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 Military Thread V28

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alexz23
post Sep 24 2021, 10:07 PM

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QUOTE(Frozen_Sun @ Sep 24 2021, 09:48 PM)
Retired?
Canada gets 25 legacy hornets from RAAF recently

These AESA radars only for 38 hornets.
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Studies by canadian government puts their hornet fleet life to be at most till 2030

https://www.canada.ca/en/department-nationa...expectancy.html

By the way, this is how a mature government should be upfront with their people. Clear facts and figures on defence matters.

This post has been edited by alexz23: Sep 24 2021, 10:10 PM
alexz23
post Sep 25 2021, 11:05 AM

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QUOTE(darth5zaft @ Sep 25 2021, 06:55 AM)
Building a new assembly line is always expensive.
What's more when the order are limited since the setup cost can only be redistributed to limited number of unit.

TD only order a few unit but the Thai are buying lots more (Not really sure how much the Thai are buying though).  But for the Aussie they need to order 1000 unit of hawkei to get the manufacturing price in AUS to be $500,000 a unit.

But of course the JLTV is the king of the hills, it's huge ordered mean you pay the same price per unit as first win & hawkei. But it's so so so much more value for Money.
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We buy 20


thai buy 6



QUOTE
Chaiseri Metal & Rubber Co., Ltd. (Chaiseri metal & rubber Co. Ltd.) Thailand was the winner of the purchase 4-wheel drive multi-purpose armored vehicles (type 4x4), amounting to 6 units by the selection method, amount 99, 900,000 baht ($3,080,387) per unit price 16,650,000 baht ($513,414)
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JLTV cost less than 350,000 dollars US each.

https://www.dsca.mil/press-media/major-arms...ctical-vehicles

QUOTE
­­­WASHINGTON, August 27, 2019 - The State Department has made a determination approving a possible Foreign Military Sale to Lithuania of five hundred Joint Light Tactical Vehicles with support for an estimated cost of $170.8 million.  The Defense Security Cooperation Agency delivered the required certification notifying Congress of this possible sale on August 27, 2019.
Basically we could have gotten 5 JLTV for every 1 Lipanbara we bought, or 100 JLTV for the same money we paid for 20 Lipanbara.

This post has been edited by alexz23: Sep 25 2021, 11:58 AM
alexz23
post Sep 25 2021, 11:46 AM

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QUOTE(darth5zaft @ Sep 25 2021)

It is also the exact strategies the Chinese are doing. Their maritime dispute are their version of asymmetric warfare since they know they can't match the might, experience & technology advantage of western powers. So they set a stage of new kind of warfare, relying on numbers and operate in ambiguity, it's not a full war but not peace time either.

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If you see that china is doing asymmetric warfare, then it is clear you don't understand anything about the regional military dynamics.

Asymmetric warfare does not see a country building the same thing thair adversary does.

China is building
- aircraft carriers
- destroyers the size of cruisers
- LPD ships with full length aviation deck.
- nuclear submarines
- ballistic and hypersonic missiles
- stealth fighters
- stealth bombers
- large strategic transporters
- AWACS
- Large maritime patrol aircrafts
- new tanks

how can that be asymmetric warfare?

fighting just beneath the threshold of full war is not asymmetric warfare, but is now fast becoming a new norm.

QUOTE(darth5zaft @ Sep 25 2021, 06:44 AM)

But employing the same strategies to us just means
*You have access to allies, but you rejected working with them to do asymmetrical warfare.

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Hmm... tell that to Vietnam. Vietnam goes full asymmetrical, depending on submarines and huge numbers of shore based anti-ship missiles.

Also tell the same to Sweden against Russia. Are they abandoned by the west?

Going asymmetrical does not mean we cannot work with allies.

Also to go conventional, politically we need to be like South Korea, Japan, Australia. To be firmly in Western sphere. How can we be that when we are scrambling to kowtow to CCP when the west announced AUKUS?


QUOTE(darth5zaft @ Sep 25 2021, 06:44 AM)


Ps. Just because it look wee bit different doesn't mean they build everything from scratch. Let just use a car analogy.

a VW golf & Audi Q2 & Audi A3 are 90% the same car. The sigma hull are more square off to deflect the radar better at the cost of efficiency due to drag  while the rounded hull of a OPV is there to help with efficiency at the cost  bigger radar signature. A mechanic that can repair a VW, can also repair the Audi, since despite huge differences in it exterior design & interior fit & finishes. Behind the scene, it's the same car. Using the same bolt, pipe & part, running the same software.

Things like the type 26 is the Buggati, still parts of VW, but it is design to reach the absolute maximum abilities that current technology can offer. It is expansive because most of it software, parts & components need to be invented and be a custom made because no manufacturing facility are there yet to make it. Starting a new production assembly are expensive. And the less parts you make the more each single parts cost. Add all up you end up with an expensive thing which make it more expensive because only a limited number of people can afford it. The custom made parts mostly being new hasn't been tested fully in term of reliability and thus why operating it is expensive because it keep breaking down.

But as long as they keep the manufacturing going, the less expensive the per parts is, the more it break the more they can find fixes. Things like the sigma & type 31 are the Lamborghini. It's made from mostly previous Buggati platforms which had reduce in price and increase in reliability, it's just a wee bit less fast then a Buggati but it's a whole lots cheaper & more reliable. As it's goes cheaper & cheaper the platform become the Porsche.
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Don't need to mention about automotive. I am sure i know 300% more than you on automotive parts design, what goes where, especially Volkswagen Group components.

user posted image
alexz23
post Sep 25 2021, 12:01 PM

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QUOTE(darth5zaft @ Sep 25 2021, 11:58 AM)
That's the problem with lack of economic of scale but still want to konon konon create a local industrial military complex If buy directly from turkey, the 8x8 would likely cost half because their assembly line is mostly had been paid for by the large order of the Turkish military.

If it's was me, it would probably more cost effective to just ask for an offset like our deals with Airbus or indo with KAI.

But then again, it's  not just us. Sinki, Aussie & Indo are also playing these really weird game of let's paid a whole lot more just for the sake of it to be CKD locally. So let's bersangka baik & assume probably there's something they trying to achieve kot. 😂
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There is no big order for PARS by Turkish military.

Malaysia is the first user.

Oman is second.

Now turkey is buying some 6x6 versions.


Gempita costs are higher than Oman Pars III cost because majority of our variants have 30mm gun and INGWE missiles.

most of oman version is the 25mm1 man turret, and also plenty of the 6x6 version in the mix.

If we want to have Gempita batch 2, that are mostly of the IFV 25mm version, i am sure we can get them at similar or near to pars III price.

This post has been edited by alexz23: Sep 25 2021, 12:08 PM
alexz23
post Sep 25 2021, 07:31 PM

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On the Gowinds.

I think I have an idea on how to move this forward.

Firstly, the government must instruct LTAT/Boustead to promptly return BNS Lumut Shipyard to the government.

Then the government to sell BNS Lumut Shipyard (including liabilities) plus the gowind project for RM1 to any malaysian owned private companies that is willing to put in their money to complete the 6 gowinds to original specs. Their reward would be getting the shipyard for almost nothing.

To sweeten the deal to potential buyers, the the sale will include governments confirmed buy of 2 more gowinds in rancangan malaysia 13 (2026-2030) at a fixed price of RM3 billion. Contract would be immediately signed to include this additional 2 ships.

So the sale will include
- BNS Lumut Shipyard
- current gowind project + RM3billion remaining government payment to complete the 6 ships to full specifications.
- contract of 2 more Gowinds for a fixed price of RM3 billion in rancangan malaysia 13 (2026-2030).





A win-win situation for government and TLDM. government no need to fork out additional money to complete the gowinds, TLDM can get 8 gowinds. Also not much monetary loss to LTAT/Boustead.

This would also certainly be better than burning RM9 billion to just receive 2 completed gowinds.
alexz23
post Sep 25 2021, 07:48 PM

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QUOTE(atreyuangel @ Sep 25 2021, 05:13 PM)
eh gomen bayar ke 3 billion tu
aku tak rasa depa nak bayar hari tu
skrg on Bousted tuk deliver atau kene saman
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The government say that it is willing to pay the RM3 billion remaining payment, out of the RM9 billion contract ceiling.

The government is not willing to pay additional money asked by BNS.

BNS say that it cannot complete all 6 just with the RM3 billion government is willing to pay. It needs additional money to complete all 6 ships.

alexz23
post Sep 25 2021, 09:53 PM

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QUOTE(jwst1313 @ Sep 25 2021, 09:48 PM)


If government die die want the balance 4, then gomen have to squezzed tax payers for another RM$16 billion (RM$4 billion a vessel)


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How did you extrapolate to get that RM16 billion number???
alexz23
post Sep 25 2021, 10:04 PM

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QUOTE(Lampuajaib @ Sep 25 2021, 08:52 PM)
This....

Later the cabinet rule out option 1.
There are only option 2 and 3 still available.

Option 3 is another copy of NGPV solution....you can guess lah ..
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BNS say that for option 2, they can complete at least 2 ships. Probably that means completing 2 ships, and proceeding more work on the rest but not to completion stage.

My proposal above is basically what option 3 is, which is unfortunately almost like a rehash of thr NGPV solution/fiasco. But that is IMO the best way forward without the need for the government to put in more money, and able to give TLDM all the ships it badly need. But most people when talk about option 3 will imagine those incomplete gowinds being towed to other shipyards to be completed.
alexz23
post Sep 25 2021, 10:07 PM

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QUOTE(jwst1313 @ Sep 25 2021, 10:00 PM)
How many vessel do you think they can built with the balance RM$3.12 billion. They already received RM$6 billion in advance

Well if They can complete 4 vessels by getting the balance RM$3.12 billion, i tabik and say thank you. At least one vessel only cost RM$9.12 divide 4 vessel = RM2.28 billion per vessel.

But can the shipyard complete 4 boats with the balance RM$3.12 billion??

Simple maths
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That cost includes paying the whole shipyard to be idle for 2 years now. plus all other costs incurred including building new hangars for the build, paying for the IP, complete hardwares for all 6 ships, including guns, radars, missile launchers, NSM missiles.

So do you need to pay those things again when you want to finish the 4 ships??

not so simple maths.

alexz23
post Sep 25 2021, 10:37 PM

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QUOTE(jwst1313 @ Sep 25 2021, 10:26 PM)
Thats why earlier i said  TLDM will only get 2 boats max with gomen pay the balance RM$3.12 billion.

Curse on us as tax payer as it is already happened n get the 2 boats ready n give to the navy as they need it very very urgently.

After all this fiaso , do you still want to use the same  ship yard and they come out again with another blue print gung ho?????? And you want pisang berbuah 2X ???  For God sake get it from the supplier directly .
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still your RM16 billion you throw out is not logical.


get from supplier directly?

which one is faster? just finish what is already started or start all over again?
alexz23
post Sep 26 2021, 02:00 AM

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QUOTE(darth5zaft @ Sep 25 2021, 11:18 PM)
What so asymmetrical about sweeden?
Not like they skip on the quality of equipment or anything. If anything they like sinki have both the quality & quantities. If Russia or Malaysia were to come they would come by land right?. So them keeping a rather large army isn't really asymmetrical.

Their navy are on the smallish size probably because of geography and also because Russian aren't coming for them by sea? But I do love their Visby, it's the equivalent of f35 in term of stealth build with radar absorbing material. Gowind stealth is mostly shape base stealth like the J20.

The only asymmetrical about them is probably their AF. So i assume that's what you mean? 

IMHO, while their AF do practice asymmetrical warfare but it's seem out of nessacity due to the  national service they perform of keeping Saab airplane division alive rather than because they wanted to.

At the end of the day, Russia has mighty dual engine air dominance dog fighting platforms. A Gripen despite it larger than life image is mostly just a delta wing LCA.  The innovation here is they  took advantage of Russia lack of technology dominance and their advantage in tech dominance & concentrate on BVR & electronic warfare. They are not playing into Sukhoi advantage in maneuverability.

Their inventory of single type of not so powerful jet doesn't meant it's strategy are good enough thus no rreal need for MRCA, more to do with they can't order a real MRCA but at the same time ordered enough Gripen to keep Saab afloat. that's MRCA roles likely falls on others NATO members to provide or until the tempest are finished.

copying sweeden homework  is precisely why RMAF wants a BVR capable LCA. They didn't want the LCA because they willing to compromised on quality and prioritize quantities due to the lack of money, but because BVR capable LCA are more than enough for peacetime encounter  of Chinese Sukhoi as well as to support MRCA operation.

As seen with RCAF upgrade of hornet, the actual cost on an aesa radar in itself isn't that expensive at around  $+-2 mil a piece. If not mistaken FA50 radar cost $0.5 mil or something. So even if the software of FA50 is upgraded and offer BVR, it's maybe not the same kind of BVR that hornet can provide. But if the software upgraded FA50 BVR abilities exceed the Chinese Sukhoi it's a worthwhile purchase but if it can only match or worse than Chinese Sukhoi then there's really no point in getting 36 of those. We would only need at least 12?
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What is so asymmetrical about sweden? Let me see...

Navy
- Has prioritized sovereign submarine capability for decades. Own design, own build. Submarines are their main warship so to speak. new generation A26 submarines in development.
- surface fleet with a stealth corvette as its biggest ship. No frigates, no air warfare destroyers, no LPDs. The visby does not even have any air defence missiles.
- A fleet of about 147 CB90, with additional 18 new CB90M ordered. If this much combat boats is not asymmetrical then I don't know what it is. This is the asymmetrical answer against any possible russian amphibious invasion. all CB90 has built-in racks to deploy mines and depth charges. Also running around islets and deploying Hellfire missiles like this video.


Oh look at this Swedish Navy CB90 swarm!!
user posted image

They, like Vietnam also pretty much have high priority in anti ship missiles to be shot from air, sea and land. With their own built anti ship missile the RBS15




Airforce
- Has also prioritized sovereign fighter jet design and build capability. What is asymmetrical about swedish fighters? its how they plan to operate. When attacked by russia, they will disperse into dozens of roadway turned airfields all over the swedish forests.
- own AWACs design.


Army
- the army is pretty conventional, yes.


QUOTE(darth5zaft @ Sep 25 2021, 11:18 PM)


copying sweeden homework  is precisely why RMAF wants a BVR capable LCA. They didn't want the LCA because they willing to compromised on quality and prioritize quantities due to the lack of money, but because BVR capable LCA are more than enough for peacetime encounter  of Chinese Sukhoi as well as to support MRCA operation.


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Err copying what?

Our SU-30MKM and F/A-18 already have BVR capability.

The hornet has BVR AMRAAMs. Even when paired with the existing APG-73, which is by far the best non AESA radar in any legacy hornets, even when compared to kuwaiti ones (kuwait hornets does not have APG-73).


alexz23
post Sep 26 2021, 02:16 AM

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QUOTE(darth5zaft @ Sep 25 2021, 11:18 PM)


As seen with RCAF upgrade of hornet, the actual cost on an aesa radar in itself isn't that expensive at around  $+-2 mil a piece. If not mistaken FA50 radar cost $0.5 mil or something. So even if the software of FA50 is upgraded and offer BVR, it's maybe not the same kind of BVR that hornet can provide. But if the software upgraded FA50 BVR abilities exceed the Chinese Sukhoi it's a worthwhile purchase but if it can only match or worse than Chinese Sukhoi then there's really no point in getting 36 of those. We would only need at least 12?


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I thought you say M346 is the best, not the FA50? You accuse me of China sympathiser for choosing the "inferior" FA50 over the "superior" M346.


alexz23
post Sep 26 2021, 10:49 AM

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QUOTE(jwst1313 @ Sep 26 2021, 10:43 AM)
Simple question. Gomen pay RM3.12 billion which is the balance of RM9.12 billion, how many boats  (with 16 mica vls and 8 konesburg ship attack missile on each boat) you can give to TLDM.

Remember only pay RM3.12 billuon. No more extra $$$

Can be like this

2022  = 2 vessels sea trial ?
2023  = 2 vessels sea trial ?
2024  = 2 vessels sea trial ?

Boleh?
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Answer your calculation on RM16 billion for completing the 4 ships first.

BNS already say they cannot complete 6 ships for the RM3.12 billion.
alexz23
post Sep 26 2021, 10:58 AM

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QUOTE(jwst1313 @ Sep 26 2021, 10:50 AM)
For the original price RM$9.12. Can The yard complete with balance payment of RM3.12 billion.

If yard need extra money just tell the Gomen, need xxx billion to complete.

Al least everyone understand dan faham.

When the yard keep quiet, it is assumed you have no problem and everything is smooth BUT your 1st vessel already delayed 4 years. Not 4 nonth delayed.

Yes or No only where received balance rm3.12 billion can do all 6 or how many. Do not pusing la
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It is you yang tak faham

BNS already say they cannot complete 6 ships for the RM3.12 billion.

That is why they ask for additional money. It has been repeated over and over again by plenty of people here.
alexz23
post Sep 26 2021, 11:00 AM

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QUOTE(red streak @ Sep 26 2021, 10:55 AM)
They already took 3/4s of the money and can't complete a single one with the remaining 1/4. What else is new with BNS? whistling.gif Once again our local cronies are the ones fucking up the country's military capabilities. This should be considered treason and a hanging offense by now.
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Siapa that cannot make decision to proceed until now delay 2 years?

Mat sabu siapa voted for PH? BNS is it?

If want to hang people, don't forget to hang mat sabu.

This post has been edited by alexz23: Sep 26 2021, 11:00 AM
alexz23
post Sep 26 2021, 11:30 AM

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Also why BNS cannot complete even a single ship? Why do you think that is? Why cannot BNS do the logical thing and concentrate on completing 1 ship rather than built pieces of 5 ships at the same time?

Because the specifications until now tak confirm. Somebody asyik mintak change. How to finish build ship with specs not confirmed? Specs want to change, cost money, and government dont want to pay for the changes. Then the government did not decide anything. Kalau taknak bayar extra money, decide la proceed with original specifications. Ni tak, langsung tak decide.

So admirals of which navy yang asyik nak tukar specs gowind ni? ugandan navy is it?

MENHAN negara mana yang langsung tak decide tu? Vanuatu? Siapa yang vote for that MENHAN?

This is why first ship pon not finished. And BNS forced to just continue build whatever things that the specs actually is not changed, which is the hulls.

But the shipyard can fit only 3 complete ships at any one time atas darat tu. Now there is like 2 complete hulls and various modules for 3 more ships. Why BNS cannot even start on ship 6. No more space already.

So the wrong is by many parties. BNS, TLDM, Malaysian government.

This post has been edited by alexz23: Sep 26 2021, 11:51 AM
alexz23
post Sep 26 2021, 11:35 AM

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QUOTE(jwst1313 @ Sep 26 2021, 11:29 AM)
Where is the RM$6 billion. Can get at least 2 Gowinds, right?
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Where is the RM6 billion?

- IP payments

- steel materials for all 6 ships

- engines for all 6 ships

- all the electronics, radars for all 6 ships

- all 6 of the CAPTAS2 towed array sonars

- all the guns for all 6 ships. The bofors 57mm for example, dah siap all 6 like 3 years ago.

- all the missile launchers for 6 ships

- all NSM missiles for 6 ships

- pay debts of former PSC-ND RM1 billion ringgit.


the one yang still tak bayar is the MICA. Not many things that is still not paid for. Basically extra payment is mostly for labour costs, and modification cost to the specs that was requested.

This post has been edited by alexz23: Sep 26 2021, 01:32 PM
alexz23
post Sep 26 2021, 11:47 AM

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QUOTE(jwst1313 @ Sep 26 2021, 11:29 AM)


Do you buy a German RM$400,000 luxury car pay down payment , but later the car maker tell you your car cannot be produced because no engine, no electronics. Your down payment and the finance bank released all monies to german car maker cannot be refunded. Would you accept this deal ?????
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wrong anology

Your father wants to buy a german luxury car and paid the down payment. When it has started build, you want to change to french engine. German car maker say can but need to add money. Your dad say don't want to add money, but didn't scold you and ask to stick to the original engine. German car maker still waiting for confirmation of engine for 2 years. At the same time have to pay workers waiting for 2 years. Car cannot complete as no instructions of what engine to put in.
alexz23
post Sep 26 2021, 12:06 PM

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QUOTE(jwst1313 @ Sep 26 2021, 11:55 AM)
This is the manufacturer problem and they have to solve it no matter how.

They can take the contract, we assume they can deliver irregardless how difficult it is.

Do not throw your manufacturing problem to your customers. Never.
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Your problem understanding and solving skills leaves much to be desired.


This is not a manufacturing problem. If the specifications is rock solid confirmed, there is no problem finishing it.

You go to kedai tomyam. You order tomyam but cannot decide nak tomyam ayam or tomyam seafood. Tukang masak cannot complete the tomyam. Tukang masak tomyam is the problem is it?
alexz23
post Sep 26 2021, 01:18 PM

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QUOTE(jwst1313 @ Sep 26 2021, 12:25 PM)

The current Lekiu Class strongest 2 corvettes in TLDM 2200 ton missile corvettes were built in Yarraw shipyard Scotland in 1995/1996. Both vessels already serve more then 25 years. Undergone SLEP in 2014/2015. Built more then 25 years ago and still serving in TLDM.

This 2 vessels are the only largest most capable missile corvettes in TLDM. Armed with Sea Wolf 16 vls (Point defence) and 8 exocet missles ,

Do you think 2 missile capable corvettes is enough ? Thats why the navy want the Gowind so urgently.

The last thing the navy wants to hear is manufacturing problem, cos thats not the navy problem . The navy is the user of the vessel. Shipyard job is to manufactured the vessel to agreed specs on schedule.
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Tell me what manufacturing problem?

The admirals who asked for changes dont work for TLDM but BNS is it?

Mat Sabu who did not decide on anything works for BNS is it?


QUOTE(jwst1313 @ Sep 26 2021, 12:25 PM)


Shipyard job is to manufactured the vessel to agreed specs on schedule
don't you understand that there is no agreed final specs from the customer

How to complete when there is no agreed final specs??????


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