Outperform call on Resorts WorldKUALA LUMPUR: CIMB Equities Research is maintaining its outperform call on Resorts World Bhd as the share price weakness over recent months has been attributed to external and macro concerns, and its fundamentals remain solid.
The research house said Monday that it was unlikely the Government would increase gaming-related taxes as they did not benefit the Government.
“We also think that worries of a possible operational slowdown in 2H08 are significantly overdone. As such, we are keeping our FY08-10 forecasts and our CY08 price objective of RM4.18, based on a 10% discount to its sum of parts,” it said.
CIMB Research said Resorts remained an excellent proxy for the solid domestic tourism industry while its gaming operations are expected to perform strongly in 2008.
It also said Resorts’s growing cash pile of more than RM4bil gave it the leeway to make regional/global acquisitions at rock bottom prices currently or undertake capital management initiatives -- for instance, increasing dividends.
“When the external concerns will subside is something we would not speculate on. However, we strongly believe that the weakened share price offers an excellent opportunity to accumulate RWB on weakness for meaningful medium- to longer-term upside,” it added.
The research house said Resorts was its top gaming sector pick given the gravity of the share price decline, base valuations and the potential stronger rebound once concerns abate.
It said the main reason for Resorts’ share price weakness was its high foreign shareholding of about 40% as at end-May.
“We understand that the bulk of the selling activity over the past month was attributed to disposals by foreign investors due to macro factors, which are totally detached from Resorts’ core fundamentals,” it said.
CIMB Research said the primary reason for the foreign selldown was the uncertainty in the Malaysian political scene. This instability had given rise to some policy risks, which had rubbed off on the gaming industry given talk of a possible gaming tax hike.
The research house also said the economic environment, coupled with higher political risk, had resulted in some weakness in the ringgit.
“Given its high foreign shareholdings, Resorts’ de-rating can partly be attributed to the currency effect. Once again, this macro factor has no bearing on the company fundamentals and is subject to market forces,” it said.
On the global gaming scene, it said the US gaming industry had undergone a major de-rating since end-07, with share prices tumbling 30-60% year-to-date for major gaming players.
The research house said undoubtedly, this had a chain effect on global gaming stocks and Malaysian gaming companies had not escaped the drop.
It said the global de-rating was centred on weakness in Las Vegas owing to sharply reduced air transport links from the jet fuel effects as well as the effects from the economic slowdown.
The second factor was the exposure of US gaming companies to the highly competitive junket VIP business in Macau, where VIP margins have been significantly clipped over the past six months and where US gaming players were the major losers in the volume game.

Added on June 30, 2008, 2:45 pmOutperform call on Resorts WorldKUALA LUMPUR: CIMB Equities Research is maintaining its outperform call on Resorts World Bhd as the share price weakness over recent months has been attributed to external and macro concerns, and its fundamentals remain solid.
The research house said Monday that it was unlikely the Government would increase gaming-related taxes as they did not benefit the Government.
“We also think that worries of a possible operational slowdown in 2H08 are significantly overdone. As such, we are keeping our FY08-10 forecasts and our CY08 price objective of RM4.18, based on a 10% discount to its sum of parts,” it said.
CIMB Research said Resorts remained an excellent proxy for the solid domestic tourism industry while its gaming operations are expected to perform strongly in 2008.
It also said Resorts’s growing cash pile of more than RM4bil gave it the leeway to make regional/global acquisitions at rock bottom prices currently or undertake capital management initiatives -- for instance, increasing dividends.
“When the external concerns will subside is something we would not speculate on. However, we strongly believe that the weakened share price offers an excellent opportunity to accumulate RWB on weakness for meaningful medium- to longer-term upside,” it added.
The research house said Resorts was its top gaming sector pick given the gravity of the share price decline, base valuations and the potential stronger rebound once concerns abate.
It said the main reason for Resorts’ share price weakness was its high foreign shareholding of about 40% as at end-May.
“We understand that the bulk of the selling activity over the past month was attributed to disposals by foreign investors due to macro factors, which are totally detached from Resorts’ core fundamentals,” it said.
CIMB Research said the primary reason for the foreign selldown was the uncertainty in the Malaysian political scene. This instability had given rise to some policy risks, which had rubbed off on the gaming industry given talk of a possible gaming tax hike.
The research house also said the economic environment, coupled with higher political risk, had resulted in some weakness in the ringgit.
“Given its high foreign shareholdings, Resorts’ de-rating can partly be attributed to the currency effect. Once again, this macro factor has no bearing on the company fundamentals and is subject to market forces,” it said.
On the global gaming scene, it said the US gaming industry had undergone a major de-rating since end-07, with share prices tumbling 30-60% year-to-date for major gaming players.
The research house said undoubtedly, this had a chain effect on global gaming stocks and Malaysian gaming companies had not escaped the drop.
It said the global de-rating was centred on weakness in Las Vegas owing to sharply reduced air transport links from the jet fuel effects as well as the effects from the economic slowdown.
The second factor was the exposure of US gaming companies to the highly competitive junket VIP business in Macau, where VIP margins have been significantly clipped over the past six months and where US gaming players were the major losers in the volume game.
This post has been edited by DJWC: Jun 30 2008, 02:45 PM