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 Bogleheads Local Chapter [Malaysia Edisi]

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Cubalagi
post May 10 2022, 03:25 PM

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QUOTE(naranjero @ May 9 2022, 12:30 PM)
Hello all Boglehead sifu here notworthy.gif

What are the effective method to prepare for next economic crisis/stock market crash? Asking for more general in a very long term, anything possible to happen will happen, consider it already happened many time in history.

-considering events like 1997 or 2008 crisis, global index drawdown could be >50% and take years to recover. Holding a fully diversified equity portfolio might hardly avoid that.
-deliberate allocation to gold, US treasury or other kind of asset particularly useful for crashes
-always have some dry powder ready
-"I can smell it before stock market crashes!"
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Depends on what you are prepping for:

Financial crisis: USD, Treasuries

Stagflation: Gold, Commodities

Recession/Deflation : USD, Treasuries

It's not enough to be have a fully diversified equities portfolio to protect vs a massive drawdown, you need diversification across asset classes.

I'm not a Boglehead n I actively manage my portfolio allocation across these asset classes.


Cubalagi
post May 12 2022, 07:59 AM

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QUOTE(AthrunIJ @ May 11 2022, 11:05 PM)
Interesting.

Wondering if it has an Irish counterpart. Time to look further 👀
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The witholding tax on dividends for US ETF is a problem. It applies to even bond and money market ETFs.

Personally I use Singapore government bond ETF (abfsg) as an alternative to US Treasuries. There are also Money Market ETFs in SGX and HK.

Cubalagi
post May 12 2022, 08:21 AM

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QUOTE(AthrunIJ @ May 12 2022, 08:04 AM)
Also interesting. Will look into it.

Thanks!!
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You can also look at UUP ETF as another alternative for USD exposure.

This is not a Money Market ETF, but rather a Futures Contracts based ETF. So it has no distribution. Fees are on a high side, but it performance is good.

P/S I will be a bit cautious to start piling into USD now, considering it's at such high levels.

This post has been edited by Cubalagi: May 12 2022, 08:22 AM
Cubalagi
post May 12 2022, 12:29 PM

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QUOTE(AthrunIJ @ May 12 2022, 08:56 AM)

I need to read up more on the future contracts. Seems like risky investment? Based on my limited understanding haha.

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Futures contract can be a bit risky if u DIY them yourself.

For ETF, it's the ETF manager doing it. The more risky ones are those leveraged 2x or 3x ones. If it's unleveraged, then should be fine. But fees are usually higher than simple physical ETFs.

Cubalagi
post May 12 2022, 12:46 PM

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QUOTE(Hoshiyuu @ May 12 2022, 12:40 PM)
Sweet unholy god what is all this perverted talk in a Bogleheads thread?
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Sorry for the heresy talk. 😆

Please continue DCA VWRA discussion ..

Cubalagi
post May 12 2022, 05:29 PM

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QUOTE(Hoshiyuu @ May 12 2022, 12:49 PM)
Hahaha, time has changed a lot since I've asked for your advice regarding Bursa listed ETF and China ETF back in Feb 2021, I am an honest-to-god non sector picking total market investor now  tongue.gif
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Good to know u have embraced ETFs! The total market thing is a respectable approach. Historically, pretty hard to beat.

If u r 100% equities, you have to learn to live with the volatility tho.

I'm still using both single stocks n ETFs (and some unit trust), jump around between asset classes, sectors etc..very UnBoglehead.

Current allocation* is:
35% Treasuries
20% Currencies
10% Gold
35% Equities

* Approximate



Cubalagi
post May 14 2022, 03:39 PM

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QUOTE(thkent91 @ May 13 2022, 02:00 PM)
Count me in.

I'm also onboard ETF via Rakuten Trade.

Started Investing in Bursa since 2012, although return has been nice, I am beginning to lose hope in Malaysia Economy

Loading the few ETF into my portfolio slowly:
1. ICLN Nasdaq
2. LIT Nasdaq
3. HYDR Nasdaq
4. TAN Nasdaq
5. 2809.HK

I'm going heavy on alternative energy, because the price of energy will not drop so soon. Everybody needs energy. Oil and Gas difficult to get funding from financial institution leads to higher price of production
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If this is all your portfolio, then you are too concentrated.

Cubalagi
post Jun 1 2022, 12:38 PM

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QUOTE(CoastFireSoon @ Jun 1 2022, 10:12 AM)

I got a question for all of you - in your equities portion of your portfolio, are you all 100% foreign equities (US & world), or do you have a mix of M'sian and foreign equities in your portfolio? If I have a choice I want to keep my Malaysian equities to just 10% of my portfolio cos I have no confidence with the Malaysian economy.
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I have Malaysian single stock names as part of my equities portion. I limit it to not more than 30% of my portfolio, at max. Currently at about 15% as I'm defensive as a whole (not just Malaysia).

P/S Not a true Bogglehead.

Cubalagi
post Jun 3 2022, 03:37 PM

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This is how I sort my portfolio:

I have a big category called Financial Assets. Under that there is:

1. Everyday banking: this is the savings account where celery comes in and go out.

2. Emergency Fund. I prefer to dump mine into a Mortgage Flexi Account.

3. EPF: this is the mandatory and can't be adjusted, but I'm in the category of eligible to withdraw. If a really bad bear market comes, I will withdraw and put in 4 (below). But otherwise, I don't touch this.

4. Investment portfolio: This is where the rest is. Stocks, ETF, Bonds, MMF, Funds, Asx, PRS, cash balance in the brokerage account.

It is No 4 that I actively manage and adjust allocation. Meaning if I say I'm 100% equities, it would mean all of 4 is in equities (practically impossible).

Oh..and I also don't have FD and any investment linked insurance.

This post has been edited by Cubalagi: Jun 3 2022, 03:38 PM
Cubalagi
post Jun 3 2022, 06:03 PM

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QUOTE(sgh @ Jun 3 2022, 04:24 PM)
That is quite good very similar to mine except I have Point 5 FD and endowment insurance. Next would be what is your percentage allocation for each point 1 to 4? Point 4 will be higher percentage since you do not have Point 5 of FD, insurance correct?

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Points 1 and 2 are quite small less than 5%. I don't even consider them as investments.

Point 3 I have no control over the investment. Point 4, I try to beat Point 3 performance by a few % points annualized.

QUOTE(sgh @ Jun 3 2022, 04:24 PM)

To be frank my Point 5 is way higher than my Point 4 haha. That is why for Point 4 in all my posts for any new investment instrument I keep asking what is the minimum capital to enter as I allocate little. I only slowly increase once I get profitable based on my minimum capital and comfortable with the investment instrument. My strategy is like soccer. I have defenders, defensive midfielders as backbone and assign 1-2 out and out strikers to score goals. Boring I know but I don't hope for big wins. Sneak in a goal or draw is enough.
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My defenders are in Point 4. I'm a market timer of sorts..some time go offence, and sometime on defence and can make big moves in the portfolio. The main objective of defence is to preserve gains. Many investors made big gains in last 2 years but were not able to preserve those gains.

Cubalagi
post Jun 14 2022, 04:01 PM

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QUOTE(jutamind @ Jun 14 2022, 10:24 AM)
For local shares, i think u can transfer from one broker to another with minimal cost. I did a transfer many years back i think it only cost RM10 per transfer but that was for direct CDS account.
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QUOTE(CoastFireSoon @ Jun 14 2022, 11:20 AM)
That's good to know! I still have so much to learn about buying shares - I didn't know we can transfer wink.gif
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For Bursa shares, it's RM10 per counter regardless of amount.

I have also transferred foreign shares before among local brokers, but I can't recall the fees how much.


Cubalagi
post Jun 22 2022, 10:12 AM

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QUOTE(CoastFireSoon @ Jun 22 2022, 08:58 AM)
Hello everyone,
I'm currently invested in these local ETFs:
- TRADEPLUS MSCI ASIA EX JAPAN REITS
- ABF Malaysia Bond Index Fund (0800EA)

Understand that many Malaysians think these ETFs may have bad liquidity, though some say the market makers mitigates that problem. The idea of a Malaysian-domiciled ETF of foreign funds is very attractive to me. (Currently just plugging into VT)

What's your opinion of Malaysian ETFs? Any of you invested in local ETFs? Do you think it's worth it to do so?
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I do.

I hold the Tradeplus Gold and Tradeplus New China in my portfolio. Tradeplus is managed by Affinhwang asset management.

I used to own the abfmy bond and got good returns in 2019, but already exited long time


Cubalagi
post Apr 2 2023, 10:56 AM

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Im not really a Boglehead as I do buy individual securities in addition to indexes.

i also dont have a fixed asset allocation like Bogleheads do.Currently, portfolio positioned quite conservatively. This is the approximate asset allocation of my portfolio:

50% Bonds
25% Equities
10% Gold
15% Cash

Cubalagi
post Apr 2 2023, 01:59 PM

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QUOTE(Hoshiyuu @ Apr 2 2023, 01:10 PM)
Huh, are you within 10 years of your horizon? That is a lot of bonds. What are those bonds comprised of if you don't mind?
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Abt 10 years investment horixon

Roughly 90% are govt treasuries or govt guaranteed. Another 10% are high yield (5% of portfolio). Mostly in bond ETF that freefall last year.

As mentioned, I dont have fixed allocation and can make big switches using the ETF portion.


Cubalagi
post Apr 3 2023, 12:51 PM

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QUOTE(Hoshiyuu @ Apr 2 2023, 11:35 PM)
I see. I am really surprised because you are the first person I've encountered so far with an actual bond allocation - with the decade long bullrun, the conventional wisdom has quickly switched to having as much equities as possible to be able to catch up with inflation at least, and anything short of a 80/20 allocation have too high of a risk of running out of money before end of life.

Congratulations on making it to the wealth preservation stage/tail end of accumulation phase! What are your plans going forward this year if any?
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Its not a permanent or long term allocation.

2021-22 have been horrible years for the bond market. In fact, for USA, it was the worst bond rout in history. Usually, after such a bad period in market, there will be a rebound. And it does appear that interest rate has peaked or is very close to peak.

Basically, lock up current levels of high interest rate and sell n make capital gains when interest rate drops.

Win: Interest rate drop, esp if bad recession.
Lose: interest rate go much higher and stays there.







Cubalagi
post Apr 7 2023, 03:53 PM

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Wow..Bogleheads now also use options?

l always thought tht Boglehead is just simple investing strategy with a few broadbased index fund/etf, and just hodl with some rebalancing.


Cubalagi
post Apr 7 2023, 09:10 PM

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Interestingly there are covered call ETFs. XYLD and QYLD are the ones I found. XYLD selling calls over the S&P500 and QYLD selling calls over QQQ. The yields are quite high right now, 12% and 13%.

I personally wont buy these as being ETF the WHT will kill the returns.

However its interesting to see the price history of these ETF.. It seemed that this strategy makes it hard to recover during market crashes in terms of the value.





Cubalagi
post May 10 2025, 08:07 PM

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QUOTE(alexkos @ May 10 2025, 09:29 AM)
Got 10-15 minutes to spare? Fill a Google Form investing survey and stand a chance to win Grab voucher  smile.gif
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Done.

One of the question stumped me..I have passive, active funds and individual stocks in my portfolio. The question didnt allow me to choose all three.

Cubalagi
post May 12 2025, 01:07 PM

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QUOTE(alexkos @ May 11 2025, 09:55 AM)

which prompts me to a question: how do the Bogleheads stay invested in periods of great uncertainty when both equity selldown meets unemployment, and that one needs to tap into more emergency fund when most investments are underwater?
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Need to have an allocation to riskless asset which can be drawn down if necessary. If before retire could be FD, Asx. After retired can be epf.
Cubalagi
post May 13 2025, 11:38 AM

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QUOTE(alexkos @ May 12 2025, 09:34 PM)
alright, so it's like 5 years of living expense as FD. Because this is different from the usual 3-6mo emergency fund. Something like that?
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Depends on age, risk profile etc. and ones asset allocation.

U need cash since you dont want to be selling your risk assets in a recession to fund your expenses. Ideally u want to be buying risk assets at that time.

If 55 and beyond, EPF is there and as good as cash.

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