QUOTE(dsugums @ Apr 5 2008, 01:06 AM)
hahaha, that's the same thinking I had with MRCB. Bought at 1.40, then next day jatuh to 1.33! Then try to average out to make it 1.37 thinking it will recover. 3rd day jatuh to 1.30
Cannot sell also. Bank call me to settle the payment, but told them to take it
Hold some more stock from the averaging. Still price never recover today. Sold it off with massive losses. Price still dropping until closing. All because I thought it will move up, but it didn't.
My observation is that, if the stock close at bottom out price without recovering, you are going to fried the next day. Initially will go up a bit during opening, but will back very fast before you know it. And you will be thinking the price will go up again, but it wont.
Errr.. talking of using average strategy, it is always advisable not to average if the stock falls not so significantly. 1.40 to 1.33 is not a significantly difference unless you have bottomless 'bullets' then different story.Hold some more stock from the averaging. Still price never recover today. Sold it off with massive losses. Price still dropping until closing. All because I thought it will move up, but it didn't.
My observation is that, if the stock close at bottom out price without recovering, you are going to fried the next day. Initially will go up a bit during opening, but will back very fast before you know it. And you will be thinking the price will go up again, but it wont.
Too soon, shooting out all bullets, it is very fast ended with bare and naked body with emptied bullet gun which exposure fully either being slaughtered by the market or get away with some gain if market did turn around.
But the millions dollar question, how many time, can one get it correctly each time? You need at least 2 to 3 times of gain to cover 1 times of loss espeically if holding power is weak.
For short term play on goreng stock, it is more appropriate play on momentum. You ride with momentum to gain. Catching a falling dagger, most of the time will end with loss. As playing short term with goreng stock, you generally don't care about how expensive or how cheap the stock is, you only play the differentiate in buying and selling price aka you buy then hope next few days goes up. So it is more appropriate to go for momemtum when the stock is in a bullish trend. But if try to catch the bottom when it is going down, you need to have bottomless bullets to do so, as no one knows how low it will be and when it will go back up. Market need time to recover one. Once bull run ended, it will take a will before next bull emerge. Market can easily be hovering almost at the same level for 1-2 years without any break through to the upside.
This doesn't apply to those aim for long term and strong fundamental stock. Above statement is more suit to short term play on goreng stock.
Just my 2 cents, don't necessary approriate and right.
This post has been edited by cherroy: Apr 5 2008, 10:31 AM
Apr 5 2008, 10:29 AM
Quote
0.0450sec
1.11
6 queries
GZIP Disabled