QUOTE(cherroy @ Jan 28 2008, 03:00 PM)
It is a simple profit locking, just like you have bought a share at let say 5.00, fundamentally we know it max worth around let say 8.00, but due to the fact, no one knows where is the highest point that it can go in a bull market as sentiment took over the fundamental part in a hot market, we keep the shares and let it run in the bull market.
But we apply a 10% correction profit locking aka as long as the share doesn't drop below 10% from its peak, we keep it. Only when it drop over this line/target then we sell it. In this way you will see the peak but won't sell at the peak.
Just like like above case, instead you sell at 8.00 because you think it worth 8.00 only as your TP, in bull market it goes up more to 10, but you still keep it, but only it drop back to 9.00, you sell it. In this way you protect your profit while earning 1.00 more compare to a target set previously. If it drop to 9.50 then goes up to 12.00 then you still keep it, then set the locking price at 12.00 - 1.20 = 10.80.
In this way, you will avoid (although not 100%) sell too early, you sell it late but not at the peak. As through my experience, it is pointless to find the peak of the market or share price, you just can know market is toppish but cannot predict the exactly when is the peak, but roughly is considered very good already.
It is not a foolproof strategy, only good sometimes especially in the up or bull market, it can go wrong if market swing too volatile which trigger and affect this kind of strategy.
So judge your own, there is no foolproof strategy in the market.
Yes, this is the same strategy I use also.
Actually cherroy, to add on to that, as long as you use this strategy, regardles of whatever market, it will work.
You pointed out that it might give affect the strategy when market is volatile, but actually the effect is you will earn less only.
For example, let's say from top price of 2.00 falls to 1.80 (your profit lock price), you sell it off, and then suddenly the stock jump back to 2.10. So what you miss is further upside but no matter what, you still gain.
For me, as long as you are earning, don't worry, there are always next chances to come....
And also one more thing, to echo what you said, an intelligent investor never look for the so called 'bottomest' bottom or the 'toppest' top, coz that's not possible. When you try to do that ,greed comes into picture and you will lose your discipline...