Welcome Guest ( Log In | Register )

Outline · [ Standard ] · Linear+

 ICAP, traded price higher than NAV

views
     
yok70
post Aug 1 2012, 07:18 PM

10k Club
********
All Stars
12,698 posts

Joined: Jun 2010
From: kuala lumpur


QUOTE(gark @ Aug 1 2012, 05:25 PM)
Icap is a closed end fund, there will be no dividend until the shareholders argees to dissolve & delist the fund. Those getting for quick gain might be dissapointed and have to wait for the longer term, that is why it is not so popular.  wink.gif


Added on August 1, 2012, 5:31 pm

Last time I bought, the gap is about 37%, once the gap closed off, I have already disposed of the share and made a bundle. Not interested to go in again unless the gap widens once more. For CIMBC25, CIMB acts as market maker, so it is impossible to have a 17% gap. If it does quickly buy as the bank will have to buy back from you at NAV.  tongue.gif
*
Thanks for your input, now i know. So it's ZERO HOPE for icap to one day gives dividend because of the closed end fund nature. notworthy.gif
In past 1 year+, I've been constantly monitoring icap. The gap has been between 22-27%. biggrin.gif

And ya, you are correct. I also constantly monitoring cimbc25, it hardly has a gap more than 1% in everyday closing price. biggrin.gif

yok70
post Aug 6 2012, 10:52 PM

10k Club
********
All Stars
12,698 posts

Joined: Jun 2010
From: kuala lumpur


QUOTE(cherroy @ Aug 6 2012, 10:13 PM)
Even giving out dividend, it may be merely 3-4%. (3-4% is considered high dividend already).

And 1.5% of the 3-4%, just a small sum difference only. If a fund is 300 million, (3% of 300 million mean 9 million. 1.5% of 9 million is only 135k only)

But with the consistency of pay out of dividend (from the dividend received from the fund),
it may change drastically investors confidence and willingness to own the fund, hence may be better pricing for the closed ended fund.
I knew, market price doesn't affect the manager fee, as better market pricing or worst pricing, do not alter the NAV,
but confidence on the fund by investors is invaluable, and open up more opportunity to set up another closed end fund which can attract more investors,
eventually manager can earn more and better off with managing 2 funds or even more.

What's the point of telling an investor, that his/her fund value has increased in paper, yet did not receive any dividend, nor capital appreciation (as there is always discount of market price vs its NAV, current situation).

As minority has only 2 source to earn or make a profit
1. Dividend
2. Capital appreciation through market price.

So if 1) is not available
then only left 2).
If 2) is mis-pricing due to lack of willingness of buyer in the market.

Then what a minority investors can do?
*
Fully agreed. nod.gif
I wish can hear small investors shout out loud in the AGM.
Anyone here attended their AGM before? Did any investor shout out for dividend there? Please share share. notworthy.gif
btw, I finally sold all my Icap today because the paper profit has been too little after holding it for so long. I think 99% able to buyback at lower price if no dividend declared in future. Its price has been on 22-27% discount on NAV in past 2 years, today it's about 23%, so i guess it's already at the high side. Can buy back when it hits 27% range. Besides, F&N and Padini has been surged to sky high now, so there is high possibility of its NAV dropping down in near future. Anynow, i still think TTB is a great investor. So Icap is still one of the most defensive stock to buy and keep long term (to keep at least 5 years and above). But for myself, I only want to keep for 5 years if it pays dividend yield of at least 3%. nod.gif

This post has been edited by yok70: Aug 6 2012, 10:53 PM
yok70
post Aug 17 2012, 07:12 PM

10k Club
********
All Stars
12,698 posts

Joined: Jun 2010
From: kuala lumpur


QUOTE(HJebat @ Aug 17 2012, 09:43 AM)
ICAP's NAV reached RM3.04 but current market price is RM2.30! shocking.gif

Anyone buying or still keeping the bullets dry?
*
when CI bottom and everyone fears that time, and if ICAP got above 26%(past few years discount range is 22%-27%) discount to NAV, then i'll start accumulate it. biggrin.gif
yok70
post Aug 22 2012, 05:12 PM

10k Club
********
All Stars
12,698 posts

Joined: Jun 2010
From: kuala lumpur


QUOTE(kinwing @ Aug 22 2012, 04:16 PM)
So now it's your call that you want to cash out before the liquidation of the fund in year 15...
Is it a 100% sure thing about its liquidation in year 15?
I think Icap listed around end of 2005? So it's already 6.x year now?
So after another 9 year+, it will be 100% sure to be liquidated?
notworthy.gif
yok70
post Nov 8 2012, 12:41 PM

10k Club
********
All Stars
12,698 posts

Joined: Jun 2010
From: kuala lumpur


QUOTE(kinwing @ Nov 8 2012, 10:27 AM)
The fund manager Capital Dynamics' formal reply to Laxey Partner.
*
Thanks for sharing! rclxms.gif

The management fees part, TTB posted a graph that clearly showed the "overly high increment" on their fees. I thought he was debating? Is he too old already?? rclxub.gif

And TTB said share buyback and dividend issue were extensively discussed in past AGMs. I doubt most investors agree to NOT pay dividend. I highly doubted that. I bet just the MAJOR shareholders(in shares) who rejected that, not the MAJORITY shareholders(in numbers). cool2.gif

This post has been edited by yok70: Nov 8 2012, 12:48 PM
yok70
post Nov 12 2012, 12:39 PM

10k Club
********
All Stars
12,698 posts

Joined: Jun 2010
From: kuala lumpur


The reported recent NAV of 2.96 is inclusive of cash it is holding? notworthy.gif

My wild guess is, it may drop back to the price of 2.25 before recent surge triggered by speculation of early liquidity. laugh.gif
yok70
post Nov 19 2012, 04:04 PM

10k Club
********
All Stars
12,698 posts

Joined: Jun 2010
From: kuala lumpur


QUOTE(firee818 @ Nov 19 2012, 02:13 PM)
Indeed,  the manager of ABC has considered to purchase its own shares if the difference between  its market price and NTA by 40% of its NTA. i.e. if NTA=RM 3.00, then the target price is about RM 1.80.
If 40% discount to NAV, I'll buy, no question ask. biggrin.gif

yok70
post Nov 19 2012, 09:31 PM

10k Club
********
All Stars
12,698 posts

Joined: Jun 2010
From: kuala lumpur


China companies listed in Bursa all kena whacked. From PE 6-8x all the way to PE 1-2x. Some even trading at below its net cash.
I found some similarity on icap with these China companies.
Growing NAV with little or no dividend, and little or no care for shareholders.

The following was written by CIMB regarding Xinquan after many quarters waiting for generous dividend or some kind of "action" taken.

"We are frustrated that Xingquan has taken no steps to enhance shareholder value. Management says that it needs its cash pile for future capex and working capital. We argue that it is not doing enough for
shareholders. "


hmm.gif

This post has been edited by yok70: Nov 19 2012, 09:33 PM


Attached File(s)
Attached File  Xinquan_cimb_161112.pdf ( 594.95k ) Number of downloads: 19
yok70
post Jul 4 2013, 07:02 AM

10k Club
********
All Stars
12,698 posts

Joined: Jun 2010
From: kuala lumpur


QUOTE(davinz18 @ Jul 2 2013, 06:16 PM)
iCapital.biz earnings jumps to RM47mil

iCapital.biz Bhd’s net profit for its fourth quarter jumped to RM47.12mil from RM1.7mil a year ago due to profit on disposal of securities and higher revenue.

Its revenue increased to RM49mil from RM4.5mil a year ago. Earnings per share were 33.66 sen compared to 1.22 sen a year ago.

For its full year, the group posted a net profit of RM56.8mil from RM15.7mil a year ago. Its full year’s revenue stood at RM65.9mil compared to RM24.8mil a year ago.

“As the company is a closed-end fund, a better indication of its performance would be the movement of its Net Assets Value (NAV). The NAV per share as at May 31, 2013 was RM2.99, compared with NAV per share of RM2.86 as at May 31, 2012,” it said.
*
2.99 vs 2.86 = 4.54% upside for 1 year. This is rather bad performance for the year, I bet many forumers outperformed it largely.
However, icap is holding almost 50% cash now, which make it quite defensive in a way heading towards uncertainties of QE exit risk.
nod.gif


yok70
post Aug 2 2013, 01:20 AM

10k Club
********
All Stars
12,698 posts

Joined: Jun 2010
From: kuala lumpur


QUOTE(0932 @ Aug 2 2013, 12:57 AM)
Haha. I had sold off 80% of my iCap shares after holding for 5 years. I have to say I only manage to gain a little after holding for so long.

Reason Of selling is because ttb doesn't seem to be interested to invest in klse. Therefore I will only wait until he starts buying only I will act.

If you read his weekly Msian stock analysis. I can safely said 70% of them is buy at a price below the market price and the remaining 30% is hold. Haha. So there is nothing to buy. Eh sorry. There is one stock he recommends to buy, icapital. Haha
*
icap only discount 19%, holding mostly midcap, so not consider cheap loh for midcap valuation. Now there are lots of midcaps trading at above 30% discount to FV.
ttb is just too conservative and too lazy to deal with icap malaysia. His holding has been minimum movement for more than 3 years now, still wait for another 5 years until world economy stabilize only want to make big move?
the cash holding is now above 50% is it?
however, for those who "do not like to loss money", icap seems like a good choice. it's quite hard to loss money i think after monitoring its NAV movement vs market up/down.
hmm.gif

This post has been edited by yok70: Aug 2 2013, 01:21 AM
yok70
post Aug 18 2013, 07:53 PM

10k Club
********
All Stars
12,698 posts

Joined: Jun 2010
From: kuala lumpur


QUOTE(blackking87 @ Aug 15 2013, 11:31 PM)
Icaps discount is based on the market price of the security. It's true that a lot of midcaps are trading at a discount towards their book value, but ICAP's discount is not based on book value, but on market share.

Correct me if im wrong
*
The stocks that icap currently holding are not trading at low PE.
I'd 11 stocks that icap holding on my list, the PE are 33, 24, 19, 15, 14, 13, 12, 11, 10, 9 and net loss (MSC).
none of them are close to average small-mid cap stocks at 6-8x.
cool2.gif
yok70
post Aug 19 2013, 03:17 AM

10k Club
********
All Stars
12,698 posts

Joined: Jun 2010
From: kuala lumpur


QUOTE(wil-i-am @ Aug 18 2013, 09:20 PM)
Out of d 11 stocks, keen on Parkson.
Any comments?
*
Its foreign assets do not look good in near future, most probably stay flat if not negative. Competition is tough. As in local, I see Parkson has been improving particularly in recent 1 year, I see more visitors. Still, it's never the #1 for most people, isn't it? People prefer Jusco much more. Valuation is not cheap too, dividend has been quite steady. For me, I'm not buying. I still holding 18 shares though, that was from shares dividend. I might just hold this 18 shares for another 20 years. biggrin.gif

This post has been edited by yok70: Aug 19 2013, 03:19 AM
yok70
post Aug 19 2013, 03:36 PM

10k Club
********
All Stars
12,698 posts

Joined: Jun 2010
From: kuala lumpur


QUOTE(yhtan @ Aug 19 2013, 11:39 AM)
For the bold part, it only applicable for Malaysia market. AFAIK, mainland chinese still view Parkson as high class shopping mall
*
check this out. cool2.gif

http://www.theedgemalaysia.com/business-ne...t-research.html



This post has been edited by yok70: Aug 19 2013, 04:37 PM


Attached File(s)
Attached File  parkson_retail_hk_160813.pdf ( 561.56k ) Number of downloads: 18
yok70
post Aug 27 2013, 03:04 AM

10k Club
********
All Stars
12,698 posts

Joined: Jun 2010
From: kuala lumpur


QUOTE(prophetjul @ Aug 26 2013, 08:31 AM)
whatta writeup!  thumbup.gif 

NOW EVERYONE CAN be a FUN manager!    rclxms.gif
*
everyone can be a fun manager?! are you kidding?
how many of us able to earn 200% in 8 years time (its NAV from 1.00 to 2.97 today)? I highly doubt there could be many. If 1% of forumers here can achieve that, I already super surprise.
hmm.gif
yok70
post Aug 28 2013, 05:16 AM

10k Club
********
All Stars
12,698 posts

Joined: Jun 2010
From: kuala lumpur


QUOTE(prophetjul @ Aug 27 2013, 12:23 PM)
I understand that TTB has to eat and drive his porsches.

However to make wild statements of growth and yet sitting on his rear end doing not much AND collecting his fees is rather
ummmm ......obscene.

I think someone has suggested to liquidate and realise the NAV. But TTB refused, no?
*
not only TTB refuse, those minority shareholders also refused. They all share the same view: long term investment.
so those who buy this icap should be prepare for long term holding power, otherwise don't even touch it at all. tongue.gif

yok70
post Aug 28 2013, 05:21 AM

10k Club
********
All Stars
12,698 posts

Joined: Jun 2010
From: kuala lumpur


QUOTE(prophetjul @ Aug 27 2013, 09:59 AM)
Can you sell at the NAV?    biggrin.gif
*
Why sell? In fact, I only use spare cash to buy stocks. These cash I prepare not using them for at least 10 years also no problem. biggrin.gif
Just buy back my 1st batch of icap at 2.35 today, waiting for gross dividend 9.5 sen coming soon. (I sold all my icap last time at 2.33)

yok70
post Oct 30 2013, 03:14 AM

10k Club
********
All Stars
12,698 posts

Joined: Jun 2010
From: kuala lumpur


QUOTE(yhtan @ Oct 30 2013, 12:34 AM)
Let's see how it perform (NAV) after 2008 crisis, let's compare 09 and 10 to the latest one.

1st Jan 2009 NAV - RM1.57 per share
1st Jan 2010 NAV - RM1.99 per share
23rd Oct 2013 NAV - RM2.94 per share

CAGR since year 2009 - 13.37%
CAGR since year 2010 - 10.25%
iCap share price comparison since year 2009 and 2010.

2nd Jan 2009 Share price - RM1.41
4th Jan 2010 Share price - RM1.78
23rd Oct 2013 Share price - RM2.36

CAGR since year 2009 - 10.85%
CAGR since year 2010 - 7.3%

Now does everyone has a clear picture now? icon_rolleyes.gif
*
thanks for your summary. notworthy.gif

and i still believe to look at its NAV instead of share price.
we buy undervalued stock not based on TA but on intrinsic value, which is much more closer concept to a fund's NAV instead of its share price.
if one prefer trend trading based on TA, then they should not look at undervalued stocks because those stocks may stay undervalued for years or even decades.
many many people just unable to get a clear mindset. they just mix things up and not realizing it.
to buy and hold any undervalued stock has one common risk: he may earn nothing if the stock continues to be undervalued. If he doesn't know this risk, he better learn and know it well.
same thing goes to trend traders. One common risk is that TA graph is always ambiguous. When you bet on uptrend, it may turns out to be reversal trend afterwards. We can easily spot different IBs got different calls (one say buy, the other say sell, very common). This is the risk on TA play.

know your risk and trade accordingly.
enjoy the game! biggrin.gif

yok70
post Oct 31 2013, 03:27 AM

10k Club
********
All Stars
12,698 posts

Joined: Jun 2010
From: kuala lumpur


QUOTE(yhtan @ Oct 30 2013, 11:01 AM)
IMO, losing to index is unacceptable for me sweat.gif

An investor can easily achieve higher than that.
*
as far as i know, only less than 5% investors in the world actually making profit in long run.
and our KLCI index up 100-200% in the past 10 to 15 years.
so if they able to match the index performance, meaning most investors should be making profit?.... hmm.gif

This post has been edited by yok70: Oct 31 2013, 03:37 AM
yok70
post Oct 31 2013, 09:01 PM

10k Club
********
All Stars
12,698 posts

Joined: Jun 2010
From: kuala lumpur


-

This post has been edited by yok70: Oct 31 2013, 09:23 PM
yok70
post Jun 6 2014, 05:03 PM

10k Club
********
All Stars
12,698 posts

Joined: Jun 2010
From: kuala lumpur


QUOTE(HJebat @ Jun 5 2014, 10:45 PM)
Hopefully TTB can provide some insight into the proposed dual-listed global fund during the 10th AGM.

Would like to know how the plan would narrow the discount gap between ICAP's price & its NAV.
*
dual listed may help, or may not help. Still, it's all depend on market. Market decide share price. A stock can trade at 90% discount to NAV if market look at it that way (either by ignoring it or negative perspective on its future or disappointed on its management or....something). laugh.gif

2 Pages  1 2 >Top
 

Change to:
| Lo-Fi Version
0.0261sec    0.96    7 queries    GZIP Disabled
Time is now: 17th December 2025 - 09:14 PM