QUOTE(a6meister @ Jun 7 2007, 11:31 AM)
to me, this is a bad investment, as both the interest and exchange rate are in op risk, if we invest in 12 months tenure. usd, pound sterling and euro are about at their peak interest.
exchange rate is too risky as we do not have the control to put long or short over the currencies we hold .
as what one of the forumer indicated, his calculation is very clear to show us the risks that we need to take.
lastly, bank never make loss profit business. just my opinion.thanks
Cannot say it is bad or good, it depends on situation and individual financially as well as needs. If you treat it as speculation like share or short term speculation, surely it is not the way to do it instead one should treat it as to protect/hedge against ringgit depreciation which in the mean time get some extra yield. exchange rate is too risky as we do not have the control to put long or short over the currencies we hold .
as what one of the forumer indicated, his calculation is very clear to show us the risks that we need to take.
lastly, bank never make loss profit business. just my opinion.thanks
For example, I am going to send my children to overseas studying in few years time (let say Australia), instead of save in ringgit FD (since no stock or UT anymore, needs to be secured) that yield only 3.7%, I can opt to convert first to AUD then put in AUD FD that yield 6.25%. When my children needs it time, I can just straight away take out the FD in AUD and do a AUD remittance to pay their college fee there.
after several years
Three scenario:
1: AUD appreaciate against ringgit - I save more while getting more yield from it.
2. Exchange stay at same - at least I get better yield for several years already about 2.5% compound interest more.
3. AUD depreciate against ringgit - At least I don't have to fork out more although I lose a bit, but children education fee is more and less secure.
You gain 2/3 chance in this way. But bare in mind, you must at least know that your invested currency is strong and the particular country's economy is healthy which provide strong support to its currency.
In this way, I won't need to worry about ringgit depreciation in the future that happened like 97 that a lot of parent suddenly found their saving previous is enough for their chidlren education overseas suddenly with ringgit depreciation then struggling to find extra money to fund their children, some even has to cancel their plan to study abroad at that time due to ringgit depreciation.
Jun 7 2007, 01:50 PM
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