QUOTE(Jordy @ Jun 6 2008, 07:02 PM)
I bought at RM10 since last year, and held until now. Finally I have decided to dispose off at RM9.
If I am not mistaken, Monday is payday, so I am worried of further profit taking.
At times like this, better get off the boat before anything worse comes. I am ready to invest the proceeds into high yield counters.
The tariff hike is only 18% and 26%, whereas the cost of gas for TNB has risen almost 100% in a year.
The tariff hike is still not enough to cover for TNB's losses I am afraid. They will still have to absorb a huge portion of the total cost, which will lead to a much lower earnings for FY2008, but should recover a little FY2009.
So until then, I think I would place my money into high yield counters to shield off any possible sell downs on TENAGA again.
TNB past and current position is not on profit but it face problem in cashflow.
Profit is not equal to cashflow. Some little basic accounting will understand it.
Company can earn tonnes of profit but ended up with negative cashflow that make the company insolvent or goes broke. So when look at financial statement, don't simply look at profit only, cashflow is also a very important figure to look at.
It is because every year TNB besides paying huge amount of fuel cost, it also needs to spend 3-4 billions on capital expenditure for its infrastucture.
TNB said is about its cash position, not regarding its profit condition. Without tariff increment previously, TNB cash only can 'stand' about 1 year only. That's why its share tumbles severely as everyone predict gov won't increase electricity tariff inclduing me, as petrol is the main target for increment and don't think gov dare to 'destroy' the consumers, but who's know, all come in in one shot.
But now with 20+% increase in revenue, then its cash position become neutral (remember they said neutral not positive).
This post has been edited by cherroy: Jun 6 2008, 10:02 PM