QUOTE(hk_loo @ Mar 28 2012, 11:41 AM)
kinda agree, current price kinda pricey, make a calculation 1st before position in.
make some simple calculation
let say you have 100 lots of tdm at 4.8
total investment = rm48++k
so 100 lots, you get rm1.8k gross
but if you put in FD with current rate, some bank can give up to 4, 48k x 4 = rm1920
Actually it's not really accurate to calculate as such because most of the time, the 'good' dividend counters are normally priced in for future dividends. make some simple calculation
let say you have 100 lots of tdm at 4.8
total investment = rm48++k
so 100 lots, you get rm1.8k gross
but if you put in FD with current rate, some bank can give up to 4, 48k x 4 = rm1920
This is because the market is confident of its ability to pay dividends and also its growth prospects.
For instance in regards to FD, you would have to put the sum in April 2011 in order to see the interest payment in April 2012. And you have to be 'in' the FD to earn the dividends. Where as for stocks, you don't have to be commited for the entire year. You can be an investor for a day and still be eligible for the dividend. Thus the opportunity costs of FD is higher for people who have funds to invest.
In regards to TDM, currently priced ar RM4.73. Buying now for the dividend to be paid this year (May 2012), doesn't seem very lucrative in terms of yield. But if compared to FD, it is still better. Because in April 2011, TDM is only priced < RM3.00. If the same amount is used to buy TDM or put in FD, and the sum is 'locked in' for the entire year, the FD will nett you 3.25% this year. But TDM will nett you >57% including capital gains and dividends.
I quoted this example because stocks unlike FD has the ability to grow (and shrink!). Thus it is more important to judge a dividend stock not by it's immediate yield (Current prices vs dividend), but rather the growth prospects of it's business in the future which will naturally affects the dividend. And for FD, you would have to 'earn' the dividend by being locked in. Only comparable if using data for the stock from the same time the FD is locked in.
So if you think you spotted a dividend stock by it's dividend history, check the growth of the EPS as well. Is their business expanding, are they growing, are they healthy in terms of cash generation etc?
Apr 3 2012, 11:29 AM

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