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 How will election affect market tomorrow?

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TSokyjace
post Mar 9 2008, 09:14 AM, updated 18y ago

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In my humble opinion, I think there's positives from less uncertainty around the election results... however, just so much bad news coming out from the US. Doesn't look good.
Apec
post Mar 9 2008, 09:36 AM

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Overall sentinment is bad, as the saying go foreign and local not much good news and likely to dampend tomorrow performance.
dreamer101
post Mar 9 2008, 09:44 AM

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All,

Stock market will go down since the government no longer has to support the stock market after the GE.

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wyxyz
post Mar 9 2008, 10:18 AM

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yea..stock will go down. mayb just for temporary la..coz all the gov croniez companies. lolz..bursa malaysia will bounce back.a cleaner and transparent gov
dreamer101
post Mar 9 2008, 10:25 AM

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QUOTE(wyxyz @ Mar 9 2008, 10:18 AM)
yea..stock will go down. mayb just for temporary la..coz all the gov croniez companies. lolz..bursa malaysia will bounce back.a cleaner and transparent gov
*
wyxyz,

Stock market will go down for a few years. Our stock market had gone up 30% per year for 2 years. But, our economy only grow at best 6% to 7% per year. So, the stock price is unsustainable. The ONLY reason that is going up recently is because of GE.

And, I have not throw in the effect by USA recession yet.

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kinwawa
post Mar 9 2008, 11:19 AM

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for the future...hope there will be more transparency in the gov....no more wasting money.....and that Malaysia will prosper in the 'correct' way....

i dun mind keeping my money for few years in stocks (stuck there if share drop tomolo) if it means a better life for me n my future generation.....

i believe if things are done correctly....there's still hope and KLCI will eventually bounce back.....
panasonic88
post Mar 9 2008, 12:05 PM

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i can smell CI at 1200 soon...
dreamer101
post Mar 9 2008, 12:08 PM

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QUOTE(kinwawa @ Mar 9 2008, 11:19 AM)

i dun mind keeping my money for few years in stocks (stuck there if share drop tomolo) if it means a better life for me n my future generation.....

i believe if things are done correctly....there's still hope and KLCI will eventually bounce back.....
*
kinwawa,

<<i dun mind keeping my money for few years in stocks (stuck there if share drop tomolo) if it means a better life for me n my future generation.....>>

You buy individual stock not KLCI. You should buy stock/company that can survive recession to begin with. If you do buy KLCI, then, you are supporting GLC. So, your money deserve to go down the drain.

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kinwawa
post Mar 9 2008, 01:36 PM

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hahha...sorry Dreamer....guess i used 'layman's term'....i talk in too general i guess........dun flame me ar.. my apologies....

anyway.....i switch most of my money to PBBANK n stocks that are defensive in nature....will switch more to REIT soon ...
am_eniey
post Mar 9 2008, 02:22 PM

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i predict a drop
DJWC
post Mar 9 2008, 02:29 PM

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All,

For sure it will drop but how much will it drop ? That's the question.




Thank You.
Pai
post Mar 9 2008, 02:33 PM

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Election result == change == uncertainty == jittery investor's sentiment == DROP



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panasonic88
post Mar 9 2008, 06:10 PM

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and never forget that it is affected by U.S market, as well

DJIA lost another 146 points on last friday, closed at 11,893

now we gonna see HOW MUCH CI gonna drop.
kinwawa
post Mar 9 2008, 06:28 PM

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pray pray hard that market won't tumble....and tat foreign fund will view the election result positively
xiang49
post Mar 9 2008, 08:22 PM

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Thank god i have no stake in equity...tomorrow is def a day where KLCI will down to the drain...time to pile up bullets....you dont get this kind of opp everyday...the last time i check, it was 11 yrs back where Asian Financial Crisis hit us...
dreams_achiever
post Mar 9 2008, 08:58 PM

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QUOTE(xiang49 @ Mar 9 2008, 08:22 PM)
Thank god i have no stake in equity...tomorrow is def a day where KLCI will down to the drain...time to pile up bullets....you dont get this kind of opp everyday...the last time i check, it was 11 yrs back where Asian Financial Crisis hit us...
*
Hope god bless us all tomorrow.
another 12hours and 3mins to go before Bursa start crashing tomolo..
ahpoh
post Mar 9 2008, 09:16 PM

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i think if market drop till 1k point will be good, reason is more people are able to afford to buy. not like now
and i think the economy cycle is around the corner also
dreamer101
post Mar 9 2008, 09:16 PM

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QUOTE(kinwawa @ Mar 9 2008, 06:28 PM)
pray pray hard that market won't tumble....and tat foreign fund will view the election result positively
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kinwawa,

<<pray pray hard that market won't tumble..>>

1) Why?? I am praying for PANIC selling so that I can buy more PBBank.

2) If you have PBBank, why should you care about the market drop?? You are collecting good dividend every year. Why would you want to sell the stock??

3) Anyone with common sense would know that the stock market will drop eventually. Going up 30% per year for 2 year while the economy is growing slowly. The stock market has to go down to reflect the reality.

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Larrylow
post Mar 9 2008, 09:17 PM

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I predict the the market will plummet for the coming weeks.

As we all now, the oppostion made a major score. Local investors will start to be panic and withdraw and their shares. The same will go to foreign investors due to the uncertainities in our government's policies.

However, it is a wise choice to invest in the stock market. Buy the shares that you have been aiming all these while.
suns8630
post Mar 9 2008, 09:28 PM

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for sure ... those company related to " semi value" will go burst ........

banker will look for them ... in all the holes that they are hiding...
skiddtrader
post Mar 9 2008, 09:53 PM

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My bullets are ready!! rclxms.gif
DJWC
post Mar 9 2008, 10:34 PM

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Hi,

Watch closely for coming weeks. Aim for the stocks that you want if it hit the price that you desire.
Tommorrow will be a exciting days to come. Pheww !! !! !!











Thank You. sweat.gif
chinkw1
post Mar 9 2008, 10:38 PM

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Get ready your $, market will be interesting next week.

Aim at those good fundamental ones, such as Pbbank, good plantations.

GLC sure kena sell off one

DJWC
post Mar 9 2008, 10:42 PM

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Hi,

Anyway.i'm a greenhorn in this area and this forum.
i heard everyone is saying the market is going to drop. which plantation company is good to keep at for dividend?

why GLC " sure kena sell off" ? mind to share?


Thank You.

dreams_achiever
post Mar 9 2008, 11:30 PM

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QUOTE(DJWC @ Mar 9 2008, 10:42 PM)
Hi,

Anyway.i'm a greenhorn in this area and this forum.
i heard everyone is saying the market is going to drop.  which plantation company is good to keep at for dividend?

why GLC " sure kena sell off" ? mind to share? 
Thank You.
*
Previously most of all GLCs(or can i say all of GLCs) are being supported by government investment arms like Khazanah and all the future government projects granted to them. But now, KLCI will free fall. Reasons:
1)GE has over and it turn out bad election results. So Khazanah/government no need to support it anymore.
2)All these corridor projects is taking consideration that they will won 2/3 majority seats.
Now Kedah, Penang, Perak, Selangor, and Kelantan(predicted as it is strong state for PAS) has fallen to opposition party. So northern corridor projects will face difficulty to implement it. Thus future earning prospect for those GLCs being awarded with those projects will be badly affected. So beware for those GLCs company.
GLCs expected to free fall till reached its value price. Expected will rebound when state government have discussion with federal government about these corridor projects.

(note: just my opinion though. Judge by your own)
ronnie
post Mar 10 2008, 09:44 AM

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Stocks will come tumbling down... time to buy for investment hahahaha
SUSDavid83
post Mar 10 2008, 10:58 AM

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Market to react to elections outcome

By KATHY FONG and LOONG TSE MIN

PETALING JAYA: The external shock from the bigger-than-expected job cuts in the US and the uncertainties on public policy direction after the general election are likely to unsettle the stock market sentiment.

Investment analysts and fund managers polled by StarBiz generally concurred that the market would have a knee-jerk reaction to the unprecedented outcome of the general election, with the ruling party Barisan Nasional winning only a simple majority in parliament and losing control of four states.

The knee-jerk reaction was not a sign that the market did not welcome changes in political leaderships, they said.

Some pointed out that it could be a change for the better in terms of transparency and corporate governance when there were stronger opposition parties in the parliament.

"A powerful opposition is a positive development in the longer term, providing some checks and balances for trillion-ringgit government spending," said Aberdeen Asset Management Sdn Bhd managing director Gerald Ambrose. "But in the shorter term, this would be bad for certain stocks that will see a lot of volatility."

He stressed that Aberdeen would continue to hold on to its investments in Malaysia and would not change.

The main concern for the investing community is how the federal government will work with the new state governments on public projects that involve both parties.

"There is no map to guide us now because it has never happened in history before," said MIMB Investment Bank head of equity research Pong Teng Siew.

With the opposition parties gaining control in Penang, Perak, Kedah and Selangor, uncertainties arise on the public contracts that are anticipated to roll out under the Ninth Malaysia Plan (9MP).

Also, there are worries on possible delays of projects that have already been awarded if the state governments decided to review them.

It may be a different ball game now for companies tendering for public jobs. Companies, which are perceived to have the capabilities to secure large-scale projects, may not be in an advantageous position as before.

"It is important to note that the Malaysian states control land matters so construction and property companies may be affected in states like Selangor and Penang," said KSC Capital director of research Choong Khuat Hock.

Choong said construction companies involved in the double-tracking railway project and property companies like SP Setia Bhd, Equine Capital Bhd and E&O Properties Bhd might be affected if there were delays in terms of getting approvals from the state governments.

Among projects that are currently being watched are the double-tracking railway, second Penang bridge, Penang Global City Centre, and Selangor-Pahang interstate water project.

Nonetheless, some analysts said, many of the projects were under the federal government; thus they might not be affected.

On the foreign front, the gloomy picture of the US job market and the worsening defaults in sub-prime mortgages would also rock market sentiment, analysts said.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average dipped 146.7 points or 1.22% to 11,893.7 - a 19-month low.

The US Labour Department announced that 63,000 non-farm jobs were lost in February. This was in contrast to the expectation of 25,000 positions to be added.

JP Morgan said more defaults in sub-prime mortgages were likely. The continued rise in loan defaults would deplete banks' capital and worsen the credit crunch.

Capital Dynamics Asset Management managing director Tan Teng Boo said the change of government was part of being a democratic nation.

"Already the market has to deal with the negative news flow from the US sub-prime loans, and now we are having this surprising poll results, which create uncertainties on public policy direction," Tan noted.

But he said investors should look beyond the knee-jerk reactions. "As long as the rule of law is still intact, the long-term prospects of the local stock market could remain as bright," he added.

URL: http://biz.thestar.com.my/news/story.asp?f...56&sec=business

 

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