is unlikely to happen although possible.

This post has been edited by skiddtrader: Oct 5 2008, 03:02 AM
calmwater
post Oct 5 2008, 03:18 AM

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QUOTE(darkknight81 @ Oct 4 2008, 12:18 PM)
Brother current share price already take into consideration of the depreciation of pound ... It is not jsut today issues, it is quite sometimes already which means investor mostly know about it and it is not something new lol. As i mentioned in my previous post, one of the factor which this stock may appreciate is strengthening of pound against RM as our local political issues...
Windfall tax already become history already lar... as you know it is one lump sum payment which does not really affect its future earnings.

Thats y from what i see i can say almost nothing worse can happened to this counter ... thats y it is quite a suitable time to buy in this counter.


Added on October 5, 2008, 12:24 am

Tailou,

All these is yesterday news ler... almost everyone know about it...
Current share price already reflected all these....It will not wait until the next financial report come out then the price drops again unless there are somemore bad news happened on this counter...

As i have mentioned on my last last post, one of the reason i bought this stock is also due to pound has depreciated a lot and our local politics is very unstable... if something bad happene to our economy which means exchanged between pound and RM will go up.... I beliv pound will stay quite steady at current exchange rate .....

Windfall tax is already a history since they will pay in one lump sum once and for all....

All this are not important... what we are more interested are on how they going to use their huge cash pile
*
Well and good all of the above has been taken into consideration and shows in it's current price but what I would like to bring to all of your attention is the rate at which the pound is falling. Just 2 weeks ago was at 1 : 6.35 and now at 1 : 6.12
which is about 3%. Not only wessex profits are down by this percentage but the bigger difference is the value of Wessex as a whole and that is probably about a loss of RM 500 million cry.gif

I don't mean to alarm anyone but even though it is my favorite counter I still monitor it closely blink.gif , as short term there may be some downside, especially this coming week. Abdullah expected to make important annoncement before
Oct 9 about his political future and the very shaky DOW could be headed for a plunge this coming days ( investor's losing confidence fast ).

Also don't take Abdullah announcement for granted, for the way they try to force him out of office may make him turn around and kick Najib's ASS. Anything can happen!! There could be a free for all. As it is so many incumbent's vying for the VP post.

True our Ringgit may face downward pressure if something bad happens, especially with parliament reconvening Oct 13 and all the possibility of crossover's and the possible dissolution of parliament and re-elections or worse still some drastic actions being taken.

But also the Pound is under a lot of pressure as they too like the U.S. are facing serious financial troubles.

The whole idea is to be cautious. Converted some of my holdings to cash but still keeping quite a bit for there are also opportunities for YTLPOWR to acquire some more assets.

With the current uncertainties dont want to be caught knee deep. So if Power moves upwards I make whistling.gif

but if it goes down there will be opportunities to pick some more albeit at a lower price nod.gif

Good luck.

TSdarkknight81
post Oct 5 2008, 08:12 AM

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1. Windfall tax - Is sejarah already so should be not an issue for its future unless the pak lah change his decision again but we are going to bid farewell to our "beloved" PM soon so should be not an issue already nod.gif

2. Malaysian political uncertainties - Thats the reason y it is good of YTL power as its exposure in malaysia is less...If RM happened to be depreciated then like what i said last time it should be our hedging tools instead nod.gif

3. Pound depreciation - This is my main concern on this stock now actually cry.gif Yup actually UK = US....No doubt about it they are twins....So no doubt UK economy is in a bad shape now. Just considering the high USD reserve and T-bills of UK...70% of this counter earnings is from there rclxub.gif

I beliv recent bailout does not actually solved the problem though as the roots caused haven solved yet. Free market seems does not works....We should see now the how they are going to enforce new rules on their financial market....Maybe they should consult Malaysia laugh.gif

But i see USD should be had some support at current level . Let says global economy slowdown, Crude oil certainly will go down and hence USD will strengthened i beliv... It may seems out of topic but it is related i think if you really want to think about Wessex water earnings.

One more thing is no one haven give their feed back on my previous post on this:

a) Consider YTL power does not do any acquisition (which means they did not increase their debts basically)
b) NO share dilution (Number of share stay the same)

After they clear off their debts slowly every year. Basically you can expect their EPS will increase annually as they slowly pay off their debts and thus increase their net income
as EPS = NET INCOME / NUMBER OF SHARE


Pls feed back Correct me if wrong notworthy.gif

This post has been edited by darkknight81: Oct 5 2008, 08:15 AM
calmwater
post Oct 5 2008, 09:49 AM

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QUOTE(darkknight81 @ Oct 4 2008, 08:12 PM)
1. Windfall tax - Is sejarah already so should be not an issue for its future unless the pak lah change his decision again but we are going to bid farewell to our "beloved" PM soon so should be not an issue already  nod.gif

2. Malaysian political uncertainties - Thats the reason y it is good of YTL power as its exposure in malaysia is less...If RM happened to be depreciated then like what i said last time it should be our hedging tools instead  nod.gif

3. Pound depreciation - This is my main concern on this stock now actually  cry.gif Yup actually UK = US....No doubt about it they are twins....So no doubt UK economy is in a bad shape now. Just considering the high USD reserve and T-bills of UK...70% of this counter earnings is from there  rclxub.gif

I beliv recent bailout does not actually solved the problem though as the roots caused haven solved yet. Free market seems does not works....We should see now the how they are going to enforce new rules on their financial market....Maybe they should consult Malaysia  laugh.gif

But i see USD should be had some support at current level . Let says global economy slowdown, Crude oil certainly will go down and hence USD will strengthened i beliv... It may seems out of topic but it is related i think  if you really want to think about Wessex water earnings.

One more thing is no one haven give their feed back on my previous post on this:

a) Consider YTL power does not do any acquisition (which means they did not increase their debts basically)
b) NO share dilution (Number of share stay the same)

After they clear off their debts slowly every year. Basically you can expect their EPS will increase annually as they slowly pay off their debts and thus increase their net income
as EPS = NET INCOME / NUMBER OF SHARE
Pls feed back Correct me if wrong  notworthy.gif
*
I agree with what you are saying, basically as you pay off your house mortgage, you are owning it more and more while the bank is owning it less and less. But at the same time if you maintain your one house than basically will own just one house.

Instead if you have already paid off half your loan and at the same time you are having quite a bit of cash then you have the opportunity to buy another house and put it up on long term rent as well, you will have expanded your earnings. thumbup.gif

So it will not be a good idea to sit on your money when you can put it to good use of earning more for you. Surely with two homes your debt has increased substantially, but since your rental income is well secured by those very long term contracts you basically are pretty secured. whistling.gif

The idea is not to over extend yourselves, and in that respect good management is very important or crucial. In that aspect the reason I put my money on this counter is the fact that it is slowly accumulating wealth and at the same time are not going into risky ventures. Hats off to Francis notworthy.gif

But no matter how well we plan our moves we must be humble to admit that we can only try to do our best while what actually happens out there is beyond our control and understanding. There are after all too many factors to consider and it is beyond our capabilities to know everything.

Now knowing that, we should always be alert to what is happening around us and make the best decision possible.
That includes keeping a long term perspective as well as short term.

My idea is to invest some on long term basis, so doesn't matter what happens to the Pound, politics etc the investment is there. Then there is some investment that is made on shorter term basis, like if I feel there are too many risk factors i convert to cash and wait on the sidelines and then move in when sentiment is better.

At present risk factors are on the high side sweat.gif

In another two to three weeks some dark clouds might move away and then will make decision on my next move.

Just sharing my views, please ignore if you don't agree.

Take care.




aeronyc
post Oct 5 2008, 10:06 AM

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interesting thread.

spent few hours to read and digest all info here, thank you for all who contributed notworthy.gif

one question on pound issue:

althoug WW's earning and debt are both in pound, but we should not assume appreciation/depreciation of pound will automatically cancel off each other, it depends on the value of debt and income. for example, if the debt is much greater, then appreciation in pound not only will cancel off the additional earning from operating profit, but may add on more debt, and vice verse.

so, the question, anyone know the value of debt and income for WW in pound? ie, a more accurate number that will help us to judge whether appreciate/depreciation of pound will benefit/hurt WW, hence YTL PWR?

thanks in advance notworthy.gif

have a nice weekend
htt
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QUOTE(darkknight81 @ Oct 4 2008, 05:33 PM)
1. You can get EPS track records from the previous annual financial report.
2. Exercise of warrant to mother shares / distribution of new shares will dilute the EPS as the number of share increased whereas the company earnings still the same. Therefore EPS is diluted.
*
2. Also from convertible loan stock & ESOS.


Added on October 5, 2008, 11:30 amHehe... actually this company is sitting on top of large pile of cash and continue raising cash from loan stocks... I think the reason is rather obvious, but they are well know for buying in value (all those jump floor stocks like Wessex, contrast Maybank rclxms.gif ). Just lose out on bidding for power generator in Singapore but this not hurting them. I think for the to reduce their debt slowly is not their style as they continuing looking for opportunity. This this recession might coming into their strength again. Good one to hold for longer term, but quick gain is unlikely, this is something like 'fired and forget' stock, dividend yield and share distribution is good.

WB is indeed in good valuation right now if someone is going to buy. If I am not mistaken, the period of 10 years can weather through this recession (if it is coming). But you loss out on dividend blush.gif

Hope this will be useful for some and good luck...

p.s. pound issue is not that serious as they finance their operation in UK with pound, pound up or down to them is just currency gain/ loss, personally I think that's ok for me... as they are not going to offload the business in short term... personally only, people with different view point still are welcome to against my personal opinion tongue.gif

This post has been edited by htt: Oct 5 2008, 11:30 AM
rayloo
post Oct 5 2008, 12:16 PM

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I notice the dividend for this counter is 10 cents per share beore year 2006, last year 2007 increased to 17.50cent. Can you tell why suddenly they paid so generously ? When do they pay divedend ?
I also noticed the earning in 2007 is 40% surge comparing to 2006, any reason why they profit so much ?
espree
post Oct 5 2008, 12:31 PM

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may I know YTL power yearly dividend percentage..
I did some research but couldn't find exact. Would appreciate if you can point me the place to get those info too.
Thank you.
rayloo
post Oct 5 2008, 03:06 PM

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QUOTE("espree")
may I know YTL power yearly dividend percentage

I think you should find it in newspaper in dividend yield of the counter.

This post has been edited by rayloo: Oct 5 2008, 03:07 PM
TSdarkknight81
post Oct 5 2008, 10:22 PM

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QUOTE(calmwater @ Oct 5 2008, 10:49 AM)
I agree with what you are saying, basically as you pay off your house mortgage, you are owning it more and more while the bank is owning it less and less. But at the same time if you maintain your one house than basically will own just one house.

Instead if you have already paid off half your loan and at the same time you are having quite a bit of cash then you have the opportunity to buy another house and put it up on long term rent as well, you will have expanded your earnings.  thumbup.gif

So it will not be a good idea to sit on your money when you can put it to good use of earning more for you. Surely with two homes your debt has increased substantially, but since your rental income is well secured by those very long term contracts you basically are pretty secured.  whistling.gif

The idea is not to over extend yourselves, and in that respect good management is very important or crucial. In that aspect the reason I put my money on this counter is the fact that it is slowly accumulating wealth and at the same time are not going into risky ventures. Hats off to Francis  notworthy.gif

But no matter how well we plan our moves we must be humble to admit that we can only try to do our best while what actually happens out there is beyond our control and understanding. There are after all too many factors to consider and it is beyond our capabilities to know everything.

Now knowing that, we should  always be alert to what is happening around us and make the best decision possible.
That includes keeping a long term perspective as well as short term.

My idea is to invest some on long term basis, so doesn't matter what happens to the Pound, politics etc the investment is there. Then there is some investment that is made on shorter term basis, like if I feel there are too many risk factors  i convert to cash and wait on the sidelines and then move in when sentiment is better.

At present risk factors are on the high side  sweat.gif

In another two to three weeks some dark clouds might move away and then will make decision on my next move.

Just sharing my views, please ignore if you don't agree.

Take care.
*
Yup agree with you. Sure acquisition during this timing is good as you can buy at cheaper price. What i am trying to say is what if "YTL power end up din acquire any company" I means we got to think of all the consequences when you do investment mar right? icon_rolleyes.gif

But in investment, no matter what stock you bought, risks is always there...If you tell me any stock that is risk free i will not beliv though. biggrin.gif Just that you yourself got to justify own the risk. It is just short term or long term ...

I beliv this counter will not soar unless there is any announcement on their acquisition during this type of market conditions. Provided the acquisition is good one also if not it will go down even.

Whereas for me, i like its dividend and bonus share policy so i don realy care about short term fluctuation. I mean you cannot wait until the best time to enter or it bottom out... No one knows ... maybe now is the bottom already... I beliv US credit crisis don have much effect on this counter too.....My personal preferences though ... You may got your own perception.... The most important thing is we are eyeing on a right stock with right business wink.gif


Added on October 5, 2008, 10:29 pm
QUOTE(rayloo @ Oct 5 2008, 01:16 PM)
I notice the dividend for this counter is 10 cents per share beore year 2006, last year 2007 increased to 17.50cent. Can you tell why suddenly they paid so generously ? When do they pay divedend ?
I also noticed the earning in 2007 is 40% surge comparing to 2006, any reason why they profit  so much ?
*
Normally they pay dividend quarterly 0.0375 sen quarterly so far is tax exempted. The dividend payout is up to the top management decision. If they just acquire a company they might reduce their dividend payout as they need more cash to pay for the loan or acquisition. Just tell you dividend is not guarantee to be constant it is all up to the top management decision.

Regarding the dividend, are you still remember what you asked regarding EPS and diluted EPS? It apply here too...
If the share is diluted sure the dividend will be diluted too....

This post has been edited by darkknight81: Oct 5 2008, 10:29 PM
TSdarkknight81
post Oct 5 2008, 10:30 PM

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QUOTE(rayloo @ Oct 5 2008, 01:16 PM)
I notice the dividend for this counter is 10 cents per share beore year 2006, last year 2007 increased to 17.50cent. Can you tell why suddenly they paid so generously ? When do they pay divedend ?
I also noticed the earning in 2007 is 40% surge comparing to 2006, any reason why they profit  so much ?
*
Normally they pay dividend quarterly 0.0375 sen quarterly so far is tax exempted. The dividend payout is up to the top management decision. If they just acquire a company they might reduce their dividend payout as they need more cash to pay for the loan or acquisition. Just tell you dividend is not guarantee to be constant it is all up to the top management decision.

Regarding the dividend, are you still remember what you asked regarding EPS and diluted EPS? It apply here too...
If the share is diluted sure the dividend will be diluted too....
skiddtrader
post Oct 6 2008, 01:55 AM

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QUOTE(darkknight81 @ Oct 5 2008, 08:12 AM)
One more thing is no one haven give their feed back on my previous post on this:

a) Consider YTL power does not do any acquisition (which means they did not increase their debts basically)
b) NO share dilution (Number of share stay the same)

After they clear off their debts slowly every year. Basically you can expect their EPS will increase annually as they slowly pay off their debts and thus increase their net income
as EPS = NET INCOME / NUMBER OF SHARE
Pls feed back Correct me if wrong  notworthy.gif
*
Although in accounting this is good as when the debt is slowly cleared, the EPS should slowly improved as well as the debt payments are reduced. So it is correct to say that EPS will increase as debt is reduced if the net income is constant.

But in reality, companies who holds too much cash risks losing in terms of inflation in both normal and currency exchange. So their growth must increase substantially more than what the inflation eats.

YTLPOWER just issued a RM2.2 bil bond that has to be paid back within 5 years. They are preparing for an acquisition within these 5 years. On top of the bonds proceed, is the future capital injection of at least RM1.7 billion over the next 10 years from warrant WB conversions. I believe the capital injection from warrants is more to service their long term loans.


To espree,

The dividend percentage is 7.5% of the par value. So it's 7.5% of RM0.50 which comes up to RM0.0375 per share.


To rayloo,

The 40% surge is an extraordinary income in 2007. I forgot what it is already but it is not from their normal revenue.


To aeronyc,

Last quarterly report states that YTLPOWER has GBP 1.661 billion and USD 550 mil worth of debts.

So if GBP 1.661 bil * RM7 = RM 11.627 bil

If * RM 8 = RM 13.288 bil
If * RM 6 = RM 9.966 bil

USD550 mil * RM3.5 = RM 1.925 bil
If * RM 3.2 = RM 1.76 bil

The exchange rates differences are to reflect that major changes upwards will inflate their loans in RM, so a more stronger ringgit will actually reflect a lower debt amount in the accounts compared to a weaker RM.

Same like their profits,

Their last quarter results show that throughout the year, WW made about RM 1.404 bil profits. If you divide it by RM 7 to get it in GBP it would be about GBP 200.7 mil only.

For a GBP 200.7 mil profit a year, if the exchange rates were to imrove by 1 RM to GBP 1 = RM 8, the total profits in RM will be RM 1.605 bil or about RM 200 mil increase.
So the increase of RM 1 actually increase their profits in RM by 200 million, BUT it also increase their their debts by about RM 1.661 billion. Meaning also their monthly payments would actually be more in RM but eventually being same in GBP. This will mean their financial costs would increase proportionally with the increase in GBP against the RM. Which means it will also push the EPS down.

So now look at the figures and think about how high or low you want the RM to be against the GBP. laugh.gif

So which is why I think since they earn in GBP and took their loans in GBP, it doesn't actually affect their profit margins in GBP. It's just that their accounts that we see is in RM so meaning it will show some increase/decrease because of the currency exchange. In other words, only in the accounting books the value changes, but the actual business is not earning less/more in terms of currency exchange. So my advice is, stop worrying about it. thumbup.gif

This post has been edited by skiddtrader: Oct 6 2008, 02:04 AM
TSdarkknight81
post Oct 6 2008, 08:00 AM

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<<
So now look at the figures and think about how high or low you want the RM to be against the GBP. laugh.gif

So which is why I think since they earn in GBP and took their loans in GBP, it doesn't actually affect their profit margins in GBP. It's just that their accounts that we see is in RM so meaning it will show some increase/decrease because of the currency exchange. In other words, only in the accounting books the value changes, but the actual business is not earning less/more in terms of currency exchange. So my advice is, stop worrying about it. thumbup.gif>>

Agree with Skidtrader,

My perspective is the loan in uk does not have much effect on their earnings. Lets say they need to PAY 1k loan everymonth. They are earnings 2k... So no matter what the exchange rate is they still paying the same amount 1k....


<<Although YTL Power started as an IPP, its earnings from water and sewerage services in Britain now far exceed that of its profits as an IPP in Malaysia.

The company announced last week that its earnings expanded over 97% to RM520.5mil in its fourth quarter (Q4) ended June 30, 2007.

This is an unusually high rate of growth for a company in any industry. There were, in fact, some exceptional items like a large deferred tax credit arising from a reduction in future tax rates in Malaysia and Britain. There was also “other operating income” that may not be recurring.

These items obscured the surge in the operating income of the group's water and sewerage division in Q4. The results of this division mainly comprises that of Wessex Water Ltd, YTL Power's wholly-owned subsidiary in Britain.

This division posted an operating profit of RM568.8mil in Q4 compared with about RM270mil in each of the four preceding quarters.

The latest quarter is the first in which Wessex Water benefited from higher rates for its water supply and sewerage services. Ofwat, the regulator for water and sewerage services in Britain, approved higher rates of between 5.7% and 10.1% from April for companies in this sector.

Wessex Water was approved for an average rate increase of 9.4%. Its high Q4 contribution to YTL Power would therefore be recurring in its current financial year.

The rate increases for the industry there were allowed to enable the companies to invest further so as to reduce waste and improve their environmental impact.

With an operating profit of RM1.38bil for the year ended June 30, Wessex Water is one of the best-executed acquisitions overseas by a Malaysian company.

In addition, YTL group has given Malaysia a good name in Britain where under its watch, Wessex Water was named the top water and sewerage company there by Ofwat last year when it received a seven-star rating for customer services.

YTL Power, with gross cash of RM6bil, may find it easier to acquire more utility assets, if competing private equity companies find it hard to raise financing for leveraged buy-outs as a result of a credit crunch in the US. >>




This post has been edited by darkknight81: Oct 6 2008, 08:05 AM
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post Oct 8 2008, 05:04 PM

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This counter has heavey support at RM 1.72
htt
post Oct 8 2008, 05:09 PM

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Later you will see the company back back their own share at that pricing tongue.gif
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post Oct 8 2008, 05:10 PM

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QUOTE(darkknight81 @ Oct 8 2008, 05:04 PM)
This counter has heavey support at RM 1.72
*
Share buy back, pros and cons.

skiddtrader
post Oct 9 2008, 12:35 PM

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Dividend announcement expected this month for this counter. Last quarter results stated board recommended a 7.5% of par value, I am hoping for more. The announcement should be out with the audited annual statement.
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post Oct 9 2008, 12:40 PM

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QUOTE(skiddtrader @ Oct 9 2008, 01:35 PM)
Dividend announcement expected this month for this counter. Last quarter results stated board recommended a 7.5% of par value, I am hoping for more. The announcement should be out with the audited annual statement.
*
Where you got this news? Then can use that dividend to buy more warrant B brows.gif
Yahoo8888
post Oct 9 2008, 01:07 PM

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QUOTE(skiddtrader @ Oct 9 2008, 12:35 PM)
Dividend announcement expected this month for this counter. Last quarter results stated board recommended a 7.5% of par value, I am hoping for more. The announcement should be out with the audited annual statement.
*
Good news !!!!! thumbup.gif
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post Oct 9 2008, 01:15 PM

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QUOTE(Yahoo8888 @ Oct 9 2008, 02:07 PM)
Good news !!!!! thumbup.gif
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Not really good lar sweat.gif only 3 sen nia mar... I am waiting for any acquisition news
skiddtrader
post Oct 9 2008, 01:58 PM

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QUOTE(darkknight81 @ Oct 9 2008, 12:40 PM)
Where you got this news? Then can use that dividend to buy more warrant B  brows.gif
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I read the recommendation in the quarterly results, and judging from their dividend history announcements, it should be in this month near the 20th or so.
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post Oct 9 2008, 03:07 PM

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QUOTE(skiddtrader @ Oct 9 2008, 02:58 PM)
I read the recommendation in the quarterly results, and judging from their dividend history announcements, it should be in this month near the 20th or so.
*
THANKS A LOT FOR YOUR UPDATE notworthy.gif

I would prefer to use the dividend to buy more warrant B when it reached 40 sen if possible laugh.gif
calmwater
post Oct 9 2008, 07:17 PM

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QUOTE(darkknight81 @ Oct 9 2008, 03:07 AM)
THANKS A LOT FOR YOUR UPDATE  notworthy.gif

I would prefer to use the dividend to buy more warrant B when it reached 40 sen if possible  laugh.gif
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We are dreaming the same!! biggrin.gif
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post Oct 9 2008, 07:55 PM

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QUOTE(calmwater @ Oct 9 2008, 08:17 PM)
We are dreaming the same!! biggrin.gif
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But don think this dream can come through lol doh.gif
skiddtrader
post Oct 9 2008, 09:39 PM

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QUOTE(darkknight81 @ Oct 9 2008, 07:55 PM)
But don think this dream can come through lol  doh.gif
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The support for it is too strong for the share to drop another 20% for the WB to even reach that level, unless there is some kind of accounting problem or some scandal or an additional windfall tax. I highly doubt it can reach that level even if KLCI drops another 20% itself.



This post has been edited by skiddtrader: Oct 9 2008, 09:45 PM
rayloo
post Oct 9 2008, 10:04 PM

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Glad I bought this counter. Last time MMC, really heart attack.
calmwater
post Oct 9 2008, 11:44 PM

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QUOTE(rayloo @ Oct 9 2008, 10:04 AM)
Glad I bought this counter. Last time MMC, really heart attack.
*
It's a pure utility stock, 100% pure with good management so don't worry, no heart attacks, can sleep well also!!

As far as downside is concerned, we can never be too sure!!

If Dow heads down to 6000 or locally parliament is dissolved etc, there is a possibility of downward movement maybe I guess 10 - 15%.

Not because it is not strong enough but when people badly need money sometimes have to let go, no choice. If you need the money and no where else to go what to do, sell lah.

If the price does come down, it won't be for long though. i will definitely start to nibble on it and so will other's hoping to pick it up at bargain prices.

It will move up in a short period of time.
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post Oct 10 2008, 08:06 AM

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QUOTE(calmwater @ Oct 10 2008, 12:44 AM)
It's a pure utility stock, 100% pure with good management so don't worry, no heart attacks, can sleep well also!!

As far as downside is concerned, we can never be too sure!!

If Dow heads down to 6000 or locally parliament is dissolved etc, there is a possibility of downward movement maybe I guess 10 - 15%.

Not because it is not strong enough but when people badly need money sometimes have to let go, no choice. If you need the money and no where else to go what to do, sell lah.

If the price does come down, it won't be for long though. i will definitely start to nibble on it and so will other's hoping to pick it up at bargain prices.

It will move up in a short period of time.
*
First it is income stock also.. it gaves out dividend almost every quarterly....
Ppl buy in this stock basically for the dividend too... So these type of ppl basically can hold for 10 years or more....
I am one of them laugh.gif So i don really eager to sell of this counter lol...PPl who buy ini this stock not really eager to sell off one
Yeoh's family will support the stock price as they got a lot of cash ...
calmwater
post Oct 10 2008, 11:02 AM

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11 A.M. Live rates at 10. 10. 2008.

1.00 GBP = 5.98275 MYR


espree
post Oct 10 2008, 11:10 AM

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QUOTE(calmwater @ Oct 10 2008, 11:02 AM)
11 A.M.                Live rates at 10. 10.  2008.

                          1.00 GBP = 5.98275 MYR
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hv to buy more
TSdarkknight81
post Oct 10 2008, 11:24 AM

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QUOTE(espree @ Oct 10 2008, 12:10 PM)
hv to buy more
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.... Which means the earnings will affect lol... Mana boleh buy more sweat.gif
espree
post Oct 10 2008, 11:29 AM

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What I mean is is GBP not YTL. hehe
skiddtrader
post Oct 10 2008, 12:11 PM

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QUOTE(darkknight81 @ Oct 10 2008, 11:24 AM)
.... Which means the earnings will affect lol... Mana boleh buy more  sweat.gif
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On the contrary, I think it is even better if the GBP weakens.

With so much RM in hand now, they can settle the debts faster haha
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post Oct 10 2008, 12:31 PM

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QUOTE(skiddtrader @ Oct 10 2008, 01:11 PM)
On the contrary, I think it is even better if the GBP weakens.

With so much RM in hand now, they can settle the debts faster haha
*
You mean by the cash in RM they can use to pay up the debts which in GBP? Sounds a good idea ya...
With cash in hand you can play a lot of tricks in business world notworthy.gif
calmwater
post Oct 10 2008, 07:23 PM

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QUOTE(darkknight81 @ Oct 10 2008, 12:31 AM)
You mean by the cash in RM they can use to pay up the debts which in GBP? Sounds a good idea ya...
With cash in hand you can play a lot of tricks in business world  notworthy.gif
*
Oh yes nod.gif

Though it will be better to use the money for incresing their stake in JAWA POWER (35% at present).
Locally there was some mention of Genting wanting to dispose off their Power plants.

Another one is Jimah Power , heard their owners (Negri royal family) are interested in selling part of their stake.

Plus many other buying opportunities that will arise.

TIME TO EXPAND.
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post Oct 10 2008, 07:41 PM

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QUOTE(calmwater @ Oct 10 2008, 08:23 PM)
Oh yes nod.gif

Though it will be better to use the money for incresing their stake in JAWA POWER (35% at present).
Locally there was some mention of Genting wanting to dispose off their Power plants.

Another one is Jimah Power , heard their owners (Negri royal family) are interested in selling part of their stake.

Plus many other buying opportunities that will arise.

TIME TO EXPAND.
*
I don think YTL power have any intention to expand their business in Malaysia . What happened if another windfall tax issue again?

8 BILLION cash is a lot . Lets say they use part of it to pay their debts in wessex . Then the remaining still enuff for expanding their business. I beliv they are busy finding new target now.
calmwater
post Oct 10 2008, 09:01 PM

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QUOTE(darkknight81 @ Oct 10 2008, 07:41 AM)
I don think YTL power have any intention to expand their business in Malaysia . What happened if another windfall tax issue again?

8 BILLION cash is a lot . Lets say they use part of it to pay their debts in wessex . Then the remaining still enuff for expanding their business. I beliv they are busy finding new target now.
*
Renegotiation of IPP's is very possible, has been put on the table for discussion time and time again for the last 10 years.

But windfall tax is SAYONARA. As the effects are felt on the entire bond market. It causes pain far and wide, not only to the IPP's.

Gouvernment took alot of flak for that poorly thought move.

Reason why they should not pay down their debts at Wessex is, it is very difficult to raise funds at the moment. So whatever YTLPOWR has will have to be used where the demand is greatest!!!

That is other corporation's starving from lack of cash. That is where this counter can show off it's muscle, for best returns.

Let's keep our fingers crossed.

htt
post Oct 14 2008, 08:27 AM

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Acquire 2 subsidiaries named after electricity & gas in UK, another round of fire buy? hmm.gif
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post Oct 14 2008, 08:57 AM

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QUOTE(htt @ Oct 14 2008, 09:27 AM)
Acquire 2 subsidiaries named after electricity & gas in UK, another round of fire buy? hmm.gif
*
Where you got this news from? Any link?
rayloo
post Oct 14 2008, 09:11 AM

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I also saw this in the newspaper, one hundred pound for one hundred share ? I don't understand.
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post Oct 14 2008, 09:37 AM

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That's their subsidiary which they buy back to maybe close or use it's name for other purpose.

More interestingly, Temasek is now starting to sell it's 3rd power company, Seraya Power. Google it for the news. The last time YTLPOWER was selected as a finalist for the bidding but lost to Marubeni of Japan.

They might try again for this 3rd and last utility company to be sold by Temasek in Singapore.
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post Oct 14 2008, 10:35 AM

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QUOTE(rayloo @ Oct 13 2008, 09:11 PM)
I also saw this in the newspaper, one hundred pound for one hundred share ? I don't understand.
*
Pursuant to Paragraph 9.19(23) of the Listing Requirements, the Board of Directors of YTL Power International Berhad ("YTL Power” or “the Company") wishes to announce that its indirect wholly-owned subsidiary, Wessex Water Enterprises Limited (“WWEL”), has subscribed for the following:-

(i) 100 shares of £1.00 each representing the entire issued and paid-up share capital of Wessex Electricity Utilities Limited (“WEUL”) for £100 in cash;
and
(ii) 100 shares of £1.00 each representing the entire issued and paid-up share capital of Wessex Gas Utilities Limited (“WGUL”) for £100 in cash.

(collectively, “the Subscriptions”)

As a result of the Subscriptions, WEUL and WGUL have become indirect subsidiaries of YTL Power.

WEUL and WGUL are private limited companies incorporated in the England and Wales, each with authorised share capital of £1,000 comprising 1,000 shares of £1.00 each. WEUL and WGUL will be principally involved in the ownership and operation of gas and electricity infrastructure.


From the paragraph above seems like they may use the strong ringgit to invest in Europe. Maybe just to keep that option open. Since the businesses are named after Wessex, the orang putih won't feel bad, we buy over their corporation's. vmad.gif

At the moment those two new entities are "kosong" or just shells, until the Mother, Wessex Water expands into Electricity and Gas distribution in the U.K. or other Euro countries then they can do so using these new names that sound more appropriate for those kind of businesses.







htt
post Oct 14 2008, 10:36 AM

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Doing business with Temasek not necessary a good thing, see what happen to MBB unsure.gif But YTL Power directors are more competent, I think.
And Singapore is going to have open market for power (means no longer monopoly), the deal might not be so lucrative as IPPs have to compete against each other to sell their power (maybe that's the reason why Temasek sell all 3 power plants at once, margin squeeze). Anyway, YTL Power have no hurry to rush in the market (as they boh chap for last 2 bidding losses, guess they are crystal clear with their valuation, those are people we can entrust our money with). Keep it up rclxms.gif


Added on October 14, 2008, 10:39 am
QUOTE(calmwater @ Oct 14 2008, 10:35 AM)
Pursuant to Paragraph 9.19(23) of the Listing Requirements, the Board of Directors of YTL Power International Berhad ("YTL Power” or “the Company") wishes to announce that its indirect wholly-owned subsidiary, Wessex Water Enterprises Limited (“WWEL”), has subscribed for the following:-

(i) 100 shares of £1.00 each representing the entire issued and paid-up share capital of Wessex Electricity Utilities Limited (“WEUL”) for £100 in cash;
and
(ii) 100 shares of £1.00 each representing the entire issued and paid-up share capital of Wessex Gas Utilities Limited (“WGUL”) for £100 in cash.

(collectively, “the Subscriptions”)

As a result of the Subscriptions, WEUL and WGUL have become indirect subsidiaries of YTL Power.

WEUL and WGUL are private limited companies incorporated in the England and Wales, each with authorised share capital of £1,000 comprising 1,000 shares of £1.00 each. WEUL and WGUL will be principally involved in the ownership and operation of gas and electricity infrastructure.
                      From the paragraph above seems like they may use the strong ringgit to invest in Europe. Maybe just to keep that option open. Since the businesses are named after Wessex, the orang putih won't feel bad, we buy over their corporation's. vmad.gif

At the moment those two new entities are "kosong" or just shells, until the Mother, Wessex Water expands into Electricity and Gas distribution in the U.K. or other Euro countries then they can do so using these new names that sound more appropriate for those kind of businesses.
*
True and if I remember correctly, they buy an subsidiary in Singapore for their bidding of Tuas Power (Not very sure, but got 1:2 odd to get the name correct tongue.gif ), but they not succeed for that bidding. What's up for sales in Europe now? brows.gif

This post has been edited by htt: Oct 14 2008, 10:39 AM
skiddtrader
post Oct 14 2008, 11:05 AM

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QUOTE(htt @ Oct 14 2008, 10:36 AM)
Doing business with Temasek not necessary a good thing, see what happen to MBB  unsure.gif But YTL Power directors are more competent, I think.
And Singapore is going to have open market for power (means no longer monopoly), the deal might not be so lucrative as IPPs have to compete against each other to sell their power (maybe that's the reason why Temasek sell all 3 power plants at once, margin squeeze). Anyway, YTL Power have no hurry to rush in the market (as they boh chap for last 2 bidding losses, guess they are crystal clear with their valuation, those are people we can entrust our money with). Keep it up rclxms.gif


Added on October 14, 2008, 10:39 am

True and if I remember correctly, they buy an subsidiary in Singapore for their bidding of Tuas Power (Not very sure, but got 1:2 odd to get the name correct  tongue.gif ), but they not succeed for that bidding. What's up for sales in Europe now?  brows.gif
*
Hmmm possible acquisition in Europe perhaps?? haha I hope so, witht he credit squeeze in Europe, utilities that has to be sold off can be bought by YTLPOWER. Although I haven't read any utility businesses for sale yet in the news.
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post Oct 14 2008, 11:45 AM

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Warren Buffet recently bought 3 nuclear plants more or less for the price of 1.

A very good buy.

Keeping CASH is still viable if YTL Power thinks next year could be a better year to buy.

Maybank is a very good example, They think they discover gold by buying Indo Bank. Now, even with a big discount, the premium is considered high to buy a bank. A big burden if Maybank needs to pump in lot of cash into this bank, Indon Govt cannot afford to provide the support. Might trigger a small panic in our own banking system.

For a billion investment, YTL Power's management has to go through many many rounds of meetings, either internally or externally.

It is not just like buying Fish from pasar malam.

This post has been edited by SKY 1809: Oct 14 2008, 12:09 PM
TSdarkknight81
post Oct 14 2008, 12:28 PM

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QUOTE(SKY 1809 @ Oct 14 2008, 12:45 PM)
Warren Buffet recently bought 3 nuclear plants more or less for the price of 1.

A very good buy.

Keeping CASH is still viable if YTL Power thinks next year could be a better year to buy.

Maybank is a very good example, They think they discover gold by buying Indo Bank. Now, even with a big discount, the premium is considered high to buy a bank. A big burden if Maybank needs to pump in lot of cash into this bank, Indon Govt cannot afford to provide the support. Might trigger  a small panic in our own banking system.

For a billion investment, YTL Power's management  has to go through many many rounds of meetings,  either internally or externally.

It is not just like buying Fish from pasar malam.
*
Yup. With cash in hand you can do a lot of things . It is better wait a little while to buy a good business then making a mistake by buying poor company with higher price.
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post Oct 14 2008, 07:27 PM

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In fact by weakening of pound now... acquire companies in UK seems be more fruitful next time compare to buying business in Singapore. But since 70% of ytlpower stakes is in uk already maybe it should invest in other country to diversify their business in other country. Don know what they are up to laugh.gif
calmwater
post Oct 14 2008, 10:19 PM

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QUOTE(darkknight81 @ Oct 14 2008, 07:27 AM)
In fact by weakening of pound now... acquire companies in UK seems be more fruitful next time compare to buying business in Singapore. But since 70% of ytlpower stakes is in uk already maybe it should invest in other country to diversify their business in other country. Don know what they are up to  laugh.gif
*
Yeah, investing too much in any one currency can be rather risky. sometimes they can go down by as much as 50% in a year or two. Just like U.S. dollar versus EURO and even Ringgit versus U.S. dollar during 97/98.

Even buying fish in the pasar malam can become too expensive, lol. sweat.gif
TSdarkknight81
post Oct 15 2008, 01:08 PM

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http://www.ytlcommunity.com/commnews/files...tility_play.pdf

For those who are interested in this counter. Perhaps can read through this and get a better idea of what this company is all about.

This post has been edited by darkknight81: Oct 15 2008, 01:12 PM
rayloo
post Oct 15 2008, 10:47 PM

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I think YTL power doesn't look good. Buying power is loosing, and MACD slides below signal line already.
skiddtrader
post Oct 15 2008, 10:55 PM

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QUOTE(rayloo @ Oct 15 2008, 10:47 PM)
I think YTL power doesn't look good. Buying power is loosing, and MACD slides below signal line already.
*
I hope it comes lower then, so I can top up ^^.
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post Oct 15 2008, 11:51 PM

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QUOTE(skiddtrader @ Oct 15 2008, 11:55 PM)
I hope it comes lower then, so I can top up ^^.
*
I will top up on warrant B if it really reach 40 sen laugh.gif
You can choose either sell it next time or convert to mother share as you can buy more lots
calmwater
post Oct 16 2008, 11:10 AM

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QUOTE(darkknight81 @ Oct 15 2008, 11:51 AM)
I will top up on warrant B if it really reach 40 sen  laugh.gif
You can choose either sell it next time or convert to mother share as you can buy more lots
*
Even though share buy back is very little these days, YTLPOWR is still very strong compared to the overall market.

For the Warrant B to go down to 40 sen will be tough. lots of support lah.

By the way, since giving out 1 for 40 share dividend, the treasury shares are still sitting at about 54MIL. Why buy back is so slow??

Maybe they don't want to spend the money. Difficult to raise credit these days. If this is the case maybe cash dividend

maybe affected also. hmm.gif
skiddtrader
post Oct 16 2008, 11:31 AM

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QUOTE(calmwater @ Oct 16 2008, 11:10 AM)
Even though share buy back is very little these days, YTLPOWR is still very strong compared to the overall market.

For the Warrant B to go down to 40 sen will be tough. lots of support lah.

By the way, since giving out 1 for 40 share dividend, the treasury shares are still sitting at about 54MIL. Why buy back is so slow??

Maybe they don't want to spend the money. Difficult to raise credit these days. If this is the case maybe cash dividend

maybe affected also. hmm.gif
*
Hard to say, if the buybacks stop for an entire month then we can make that assumption but for now we have to wait and see.

Buybacks also got season one. I realise they normally stop buybacks when they have some sort of announcement. No hard facts, just some observation I made before and maybe due to soon to be dividend announcement or audited financial statements to be released soon. Let's just wait and see.
cherroy
post Oct 16 2008, 11:34 AM

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I don't know YTLpower has buyback how many shares already, just know YTLpower has buyback substantial numbers of it.
Just buyback has its limitation, it can't exceed the 10% of total outstanding shares.
TSdarkknight81
post Oct 16 2008, 12:03 PM

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QUOTE(cherroy @ Oct 16 2008, 12:34 PM)
I don't know YTLpower has buyback how many shares already, just know YTLpower has buyback substantial numbers of it.
Just buyback has its limitation, it can't exceed the 10% of total outstanding shares.
*
Ok. Yup thats right. Now the outstanding shares in the market are 5300 millions shares. whereas the treasury shares are 5 million. It is only 0.01% still far to go

This post has been edited by darkknight81: Oct 16 2008, 04:52 PM
htt
post Oct 16 2008, 01:04 PM

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Before they hit the 10% threshold they will announce another treasury share as dividend...
rayloo
post Oct 16 2008, 01:30 PM

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Are you saying that YTL Power is giving bonus share ? How much usually 1000 shares can get ah ?

This post has been edited by rayloo: Oct 16 2008, 01:30 PM
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post Oct 16 2008, 01:37 PM

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QUOTE(rayloo @ Oct 16 2008, 02:30 PM)
Are you saying that YTL Power is giving bonus share ? How much usually 1000 shares can get ah ?
*
For the past few years it is 1/25. THIS year is 1/40 which i just received last month. laugh.gif
rayloo
post Oct 16 2008, 01:40 PM

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QUOTE(darkknight81)
For the past few years it is 1/25. THIS year is 1/40 which i just received last month.

Aiyo, I just bought in October, meaning I missed ah ? So how ah ? Got to wait next year ? shakehead.gif
htt
post Oct 16 2008, 01:47 PM

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QUOTE(rayloo @ Oct 16 2008, 01:40 PM)
QUOTE(darkknight81)
For the past few years it is 1/25. THIS year is 1/40 which i just received last month.

Aiyo, I just bought in October, meaning I missed ah ? So how ah ? Got to wait next year ? shakehead.gif
*
Might not be a good thing... 1/25 follow by another 1/25 follow by another 1/40, here come all the odd lots... tongue.gif
espree
post Oct 16 2008, 01:52 PM

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cry.gif cry.gif I miss the chance too. Will definitely buy more if it drops further.
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post Oct 16 2008, 03:46 PM

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[quote=htt,Oct 16 2008, 02:47 PM]
Aiyo, I just bought in October, meaning I missed ah ? So how ah ? Got to wait next year ? shakehead.gif
*

[/quote]

Might not be a good thing... 1/25 follow by another 1/25 follow by another 1/40, here come all the odd lots... tongue.gif
*

[/quote]

I bought more than 250 lots tongue.gif
SKY 1809
post Oct 16 2008, 04:30 PM

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One thing i realize that YTLPower's management is more generous when comes to giving out dividends and even treasury shares.

There is also another China-man company, Resort World is quite stingy on dividends, never distribute treasury share back to shareholders ( may still considering ) . But Resorts ( or rather Genting group ) got very good pay package for the CEO ( 41 millions ? ), less for investors. You only hope for shares to go up.

I would rather put my money into YTLP for long term , more investors friendly, though both are prudent.

Correct me if I am wrong.

This post has been edited by SKY 1809: Oct 16 2008, 04:40 PM
TSdarkknight81
post Oct 16 2008, 04:54 PM

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QUOTE(SKY 1809 @ Oct 16 2008, 05:30 PM)
One thing i realize that YTLPower's  management is more generous when comes to giving out dividends and even treasury shares.

There is also another China-man  company, Resort World is  quite stingy on dividends, never distribute treasury share back to shareholders ( may still considering ) . But Resorts ( or rather Genting group ) got very good pay package for the CEO ( 41 millions ? ), less for investors. You only hope for shares to go up.

I would rather put my money into YTLP for long term , more investors friendly, though both are prudent.

Correct me if I am wrong.
*
Yup. you are right. As you know both resorts and genting is growth stock which means they still need cash for their business expansion so generous dividend payout for them is quite impossible.
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post Oct 16 2008, 05:02 PM

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QUOTE(darkknight81 @ Oct 16 2008, 04:54 PM)
Yup. you are right. As you know both resorts and genting is growth stock which means they still need cash for their business expansion so generous dividend payout for them is quite impossible.
*
What about treasury shares they are holding ? needed for future expansion ?
htt
post Oct 16 2008, 05:04 PM

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250 lots a lot of money... whistling.gif

But to be really beneficial from their business model, one need to be a real long term shareholder (buy and keep and wait for dividend after dividend, share distribution after share distribution, warrant after warrant)... yawn.gif
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post Oct 16 2008, 05:08 PM

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QUOTE(htt @ Oct 16 2008, 05:04 PM)
250 lots a lot of money...  whistling.gif

But to be really beneficial from their business model, one need to be a real long term shareholder (buy and keep and wait for dividend after dividend, share distribution after share distribution, warrant after warrant)...  yawn.gif
*
So long they do not come back once a year ( 2 years ) to ask you for more money ( right issues ), then not a big issue.

htt
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QUOTE(SKY 1809 @ Oct 16 2008, 05:02 PM)
What about treasury shares they are holding  ?  needed for future expansion ?
*
They normally distribute them after a period of time. And please note their holding company, YTL Corp, also sell YTL Power share to their shareholders with discount.

YTL got a lot of ESOS, convertible loan stock, warrant to dilute their share also... (but the price always quite reasonable one, consistent with their way of doing business).


Added on October 16, 2008, 5:13 pm
QUOTE(SKY 1809 @ Oct 16 2008, 05:08 PM)
So long they do not come back once a year ( 2 years ) to ask you for more money ( right issues ), then not a big issue.
*
Think they have all the warrant, ESOS & Convertible to generate cash and lowering gearing for the coming years. Unless they are lucky to find distress asset which they can't swallow, else chances should be low. Their name still quite well receive in terms of fund raising... rclxms.gif

This post has been edited by htt: Oct 16 2008, 05:14 PM
TSdarkknight81
post Oct 16 2008, 05:13 PM

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QUOTE(SKY 1809 @ Oct 16 2008, 06:02 PM)
What about treasury shares they are holding  ?  needed for future expansion ?
*
Treasury shares they bought back is to distribute back to the shareholder as a reward. Which means their % holding of the counter will increase.

If they need future expansion they will raise from the shareholder by issuing new warrants.

This post has been edited by darkknight81: Oct 16 2008, 05:14 PM
SKY 1809
post Oct 16 2008, 05:15 PM

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Convertible loan stock is good in the sense that it drains less on Cash piles.

Any default on loan would send prices down ( like KNM ).
htt
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QUOTE(SKY 1809 @ Oct 16 2008, 05:15 PM)
Convertible loan stock is good in the sense that it drains less on Cash piles.

Any default on loan would send prices down ( like KNM ).
*
People don't think that way when time is good leh... but bad time coming...
SKY 1809
post Oct 16 2008, 05:17 PM

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QUOTE(darkknight81 @ Oct 16 2008, 05:13 PM)
Treasury shares they bought back is to distribute back to the shareholder as a reward. Which means their % holding of the counter will increase.

If they need future expansion they will raise from the shareholder by issuing new warrants.
*
I am talking about Resort treasury shares, not YTL Power.


Added on October 16, 2008, 5:21 pm
QUOTE(htt @ Oct 16 2008, 05:16 PM)
People don't think that way when time is good leh... but bad time coming...
*
Ya, that is the diff between a good and Poor management.

Poor management plans only for the good times, seldom for the bad times. They prefer to pack and go.

This post has been edited by SKY 1809: Oct 16 2008, 05:53 PM
TSdarkknight81
post Oct 16 2008, 05:23 PM

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QUOTE(SKY 1809 @ Oct 16 2008, 06:17 PM)
I am talking about Resort treasury shares, not PTL Power.


Added on October 16, 2008, 5:21 pm

Ya, that is the diff between a good and Poor management.

Poor management plans only for the good times, seldom for the bad times.
*
FOr resorts case, maybe they are using it in exchange of $$ to raise cash for their business expansion. Which they will sell back to the market in exchange of cash.
SKY 1809
post Oct 16 2008, 05:27 PM

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QUOTE(darkknight81 @ Oct 16 2008, 05:23 PM)
FOr resorts case, maybe they are using it in exchange of $$ to raise cash for their business expansion. Which they will sell back to the market in exchange of cash.
*
I think they are more interested to sell treasury shares so to maintain CEO's pay ( at 41m ) for a long time.

Sorry, do not mean to flame anyone.

This post has been edited by SKY 1809: Oct 16 2008, 05:31 PM
htt
post Oct 16 2008, 07:10 PM

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EX-date : 05/12/2008
Entitlement date: 10/12/2008
Entitlement time : 05:00:00 PM
Entitlement subject : Final Dividend
Entitlement description:
Final Tax Exempt Dividend of 7.5% in respect of the financial year ended 30 June 2008
TSdarkknight81
post Oct 16 2008, 08:48 PM

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QUOTE(htt @ Oct 16 2008, 08:10 PM)
EX-date : 05/12/2008
Entitlement date: 10/12/2008
Entitlement time : 05:00:00 PM
Entitlement subject : Final Dividend
Entitlement description:
Final Tax Exempt Dividend of 7.5% in respect of the financial year ended 30 June 2008
*
From where you got this? How come i cannot find one?
rayloo
post Oct 16 2008, 10:02 PM

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-Ammended-
Got it, Quaterly 7.5%.
So total dividend + bonus share around 8%. Very good.
rclxms.gif

This post has been edited by rayloo: Oct 16 2008, 10:59 PM
calmwater
post Oct 16 2008, 11:38 PM

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QUOTE(darkknight81 @ Oct 16 2008, 08:48 AM)
From where you got this? How come i cannot find one?
*
Go to www.klse.com.my/

On the left side under Listed Company announcements, click on more, click BY COMPANY, click on Y, select YTL POWER.

Happy reading. biggrin.gif
skiddtrader
post Oct 17 2008, 12:11 AM

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QUOTE(calmwater @ Oct 16 2008, 11:38 PM)
Go to www.klse.com.my/

On the left side under Listed Company announcements, click on more, click BY COMPANY, click on Y, select YTL POWER.

Happy reading. biggrin.gif
*
If you are using OSK, you can select the counter and click 'News', it will display the latest announcement.

Looks like their board proposal is accepted as usual. Nothing surprising here as they have announced this in their quarterly results. Maybe after this we can see more buy backs.
calmwater
post Oct 17 2008, 07:50 AM

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QUOTE(skiddtrader @ Oct 16 2008, 12:11 PM)
If you are using OSK, you can select the counter and click 'News', it will display the latest announcement.

Looks like their board proposal is accepted as usual. Nothing surprising here as they have announced this in their quarterly results. Maybe after this we can see more buy backs.
*
Usual share distribution is around Christmas, but looks like the coffers are not holding much at the moment. Maybe they can make it for Chinese New Year, that is if they want to.

Some news in the STAR today about future acquisition possibilities. Nothing new to us but they may excite new investors to come in, especially when at present people are feeling kind of lost and confused.

TNB CEO quite mad with IPP's, recommending to government not to renew contracts and look at alternate energy such as Nuclear etc.

YTLPOWR PAKA and Pasir Gudang agreements expire in 2015. Only seven years more, and 30% of revenue could get wiped off. tongue.gif
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post Oct 17 2008, 07:55 AM

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THANKS YA. as i always go to YTL power homepage to check on latest update. sweat.gif
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post Oct 17 2008, 08:31 AM

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QUOTE(darkknight81 @ Oct 16 2008, 07:55 PM)
THANKS YA. as i always go to YTL power homepage to check on latest update.  sweat.gif
*
No problem, we make a good team. notworthy.gif
htt
post Oct 17 2008, 08:33 AM

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How about looking for other potential similar counter? I believe there are still some good one out there blush.gif
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post Oct 17 2008, 09:30 AM

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QUOTE(calmwater @ Oct 17 2008, 07:50 AM)
Usual share distribution is around Christmas, but looks like the coffers are not holding much at the moment. Maybe they can make it for Chinese New Year, that is if they want to.

Some news in the STAR today about future acquisition possibilities. Nothing new to us but they may excite new investors to come in, especially when at present people are feeling kind of lost and confused.

TNB CEO quite mad with IPP's, recommending to government not to renew contracts and look at alternate energy such as Nuclear etc.

YTLPOWR PAKA and Pasir Gudang agreements expire in 2015. Only seven years more, and 30% of revenue could get wiped off.  tongue.gif
*
The share distribution is done earlier for this year mate. No more share distribution after this. It was announced when the windfall tax was pressed against them.

This post has been edited by skiddtrader: Oct 17 2008, 09:31 AM
calmwater
post Oct 17 2008, 10:20 AM

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QUOTE(htt @ Oct 16 2008, 08:33 PM)
How about looking for other potential similar counter? I believe there are still some good one out there  blush.gif
*
With the good , bad and ugly all falling, better to wait at the sidelines.

Some good counters look very attractive, such as YTLPOWR and WB, Resorts, Genting, some plantation stocks like HSPLANT and quite a few others.

But the problem at the moment is they continue to fall!!

A famous investor of the old era was once asked of his trading secret and he said " knowing when to keep my hands in my pocket".

At the moment that's what I am doing. Invested some but not too much, with 30%.
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post Oct 17 2008, 11:15 AM

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QUOTE(calmwater @ Oct 17 2008, 11:20 AM)
With the good , bad and ugly all falling, better to wait at the sidelines.

Some good counters look very attractive, such as YTLPOWR and WB, Resorts, Genting, some plantation stocks like HSPLANT and quite a few others.

But the problem at the moment is they continue to fall!!

A famous investor of the old era was once asked of his trading secret and he said " knowing when to keep my hands in my pocket".

At the moment that's what I am doing. Invested some but not too much, with 30%.
*
I can say ytl power has very strong support at current pricing. You can check the graph. Where as genting and resorts... they are not reaching their support yet... As i always say... buying at the price you feel comfortable with....Don follow the herd..
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QUOTE(calmwater @ Oct 17 2008, 10:20 AM)
With the good , bad and ugly all falling, better to wait at the sidelines.

Some good counters look very attractive, such as YTLPOWR and WB, Resorts, Genting, some plantation stocks like HSPLANT and quite a few others.

But the problem at the moment is they continue to fall!!

A famous investor of the old era was once asked of his trading secret and he said " knowing when to keep my hands in my pocket".

At the moment that's what I am doing. Invested some but not too much, with 30%.
*
For some reasons I avoid Resorts & Genting (they might have nothing wrong financially, I didn't study them anyway).
HSPlant concentrate their plantation at Sabah if not mistaken (economical scale of operation), the balance sheet is ok but not rock solid and the track record is not long enough to see the trend. Dividend and cash flow so far ok, but share price goes down with CPO price. Vested.
calmwater
post Oct 17 2008, 08:27 PM

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QUOTE(htt @ Oct 16 2008, 11:34 PM)
For some reasons I avoid Resorts & Genting (they might have nothing wrong financially, I didn't study them anyway).
HSPlant concentrate their plantation at Sabah if not mistaken (economical scale of operation), the balance sheet is ok but not rock solid and the track record is not long enough to see the trend. Dividend and cash flow so far ok, but share price goes down with CPO price. Vested.
*
HSPLANT is a pure plantation stock. CPO goes down they go down, CPO goes up they go up.

Pretty straight forward, no complications!!

At present with petroleum expected to fall further ( can only guess, no guarantee ), and CPO to follow suit, this counter can still go down further. If I am not mistaken HSPLANT IPO was at RM 2.80. There is a chance under present market conditions, it might go down to about $1.00 ( another guess ). If that happens, it can be a very good long term hold, as CPO bound to recover some lost ground in a year or two. Very good potential. nod.gif


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QUOTE(calmwater @ Oct 17 2008, 09:27 PM)
HSPLANT is a pure plantation stock. CPO goes down they go down, CPO goes up they go up.

Pretty straight forward, no complications!!

At present with petroleum expected to fall further ( can only guess, no guarantee ), and CPO to follow suit, this counter can still go down further. If I am not mistaken HSPLANT IPO was at RM 2.80. There is a chance under present market conditions, it might go down to about $1.00 ( another guess ). If that happens, it can be a very good long term hold, as CPO bound to recover some lost ground in a year or two. Very good potential. nod.gif
*
Besides HSPLANT, i am looking at IOI . It is closed at RM 3.02 TODAY brows.gif
OT lol. Warrant B closed at 0.48 today. thumbup.gif

This post has been edited by darkknight81: Oct 17 2008, 08:36 PM
htt
post Oct 17 2008, 08:43 PM

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I prefer HSPLANT than IOI, reason being it's simplicity (plantation & mills), those plantation counters rush to biodiesel plant all stuck with them (Indonesia already blending biodiesel into their diesel but Malaysia don't seems to have any action, yet, maybe we busy blending other things). I like Asiatic as well (same reason as HSPLANT. blush.gif

Undeniable, end of the day it still all down to valuation, might need to have serious look on IOI if the market continue heading south... rclxms.gif
SUSDavid83
post Oct 17 2008, 10:56 PM

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YTL Power poised for mergers & aquisitions

It has large war chest to make move in this time of economic distress

“THE journey continues ...” as the buzzword on YTL Power International Bhd’s 2007 annual report put it.

The group has journeyed to faraway markets for opportunities, enabling it to expand its business to Britain, Australia and Indonesia. That also led it to broaden its business base to include water supply and sewerage services, and power transmission.

It had last made an acquisition many years ago, tending to acquire utility assets only from distressed sellers.

Besides aiming to acquire good assets at relatively low prices, the group also has an excellent track record in managing organic growth of the businesses acquired.

Hence, starting from a business base of two power stations in Malaysia, it expanded that to include water and sewerage services in Britain from which it earns more profits than at its home base.

It reported an operating profit of RM1.4bil from its water and sewerage services division compared with RM483mil from power generation in its financial year ended June 30. This is a group that has made good in growing from its roots in Malaysia.

YTL Power last reported it held gross cash of over RM9bil that it could use to acquire more assets. It would seem obvious that it would make a major acquisition of a utility in this cycle of widespread distress.

It has a large enough war chest for that, and it has waited many years for such times of desolation.

Besides its own internally-generated funds, it had wisely raised US$250mil through an exchangeable bond at a time when credit markets were easy and interest rates were lower. The cash from the bond issue is being held for investments in utility assets.

At this time of credit crunch, it will be difficult to obtain financing for acquisitions even when attractive utility assets are available. Hence, the fund raising ahead of a turn in the credit cycle was an act of foresight.

Berkshire Hathaway Inc, managed by Warren Buffett, is also known to raise funds when terms are easy even when there are no immediate use of the funds.

YTL Power, which has fairly stable earnings from its utility businesses, offers a yield of over 6% and, including distribution of free treasury shares, the yield can be as high as 10%.

When the group makes its move, it can be anticipated that the acquired asset will not only be enhancing to its earnings but also a new base from which it can grow a new asset.

URL: http://biz.thestar.com.my/news/story.asp?f...37&sec=business

rayloo
post Oct 17 2008, 11:15 PM

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QUOTE(darkknight81)
Besides HSPLANT, i am looking at IOI . It is closed at RM 3.02 TODAY
What is you target price for IOI ? brows.gif
SUSDavid83
post Oct 17 2008, 11:17 PM

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Still want to go into plantations? CPO is near bottom.
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post Oct 17 2008, 11:19 PM

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QUOTE(rayloo @ Oct 18 2008, 12:15 AM)
QUOTE(darkknight81)
Besides HSPLANT, i am looking at IOI . It is closed at RM 3.02 TODAY
What is you target price for IOI ? brows.gif
*
I will feel comfortable if can enter at RM 2.50 and below
rayloo
post Oct 17 2008, 11:24 PM

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QUOTE(darkknight81)
I will feel comfortable if can enter at RM 2.50 and below
Same boat we are in. rclxms.gif
SKY 1809
post Oct 18 2008, 09:52 AM

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W Buffet says it is good time to buy US Stocks.



calmwater
post Oct 18 2008, 09:59 AM

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QUOTE(SKY 1809 @ Oct 17 2008, 09:52 PM)
W Buffet says it is good time to buy US Stocks.
*
Yeah, surely because he wants to save his own ass also. icon_question.gif
SKY 1809
post Oct 18 2008, 10:15 AM

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IOI used to pick up first when there is a trend reversal ( in the past and do not present the future ).

I just wonder its current market price does represent the weak CPO price ( near bottom ) ? Or at rm 2.50 a good buy ? Basing on chart or what ?

Mind to share ?

This post has been edited by SKY 1809: Oct 18 2008, 10:17 AM
htt
post Oct 18 2008, 10:16 AM

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You no need to be 100% correct to earn big money, 80% is a lot more than enough :-p
rayloo
post Oct 18 2008, 11:41 AM

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QUOTE(SKY 1809)
Or at rm 2.50 a good buy ? Basing on chart or what ?
I base on its earning, value and my safe margin to justify the price.



This post has been edited by rayloo: Oct 18 2008, 07:10 PM
rayloo
post Oct 18 2008, 07:10 PM

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YTL Power drifts to below RM1.70, already made some lost. unsure.gif
Got to find some stocks to sell shorts to cover. tongue.gif
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post Oct 18 2008, 08:30 PM

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QUOTE(calmwater @ Oct 18 2008, 10:59 AM)
Yeah, surely because he wants to save his own ass also. icon_question.gif
*
Yup. Never belive what these ******* are saying. If it is really profitable he will not be so good hearted to "inform" you that it is the right time lol . I remember he said "Never tell anyone what you invest in and when... Keep it secret"
rayloo
post Oct 18 2008, 08:33 PM

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I believe he really bought, just want others to push his S so the price go higher. thumbup.gif
Why not he get some YTL Power ? drool.gif Then I will be sitting on the giant shoulder. cool2.gif

This post has been edited by rayloo: Oct 18 2008, 08:34 PM
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post Oct 18 2008, 08:33 PM

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QUOTE(rayloo @ Oct 18 2008, 08:10 PM)
YTL Power drifts to below RM1.70, already made some lost.  unsure.gif
Got to find some stocks to sell shorts to cover.  tongue.gif
*
As i said this counter is long term play mar... Don really need to care the price movement unless you need to withdraw you money for some other purpose then you should not invest this counter in the first place...
You should see that downtrend as buying opportunity.
rayloo
post Oct 18 2008, 08:38 PM

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QUOTE(darknight81)
As i said this counter is long term play mar... Don really need to care the price movement unless you need to withdraw you money for some other purpose then you should not invest this counter in the first place...
You should see that downtrend as buying opportunity.

No lah, from the moment I decided to buy, I already prepare to lose in this market at the timing, but I see the future huge gain mah. icon_rolleyes.gif
This may be my excuse to play other stock short loh !!! thumbup.gif

This post has been edited by rayloo: Oct 18 2008, 08:47 PM
rayloo
post Oct 18 2008, 08:47 PM

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However there was a small careless mistake I made, I did not study its MACD first for best entry point before I bought. I was too focusing on their acquisition plan.
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post Oct 18 2008, 08:55 PM

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QUOTE(rayloo @ Oct 18 2008, 09:47 PM)
However there was a small careless mistake I made, I did not study its MACD first for best entry point before I bought. I was too focusing on their acquisition plan.
*
Well i am not familiar with any technical analysist. I just see the support level base on the graph (simple one laugh.gif ), i personally think that graph can be manipulated by human ....

I am more concern on the whole prospect of the company and how much i can gain from this investment

This post has been edited by darkknight81: Oct 18 2008, 08:55 PM
calmwater
post Oct 19 2008, 08:52 AM

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QUOTE(darkknight81 @ Oct 18 2008, 08:55 AM)
Well i am not familiar with any technical analysist. I just see the support level base on the graph (simple one  laugh.gif ), i personally think that graph can be manipulated by human ....

I am more concern on the whole prospect of the company and how much i can gain from this investment
*
Checking those graphs can be quite a rclxub.gif

Also, like you said there will be the jokers who will design a graph to make it look whichever way they want it.

drool.gif Buy! Buy! Sell! Sell! rclxub.gif


Added on October 19, 2008, 8:55 am

Just trust your own instincts. Initially you may make some mistakes, but slowly the experiences will help you make better decisions.

By following the Herd we will learn nothing.


Added on October 19, 2008, 10:32 pmWas checking to see what this MACD stuff was all about. Found this article on YTLPOWER. As I suspected it's just some piece of rubbish.Going by the recommendation by now would have been under water lol. I have removed the author's name, don't want to make fun of him. Just raising a point here.

Stock Review: YTL power Berhad - Up trend follow through!!Written by in July 27th, 2008 Leave commentPosted in: Stock Tips Tags: bursa, KLSE, stock, stock review, Stock Tips, YTL, YTL Power

Refer to the previous post, a buy recommendation has been put for YTL power. It has broken through the RM1.85 resistance level. Now trail you STOP LOSS. Put the STOP LOSS @ RM1.85 and ride with the profit. Remember, look out for wide spread up bar which close at the low (or could be a wide spread down bar, close at slightly lower than previous bar). This could be indication of trend change.


Added on October 19, 2008, 10:36 pm

The graph has not appeared for some reason. But I have to say it looked very dramatic.

This post has been edited by calmwater: Oct 19 2008, 10:36 PM
SUSDavid83
post Oct 21 2008, 10:14 AM

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Want to ask something. If I buy YTLPOWR now, will I get the dividend which is going to be paid by 26 December? Does this worth?

YTLPOWR: Final 3.75¢ TE 16-Oct-08 05-Dec-08 10-Dec-08 26-Dec-08 11.25¢ 12.5¢


This post has been edited by David83: Oct 21 2008, 10:15 AM
TSdarkknight81
post Oct 21 2008, 10:21 AM

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QUOTE(David83 @ Oct 21 2008, 11:14 AM)
Want to ask something. If I buy YTLPOWR now, will I get the dividend which is going to be paid by 26 December? Does this worth?

YTLPOWR:  Final 3.75¢ TE  16-Oct-08  05-Dec-08  10-Dec-08  26-Dec-08  11.25¢  12.5¢
*
Yes you can as the execute date is 5-Dec-2008. Worth it or not is personal preferences. Only you yourself can verify it.
calmwater
post Oct 22 2008, 12:09 AM

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QUOTE(David83 @ Oct 20 2008, 10:14 PM)
Want to ask something. If I buy YTLPOWR now, will I get the dividend which is going to be paid by 26 December? Does this worth?

YTLPOWR:  Final 3.75¢ TE  16-Oct-08  05-Dec-08  10-Dec-08  26-Dec-08  11.25¢  12.5¢
*
As YTL POWER is a 50 sen counter, for every 1 share you will be entitled to 3.75 sen.

That is 7.5% (Dividen rate) of 50 sen.

So for 1000 shares you will get $37.50

At current price of $1.71, your investment will be $1710 for every 1000 shares.

Now if you buy 10 LOTS of 1000 shares each, your investment will be $17,100 and your dividen will be $375

Like sifu Blacknight is saying, whether it is worth it or not you decide. Are you in for the short term or long term will help you make a decision. hmm.gif


Added on October 22, 2008, 9:21 am

Keep an eye on this!!

Live rates at 2008.10.22 01:10:35 UTC
1.00 GBP = 5.87046 MYR
United Kingdom Pounds Malaysia Ringgits
1 GBP = 5.87046 MYR 1 MYR = 0.170344 GBP


Do you all notice the sellers are queing in big number's.

Short term may go down some more. As if Weesex is valued say at about 2 Billion pounds, at beginning of the year at the rate of 1 pound to 7 ringgit, Wessex was worth about 14 billion ringgit.

At the present rate it is valued at 11.74 Billion ringgit.

That means it has lost 2.26 Billion!!!!! in valuation.

Don't panic but monitor the situation.

If anyone has any suggestions on what to do, please contribute your ideas.

This post has been edited by calmwater: Oct 22 2008, 09:21 AM
TSdarkknight81
post Oct 22 2008, 02:45 PM

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QUOTE(calmwater @ Oct 22 2008, 01:09 AM)
As YTL POWER is a 50 sen counter, for every 1 share you will be entitled to 3.75 sen.

That is 7.5% (Dividen rate) of 50 sen.

So for 1000 shares you will get $37.50

At current price of $1.71, your investment will be $1710 for every 1000 shares.

Now if you buy 10 LOTS of 1000 shares each, your investment will be $17,100 and your dividen will be $375

Like sifu Blacknight is saying, whether it is worth it or not you decide. Are you in for the short term or long term will help you make a decision. hmm.gif


Added on October 22, 2008, 9:21 am

Keep an eye on this!!

Live rates at 2008.10.22 01:10:35 UTC 
1.00 GBP = 5.87046 MYR
United Kingdom Pounds    Malaysia Ringgits 
1 GBP = 5.87046 MYR  1 MYR = 0.170344 GBP
Do you all notice the sellers are queing in big number's.

Short term may go down some more. As if Weesex is valued say at about 2 Billion pounds, at beginning of the year at the rate of 1 pound to 7 ringgit, Wessex was worth about 14 billion ringgit.

At the present rate it is valued at 11.74 Billion ringgit.

That means it has lost 2.26 Billion!!!!!  in valuation.

Don't panic but monitor the situation.

If anyone has any suggestions on what to do, please contribute your ideas.
*
Accumulate more bullets and buy in on the next downtrend. nod.gif

1. You can either sapu the warrant b during the downtrend if you are confident that it can rebound back in short term.
For me i will sapu both to balance up.















TSdarkknight81
post Oct 22 2008, 02:45 PM

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KUALA LUMPUR: The government is still undecided on whether to continue the one-off payment imposed on independent power producers (IPPs), said Deputy Finance Minister Datuk Kong Cho Ha yesterday.

"All the IPPs had decided to renegotiate the power purchase agreements (PPA) with TNB (Tenaga Nasional Bhd), so we haven't decided whether the one-off levy payment for 12 months would be continued or not," he said in Dewan Rakyat.

Replying to a supplementary question from Dr Dzulkefly Ahmad (PAS-Kuala Selangor), he said the one-off payment for 12 months was estimated at RM500 million.

"There are no details of the expenses as all the collected payments will be put into a consolidated fund," he said.

However, the income will be used for management and development expenses.

"This includes the government's subsidies to consumers. This is to reduce the burden of the people due to the fuel price hike," he said.

In another reply to Dr Puad Zakarshi (BN-Batu Pahat), Kong revealed that all the 17 IPPs had paid the government the levy amounting to RM94.83 million (RM47.48 million in July and RM47.35 million in August).

In September, after strong protests from the industry's players, the government scrapped the 30% windfall profit tax imposed on IPPs since June and replaced it with the one-off payment which would be equivalent to the windfall tax for one year.






TSdarkknight81
post Oct 22 2008, 03:13 PM

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Wonder how long this counter can tahan tongue.gif
My next target price is RM 1.50 icon_rolleyes.gif
skiddtrader
post Oct 22 2008, 03:58 PM

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QUOTE(calmwater @ Oct 22 2008, 12:09 AM)

Added on October 22, 2008, 9:21 am

Keep an eye on this!!

Live rates at 2008.10.22 01:10:35 UTC 
1.00 GBP = 5.87046 MYR
United Kingdom Pounds    Malaysia Ringgits 
1 GBP = 5.87046 MYR  1 MYR = 0.170344 GBP
Do you all notice the sellers are queing in big number's.

Short term may go down some more. As if Weesex is valued say at about 2 Billion pounds, at beginning of the year at the rate of 1 pound to 7 ringgit, Wessex was worth about 14 billion ringgit.

At the present rate it is valued at 11.74 Billion ringgit.

That means it has lost 2.26 Billion!!!!!  in valuation.

Don't panic but monitor the situation.

If anyone has any suggestions on what to do, please contribute your ideas.
*
Doesn't mean anything to me. If you valuate in GBP, the company is still worth the same. And I rather valuate it in GBP rather than RM. Currency exchanges will balance out in the end. No need to worry about it because their loans are in GBPs, so they are hedge against the currency. Their earnings are also in GBP and their loan payments are also in GBP. The higher or lower the GBP against the RM is has nothing to do whether or not the company is worth more or not, because in terms of GBP, it is still worth the same.

Ask yourself, if someone in Europe or the world would want to valuate the Wessex Water business, would they valuate it in RM or GBP?

htt
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QUOTE(skiddtrader @ Oct 22 2008, 03:58 PM)
Doesn't mean anything to me. If you valuate in GBP, the company is still worth the same. And I rather valuate it in GBP rather than RM. Currency exchanges will balance out in the end. No need to worry about it because their loans are in GBPs, so they are hedge against the currency. Their earnings are also in GBP and their loan payments are also in GBP. The higher or lower the GBP  against the RM is has nothing to do whether or not the company is worth more or not, because in terms of GBP, it is still worth the same.

Ask yourself, if someone in Europe or the world would want to valuate the Wessex Water business, would they valuate it in RM or GBP?
*
Agree, currency fluctuation only matter if you buy/ sell very often, but YTL Power had been holding Wessex for years liao. No fear... cool2.gif
cherroy
post Oct 22 2008, 04:04 PM

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QUOTE(skiddtrader @ Oct 22 2008, 03:58 PM)
Doesn't mean anything to me. If you valuate in GBP, the company is still worth the same. And I rather valuate it in GBP rather than RM. Currency exchanges will balance out in the end. No need to worry about it because their loans are in GBPs, so they are hedge against the currency. Their earnings are also in GBP and their loan payments are also in GBP. The higher or lower the GBP  against the RM is has nothing to do whether or not the company is worth more or not, because in terms of GBP, it is still worth the same.

Ask yourself, if someone in Europe or the world would want to valuate the Wessex Water business, would they valuate it in RM or GBP?
*
Yes, valuation in GBP still the same.

But for accounting purposes and real transalation into profit, it would be less in term of RM which by any accounting standard, YTLpower need to realise it in term of RM wise as it is reporting in RM financial book.

Valuation can remain the same, if company doesn't opt to revalue it in their balance sheet, but profit wise can't.

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I will be more concern on the company's earnings. The depreciate in GBP and unsettlement of Windfall tax levy.... doh.gif


skiddtrader
post Oct 22 2008, 04:19 PM

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QUOTE(cherroy @ Oct 22 2008, 04:04 PM)
Yes, valuation in GBP still the same.

But for accounting purposes and real transalation into profit, it would be less in term of RM which by any accounting standard, YTLpower need to realise it in term of RM wise as it is reporting in RM financial book.

Valuation can remain the same, if company doesn't opt to revalue it in their balance sheet, but profit wise can't.
*
Yes, it is true if the RM appreciates further the profit on accounts will look less. But we have always discounted profit growth with inflation to see the REAL difference. If our RM inflation was 6% last year, profits or rather cash growth should exceed 6% to be considered actually really making money. If not, they are just hanging there or making less money because the inflation actually eroded their earnings.

So in this instance where the RM starts increasing which means a smaler inflation number or even deflation and we don't take that into account, we might sell prematurely because we are just looking directly at the number at face value. But if we have taken account of the rise or fall of the RM, then only we will know for sure if the profit actually registered any significant growth or not.

If we knew the RM appreciated strongly against the GBP, then we can also forecast a lower profit expectation. But if we don't look at this and assume the profit will register another 6-10% growth, we might find ourselves surprise and alarmed by this and sell prematurely because WE thought the business is going down.

For example in Zimbabwe, where inflation is at 1000%, we can see a profit growth of 500% in the accounts. But is the company worth more? Or did the company assets actually shrink if we take the inflation of 1000% into account.


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post Oct 22 2008, 04:28 PM

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One thing i need sifu here to clarify. IF the GBP depreciate then can YTL power choose to convert Pound to RM the other time when Pound is strengthen?
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post Oct 22 2008, 04:38 PM

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QUOTE(darkknight81 @ Oct 22 2008, 04:28 PM)
One thing i need sifu here to clarify. IF the GBP depreciate then can  YTL power choose to convert Pound to RM the other time when Pound is strengthen?
*
Yes, in real term, they can opt not to convert the GBP back to RM or send back to Malaysia and keep in UK. (which is norm pratice and most applied by overseas venturing company).

But in accouting standard, they need have paper realisation of it. Just like you company in UK is earning 100K pounds, then how you report in your annual financial result? Surely take 100k x GBP rate (let say 5.80) = Rm580K at the end of the financial calendar.

So if one day in the future, company decided to convert it back to RM and send back to Malaysia, but rate is different, not 5.80. So if it is 6.00, then extra 20K being pocket as profit (extra-ordinary profit or exchange rate profit etc defined by the company account), while if it is 5.60, then resulted in 20K loss in the financial book afterwards.

But when reporting their annual financial result, they need to have paper realisation.
htt
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QUOTE(cherroy @ Oct 22 2008, 04:04 PM)
Yes, valuation in GBP still the same.

But for accounting purposes and real transalation into profit, it would be less in term of RM which by any accounting standard, YTLpower need to realise it in term of RM wise as it is reporting in RM financial book.

Valuation can remain the same, if company doesn't opt to revalue it in their balance sheet, but profit wise can't.
*
I think for fixed asset, company can elect alternative which is base on historical value instead of fair value through fixed interval valuation (I like this more, more prudent). If not mistaken, I didn't see YTL Power doing re-valuation in their account, so the impact should be limited to the profit in GBP translated into RM only. Please correct me if I am wrong...

Anyway, foreign currency appreciation gain/ depreciation loss doesn't really matter that much to me, unless we are talking about countries like Zimbabwe (Aussie & NZ also no good).
cherroy
post Oct 22 2008, 05:09 PM

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QUOTE(htt @ Oct 22 2008, 04:51 PM)
I think for fixed asset, company can elect alternative which is base on historical value instead of fair value through fixed interval valuation (I like this more, more prudent). If not mistaken, I didn't see YTL Power doing re-valuation in their account, so the impact should be limited to the profit in GBP translated into RM only. Please correct me if I am wrong...

Anyway, foreign currency appreciation gain/ depreciation loss doesn't really matter that much to me, unless we are talking about countries like Zimbabwe (Aussie & NZ also no good).
*
Yes, for fixed asset under balance sheet, if company doesn't opt for revaluation, it can stay at same valuation figure.

Aussie & NZ no good for the last few month and potential in near future. But over the last few decade, RM actually depreciated against them even at current 2.3-2.4 level.
htt
post Oct 22 2008, 05:15 PM

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QUOTE(cherroy @ Oct 22 2008, 05:09 PM)
Yes, for fixed asset under balance sheet, if company doesn't opt for revaluation, it can stay at same valuation figure.

Aussie & NZ no good for the last few month and potential in near future. But over the last few decade, RM actually depreciated against them even at current 2.3-2.4 level.
*
RM actually depreciate against most of the currencies :-p
By theory, this should be happened to country with bad deficit in balance of payment... Don't know is RM undervalued or... hmm.gif
cherroy
post Oct 22 2008, 05:21 PM

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QUOTE(htt @ Oct 22 2008, 05:15 PM)
RM actually depreciate against most of the currencies :-p
By theory, this should be happened to country with bad deficit in balance of payment... Don't know is RM undervalued or... hmm.gif
*
With this statement, it has already showed that having diversificaiton of asset in others developed countries in the denomination of major currencies is indeed a need.


htt
post Oct 22 2008, 05:25 PM

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QUOTE(cherroy @ Oct 22 2008, 05:21 PM)
With this statement, it has already showed that having diversificaiton of asset in others developed countries in the denomination of major currencies is indeed a need.
*
Cintalah negaraku. ku sangat cinta samanya... jangan diversify ke negara lain...
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post Oct 22 2008, 08:10 PM

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QUOTE(htt @ Oct 22 2008, 06:25 PM)
Cintalah negaraku. ku sangat cinta samanya... jangan diversify ke negara lain...
*
LOL....we are talking about investment here... Not patriotism sweat.gif

How about our minister who corrupted the money and save it oversea??At least we din "makan duit" so we are more patriotic compare to them tongue.gif
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post Oct 22 2008, 08:14 PM

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My colleague shared that to wait till YTLPOWR to plunge RM 1.50 and then buy it.
calmwater
post Oct 23 2008, 12:48 AM

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QUOTE(cherroy @ Oct 22 2008, 04:04 AM)
Yes, valuation in GBP still the same.

But for accounting purposes and real transalation into profit, it would be less in term of RM which by any accounting standard, YTLpower need to realise it in term of RM wise as it is reporting in RM financial book.

Valuation can remain the same, if company doesn't opt to revalue it in their balance sheet, but profit wise can't.
*
Yes,future profit number's surely to be affected.

GBP depreciating like nobodies business. Yesterday was at 1.00 GBP = 5.87 MYR

Today,

Live rates at 2008.10.22 16:34:35 UTC
1.00 GBP = 5.74696 MYR
United Kingdom Pounds Malaysia Ringgits
1 GBP = 5.74696 MYR 1 MYR = 0.174005 GBP

TSdarkknight81
post Oct 23 2008, 08:14 AM

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QUOTE(calmwater @ Oct 23 2008, 01:48 AM)
Yes,future profit number's surely to be affected.

GBP depreciating like nobodies business. Yesterday was at 1.00 GBP = 5.87 MYR

Today,

Live rates at 2008.10.22 16:34:35 UTC 
1.00 GBP = 5.74696 MYR
United Kingdom Pounds    Malaysia Ringgits 
1 GBP = 5.74696 MYR   1 MYR = 0.174005 GBP
*
Weakening of pound is temporaly only. The next olympic is at UK. Should see some rally of pound by then.
By the time can trade the warrant B


My two cents.

This post has been edited by darkknight81: Oct 23 2008, 08:15 AM
calmwater
post Oct 23 2008, 10:24 AM

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QUOTE(darkknight81 @ Oct 22 2008, 08:14 PM)
Weakening of pound is temporaly only. The next olympic is at UK. Should see some rally of pound by then.
By the time can trade the warrant B
My two cents.
*
I have a question. What happens when a warrant price has dissapeared from the radar, meaning to say it has gone to zero and later the mother share rises again from the ashes, does the warrant become valuable again or is it toilet paper for good, meaning to say it has been flushed down the toilet and it is gone forever. sweat.gif

I know that doesn't make sense, but just want to confirm. hmm.gif
htt
post Oct 23 2008, 10:39 AM

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QUOTE(calmwater @ Oct 23 2008, 10:24 AM)
I have a question. What happens when a warrant price has dissapeared from the radar, meaning to say it has gone to zero and later the mother share rises again from the ashes, does the warrant become valuable again or is it toilet paper for good, meaning to say it has been flushed down the toilet and it is gone forever. sweat.gif

I know that doesn't make sense, but just want to confirm. hmm.gif
*
I think the minimum is 0.5 cent, it won't fall below that (No one will go to stock exchange and offer to sell their share/ warrant for 0 cent and pay commission etc, right?). Even if someone did that, the warrant will still recover its value if the ordinary share gain back ground.

If anyone is going to sell warrant to me at 0 cent, I will be more than welcome at the receiving end... money come money come... rclxms.gif
calmwater
post Oct 23 2008, 11:25 AM

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QUOTE(htt @ Oct 22 2008, 10:39 PM)
I think the minimum is 0.5 cent, it won't fall below that (No one will go to stock exchange and offer to sell their share/ warrant for 0 cent and pay commission etc, right?). Even if someone did that, the warrant will still recover its value if the ordinary share gain back ground.

If anyone is going to sell warrant to me at 0 cent, I will be more than welcome at the receiving end... money come money come...  rclxms.gif
*
Thanks for the info. notworthy.gif
cherroy
post Oct 23 2008, 11:29 AM

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QUOTE(darkknight81 @ Oct 23 2008, 08:14 AM)
Weakening of pound is temporaly only. The next olympic is at UK. Should see some rally of pound by then.
By the time can trade the warrant B
My two cents.
*
No, I disagree on this factor (not mean GBP won't rise or plunge), just olympic or not won't be a major factor in determine the currency, economy or stock market. It has to do with macro-economy and external factor. Currency is sensitive to interest rate and economy growth and health of country financial situation. It (olympic) has some stimulus effect but it is not the major driving force.

We had enough previous myth or popular talk of buying China stocks because of Olympics, which I find a lame excuse long before. Sorry no offence. smile.gif

QUOTE(calmwater @ Oct 23 2008, 10:24 AM)
I have a question. What happens when a warrant price has dissapeared from the radar, meaning to say it has gone to zero and later the mother share rises again from the ashes, does the warrant become valuable again or is it toilet paper for good, meaning to say it has been flushed down the toilet and it is gone forever. sweat.gif

I know that doesn't make sense, but just want to confirm. hmm.gif
*
As long as the warrant has not expired, then yes.

QUOTE(htt @ Oct 23 2008, 10:39 AM)
I think the minimum is 0.5 cent, it won't fall below that (No one will go to stock exchange and offer to sell their share/ warrant for 0 cent and pay commission etc, right?). Even if someone did that, the warrant will still recover its value if the ordinary share gain back ground.

If anyone is going to sell warrant to me at 0 cent, I will be more than welcome at the receiving end... money come money come...  rclxms.gif
*
Even at 0.005, it is still not make sense to sell in few lots. 10 lots (x100) x 0.005 = Rm5., minus min commission (Rm8.88 or Rm12 or Rm28 or Rm40), you still ended up with -ve figure. biggrin.gif What for? whistling.gif

This post has been edited by cherroy: Oct 23 2008, 11:31 AM
htt
post Oct 23 2008, 11:46 AM

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QUOTE(cherroy @ Oct 23 2008, 11:29 AM)
No, I disagree on this factor (not mean GBP won't rise or plunge), just olympic or not won't be a major factor in determine the currency, economy or stock market. It has to do with macro-economy and external factor. Currency is sensitive to interest rate and economy growth and health of country financial situation. It (olympic) has some stimulus effect but it is not the major driving force.

We had enough previous myth or popular talk of buying China stocks because of Olympics, which I find a lame excuse long before. Sorry no offence. smile.gif
As long as the warrant has not expired, then yes.
Even at 0.005, it is still not make sense to sell in few lots. 10 lots (x100) x 0.005 = Rm5., minus min commission (Rm8.88 or Rm12 or Rm28 or Rm40), you still ended up with -ve figure.  biggrin.gif What for?  whistling.gif
*
Hehe... I mean 0 cent, then I just pay RM0 for the share/ warrant (but need to pay minimum commission, I think government will have difficulty to calculate stamp duty), why not? So long the warrant not going to expire soon, YTL-WB valid until 2018 I think.

Stop day dreaming... getting into business instead... cry.gif
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post Oct 23 2008, 01:39 PM

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Warrant B is good for trading. As the mother share rise 10 sen..Theoretically it will follow.
skiddtrader
post Oct 23 2008, 03:19 PM

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I have to agree with Cheeroy that the Olympics in UK will not cause any rallying of the pound. If you say it is held in Malaysia maybe or Vietnam, but certainly not UK.

But I still don't get why people are concerned about the GBP depreciating against the RM? I mean we've done the calculation that if the GBP weakens, their liabilities would be lowered as well. Meaning their loan payments/financial costs will be lower which translate to more profit. And since their income and payments are in GBP, they both will negate each other when the figures are converted to RM.

With more than RM10 billion in loans in GBP, wouldn't that be much better?
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post Oct 23 2008, 07:10 PM

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QUOTE(skiddtrader @ Oct 23 2008, 04:19 PM)
I have to agree with Cheeroy that the Olympics in UK will not cause any rallying of the pound. If you say it is held in Malaysia maybe or Vietnam, but certainly not UK.

But I still don't get why people are concerned about the GBP depreciating against the RM? I mean we've done the calculation that if the GBP weakens, their liabilities would be lowered as well. Meaning their loan payments/financial costs will be lower which translate to more profit. And since their income and payments are in GBP, they both will negate each other when the figures are converted to RM.

With more than RM10 billion in loans in GBP, wouldn't that be much better?
*
Well for me, i am more concern on the earnings of the company. If the earnings erroded which means the EPS and DPS will be affected.

Take this scenario

Current liabilities = 500 million (which means they got to settle this amount annually until the loan is fully pay)
Current Asset = 800 million ( which means the net earnings after tax, wages, ...)

So the nett earnings will be 800million - 500 million = 300 million pound. With weakening of pound.

Converted back to RM...Which means the company earnings is less.

Unless you are talking about use the company cash in RM convert to pound to pay for the loan. But i don think it is possible as they need the cash for future acquisition.


Added on October 23, 2008, 7:49 pmYTL Power poised for mergers & aquisitions


YTL's Paka Power Station
The Star Online, October 17, 2008

It has large war chest to make move in this time of economic distress

“THE journey continues ...” as the buzzword on YTL Power International Bhd’s 2007 annual report put it.

The group has journeyed to faraway markets for opportunities, enabling it to expand its business to Britain, Australia and Indonesia. That also led it to broaden its business base to include water supply and sewerage services, and power transmission.

It had last made an acquisition many years ago, tending to acquire utility assets only from distressed sellers.

Besides aiming to acquire good assets at relatively low prices, the group also has an excellent track record in managing organic growth of the businesses acquired.

Hence, starting from a business base of two power stations in Malaysia, it expanded that to include water and sewerage services in Britain from which it earns more profits than at its home base.

It reported an operating profit of RM1.4bil from its water and sewerage services division compared with RM483mil from power generation in its financial year ended June 30. This is a group that has made good in growing from its roots in Malaysia.

YTL Power last reported it held gross cash of over RM9bil that it could use to acquire more assets. It would seem obvious that it would make a major acquisition of a utility in this cycle of widespread distress.

It has a large enough war chest for that, and it has waited many years for such times of desolation.

Besides its own internally-generated funds, it had wisely raised US$250mil through an exchangeable bond at a time when credit markets were easy and interest rates were lower. The cash from the bond issue is being held for investments in utility assets.

At this time of credit crunch, it will be difficult to obtain financing for acquisitions even when attractive utility assets are available. Hence, the fund raising ahead of a turn in the credit cycle was an act of foresight.

Berkshire Hathaway Inc, managed by Warren Buffett, is also known to raise funds when terms are easy even when there are no immediate use of the funds.

YTL Power, which has fairly stable earnings from its utility businesses, offers a yield of over 6% and, including distribution of free treasury shares, the yield can be as high as 10%.

When the group makes its move, it can be anticipated that the acquired asset will not only be enhancing to its earnings but also a new base from which it can grow a new asset.


http://www.ytlps.com.my/news/shownews.asp?newsid=41366

Bear in mind, the 6% cash dividend is tax exempted thumbup.gif


This post has been edited by darkknight81: Oct 23 2008, 07:49 PM
htt
post Oct 24 2008, 09:32 AM

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Seems some of us are very concern about the translation of GBP into RM issue. I took some pains to browse through their annual report to actually look into their treatment of their foreign associate/ subsidiary company. From my understanding, the fluctuation of value due to exchange rate will not directly affecting the income statement. Instead the gain/ loss on fair value will be reflected on the equity in balance sheet. The effect will only be reflected into income statement if that's realized under the financial year.

In short, it means rise or fall of GBP will not have a very material impact on the earning (but it's still significant as the earning of foreign subsidiaries/ associates will be translated with current rate). The changes of fair value for net asset (assets - liabilities) in foreign countries will not be impacting income statement, this is to prevent fluctuation of profit due to currency fluctuation which might not have great impact on the business if they intended to continue to hold the subsidiaries/ associates in longer term (with no visibility to sell them).

Hope my opinion useful. Please correct me if I am wrong. tongue.gif
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post Oct 24 2008, 10:24 AM

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Usually when things get complicated, I try to use a simpler model to try and understand an issue. Here let's say a business has a shop in malaysia and one shop in U.K. selling sporting goods.

For the year 2006, if shop in malaysia (A) make 140,000 ringgit and shop in U.K. (B) makes 20,000 pounds and the exchange rate is 1 pound to 7 ringgit, then the total profits would be 280,000 ringgit. Being established in Malaysia and being listed here, shareholders want to know the numbers in local currency.

If in 2007 both locations maintain same profits but pound is at the rate of 1 : 6.5

then the total income for the year would be 270,000 ringgit.

If in 2008 both locations continue to maintain same profits in their respective currencies and the pound / ringgit conversion is at 1:6

then the total income for the year would be 260,000 ringgit.

This falling income level will affect investor sentiment and we can expect further fall in the price.

Hopefully an increase in tariffs ( there are some for 2008 - 2010) for the water business will offset some of this currency induced adjustments.

I am maintaining my current position on YTLPOWR-WB, but was lucky to sell quite a bit at 53 and 53.5 some 2 - 3 weeks ago upon noticing this fall in the Pound. Now looking to re enter for what I sold but price is continuing to fall.

The reason we need to look at the asset valuation of the U.K. business is if in the event YTLPOWR is getting to purchase a Mega power plant or water business in Malaysia and let say they want to put down 30 % and obtain financing for the rest, the bankers will evaluate their worldwide assets in Ringgit and the interest rate can be higher or lower depending on the credit risks the banks would face.

Due to the falling asset value obtaining loans or bond issues for that matter would cost more. Even half a sen or one sen more means big difference. That's why it is so important to monitor the currency, especially when 70% of it's assets (rough number) are in Pounds.

I hope not to get this wrong as this counter is my NO.1 choice, still maintaining quite a bit.

Keep up the valuable discussions. We shall continue to learn from one another. Thank you.

skiddtrader
post Oct 25 2008, 03:49 PM

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QUOTE(htt @ Oct 24 2008, 09:32 AM)
Seems some of us are very concern about the translation of GBP into RM issue. I took some pains to browse through their annual report to actually look into their treatment of their foreign associate/ subsidiary company. From my understanding, the fluctuation of value due to exchange rate will not directly affecting the income statement. Instead the gain/ loss on fair value will be reflected on the equity in balance sheet. The effect will only be reflected into income statement if that's realized under the financial year.

In short, it means rise or fall of GBP will not have a very material impact on the earning (but it's still significant as the earning of foreign subsidiaries/ associates will be translated with current rate). The changes of fair value for net asset (assets - liabilities) in foreign countries will not be impacting income statement, this is to prevent fluctuation of profit due to currency fluctuation which might not have great impact on the business if they intended to continue to hold the subsidiaries/ associates in longer term (with no visibility to sell them).

Hope my opinion useful. Please correct me if I am wrong.  tongue.gif
*
Yes, I have read and am trying to understand this as well. To quote the their 2007 audited annual report;

"iii Group companies

The results and financial position of all the group entities (none of which has the currency of a hyperinflationary economy) that have a functional currency different from the presentation currency are translated into the presentation currency as follows:

• assets and liabilities for each balance sheet presented are translated at the closing rate at the date of that balance sheet;

income and expenses for each income statement are translated at average exchange rates; and

• all resulting exchange differences are recognised as a separate component of equity

On consolidation, exchange differences arising from the translation of the net investment in foreign operations are taken to shareholders’ equity. When a foreign operation is partially disposed of or sold, exchange differences that were recorded in equity are recognised in the income statement as part of the gain or loss on disposal.

Goodwill and fair value adjustments arising on the acquisition of a foreign entity on or after 1 July 2006 are treated as assets
and liabilities of the foreign entity and translated at the closing rate. For acquisition of foreign entities completed prior to
1 July 2006, goodwill and fair value adjustments continued to be recorded at the exchange rate at the respective date of
acquisitions
."

Assets and liabilities are quoted at exchange rates at the closing rate at the date of the respective balance sheet means on June 30 every year the exchange rate of that day will be taken to convert the assets and liabilities in whatever currency to RM.

The 2nd point is where our concerns are at. I'm not sure how they average it as quarterly earnings are reported and at the end of the financial year will be added up to present the final value. If the averaging is done at every quarter, that means the currency effects down the year will only be affecting later quarterly reports. The earlier ones are considered done deal and will not be further re-calculated to present a 'present' value profit/loss.

You can refer to page 80 of their 2007 audited annual reports.
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post Oct 26 2008, 12:02 AM

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Reffering to 2007 audited annual report page 68.

Unrealise gain on foreign exchange was -37730 million


From page 80 the closing rate for GBP against RM was RM 6.9 DURING June 2007.

So base on the GBP this year 2008 which is about RM 6.00. Then that means the balance on asset in Wessex will depreciate. But it is not a major concern for me though.

Where as for the income and expenses for each income statement are translated at average exchange rates; I beliv this year average compare to last year 2007 average exchange rate will definitely lower. As so far you can see GBP has been going weaker against RM. So thats y i mean we can forsee next year earnings from wessex to depreciate.
Which is the issue i most concern on.

Correct me if wrong. notworthy.gif
htt
post Oct 26 2008, 03:36 PM

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As per my understanding, that means income from Wessex (70% of their profit) will take a hit of approx. 20% (14% of total profit) if GBP is to depreciate by 20% (which is the situation right now); a drop of 14% in profit is deem to be acceptable by most of us I guess (we are going to see drop of >50% or even profit -> loss in coming months for other companies). Profit/ Loss of disposal of acquisition (Wessex) will only recorder after disposal (which is still to far to be foreseeable).

But again, now might not be the best time to hurry into market (even for YTL Power also), they might going further down.
skiddtrader
post Oct 26 2008, 06:55 PM

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QUOTE(darkknight81 @ Oct 26 2008, 12:02 AM)
Reffering to 2007 audited annual report page 68.

Unrealise gain on foreign exchange was -37730 million
From page 80 the closing rate for GBP against RM was RM 6.9 DURING June 2007.

So base on the GBP this year 2008 which is about RM 6.00. Then that means the balance on asset in Wessex will depreciate. But it is not a major concern for me though.

Where as for the income and expenses for each income statement are translated at average exchange rates; I beliv this year average compare to last year 2007 average exchange rate will definitely lower. As so far you can see GBP has been going weaker against RM. So thats y i mean we can forsee next year earnings from wessex to depreciate.
Which is the issue i most concern on.

Correct me if wrong.  notworthy.gif
*
The unrealise gain is a good thing, not a bad thing. Do not be confused by it's negative number.

And for June 2008, it is not RM6.00, it's actually RM6.5114. You can check this under Bank Negara Malaysia website. I check their previous 3 years reports all follow the BNM website on the last day of June for that year. That's their main reference. Website is here.

From what I can gather, I check the website of BNM and also try to cross reference with profit margins of YTLPower and can't seem to find the expected fall in profits due to foreign exchange differences. I mean the GBP has been depreciating against the RM since September 2007 from a high of RM7 = GBP1. So for the past 3 quarters from Sept 2007 to March 2008 which record one of the lowest exchange rates at RM6.20 = GBP 1, which is a 10% drop, the profit margin still remained healthy.

And it recovered somewhat in June 2008 to RM6.51 before going down again to the present level of RM5.73 to a Pound, which is about 18% drop since the high of RM7.00 per Pound.

So if we tried to calculate a 10% drop in currency = 10% drop in profits, we would be wrong in our calculations. I'm not sure myself how to calculate accurately the risks and effects of the currency will have on their profits. But I do know that I rather a 10% drop in their debts which is denominated in GBP rather than 10% increase in revenue. Simply because the debt is 4 times larger than the their annual revenue. So the gain of the greater debt reduction is better than the smaller gain of profit.

This post has been edited by skiddtrader: Oct 26 2008, 06:58 PM
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post Oct 26 2008, 08:35 PM

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QUOTE(skiddtrader @ Oct 26 2008, 07:55 PM)
The unrealise gain is a good thing, not a bad thing. Do not be confused by it's negative number.

And for June 2008, it is not RM6.00, it's actually RM6.5114. You can check this under Bank Negara Malaysia website. I check their previous 3 years reports all follow the BNM website on the last day of June for that year. That's their main reference. Website is here.

From what I can gather, I check the website of BNM and also try to cross reference with profit margins of YTLPower and can't seem to find the expected fall in profits due to foreign exchange differences. I mean the GBP has been depreciating against the RM since September 2007 from a high of RM7 = GBP1. So for the past 3 quarters from Sept 2007 to March 2008 which record one of the lowest exchange rates at RM6.20 = GBP 1, which is a 10% drop, the profit margin still remained healthy.

And it recovered somewhat in June 2008 to RM6.51 before going down again to the present level of RM5.73 to a Pound, which is about 18% drop since the high of RM7.00 per Pound.

So if we tried to calculate a 10% drop in currency = 10% drop in profits, we would be wrong in our calculations. I'm not sure myself how to calculate accurately the risks and effects of the currency will have on their profits. But I do know that I rather a 10% drop in their debts which is denominated in GBP rather than 10% increase in revenue. Simply because the debt is 4 times larger than the their annual revenue. So the gain of the greater debt reduction is better than the smaller gain of profit.
*
The profit margin can be increase by :

a) Improve efficiency in the production.
b) Cost Cutting

YTL power has always mentioning on improving efficiency. I beliv they have improving their efficiency and bring to higher profit margin but due to the forex exchange lost thats y we cannot see much difference on their profit. Correct me if wrong.
SKY 1809
post Oct 26 2008, 08:50 PM

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QUOTE(darkknight81 @ Oct 26 2008, 08:35 PM)
The profit margin can be increase by :

a) Improve efficiency in the production.
b) Cost Cutting

YTL power has always mentioning on improving efficiency. I beliv they have improving their efficiency and bring to higher profit margin but due to the forex exchange lost thats y we cannot see much difference on their profit. Correct me if wrong.
*
Yes, you are right , the real profit margin , you should look at original currency. Since PL items ( except stocks ) items are translated at average rate, there is no loss or gain resulted. But earnings in ringgits might drop due the weak currency ( IF SALES AND COST EFFICIENCY REMAIN THE SAME )

Balance Sheets items would have gain or loss, due to figures c/f from previous year, reinstating to current year end rate ( balance sheet date ). Mostly affecting the reserves or some other names created in the BS. Again, Investments would be stated at lower of cost/market values.

This post has been edited by SKY 1809: Oct 27 2008, 10:20 AM
TSdarkknight81
post Oct 26 2008, 09:07 PM

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For all YTL POWER fans here,
Pound to RM has been on its historical low at RM 5.73 currently. Thinking of buying some pound but don know how to start.
skiddtrader
post Oct 26 2008, 10:03 PM

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QUOTE(darkknight81 @ Oct 26 2008, 08:35 PM)
The profit margin can be increase by :

a) Improve efficiency in the production.
b) Cost Cutting

YTL power has always mentioning on improving efficiency. I beliv they have improving their efficiency and bring to higher profit margin but due to the forex exchange lost thats y we cannot see much difference on their profit. Correct me if wrong.
*
The time line I stated as an example from July 2007 to March 2008 shows their past 3 quarters where the currency was affected by at least 10%. But their profit margin in those 3 quarters improved every quarter.

1st quarter EPS was 4.61 cents, followed by 2nd quarter 4.82 cents then 3rd quarter was 5.25 cents.

2nd quarter earnings improved by 4.5% from 1st quarter, then 3rd quarter improved by 8.9% from 2nd quarter.

Now if you look at the currency exchange the GBP was lowest against the RM in the 3rd quarter where as the 1st quarter was the strongest.

I don't know if the currency exchange rate is directly responsible for such quarterly growth but if you would to compare the lowest exchange quarter which is the 3rd vs. the 1st which had the stronger GBP, while the GBP slided down 10%, the earnings went up by 13.8%. Furthermore, 4th quarter results are almost the same with 3rd quarter when the GBP weaken before climbing back up again to 3rd quarter levels.

1st and 2nd quarter 2008 will most probably show us how affected their profits are with relation to the currency exchange as this quarters has the biggest fluctuation downwards.

Please remember when the GBP strengthens, although revenues will increase, their costs will increase as well. Costs as in financial costs(interest on loans), fixed costs (labour, administration), depreciation of assets etc.








TSdarkknight81
post Oct 26 2008, 10:27 PM

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QUOTE(skiddtrader @ Oct 26 2008, 11:03 PM)
The time line I stated as an example from July 2007 to March 2008 shows their past 3 quarters where the currency was affected by at least 10%. But their profit margin in those 3 quarters improved every quarter.

1st quarter EPS was 4.61 cents, followed by 2nd quarter 4.82 cents  then 3rd quarter was 5.25 cents.

2nd quarter earnings improved by 4.5% from 1st quarter, then 3rd quarter improved by 8.9% from 2nd quarter.

Now if you look at the currency exchange the GBP was lowest against the RM in the 3rd quarter where as the 1st quarter was the strongest.

I don't know if the currency exchange rate is directly responsible for such quarterly growth but if you would to compare the lowest exchange quarter which is the 3rd vs. the 1st which had the stronger GBP, while the GBP slided down 10%, the earnings went up by 13.8%. Furthermore, 4th quarter results are almost the same with 3rd quarter when the GBP weaken before climbing back up again to 3rd quarter levels.

1st and 2nd quarter 2008 will most probably show us how affected their profits are with relation to the currency exchange as this quarters has the biggest fluctuation downwards.

Please remember when the GBP strengthens, although revenues will increase, their costs will increase as well. Costs as in financial costs(interest on loans), fixed costs (labour, administration), depreciation of assets etc.
*
Thanks again for your info notworthy.gif Wonder y this will happened rclxub.gif

By the way, may i know when 2008 annual report will be out?


calmwater
post Oct 26 2008, 10:32 PM

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QUOTE(htt @ Oct 26 2008, 03:36 AM)
As per my understanding, that means income from Wessex (70% of their profit) will take a hit of approx. 20%  (14% of total profit) if GBP is to depreciate by 20% (which is the situation right now); a drop of 14% in profit is deem to be acceptable by most of us I guess (we are going to see drop of >50% or even profit -> loss in coming months for other companies). Profit/ Loss of disposal of acquisition (Wessex) will only recorder after disposal (which is still to far to be foreseeable).

But again, now might not be the best time to hurry into market (even for YTL Power also), they might going further down.
*
This is the whole point. We still love this counter, believe it will do well in time to come, but in order to accumulate some more, maybe can wait a few more days or weeks.

To accumulate slowly. nod.gif
TSdarkknight81
post Oct 26 2008, 10:35 PM

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QUOTE(calmwater @ Oct 26 2008, 11:32 PM)
This is the whole point. We still love this counter, believe it will do well in time to come, but in order to accumulate some more, maybe can wait a few more days or weeks.

To accumulate slowly. nod.gif
*
My next target price will be below Rm 1.50 nod.gif
PPA negotiation haven't settled yet.
calmwater
post Oct 26 2008, 11:05 PM

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QUOTE(darkknight81 @ Oct 26 2008, 10:35 AM)
My next target price will be below Rm 1.50  nod.gif
PPA negotiation haven't settled yet.
*
Wonder why they have to negotiate and renegotiate and then re renegotiate sad.gif

YTLPOWER with it's expertise in electricity transmission, as stated below,


ElectraNet is a specialist in the transmission (movement) of electricity over long distances and to remote areas. Our company's main operations are within South Australia - a unique geographic location with a widely dispersed population spread across an area comparable to the length and breadth of Western Europe.

ElectraNet’s shareholders
Harold Street Holdings Pty Ltd (41.11%) – a subsidiary of Powerlink Queensland
YTL Power Investments Limited (33.5%) – an investment company of YTL Power International Berhad
Hastings Funds Management (19.94%) – as responsible entity of the Hastings Utilities Trust
Macquarie Specialist Asset Management Limited (5.45%) – as trustee for the ElectraNet Trust on behalf of UniSuper.


should just fukin rewire the whole of Malaysia!!

As it is even though Malaysia has about 40% over capacity, the country is going to face a crisis (shortage) as reported in The Star a few days ago. What they are possibly facing is an uneven distribution of electricity and they are still building new power plants going by where there is a shortage seen. A huge power plant like JIMAH is to be coming on stream in 2009 or 2010. Tenaga is expected to be heading for a crisis in the next few years.

If they can tap YTLPOWER's expertise in the transmission of electricity over long distances and form a power grid from North to South, Malaysia can actually export excess power to Singapore and Thailand. Tenaga can continue with their business of collecting from the end user's.

It is a win - win for both parties.

I hope they allow YTLPOWER to do so and see the light of day. brows.gif and of course we too.
ante5k
post Oct 26 2008, 11:59 PM

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QUOTE(calmwater @ Oct 26 2008, 11:05 PM)
A huge power plant like JIMAH is to be coming on stream in 2009 or 2010. Tenaga is expected to be heading for a crisis in the next few years.

*
First 700MW starts on 1/1/2009 and second 700MW starts on 1/7/2009.


htt
post Oct 27 2008, 12:18 AM

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QUOTE(ante5k @ Oct 26 2008, 11:59 PM)
First 700MW starts on 1/1/2009 and second 700MW starts on 1/7/2009.
*
Some countries just plan for tomorrow, not the days after tomorrow, we have to live with that, relax... shocking.gif
calmwater
post Oct 27 2008, 07:42 AM

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QUOTE(ante5k @ Oct 26 2008, 11:59 AM)
First 700MW starts on 1/1/2009 and second 700MW starts on 1/7/2009.
*
WOW so soon ah!! shocking.gif


skiddtrader
post Oct 27 2008, 09:18 AM

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QUOTE(calmwater @ Oct 26 2008, 11:05 PM)
Wonder why they have to negotiate and renegotiate and then re renegotiate sad.gif

YTLPOWER with it's expertise in electricity transmission, as stated below,
ElectraNet is a specialist in the transmission (movement) of electricity over long distances and to remote areas. Our company's main operations are within South Australia - a unique geographic location with a widely dispersed population spread across an area comparable to the length and breadth of Western Europe.

ElectraNet’s shareholders
Harold Street Holdings Pty Ltd (41.11%) – a subsidiary of Powerlink Queensland
YTL Power Investments Limited (33.5%) – an investment company of YTL Power International Berhad
Hastings Funds Management (19.94%) – as responsible entity of the Hastings Utilities Trust
Macquarie Specialist Asset Management Limited (5.45%) – as trustee for the ElectraNet Trust on behalf of UniSuper.
should just fukin rewire the whole of Malaysia!!

As it is even though Malaysia has about 40% over capacity, the country is going to face a crisis (shortage) as reported in The Star a few days ago. What they are possibly facing is an uneven distribution of electricity and they are still building new power plants going by where there is a shortage seen. A huge power plant like JIMAH is to be coming on stream in 2009 or 2010. Tenaga is expected to be heading for a crisis in the next few years.

If they can tap YTLPOWER's expertise in the transmission of electricity over long distances and form a power grid from North to South, Malaysia can actually export excess power to Singapore and Thailand. Tenaga can continue with their business of collecting from the end user's.

It is a win - win for both parties.

I hope they allow YTLPOWER to do so and see the light of day. brows.gif  and of course we too.
*
Very unlikely to happen because it is being monopolised by TNB. All IPP are only responsible to generate power and have no rights to transmission.

Unlikely for Singapore and Thailand tap power from us as well because they want to protect their own industry and have their own reserves. But I'm aware of a power plant in Johor and Singapore have some kind of power sharing agreement, whereby they will supply each other with some power in the case of unexpected problems in their operation. But it is not an export or a business, just a mutual pact for assistance.

Furthermore, YTLPOWER bought a piece of that Australia transmission, they didn't actually built the system.
calmwater
post Oct 27 2008, 10:52 AM

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QUOTE(skiddtrader @ Oct 26 2008, 09:18 PM)
Very unlikely to happen because it is being monopolised by TNB. All IPP are only responsible to generate power and have no rights to transmission.

Unlikely for Singapore and Thailand tap power from us as well because they want to protect their own industry and have their own reserves. But I'm aware of a power plant in Johor and Singapore have some kind of power sharing agreement, whereby they will supply each other with some power in the case of unexpected problems in their operation. But it is not an export or a business, just a mutual pact for assistance.

Furthermore, YTLPOWER bought a piece of that Australia transmission, they didn't actually built the system.
*
Things can change my friend. Afterall at one time before IPP's were born, everything was in the hands of TNB but now they are getting squeezed already. People don't like to surrender their business but if they continue to operate without a clear vision, sooner or later they will have to let go some more.

As for Thailand quite true they may not want power from Malaysia especially with trouble in their south (terrorism).

But Singapore with their very much higher cost, can be induced to buy some percentage of Electricity, give some special promotion mah. brows.gif Afterall they are not completely independent, as they get most of their water supply from Malaysia. So getting some power from us should not concern them much, especially when they are selling their power plants to foreigners ( 2 power plants out of 3 sold to foreigner's already, third also likely same way).

I think the biggest hurdle to a more well regulated power industry in Malaysia has got more to do with public perception, fear of losing Bumi domination in this as well as water and other major industries.

The more liberal the country is the better for advancement of all. Foreign investors will be gate crashing to come in, hopefully BA can takeover. nod.gif


TSdarkknight81
post Oct 27 2008, 12:37 PM

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It is very unlikely that it will happened though. Further more, i wonder YTL power itself want to expand their business in malaysia or not ? laugh.gif They are more interest on expanding on Singapore, China Australia.
htt
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QUOTE(darkknight81 @ Oct 27 2008, 12:37 PM)
It is very unlikely that it will happened though. Further more, i wonder YTL power itself want to expand their business in malaysia or not ?  laugh.gif They are more interest on expanding on Singapore, China Australia.
*
Don't think so, seems they stop expansion in Malaysia years ago, that's will be surprise if they will come back again... unless that's really attractive for them to do so...
TSdarkknight81
post Oct 27 2008, 09:11 PM

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QUOTE(htt @ Oct 27 2008, 10:06 PM)
Don't think so, seems they stop expansion in Malaysia years ago, that's will be surprise if they will come back again... unless that's really attractive for them to do so...
*
If they invest in Malaysia you can see the share price drops another 20% tongue.gif

All FDI have been withdraw from malaysia due to our political landscape now...
georgechang79
post Oct 28 2008, 12:19 AM

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Darkknight,

Although YTL Power is a loaded company, it still gets most of its earnings from overseas. Wont its earning get affected with the foreign exchange especially with the major currency weakening.
TSdarkknight81
post Oct 28 2008, 01:07 PM

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QUOTE(georgechang79 @ Oct 28 2008, 01:19 AM)
Darkknight,

Although YTL Power is a loaded company, it still gets most of its earnings from overseas. Wont its earning get affected with the foreign exchange especially with the major currency weakening.
*
Yup thats y you can see our previous discussion on the currency weakening on this topic.
calmwater
post Oct 31 2008, 09:03 AM

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Temasek Kicks Off Sale Of PowerSeraya

On October 6 Temasek Holdings, Singapore's state-owned investment company, kicked off the third and final instalment of its power sector liberalisation programme by putting electricity generator PowerSeraya up for sale. PowerSeraya, which is expected to garner bids of up to US$2.5bn, has a capacity of over 3,100 megawatts (MW), and provides almost 30% of Singapore's electricity. The auction comes hot on the heels of the earlier sale of Senko Power to the Marubeni-led 'Lion Power' consortium for US$2.5bn, and the US$4.2bn sale of Tuas Power to the Chinese Huaneng Group.

Any news of YTLPOWER bidding for this asset?
skiddtrader
post Oct 31 2008, 09:54 AM

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QUOTE(calmwater @ Oct 31 2008, 09:03 AM)
Temasek Kicks Off Sale Of PowerSeraya

On October 6 Temasek Holdings, Singapore's state-owned investment company, kicked off the third and final instalment of its power sector liberalisation programme by putting electricity generator PowerSeraya up for sale. PowerSeraya, which is expected to garner bids of up to US$2.5bn, has a capacity of over 3,100 megawatts (MW), and provides almost 30% of Singapore's electricity. The auction comes hot on the heels of the earlier sale of Senko Power to the Marubeni-led 'Lion Power' consortium for US$2.5bn, and the US$4.2bn sale of Tuas Power to the Chinese Huaneng Group.

Any news of YTLPOWER bidding for this asset?
*
I search around the net for any news and so far none. We'll know once the final bidders are finalised like the last time Senoko sale. Power Seraya assets arent' bad and it's currently being expanded in Jurong.
calmwater
post Oct 31 2008, 10:11 AM

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QUOTE(skiddtrader @ Oct 30 2008, 09:54 PM)
I search around the net for any news and so far none. We'll know once the final bidders are finalised like the last time Senoko sale. Power Seraya assets arent' bad and it's currently being expanded in Jurong.
*
Yeah, if not mistaken it can be announced within a month of bidding process. The whole thing maybe within 3 months.

Will be good to acquire this asset, since it is closer to home and also singapore dollar a steady currency.

Pricewise its pretty huge at about RM 9 Billion.
skiddtrader
post Oct 31 2008, 10:33 AM

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QUOTE(calmwater @ Oct 31 2008, 10:11 AM)
Yeah, if not mistaken it can be announced within a month of bidding process. The whole thing maybe within 3 months.

Will be good to acquire this asset, since it is closer to home and also singapore dollar a steady currency.

Pricewise its pretty huge at about RM 9 Billion.
*
Yeah, the most profitable power company in SG was the 1st one sold which is Tuas Power and that was sold at USD 4bil, next was the biggest and that was sold for USD 3.5bil. I think this one USD 3 bil or below should be around there. And the fact that the parent company Temasek will also arrange for finances is a bonus.
htt
post Oct 31 2008, 11:21 AM

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QUOTE(skiddtrader @ Oct 31 2008, 10:33 AM)
Yeah, the most profitable power company in SG was the 1st one sold which is Tuas Power and that was sold at USD 4bil, next was the biggest and that was sold for USD 3.5bil. I think this one USD 3 bil or below should be around there. And the fact that the parent company Temasek will also arrange for finances is a bonus.
*
Singapore is going to liberalize the power market later on, after government sold all their power plants. That means power plants will fight among themselves to get customers (end customer can choose to buy power from one of the 3 big power gen and possibly some smaller players, weighted in their offer price etc). This might be bad if recession hit Singapore (extra power generation capacity, that will create a cut throat market for power gen). I think that's the reason why Singapore government want to offload all their power gen, their government hardly loss money one, history told us (BII just reminded us again).
TSdarkknight81
post Oct 31 2008, 11:57 AM

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QUOTE(htt @ Oct 31 2008, 12:21 PM)
Singapore is going to liberalize the power market later on, after government sold all their power plants. That means power plants will fight among themselves to get customers (end customer can choose to buy power from one of the 3 big power gen and possibly some smaller players, weighted in their offer price etc). This might be bad if recession hit Singapore (extra power generation capacity, that will create a cut throat market for power gen). I think that's the reason why Singapore government want to offload all their power gen, their government hardly loss money one, history told us (BII just reminded us again).
*
Not a major concern. As the competition are among 3 of them only in singapore.PPl cannot like taking supply from one of them only. They got to see the capacity of the supplier. If every body take from Senoko for example... can senoko able to supply the whole singapore ? Who don want to earn money in doing business? The most important is how efficient they can? In order to have more profit margin they got to stay more efficient than the others.

This post has been edited by darkknight81: Oct 31 2008, 11:58 AM
skiddtrader
post Oct 31 2008, 04:08 PM

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QUOTE(darkknight81 @ Oct 31 2008, 11:57 AM)
Not a major concern. As the competition are among 3 of them only in singapore.PPl cannot like taking supply from one of them only. They got to see the capacity of the supplier. If every body take from Senoko for example... can senoko able to supply the whole singapore ?  Who don want to earn money in doing business? The most important is how efficient they can? In order to have more profit margin they got to stay more efficient than the others.
*
Yes, Darkknight81 is right, each genco is only able to supply about 30% or so electricity. Only certain sections or area will be liberalise to competition among the gencos, not the entire island. More worrying is that Sembawang Corp once said if it doesn't get any of the 3 being sold, it will built it's own power station.

htt
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QUOTE(skiddtrader @ Oct 31 2008, 04:08 PM)
Yes, Darkknight81 is right, each genco is only able to supply about 30% or so electricity. Only certain sections or area will be liberalise to competition among the gencos, not the entire island. More worrying is that Sembawang Corp once said if it doesn't get any of the 3 being sold, it will built it's own power station.
*
If I am not mistaken, the government is talking about full liberalization (consumer & industry alike). During boom time, there might not be spare capacity, but if Singapore go into recession, then the big power sucker might shut down and leaving a lot of spare for the 3 to grab. One thing funny in Singapore is, when there is a few companies fighting in a liberalize sector, they always work in some form of cartel to gain the maximum profit from consumer e.g. bus & mrt & taxi (but bus & mrt ultimately belong to the same group of people, majority of taxis as well). Singaporean are looking forward for the liberalization hoping there might be some cost saving for them, and government offload all their power gen almost at the same time make the thing fishy.

Under a fair market, efficiency is very important, but noting not all 3 power gen have the same efficiency, so the less one might not be benefiting from that. Just my guess only.
skiddtrader
post Nov 1 2008, 12:38 AM

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QUOTE(htt @ Oct 31 2008, 04:48 PM)
If I am not mistaken, the government is talking about full liberalization (consumer & industry alike). During boom time, there might not be spare capacity, but if Singapore go into recession, then the big power sucker might shut down and leaving a lot of spare for the 3 to grab. One thing funny in Singapore is, when there is a few companies fighting in a liberalize sector, they always work in some form of cartel to gain the maximum profit from consumer e.g. bus & mrt & taxi (but bus & mrt ultimately belong to the same group of people, majority of taxis as well). Singaporean are looking forward for the liberalization hoping there might be some cost saving for them, and government offload all their power gen almost at the same time make the thing fishy.

Under a fair market, efficiency is very important, but noting not all 3 power gen have the same efficiency, so the less one might not be benefiting from that. Just my guess only.
*
Well the last to be offered is not the most popular one among the 3. Tuas was the favaourite, Senoko was the biggest and Seraya the last one is just the 'calefare' one to make the trio a party. biggrin.gif
calmwater
post Nov 2 2008, 03:39 AM

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LATEST NEWS!!

YTLPOWER BIDDING FOR SERAYA BUT,

Aiyo !! POWER SERAYA SALE PUTOFF TO NEXT YEAR!!! tongue.gif

Read below.

1 November, 2008

Power failure
The S$2.9bn (US$2bn) 18-month bridge facility backing the acquisition of Singapore genco Senoko Power by Japan’s Marubeni has not yet received any commitments in general syndication. Given the present state of financial markets, it won’t come as a surprise if the deal sees no participation in general syndication at all by mid-November when the deal is targeted to close.

However, some are not ruling out a few last-minute commitments as the Singapore dollar market still remains liquid. In the deal's favour is the fact that it has already been prefunded by MLAs ANZ, Bank of Tokyo-Mitsubishi UFJ, DBS Bank, Dexia Bank, Dresdner Kleinwort, KBC Bank, Mizuho Corporate Bank, Natixis, OCBC and RBS.

The facility pays 100bp over SOR for the first six months, 120bp for the next six months and 140bp for the remainder of the tenor. The blended margin is 120bp over SOR and the all-in is 170bp over SOR.

Meanwhile, worsening market conditions have pushed back the sale of PowerSeraya to the first quarter of next year. Temasek, which owns the genco, is said to have received bids in the first round that have not encouraged the entity to proceed with the sale, according to bankers familiar with the situation.

Moreover, with deteriorating market conditions it is also challenging to find support from lenders to fund such a big acquisition.

Following the successful sale of Tuas Power and Senoko Power earlier in the year, many expected PowerSeraya's privatisation to fetch a good price for Temasek. PowerSeraya is the best among the three gencos.

Among those putting in indicative bids for PowerSeraya are Keppel, SembCorp Industries, CLP Holdings with Itochu, Hong Kong Electric, YTL and Arcapita.

While Temasek's move to postpone the sale to next year appears to be a wise decision, many feel this might lead to a clash between the financing backing it and the takeout of a S$2.25bn bridge loan put together for Tuas Power’s acquisition in March. Huaneng Group emerged as the winning bidder on Tuas with a S$4.23bn bid.

Bankers expect the takeout to arrive in the first quarter of 2009 with the borrower looking for an additional S$700m-$800m to be used for repowering of the plant.

Tuas Power's bridge paid a top level all-in of 86.7bp over SOR.

This post has been edited by calmwater: Nov 2 2008, 03:43 AM
skiddtrader
post Nov 2 2008, 03:20 PM

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Good news that they are bidding, but a bit sian the deal pushed back to next quarter. If the Senoko one doesn't go through, might have another chance at it.
TSdarkknight81
post Nov 2 2008, 06:32 PM

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THANKS A Lot for your info rclxms.gif .Francis Yeoh was deem interested investing in Singapore. Recent aquisition of Singapore Reits by YTL corp shows that. This time he will try his best for the seraya bid as it is the last chance for YTL power in enter into Singapore Power Business.

But don get too excited from this though until it is really confirm.

This post has been edited by darkknight81: Nov 2 2008, 06:35 PM
calmwater
post Nov 3 2008, 05:34 AM

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QUOTE(skiddtrader @ Nov 2 2008, 03:20 AM)
Good news that they are bidding, but a bit sian the deal pushed back to next quarter. If the Senoko one doesn't go through, might have another chance at it.
*
It is a dilemma for the successful bidder's of Tuas and Senoko. They just simply offered to pay too much. sweat.gif

I am glad YTL POWER is very much more careful. nod.gif


Added on November 3, 2008, 6:05 am
QUOTE(darkknight81 @ Nov 2 2008, 06:32 AM)
THANKS A Lot for your info  rclxms.gif .Francis Yeoh was deem interested investing in Singapore. Recent aquisition of Singapore Reits by YTL corp shows that. This time he will try his best for the seraya bid as it is the last chance for YTL power in enter into Singapore Power Business.

But don get too excited from this though until it is really confirm.
*
If YTL POWER can acquire Seraya they would become a major IPP in south east asia. Seraya's present capacity is 3100 MW and will increase to 3900 MW in 2010 with completion of a gas fired plant with capacity of 800 MW. Add their power generation in Malaysia, and the total will be about 5000 MW. shocking.gif

Even though it is very exciting, yet Francis is very careful not to overpay for the asset. thumbup.gif

This post has been edited by calmwater: Nov 3 2008, 06:05 AM
skiddtrader
post Nov 3 2008, 09:12 AM

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QUOTE(calmwater @ Nov 3 2008, 05:34 AM)
It is a dilemma for the successful bidder's of Tuas and Senoko. They just simply offered to pay too much. sweat.gif

I am glad YTL POWER is very much more careful. nod.gif


Added on November 3, 2008, 6:05 am
If YTL POWER can acquire Seraya they would become a major IPP in south east asia. Seraya's present capacity is 3100 MW and will increase to 3900 MW in 2010 with completion of a gas fired plant with capacity of 800 MW. Add their power generation in Malaysia, and the total will be about 5000 MW. shocking.gif

Even though it is very exciting, yet Francis is very careful not to overpay for the asset. thumbup.gif
*
Looks like Hong Kong's CLP is shortlisted. No news about the rest.

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=new...id=aKdJL233bNCU

Hmmm it would seem prudent that YTLPOWER is not offering so much, but then Temasek is not a cash strapped company, so for sure it won't sell below it's expectations. Unlike the desperate Enron which was being liquidated when YTLPOWER bought WW, Temasek is still extremely strong on the cash front.

Comes to question though, should YTL pay more for a good asset or offer less and wait for best buys?
calmwater
post Nov 3 2008, 11:12 AM

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QUOTE(skiddtrader @ Nov 2 2008, 09:12 PM)
Looks like Hong Kong's CLP is shortlisted. No news about the rest.

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=new...id=aKdJL233bNCU

Hmmm it would seem prudent that YTLPOWER is not offering so much, but then Temasek is not a cash strapped company, so for sure it won't sell below it's expectations. Unlike the desperate Enron which was being liquidated when YTLPOWER bought WW, Temasek is still extremely strong on the cash front.

Comes to question though, should YTL pay more for a good asset or offer less and wait for  best buys?
*
Overall world market scenario doesn't look good, even if the stock market is rebounding somewhat at present. Temasek would want to sell Seraya at a premium, as it did with the two gencos already sold but since then the sudden downturn in asset valuations worldwide makes it difficult to put a genuine price on Seraya. The cautious bidding may cause them to delay the sale to be fair to all parties, so no one is short changed.

YTLPOWER rarely wins a bid, going by its history, has a very cautious way of doing business. Personally I don't mind and am willing to wait for better opportunities. This deals are big money, one mistake can be very costly. Better safe than sorry.
TSdarkknight81
post Nov 3 2008, 11:37 AM

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QUOTE(calmwater @ Nov 3 2008, 12:12 PM)
Overall world market scenario doesn't look good, even if the stock market is rebounding somewhat at present. Temasek would want to sell Seraya at a premium, as it did with the two gencos already sold but since then the sudden downturn in asset valuations worldwide makes it difficult to put a genuine price on Seraya. The cautious bidding may cause them to delay the sale to be fair to all parties, so no one is short changed.

YTLPOWER rarely wins a bid, going by its history, has a very cautious way of doing business. Personally I don't mind and am willing to wait for better opportunities. This deals are big money, one mistake can be very costly. Better safe than sorry.
*
Yup. Remember the money are being raise from the warrants.

I am waiting to offload my warrant B to buy the more mother share


htt
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QUOTE(darkknight81 @ Nov 3 2008, 11:37 AM)
Yup. Remember the money are being raise from the warrants.

I am waiting to offload my warrant B to buy the more mother share
*
Why not just convert WB instead? I think that still come with premium tongue.gif
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QUOTE(htt @ Nov 3 2008, 01:16 PM)
Why not just convert WB instead? I think that still come with premium tongue.gif
*
Yup was thinking of that too.
calmwater
post Nov 6 2008, 04:33 AM

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QUOTE(skiddtrader @ Nov 2 2008, 09:12 PM)
Looks like Hong Kong's CLP is shortlisted. No news about the rest.

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=new...id=aKdJL233bNCU

Hmmm it would seem prudent that YTLPOWER is not offering so much, but then Temasek is not a cash strapped company, so for sure it won't sell below it's expectations. Unlike the desperate Enron which was being liquidated when YTLPOWER bought WW, Temasek is still extremely strong on the cash front.

Comes to question though, should YTL pay more for a good asset or offer less and wait for  best buys?
*
5 November, 2008

LOANS: PowerSeraya Sale On Track
Contrary to earlier reports about the postponement of the privatisation of PowerSeraya, the third and the last Singapore-based genco put on the block by Temasek Holdings, the sale process is very much on track. Of the six bidders that submitted bids in late October, CLP Holdings, Arcapita and YTL have been shortlisted. drool.gif

These successful bidders will now be submitting their final bids by December 2. Arcapita and YTL are likely to avail of the stapled financing as they do not have any backing from lenders, while an eight-bank group is providing financing to CLP Holdings. sweat.gif

Arcapita and YTL are in negotiations with potential lenders to back them, but will likely be able to borrow funds at not less than 300bp over SOR all-in, which is also the level at which the two stapled financings have been put in place for the sale of PowerSeraya. sweat.gif

This means the bidders will have tough time getting funds especially when financial markets continue to reel under tremendous pressure. The sale, widely anticipated to fetch around S$5bn, is expected to sail through by the end of December. However, Temasek may call off the sale if the bids are below its reserve price.


rclxms.gif Go YTLPOWER GO
TSdarkknight81
post Nov 6 2008, 12:37 PM

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QUOTE(calmwater @ Nov 6 2008, 05:33 AM)
5 November, 2008

LOANS: PowerSeraya Sale On Track
Contrary to earlier reports about the postponement of the privatisation of PowerSeraya, the third and the last Singapore-based genco put on the block by Temasek Holdings, the sale process is very much on track. Of the six bidders that submitted bids in late October, CLP Holdings, Arcapita and YTL have been shortlisted. drool.gif

These successful bidders will now be submitting their final bids by December 2. Arcapita and YTL are likely to avail of the stapled financing as they do not have any backing from lenders, while an eight-bank group is providing financing to CLP Holdings.  sweat.gif

Arcapita and YTL are in negotiations with potential lenders to back them, but will likely be able to borrow funds at not less than 300bp over SOR all-in, which is also the level at which the two stapled financings have been put in place for the sale of PowerSeraya. sweat.gif

This means the bidders will have tough time getting funds especially when financial markets continue to reel under tremendous pressure. The sale, widely anticipated to fetch around S$5bn, is expected to sail through by the end of December. However, Temasek may call off the sale if the bids are below its reserve price.
rclxms.gif Go YTLPOWER GO
*
I don think YTL power can get a good bargain from this acquisition from Termasek. So, i will prefer if YTL power can have their power or water treatment plant in US instead. As obama is stretching on Green Energy.
skiddtrader
post Nov 6 2008, 01:08 PM

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QUOTE(darkknight81 @ Nov 6 2008, 12:37 PM)
I don think YTL power can get a good bargain from this acquisition from Termasek. So, i will prefer if YTL power can have their power or water treatment plant in US instead. As obama is stretching on Green Energy.
*
Last reported earnings for Power Seraya was SGD218mill in net profits. That is equivalent to more than RM500mil or 50% of YTLPOWER's last year net profits.

I say it's a good deal if they get it around SGD3.5 - 4 billion. Which is about 16 - 18 times net profits.
ante5k
post Nov 6 2008, 03:03 PM

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a point to note is that power plants are usually designed to last for 25-30 years.

edited to correct grammer smile.gif

This post has been edited by ante5k: Nov 6 2008, 03:04 PM
TSdarkknight81
post Nov 6 2008, 03:47 PM

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QUOTE(ante5k @ Nov 6 2008, 04:03 PM)
a point to note is that power plants are usually designed to last for 25-30 years.

edited to correct grammer smile.gif
*
You still can continue running, but the maintenance will be a lot and the efficiency of the plant will depreciate too...

calmwater
post Nov 6 2008, 08:38 PM

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QUOTE(darkknight81 @ Nov 6 2008, 03:47 AM)
You still can continue running, but the maintenance will be a lot and the efficiency of the plant will depreciate too...
*
I like the fact that they are building a new gas fired plant of 800 MW capacity and also the maintenance crew for the PAKA and Pasir Gudang plants can provide their services too. This will help in keeping costs down. Earning Sing dollars and paying wages in Ringgit. WOW!!
spriggan
post Nov 11 2008, 05:01 PM

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just wanna seek advice YTLPOWR now at this price 1.75 can buy
TSdarkknight81
post Nov 11 2008, 05:06 PM

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QUOTE(spriggan @ Nov 11 2008, 06:01 PM)
just wanna seek advice YTLPOWR now at this price 1.75 can buy
*
http://www.ytlcommunity.com/commnews/files...ex%20Water4.pdf

This link will have all the info, pros and cons for this company.

Mind to share your purpose for buying this counter is it for long term or short term trading? unsure.gif
spriggan
post Nov 11 2008, 05:08 PM

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i will hold untill march. but i know nothing about this stock. just know they will be a sharebuy back... so seek advice from SIFU
TSdarkknight81
post Nov 11 2008, 05:12 PM

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QUOTE(spriggan @ Nov 11 2008, 06:08 PM)
i will hold untill march. but i know nothing about this stock. just know they will be a sharebuy back... so seek advice from SIFU
*
If you plan to hold until march then totally forget about this counter... tongue.gif If you tell me you are going to hold it for more then 5 years then we can discuss lol....This is 99% non trading stock unless you are broker which can have 4 - 5 sen gain every day and earn the commision.


spriggan
post Nov 11 2008, 05:15 PM

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hoho..is better than FD but not for trading...oh i c ...
htt
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QUOTE(spriggan @ Nov 11 2008, 05:08 PM)
i will hold untill march. but i know nothing about this stock. just know they will be a sharebuy back... so seek advice from SIFU
*
Forget about that then. You might lose to the broker. tongue.gif
TSdarkknight81
post Nov 11 2008, 05:16 PM

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QUOTE(spriggan @ Nov 11 2008, 06:15 PM)
hoho..is better than FD but not for trading...oh i c ...
*
If you holding it for long term you probably will get an average of 10% return per year on the cash dividend and bonus shares....
But this is definitely not enough for most of the traders....
spriggan
post Nov 11 2008, 05:19 PM

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oh. thanks man ! i can recomend this to mine mom.
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post Nov 11 2008, 05:21 PM

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QUOTE(spriggan @ Nov 11 2008, 06:19 PM)
oh. thanks man ! i can recomend this to mine mom.
*
Yup this is an apek and amar favourite counter tongue.gif
mo_meng
post Nov 11 2008, 05:25 PM

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wow say like tat .. i planning to buy in this stock lea .. but i plan hold for div purpose seem this counter is good in div paying

i tempted to buy in this stock but the stock price really not down or even up alot .. so should i buy in some now?
spriggan
post Nov 11 2008, 05:26 PM

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yeah la. mine mom put FD also 3 something might as well buy this share. haha
jasontoh
post Nov 11 2008, 10:42 PM

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QUOTE(darkknight81 @ Nov 11 2008, 05:16 PM)
If you holding it for long term you probably will get an average of 10% return per year on the cash dividend and bonus shares....
But this is definitely not enough for most of the traders....
*
Based on the price currently...what is the DY? I've plan to re-buy this counter
SKY 1809
post Nov 11 2008, 10:46 PM

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QUOTE(darkknight81 @ Nov 11 2008, 05:16 PM)
If you holding it for long term you probably will get an average of 10% return per year on the cash dividend and bonus shares....
But this is definitely not enough for most of the traders....
*
10% for long term is very good. Rule of 72. Double up in 7.2 years thumbup.gif

This post has been edited by SKY 1809: Nov 11 2008, 11:03 PM
TSdarkknight81
post Nov 11 2008, 11:08 PM

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Just received YTL power 2008 annual report today. biggrin.gif


2008 2007

REVENUE 4.24 BILLION 4.07 BILLION

PROFIT BEFORE TAX 1.385 BILLION 1.296 BILLION

PROFIT AFTER TAX 1.038 BILLION 1.175 BILLION

DIVIDEND PER SHARE 12.5 SEN 17.5 SEN

NET ASSET PER SHARE 1.21 1.18

From here we can see there is increase in revenue and profit before tax ....

But we can see that profit after tax has decreased....I suspect is due to

1. IPP WINDFALL TAX

2. DEPRECIATION OF POUND STERLING.


Taxation for 2008 = RM 34.68 MLLIION

Taxation for 2007 = RM 12 MILLION

Rising 289 % in taxation !!!

This post has been edited by darkknight81: Nov 11 2008, 11:30 PM
TSdarkknight81
post Nov 11 2008, 11:20 PM

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QUOTE(jasontoh @ Nov 11 2008, 11:42 PM)
Based on the price currently...what is the DY? I've plan to re-buy this counter
*
Previous year DPS

2008 12.5 SEN

2007 17.5 SEN

2006 10 SEN

2005 10 SEN

All i have mentioned above are cash dividend...


Where as for bonus share distribution records are:

2005 1/25 bonus share redistribution

2007 1/25 bonus share redistribution

2008 1/40 bonus share redistribution.

For year 2008, let say the average price for YTL power = RM 1.90

1/40 BONUS SHARES = RM 0.0475 SEN PER SHARE

Plus 12.5 sen dividend = RM 0.17.25 SEN

Which equivalent to dividend yield of almost 10%


rayloo
post Nov 12 2008, 07:27 AM

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Year 2006 no bonus share ?
calmwater
post Nov 12 2008, 10:35 AM

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QUOTE(darkknight81 @ Nov 11 2008, 11:08 AM)
Just received YTL power 2008 annual report today.  biggrin.gif
                                            2008                            2007

REVENUE                          4.24 BILLION                  4.07 BILLION

PROFIT BEFORE TAX          1.385 BILLION                1.296 BILLION

PROFIT AFTER TAX            1.038 BILLION                1.175 BILLION

DIVIDEND PER SHARE        12.5 SEN                        17.5 SEN

NET ASSET PER SHARE        1.21                              1.18

From here we can see there is increase in revenue and profit before tax ....

But we can see that profit after tax has decreased....I suspect is due to

1. IPP WINDFALL TAX

2. DEPRECIATION OF POUND STERLING.
Taxation for 2008 = RM 34.68 MLLIION

Taxation for 2007 = RM  12 MILLION

Rising 289 % in taxation !!!
*
For 2007 Profit before tax - profit after tax is 1.296 Billion - 1.175 Billion = 121 Million.

For 2008 Profit before tax - profit after tax is 1.385 Billion - 1.038 Billion = 347 Million.


That 347 Million lost to whatever is a lot of difference from the 121 Million for 2007.

2008 profits are about 15% less than 2007 profits even though the revenue was up by about 7%.

IPP WINDFALL TAX if it was about $100 Million ( I doubt it is this much but assuming it is ), still shows that the adjustment for Pound depreciation is quite a lot.

As ytlpower is down about 20% from it's expected price - from $2.20 to presently at $1.74

The share price is showing the effects of this lower profits. So it is not just the weaker market but this counter is

being affected by the factors mentioned above.

Going forward have to keep an eye on Pound as it is still going down. Presently 1 to 5.6 conversion rate. Just one

month ago was 1 to 6.2 All this is due to their falling interest rates which are expected to be cut some more in

coming months to ward off poor economy.

For long term hold the price now looks attractive.






TSdarkknight81
post Nov 12 2008, 12:43 PM

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QUOTE(calmwater @ Nov 12 2008, 11:35 AM)
For 2007 Profit before tax - profit after tax is 1.296 Billion - 1.175 Billion = 121 Million.

For 2008 Profit before tax - profit after tax is 1.385 Billion - 1.038 Billion = 347 Million.
That 347 Million lost to whatever is a lot of difference from the 121 Million for 2007.

2008 profits are about 15% less than 2007 profits even though the revenue was up by about 7%.

IPP WINDFALL TAX if it was about $100 Million ( I doubt it is this much but assuming it is ), still shows that the adjustment for Pound depreciation is quite a lot.

As ytlpower is down about 20% from it's expected price - from $2.20 to presently at $1.74

The share price is showing the effects of this lower profits. So it is not just the weaker market but this counter is

being affected by the factors mentioned above.

Going forward have to keep an eye on Pound as it is still going down. Presently 1 to 5.6 conversion rate. Just one

month ago was 1 to 6.2  All this is due to their falling interest rates which are expected to be cut some more in

coming months to ward off poor economy.

For long term hold the price now looks attractive.
*
Yup current price can buy and hold at the same time you can have dividend.

I would say holding the mother share is better compare to warrant as you still have income from the dividend.

This post has been edited by darkknight81: Nov 12 2008, 12:44 PM
calmwater
post Nov 13 2008, 03:28 AM

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British Pound has been struck by a virus!!!

Yesterday, 1 Pound = 5.6 Ringgit

Today, 1 Pound = 5.38 Ringgit


TSdarkknight81
post Nov 13 2008, 08:19 AM

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The pound is down 22% against the dollar and about 11% against the euro this year. It closed Tuesday at $1.5388, its lowest in more than six years and down from a peak of $2.1160 last November. The last time the pound fell at this speed, in 1992, it helped the U.K. claw its way out of recession as the country's goods became more competitive abroad.

This time, the U.K. economy isn't yet seeing a benefit and may not see a significant gain. Usually, a falling currency helps exporters who can then juice a country's economy, helping through a downturn. But since 1992, the U.K. economy has moved more into exporting goods and services that are less price-sensitive, such as pharmaceuticals and creative industries such as music and book publishing.

Slowdowns in the economies of Britain's main trading partners, the European Union and U.S., mean they are less likely to increase consumption of British-made goods. And many exporters that might sell more goods can't get financing to expand production, with banks cutting back lending amid the credit crisis.

"It's only likely from 2010, when the global economy picks up, that we will really see the benefits from the fall of sterling," says Jamie Dannhauser, an economist at Lombard Street Research in London.

Prime Minister Gordon Brown said Tuesday that the government will take steps to boost the flagging U.K. economy, with details to be announced later this month. The plan is expected to include tax cuts and accelerated government-spending projects, people familiar with the matter say.

U.K. government figures on Tuesday showed exports of traded goods, excluding oil, rose by just 2% in September from August. That is an improvement over the decline of 5% in August from July, but export growth for this year is roughly flat.

October's manufacturing purchasing managers survey showed export orders contracting at the fastest rate in seven years. Exports make up about 40% of the U.K.'s annual gross domestic product; manufacturing is about 15%.

To be sure, some companies are seeing gains when they convert sales earned in dollars, euros and yen back into pounds. Advertising giant WPP Group PLC recently posted a 16% gain in third-quarter revenue, but stripping out currency effects and acquisitions, revenue was up just 3%. Drug giant GlaxoSmithKline PLC also reported a big earnings boost from the pound's fall.

But exporters haven't been using the fall in currency to lower their prices in an attempt to win market share, says Malcolm Barr, U.K. economist at J.P. Morgan in London. Instead they are just booking the extra profit, Mr. Barr says. Companies want to boost profitability at a time when high inflation has been eroding it, he says.

Meanwhile, the U.K. is producing fewer goods and services that are particularly price-sensitive than in the past. In the past decade, exports of electrical machinery, which competes with rivals from lower-cost countries, have fallen by over £10 billion to £24.2 billion ($37.8 billion) last year. By contrast, exports of less price-sensitive pharmaceutical chemicals have almost tripled to £14.5 billion last year, according to government figures.

Sterling's big gyrations recently also have made it harder for businesses to plan or hedge. Walkers Shortbread Ltd., in the Scottish Highlands, shipped a large part of its yearly inventory of cookies to the U.S. over the summer, before the pound fell sharply, so it isn't seeing a big benefit yet. About 30% of the company's costs are in other currencies, so those costs are now higher compared with the pound.

"There's not so much benefit when it is up and down like a yo-yo," said James Walker, a managing director.

Paul Hooper of Alumasc Group PLC estimates the pound's falls could cost his company £500,000 to £700,000 this year on expected revenues of about £126 million, unless it makes up the shortfall elsewhere. The engineering and building products company manufactures in the U.K. but also imports some products and parts from abroad -- and those costs are rising, Mr. Hooper says.

—Gary Stride contributed


http://online.wsj.com/article/SB1226440919...=googlenews_wsj

calmwater
post Nov 13 2008, 09:36 AM

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I wonder how low it may go? Another 10%? or 20%?

If ytlpower follows the decline, it may go down to about $1.50 ??

Not good lah. Even good company can get whacked in the short to

medium term.

Have to be soooooooo patient. Yaaaaaaaaawn.


mo_meng
post Nov 13 2008, 09:39 AM

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patient ..
TSdarkknight81
post Nov 13 2008, 10:18 AM

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QUOTE(calmwater @ Nov 13 2008, 10:36 AM)
I wonder how low it may go? Another 10%? or 20%?

If ytlpower follows the decline, it may go down to about $1.50 ??

Not good lah. Even good company can get whacked in the short to

medium term.

Have to be soooooooo patient. Yaaaaaaaaawn.
*
As long as i can get cash dividend + bonus share dividend between 5 - 10 % i am happy with that. tongue.gif The moment i bought in my 360 lots of ytl power i am prepare to hold for at least 5 years already. biggrin.gif
mo_meng
post Nov 13 2008, 12:43 PM

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current price 1.7 can consider buy in now? compare to lwest 1.62 last mth
ante5k
post Nov 13 2008, 12:44 PM

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i'm looking at 1.68.
TSdarkknight81
post Nov 13 2008, 12:45 PM

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QUOTE(mo_meng @ Nov 13 2008, 01:43 PM)
current price 1.7 can consider buy in now? compare to lwest 1.62 last mth
*
Same question from me again..For trading of long term? sweat.gif
mo_meng
post Nov 13 2008, 12:46 PM

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long term ..
do u think the price will still drop in coming days? any bad new on this?
TSdarkknight81
post Nov 13 2008, 12:48 PM

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QUOTE(mo_meng @ Nov 13 2008, 01:46 PM)
long term ..
do u think the price will still drop in coming days? any bad new on this?
*
I don know how low this counter will go. As i always say buy at the price you feel comfortable with. Bad news for this counter.

1. Malaysia IPP windfall tax and PPA haven't really settle down yet...


2. Depreciation of Pound Sterling.


mo_meng
post Nov 13 2008, 12:51 PM

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thanks darknight .. noticed u bought in 360 lots .. at avg of what price u get them in ming to share?
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post Nov 13 2008, 12:53 PM

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QUOTE(mo_meng @ Nov 13 2008, 01:51 PM)
thanks darknight .. noticed u bought in 360 lots .. at avg of what price u get them in ming to share?
*
I din average i bought it in one day time at RM 1.84 . I just received bonus share dividend which about 4 sen last two months. I don practise any dollar averaging skills... tongue.gif

This post has been edited by darkknight81: Nov 13 2008, 12:53 PM
skiddtrader
post Nov 13 2008, 12:55 PM

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QUOTE(darkknight81 @ Nov 13 2008, 12:48 PM)
I don know how low this counter will go. As i always say buy at the price you feel comfortable with. Bad news for this counter.

1. Malaysia IPP windfall tax and PPA haven't really settle down yet...
2. Depreciation of Pound Sterling.
*
Ugghh the dreaded windfall tax should have never crop up in the first place. Bad example of fiscal policy by the government.

Sterling issue has been debated and discussed. A lot of people are worried about this as it can ultimately affect the dividends at the end of the year. But I think it is not as bad and still believe it is a temporary thing because I believe the RM has more downside risks compared to the GBP.
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post Nov 13 2008, 12:57 PM

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<<But I think it is not as bad and still believe it is a temporary thing because I believe the RM has more downside risks compared to the GBP.>>

thumbup.gif Welly said Skid ..Thats y i bought this counter haha icon_rolleyes.gif

mo_meng
post Nov 13 2008, 01:34 PM

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okie .. q @1.67 haha .. pray
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For those who interested in this counter. I think there is possibility that the price may drop further due the rapid weakening of pound sterling. As US and UK host the largest financial system...They are both badly hit by current subprime loan issues following by credit crisis....For my next target price for this counter will be below RM 1.50 due to UK economy uncertainties.
mo_meng
post Nov 13 2008, 11:01 PM

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1.5 ru sure is about 60% off
skiddtrader
post Nov 13 2008, 11:10 PM

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QUOTE(mo_meng @ Nov 13 2008, 11:01 PM)
1.5 ru sure is about 60% off
*
Whether it is Rm1.50 or RM1.60, its just a point of reference for entry. As the counter is ultimately a diidend counter, what price you enter should not be a deterence if the difference is small. It's not like the price is between Rm2.60 and Rm1.60.

A lot of times people tend to worry about small issue, they miss the boat or in this case the whole point of owning the counter in the first place. Which is constant dividend.

Right now the share is Rm1.70, which is already attractive and can hold. RM1.60 is even better and if the profit margins are really affected, Rm1.50 would be ideal. But that's not to say it can't go below Rm1.40.
mo_meng
post Nov 13 2008, 11:20 PM

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okie sifu .. nice advice there .. will remember it sifu

btw just now type wrong .. is 10% not 60%

the lowest last mth also not less than 1.6
TSdarkknight81
post Nov 13 2008, 11:35 PM

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QUOTE(skiddtrader @ Nov 14 2008, 12:10 AM)
Whether it is Rm1.50 or RM1.60, its just a point of reference for entry. As the counter is ultimately a diidend counter, what price you enter should not be a deterence if the difference is small. It's not like the price is between Rm2.60 and Rm1.60.

A lot of times people tend to worry about small issue, they miss the boat or in this case the whole point of owning the counter in the first place. Which is constant dividend.

Right now the share is Rm1.70, which is already attractive and can hold. RM1.60 is even better and if the profit margins are really affected, Rm1.50 would be ideal. But that's not to say it can't go below Rm1.40.
*
Yup. If i don have any of ytl power share maybe i will enter at current price.. Since i have some already so my next entry price is set at BELOW RM 1.50 .
calmwater
post Nov 14 2008, 08:28 AM

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QUOTE(darkknight81 @ Nov 13 2008, 10:20 AM)
For those who interested in this counter. I think there is possibility that the price may drop further due the rapid  weakening of pound sterling. As US and UK host the largest financial system...They are both badly hit by current subprime loan issues following by credit crisis....For my next target price for this counter will be below RM 1.50 due to UK economy uncertainties.
*
Latest on Pound Sterling

The pound fell 25 percent against the dollar and 15 percent versus the euro this year. It traded above $2 as recently as July 23.

The U.K. currency may slide to $1.25 and 91 pence against the euro by March 2009 as investors shun an economy overly reliant on financial services, according to Neil Jones, head of European hedge-fund sales in London at Mizuho Capital Markets.


For the full article or articles:


http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=206...GQQhe8&refer=uk

http://news.goldseek.com/GoldSeek/1226587140.php


Added on November 14, 2008, 10:28 am
QUOTE(mo_meng @ Nov 13 2008, 12:46 AM)
long term ..
do u think the price will still drop in coming days? any bad new on this?
*
Live rates at 2008.11.14 02:15:10 UTC
1.00 GBP = 5.23944 MYR
United Kingdom Pounds Malaysia Ringgits
1 GBP = 5.23944 MYR 1 MYR = 0.190860 GBP


Before you buy I recommend you keep track of the rates. The pound is falling very fast and expected to be so for

the next few months. As YTLPOWER earnings are 70% from U.K. the importance of the exchange rate cannot be over

emphasized.

Short term upside potential if there is some acquisition news ( Power Seraya ) etc.

If you do decide to move in dont go in too strongly at once. Staggered buying over the next few months could be

safer. So that as you buy if the price keeps moving up good, but if it keeps falling you will be able to average down

your cost.

Slow and steady. nod.gif

This post has been edited by calmwater: Nov 14 2008, 10:28 AM
TSdarkknight81
post Nov 14 2008, 12:57 PM

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QUOTE(calmwater @ Nov 14 2008, 09:28 AM)
Latest on Pound Sterling

The pound fell 25 percent against the dollar and 15 percent versus the euro this year. It traded above $2 as recently as July 23.

The U.K. currency may slide to $1.25 and 91 pence against the euro by March 2009 as investors shun an economy overly reliant on financial services, according to Neil Jones, head of European hedge-fund sales in London at Mizuho Capital Markets.
For the full article or articles:
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=206...GQQhe8&refer=uk

http://news.goldseek.com/GoldSeek/1226587140.php


Added on November 14, 2008, 10:28 am
Live rates at 2008.11.14 02:15:10 UTC 
1.00 GBP = 5.23944 MYR
United Kingdom Pounds    Malaysia Ringgits 
1 GBP = 5.23944 MYR  1 MYR = 0.190860 GBP
Before you buy I recommend you keep track of the rates. The pound is falling very fast and expected to be so for

the next few months. As YTLPOWER earnings are 70% from U.K. the importance of the exchange rate cannot be over

emphasized.

Short term upside potential if there is some acquisition news ( Power Seraya ) etc.

If you do decide to move in dont go in too strongly at once. Staggered buying over the next few months could be

safer. So that as you buy if the price keeps moving up good, but if it keeps falling you will be able to average down

your cost.

Slow and steady. nod.gif
*
Like what Sifu Skiddtrader mentioned before :

1. The management can use the pound FROM their earnings to reduce their liabilities/debts in pound. This in term will reduce their debts in pound in stead of convert it back to RM at the moment. So in actual fact it wouldn't really have great impact on the company futures fundamentally.

2. Compare UK WITH MALAYSIA, i will choose UK as my investment destiny at least it is not as risky compare to invest in malaysia.

I just hope that ppl will get panic and sell their ytl power so that i can buy at a lower price due to the Depreciation of Pound



skiddtrader
post Nov 15 2008, 01:57 AM

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Aiyah please don't call me 'Sifu'. Me also learning like everyone, let's reserve the 'sifu' tag for people who actually are pro and experienced, if not later the term no meaning if everyone is called 'sifu'. blush.gif
TSdarkknight81
post Nov 15 2008, 04:19 PM

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QUOTE(skiddtrader @ Nov 15 2008, 02:57 AM)
Aiyah please don't call me 'Sifu'. Me also learning like everyone, let's reserve the 'sifu' tag for people who actually are pro and experienced, if not later the term no meaning if everyone is called 'sifu'.  blush.gif
*
Skid got one question here... Currently i still got 230 lots of warrant B...Which i think will be useless at the moment... Thinking of convert them to the mother share at least i can get some dividend .... What do you think?
simplesmile
post Nov 15 2008, 08:24 PM

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How many ordinary shares are there now?

What is warrant A and warrant B?
How many additional shares if all these warrants convert to ordinary shares?

Please help. I want to calculate the diluted EPS.
htt
post Nov 15 2008, 08:43 PM

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QUOTE(simplesmile @ Nov 15 2008, 08:24 PM)
How many ordinary shares are there now?

What is warrant A and warrant B?
How many additional shares if all these warrants convert to ordinary shares?

Please help. I want to calculate the diluted EPS.
*
Only one type or ordinary share.

They not only have warrant A & B, but convertible loan stock & ESOS (all need to be taken into consideration). And share price also have some influence to the diluted EPS. Easiest way to get diluted EPS (not so update one, true as when they publish the report) is from their Financial Statement. You can get from http://www.klse.com.my/website/bm/listed_c.../historical.jsp.

Think myself get carry away too much, my apology to anyone who might get offended by my previous quote. But to calculate diluted EPS is not that straight forward as imagined. Interest party can do some reading at http://www.asc.gov.sg/frs/attachments/2004/FRS_33_2007.pdf. But that's Singapore's FRS, Malaysian one shouldn't be differ much (think we never bother to change anything unless really needed tongue.gif ).

Sunday coming rclxub.gif

This post has been edited by htt: Nov 15 2008, 09:17 PM
TSdarkknight81
post Nov 15 2008, 09:35 PM

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QUOTE(simplesmile @ Nov 15 2008, 09:24 PM)
How many ordinary shares are there now?

What is warrant A and warrant B?
How many additional shares if all these warrants convert to ordinary shares?

Please help. I want to calculate the diluted EPS.
*
Before the issuance of Warrant B the EPS IS around 22 sen. Issuance of Warrant B is 3 mother share to 1 warrant B.

Diluted EPS = (22SEN X 3) /4 = 16.5 SEN

BUT, You got to consider the cash use to convert the warrantB into mother share as current asset.

Not just calculate the diluted EPS.

Of course after conversion of warrant B the EPS should be erroded to 16.5 sen (by assuming that the earings, tax , interest , forex exchange remain the same) But, don forget the cash for converting the warrant B will definitely increase the current asset of the company....

This post has been edited by darkknight81: Nov 15 2008, 09:46 PM
skiddtrader
post Nov 15 2008, 10:52 PM

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QUOTE(darkknight81 @ Nov 15 2008, 04:19 PM)
Skid got one question here... Currently i still got 230 lots of warrant B...Which i think will be useless at the moment... Thinking of convert them to the mother share at least i can get some dividend .... What do you think?
*
Normally people hold WB for the leveraged returns when the stock experience some upside. Note that it can go down as well. But either way, for lesser amount of capital, the potential to earn more is there.

It's WB doesn't earn any dividend and that is something you need to calculate yourself.


230lots WB = potential 230 lots worth of dividends but need to add lot of capital to realise that, about RM27k exercise price.

But 230lots WB also = potential 230 lots of capital appreciation at no additional costs, if the mother share price appreciate, ala successful acquisition.


For me, WB is 1/3 of the mother share. Just like the distribution ratio. So if I buy more mother share, I buy WBs 1/3 ratio.

But if you feel the counter will rise significantly within 1 year, then best to sell all mother share and buy all WB. Because 1 sold mother share can buy 3 WBs and if mother share prices shoot up, WB shoot up same amount but you will earn 3x more if holding WBs.


Added on November 15, 2008, 10:57 pm
QUOTE(simplesmile @ Nov 15 2008, 08:24 PM)
How many ordinary shares are there now?

What is warrant A and warrant B?
How many additional shares if all these warrants convert to ordinary shares?

Please help. I want to calculate the diluted EPS.
*
Latest quarterly report shows that EPS for previous year was 19.99 sens. The diluted EPS after considering all WA and WB warrant conversion and Zero Couponconversions plus ESOS as well is 15.31 sens.



This post has been edited by skiddtrader: Nov 15 2008, 10:57 PM
TSdarkknight81
post Nov 15 2008, 11:44 PM

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QUOTE(skiddtrader @ Nov 15 2008, 11:52 PM)
Normally people hold WB for the leveraged returns when the stock experience some upside. Note that it can go down as well. But either way, for lesser amount of capital, the potential to earn more is there.

It's WB doesn't earn any dividend and that is something you need to calculate yourself.
230lots WB = potential 230 lots worth of dividends but need to add lot of capital to realise that, about RM27k exercise price.

But 230lots WB also = potential 230 lots of capital appreciation at no additional costs, if the mother share price appreciate, ala successful acquisition.
For me, WB is 1/3 of the mother share. Just like the distribution ratio. So if I buy more mother share, I buy WBs 1/3 ratio.

But if you feel the counter will rise significantly within 1 year, then best to sell all mother share and buy all WB. Because 1 sold mother share can buy 3 WBs and if mother share prices shoot up, WB shoot up same amount but you will earn 3x more if holding WBs.


Added on November 15, 2008, 10:57 pm

Latest quarterly report shows that EPS for previous year was 19.99 sens. The diluted EPS after considering all WA and WB warrant conversion and Zero Couponconversions  plus ESOS as well is 15.31 sens.
*
Yup i was doing that. I bought 360 lots mother share at RM 1.84 and 230 lots warrant B at RM 0.55 after issuance of warrant B. Which approximately equal to RM 2.05 before issuance of warrant B. My concern now if ... this counter stay stagnant for 3 - 5 years then i am losing a lot of dividend .... sweat.gif
skiddtrader
post Nov 16 2008, 02:01 AM

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QUOTE(darkknight81 @ Nov 15 2008, 11:44 PM)
Yup i was doing that. I bought 360 lots mother share at RM 1.84 and 230 lots warrant B at RM 0.55 after issuance of warrant B. Which approximately equal to RM 2.05 before issuance of warrant B. My concern now if ... this counter stay stagnant for 3 - 5 years then i am losing a lot of dividend .... sweat.gif
*
Yeah that is possible as well if the counter stays stagnant.


cherroy
post Nov 16 2008, 07:49 AM

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QUOTE(darkknight81 @ Nov 15 2008, 11:44 PM)
Yup i was doing that. I bought 360 lots mother share at RM 1.84 and 230 lots warrant B at RM 0.55 after issuance of warrant B. Which approximately equal to RM 2.05 before issuance of warrant B. My concern now if ... this counter stay stagnant for 3 - 5 years then i am losing a lot of dividend .... sweat.gif
*
Just for info, depended on company, some warrant being converted to mothershare will not rank parri passu (same status) with the mothershare in the first year after being converted aka, not entitle the immediate coming dividend declared. So, in this case, you need to wait the second year before can start enjoying the dividend.

But it depended on company policy when setting the warrant term time. But most nowadays, warrant being given or set at rank parri passu when being converted.

Yes, you concern is perfectly reasonable, as YTLpower share is generally quite stagnant most of the time. That's why warrant being traded on par with the mothershare valuation or sometime slightly discount.
By right, for normal circumstances, warrant should trade at slight premium because of gearing.
SKY 1809
post Nov 16 2008, 08:37 AM

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Senior UK politician warns of run on the pound

LONDON (AP) - Britain's government risks seeing the value of its currency collapse unless public borrowing is kept under control, one of the country's senior opposition politicians said in an interview published Saturday.

Conservative lawmaker George Osborne told a British newspaper there could be a run on the pound sterling if the country's debt keeps growing.

"We are in danger, if the government is not careful, of having a proper sterling collapse, a run on the pound,'' he was quoted as saying in the Times of London newspaper Saturday. "The more you borrow as a government the more you have to sell that debt and the less attractive your currency seems.''

British Prime Minister Gordon Brown, in Washington for an economic summit intended to relaunch the crippled global financial system, said he regretted what he called "partisan talk.''

"I believe that at a time when nations are coming together all over the world to deal with these problems, I think people are looking to politicians to be responsible and to show leadership,'' Brown said.

He had no apologies for his government's plan to extend borrowing to jump-start Britain's faltering economy, saying the country's central bank backed his move.

"The governor of the Bank of England has made it absolutely clear that it is not only right to cut interest rates, but it is perfectly reasonable to have a fiscal stimulus,'' Brown said.

The pound fell to a six-and-a-half-year low against the dollar and a record low against the euro this week amid mounting fears that Britain could be in for a long and deep recession - and market rumors that the Bank of England could eventually cut interest rates to as low as 1 percent.

The government has stated that it will increase government spending in an effort to push back against the looming recession, and suggested it would drop a decade-old fiscal rule that public spending cannot exceed tax revenue over the course of a complete economic cycle.

British treasury chief Alistair Darling has said that strictly following the rules on borrowing would be perverse during a downturn, but Osborne, Darling's opposition counterpart in Parliament, condemned the move.

"The public is very concerned about how much money is being racked up on the country's credit card,'' Osborne was quoted as saying by the Times. "They know you can't just borrow your way out of debt.''-AP


TSdarkknight81
post Nov 16 2008, 09:13 AM

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Thanks for Skidd, Cherroy and Sky for your feedback..

Thats y i think it is a wise move to convert all my warrant B to mother share ASAP sweat.gif That for example i am losing the dividend on 28 Dec 2008 already doh.gif

Is better convert to mother share and enjoy the dividend...Maybe use the dividend to buy the warrant B at a lower price may be 35 sen per pc... nod.gif

If pound keep on depreciate i beliv ytl power will slide some more, then might be a good move to buy warrant B at lower price biggrin.gif

Regarding the issue raise my master Cherroy "parri pasu" biggrin.gif need to take a note notworthy.gif Got to check with my remisier this coming monday.

This post has been edited by darkknight81: Nov 16 2008, 09:20 AM
calmwater
post Nov 16 2008, 10:57 AM

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[quote=darkknight81,Nov 15 2008, 09:13 PM]
Thanks for Skidd, Cherroy and Sky for your feedback..

Thats y i think it is a wise move to convert all my warrant B to mother share ASAP sweat.gif That for example i am losing the dividend on 28 Dec 2008 already doh.gif

Is better convert to mother share and enjoy the dividend...Maybe use the dividend to buy the warrant B at a lower price may be 35 sen per pc... nod.gif

If pound keep on depreciate i beliv ytl power will slide some more, then might be a good move to buy warrant B at lower price biggrin.gif



It is no easy decision to make. You still need to speculate and the outcome no one knows!!!

There are three options.

1) convert to mother share

2) maintain warrants

3) convert to cash

Which is the best option??

Personally speaking, I sold down 70% of warrants into cash. It was a guess, so far not bad as the price has come down and may go down further. This would allow me to get more warrants. Yet I am aware that an acquisition may suddenly send the price up (maybe by 20 sen) which will result in me not getting as much. No easy decision.

Even though comparatively it is a safe counter, still it is a gamble.
skiddtrader
post Nov 16 2008, 11:01 AM

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Just a reminder, the expected latest quarterly report is due end of next week. This report should show some sign whether the GBP effect is as we feared. 1st quarter time-line is from 1st July to 30th Sept 2008.

It's about the same time the GBP started falling significantly against the RM but a more clearer view should be the 2nd quarter ending Dec 2008. If there is a dent in the profit margin, with an explanation, then that would be worrying. But if all still looks good, then less worrying.


Added on November 16, 2008, 11:07 am
QUOTE(calmwater @ Nov 16 2008, 10:57 AM)
There are three options.

1) convert to mother share

2) maintain warrants

3) convert to cash

Which is the best option??

Personally speaking, I sold down 70% of warrants into cash. It was a guess, so far not bad as the price has come down and may go down further. This would allow me to get more warrants. Yet I am aware that an acquisition may suddenly send the price up (maybe by 20 sen) which will result in me not getting as much. No easy decision.

Even though comparatively it is a safe counter, still it is a gamble.
*
If the acquisition of Power Seraya really materializes, the EPS of YTLPOWER would increase by at least 50% because Power Seraya last net profit was more than RM500 mil. That itself would mean the share would appreciate by at least 30% if the deal is fair enough.

If the mother share increases by 30% following the increase of EPS from RM1.70 to RM2.21, the WB price would double from the current RM0.50 to RM1+. That's why I said if anyone is confident of an acquisition, they should buy all WB and wait for the jump.

Even if the acquisition fail to materialize, the WB would stay the same in the short term.

This post has been edited by skiddtrader: Nov 16 2008, 11:09 AM
simplesmile
post Nov 16 2008, 11:58 AM

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QUOTE(skiddtrader @ Nov 15 2008, 10:52 PM)
Normally people hold WB for the leveraged returns when the stock experience some upside. Note that it can go down as well. But either way, for lesser amount of capital, the potential to earn more is there.

It's WB doesn't earn any dividend and that is something you need to calculate yourself.
230lots WB = potential 230 lots worth of dividends but need to add lot of capital to realise that, about RM27k exercise price.

But 230lots WB also = potential 230 lots of capital appreciation at no additional costs, if the mother share price appreciate, ala successful acquisition.
For me, WB is 1/3 of the mother share. Just like the distribution ratio. So if I buy more mother share, I buy WBs 1/3 ratio.

But if you feel the counter will rise significantly within 1 year, then best to sell all mother share and buy all WB. Because 1 sold mother share can buy 3 WBs and if mother share prices shoot up, WB shoot up same amount but you will earn 3x more if holding WBs.


Added on November 15, 2008, 10:57 pm

Latest quarterly report shows that EPS for previous year was 19.99 sens. The diluted EPS after considering all WA and WB warrant conversion and Zero Couponconversions  plus ESOS as well is 15.31 sens.
*
Thanks. How do you get these numbers?

I can guess the 19.99 EPS you would get from the latest annual report? Why doesn't the annual report reports EPS in diluted EPS and non-diluted EPS? Like this we don't need to be so troublesome to calculate diluted EPS.

How do you know how many warrants A & B out there? How do you know 1 warrant convert to how many mother shares?

How do you know how many ESOS outstanding?

At RM1.70, the P/E is 1.70/0.1531 = 11.1. Not cheap at all.

This post has been edited by simplesmile: Nov 16 2008, 12:01 PM
skiddtrader
post Nov 16 2008, 01:02 PM

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QUOTE(simplesmile @ Nov 16 2008, 11:58 AM)
Thanks. How do you get these numbers?

I can guess the 19.99 EPS you would get from the latest annual report? Why doesn't the annual report reports EPS in diluted EPS and non-diluted EPS? Like this we don't need to be so troublesome to calculate diluted EPS.

How do you know how many warrants A & B out there? How do you know 1 warrant convert to how many mother shares?

How do you know how many ESOS outstanding?

At RM1.70, the P/E is 1.70/0.1531 = 11.1. Not cheap at all.
*
All are in the latest quarterly reports. The diluted EPS as well is calculated for you. How many shares, ESOS convertible bonds, are all stated. It's all near the end of the report. Expected NTA after all those conversions are also stated.

PER at the current moment if you take the diluted is higher of course.

But the new WB warrants lasts for 10 years. It would be very conservative to take that into account when calculating PER. Of course this all depend on your own margin of safety so it's all personal calculation.

For me, the current PER if using the 19.99 sens EPS is RM1.70/0.1999 = 8.5x

Slashing 50% of potential dilution of EPS within the year, the EPS still will be about 17 sens, which nicely sits the PER at 10x.

Of course, if the EPS is affected by the GBP effect, then it's a whole different ballgame.






simplesmile
post Nov 16 2008, 01:11 PM

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QUOTE(skiddtrader @ Nov 16 2008, 01:02 PM)
All are in the latest quarterly reports. The diluted EPS as well is calculated for you. How many shares, ESOS convertible bonds, are all stated. It's all near the end of the report. Expected NTA after all those conversions are also stated.

PER at the current moment if you take the diluted is higher of course.

But the new WB warrants lasts for 10 years. It would be very conservative to take that into account when calculating PER. Of course this all depend on your own margin of safety so it's all personal calculation.

For me, the current PER if using the 19.99 sens EPS is RM1.70/0.1999 = 8.5x

Slashing 50% of potential dilution of EPS within the year, the EPS still will be about 17 sens, which nicely sits the PER at 10x.

Of course, if the EPS is affected by the GBP effect, then it's a whole different ballgame.
*
Thanks.

This post has been edited by simplesmile: Nov 16 2008, 01:13 PM
calmwater
post Nov 16 2008, 10:16 PM

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QUOTE(skiddtrader @ Nov 15 2008, 11:01 PM)
Just a reminder, the expected latest quarterly report is due end of next week. This report should show some sign whether the GBP effect is as we feared. 1st quarter time-line is from 1st July to 30th Sept 2008.

It's about the same time the GBP started falling significantly against the RM but a more clearer view should be the 2nd quarter ending Dec 2008. If there is a dent in the profit margin, with an explanation, then that would be worrying. But if all still looks good, then less worrying.


Added on November 16, 2008, 11:07 am

If the acquisition of Power Seraya really materializes, the EPS of YTLPOWER would increase by at least 50% because Power Seraya last net profit was more than RM500 mil. That itself would mean the share would appreciate by at least 30% if the deal is fair enough.

If the mother share increases by 30% following the increase of EPS from RM1.70 to RM2.21, the WB price would double from the current RM0.50 to RM1+. That's why I said if anyone is confident of an acquisition, they should buy all WB and wait for the jump.

Even if the acquisition fail to materialize, the WB would stay the same in the short term.
*
Yes the report is usually released on the 22nd, but since it is a saturday it may be released next week, Unless they decide to release it one day earlier.

Looking at total YTLPOWR shares as approximately 5.2 Billion, correct me if I am wrong (keeps increasing with weekly conversions of warrants to mother to the tune of about 6 to 10 million), and looking at seraya net profit of RM500 mil, it works out to roughly 10 sen a share per annum.

Now if YTLPOWR is sucessful in the bid, and someone knocks on my door and says would you like to sell your shares to me, the premium I would charge this fella if at 50 sen will be like asking for 5 years of seraya profits to be paid in advance. thumbup.gif Boleh-lah.

Actually I have been waiting to pile back into warrants, but would like to wait for the report to clear some clouds. If it is not good will maintain my current position, unless there is a lot of selling, then I would buy and buy to add more.

Not much time though to decide, with bid submission's on Dec 2nd for seraya.

Another exciting thing to look forward to is the Pahang Selangor water transfer project, presently are accepting tenders. brows.gif
TSdarkknight81
post Nov 16 2008, 10:59 PM

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QUOTE(calmwater @ Nov 16 2008, 11:16 PM)
Yes the report is usually released on the 22nd, but since it is a saturday it may be released next week, Unless they decide to release it one day earlier.

Looking at total YTLPOWR shares as approximately 5.2 Billion, correct me if I am wrong (keeps increasing with weekly conversions of warrants to mother to the tune of about 6 to 10 million), and looking at seraya net profit of RM500 mil, it works out to roughly 10 sen a share per annum.

Now if YTLPOWR is sucessful in the bid, and someone knocks on my door and says would you like to sell your shares to me, the premium I would charge this fella if at 50 sen will be like asking for 5 years of seraya profits to be paid in advance. thumbup.gif Boleh-lah.

Actually I have been waiting to pile back into warrants, but would like to wait for the report to clear some clouds. If it is not good will maintain my current position, unless there is a lot of selling, then I would buy and buy to add more.

Not much time though to decide, with bid submission's on Dec 2nd for seraya.

Another exciting thing to look forward to is the Pahang Selangor water transfer project, presently are accepting tenders. brows.gif
*
What you mentioned is speculation biggrin.gif thats y you choose to buy warrant only. But nobody know what is the price YTL power bid for Seraya. We don know that and i will probably don want to speculate much on it yet biggrin.gif

Again, if you said YTL power will invest in pahang water transfer project... I strongly suggest not as.... you know our government lar....flip flop decision.... today impose windfall tax... tomolo cancel ... next week maybe renegotiate PPA again..... never ending .... doh.gif. I beliv francis yeoh will not consider invest in malaysia anymore....

Speculate warrant pricing at this moment may not be the right move....I would rather get an annual (almost constant) dividend

I beliv if Seraya power really sucessfully acquire by YTL power....it will not guarantee you that the share price will surge during current market situation as everybody is in fear....

For the EPS dilution from Simple, you cannot say that after conversion of warrant the EPS will directly errode to 0.15 sen then you say the PE is 11.... HOw about the cash being raised from the conversion of warrant B ? It is an asset for the company....And don forget the cash can enhance the EPS in future...

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QUOTE(darkknight81 @ Nov 16 2008, 10:59 AM)
What you mentioned is speculation  biggrin.gif thats y you choose to buy warrant only. But nobody know what is the price YTL power bid for Seraya. We don know that and i will probably don want to speculate much on it yet  biggrin.gif

Again, if you said YTL power will invest in pahang water transfer project... I strongly suggest not as.... you know our government lar....flip flop decision.... today impose windfall tax... tomolo cancel ... next week maybe renegotiate PPA again..... never ending .... doh.gif.    I beliv francis yeoh will not consider invest in malaysia anymore....

Speculate warrant pricing at this moment may not be the right move....I would rather get an annual (almost constant) dividend

I beliv if Seraya power really sucessfully acquire by YTL power....it will not guarantee you that the share price will surge during current market situation as everybody is in fear....

For the EPS dilution from Simple, you cannot say that after conversion of warrant the EPS will directly errode to 0.15 sen then you say the PE is 11.... HOw about the cash being raised from the conversion of warrant B ? It is an asset for the company....And don forget the cash can enhance the EPS in future...
*
Whether we buy the mother or daughter it is still speculation. tongue.gif

Pahang water transfer project, from what I know previously YTLPOWR and Pahang royals are together into this. Maybe that will help to smoothen a deal. hmm.gif

True, successful bid on Seraya may not mean YTLPOWR will POP. With singapore in recession, future earnings of Seraya may be affected also, for the next few years. blush.gif
skiddtrader
post Nov 17 2008, 08:54 AM

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QUOTE(darkknight81 @ Nov 16 2008, 10:59 PM)

For the EPS dilution from Simple, you cannot say that after conversion of warrant the EPS will directly errode to 0.15 sen then you say the PE is 11.... HOw about the cash being raised from the conversion of warrant B ? It is an asset for the company....And don forget the cash can enhance the EPS in future...
*
Altogether expected if all conversions of warrants, zero coupon bonds and ESOS, YTLPOWER will raise another RM3 bil or so. But unfortunately, cash in hand for the most part only earns interest from banks. So the contribution to EPS is not as significant. But yes, NTA will increase slightly if all conversions are done.


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post Nov 17 2008, 09:36 AM

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green color now
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QUOTE(calmwater @ Nov 17 2008, 04:40 AM)
Whether we buy the mother or daughter it is still speculation. tongue.gif

Pahang water transfer project, from what I know previously YTLPOWR and Pahang royals are together into this. Maybe that will help to smoothen a deal. hmm.gif

True, successful bid on Seraya may not mean YTLPOWR will POP. With singapore in recession, future earnings of Seraya may be affected also, for the next few years. blush.gif
*
You still don get what i mean . i mean for warrant you are purely speculate as you don reciv any dividend.....Where as if i buy mother share i don need to worry much if the recession prolong to more than 5 years... as i still have income annually from my investment. Not to say warrant is bad but just that current situation not so avisable to speculate on warrant. Like i said i will consider warrant only if it really drops to 30 sen... Currently i would try to convert my warrant first
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post Nov 17 2008, 11:56 AM

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QUOTE(darkknight81 @ Nov 16 2008, 10:01 PM)
You still don get what i mean . i mean for warrant you are purely speculate as you don reciv any dividend.....Where as if i buy mother share i don need to worry much if the recession prolong to more than 5 years... as i still have income annually from my investment. Not to say warrant is bad but just that current situation not so avisable to speculate on warrant. Like i said i will consider warrant only if it really drops to 30 sen... Currently i would try to convert my warrant first
*
Everyday the situation changes. If the shares are sold down as recently happened, mother went down to $1.62 and warrant-B to 40sen, If take opportunity to sell and convert to warrants, can get 4 warrants for 1 mother share shocking.gif . within a few days price went up by 10 sen. If mother makes Rm10,000/= for 100 lots, Warrant-B makes RM40,000/= shocking.gif and all this while the dividen is nowhere to be seen. Are you sure waiting for dividen is the best thing to do?

Don't mean to criticize, but no fixed ideology (keeping an open mind policy) appeals to my style of investing. notworthy.gif

We have our own ways, just sharing my thoughts.
skiddtrader
post Nov 17 2008, 12:33 PM

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I can see that darkknight is more concern about the opportunity costs of holding warrant and missing out on the dividend 'profits'. Furthermore, holding on to mother share even if the price drops it still brings in dividends and potential share dividends as well.

Where as holding warrant gives you a chance of earning a leveraged profit on the upside, the risks of being stagnant or worse falling (also leveraged) would make it seem ill-advised for long term. But when the downside risks are minimized or already taken into account and recovery is expected, the WB would be a more 'profitable' choice given the amount of capital appreciation will surpassed the dividends.

So darkknight would still be right to say he will only buy more warrants if the prices fall more, but he is uncomfortable holding too much WBs because he is expecting it to weaken further. Thus he rather convert the WBs now, get the dividend for Dec, then buy more WBs on drops.

Calmwater is not wrong as well, as he is trying to maximise his investments in a stable company. Holding on the leveraged instruments is always risky, but since the company is stable and the downside risks are already minimised, he feels holding warrants for capital appreciation due to possible acquisitions is better. This is to prevent missing the boat. What he will lose if nothing happens is the dividends, and worse scenario the share prices drop some more and the WB becomes even lesser value. But since WBs lasts for 10 years, the natural way upwards of the counter will get him back his investment in time. But his gains would be extraordinary if the share prices appreciate significantly.


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QUOTE(skiddtrader @ Nov 17 2008, 01:33 PM)
I can see that darkknight is more concern about the opportunity costs of holding warrant and missing out on the dividend 'profits'. Furthermore, holding on to mother share even if the price drops it still brings in dividends and potential share dividends as well.

Where as holding warrant gives you a chance of earning a leveraged profit on the upside, the risks of being stagnant or worse falling (also leveraged) would make it seem ill-advised for long term. But when the downside risks are minimized or already taken into account and recovery is expected, the WB would be a more 'profitable' choice given the amount of capital appreciation will surpassed the dividends.

So darkknight would still be right to say he will only buy more warrants if the prices fall more, but he is uncomfortable holding too much WBs because he is expecting it to weaken further. Thus he rather convert the WBs now, get the dividend for Dec, then buy more WBs on drops.

Calmwater is not wrong as well, as he is trying to maximise his investments in a stable company. Holding on the leveraged instruments is always risky, but since the company is stable and the downside risks are already minimised, he feels holding warrants for capital appreciation due to possible acquisitions is better. This is to prevent missing the boat. What he will lose if nothing happens is the dividends, and worse scenario the share prices drop some more and the WB becomes even lesser value. But since WBs lasts for 10 years, the natural way upwards of the counter will get him back his investment in time. But his gains would be extraordinary if the share prices appreciate significantly.
*
Yup agree with that. Calmwater is able to take more risk. Not wrong for that either... nod.gif But for play safe i will choose my way biggrin.gif But if the counter surge suddenly i may not earn as much % compare to Calmwater.

Thats y i am figuring out a way to balance up both on mother share dividend and warrant price surging.


If i am holding my warrant B which i bought at RM 0.55 SEN compare to current price of RM 0.48

BASICALLY, i am losing [(0.55-0.48)/0.48]x 100% = 14.6 %

If i convert to warrant with another RM 1.21

RM 1.21 + RM 0.55 = RM 1.76 COMPARE with current pricing which is RM 1.70

Basically i have paper loss of [(RM1.76-RM 1.70)/RM 1.70 ] = 3.6% only biggrin.gif

This way i will reduce my current paper lose...

Previous year dividend is 17.5 sen this year is 12.5 sen... Let consider for the next 5 years the dividend is 8 sen annually = RM 0.08 x 5 = 40 SEN...This is my second reason.....

By converting all my warrant B basically i will have 600 lots of mother share... and let assume 8 sen of dividend so i will entitle dividend of RM 4800 per year...

I am targeting to buy warrant B at lower price which is between RM 0.30 - RM 0.40...I CAN SLOWER ACCUMULATE THE WARRANT ....


ante5k
post Nov 17 2008, 03:41 PM

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when is the expiry date?
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QUOTE(ante5k @ Nov 17 2008, 04:41 PM)
when is the expiry date?
*

WARRANT B 2018 EXPIRE
calmwater
post Nov 17 2008, 09:37 PM

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QUOTE(skiddtrader @ Nov 17 2008, 12:33 AM)
I can see that darkknight is more concern about the opportunity costs of holding warrant and missing out on the dividend 'profits'. Furthermore, holding on to mother share even if the price drops it still brings in dividends and potential share dividends as well.

Where as holding warrant gives you a chance of earning a leveraged profit on the upside, the risks of being stagnant or worse falling (also leveraged) would make it seem ill-advised for long term. But when the downside risks are minimized or already taken into account and recovery is expected, the WB would be a more 'profitable' choice given the amount of capital appreciation will surpassed the dividends.

So darkknight would still be right to say he will only buy more warrants if the prices fall more, but he is uncomfortable holding too much WBs because he is expecting it to weaken further. Thus he rather convert the WBs now, get the dividend for Dec, then buy more WBs on drops.

Calmwater is not wrong as well, as he is trying to maximise his investments in a stable company. Holding on the leveraged instruments is always risky, but since the company is stable and the downside risks are already minimised, he feels holding warrants for capital appreciation due to possible acquisitions is better. This is to prevent missing the boat. What he will lose if nothing happens is the dividends, and worse scenario the share prices drop some more and the WB becomes even lesser value. But since WBs lasts for 10 years, the natural way upwards of the counter will get him back his investment in time. But his gains would be extraordinary if the share prices appreciate significantly.
*
Thanks for your opinion, it is well appreciated. nod.gif

Opportunities come in many forms, therefore there will be many opinions. It is good for us to discuss, we learn and learn (knowledge is power), no one can be too smart. notworthy.gif

I find this Blog to be very interesting, thanks to all of you contributing.

A special message to those who are new to investing, don't be afraid to ask question's even if they may sound silly.

Don't ask? You will not learn!! hmm.gif
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post Nov 17 2008, 09:49 PM

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QUOTE(calmwater @ Nov 17 2008, 10:37 PM)
Thanks for your opinion, it is well appreciated. nod.gif

Opportunities come in many forms, therefore there will be many opinions. It is good for us to discuss, we learn and learn (knowledge is power), no one can be too smart. notworthy.gif

I find this Blog to be very interesting, thanks to all of you contributing.

A special message to those who are new to investing, don't be afraid to ask question's even if they may sound silly.

Don't ask? You will not learn!! hmm.gif
*
Yup you are right. As long as you know what you are doing in investing then is ok....MOst ppl don know what they invested... I am not saying your way of trading WB is wrong . I do think this counter stand a chance a surge at the moment just that the possibility is lesser and the upward potential is also limited due to current market conditions....Thats is my own perception only though.

By the way you only play warrant B? How about mother share?


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post Nov 18 2008, 12:23 AM

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QUOTE(darkknight81 @ Nov 17 2008, 09:49 AM)
Yup you are right. As long as you know what you are doing in investing then is ok....MOst ppl don know what they invested... I am not saying your way of trading WB is wrong . I do think this counter stand a chance a surge at the moment just that the possibility is lesser and the upward potential is also limited due to current market conditions....Thats is my own perception only though.

By the way you only play warrant B? How about mother share?
*
I used to play YTLPOWR only and strictly only that, before launch of WB. I saw WA as a riskier venture due to smaller timeline.

But since the last few months, I have slowly converted mother shares to WB. At present not holding any mother shares.

Reason for this?

Well when I look at this counter, I see that the present price is at a deep discount to it's true value. As it keeps going down,I keep increasing my stake but only through WB. Sooner or later ( I give it one year ) the price is going to turnaround. When it does it can increse by a good 20 to 30 sen within a few days ( 2-3 days). the benefits are huge, much more than any form of dividends they pay out. If dividends for one year amount to a total of let say 10 sen, which would you prefer? Here I take into cosideration that for every 1 mother share at $1.70, I can buy almost 3.5 WB. Not to forget this opportunity or attractiveness of WB is only for the present unusual times. Once the price moves up to let say $2.50 for the mother, then we can only get 2 WB (@ $1.25) for the same amount of money.

This is in my view, unusually good opportunities!!! biggrin.gif

With the time becoming more and more ripe for acquisitions, and a imminent bounce back from it's very attractive low price, I place my bet on the daughter(aiya looks so preety lah!!, but maybe not for long).

With the pound weakening and not being quite sure on the overall market sentiment (local and international), as well as the quarterly report coming out soon, I am not putting in all my chips as yet.

Need to look around in the coming days and weeks on my next move.

Quite stressful, not an easy business.
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post Nov 18 2008, 01:03 PM

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Even you convert your warrant B you cannot enjoy the dividend yet as it is consider as A share, therefore, you will be entitled for any dividend after conversion of 12 months. sweat.gif


skiddtrader
post Nov 18 2008, 01:06 PM

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QUOTE(darkknight81 @ Nov 18 2008, 01:03 PM)
Even you convert your warrant B you cannot enjoy the dividend yet as it is consider as A share, therefore, you will be entitled for any dividend after conversion of 12 months.  sweat.gif
*
Wow good info, so that means you won't be converting then?
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post Nov 18 2008, 01:24 PM

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QUOTE(skiddtrader @ Nov 18 2008, 02:06 PM)
Wow good info, so that means you won't be converting then?
*
Erm... kind of dilemma now icon_question.gif

What is your view then ? Do you think this counter can surge in near term? I personally think the possibility is very rare....And it might slide further ....In order to reduce my paper lose still better convert it ....As i personally think that the credit crisis issue will not be settled in these few years maybe it would last for years .....

Just a simple question i ask previously...let consider the mother share stay stagnant....for five years....Considering annual dividend of 8 sen... i am basically losing 40 sen of dividend already....

If nothing good happened on this counter, every issuance of dividend will erroded the warrant price further down....

My logic is why not convert to mother share and accumulate the dividend to buy back the warrant at a lower price ?
I think the management already see this situation... they foresee we will convert it to mother share in the end for their fund raising...

Can share what is your strategy?

This post has been edited by darkknight81: Nov 18 2008, 01:26 PM
cherroy
post Nov 18 2008, 02:08 PM

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QUOTE(darkknight81 @ Nov 18 2008, 01:24 PM)
Erm... kind of dilemma now  icon_question.gif

What is your view then ? Do you think this counter can surge in near term? I personally think the possibility is very rare....And it might slide further ....In order to reduce my paper lose still better convert it ....As i personally think that the credit crisis issue will not be settled in these few years maybe it would last for years .....

Just a simple question i ask previously...let consider the mother share stay stagnant....for five years....Considering annual dividend of 8 sen... i am basically losing 40 sen of dividend already....

If nothing good happened on this counter, every issuance of dividend will erroded the warrant price further down....

My logic is why not convert to mother share and accumulate the dividend to buy back the warrant at a lower price ?
I think the management already see this situation... they foresee we will convert it to mother share in the end for their fund raising...

Can share what is your strategy?
*
Yes, one view mothershare price is going to be stagnant, then surely convert is the better option as it erodes the value of warrant.

So it basically the consideration is simple.

1. If you view mothershare going to be stagnant, then convert
2. If you view mothershare will be appreciating, then stay with warrant, as warrant generate more return rate when mothershare is rising due to gearing factor.
3. If cash and individual liquidity is tight, then go for warrant as it provides you the gearing factor as you need lesser capital to enjoy the nearly the same amount of return rate with mothershare, but have to consider factor (1) also.
cherroy
post Nov 18 2008, 02:11 PM

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QUOTE(darkknight81 @ Nov 18 2008, 01:03 PM)
Even you convert your warrant B you cannot enjoy the dividend yet as it is consider as A share, therefore, you will be entitled for any dividend after conversion of 12 months.  sweat.gif
*
So you already find out and confirm the converted warrant will not ranked as pari-passu with the mothershare?

It should be, most of the time as far as my experience tell me, although can have exception which depended on company.
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post Nov 18 2008, 03:25 PM

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QUOTE(darkknight81 @ Nov 18 2008, 01:24 PM)
Erm... kind of dilemma now  icon_question.gif

What is your view then ? Do you think this counter can surge in near term? I personally think the possibility is very rare....And it might slide further ....In order to reduce my paper lose still better convert it ....As i personally think that the credit crisis issue will not be settled in these few years maybe it would last for years .....

Just a simple question i ask previously...let consider the mother share stay stagnant....for five years....Considering annual dividend of 8 sen... i am basically losing 40 sen of dividend already....

If nothing good happened on this counter, every issuance of dividend will erroded the warrant price further down....

My logic is why not convert to mother share and accumulate the dividend to buy back the warrant at a lower price ?
I think the management already see this situation... they foresee we will convert it to mother share in the end for their fund raising...

Can share what is your strategy?
*
From what I can see from YTLPOWER has at least 2 more years to acquire something, if not their bonds will be expiring and they need to re-pay back the bonds. By using the cash for a profitable acquisition, they can generate more funds to service their loans as well as secure new funding because their revenue have increased. So I really believe within 2 years they will have to acquire something.

To be honest, I'm more of a balance type. I will hold some mothershare for dividends as well as warrants for potential capital appreciation. Since the share is always rising due to appreciating EPS, the likeliness of the warrant depreciating too much is in my opinion minimised.
skiddtrader
post Nov 18 2008, 04:09 PM

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I just noticed something. There is no share buybacks at all in November.
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post Nov 18 2008, 04:57 PM

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QUOTE(cherroy @ Nov 18 2008, 03:11 PM)
So you already find out and confirm the converted warrant will not ranked as pari-passu with the mothershare?

It should be, most of the time as far as my experience tell me, although can have exception which depended on company.
*
Yup nod.gif


Added on November 18, 2008, 4:58 pm
QUOTE(skiddtrader @ Nov 18 2008, 05:09 PM)
I just noticed something. There is no share buybacks at all in November.
*
Thanks for your reminder biggrin.gif I din go and see the share buy back for quite some times....

Maybe big acquisition is in action brows.gif

This post has been edited by darkknight81: Nov 18 2008, 04:58 PM
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post Nov 18 2008, 05:01 PM

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QUOTE(skiddtrader @ Nov 18 2008, 04:25 PM)
From what I can see from YTLPOWER has at least 2 more years to acquire something, if not their bonds will be expiring and they need to re-pay back the bonds. By using the cash for a profitable acquisition, they can generate more funds to service their loans as well as secure new funding because their revenue have increased. So I really believe within 2 years they will have to acquire something.

To be honest, I'm more of a balance type. I will hold some mothershare for dividends as well as warrants for potential capital appreciation. Since the share is always rising due to appreciating EPS, the likeliness of the warrant depreciating too much is in my opinion minimised.
*
Yup agree with you... I just make up my mind i will convert some of my warrant instead maybe 60 lots first... and i will be left 170 lots of WB ... some sort of fine tuning... biggrin.gif
skiddtrader
post Nov 18 2008, 05:15 PM

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QUOTE(darkknight81 @ Nov 18 2008, 04:57 PM)
Yup  nod.gif


Added on November 18, 2008, 4:58 pm

Thanks for your reminder  biggrin.gif I din go and see the share buy back for quite some times....

Maybe big acquisition is in action  brows.gif
*
brows.gif brows.gif rclxm9.gif rclxm9.gif
TSdarkknight81
post Nov 20 2008, 12:45 PM

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http://biz.thestar.com.my/news/story.asp?f...47&sec=business
skiddtrader
post Nov 20 2008, 02:22 PM

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Nowadays The Star business every week talk about YTL this and that. Seems like YTL advertising with them haha.

Edit: Found the more detail article here. Edge Daily

This post has been edited by skiddtrader: Nov 20 2008, 03:04 PM
TSdarkknight81
post Nov 20 2008, 05:11 PM

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Regarding the share buy back.. Shareholder should be holding their shares for the dividend. The management are preparing the fund to support the price after the dividend probably
skiddtrader
post Nov 20 2008, 06:29 PM

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YTLPOWER announced an Interim Dividend of 6% gross less Malaysian Income Tax and 3% single tier in respect of the financial year ending 30 June 2009.

Ex-date 31/12/2008
Pay date 21/01/2009

Funny announce so early eh, because that means with this announcement there is 2 dividends announced already which is not yet paid.
Previous dividend announcement was for final dividend which;

Ex-date is 05/12/2008 and
Payment 26/12/2008


No wonder a few days back YTLPOWER suddenly got some price jump and volume.


:Edit: Nevermind, YTLPOWER just ported their quarterly report. biggrin.gif Waste my time writing only haha


Added on November 20, 2008, 6:53 pmNet profit for YTLPOWER is RM100mil lower than last quarter.

There is also some sort of profit warning in the report regarding the GBP issue and also due to the 1 time windfall tax. That's the explanation for the RM100 mil lesser net profit. sad.gif





This post has been edited by skiddtrader: Nov 20 2008, 06:53 PM
SUSDavid83
post Nov 20 2008, 07:54 PM

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YTL Power earnings down on tax payment

KUALA LUMPUR: YTL Power International Bhd’s net profit in the first quarter ended Sept 30 fell 23% to RM180.4mil from RM235.06mil a year ago.

The lower earnings was due to a one-off tax payment by its power subsidiary.

Announcing its results on Thursday, YTL Power said revenue was higher at RM1.05bil compared with RM1.04bil.

Earnings per share was 3.32 sen compared with 4.61 sen. It declared a dividend of 4.5 sen per share.

It said the lower earnings was also due to lower exchange rate in translating the earnings of the foreign subsidiaries.

URL: http://biz.thestar.com.my/news/story.asp?f...22&sec=business
htt
post Nov 20 2008, 08:34 PM

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If someone want to know the the fully diluted earning, go to the last page of the financial statement.
And please note the keyword 'Effect', the effect is not constant.
Happy reading.

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post Nov 20 2008, 08:37 PM

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QUOTE(htt @ Nov 20 2008, 09:34 PM)
If someone want to know the the fully diluted earning, go to the last page of the financial statement.
And please note the keyword 'Effect', the effect is not constant.
Happy reading.
*
If more warrant being converted the EPS will be diluted further.
htt
post Nov 20 2008, 08:40 PM

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QUOTE(darkknight81 @ Nov 20 2008, 08:37 PM)
If more warrant being converted the EPS will be diluted further.
*
Actually more dominant factor will be the ordinary share price than no. of warrant exercise. You can see the ESOS hardy exercise but the effect reduce quite substantially, just as an example only. Anyway, I leave this thing to their expert aka I don't care that much tongue.gif
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post Nov 20 2008, 08:42 PM

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YTL Power has lot of opportunities to invest in overseas but they face the danger of currencies going down further bcos the countries they intend to invest are cutting down the int rates.

Genting casinos in UK are not earning well and yet the impairment cost is a lot.

Just to give a second opinion, and no intention to offend the experts here.

This post has been edited by SKY 1809: Nov 21 2008, 12:48 PM
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QUOTE(htt @ Nov 20 2008, 09:40 PM)
Actually more dominant factor will be the ordinary share price than no. of warrant exercise. You can see the ESOS hardy exercise but the effect reduce quite substantially, just as an example only. Anyway, I leave this thing to their expert aka I don't care that much tongue.gif
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1 warrant B for every 3 mother share so is about 33% of dilution to the EPS...Impact is very great consider the cash being raised stay stagnant there... So in order to enhance the EPS good acquisition must take place ASAP.


Added on November 20, 2008, 8:47 pm
QUOTE(SKY 1809 @ Nov 20 2008, 09:42 PM)
YLL Power has lot of opportunities to invest in overseas but they face the danger of currencies going down further bcos the countries they intend to invest are cutting down the int rates.

Genting casinos in UK are not earning well and yet the impairment cost is  a lot.

Just to give a second opinion, and no intention to offend the experts here.
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Short term maybe bad. I can say if look at long term is definitely good especially country like UK and Australia which their currency has slide a lot against RM...



This post has been edited by darkknight81: Nov 20 2008, 08:47 PM
htt
post Nov 20 2008, 08:54 PM

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QUOTE(darkknight81 @ Nov 20 2008, 08:45 PM)
1 warrant B for every 3 mother share so is about 33% of dilution to the EPS...Impact is very great consider the cash being raised stay stagnant there... So in order to enhance the EPS good acquisition must take place ASAP.


Added on November 20, 2008, 8:47 pm

Short term maybe bad. I can say if look at long term is definitely good especially country like UK and Australia which their currency has slide a lot against RM...
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Hehe... they use money from warrant to do stock buy back leh... tongue.gif But I think warrant holder won't all go convert in one shot one... relax... worst can be, ordinary share price lower than conversion price then warrant virtually worth nothing, touch wood... Maybe we belong to different camp tongue.gif I no issue for diluted EPS because I hold both ordinary share & warrant B at the same time. Just my 2 cents.
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post Nov 20 2008, 08:54 PM

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QUOTE(darkknight81 @ Nov 20 2008, 08:45 PM)
1 warrant B for every 3 mother share so is about 33% of dilution to the EPS...Impact is very great consider the cash being raised stay stagnant there... So in order to enhance the EPS good acquisition must take place ASAP.


Added on November 20, 2008, 8:47 pm

Short term maybe bad. I can say if look at long term is definitely good especially country like UK and Australia which their currency has slide a lot against RM...
*
Well, it is the intention of YTL Power CEO to generate a positive cashflow on new investments.

It is not easy to get one . Like the case of Maybank, could be more cash outflow than inflow.
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post Nov 20 2008, 08:59 PM

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QUOTE(htt @ Nov 20 2008, 09:54 PM)
Hehe... they use money from warrant to do stock buy back leh... tongue.gif But I think warrant holder won't all go convert in one shot one... relax... worst can be, ordinary share price lower than conversion price then warrant virtually worth nothing, touch wood... Maybe we belong to different camp  tongue.gif I no issue for diluted EPS because I hold both ordinary share & warrant B at the same time. Just my 2 cents.
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Lol it is very contradicting and not logic at all to use the cash from the warrant conversion to do sharebuy back.... I am very sure it is not the case....You must know the purpose of the warrant B ...It is to be used for future fund raising for any new acquisition not for sharebuy back

Surely some small warrant holder will not convert their warrant but how about the big holder?


Added on November 20, 2008, 9:01 pm
QUOTE(SKY 1809 @ Nov 20 2008, 09:54 PM)
Well, it is the intention of YTL Power CEO to generate a  positive cashflow on new investments.

It is not easy to get one . Like the case of Maybank, could be more cash outflow than inflow.
*
Yup thats y so far acquisition news not yet released as Francis Yeoh is waiting for better bargain... He is like Warren Buffett

This post has been edited by darkknight81: Nov 20 2008, 09:01 PM
skiddtrader
post Nov 21 2008, 01:00 AM

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QUOTE(htt @ Nov 20 2008, 08:40 PM)
Actually more dominant factor will be the ordinary share price than no. of warrant exercise. You can see the ESOS hardy exercise but the effect reduce quite substantially, just as an example only. Anyway, I leave this thing to their expert aka I don't care that much tongue.gif
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I disagree that ESOS causes as much dilution. It is an insignificant amount compared to the outstanding shares at the moment.


Added on November 21, 2008, 1:05 am
QUOTE(darkknight81 @ Nov 20 2008, 08:59 PM)
Lol it is very contradicting and not logic at all to use the cash from the warrant conversion to do sharebuy back.... I am very sure it is not the case....You must know the purpose of the warrant B ...It is to be used for future fund raising for any new acquisition not for sharebuy back

Surely some small warrant holder will not convert their warrant but how about the big holder?


Added on November 20, 2008, 9:01 pm

Yup thats y so far acquisition news not yet released as Francis Yeoh is waiting for better bargain... He is like Warren Buffett
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According to the quarterly report, 260 million WB was converted to mother share last quarter. That is about 10% warrants issued, so about 3% dilution last quarter.



More importantly though I wanted to point out that for dividend players. 2 dividends with ex-dates in December!! Final dividend for 2008 is 7.5% tax free ex-date 5th Dec and latest interim dividend 6% subject to tax + 3% single tier dividend ex-date 31st Dec.

Those 2 dividends equals roughly 8.25 sens per share if you claim back the tax. That's about 4.8% DY at current RM1.72 price within 2 months!!





This post has been edited by skiddtrader: Nov 21 2008, 01:10 AM
calmwater
post Nov 21 2008, 08:01 AM

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QUOTE(skiddtrader @ Nov 20 2008, 01:00 PM)
I disagree that ESOS causes as much dilution. It is an insignificant amount compared to the outstanding shares at the moment.


Added on November 21, 2008, 1:05 am

According to the quarterly report, 260 million WB was converted to mother share last quarter. That is about 10% warrants issued, so about 3% dilution last quarter.
More importantly though I wanted to point out that for dividend players. 2 dividends with ex-dates in December!! Final dividend for 2008 is 7.5% tax free ex-date 5th Dec and latest interim dividend 6% subject to tax + 3% single tier dividend ex-date 31st Dec.

Those 2 dividends equals roughly 8.25 sens per share if you claim back the tax. That's about 4.8% DY at current RM1.72 price within 2 months!!
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Why this double dividend, it has never been declared in the history of YTLPOWR?

There must be a reason.

To me it seems as an attempt to stop the shares from sliding further, because the effects of a weakening Pound will begin to have a greater effect on profits in future quarterly reports. So some candy to the investors to hang on.

Anyway it is still better than others.


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post Nov 21 2008, 08:04 AM

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Should be a bad news for warrant holder as after the dividend the mother share will be adjusted another 8 sen to maybe RM 1.62 only biggrin.gif

Luckily i have balance up both side


Added on November 21, 2008, 8:10 am
QUOTE(skiddtrader @ Nov 21 2008, 02:00 AM)
I disagree that ESOS causes as much dilution. It is an insignificant amount compared to the outstanding shares at the moment.


Added on November 21, 2008, 1:05 am

According to the quarterly report, 260 million WB was converted to mother share last quarter. That is about 10% warrants issued, so about 3% dilution last quarter.
More importantly though I wanted to point out that for dividend players. 2 dividends with ex-dates in December!! Final dividend for 2008 is 7.5% tax free ex-date 5th Dec and latest interim dividend 6% subject to tax + 3% single tier dividend ex-date 31st Dec.

Those 2 dividends equals roughly 8.25 sens per share if you claim back the tax. That's about 4.8% DY at current RM1.72 price within 2 months!!
*
But for the second dividend it did not stated how much. ONly 6 % to tax and 3% single tier ... But base on what price?


Maybe they are trying to convince ppl to convert their warrant to the mother share tongue.gif

This post has been edited by darkknight81: Nov 21 2008, 08:13 AM
skiddtrader
post Nov 21 2008, 08:59 AM

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QUOTE(darkknight81 @ Nov 21 2008, 08:04 AM)
Should be a bad news for warrant holder as after the dividend the mother share will be adjusted another 8 sen to maybe RM 1.62 only  biggrin.gif

Luckily i have balance up both side


Added on November 21, 2008, 8:10 am

But for the second dividend it did not stated how much. ONly 6 % to tax and 3% single tier ... But base on what price?
Maybe they are trying to convince ppl to convert their warrant to the mother share  tongue.gif
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Their dividends always refer to their par value, so should be 6% subject to tax on RM0.50 and another 3% on their par value.

Assuming you don't claim back your tax;

6 - 25% personal tax = 4.5% dividend

4.5% * RM0.50 = RM0.0225


While the other 3% i assume is already taxed at corporate level;

3% * RM0.50 = RM0.015

So total dividend if you don't claim back is;

RM0.0225 + RM0.015 = RM0.0375


Added on November 21, 2008, 9:07 am
QUOTE(calmwater @ Nov 21 2008, 08:01 AM)
Why this double dividend, it has never been declared in the history of YTLPOWR?

There must be a reason.

To me it seems as an attempt to stop the shares from sliding further, because the effects of a weakening Pound will begin to have a greater effect on profits in future quarterly reports. So some candy to the investors to hang on.

Anyway it is still better than others.
*
Yeah I have that suspicion as well. Something doesn't add up in the report.

I've done some reading and comparisons, and I found that for the previous quarter, the GBP effect is actually quite small and normal.

The 2nd quarter should be where we are worried about.


Conclusion from reading the report:

YTLPOWER's power generation profits almost completely disappeared. I assume this has gone to the 1 time payment of Windfall Tax. I estimated after comparing previous quarters results, that YTLPOWER paid about RM84 mil in taxes. This is my estimation as there is no mention how much they actually paid.


Wessex Water's business fell by 5% or so compared to previous quarter, but it is in line with 3Q 2008 numbers, so the GBP effect is not really visible.

This post has been edited by skiddtrader: Nov 21 2008, 09:15 AM
calmwater
post Nov 21 2008, 09:46 AM

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QUOTE(skiddtrader @ Nov 20 2008, 08:59 PM)


YTLPOWER's power generation profits almost completely disappeared. I assume this has gone to the 1 time payment of Windfall Tax. I estimated after comparing previous quarters results, that YTLPOWER paid about RM84 mil in taxes. This is my estimation as there is no mention how much they actually paid.
Wessex Water's business fell by 5% or so compared to previous quarter, but it is in line with 3Q 2008 numbers, so the GBP effect is not really visible.
*
The report is not transparent enough to know what conversion rate was used for conversion of Wessex profits to Ringgit.

A bigger adjustment may come in the next report. hmm.gif

What do you think of power Seraya?

Do you think with a slowing Singapore economy and falling asset values, the reserve price may be too high?

There should be better opportunities elsewhere in the coming months, why spend too much on this Genco? doh.gif



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post Nov 21 2008, 09:54 AM

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QUOTE(calmwater @ Nov 21 2008, 09:46 AM)
The report is not transparent enough to know what conversion rate was used for conversion of Wessex profits to Ringgit.

A bigger adjustment may come in the next report. hmm.gif

What do you think of power Seraya?

Do you think with a slowing Singapore economy and falling asset values, the reserve price may be too high?

There should be better opportunities elsewhere in the coming months, why spend too much on this Genco?  doh.gif
*
In terms of conversion rates, I used the last quarterly report day as a reference point. I checked back most of the previous reports do the same, but this report did not state what figures they are using.
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post Nov 21 2008, 10:16 AM

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QUOTE(darkknight81 @ Nov 20 2008, 08:04 PM)
Should be a bad news for warrant holder as after the dividend the mother share will be adjusted another 8 sen to maybe RM 1.62 only  biggrin.gif

Luckily i have balance up both side


Added on November 21, 2008, 8:10 am

But for the second dividend it did not stated how much. ONly 6 % to tax and 3% single tier ... But base on what price?
Maybe they are trying to convince ppl to convert their warrant to the mother share  tongue.gif
*
LOL and dilute the share price some more??

This post has been edited by calmwater: Nov 21 2008, 10:18 AM
TSdarkknight81
post Nov 21 2008, 12:45 PM

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If acquisition was not done quick warrant will get a hard hit for sure sweat.gif Base on what to support the warrant price?
Mother share keep on giving dividend ....holding warrant will get nothing


Added on November 21, 2008, 12:46 pm
QUOTE(calmwater @ Nov 21 2008, 10:46 AM)
The report is not transparent enough to know what conversion rate was used for conversion of Wessex profits to Ringgit.

A bigger adjustment may come in the next report. hmm.gif

What do you think of power Seraya?

Do you think with a slowing Singapore economy and falling asset values, the reserve price may be too high?

There should be better opportunities elsewhere in the coming months, why spend too much on this Genco?  doh.gif
*
Thats is the issue i have voiced out previously..don be optimistic on the seraya bid ... Termasek is not so easy to due with as you know....If the bid fail maybe is a "blessing in disguise"


Added on November 21, 2008, 12:48 pm<<
I've done some reading and comparisons, and I found that for the previous quarter, the GBP effect is actually quite small and normal.

The 2nd quarter should be where we are worried about.
Conclusion from reading the report:

YTLPOWER's power generation profits almost completely disappeared. I assume this has gone to the 1 time payment of Windfall Tax. I estimated after comparing previous quarters results, that YTLPOWER paid about RM84 mil in taxes. This is my estimation as there is no mention how much they actually paid.
Wessex Water's business fell by 5% or so compared to previous quarter, but it is in line with 3Q 2008 numbers, so the GBP effect is not really visible.

>>

Yup, i have the same view also nod.gif


This post has been edited by darkknight81: Nov 21 2008, 12:48 PM
TSdarkknight81
post Nov 21 2008, 03:29 PM

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Current price of ytl power share RM 1.70. My worry now for the generous dividend issue will cause the mother share to be adjusted around RM 1.62 and hence the warrant B will be adjusted to around RM 40 SEN ONLY….

Sell the warrant now and buy back at RM 40 SEN ?

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post Nov 22 2008, 12:14 AM

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If the acquisition of Power Seraya actually go through by end of this year, the WB will shoot up. But if there is no confident of that, then might as well sell the WB now, wait for the dividend then buy back the WB. But if you don't hold as much, might as well just hold it if the transaction fee is a lot.


Regarding Power Seraya chances, it's definitely better than the Senoko Power sale because that one had 6 entities shortlisted. While this one only has 3 entities shortlisted. So in terms of chances, they have a 33% chance compared to previous 16% chance.

YTLPOWER has experience in running 2 out 3 business Power Seraya has, which is water treatment, power generation and oil trading. Although the water business is a bit different as Power Seraya is running a desalination plant.



This post has been edited by skiddtrader: Nov 22 2008, 12:18 AM

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