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 Bond kaki lai, DRB HICOM bond coming

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Wedchar2912
post Mar 3 2024, 03:21 PM

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QUOTE(contestchris @ Mar 3 2024, 03:06 PM)
Yes it's part of the feature but it doesn't inspire confidence in the credit capacity of the company, who in their right mind will pay 9% coupon on a perp when they can get long term credit from banks at 6%?

So much bullshit from some people.

Like I said, I spoke with the guys doing the rating of Trooicana sukuk at MARC, they confirmed that not redeeming the bond at the call date is going to be viewed as credit negative.

It's specifically the step up nature of the perp that makes it credit negative to not exercise the redemption.
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Not calling can be viewed as credit negative, but it is not a bankruptcy event.
the credit rating is only a concern to the issuer if they wish to tap the credit market again...

the main shareholders usually would want to receive div, so usually they will inform the management to do the right thing. But in Malaysia, sometimes the main shareholders have ulterior motives.
(plus sneaky... for FY2023, tropicana posted loss... so they already don't plan to give dividend rite? last div was 2020)

I suspect the bank's credit at 6% is arrived due to some collaterals posted or some other surety. the collateral could be that land purchased itself.

This post has been edited by Wedchar2912: Mar 3 2024, 03:26 PM
Wedchar2912
post Mar 3 2024, 06:24 PM

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QUOTE(BWassup @ Mar 3 2024, 05:54 PM)
What about Tropicana issuing another sukuk to refinance the one callable in September 2024? If there is demand, wouldn't they be able to do that at below 9% (+ 1% each subsequent year it is not called) on secured basis?

On the possibility of Tropicana deferring future expected distributions, are they allowed to defer them indefinitely, in which case, it could become a rolling snowball which may never be paid? Weird. Their credit standing would plummet.
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this is what firms usually do... so called rolling their debts... it is everyone's guess why IB didn't tell them to do so?

also, i did mention previously... don't know if this perp has cumulative deferral feature... need the bond holders to check the mandate.

(I don't have bonds in my portfolio, so just discussing for discussion sake)

This post has been edited by Wedchar2912: Mar 3 2024, 06:33 PM
Wedchar2912
post Mar 6 2024, 03:08 PM

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QUOTE(BWassup @ Mar 6 2024, 10:25 AM)
I also like higher coupon, provided they pay.

Unfortunately, it seems that under the terms, if they don't pay the coupons, they will just accumulate, and we cannot do anything about it. That would not be a good situation.
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so confirm this bond has cumulative deferral feature? if yes, then i would say there is lesser worry. As long as the firm is a going concern, then just let the interest accumulate... smile.gif
Wedchar2912
post Mar 6 2024, 03:24 PM

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QUOTE(BWassup @ Mar 6 2024, 03:18 PM)
From the Terms (can fall asleep reading lol):

(h) Optional Deferral of
Distribution

: The Issuer, at its sole discretion, provided that no
Compulsory Periodic Distribution Payment Event
has occurred, may opt to defer payment (in whole
or in part) of the Expected Periodic Distribution
Amount which is otherwise scheduled to be paid on
a Periodic Distribution Date, to the next Periodic
Distribution Date by giving an optional deferral
notice in writing ("Optional Deferral Notice")
signed by the Issuer provided that such notice shall
be given no earlier than fifteen (15) business days
nor less than five (5) business days prior to the
relevant Periodic Distribution Date, to the Facility
Agent and the Sukuk Trustee (for and on behalf of
the Sukukholders).

The Issuer may at its sole discretion, elect to further
defer any outstanding Arrears of Deferred Periodic
Distribution by complying with the foregoing notice
requirement. The Issuer is not subject to any limit
as to the number of times the Expected Periodic
Distribution Amount and the Arrears of Deferred
Periodic Distribution can be deferred except that the
provisions on the Dividend and Capital Stopper (as
defined in the section entitled Other terms and
conditions – Dividend and Capital Stopper) shall be
complied with until all outstanding Arrears of
Deferred Periodic Distribution have been paid in
full.
....
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really can sleep.... actually making me sleepy already and its time for afternoon nap... tongue.gif

looks like no need to worry too much... if believe the firm will remaining alive, then should buy more... brows.gif
(just kidding... all should make own evaluation of what to invest)

Wedchar2912
post Mar 6 2024, 08:02 PM

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QUOTE(guy3288 @ Mar 6 2024, 06:00 PM)
that long clause really need you guys to read and help explain

Correct me if I am wrong
1)Tropicana no money can defer  paying  the dividends
2)can defer paying  us dividend again and again repeatedly?

So if Tropicana is allowed by that clause to do above,
habislah kita, no call back and no dividend!

Unless it says  coupon deferrements accumulated later
must pay back all dividends owed to us...

adakah like that?
, later on still must pay back our accumulated deferred dividends?
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yeah, what you mentioned is pretty much what I understand.

The issuer can practically keep on deferring the coupon payments as long as they like, even when they are awash with cash. The saving grace is that the shareholders will not get any dividends, so the shareholders will be also on this sukuk's side if the shareholders wish to receive dividends.

of course should find the actual definition of "Dividend and Capital Stopper" in the documents.

(there is also the headache of bankruptcy laws, which is way beyond what I know... Chapter 11 type in america... whether malaysia got something like this)
Wedchar2912
post Mar 20 2024, 04:55 PM

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QUOTE(BWassup @ Mar 20 2024, 04:22 PM)
Latest trade this morning:

20-Mar-2024 09:04:06 AM 0.25 100.08 6.84 21-Mar-2024

Above par  biggrin.gif
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have to read the transaction list properly... there are 2 transactions in the morning... just minutes apart...

suspect a intermediary basically had a client standby to offload the bond from another client.
Wedchar2912
post Mar 26 2024, 05:49 PM

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QUOTE(Cubalagi @ Mar 26 2024, 04:55 PM)
Default? 🤔
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wont be so fast... all bond payments are given a grace period to pay the interest due...

Wedchar2912
post Jun 5 2024, 02:48 PM

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QUOTE(guy3288 @ Jun 5 2024, 02:16 PM)
you sell in open market meaning.......? you sold it clicking it online your own
no need go through your RM?
I was asking have you any experience
buy bond from 1 bank then  sell it at another bank?

since bond prices differ from 1 bank  to another
it would be nice if  i buy from lower prices bank then sell it at higher prices bank
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u can read back my old post (post #38) to help you understand bonds better. Its [edit: ok, should not have said near impossible... but it is damn troublesome... same like transferring USD from cimb to say hsbc) and some banks may not even offer such services.


QUOTE(Wedchar2912 @ Jul 30 2023, 10:12 PM)
...
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This post has been edited by Wedchar2912: Jun 5 2024, 02:52 PM
Wedchar2912
post Jun 7 2024, 09:20 PM

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QUOTE(guy3288 @ Jun 7 2024, 09:04 PM)
you have forgotten what your bond insider said earlier?
PS
Dont worry bro
not meant to scare you..
i bought even riskier bond than that
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??? hksgmy is talking about apple, you are talking about... i don't know what.

apple here is issuer. go back to read properly whose reputation I am referring to. you should not simply claim things I never said.


Wedchar2912
post Jun 7 2024, 11:16 PM

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QUOTE(guy3288 @ Jun 7 2024, 11:08 PM)
whoa bro

say what you mean and mean what you say.

here is what i said when i defended CIMB bankers, the bank

i argued you  becos i dont agree with you that bankers can simply
manipulate bond prices they like, simply push up another RNM5 also can you claimed.
i said they need keep reputation, you rebutted No!
as if you know them better than me.
see what you said here. Responding to my post above, who else could you meant to say
dont value reputation?? Not bankers CIMB?
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hksgmy is talking about HSBC being the issuer, and hence the reputation of HSBC as the issuer.

You defending CIMB about their reputation is what reputation? reputation as entity selling you products is almost of no value... its like a hospital charging you 30rm for 1 strip of paracetamol.

Both yourself and hksgmy can refute if what I mention here is off or not relevant to your discussion. not understanding the difference between issuer and sales platform is ...


This post has been edited by Wedchar2912: Jun 7 2024, 11:21 PM
Wedchar2912
post Jun 7 2024, 11:47 PM

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QUOTE(guy3288 @ Jun 7 2024, 11:32 PM)
bro dont forget people reading  in here are not all stupid

Are you saying:

1)a bank needs reputation only when it is selling its own bond?

2)When the bank is selling others bond , it dont need reputation?
can simply hantam and manipulate bond prices?

i wonder how many people in here  agree with that.

what say you? @hksgmy and @joeblow
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ok... looks like you still like to claim things.

i will no longer entertain your silliness ... and I hope I remember it moving forward.

All best with your bond investments! rclxms.gif
Wedchar2912
post Jun 8 2024, 12:59 AM

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QUOTE(hksgmy @ Jun 8 2024, 12:53 AM)
Eh eh, don’t lah drag me into this bro… I was merely sharing good news and suddenly I find myself in the crossfire…
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Sometimes, it may not be a good thing to be too kind in sharing info.

Like I wonder if one fine day, I come to you and said a friend of mine needed to do a bypass, can you do it? Simple procedure rite? A B and C only mah. The patient sign doc, go to sleep and tomorrow wake up. Lol. U r a doctor you know. Haha.

Just have to tease you smile.gif
Wedchar2912
post Jun 9 2024, 12:08 PM

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Eh. I didn't know that post was reported by someone who noticed how silly you are TS.
Although I did say I am ignoring you, do allow me to report that exact post one more time to make a point.

So aggressive to show so little knowledge you have. Scary behavior. But it does make a good read on how much retail buyers know. lol

This post has been edited by Wedchar2912: Jun 9 2024, 01:19 PM
Wedchar2912
post Jun 9 2024, 04:09 PM

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QUOTE(guy3288 @ Jun 9 2024, 04:06 PM)
embarrassed and angry
he has shown his true color

is that a response from someone intelligent?

you got a lot to learn from hksg
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u still don't get my point ar? somehow I have the feeling that I am trying to educate a petulant kid.

u go try to report the same post twice and see if u can do it. go and try.

really need to stop taking your bait to respond... no way I will educate you further...
Wedchar2912
post Jun 9 2024, 04:12 PM

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QUOTE(hksgmy @ Jun 9 2024, 10:56 AM)
I still can’t get over the blatant money grab as per your example above… it’s an IPO bond, and they are already charging a RM2 margin from the get go…. Crazy!
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bro, at least now this chap claim you are the smart one as above replies... while earlier he claimed u been lying too on some of your replies.... haha.

don't worry bro... 2 bucks is cheap for some people who makes millions with his properties all giving return of tens of % yield... lol.
Wedchar2912
post Sep 13 2024, 09:49 PM

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QUOTE(rankiba @ Sep 13 2024, 09:24 PM)
I thought bond subscribers are sophisticated investors?

I worked at GS/JPM/CC and recently thought of retiring back to MY so let me just ask some questions:

Ya'll do know that callable is an OPTION for the ISSUER right?  doh.gif This means Tropicana can choose to call back or not call back the bonds.

When ya'll bought the perp bond, the maturity date is 2119, 100 years from 2019, you know you basically agreed to borrow money to Tropicana for 100 years, right?  doh.gif

If ya'll already know and prepared to borrow money to Tropicana for 100 years why some people are saying things like "We are but small fish in a big pond. The high and mighty have crafty ways to escape things that us little men have no avenue for!" when YOU MADE YOUR OWN DECISIONS? There is no invisible hand or power at play here. Issuer is within their rights to not call back the bond at all.

This exchange offer isn't that bad at all from what I read, more protection (senior sukuk), lower interest (which benefits Tropicana but hurt old owners), yes the callable is few more years down the road, but remember what I said? Callable means that it's an option for issuer, not an obligation, their obligation is to redeem the bonds by YEAR 2119.
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this is actually a corporate debt restructuring exercise. key tell-tale sign is the need to get 75% debt holders agreement and usually the firm would already spoken to the institutions about this restructuring. "retail" bond holders usually just follow what the major debt holders of that tranche decide.

btw, what firm is CC? China Construction?
Wedchar2912
post Sep 13 2024, 10:17 PM

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QUOTE(hksgmy @ Sep 13 2024, 10:08 PM)
Citi? Chase?
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usually citi is just citi... short enough...

chase guys, at least those young ones, would say they are JP or JPM nowadays... name more harum... smile.gif

 

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