QUOTE(privatequity @ Sep 12 2024, 06:34 PM)
i think the huge strengthening of MYR has caught ppl by surprises too. I agree many are quite pessimistic towards MY's outlook and MYR, but every country has their own problem, and a lot of things the citizens can complain, and sometimes we get biased believing other currencies is better than MYR.
I've no idea if MYR will perform better, worse against other currencies in the long term (above 2 years), macroeconomy is hard to be predicted (hence more ppl lose $ in forex than earning by speculating macro). But i wouldn't be so sure on MYR will definitely perform weaker than other currencies.
Also in the market, a lot the publicly info (including good n bad things) have priced in. So even a country performs badly, but yet better than expectation (ppl has worse expectation), their currency may strengthen as a result.
Happy to hear if any others have better views/opinions on MYR is very very much likely perform worse hence we shall convert as much as possible to other currency.
no surprises for me... one must understand the movements of myr vs usd n sgd, the reason for the interest rate differentials... then you know if it is sustainable for long term or is only a short/medium term effect...
i've mentioned maybe a year or two ago already... myr will strengthen when us cut rates... i was looking into buying yen also... and also swapping usd for sgd... anyways didn't do anything...
imho... for the long term, sgd will outperform myr... not so sure about usd, hence why i wanna swap some usd for sgd...
y'all should remember... myr strengthen to 3.1 against usd before going down hill due to the 1mdb fiasco... we got potential, but the set back is very serious, recovery very slow... us elections will see some volatility...
as to whether to continue moving money out... as long as you put your usd or sgd to good use, generating higher value than locally possible, continue lor... just remember to factor in round trip fees...