QUOTE(Hoshiyuu @ Feb 14 2021, 02:37 AM)
I see... I am glad that this thread have you, no one seems to want to talk about ETF on Bursa ever, so I really appreciate the insight.
When you mention you don't hold ETF long enough, do you mean you buy them only when you expect short-mid term trend will cause that ETF to grow, then let go after when you think the growth is/has stopped?
I've seen you express your preference in TradePlus S&P New China Tracker a few times in this thread, do you have any two cents about getting into it now? I feel like it'll continue to have a rally given current economic situation in China. I do plan to simply buy and hold for 10+ years, but I am not as sure anymore after going through the thread.
Is there any particular reason you like New China Tracker but not Principal FTSE China 50 ETF?
Let me give you one example which you can study.
One of the oldest China ETF is named FXI, listed in US. More than 15 years old.
The annualized 10-year return of this ETF is... Wait for it....
2.72% per year
Very lousy right? You would have been better to put your money in an FD with less heartache.
But study the price chart. China tend to be volatile and so is this ETF. Within this 10 year period there were 3 times where you can get around 50% in a year or so if u buy at the bottom. Similarly, if you don't exit during this peaks, you would experience 30-40% drawdown.
Trying to exit at the top and start buying aggressively at the bottom is how I do it. I don't have to buy at the exact bottom or sell at the exact peak, but as long as I can get close then I will be quite profitable.
China being a bit extreme I find it's easier to market time. Basically when people are so bearish about China then it's a good time to start shopping. When the mass retail jump into China, time to start going out.
Why New China Tracker is better than FTSE China 50?
2 reasons:
1) The index is better. FTSE China 50 uses the same index as FXI. A lot of banks and old economy stocks. If I want banks and old economy, I rather put money in Singapore or Malaysia (which I do). New China as the name says has more interesting stocks and its a play on the big changes that is happening in China.
Btw this time last year, if you recall, Covid has spread out of Wuhan. Horror stories. People were dying everywhere. China was doomed (again). Meaning good time to buy China. New China ETF is up 60% since then.
2) I think the fund manager Affin cares more about their ETF. Principal is a big international fund manager, no doubt. However, it's not an ETF manager like Blackrock etc. Principal happen to get this ETF when they took over Cimb Principal. It's like an unwanted child they are stuck with. Affin TradePlus is the new ETF issuer and trying hard. U can compare websites. Or you can also try calling for information. You will get a sense of what Im trying to say.
This post has been edited by Cubalagi: Feb 14 2021, 10:40 AM