QUOTE(hpcp @ Apr 1 2011, 12:01 AM)
I think I have explained that... From Moo's bearishness of the market by posting plenty pessimistic postings (double dip, outflow of fund, dry bulk index etc) which market has proven he was totally wrong.
Well... I am not saying 100% but what you and Moo said could be wrong. As we know a fund, may have limited capital. When a fund sells certain stocks, it does NOT mean the counter is not good, but due to limited fund available, the fund has to sell to buy more potential counters... If you do follow Insider Asia Portfolio closely, it is very common to see the Insider Asia sold some stocks when they feel the business prospect of stock is still intact and there should not be huh hah about this.
I don't see any problem selling stocks with buy calls.... It is only a problem when the fund buying those will sell call.
Added on April 1, 2011, 12:06 amThe very fundamental, the first chapter of "economy" talks about limited resources... We want everything, but we have limited resource... and therefore we need to utilise the resources wisely...
When there are many good counters to buy, we focus on those top ones... So what's wrong if the fund is switching for more potential stocks?
Well, we can't judge someone vis-a-vis another person by just looking at one limited sample of one economic event. In fact, Moolah views is shared by and still shared by a lot of smart hedge fund managers-among them Klarman which Buffett said if he were ever to retire, Klarman would be one of them that he would have chosen to manage his money.
It is absolutely fine that ICapital sell stock to rebalance the portfolio. What is not fine is that, you are doing the opposite thing that you are advising. As stated on the link, he sold off the entire position in some stocks while recommending a hold on his newsletter. Given his fine record, which I do not doubt as it is quite impressive (but certainly not the top 5 in the world as he claims, there are a few equally good or better manager even in Asia itself), a lot of people rely on his recommendation. If he were to put a sell call on the stock at the same time that he is selling, don't you think that he would have to dispose his shares at a lower price given other of his followers are selling? Wouldn't that affect his good record? Wouldn't this lower the NAV of his shares thus his management fees? Would it be fair to the people that rely on his newsletter for advise to receive this sort of treatment?
If TTB feels that the stock is already not worth to hold on to in his funds and sell all his holdings, he should do the same too on his newsletter and recommend a sell rather than a hold. He should direct his newsletter reader to his highest conviction picks. By not recommending a sell on the stock he has sold and not directing the readers to his highest conviction pick, he is (i) making his exit price higher due to the lack of seller and (ii) making his entry price lower due to the lack of buyers. Isn't (i) and (ii) the main gripe of fundmental investors against quant funds as they are front running other investors?
There is a reason why there is a "China Wall" between the fund management industry and the equity research industry, it is to prevent this sort of conflict from happening.
As usual, your view may be different...