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 Covid19 and MCO effect on properties, Q&A Session on the effects

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TSTANMY13 P
post Apr 15 2020, 09:21 AM

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Had purchased a property at January, then happened the lockdown. Dont have much update from the property and agent side.

Any guru know if continue like this to may or even longer, will it effect the completion? If delay, will it consider can get penalty?
DesRed
post Apr 15 2020, 10:03 AM

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I also purchased mine last April. Wouldn't be surprised if there's a delay.

Most likely the developers will apply for the EOT (Extension of Time) and it will surely be granted by the Housing Controller due to this Covid-19 pandemic.

This post has been edited by DesRed: Apr 15 2020, 10:05 AM
heavensea
post Apr 15 2020, 10:45 AM

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Definitely
nexona88
post Apr 15 2020, 11:13 AM

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Confirm delay...
Every project like that unless they like PRC style..
24/7 working 😁
seancl85
post Apr 15 2020, 12:00 PM

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then meaning interest also....+++
Pain4UrsinZ
post Apr 15 2020, 02:17 PM

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delay doesn't matter, must pay LAD!
cy91
post Apr 15 2020, 04:30 PM

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But if ur contract signed 48 months, probably still enough time for the developer to avoid paying u hehe
koraget
post Apr 15 2020, 09:57 PM

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https://media.edgeprop.my/s3fs-public/pullo...n3MtQS33G57RQs9


Can refer to page 8 from the edge pull out.


annoymous1234
post Apr 15 2020, 10:27 PM

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If the property u bought is under HDA then shouldn't be a problem
DavidKool
post Apr 15 2020, 11:17 PM

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QUOTE(TANMY13 @ Apr 15 2020, 09:21 AM)
Had purchased a property at January, then happened the lockdown. Dont have much update from the property and agent side.

Any guru know if continue like this to may or even longer, will it effect the completion? If delay, will it consider can get penalty?
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No guru would knows better than your developer or seek advise from your SPA lawyer.

If our Mco is continuing to May or even longer, it will impact the construction period but not necessary affect the completion (maybe yes or maybe no) because they follow by law, regulation or any Act by the Federal Government to pause all the construction works that beyond developer's control.

In the SPA, developer needs to complete the property within the schedule period, example 36 months.
If the MCO delayed 2 months and after that, the developer able to rush back all the backlog within remaining period or the other buffer of 34 months, there are no delay.

If there are delay, the developer have to apply the EOT from the Authority and surely the extension is granted due to sanction was happened during MCO, it's up to the government. If your SPA stated a clause of force majeure, then the developer has no liable to pay the LAD for the cause of late delivery by this clause.

You need to check when is your property commenced the construction even though you just bought in January. If the project launched, constructed and started to sell one year ago, the developer will construct according to this schedule to avoid any LAD or delay, or at least minimized it, so in a nutshell those who bought one year later may probably not affected by the completion date due to SPA date is also late.
kochin
post Apr 16 2020, 10:47 AM, updated 6y ago

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did not logged in for a month into lyn forum.
glanced through and surprisingly didn't find a specific thread to do a common Q&A on covid19 and mco impact on properties.

so let's begin, shall we?

generally common questions being thrown about are:
1. can tenants ask landlord for discounts?
2. will completion date of undercon be extended?
3. would DLP be extended?
4. i'd booked a property before the mco. dateline to execute has lapsed, how?

the above are all common questions that has been raised. and while there may not be a one size fits all approach but generally after attending a couple of webinars hosted by various legal firms, i'd would think i'd gathered some general insights into the common approach to these questions.

so feel free to discuss and let forummers deliberate in this forum in an open mind concept to help each other, shall we?

so for now, let's raise your most desired questions and see if there are experts coming forward to help answer it.

cheerios!
Pain4UrsinZ
post Apr 16 2020, 11:09 AM

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yea i would like to know also, hopefully developer will pay LAD accordingly regardless of MCO.

if housing minstry allow exemption they need to study the case carefully. Example, lakeville block C and D already made known to the buyer that VP will be delayed until JUNE, and this was notified in December few months before MCO. hopefully developer cannot use this as excuses want to deduct the LAD for MCO period.

where to get the answer hmm.gif ?

This post has been edited by Pain4UrsinZ: Apr 16 2020, 11:10 AM
kochin
post Apr 16 2020, 11:25 AM

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QUOTE(TANMY13 @ Apr 15 2020, 09:21 AM)
Had purchased a property at January, then happened the lockdown. Dont have much update from the property and agent side.

Any guru know if continue like this to may or even longer, will it effect the completion? If delay, will it consider can get penalty?
*
undercon or subsales?
if it's undercon, may seek extension of time to complete the documents.
similarly for subsales.
even if you manage to sign the spa, land office and lhdn not open to do stamping also.
as such, it would benefit all parties to follow through the transaction post mco.

QUOTE(DesRed @ Apr 15 2020, 10:03 AM)
I also purchased mine last April. Wouldn't be surprised if there's a delay.

Most likely the developers will apply for the EOT (Extension of Time) and it will surely be granted by the Housing Controller due to this Covid-19 pandemic.
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you are correct. contractor would firstly apply EOT from the consultants. if valid, extension would be granted. similarly the developer would follow suit to apply from respective authorities for an extension as well. and needless to say, if granted, VP to purchasers shall also be extended.

QUOTE(seancl85 @ Apr 15 2020, 12:00 PM)
then meaning interest also....+++
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you only pay interest for portion that's billed. and since part of your property may or has been completed, you are liable to finance your own 'part property'. obviously the most painful group that are exposed to this may be those who are just about to vp. they would need to pay substantial interest while not able to get vp. but the same applies to the whole chain of developer/consultants/contractors/suppliers and even authorities too. the whole chain of stakeholders involved are equally affected. the only consolation is the bank's 6 months moratorium which helps to cushion this crushing blow.
heavensea
post Apr 16 2020, 11:53 AM

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Maybe it's time (hint) to cancel?
kochin
post Apr 16 2020, 12:00 PM

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QUOTE(heavensea @ Apr 16 2020, 11:53 AM)
Maybe it's time (hint) to cancel?
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excellent point.
however for HDA's schedule G or H, it has neither force majeure clause or frustration clause.
however there is a newly introduced determination clause by the purchaser (clause 10) which they have the right to exercise. read through carefully as it has its own pros and cons.
Ckmwpy0370
post Apr 16 2020, 01:20 PM

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there is a lot if property value drop to 20%

https://www.facebook.com/64839963085/posts/...58320712278086/
icemanfx
post Apr 16 2020, 01:44 PM

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QUOTE(Ckmwpy0370 @ Apr 16 2020, 01:20 PM)
there is a lot if property value drop to 20%

https://www.facebook.com/64839963085/posts/...58320712278086/
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One property jedi master foresee price drop in range of 30%.

As most bought poorperly with bank loan, vendor losses if include loan interest, services, etc incurred would be higher than price drop alone and mounting with time.

This post has been edited by icemanfx: Apr 16 2020, 01:52 PM
Zwean
post Apr 16 2020, 02:01 PM

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QUOTE(Ckmwpy0370 @ Apr 16 2020, 01:20 PM)
there is a lot if property value drop to 20%

https://www.facebook.com/64839963085/posts/...58320712278086/
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Drop by*
icemanfx
post Apr 16 2020, 02:13 PM

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QUOTE(Zwean @ Apr 16 2020, 02:01 PM)
Drop by*
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Property price stagnant mean incurring about 4% p.a financial loss. Financial loss from a few years holding could be more than nominal price drop.

This post has been edited by icemanfx: Apr 16 2020, 02:14 PM
Zwean
post Apr 16 2020, 02:27 PM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Apr 16 2020, 02:13 PM)
Property price stagnant mean incurring about 4% p.a financial loss. Financial loss from a few years holding could be more than nominal price drop.
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That is only one part of the bigger picture..
icemanfx
post Apr 16 2020, 03:02 PM

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QUOTE(Zwean @ Apr 16 2020, 02:27 PM)
That is only one part of the bigger picture..
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At the end of the day it is dollars and cents matter, the rest is only good for blow water.

This post has been edited by icemanfx: Apr 16 2020, 03:02 PM
Zwean
post Apr 16 2020, 03:14 PM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Apr 16 2020, 03:02 PM)
At the end of the day it is dollars and cents matter, the rest is only good for blow water.
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Depends on how you measure the performance.

If a property is cashflow positive and price is stagnant over 35 years (which is unlikely). You’ll end up with a fully paid off home.

That being said, it’s grossly oversimplified to make a point that even if price were to remain stagnant. You’ll come up top.
icemanfx
post Apr 16 2020, 03:30 PM

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QUOTE(Zwean @ Apr 16 2020, 03:14 PM)
Depends on how you measure the performance.

If a property is cashflow positive and price is stagnant over 35 years (which is unlikely). You’ll end up with a fully paid off home.

That being said, it’s grossly oversimplified to make a point that even if price were to remain stagnant. You’ll come up top.
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Cash flow positive for 35 years, realistic or not?

This post has been edited by icemanfx: Apr 16 2020, 03:33 PM
Zwean
post Apr 16 2020, 03:34 PM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Apr 16 2020, 03:30 PM)
Cash flow positive for 35 years, realistic or not?
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Yes
icemanfx
post Apr 16 2020, 04:06 PM

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QUOTE(Zwean @ Apr 16 2020, 03:34 PM)
Yes
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Few and far in between.
Zwean
post Apr 16 2020, 04:08 PM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Apr 16 2020, 04:06 PM)
Few and far in between.
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Property price stagnant last 35 years?

Rent stagnant last 35 years?
icemanfx
post Apr 16 2020, 04:18 PM

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QUOTE(Zwean @ Apr 16 2020, 04:08 PM)
Property price stagnant last 35 years?

Rent stagnant last 35 years?
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This is a new era no one has experienced before, poorperly price and rental will remain stagnant or drop for many years.

This post has been edited by icemanfx: Apr 16 2020, 04:18 PM
Zwean
post Apr 16 2020, 04:28 PM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Apr 16 2020, 04:18 PM)
This is a new era no one has experienced before, poorperly price and rental will remain stagnant or drop for many years.
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No one has experienced before? Refer to below for the period leading up to AFC in the 90s.
user posted image

Let’s keep in mind that SEA is a developing region and GDP growth is stronger than many first world countries.

Let’s also set aside the fact that the world production is shifting out of China.

It’s okay, you can continue to stay hidden in your coconut and oyster shell.

Inflation is real.
icemanfx
post Apr 16 2020, 05:15 PM

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QUOTE(Zwean @ Apr 16 2020, 04:28 PM)
No one has experienced before? Refer to below for the period leading up to AFC in the 90s.
user posted image

Let’s keep in mind that SEA is a developing region and GDP growth is stronger than many first world countries.

Let’s also set aside the fact that the world production is shifting out of China.

It’s okay, you can continue to stay hidden in your coconut and oyster shell.

Inflation is real.
*
Every economic recession is different. this economic recession is world wide, worse and last longer than 1997 afc. some said this recession is like combination of 1918 spanish flu pandemic and 1929 great depression. if lockdown is earthquake, there will be tsunami.

factories shifting out china has been happening since u.s china trade war started, how many have moved to malaysia?

sea gdp growth was largely depending on export and fdi. how much and at what price could they export? how many fdi will come to unproductive, overpriced and red taped country?

Zwean
post Apr 16 2020, 05:20 PM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Apr 16 2020, 05:15 PM)
Every economic recession is different. this economic recession is world wide, worse and last longer than 1997 afc. some said this recession is like combination of 1918 spanish flu pandemic and 1929 great depression. if lockdown is earthquake, there will be tsunami.

factories shifting out china has been happening since u.s china trade war started, how many have moved to malaysia?

sea gdp growth was largely depending on export and fdi. how much and at what price could they export? how many fdi will come to unproductive,  overpriced and red taped country?
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We shall see, let's revisit this in time.
stchoong
post Apr 16 2020, 05:22 PM

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icemanfx
post Apr 16 2020, 05:32 PM

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QUOTE(Zwean @ Apr 16 2020, 05:20 PM)
We shall see, let's revisit this in time.
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Certainly.

QUOTE(stchoong @ Apr 16 2020, 05:22 PM)
IMF: Malaysia's GDP to grow 9% in 2021
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IMF assumed 8% working days loss and 11% drop in export for 2020.

This post has been edited by icemanfx: Apr 16 2020, 05:32 PM
Captain89
post Apr 16 2020, 06:59 PM

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QUOTE(stchoong @ Apr 16 2020, 05:22 PM)
IMF: Malaysia's GDP to grow 9% in 2021
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2020? Drop by how many percent?
airtawarian
post Apr 16 2020, 09:36 PM

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QUOTE(stchoong @ Apr 16 2020, 05:22 PM)
IMF: Malaysia's GDP to grow 9% in 2021
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DO NOT LISTEN TO THOSE BIG ORG SAY. They are living in their world
DesRed
post Apr 18 2020, 12:43 PM

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QUOTE(Pain4UrsinZ @ Apr 16 2020, 11:09 AM)
yea i would like to know also, hopefully developer will pay LAD accordingly regardless of MCO.

if housing minstry allow exemption they need to study the case carefully. Example, lakeville block C and D already made known to the buyer that VP will be delayed until JUNE, and this was notified in December few months before MCO. hopefully developer cannot use this as excuses want to deduct the LAD for MCO period.

where to get the answer  hmm.gif ?
*
I agree that it's up to the Housing Ministry's discretion on a case-by-case basis. However, the Coronavirus/Covid-19 pandemic and the MCO that followed cannot be dismissed as just a mere excuse when almost all the business sectors are impacted, including the SMEs, just to keep it under check. Plus many people also got sick and many also died as a result of it.

Even Sabah was under a lockdown as a result of the Lahad Datu terrorist attack many years ago and those suppliers/vendors there couldn't deliver the tractor parts to the company I used to work for in Sarawak for 2 weeks or more as a result of that. We had no choice but to wait as those parts aren't available in the latter state.

Not to say that I'm okay with not paying the LAD when it's due to delays at the developer's end, but this is an unforeseen event that is out of anyone's control.

This post has been edited by DesRed: Apr 18 2020, 12:47 PM
koja6049
post Apr 18 2020, 01:31 PM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Apr 16 2020, 02:13 PM)
Property price stagnant mean incurring about 4% p.a financial loss. Financial loss from a few years holding could be more than nominal price drop.
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why 4%? hmm.gif
Zwean
post Apr 18 2020, 01:37 PM

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QUOTE(koja6049 @ Apr 18 2020, 01:31 PM)
why 4%? hmm.gif
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Icy is basing it off interest costs. rolleyes.gif
koja6049
post Apr 18 2020, 01:39 PM

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QUOTE(Zwean @ Apr 18 2020, 01:37 PM)
Icy is basing it off interest costs.  rolleyes.gif
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but that's too general statement. what about those who pay in cash.

i see it more as an opportunity cost. money not used to buy property may be invested somewhere else, e.g. topglove company which is doing well now biggrin.gif
icemanfx
post Apr 18 2020, 01:48 PM

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QUOTE(koja6049 @ Apr 18 2020, 01:39 PM)
but that's too general statement. what about those who pay in cash.

i see it more as an opportunity cost. money not used to buy property may be invested somewhere else, e.g. topglove company which is doing well now biggrin.gif
*
If one bought poorperly with cash and poorperly price stagnant still loss => FD interest.

Most invested in poorperly because of access to leverage.

This post has been edited by icemanfx: Apr 18 2020, 01:50 PM
koja6049
post Apr 18 2020, 01:50 PM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Apr 18 2020, 01:48 PM)
If one bought poorperly with cash and poorperly price stagnant still loss > FD interest.
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if you compare to fd, it's now only 2.65%... hmm.gif
icemanfx
post Apr 18 2020, 01:52 PM

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QUOTE(koja6049 @ Apr 18 2020, 01:50 PM)
if you compare to fd, it's now only 2.65%...  hmm.gif
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Be realistic, with so many opportunities available, how many invest poorperly with cash?

This post has been edited by icemanfx: Apr 18 2020, 01:52 PM
wsoon82
post Apr 18 2020, 03:03 PM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Apr 18 2020, 01:48 PM)
If one bought poorperly with cash and poorperly price stagnant still loss => FD interest.

Most invested in poorperly because of access to leverage.
*
Don't forget the rental income if rented out, or own stay that you get a Home.

Stress tests done by BNM https://www.malaymail.com/news/malaysia/202...n-house/1853086
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post Apr 18 2020, 03:11 PM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Apr 18 2020, 01:52 PM)
Be realistic, with so many opportunities available, how many invest poorperly with cash?
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You mean 100%? Why do they have to?

It's a tangible asset that's relatively low volatility. Better than most "safe havens" during times like this. Those who are cash rich will leverage higher grads more and ordinary people like me would seize the opportunity to get samsui unit for own stay.

The real investment IMO is in our credit profile


cms
post Apr 18 2020, 03:22 PM

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QUOTE(Captain89 @ Apr 16 2020, 06:59 PM)
2020? Drop by how many percent?
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No difference from following and listening to IBs and Brokers TP for shares. It gets revised as and when the situation changes.
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post Apr 18 2020, 03:47 PM

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QUOTE(wsoon82 @ Apr 18 2020, 03:03 PM)
Don't forget the rental income if rented out, or own stay that you get a Home.

Stress tests done by BNM https://www.malaymail.com/news/malaysia/202...n-house/1853086
*
We all could find out whether numbers is over optimistic or not soon after loan moratorium.

QUOTE(VincentCS @ Apr 18 2020, 03:11 PM)
You mean 100%? Why do they have to?

It's a tangible asset that's relatively low volatility. Better than most "safe havens" during times like this. Those who are cash rich will leverage higher grads more and ordinary people like me would seize the opportunity to get samsui unit for own stay.

The real investment IMO is in our credit profile
*
Poorperly price is slow to move is not because it is a safe haven but illiquid.

Leverage amplify profits as well as losses. In time of economic crisis, those highly leveraged and stressed suffer the most.

You sound like student of poorperly guru; leverage, leverage and leverage.

QUOTE(cms @ Apr 18 2020, 03:22 PM)
No difference from following and listening to IBs and Brokers TP for shares. It gets revised as and when the situation changes.
*
Forecast is based on certain conditions. As Economy, politic, weather, market sentiment, etc is dynamic, hence forecast need to revise accordingly.

This post has been edited by icemanfx: Apr 18 2020, 04:06 PM
VincentCS
post Apr 18 2020, 04:11 PM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Apr 18 2020, 03:47 PM)

Poorperly price is slow to move is not because it is a safe haven but illiquid.

Leverage amplify profits as well as losses. In time of economic crisis, those highly leveraged and stressed suffer the most.

You sound like student of poorperly guru; leverage, leverage and leverage.

*
You contradict your own point on another thread. I'm not sure how I came across as property guru advocate lol, when the truth is I'm so far from that.

The key to the leverage part are: before, During or after recession. One is in deep trouble when highly leverage BEFORE crisis. But same can't be said to those leverage during or after recession.
icemanfx
post Apr 18 2020, 04:36 PM

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QUOTE(VincentCS @ Apr 18 2020, 04:11 PM)
You contradict your own point on another thread. I'm not sure how I came across as property guru advocate lol, when the truth is I'm so far from that.

The key to the leverage part are: before, During or after recession. One is in deep trouble when highly leverage BEFORE crisis. But same can't be said to those leverage during or after recession.
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This would be different ball game. If past economic recession is any precedent, few of those who are highly leveraged before the recession could play.

This post has been edited by icemanfx: Apr 18 2020, 04:36 PM
nexona88
post Apr 18 2020, 04:41 PM

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following and listening to Property Guru or Brokers..
then guarantee ticket to Holland...

they only want to fill up their pockets first...
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post Apr 18 2020, 04:50 PM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Apr 18 2020, 04:36 PM)
This would be different ball game. If past economic recession is any precedent, few of those who are highly leveraged before the recession could play.
*
If anything, this will become depression rather than recession. In 6 months all will be clearer.
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post Apr 18 2020, 04:56 PM

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QUOTE(airtawarian @ Apr 16 2020, 09:36 PM)
DO NOT LISTEN TO THOSE BIG ORG SAY. They are living in their world
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Some are trusted one
Not everyone like that
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post Apr 18 2020, 06:10 PM

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QUOTE(VincentCS @ Apr 18 2020, 04:50 PM)
If anything, this will become depression rather than recession. In 6 months all will be clearer.
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Economic recession is a certainty, depression is likely if MCO is extended and more outbreak and lockdown later.
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post Apr 19 2020, 02:32 AM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Apr 18 2020, 06:10 PM)
Economic recession is a certainty, depression is likely if MCO is extended and more outbreak and lockdown later.
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Recession is consecutive 2 QR of GDP decline. We're now in recession. Depression is when we don't take the lockdown seriously and end up being extended
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post Apr 19 2020, 10:08 AM

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QUOTE(VincentCS @ Apr 19 2020, 02:32 AM)
Recession is consecutive 2 QR of GDP decline. We're now in recession. Depression is when we don't take the lockdown seriously and end up being extended
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If MCO is extended to end of May as many are speculating, the country will loss about 20% of working days for the year. And this could not guarantee new cases, outbreak and lockdown wouldn't occur again.

With porous border with Indonesia, new imported cases is almost a certainty.

This post has been edited by icemanfx: Apr 19 2020, 10:45 AM
Captain89
post Apr 19 2020, 10:15 AM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Apr 18 2020, 06:10 PM)
Economic recession is a certainty, depression is likely if MCO is extended and more outbreak and lockdown later.
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Retrenchment will get even worse
Whole economy will be so screwed that time
nexona88
post Apr 20 2020, 01:07 PM

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The most serious drop in price.. Some house prices may fall by 70% drool.gif

https://www.orientaldaily.com.my/news/natio...20/04/20/336681
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post Apr 20 2020, 01:35 PM

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QUOTE(nexona88 @ Apr 20 2020, 01:07 PM)
The most serious drop in price.. Some house prices may fall by 70% drool.gif

https://www.orientaldaily.com.my/news/natio...20/04/20/336681
*
This agent high fever. laugh.gif
Captain89
post Apr 20 2020, 01:40 PM

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QUOTE(nexona88 @ Apr 20 2020, 01:07 PM)
The most serious drop in price.. Some house prices may fall by 70% drool.gif

https://www.orientaldaily.com.my/news/natio...20/04/20/336681
*
As expected la
icemanfx
post Apr 20 2020, 02:00 PM

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QUOTE(nexona88 @ Apr 20 2020, 01:07 PM)
The most serious drop in price.. Some house prices may fall by 70% drool.gif

https://www.orientaldaily.com.my/news/natio...20/04/20/336681
*
Only those who has experienced AFC 1997 would understand.
AHGS14
post Apr 20 2020, 02:19 PM

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An interesting question to ask is how many of the launched and in progress projects will be completed, instead of being abandoned. I think it's common practise for developers to incorporate individual pte ltd company to undertake each project to insulate the holding company. The bigger companies may be worried about the damage to their reputation should they walk away from a loss making project. Many other SME developers may care less and simply declare bankruptcy for the project company as we have witnessed many past cases of abandoned projects during economic downturns. The banks will own the "project", land & whatever uncompleted buildings and lelong it out to new owner. If banks had disbursed partially loans taken up, would buyers end up owing the banks and need to repay the loans with interest but with no property, nothing to show?
Zwean
post Apr 20 2020, 02:29 PM

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QUOTE(AHGS14 @ Apr 20 2020, 02:19 PM)
An interesting question to ask is how many of the launched and in progress projects will be completed, instead of being abandoned.  I think it's common practise for developers to incorporate individual pte ltd company to undertake each project to insulate the holding company. The bigger companies may be worried about the damage to their reputation should they walk away from a loss making project.  Many other SME developers may care less and simply declare bankruptcy for the project company as we have witnessed many past cases of abandoned projects during economic downturns.  The banks will own the "project", land & whatever uncompleted buildings and lelong it out to new owner.  If banks had disbursed partially loans taken up, would buyers end up owing the banks and need to repay the loans with interest but with no property, nothing to show?
*
1) depends on whether the land is financed or not
2) depends on contractors apply to wind up company or not
3) depends on loan type, certain Islamic loans if abandoned, buyers don’t have to pay.

Conventional loans yes.
nexona88
post Apr 20 2020, 02:32 PM

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QUOTE(Zwean @ Apr 20 2020, 01:35 PM)
This agent high fever.  laugh.gif
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😅🤣😂

So bad of u 😋
nexona88
post Apr 20 2020, 02:34 PM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Apr 20 2020, 02:00 PM)
Only those who has experienced AFC 1997 would understand.
*
Well that time very serious..
This time might be even worse 😣
2387581
post Apr 20 2020, 02:49 PM

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would this present an opportunity for me to buy a place for own stay at reasonable price?
Zwean
post Apr 20 2020, 02:56 PM

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QUOTE(nexona88 @ Apr 20 2020, 02:32 PM)
😅🤣😂

So bad of u 😋
*
I'm not going to go into the intricacies to explain why a correction that deep will not happen.

To keep it simple, for asset price to fall that much the rental yield will have to fall significantly.

With no sharp excess supply pouring into the market it is simply not possible.

Unless COVID-20 appears and kills 90% of the world population. laugh.gif
DiRecToRofSaTaN
post Apr 20 2020, 02:57 PM

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QUOTE(2387581 @ Apr 20 2020, 02:49 PM)
would this present an opportunity for me to buy a place for own stay at reasonable price?
*
The right time to buy if you are having a lot of dough to spare in this trying times.
icemanfx
post Apr 20 2020, 03:19 PM

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QUOTE(AHGS14 @ Apr 20 2020, 02:19 PM)
An interesting question to ask is how many of the launched and in progress projects will be completed, instead of being abandoned.  I think it's common practise for developers to incorporate individual pte ltd company to undertake each project to insulate the holding company. The bigger companies may be worried about the damage to their reputation should they walk away from a loss making project.  Many other SME developers may care less and simply declare bankruptcy for the project company as we have witnessed many past cases of abandoned projects during economic downturns.  The banks will own the "project", land & whatever uncompleted buildings and lelong it out to new owner.  If banks had disbursed partially loans taken up, would buyers end up owing the banks and need to repay the loans with interest but with no property, nothing to show?
*
Only if you know how many plc and big time developers are in talk on restructuring.

QUOTE(nexona88 @ Apr 20 2020, 02:34 PM)
Well  that time very serious..
This time might be even worse 😣
*
Yes, this recession will be worse and longer than AFC 97.

QUOTE(Zwean @ Apr 20 2020, 02:56 PM)
I'm not going to go into the intricacies to explain why a correction that deep will not happen.

To keep it simple, for asset price to fall that much the rental yield will have to fall significantly.

With no sharp excess supply pouring into the market it is simply not possible.

Unless COVID-20 appears and kills 90% of the world population.  laugh.gif
*
Most if not all contractors, suppliers, service providers, etc to developer received multiple contra units. It is not at all surprised for them to offload at substantial cheaper price for cash flow.

If one knows where to look could find.

This post has been edited by icemanfx: Apr 20 2020, 03:23 PM
Zwean
post Apr 20 2020, 03:32 PM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Apr 20 2020, 03:19 PM)
Most if not all contractors, suppliers, service providers, etc to developer received multiple contra units. It is not at all surprised for them to offload at substantial cheaper price for cash flow.

If one knows where to look could find.
*
That is a fair assumption, correction is to be expected. But nowhere that as deep and wide, and will be short lived.

This post has been edited by Zwean: Apr 20 2020, 03:43 PM
icemanfx
post Apr 20 2020, 03:35 PM

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QUOTE(Zwean @ Apr 20 2020, 03:32 PM)
That is a fair assumption, correction is to be expected. But nowhere that as deep and wife, and will be short lived.
*
The elephant in the room is overhang/unsold/idling units in both primary and secondary market.

Zwean
post Apr 20 2020, 03:40 PM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Apr 20 2020, 03:35 PM)
The elephant in the room is overhang/unsold/idling units in both primary and secondary market.
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Developers have already and will slow down launches in the short medium term.

For those that are not strong, let them wind up.

Pity the buyers.
icemanfx
post Apr 20 2020, 03:47 PM

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QUOTE(Zwean @ Apr 20 2020, 03:40 PM)
Developers have already and will slow down launches in the short medium term.

For those that are not strong, let them wind up.

Pity the buyers.
*
Poorperly overhang in primary market is still widening.

Many developers bought land bank with borrowing from bank or bonds, is incurring interest. They are more likely to launch cheaper price unit soon than leaving it idle else the land could become financially not feasible to develop.

This post has been edited by icemanfx: Apr 20 2020, 03:48 PM
kochin
post Apr 20 2020, 05:32 PM

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QUOTE(AHGS14 @ Apr 20 2020, 02:19 PM)
An interesting question to ask is how many of the launched and in progress projects will be completed, instead of being abandoned.  I think it's common practise for developers to incorporate individual pte ltd company to undertake each project to insulate the holding company. The bigger companies may be worried about the damage to their reputation should they walk away from a loss making project.  Many other SME developers may care less and simply declare bankruptcy for the project company as we have witnessed many past cases of abandoned projects during economic downturns.  The banks will own the "project", land & whatever uncompleted buildings and lelong it out to new owner.  If banks had disbursed partially loans taken up, would buyers end up owing the banks and need to repay the loans with interest but with no property, nothing to show?
*
Your assumptions are largely correct.

Small to Mid even some Big developers may choose to forsake and abandon projects. As almost all developers uses a subsidiary to undertake developments, the parent company would be shielded from the limited liabilities.
And yes, owners who financed their purchases would need to repay the loans disbursed including interest but with no property.
Zwean
post Apr 20 2020, 05:36 PM

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Lmao Tony beh tahan
kochin
post Apr 20 2020, 05:38 PM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Apr 20 2020, 03:19 PM)

Yes, this recession will be worse and longer than AFC 97.



*
i am cautiously optimistic that our country may not suffered much from this and expected to recover with a strong pace.
the last few days has shown very encouraging results and the bank moratorium provided a very huge relief on a lot of parties.

take china for example. start of epidemic to lockdown to uplifting. what is the total period and its implication towards their economy and growth?
and by drawing similar comparison of theirs to us, i can see similarities.

fingers crossed the worst has already passed.

icemanfx
post Apr 20 2020, 06:04 PM

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QUOTE(kochin @ Apr 20 2020, 05:38 PM)
i am cautiously optimistic that our country may not suffered much from this and expected to recover with a strong pace.
the last few days has shown very encouraging results and the bank moratorium provided a very huge relief on a lot of parties.

take china for example. start of epidemic to lockdown to uplifting. what is the total period and its implication towards their economy and growth?
and by drawing similar comparison of theirs to us, i can see similarities.

fingers crossed the worst has already passed.
*
What is happening in China will similarly happen to us later. However, most if not all plc and big companies in China are soe, have almost unlimited backing and resources to sustain.

Pboc has wide range of tools and more resources available to support the market e.g property, stocks that may not available to bnm.

If one has access to news for domestic consumption could find sme and private enterprise in China are facing cash flow difficulty, cancelled orders, substantial dropped in revenue, etc, many could soon close or down size especially those in retail.

Given many companies and individuals are over geared in this country; if lockdown is earthquake, there will be tsunami.

https://asia.nikkei.com/Economy/China-econo...ts-crush-demand

This post has been edited by icemanfx: Apr 20 2020, 06:21 PM
SUSnot timid and slow
post Apr 20 2020, 08:49 PM

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QUOTE(koja6049 @ Apr 18 2020, 01:50 PM)
if you compare to fd, it's now only 2.65%...  hmm.gif
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ambank FD promo 3.5% for 6 or 12 months


QUOTE(Zwean @ Apr 20 2020, 02:56 PM)
I'm not going to go into the intricacies to explain why a correction that deep will not happen.

To keep it simple, for asset price to fall that much the rental yield will have to fall significantly.

With no sharp excess supply pouring into the market it is simply not possible.

Unless COVID-20 appears and kills 90% of the world population.  laugh.gif
*
thank you for your succint summary. i think you are corect. people still need a place to stay , regardless of whether they buy or rent.

our population will continue growing. urban areas will continue to host foreign labor.
icemanfx
post Apr 20 2020, 08:53 PM

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QUOTE(not timid and slow @ Apr 20 2020, 08:49 PM)
ambank FD promo 3.5% for 6 or 12 months
thank you for your succint summary. i think you are corect. people still need a place to stay , regardless of whether they buy or rent.

our population will continue growing. urban areas will continue to host foreign labor.
*
Population growth rate is slowing down and in about 2030, this country will become ageing nation.

So foreign labours will stay in high rise condo?

If demand is rising, how to explain property overhang?

This post has been edited by icemanfx: Apr 20 2020, 08:53 PM
Zwean
post Apr 20 2020, 08:57 PM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Apr 20 2020, 08:53 PM)
Population growth rate is slowing down and in about 2030, this country will become ageing nation.

So foreign labours will stay in high rise condo?

If demand is rising, how to explain property overhang?
*
"Ageing" not aged.

https://www.statista.com/statistics/318690/...on-in-malaysia/

2030 median age estimate of Malaysia is at 34.1.
SUSnot timid and slow
post Apr 20 2020, 08:59 PM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Apr 20 2020, 08:53 PM)
Population growth rate is slowing down and in about 2030, this country will become ageing nation.

So foreign labours will stay in high rise condo?

If demand is rising, how to explain property overhang?
*
ageing people still need to stay somewhere , correct ?

foreign labor will stay in medium cost high rise housing , with 6-8 people per unit.
icemanfx
post Apr 20 2020, 09:18 PM

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QUOTE(Zwean @ Apr 20 2020, 08:57 PM)
"Ageing" not aged.

https://www.statista.com/statistics/318690/...on-in-malaysia/

2030 median age estimate of Malaysia is at 34.1.
*
https://www.nst.com.my/news/nation/2019/12/...eing-population

QUOTE(not timid and slow @ Apr 20 2020, 08:59 PM)
ageing people still need to stay somewhere , correct ?

foreign labor will stay in medium cost high rise housing , with 6-8 people per unit.
*
How to define medium cost high rise?

This post has been edited by icemanfx: Apr 20 2020, 09:25 PM
Zwean
post Apr 20 2020, 09:30 PM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Apr 20 2020, 09:18 PM)
34.1 is not an aged nation.

Median age is still young relative to other first world countries.
icemanfx
post Apr 20 2020, 09:46 PM

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QUOTE(Zwean @ Apr 20 2020, 09:30 PM)
34.1 is not an aged nation.

Median age is still young relative to other first world countries.
*
Median age is not the issue. Ageing nation, fewer productive population is the concern.

Zwean
post Apr 20 2020, 10:26 PM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Apr 20 2020, 09:46 PM)
Median age is not the issue. Ageing nation, fewer productive population is the concern.
*
Ageing nation is basically a measure of how good a country's health care system is.

I'm sorry, but you have to make sense of data properly before using it as an argument. Notice first world countries with high 65 and above population.

Learn to see how it correlates, where were these first world countries back when they had our numbers and the growth of asset prices from then till now.

I don't see asset prices fall because of high % of 65 above population. Certainly no stagnancy of asset prices just because median age has increased.

Malaysia
Median age - 30.3 (2020)
65 above - 6.3% (2017)

Singapore
Median age - 42.2 (2020)
65 above - 11.46 (2020)

Australia
Median age - 37.9 (2020)
65 above - 15% (2018)

UK
Median age - 40.5 (2020)
65 above - 18% (2016)

America
Median age - 38.2 (2018)
65 above - 16% (2017)

Sweden
Median age - 40.9 (2015)
65 above - 20.1% (2018)


Thailand
Median age - 40.1 (2020)
65 above - 11.9% (2018)
icemanfx
post Apr 20 2020, 10:45 PM

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QUOTE(Zwean @ Apr 20 2020, 10:26 PM)
Ageing nation is basically a measure of how good a country's health care system is.

I'm sorry, but you have to make sense of data properly before using it as an argument. Notice first world countries with high 65 and above population.

Learn to see how it correlates, where were these first world countries back when they had our numbers and the growth of asset prices from then till now.

I don't see asset prices fall because of high % of 65 above population. Certainly no stagnancy of asset prices just because median age has increased.

Malaysia
Median age - 30.3 (2020)
65 above - 6.3% (2017)

Singapore
Median age - 42.2 (2020)
65 above - 11.46 (2020)

Australia
Median age - 37.9 (2020)
65 above - 15% (2018)

UK
Median age - 40.5 (2020)
65 above - 18% (2016)

America
Median age - 38.2 (2018)
65 above - 16% (2017)

Sweden
Median age - 40.9 (2015)
65 above - 20.1% (2018)
Thailand
Median age - 40.1 (2020)
65 above - 11.9% (2018)
*
Property bull run is unlikely for many years.
Zwean
post Apr 20 2020, 10:47 PM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Apr 20 2020, 10:45 PM)
Property bull run is unlikely for many years.
*
I didn’t say a bull run is coming.

Im saying that the correlation coefficient is close to 0.
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post Apr 20 2020, 10:54 PM

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QUOTE(AHGS14 @ Apr 20 2020, 02:19 PM)
An interesting question to ask is how many of the launched and in progress projects will be completed, instead of being abandoned.  I think it's common practise for developers to incorporate individual pte ltd company to undertake each project to insulate the holding company. The bigger companies may be worried about the damage to their reputation should they walk away from a loss making project.  Many other SME developers may care less and simply declare bankruptcy for the project company as we have witnessed many past cases of abandoned projects during economic downturns.  The banks will own the "project", land & whatever uncompleted buildings and lelong it out to new owner.  If banks had disbursed partially loans taken up, would buyers end up owing the banks and need to repay the loans with interest but with no property, nothing to show?
*
thumbup.gif thumbup.gif
icemanfx
post Apr 20 2020, 10:55 PM

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QUOTE(Zwean @ Apr 20 2020, 10:47 PM)
I didn’t say a bull run is coming.

Im saying that the correlation coefficient is close to 0.
*
We all will find out in next year or so.

This post has been edited by icemanfx: Apr 21 2020, 12:18 AM
AskarPerang
post Apr 21 2020, 02:33 AM

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post Apr 21 2020, 09:21 AM

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QUOTE(AskarPerang @ Apr 21 2020, 02:33 AM)

*
Edgeprop is literally a website that survive by other ppl buying property... haha
Zwean
post Apr 21 2020, 10:30 AM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Apr 20 2020, 10:55 PM)
We all will find out in next year or so.
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If you are out from the coconut shell, you will know.
nexona88
post Apr 21 2020, 11:22 AM

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QUOTE(AskarPerang @ Apr 21 2020, 02:33 AM)

*
Huh?
This one shyoik sendiri article 😁

Many target crash.. this one expect surge in pricing...
icemanfx
post Apr 21 2020, 12:09 PM

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QUOTE(Zwean @ Apr 21 2020, 10:30 AM)
If you are out from the coconut shell, you will know.
*
The world is my oyster.

QUOTE(nexona88 @ Apr 21 2020, 11:22 AM)
Huh?
This one shyoik sendiri article 😁

Many target crash.. this one expect surge in pricing...
*
Many of those with vested interest are in denial, their hope and wish could be far from reality.
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post Apr 21 2020, 12:39 PM

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QUOTE(Zwean @ Apr 20 2020, 02:29 PM)
1) depends on whether the land is financed or not
2) depends on contractors apply to wind up company or not
3) depends on loan type, certain Islamic loans if abandoned, buyers don’t have to pay.

Conventional loans yes.
*
What is financed land? Does rumawip count ?
Zwean
post Apr 21 2020, 01:01 PM

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QUOTE(iOrange @ Apr 21 2020, 12:39 PM)
What is financed land? Does rumawip count ?
*
Check whether the land is free from encumbrances or not on the developer printed promotional brochures.
nexona88
post Apr 21 2020, 01:09 PM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Apr 21 2020, 12:09 PM)
Many of those with vested interest are in denial, their hope and wish could be far from reality.
*
when reality hits them hard..
then only realized dry.gif
already many signs showing...
icemanfx
post Apr 21 2020, 01:20 PM

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QUOTE(nexona88 @ Apr 21 2020, 01:09 PM)
when reality hits them hard..
then only realized  dry.gif
already many signs showing...
*
Those in denial see incoming train in tunnel as the light at the end of tunnel, won't know what hit them.
CastleInTheAir
post Apr 23 2020, 06:26 PM

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DISCONTINUANCE OF A BUKIT JALIL CONDO PURCHASE UNDER CONSTRUCTION

HDA (SPA ) Clause 11, in part, stated if a purchaser fails to pay any installment, where up to 50% of the purchase price has been paid, the Developer may terminate the SPA, forfeit 10% of the purchase price and refund the residual sum previously paid back to the purchaser.

I have already paid 27.5% of the progress payments.
In view that property prices is expected to tread lower, I am thinking of forfeiting 10% of the purchase price to the developer and opt out of the purchase.
This is aside if there's any bank loan may have been obtained and the cost to be incurred in termination the same.

The rational is that it is likely I may be able to repurchase a comparative property at an even bigger discount or even upscale to a landed property.

This is essentially a business transaction and anyone in such a situation is simply exercising rights bestowed to both purchaser/s and developer.

Any views from anyone thinking of this avenue?
kochin
post Apr 23 2020, 06:33 PM

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QUOTE(CastleInTheAir @ Apr 23 2020, 06:26 PM)
DISCONTINUANCE OF A BUKIT JALIL CONDO PURCHASE UNDER CONSTRUCTION

HDA (SPA ) Clause 11, in part, stated if a purchaser fails to pay any installment, where up to 50% of the purchase price has been paid, the Developer may terminate the SPA, forfeit 10% of the purchase price and refund the residual sum previously paid back to the purchaser.

I have already paid 27.5% of the progress payments.
In view that property prices is expected to tread lower, I am thinking of forfeiting 10% of the purchase price to the developer and opt out of the purchase.
This is aside if there's any bank loan may have been obtained and the cost to be incurred in termination the same.

The rational is that it is likely I may be able to repurchase a comparative property at an even bigger discount or even upscale to a landed property.

This is essentially a business transaction and anyone in such a situation is simply exercising rights bestowed to both purchaser/s and developer.

Any views from anyone thinking of this avenue?
*
you are certainly correct to do so.
please do calculate the absolute cost associated with your approach.
besides losing the 10%, you may be looking at other ancillary cost such as:
1. legal cost
2. stamping fees
3. bank penalty cost (usually ranging 2-5% of the loan amount)

try to think deep, they are plenty of more creative options to reduce your exposure yet reduces this hefty penalties. after all 10-15% of your property purchase price is still a respectable amount to most people.
cy91
post Apr 23 2020, 06:41 PM

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QUOTE(CastleInTheAir @ Apr 23 2020, 06:26 PM)
DISCONTINUANCE OF A BUKIT JALIL CONDO PURCHASE UNDER CONSTRUCTION

HDA (SPA ) Clause 11, in part, stated if a purchaser fails to pay any installment, where up to 50% of the purchase price has been paid, the Developer may terminate the SPA, forfeit 10% of the purchase price and refund the residual sum previously paid back to the purchaser.

I have already paid 27.5% of the progress payments.
In view that property prices is expected to tread lower, I am thinking of forfeiting 10% of the purchase price to the developer and opt out of the purchase.
This is aside if there's any bank loan may have been obtained and the cost to be incurred in termination the same.

The rational is that it is likely I may be able to repurchase a comparative property at an even bigger discount or even upscale to a landed property.

This is essentially a business transaction and anyone in such a situation is simply exercising rights bestowed to both purchaser/s and developer.

Any views from anyone thinking of this avenue?
*
Which property in bukit jalil? I can help u check okay or not..
CastleInTheAir
post Apr 23 2020, 07:12 PM

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QUOTE(cy91 @ Apr 23 2020, 06:41 PM)
Which property in bukit jalil? I can help u check okay or not..
*
Thank you, I'm fine.

The idea for discussion here is opting out of any purchase anywhere under construction and possibly to repurchase another one in the market post MCO, only if there's a real good discount.
Should I decide in the affirmative, I shall get my solicitor to facilitate. Just to adhere to mutual covenants between purchaser and developer as per the spa.
Forgoing a 10% forfeiture to the developer in this case is fair.


CastleInTheAir
post Apr 23 2020, 07:27 PM

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QUOTE(kochin @ Apr 23 2020, 06:33 PM)
you are certainly correct to do so.
please do calculate the absolute cost associated with your approach.
besides losing the 10%, you may be looking at other ancillary cost such as:
1. legal cost
2. stamping fees
3. bank penalty cost (usually ranging 2-5% of the loan amount)

try to think deep, they are plenty of more creative options to reduce your exposure yet reduces this hefty penalties. after all 10-15% of your property purchase price is still a respectable amount to most people.
*
Thank you,
I do not have a bank loan.
The spa legal and stamping fees was borne by the developer. I do not see anywhere in the spa that the developer has to be reimbursed on this.
Mot duty is only payable upon issuance of strata title.

icemanfx
post Apr 24 2020, 06:47 AM

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MCO was not meant to and couldn't eradicate the virus but to flatten the curve. MOH data in last two weeks showed the curve has flattened. MCO extension to 12th may could mean MOH data is unreliable for some reasons.

If MCO is further extended to 26th may as some have speculated, the country will have loss about 20% of working days for the year. Most companies is unlikely to make a profit this financial year, many will close and the consequences will be huge and lasting.

Home buying is almost a lifetime commitment, believe most will delay the purchase until uncertainty is more manageable. Besides, home loan available is likely be restricted.

If lockdown is economy deep freeze, there will be flooding when it thawed.

This post has been edited by icemanfx: Apr 24 2020, 06:56 AM
Zwean
post Apr 24 2020, 10:09 AM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Apr 24 2020, 06:47 AM)
If lockdown is economy deep freeze, there will be flooding when it thawed.
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I never expected to read any positive comment from you. (In general)
DiRecToRofSaTaN
post Apr 24 2020, 10:17 AM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Apr 24 2020, 06:47 AM)
MCO was not meant to and couldn't eradicate the virus but to flatten the curve. MOH data in last two weeks showed the curve has flattened. MCO extension to 12th may could mean MOH data is unreliable for some reasons.

If MCO is further extended to 26th may as some have speculated, the country will have loss about 20% of working days for the year. Most companies is unlikely to make a profit this financial year, many will close and the consequences will be huge and lasting.

Home buying is almost a lifetime commitment, believe most will delay the purchase until uncertainty is more manageable. Besides, home loan available is likely be restricted.

If lockdown is economy deep freeze, there will be flooding when it thawed.
*
It seems that an early lift of MCO will just makes things worst... another 2 weeks it is then,
heavensea
post Apr 24 2020, 10:26 AM

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Suggest you guys to study history of pandemic the re-ask this question again.
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post Apr 24 2020, 10:28 AM

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QUOTE(Zwean @ Apr 24 2020, 10:09 AM)
I never expected to read any positive comment from you. (In general)
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cos she never has a good life ...how u can expect to get courage from loser?
icemanfx
post Apr 24 2020, 10:32 AM

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QUOTE(Zwean @ Apr 24 2020, 10:09 AM)
I never expected to read any positive comment from you. (In general)
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Opportunity favour the prepared mind. Save strangers from pitfalls is good karma.

QUOTE(DiRecToRofSaTaN @ Apr 24 2020, 10:17 AM)
It seems that  an early lift of MCO will just makes things worst... another 2 weeks  it is then,
*
Extended MCO couldn't guarantee outbreak and lockdown will not occur again.

This post has been edited by icemanfx: Apr 24 2020, 10:38 AM
icemanfx
post Apr 24 2020, 10:33 AM

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QUOTE(bigman @ Apr 24 2020, 10:28 AM)
cos she never has a good life ...how u can expect to get courage from loser?
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Only if you know.
DiRecToRofSaTaN
post Apr 24 2020, 10:43 AM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Apr 24 2020, 10:32 AM)
Opportunity favour the prepared mind. Save strangers from pitfalls is good karma.
Extended MCO couldn't guarantee outbreak and lockdown will not occur again.
*
Its not a guaranteed but it is an effort made to lessen the tsunami impact. That's way better than not taking any effort at all or be complacent about it.
Zwean
post Apr 24 2020, 11:12 AM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Apr 24 2020, 10:33 AM)
Only if you know.
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I think we all know, its like seeing a shiny pikachu.

icemanfx
post Apr 24 2020, 12:41 PM

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QUOTE(Zwean @ Apr 24 2020, 11:12 AM)
I think we all know, its like seeing a shiny pikachu.
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For reasons, you live in coconut shell.
jepakazoid_82
post Apr 24 2020, 12:57 PM

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hi guys. Since the rain is quite heavy nowadays, my roof is partially leaking and the wooden beam has been wet. Water seeping through my plaster ceiling now. Anybody got contact who can come to my house in shah alam during the MCO period? Thank you guys. Takut roboh.
Zwean
post Apr 24 2020, 01:37 PM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Apr 24 2020, 12:41 PM)
For reasons, you live in coconut shell.
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Said the person living in the coconut shell.

This post has been edited by Zwean: Apr 24 2020, 01:38 PM
bigman
post Apr 24 2020, 01:40 PM

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QUOTE(jepakazoid_82 @ Apr 24 2020, 12:57 PM)
hi guys. Since the rain is quite heavy nowadays, my roof is partially leaking and the wooden beam has been wet. Water seeping through my plaster ceiling now. Anybody got contact who can come to my house in shah alam during the MCO period? Thank you guys. Takut roboh.
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check kaodim.com
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post Apr 24 2020, 08:35 PM

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QUOTE(nexona88 @ Apr 20 2020, 01:07 PM)
The most serious drop in price.. Some house prices may fall by 70% drool.gif

https://www.orientaldaily.com.my/news/natio...20/04/20/336681
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he is very famous in the industry

most of his statements is pessimistic. i dont know how such person is suitable to be a sale agent ...
nexona88
post Apr 24 2020, 08:46 PM

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QUOTE(forever1979 @ Apr 24 2020, 08:35 PM)
he is very famous in the industry

most of his statements is pessimistic. i  dont know how such person is suitable to be  a sale agent ...
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Endless possibilities 🤣

As long got people follow or accept..
Life goes on...
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post Apr 25 2020, 11:45 AM

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QUOTE(forever1979 @ Apr 24 2020, 08:35 PM)
he is very famous in the industry

most of his statements is pessimistic. i  dont know how such person is suitable to be  a sale agent ...
*
Aiyo, only up or down 2 direction only mah, everyone can blow water.
Like share market, a lot tycoon said too high and will crisis since 2012, finally after 8 years, drop now. Who still remember the blow water tycoon?


Zwean
post Apr 25 2020, 11:55 AM

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QUOTE(Million Gor @ Apr 25 2020, 11:45 AM)
Aiyo, only up or down 2 direction only mah, everyone can blow water.
Like share market, a lot tycoon said too high and will crisis since 2012, finally after 8 years, drop now. Who still remember the blow water tycoon?
*
The same guy saying prop Market will fall since 2013, then repeat yearly. Until today wah!!! See I’m so wise!!!


icemanfx
post Apr 25 2020, 01:03 PM

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QUOTE(Million Gor @ Apr 25 2020, 11:45 AM)
Aiyo, only up or down 2 direction only mah, everyone can blow water.
Like share market, a lot tycoon said too high and will crisis since 2012, finally after 8 years, drop now. Who still remember the blow water tycoon?
*
QUOTE(Zwean @ Apr 25 2020, 11:55 AM)
The same guy saying prop Market will fall since 2013, then repeat yearly. Until today wah!!! See I’m so wise!!!
*
Unlike stocks, poorperly is illiquid, price takes years to bottom. Price trends in last few years proved who is realistic and who is in oblivious or syok sendiri. And price is continuing on down trends.

This post has been edited by icemanfx: Apr 25 2020, 01:04 PM
realventis
post Apr 25 2020, 01:13 PM

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Just to highlight the properties current trend in the market..

I saw a lot of discounts and incentives recently from developer (mostly discount 10% so that downpayment is 0) and other rebates such as legal fee is free, SPA free etc..

Crazy booking fee until rm99 lagi..

But I still not yet see the price of properties fall..

Any insider (developer, bank, government body) can share what will going to happen in the next 6 months for property price?
Zwean
post Apr 25 2020, 01:20 PM

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QUOTE(realventis @ Apr 25 2020, 01:13 PM)
Just to highlight the properties current trend in the market..

I saw a lot of discounts and incentives recently from developer (mostly discount 10% so that downpayment is 0) and other rebates such as legal fee is free, SPA free etc..

Crazy booking fee until rm99 lagi..

But I still not yet see the price of properties fall..

Any insider (developer, bank, government body) can share what will going to happen in the next 6 months for property price?
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This is common practice, prevalent way before MCO.
wsoon82
post Apr 25 2020, 01:20 PM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Apr 24 2020, 06:47 AM)
MCO was not meant to and couldn't eradicate the virus but to flatten the curve. MOH data in last two weeks showed the curve has flattened. MCO extension to 12th may could mean MOH data is unreliable for some reasons.

If MCO is further extended to 26th may as some have speculated, the country will have loss about 20% of working days for the year. Most companies is unlikely to make a profit this financial year, many will close and the consequences will be huge and lasting.

Home buying is almost a lifetime commitment, believe most will delay the purchase until uncertainty is more manageable. Besides, home loan available is likely be restricted.

If lockdown is economy deep freeze, there will be flooding when it thawed.
*
Many people including myself have not lost a single working day, we are still working from home, get paid and get our bonus and increment. I work with a people from many countries, the situation is improving, and many people are still working hard. #Always prepared and stay positive.
Zwean
post Apr 25 2020, 01:21 PM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Apr 25 2020, 01:03 PM)
Unlike stocks, poorperly is illiquid, price takes years to bottom. Price trends in last few years proved who is realistic and who is in oblivious or syok sendiri. And price is continuing on down trends.
*
Self explanatory graph.

Malaysia House Price Index YoY Change

user posted image

This post has been edited by Zwean: Apr 25 2020, 01:21 PM
icemanfx
post Apr 25 2020, 01:26 PM

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QUOTE(wsoon82 @ Apr 25 2020, 01:20 PM)
Many people including myself have not lost a single working day, we are still working from home, get paid and get our bonus and increment. I work with a people from many countries, the situation is improving, and many people are still working hard. #Always prepared and stay positive.
*
You are the lucky few. If many are still working, unemployment wouldn't rise to record number.

QUOTE(Zwean @ Apr 25 2020, 01:21 PM)
Self explanatory graph.

Malaysia House Price Index YoY Change

user posted image
*
Guess you are not aware auction price is not included in the index.
Zwean
post Apr 25 2020, 01:44 PM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Apr 25 2020, 01:26 PM)
You are the lucky few. If many are still working, unemployment wouldn't rise to record number.
Guess you are not aware auction price is not included in the index.
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Auctions are not substantial enough to shake the market. Dwelve into the data and facts.
realventis
post Apr 25 2020, 01:48 PM

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QUOTE(Zwean @ Apr 25 2020, 01:20 PM)
This is common practice, prevalent way before MCO.
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Yes.. which means that it is still the same practice..
but is it implies that this practice can be apply now (during MCO)?
What strategy will gov, bank and developer will take for this MCO stage?

wsoon82
post Apr 25 2020, 01:52 PM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Apr 25 2020, 01:26 PM)
You are the lucky few. If many are still working, unemployment wouldn't rise to record number.
Guess you are not aware auction price is not included in the index.
*
I have friends who lost their income also but they stay positive, one doing home cooking and delivering food etc. it is important to stay positive.
The feedbacks I received directly from people living in those heavily affected countries are the situation is improving and they have been doing what they can from home and some already back to the offices. They are very positive.
The BNM stress check report has its basis, people will protect their home first, that's why property price is resilient, you certainly don't want your family lost the home, and you certainly do not want to be kicked out if you are renting.
The fact is someone keep telling himself not bottom yet, he will never make the buy call because he does not know when is the bottom.
Zwean
post Apr 25 2020, 01:57 PM

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QUOTE(realventis @ Apr 25 2020, 01:48 PM)
Yes.. which means that it is still the same practice..
but is it implies that this practice can be apply now (during MCO)?
What strategy will gov, bank and developer will take for this MCO stage?
*
Foresee some projects being abandoned because of cashflow issues.

Not so concerned about top tier developers.

Loan growth will slow until a cure is found, once cure is found. Foresee governments globally will be looking at spurring the economy.

Whether through fiscal, monetary policy or QE. etc.
icemanfx
post Apr 25 2020, 02:12 PM

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QUOTE(Zwean @ Apr 25 2020, 01:44 PM)
Auctions are not substantial enough to shake the market. Dwelve into the data and facts.
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Auction price is considered by valuers in valuation report, which will impact LTV.

QUOTE(wsoon82 @ Apr 25 2020, 01:52 PM)
I have friends who lost their income also but they stay positive, one doing home cooking and delivering food etc. it is important to stay positive.
The feedbacks I received directly from people living in those heavily affected countries are the situation is improving and they have been doing what they can from home and some already back to the offices. They are very positive.
The BNM stress check report has its basis, people will protect their home first, that's why property price is resilient, you certainly don't want your family lost the home, and you certainly do not want to be kicked out if you are renting.
The fact is someone keep telling himself not bottom yet, he will never make the buy call because he does not know when is the bottom.
*
Number of own stay property to be auctioned may be fewer but not those for investment/flipping. Substantial number of property bought in last few years were for investment/flipping and many of these are at risk.

In EU and u.s, they have unemployment benefits and social welfare support. Hence, could afford to remain positive. Unlike the boleh land has little social welfare.

Reality remain unchanged, no matter how much one try to fool himself.

QUOTE(Zwean @ Apr 25 2020, 01:57 PM)
Foresee some projects being abandoned because of cashflow issues.

Not so concerned about top tier developers.

Loan growth will slow until a cure is found, once cure is found. Foresee governments globally will be looking at spurring the economy.

Whether through fiscal, monetary policy or QE. etc.
*
Only if you know how many top tier developers are in talk on restructuring.

This recession is larger than any government include u.s.a could handle independently and multilateral concerted action is unlikely before biden is sworn in.

This post has been edited by icemanfx: Apr 25 2020, 02:22 PM
eric.tangps
post Apr 25 2020, 02:21 PM

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Point to consider, Auction takes a long process from Notice of Demand, Form 16D and Order for Sale. It is not 1-2 months but rather might take up to a year to set a date for Property Auction.

So a default now, auction might take place next year for properties with title.
wsoon82
post Apr 25 2020, 02:24 PM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Apr 25 2020, 02:12 PM)
Auction price is considered by valuers in valuation report, which will impact LTV.
Number of own stay property to be auctioned may be fewer but not those for investment/flipping. Substantial number of property bought in last few years were for investment/flipping and many of these are at risk.
Only if you know how many top tier developers are in talk on restructuring.

This recession is larger than any government could handle independently and multilateral concerted action is unlikely before biden is sworn in.
*
Last few years already not many people buy to flip already lah....Not many new development also... Those flipping have to take the consequences, we don't need to worry for them. If got good deal, and we are prepared, we can take it.
Brandonben
post Apr 25 2020, 02:32 PM

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Hi guys,

a quick question, before MCO i sign the loan agreement with bank to purchase home for own stay. However, due to the MCO, i have not had the chance sign any legal fees nor make any payment for SPA or set up a meet with my lawyer although they have already given quotation for the legal fees, etc.

And now im having a second thought considering the uncertainties of the current crisis (fear of retrenchment as i work in o&G industry), i plan to terminate the loan, albeit there will be penalty of rm2k from bank for loan termination, also the deposit of rm5k to developer will burn.

Do i continue on or do i terminate the loan and take the wait and see approach?

forever1979
post Apr 25 2020, 02:50 PM

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QUOTE(eric.tangps @ Apr 25 2020, 02:21 PM)
Point to consider, Auction takes a long process from Notice of Demand, Form 16D and Order for Sale.  It is not 1-2 months but rather might take up to a year to set a date for Property Auction.

So a default now, auction might take place next year for properties with title.
*
yes, for title case is long.

but now flippers normally hold those highrise newly Vp props, LACA process is much faster
and you can fixed the unsuccessful property for next auction like in 10 days with normally 10% reduced reserve price.
icemanfx
post Apr 25 2020, 03:00 PM

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QUOTE(eric.tangps @ Apr 25 2020, 02:21 PM)
Point to consider, Auction takes a long process from Notice of Demand, Form 16D and Order for Sale.  It is not 1-2 months but rather might take up to a year to set a date for Property Auction.

So a default now, auction might take place next year for properties with title.
*
Yes for those with title. However, those with deed of assignments and poa, bank could put on auction as soon as it becomes npl.
wsoon82
post Apr 25 2020, 03:01 PM

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QUOTE(Brandonben @ Apr 25 2020, 02:32 PM)
Hi guys,

a quick question, before MCO i sign the loan agreement with bank to purchase home for own stay. However, due to the MCO, i have not had the chance sign any legal fees nor make any payment for SPA or set up a meet with my lawyer although they have already given quotation for the legal fees, etc.

And now im having a second thought considering the uncertainties of the current crisis (fear of retrenchment as i work in o&G industry), i plan to terminate the loan, albeit there will be penalty of rm2k from bank for loan termination, also the deposit of rm5k to developer will burn.

Do i continue on or do i terminate the loan and take the wait and see approach?
*
Only you can make the decision because there are so many factors to consider. The property is already completed? If it is in 3 year time then you only need to pay interest. The reasons you bought that property, your own financial situation, etc. etc.
icemanfx
post Apr 25 2020, 03:07 PM

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QUOTE(wsoon82 @ Apr 25 2020, 02:24 PM)
Last few years already not many people buy to flip already lah....Not many new development also... Those flipping have to take the consequences, we don't need to worry for them. If got good deal, and we are prepared, we can take it.
*
Widening property overhang and napic data said otherwise.

The question is how many of those bought to flip still holding on or unable to sell? Believe those unsold/idling/overhang in secondary/subsale market is >3 times of developers/primary market.

This post has been edited by icemanfx: Apr 25 2020, 03:10 PM
AHGS14
post Apr 25 2020, 03:09 PM

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Before the lockdowns, not just Msia but also Sg, it was reported that 300K M'sians (mostly workers) cross the causeway for work in Sg (https://infographics.channelnewsasia.com/interactive/causewayjam/index.html). While their pay may be modest in S$ terms (S$2K a month isn't a far fetch), when brought back to M'sia with the favourable exchange rate, many of them bought houses in JB or their home towns like Ipoh etc.

It was also reported that even when the recovery finally happens, many of these M'sian workers will lose their jobs, either as a result of companies folding or to local S'poreans who will also be desparetly looking for jobs.

Not sure if this will put a significant dent on the M'sian housing market.
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post Apr 25 2020, 03:22 PM

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QUOTE(wsoon82 @ Apr 25 2020, 03:01 PM)
Only you can make the decision because there are so many factors to consider. The property is already completed? If it is in 3 year time then you only need to pay interest. The reasons you bought that property, your own financial situation, etc. etc.
*
The property not yet complete. the way i see it, it will probably be delay. progress now already at 70-80%. If i carry on, i scared worse thing happen like retrenchment i wont be able to pay installment. cry.gif
wsoon82
post Apr 25 2020, 04:14 PM

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QUOTE(Brandonben @ Apr 25 2020, 03:22 PM)
The property not yet complete. the way i see it, it will probably be delay. progress now already at 70-80%.  If i carry on, i scared worse thing happen like retrenchment i wont be able to pay installment.  cry.gif
*
Not only installment, you would have to start paying loan interest once bank release the money to developer, then when get key, you would have to start monthly repayment, maintenance fees, and renovation while paying your current rental (if you are renting), so if you foresee you would not be able to cope with it, it is better to terminate now.

You have to plan based on the worst scenario, if you lost your job, company should compensate you unless you are contract staff, then if that happen, how much bullet you have, how much cash how much epf how long can you survive and how soon can you find the next job. In addition, you also know how important you are to the current company, what is the chance for you to be retrenched etc. etc.
icemanfx
post Apr 26 2020, 12:21 AM

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'Economy bleeds RM2.4 billion for every MCO day'

https://www.malaysiakini.com/news/522579

If MCO is economy deep freeze, there will be flooding when it thawed.

This post has been edited by icemanfx: Apr 26 2020, 05:52 AM
forever1979
post Apr 26 2020, 03:06 PM

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QUOTE(Brandonben @ Apr 25 2020, 02:32 PM)
Hi guys,

a quick question, before MCO i sign the loan agreement with bank to purchase home for own stay. However, due to the MCO, i have not had the chance sign any legal fees nor make any payment for SPA or set up a meet with my lawyer although they have already given quotation for the legal fees, etc.

And now im having a second thought considering the uncertainties of the current crisis (fear of retrenchment as i work in o&G industry), i plan to terminate the loan, albeit there will be penalty of rm2k from bank for loan termination, also the deposit of rm5k to developer will burn.

Do i continue on or do i terminate the loan and take the wait and see approach?
*
just my suggestion

If your cost is merely few thousand, i think you should consider let go the unit...

first is the property market will be further soften and if you are seriously look for property, it can even done it later.
unless, you are urgently need a house for stay.

secondly, you mention your are in o&g, which is not doing good, better do some provision on your salary... touch wood ...


Brandonben
post Apr 26 2020, 04:32 PM

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QUOTE(forever1979 @ Apr 26 2020, 03:06 PM)
just my suggestion

If your cost is merely few thousand, i think you should consider let go the unit...

first is the property market will be further soften and if you are seriously look for property, it can even done it later.
unless, you are urgently need a house for stay.

secondly, you mention your  are in o&g, which is not doing good, better do some provision on your salary... touch wood  ...
*
Thanks for the suggestion bro. i was thinking the same thing too. but will end up burning up to 7K in the process. Anyway, any idea will there be HOC campaign this year?
Zwean
post Apr 26 2020, 04:51 PM

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QUOTE(Brandonben @ Apr 26 2020, 04:32 PM)
Thanks for the suggestion bro. i was thinking the same thing too. but will end up burning up to 7K in the process. Anyway, any idea will there be HOC campaign this year?
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Don’t need to pay the 2k.

Just cancel leave it outstanding. When you apply loan in the future appeal to waive it.
Brandonben
post Apr 26 2020, 05:00 PM

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QUOTE(Zwean @ Apr 26 2020, 04:51 PM)
Don’t need to pay the 2k.

Just cancel leave it outstanding. When you apply loan in the future appeal to waive it.
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can do that? in the agreement already written if terminate need to pay penalty to bank rm2k
Death Wings
post Apr 26 2020, 05:25 PM

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QUOTE(Zwean @ Apr 26 2020, 04:51 PM)
Don’t need to pay the 2k.

Just cancel leave it outstanding. When you apply loan in the future appeal to waive it.
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wow, I didn't know you can leave it outstanding. something new
eric.tangps
post Apr 26 2020, 05:49 PM

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QUOTE(Brandonben @ Apr 26 2020, 05:00 PM)
can do that? in the agreement already written if terminate need to pay penalty to bank rm2k
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If SPA is aborted, it is really no transaction.. argue that.
Zwean
post Apr 26 2020, 05:58 PM

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QUOTE(Brandonben @ Apr 26 2020, 05:00 PM)
can do that? in the agreement already written if terminate need to pay penalty to bank rm2k
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Why cannot lol I did it and I got it waived when I applied for a loan three years later
icemanfx
post Apr 26 2020, 06:01 PM

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QUOTE(Brandonben @ Apr 25 2020, 02:32 PM)
Hi guys,

a quick question, before MCO i sign the loan agreement with bank to purchase home for own stay. However, due to the MCO, i have not had the chance sign any legal fees nor make any payment for SPA or set up a meet with my lawyer although they have already given quotation for the legal fees, etc.

And now im having a second thought considering the uncertainties of the current crisis (fear of retrenchment as i work in o&G industry), i plan to terminate the loan, albeit there will be penalty of rm2k from bank for loan termination, also the deposit of rm5k to developer will burn.

Do i continue on or do i terminate the loan and take the wait and see approach?
*
After you signed the agreement is deemed effected.

If your lawyer hasn't submit the loan agreement to the bank, you could ask him not to submit the agreement to the bank but will pay him the legal fees.

If your lawyer has submitted to the bank, then you have to talk to the bank.

This post has been edited by icemanfx: Apr 26 2020, 06:01 PM
cy91
post Apr 26 2020, 08:06 PM

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Is it possible that u find a buyer and transfer it to him?
WahBiang
post Apr 26 2020, 09:43 PM

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Would you think that the Gov would uplift the LTV 70% for 3rd properties onwards to boost the economies?? or lowering the RPGT???
icemanfx
post Apr 26 2020, 10:05 PM

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QUOTE(WahBiang @ Apr 26 2020, 09:43 PM)
Would you think that the Gov would uplift the LTV 70% for 3rd properties onwards to boost the economies?? or lowering the RPGT???
*
Couldn't discount the possibility to increase LTV from 70% for >2 property.

Rational investors are unlikely to plunge into illiquid assets. Doubt there will be drastic rise in transaction.

This post has been edited by icemanfx: Apr 26 2020, 10:10 PM
propertymart
post Apr 26 2020, 10:32 PM

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Anyone can PM me for Velocity2 ,Lavile ,UNA and Parc3 package ? Me and my husband still surveying . One Cochrane and Continew we surveyed but still considering. For investment


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post Apr 28 2020, 07:16 PM

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If you just recently purchased an under-con property in 2018 that supposedly finished in 2022 at 340k price (for own stay not for investment), should you opt-out?
Zwean
post Apr 28 2020, 07:44 PM

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QUOTE(nijimex @ Apr 28 2020, 07:16 PM)
If you just recently purchased an under-con property in 2018 that supposedly finished in 2022 at 340k price (for own stay not for investment), should you opt-out?
*
340k for own stay ok la... Don't worry so much.
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post Apr 28 2020, 08:35 PM

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QUOTE(Zwean @ Apr 26 2020, 05:58 PM)
Why cannot lol I did it and I got it waived when I applied for a loan three years later
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seriously in between no LOD or reminder or interest incurred of the amount, assume if treats as outstanding amount to bank ?
Zwean
post Apr 28 2020, 08:45 PM

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QUOTE(forever1979 @ Apr 28 2020, 08:35 PM)
seriously in between no LOD or reminder or interest incurred of the amount, assume if treats as outstanding amount to bank ?
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Nope.
icemanfx
post Apr 29 2020, 02:57 AM

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After MCO is over, there will be a change of consumers behaviour and spending. Commercial rental reduction or discount for MCO period may continue or readopt later.
party
post Apr 29 2020, 06:44 AM

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QUOTE(Zwean @ Apr 25 2020, 11:55 AM)
The same guy saying prop Market will fall since 2013, then repeat yearly. Until today wah!!! See I’m so wise!!!
*
Yet did nothing to make profit from it. Still remain a loser and continue be pessismistic while alot tycoons who foresee such situation become richer. whistling.gif

https://www.scmp.com/business/article/30793...rth-us3-billion

icemanfx
post Apr 29 2020, 07:59 AM

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QUOTE(party @ Apr 29 2020, 06:44 AM)
Yet did nothing to make profit from it. Still remain a loser and continue be pessismistic while alot tycoons who foresee such situation become richer.  whistling.gif

https://www.scmp.com/business/article/30793...rth-us3-billion
*
Lks is a favourite property tycoon quoted by BBB/uuu; showed tons of money could be made outside property market, even in time of crisis.

Only punters need accurate prediction. Investor use forecast as guide to forward prepare. For reasons those expecting accurate prediction are at lost like punters.

If the world is one's oyster could shift from one market to another, there is almost endless possibilities, need not limited to one pessimistic illiquid market. However, at current juncture, cash is king.

Only Wannabe need self gratification.

This post has been edited by icemanfx: Apr 29 2020, 08:52 AM
Brandonben
post Apr 29 2020, 08:41 AM

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QUOTE(Zwean @ Apr 26 2020, 05:58 PM)
Why cannot lol I did it and I got it waived when I applied for a loan three years later
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the bank didnt call you to pay them during this 3 years time?
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QUOTE(nijimex @ Apr 28 2020, 07:16 PM)
If you just recently purchased an under-con property in 2018 that supposedly finished in 2022 at 340k price (for own stay not for investment), should you opt-out?
*
key word: for own stay.

anytime is a good time to buy for own stay if criteria of the property fits what you are searching for
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post Apr 29 2020, 10:03 AM

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QUOTE(Brandonben @ Apr 29 2020, 08:41 AM)
the bank didnt call you to pay them during this 3 years time?
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He answered previously.

What else you want him to say ?


icemanfx
post Apr 30 2020, 05:57 PM

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UBS Securities said this week that perhaps 80 million jobs have been lost in services, industry and construction and more than 10 million other jobs could evaporate in export sectors as orders cease and businesses avoid large worker gatherings because of lingering virus fears.
https://www.channelnewsasia.com/news/asia/j...relief-12690692

It seems some estimated if MCO is extended to end may about 40% of local sme will close.

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post May 1 2020, 01:15 PM

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QUOTE(WahBiang @ Apr 26 2020, 09:43 PM)
Would you think that the Gov would uplift the LTV 70% for 3rd properties onwards to boost the economies?? or lowering the RPGT???
*
Unlikely will uplift the 70% LTV but I think the RPGT should be immediately lowered la.
icemanfx
post May 1 2020, 01:33 PM

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The Prime Minister said South-east Asia's third biggest economy suffered RM2.4 billion (S$800 million) in losses daily during the MCO, with total losses currently estimated at RM63 billion. And another RM35 billion will have to be added to this should the MCO be extended.

https://www.straitstimes.com/asia/se-asia/c...-monday-says-pm

Reality hurts. Luckily, none of property investors suffered from this RM 63 billions losses.

This post has been edited by icemanfx: May 1 2020, 02:01 PM
icemanfx
post May 1 2020, 01:59 PM

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QUOTE(JayBlingBoy @ May 1 2020, 01:15 PM)
Unlikely will uplift the 70% LTV but I think the RPGT should be immediately lowered la.
*
Lower rpgt is to encourage property investment/flipping. Beside stamp duty, gomen won't benefits until a few years later.

A reason why MCO is lifted early is mof found loss of tax revenue is not sustainable. Gomen tax revenue is more important or vendors profit?

This post has been edited by icemanfx: May 1 2020, 02:02 PM
SuperChaiMan P
post May 1 2020, 02:05 PM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ May 1 2020, 01:59 PM)
Lower rpgt is to encourage property investment/flipping. Beside stamp duty, gomen won't benefits until a few years later.

A reason why MCO is lifted early is mof found loss of tax revenue is not sustainable. Gomen tax revenue is more important or vendors profit?
*
Yea, but the govt somehow or rather need to stimulate the property sector. What kind of stimulus you think will be good?
icemanfx
post May 1 2020, 02:17 PM

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QUOTE(SuperChaiMan @ May 1 2020, 02:05 PM)
Yea, but the govt somehow or rather need to stimulate the property sector. What kind of stimulus you think will be good?
*
Construction industry is <10% of GDP; property overhang is widening; Residential npl is rising; quality borrowers are few; current property price remain unaffordable; property price is likely stay depressed or drop for next few years, etc.

If gomen is to stimulus construction industry, likely to focus on affordable home.

This post has been edited by icemanfx: May 1 2020, 02:17 PM
BBLee99 P
post May 1 2020, 02:21 PM

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Should stay away from property for the time being..
icemanfx
post May 1 2020, 11:04 PM

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#CancelRent Is New Rallying Cry for Tenants. Landlords Are Alarmed.
https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/realestate/...appwebview=true

Will this trending here?

Ckmwpy0370
post May 2 2020, 10:34 AM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ May 1 2020, 11:04 PM)
#CancelRent Is New Rallying Cry for Tenants. Landlords Are Alarmed.
https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/realestate/...appwebview=true

Will this trending here?
*
IMO, dun think so as here dun have Tenants rights groups and community nonprofits
DesRed
post May 2 2020, 06:01 PM

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QUOTE
Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, a New York Democrat, offered a fervent endorsement of the campaign, encouraging her progressive base to embrace a movement to upend the housing market.

Typical Congressman/woman.

Always looking to latch on to 'movements' to get votes. So what happens if there's a dispute between the landlord and the tenant? Are they willing to step in when complaints like this come landing on their desk?
CSW1990
post May 2 2020, 07:37 PM

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I think property price will drop 10% in the next 6-12 months. But after that the price will bounce back highly. This is not because the demand is high, it is because MYR is depreciating much after Covid 19. Same to everything like grocery the price will goes up as MYR become much smaller. For example 500k buying power today = 600k buying power 2022
cy91
post May 2 2020, 07:57 PM

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Property price can't go below the price where the installment + management fee gone below rental. In a rather efficient market, with many participants, if a property price drop so much that the rental can cover installment + management fee, it will be snapped up by any smart investor.

Say a property of 400k able to fetch a rental of 1500. If it ever drop below 300k, someone else will buy it and rent out to the original tenant. Then u can roughly calculate how much is the bottom for the property.

So let's say the property price were to drop drastically, the rental need to drop as well... which I think is very unlikely as rental demand will be higher during a crisis.
mini orchard
post May 2 2020, 08:25 PM

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QUOTE(cy91 @ May 2 2020, 07:57 PM)
Property price can't go below the price where the installment + management fee gone below rental. In a rather efficient market, with many participants, if a property price drop so much that the rental can cover installment + management fee, it will be snapped up by any smart investor.

Say a property of 400k able to fetch a rental of 1500. If it ever drop below 300k, someone else will buy it and rent out to the original tenant. Then u can roughly calculate how much is the bottom for the property.

So let's say the property price were to drop drastically, the rental need to drop as well... which I think is very unlikely as rental demand will be higher during a crisis.
*
Installment based on loan amount plus interest.

Rental based on demand and supply.

How is it related ?

This post has been edited by mini orchard: May 2 2020, 08:26 PM
waghyu
post May 2 2020, 08:27 PM

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QUOTE(TANMY13 @ Apr 15 2020, 09:21 AM)
Had purchased a property at January, then happened the lockdown. Dont have much update from the property and agent side.

Any guru know if continue like this to may or even longer, will it effect the completion? If delay, will it consider can get penalty?
*
Commercial or residential property you buy and signed for ?
cy91
post May 2 2020, 08:42 PM

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QUOTE(mini orchard @ May 2 2020, 08:25 PM)
Installment based on loan amount plus interest.

Rental based on demand and supply.

How is it related ?
*
Kinda hard to explain. If u can buy a property and immediately rent out for the same amount as ur installment would u buy it?

Then u can kinda calculate the rock bottom of property price. I would just use monthly rental x 200
propertyowner
post May 3 2020, 01:48 AM

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QUOTE(cy91 @ May 2 2020, 07:57 PM)
Property price can't go below the price where the installment + management fee gone below rental. In a rather efficient market, with many participants, if a property price drop so much that the rental can cover installment + management fee, it will be snapped up by any smart investor.

Say a property of 400k able to fetch a rental of 1500. If it ever drop below 300k, someone else will buy it and rent out to the original tenant. Then u can roughly calculate how much is the bottom for the property.

So let's say the property price were to drop drastically, the rental need to drop as well... which I think is very unlikely as rental demand will be higher during a crisis.
*
doen't make sense to me.

rental dictates property price during good time, and buyers/tenants dictate everything during bad time.

as simple as that
daddymund P
post May 3 2020, 05:18 AM

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I'm also pondering whether rental will be hit badly during the crisis.

What I think:

Unemployment increase, might cause rental demand to go down as job seekers may not need to rent a place for work.

Tourism hit badly, units doing Airbnb/Homestay will be vacant, thus more unit supply in the market, making rental rate more competitive.

Covid19 make ppl stay home more, so demand for rental will increase?

Ppl reluctant to commit to illiquid asset like property, thus prefer to rent more than stay, increasing rental demand?

Ppl might downgrade during the crisis, thus bigger units might be affected?

icemanfx
post May 3 2020, 05:47 AM

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QUOTE(cy91 @ May 2 2020, 07:57 PM)
Property price can't go below the price where the installment + management fee gone below rental. In a rather efficient market, with many participants, if a property price drop so much that the rental can cover installment + management fee, it will be snapped up by any smart investor.

Say a property of 400k able to fetch a rental of 1500. If it ever drop below 300k, someone else will buy it and rent out to the original tenant. Then u can roughly calculate how much is the bottom for the property.

So let's say the property price were to drop drastically, the rental need to drop as well... which I think is very unlikely as rental demand will be higher during a crisis.
*
QUOTE(cy91 @ May 2 2020, 08:42 PM)
Kinda hard to explain. If u can buy a property and immediately rent out for the same amount as ur installment would u buy it?

Then u can kinda calculate the rock bottom of property price. I would just use monthly rental x 200
*
As rental is more elastic and responsive to market, is a leading indicator of property price. If demand > supply, rental will rise ahead of property price. Similarly will drop ahead when demand < supply.

When the market is in equilibrium, property price could be determined by rental yield e.g 6% p.a. Those rental yield below 6%, price is expected to drop.

This post has been edited by icemanfx: May 3 2020, 05:50 AM
icemanfx
post May 3 2020, 05:56 AM

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QUOTE(daddymund @ May 3 2020, 05:18 AM)
I'm also pondering whether rental will be hit badly during the crisis.

What I think:

Unemployment increase, might cause rental demand to go down as job seekers may not need to rent a place for work.

Tourism hit badly, units doing Airbnb/Homestay will be vacant, thus more unit supply in the market, making rental rate more competitive.

Covid19 make ppl stay home more, so demand for rental will increase?

Ppl reluctant to commit to illiquid asset like property, thus prefer to rent more than stay, increasing rental demand?

Ppl might downgrade during the crisis, thus bigger units might be affected?
*
Whether there is covid 19 or not, people will still need a place to sleep. How could rental demand rise if people spend more time at home? Classic of re agent talk.
taiping...
post May 3 2020, 02:14 PM

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I am looking to buy a property at this moment
ManutdGiggs
post May 3 2020, 02:49 PM

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QUOTE(taiping... @ May 3 2020, 02:14 PM)
I am looking to buy a property at this moment
*
There are some nice subsales oledi in market but too bad need wait a while to 6c6c the price movement. Owners r stil holding high price now.

Ignore the curse fr any fanatic, not all willing to drop the price. Those dropped or goin to drop might not hav gd units to sell.

Haiz 😑😑😑
taiping...
post May 3 2020, 03:04 PM

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QUOTE(ManutdGiggs @ May 3 2020, 02:49 PM)
There are some nice subsales oledi in market but too bad need wait a while to 6c6c the price movement. Owners r stil holding high price now.

Ignore the curse fr any fanatic, not all willing to drop the price. Those dropped or goin to drop might not hav gd units to sell.

Haiz 😑😑😑
*
Ya I agree.. They haven’t drop price much

Am checking property prices between Brickz vs iproperty

What is ur process for research?
ManutdGiggs
post May 3 2020, 03:06 PM

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QUOTE(taiping... @ May 3 2020, 03:04 PM)
Ya I agree.. They haven’t drop price much

Am checking property prices between Brickz vs iproperty

What is ur process for research?
*
Real deals usually not shown in the data of any platform. U need real gd agents in tat particular area to hunt for it.
taiping...
post May 3 2020, 03:08 PM

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QUOTE(ManutdGiggs @ May 3 2020, 03:06 PM)
Real deals usually not shown in the data of any platform. U need real gd agents in tat particular area to hunt for it.
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Oh where to find this agents?
ManutdGiggs
post May 3 2020, 03:12 PM

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QUOTE(taiping... @ May 3 2020, 03:08 PM)
Oh where to find this agents?
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Are u buying areas tat u r familiar with??? If so u should hav few agents with u for each area.
taiping...
post May 3 2020, 03:15 PM

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QUOTE(ManutdGiggs @ May 3 2020, 03:12 PM)
Are u buying areas tat u r familiar with??? If so u should hav few agents with u for each area.
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I have plans for PJ area
Will look out for agents for this area
Thanks!
icemanfx
post May 3 2020, 04:16 PM

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QUOTE(taiping... @ May 3 2020, 02:14 PM)
I am looking to buy a property at this moment
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If you are not rushing, suggest to look for subsale after 2q next year.
taiping...
post May 3 2020, 04:20 PM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ May 3 2020, 04:16 PM)
If you are not rushing, suggest to look for subsale after 2q next year.
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Will do that
I have time
cy91
post May 3 2020, 04:27 PM

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I looked at KL properties and found that most of them don't even make 6% rental yield. Some are at mere 1 to 2% and I think these properties are the ones that will be hit hard.
Zwean
post May 3 2020, 04:41 PM

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QUOTE(cy91 @ May 3 2020, 04:27 PM)
I looked at KL properties and found that most of them don't even make 6% rental yield. Some are at mere 1 to 2% and I think these properties are the ones that will be hit hard.
*
Depends on the target market really.

Some of these are owned by the rich who don’t care about cashflow.
icemanfx
post May 3 2020, 04:55 PM

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QUOTE(cy91 @ May 3 2020, 04:27 PM)
I looked at KL properties and found that most of them don't even make 6% rental yield. Some are at mere 1 to 2% and I think these properties are the ones that will be hit hard.
*
Property is illiquid, price is slow to move but move it will.

QUOTE(Zwean @ May 3 2020, 04:41 PM)
Depends on the target market really.

Some of these are owned by the rich who don’t care about cashflow.
*
Those rich owner could hold at whatever price and length they wish. It is those wannabe are sensitive to market movement.

Given only about 4% of adults in this country have over us$100k net worth; rich owners are few and far in between.

Zwean
post May 3 2020, 05:00 PM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ May 3 2020, 04:55 PM)
Property is illiquid, price is slow to move but move it will.
Those rich owner could hold at whatever price and length they wish. It is those wannabe are sensitive to market movement.

Given only about 4% of adults in this country have over us$100k net worth;  rich owners are few and far in between.
*
These luxury units in KL City are less than 4% of total market lah
icemanfx
post May 3 2020, 05:07 PM

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QUOTE(Zwean @ May 3 2020, 05:00 PM)
These luxury units in KL City are less than 4% of total market lah
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And many of these units remain unsold with developers.
Mijac
post May 3 2020, 05:26 PM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ May 3 2020, 04:16 PM)
If you are not rushing, suggest to look for subsale after 2q next year.
*
Good point to wait .

flying_duck
post May 3 2020, 05:45 PM

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This MCO made me hesitated on my purchase on a unit in a new project..
The loan was approved a day before MCO started, and not signed yet till now.

My purchase is meant for own stay purpose and the installment + estimated maintenance fee will take roughly 39% of my net income (after deduct other commitments, epf and pcb etc.).

Not sure it will be a burden.
Any suggestion? Thanks
icemanfx
post May 3 2020, 05:49 PM

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QUOTE(flying_duck @ May 3 2020, 05:45 PM)
This MCO made me hesitated on my purchase on a unit in a new project..
The loan was approved a day before MCO started, and not signed yet till now.

My purchase is meant for own stay purpose and the installment + estimated maintenance fee will take roughly 39% of my net income (after deduct other commitments, epf and pcb etc.).

Not sure it will be a burden.
Any suggestion? Thanks
*
Ideally, loan repayment should be kept <20% of income and loan repayment >30% of income is considered stressed.

Before you sign anything, could put this 39% aside, live with the balance for a few months to experience.

This post has been edited by icemanfx: May 3 2020, 05:50 PM
eric.tangps
post May 3 2020, 06:15 PM

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QUOTE(flying_duck @ May 3 2020, 05:45 PM)
This MCO made me hesitated on my purchase on a unit in a new project..
The loan was approved a day before MCO started, and not signed yet till now.

My purchase is meant for own stay purpose and the installment + estimated maintenance fee will take roughly 39% of my net income (after deduct other commitments, epf and pcb etc.).

Not sure it will be a burden.
Any suggestion? Thanks
*
1. Would you be able to survive with 69% ?
2. Would you be able to cope with reduced lifestyle? Some actually dipped into credit cards to support the lifestyle and dig a hole in it.
3. The property is located nearby the workplace?
flying_duck
post May 3 2020, 06:54 PM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ May 3 2020, 05:49 PM)
Ideally, loan repayment should be kept <20% of income and loan repayment >30% of income is considered stressed.

Before you sign anything, could put this 39% aside, live with the balance for a few months to experience.
*
Hi, is that < 20% of gross income or net income?
It's around 30% of my current gross income..

I still manage to live with the left over money after the monthly repayment,
but with lesser saving per month.. (probably left 2-3k saving per month only)
flying_duck
post May 3 2020, 06:58 PM

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QUOTE(eric.tangps @ May 3 2020, 06:15 PM)
1. Would you be able to survive with 69% ?
2. Would you be able to cope with reduced lifestyle? Some actually dipped into credit cards to support the lifestyle and dig a hole in it.
3. The property is located nearby the workplace?
*
Hi there.

1. Yes.
2. My lifestyle won't be affected because I actually have excessive input than output.
3. Ar, yea! This is a plus to me, it is nearer.

I'm actually struggling because takut suddenly need a large sum of money from rainy fund and my saving per month will be reduced after the monthly repayment starts..
party
post May 3 2020, 10:28 PM

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QUOTE(Mijac @ May 3 2020, 05:26 PM)
Good point to wait .
*
Yes. Keep waiting. 2030 might be good year to buy by then.
Zwean
post May 3 2020, 10:37 PM

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QUOTE(flying_duck @ May 3 2020, 06:58 PM)
Hi there.

1. Yes.
2. My lifestyle won't be affected because I actually have excessive input than output.
3. Ar, yea! This is a plus to me, it is nearer.

I'm actually struggling because takut suddenly need a large sum of money from rainy fund and my saving per month will be reduced after the monthly repayment starts..
*
Buying a home will always be a scary decision. Just like getting married, having kids, etc.

Take the first step with confidence. Over the long term you’ll be alright.

Just have 6 months back up sitting pretty.
flying_duck
post May 3 2020, 10:42 PM

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QUOTE(Zwean @ May 3 2020, 10:37 PM)
Buying a home will always be a scary decision. Just like getting married, having kids, etc.

Take the first step with confidence. Over the long term you’ll be alright.

Just have 6 months back up sitting pretty.
*
It is really scary especially in this bad economy..
hopefully nothing bad happens at the developer side.

agree on that getting married part too..
veryyy expensive as my gf wants a "memorable" wedding.. rclxub.gif biggrin.gif

Zwean
post May 4 2020, 09:08 AM

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QUOTE(flying_duck @ May 3 2020, 10:42 PM)
It is really scary especially in this bad economy..
hopefully nothing bad happens at the developer side.

agree on that getting married part too..
veryyy expensive as my gf wants a "memorable" wedding..  rclxub.gif  biggrin.gif
*
I shouldn't be giving relationship advice here but... You should tell her what you want too, if she insists upon it and it is not up for discussion.. Its just a red flag.

Anyway, I presume you're purchasing it from a developer based on what you said. How many years till completion?

This post has been edited by Zwean: May 4 2020, 09:26 AM
DjTranceHan
post May 4 2020, 09:24 AM

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Hello, wanna ask something for the six month moratorium home loan, is it extend another 6 months from the contract and installment will be slightly higher? I loan from hong leong bank.
AskarPerang
post May 4 2020, 09:39 AM

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QUOTE(DjTranceHan @ May 4 2020, 09:24 AM)
Hello, wanna ask something for the  six month moratorium home loan, is it extend another 6 months from the contract and installment will be slightly higher? I loan from hong leong bank.
*
for HLBB no extension. tenure remain the same.
but your monthly installment will increase slightly starting Oct once you resume the repayment.
flying_duck
post May 4 2020, 10:34 AM

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QUOTE(Zwean @ May 4 2020, 09:08 AM)
I shouldn't be giving relationship advice here but... You should tell her what you want too, if she insists upon it and it is not up for discussion.. Its just a red flag.

Anyway, I presume you're purchasing it from a developer based on what you said. How many years till completion?
*
Yea, it is a new project.
The project completion date is adjusted to 2023 Q1 due to MCO.
Many things could happen within 2-3 years.. rclxub.gif
Zwean
post May 4 2020, 12:31 PM

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QUOTE(flying_duck @ May 4 2020, 10:34 AM)
Yea, it is a new project.
The project completion date is adjusted to 2023 Q1 due to MCO.
Many things could happen within 2-3 years..  rclxub.gif
*
2-3 years... you'll be fine. But if possible, cancel it and buy from the secondary market in the next 2 years.
flying_duck
post May 4 2020, 12:56 PM

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QUOTE(Zwean @ May 4 2020, 12:31 PM)
2-3 years... you'll be fine. But if possible, cancel it and buy from the secondary market in the next 2 years.
*
Thought of that as well,
was thinking about to buy bank lelong unit at around RM400-500k.

However, the entry cost for it might be too high for me.
Need to prepare around RM 100k cash (downpayment around RM 40-50k with all those fees and another 50k for renovation).
I can't afford to fork out that much saving and leaving my rainy fund to close to nothing and eventually opt for a new project with fully furnished and renovation at a much lower entry cost.

Thanks for your suggestion, it could be very helpful for people with extra cash in hand.
Zwean
post May 4 2020, 01:05 PM

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QUOTE(flying_duck @ May 4 2020, 12:56 PM)
Thought of that as well,
was thinking about to buy bank lelong unit at around RM400-500k.

However, the entry cost for it might be too high for me.
Need to prepare around RM 100k cash (downpayment around RM 40-50k with all those fees and another 50k for renovation).
I can't afford to fork out that much saving and leaving my rainy fund to close to nothing and eventually opt for a new project with fully furnished and renovation at a much lower entry cost.

Thanks for your suggestion, it could be very helpful for people with extra cash in hand.
*
No need to look at the auction market, just keep and eye out for fire sale and structure it in a way that is minimum cash down.

Cheers.
flying_duck
post May 4 2020, 04:35 PM

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QUOTE(Zwean @ May 4 2020, 01:05 PM)
No need to look at the auction market, just keep and eye out for fire sale and structure it in a way that is minimum cash down.

Cheers.
*
thank you mate thumbup.gif
Death Wings
post May 4 2020, 04:41 PM

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QUOTE(flying_duck @ May 3 2020, 10:42 PM)
It is really scary especially in this bad economy..
hopefully nothing bad happens at the developer side.

agree on that getting married part too..
veryyy expensive as my gf wants a "memorable" wedding..  rclxub.gif  biggrin.gif
*
it's almost every couples dream to have a memorable wedding.

since I married kinda late 30+, I looked at life from a diff angle.

my wedding day no videographer (that's because I know the time we go watch back the vid is really low), only freelance photographer for rm500.

I'm not saying you should follow, but if you have that mindset of keeping things simple, try sharing with your to be wife.

Trim on the unnecessary things, because wedding is one of the high expenses event in your lifetime other than car and house wink.gif
Zwean
post May 4 2020, 04:50 PM

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QUOTE(Death Wings @ May 4 2020, 04:41 PM)
it's almost every couples dream to have a memorable wedding.

since I married kinda late 30+, I looked at life from a diff angle.

my wedding day no videographer (that's because I know the time we go watch back the vid is really low), only freelance photographer for rm500.

I'm not saying you should follow, but if you have that mindset of keeping things simple, try sharing with your to be wife.

Trim on the unnecessary things, because wedding is one of the high expenses event in your lifetime other than car and house  wink.gif
*
There are many examples of couples that overspend for their dream wedding. Many going into debt to do so and spend 5 - 10 years of their marriage paying off the debt!

What's worse is that many of them end up divorced.... because of dream wedding.


flying_duck
post May 4 2020, 05:23 PM

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QUOTE(Death Wings @ May 4 2020, 04:41 PM)
it's almost every couples dream to have a memorable wedding.

since I married kinda late 30+, I looked at life from a diff angle.

my wedding day no videographer (that's because I know the time we go watch back the vid is really low), only freelance photographer for rm500.

I'm not saying you should follow, but if you have that mindset of keeping things simple, try sharing with your to be wife.

Trim on the unnecessary things, because wedding is one of the high expenses event in your lifetime other than car and house  wink.gif
*
Thanks for your input. thumbsup.gif
I do agree on the part where we shall avoid unrealistic expensive dream wedding unless I can afford it without any stress.
Otherwise, it would really be a serious burden.
hyperx
post May 4 2020, 11:32 PM

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QUOTE(flying_duck @ May 3 2020, 05:45 PM)
This MCO made me hesitated on my purchase on a unit in a new project..
The loan was approved a day before MCO started, and not signed yet till now.

My purchase is meant for own stay purpose and the installment + estimated maintenance fee will take roughly 39% of my net income (after deduct other commitments, epf and pcb etc.).

Not sure it will be a burden.
Any suggestion? Thanks
*
I’m facing almost similar dilemma. I’ve been looking for own stay nearby my workplace in KL. Just before Covid / MCO, i found a nice place. I placed my booking and applied for loan. It just got approved last week. But looking at the current situation, i’m not sure too myself to proceed or not?

I’ve also decided to look for undercon due to lower entry cost and it supposed to be completed by early 2022, so will gives me a bit more time.

Things that bothers me is that, the uncertainty about current situation; Covid, economy etc2. With my current income, i’ve managed to get the loan approved. I guess my rental income i’ve got from my other properties helped. Right now it is still ok, but deep down i’ve bit of concern what if my rental income affected few months down the road? With regards to my job, touchwood but it is a stable job. Nevertheless, i still need to prepare for the worst. I’m supposed to get quite a huge salary increment by end of this year or early next year. Which will gives me a lot more breathing room. But given the current situations, i’m worried if it will be delayed, or worst, not as how i expected.

Owh, and another thing is that, the bank offered me 4.05%. Im hoping to get lower, but only if i take MLTA which i dont intend to as this is for own stay. With that also maybe i can get only around 3.85-3.9.

If i’m not ‘in a rush’ for find a new place to stay, should i go for it or wait-and-see?
cy91
post May 4 2020, 11:37 PM

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QUOTE(hyperx @ May 4 2020, 11:32 PM)
I’m facing almost similar dilemma. I’ve been looking for own stay nearby my workplace in KL. Just before Covid / MCO, i found a nice place. I placed my booking and applied for loan. It just got approved last week. But looking at the current situation, i’m not sure too myself to proceed or not?

I’ve also decided to look for undercon due to lower entry cost and it supposed to be completed by early 2022, so will gives me a bit more time.

Things that bothers me is that, the uncertainty about current situation; Covid, economy etc2. With my current income, i’ve managed to get the loan approved. I guess my rental income i’ve got from my other properties helped. Right now it is still ok, but deep down i’ve bit of concern what if my rental income affected few months down the road? With regards to my job, touchwood but it is a stable job. Nevertheless, i still need to prepare for the worst. I’m supposed to get quite a huge salary increment by end of this year or early next year. Which will gives me a lot more breathing room. But given the current situations, i’m worried if it will be delayed, or worst, not as how i expected.

Owh, and another thing is that, the bank offered me 4.05%. Im hoping to get lower, but only if i take MLTA which i dont intend to as this is for own stay. With that also maybe i can get only around 3.85-3.9.

If i’m not ‘in a rush’ for find a new place to stay, should i go for it or wait-and-see?
*
Same situation here. I delayed the loan offer and since if I want it back I can just apply from another bank... Since it is a pure investment property there is no rush for me. 4.05% is not low though..
Zwean
post May 4 2020, 11:44 PM

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QUOTE(cy91 @ May 4 2020, 11:37 PM)
Same situation here. I delayed the loan offer and since if I want it back I can just apply from another bank... Since it is a pure investment property there is no rush for me. 4.05% is not low though..
*
4.05 is very high in this economic climate.
hyperx
post May 5 2020, 12:21 PM

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Hmm.. thought so. The banker insisting me to take MLTA to reduce the rate instead. Their tactics? I dont know.
Zwean
post May 5 2020, 01:09 PM

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QUOTE(hyperx @ May 5 2020, 12:21 PM)
Hmm.. thought so. The banker insisting me to take MLTA to reduce the rate instead. Their tactics? I dont know.
*
Of course. Some banks do so.. eg.. Public Bank

Go for HLB.
Mijac
post May 5 2020, 03:40 PM

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QUOTE(party @ May 3 2020, 10:28 PM)
Yes. Keep waiting. 2030 might be good year to buy by then.
*
biggrin.gif By that time, 2040 might be just right time then ! Lol!

😂 🤣 doh.gif
kochin
post May 5 2020, 03:54 PM

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another 50 bps down.

with fresh new rumours of another potential 25bps second half of the year

DjTranceHan
post May 6 2020, 02:11 PM

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QUOTE(AskarPerang @ May 4 2020, 09:39 AM)
for HLBB no extension. tenure remain the same.
but your monthly installment will increase slightly starting Oct once you resume the repayment.
*
Just back home from Hong Leong Bank to ask regarding the Home/Property Loan. Customer service told me that i resume payment like normal after the 6 month with same amount payment with extension. Changes only to Hire Purchase. Confusing sad.gif

This post has been edited by DjTranceHan: May 6 2020, 02:12 PM
AskarPerang
post May 6 2020, 03:52 PM

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QUOTE(DjTranceHan @ May 6 2020, 02:11 PM)
Just back home from Hong Leong Bank to ask regarding the Home/Property Loan. Customer service told me that i resume payment like normal after the 6 month with same amount payment with extension. Changes only to Hire Purchase. Confusing  sad.gif
*
Read question 6 here:
https://www.hlb.com.my/content/dam/hlb/my/d...program-faq.pdf
DjTranceHan
post May 6 2020, 04:30 PM

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QUOTE(AskarPerang @ May 6 2020, 03:52 PM)
wow the customer service Hong Leong branch is so unprofessional giving wrong statement to customer.
icemanfx
post May 9 2020, 12:48 AM

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After experiencing lockdown, needing social distancing and possible cross infection from common facility, many city dwellers i.e apartment/condo residents in some countries are moving out to suburban and country side.

Will this trend occur here?
cy91
post May 9 2020, 03:33 AM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ May 9 2020, 12:48 AM)
After experiencing lockdown, needing social distancing and possible cross infection from common facility, many city dwellers i.e apartment/condo residents in some countries are moving out to suburban and country side.

Will this trend occur here?
*
maybe can start looking at freehold landed house at tier 3 locations
willyboy88
post May 9 2020, 10:17 AM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ May 9 2020, 12:48 AM)
After experiencing lockdown, needing social distancing and possible cross infection from common facility, many city dwellers i.e apartment/condo residents in some countries are moving out to suburban and country side.

Will this trend occur here?
*
Uhmm.. I think it will eventually.
Employers will become more open for folks working from home after this pandemic.
They save on not needing so much office space rental etc.
More and more people are working from home full time or part-time e.g. 1-4 days a week.
Distance to the city center is not as important anymore.
Folks will try to avoid the congested and high density in the city and opt for lower density living environment e.g. landed property (DSL,semi-d, bungalow)with nice landscaping in the suburban and countryside etc smile.gif

This post has been edited by willyboy88: May 9 2020, 11:14 AM
Zwean
post May 9 2020, 10:44 AM

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QUOTE(willyboy88 @ May 9 2020, 10:17 AM)
Uhmm.. I think it will eventually.
Employers will become more open for folks working from home after this pandemic. 
They save on not needing so much office space rental etc.
More and more people are working from home full time or part-time e.g. 1-3 days a week.
Distance to the city center is not as important anymore.
Folks will try to avoid the congested and high density in the city and opt for lower density living environment e.g. landed property (DSL,semi-d, bungalow)with nice landscaping in the suburban and countryside etc smile.gif
*
Hahaha chinaman mindset.
willyboy88
post May 9 2020, 11:04 AM

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QUOTE(Zwean @ May 9 2020, 10:44 AM)
Hahaha chinaman mindset.
*
Uhm....not chinaman lah.
Orang putih also think like that. haha
https://www.cnbc.com/2020/04/30/wealthy-new...and-beyond.html
https://www.realwealthnetwork.com/learn/har...-folks-suburbs/

This post has been edited by willyboy88: May 9 2020, 11:13 AM
Zwean
post May 9 2020, 11:14 AM

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QUOTE(willyboy88 @ May 9 2020, 11:04 AM)
Was referring to work from home culture. Will never happen, Malaysians productivity fall like crazy, very hard when you have team mates that don't pull their weight during MCO. Hard to justify to management, even if it is adopted. Sustainable or no depends not the team.
willyboy88
post May 9 2020, 11:19 AM

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QUOTE(Zwean @ May 9 2020, 11:14 AM)
Was referring to work from home culture. Will never happen, Malaysians productivity fall like crazy, very hard when you have team mates that don't pull their weight during MCO. Hard to justify to management, even if it is adopted. Sustainable or no depends not the team.
*
It all depends on type of work, company culture and etc.
If govt say...if the employees caught covid19 while working in their office and the employers need to cover all the medical cost 100%....I think most employers would rather let their workers work remotely if possible. Again, it all depends on type of work etc. Not all work can be done remotely.
Zwean
post May 9 2020, 11:23 AM

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QUOTE(willyboy88 @ May 9 2020, 11:19 AM)
It all depends on type of work, company culture and etc.
If govt say...if the employees caught covid19 while working in their office and the employers need to cover all the medical cost 100%....I think most employers would rather let their workers work remotely if possible. Again, it all depends on type of work etc. Not all work can be done remotely.
*
During this pandemic perhaps, but after the dust settles.. Maybe the next generation will have better luck.
willyboy88
post May 9 2020, 11:30 AM

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QUOTE(Zwean @ May 9 2020, 11:23 AM)
During this pandemic perhaps, but after the dust settles.. Maybe the next generation will have better luck.
*
let's see. Nothing stay the same forever. How u and I work differs from how our grandfathers or fathers work.
13 ways the coronavirus pandemic could forever change the way we work.
https://www.cnbc.com/2020/04/29/how-the-cor...re-of-work.html
icemanfx
post May 9 2020, 11:59 AM

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QUOTE(Zwean @ May 9 2020, 11:14 AM)
Was referring to work from home culture. Will never happen, Malaysians productivity fall like crazy, very hard when you have team mates that don't pull their weight during MCO. Hard to justify to management, even if it is adopted. Sustainable or no depends not the team.
*
Working from home could show who are redundant or surplus, opportunity for management to cut dead wood and overhead.

poor productivity is a reason why malaysia is falling behind other countries.

This post has been edited by icemanfx: May 9 2020, 12:05 PM
Ckmwpy0370
post May 9 2020, 12:49 PM

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QUOTE(Zwean @ May 9 2020, 11:14 AM)
Was referring to work from home culture. Will never happen, Malaysians productivity fall like crazy, very hard when you have team mates that don't pull their weight during MCO. Hard to justify to management, even if it is adopted. Sustainable or no depends not the team.
*
my company is happening now. all marketing staff work remotely Not necessary back to office. All using online via notebook.
Only Support Staff like IT, HR or Finance, back to office when critical tasks
daimon
post May 9 2020, 02:34 PM

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Can i know how the OPR thing will benefits us the property buyers?

I know it is related to interest, which FD % will be very low, and to encourage people to spend money...

but im not sure how it will benefit the property buyers?
taiping...
post May 9 2020, 02:38 PM

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QUOTE(daimon @ May 9 2020, 02:34 PM)
Can i know how the OPR thing will benefits us the property buyers?

I know it is related to interest, which FD % will be very low, and to encourage people to spend money...

but im not sure how it will benefit the property buyers?
*
For those that applied loan earlier eg year 2019 and before, will enjoy the OPR cut

For new loans, your interest rate will not be affected by the opr cut

Someone correct me if I’m wrong
Gnas22
post May 9 2020, 04:03 PM

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Glad to see this thread about Covid and MCO effect. Would like to know some input from the Sifu here..

1) Interest - With the lower OPR now, can the borrower actually take advantage from refinancing their loan?

2) The New Normal - Is KL ready to move into a new working and living lifestyle? More companies will adapt Work from Home flexibility for those office work if Covid last for another 12 months.

KL has lower population per Km2 compared to Singapore, Bangkok, Jakarta, but we have more and upcoming taller residential condo as compare to our neighbors...

Interesting to see how KL will become in future and how our government and developer are going to reshape their development plan.
ManutdGiggs
post May 9 2020, 04:39 PM

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QUOTE(Gnas22 @ May 9 2020, 04:03 PM)
Glad to see this thread about Covid and MCO effect. Would like to know some input from the Sifu here..

1) Interest - With the lower OPR now, can the borrower actually take advantage from refinancing their loan?

2) The New Normal - Is KL ready to move into a new working and living lifestyle? More companies will adapt Work from Home flexibility for those office work if Covid last for another 12 months.

KL has lower population per Km2 compared to Singapore, Bangkok, Jakarta, but we have more and upcoming taller residential condo as compare to our neighbors... 

Interesting to see how KL will become in future and how our government and developer are going to reshape their development plan.
*
Lower opr doesn't represent cheaper interest rate ya. Lower but not cheaper.
daimon
post May 9 2020, 08:59 PM

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QUOTE(ManutdGiggs @ May 9 2020, 04:39 PM)
Lower opr doesn't represent cheaper interest rate ya. Lower but not cheaper.
*
so how about BLR? Is Bank Negara reducing the BLR?

Thought if all these lower down then might be a good time to buy property sweat.gif
ManutdGiggs
post May 9 2020, 09:45 PM

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QUOTE(daimon @ May 9 2020, 08:59 PM)
so how about BLR? Is Bank Negara reducing the BLR?

Thought if all these lower down then might be a good time to buy property sweat.gif
*
Banks r using BR now. Previously the use BLR. Both lppl to me.

daimon
post May 11 2020, 10:54 PM

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QUOTE(ManutdGiggs @ May 9 2020, 09:45 PM)
Banks r using BR now. Previously the use BLR. Both lppl to me.
*
whats lppl? blink.gif
icemanfx
post May 11 2020, 10:58 PM

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On April 29, 2020, the National Property Information Centre (Napic) of the Finance Ministry’s Valuation and Property Services Department (JPPH) released the 2019 Malaysia Property Market Report revealing that the market which has been in a prolonged slowdown, had grown by 4.8% in the volume of transactions to 328,647 units as well as 0.8% increase in value to RM141.40 billion, from 2018.

The residential sub-sector was up 6%, commercial was up 7.2%, industrial rose by 3.8% and agricultural increased by 2%. As usual, the residential sub-sector contributed the most to total transactions at 63.7%.

If not for the Covid-19 outbreak, the 2019 market performance could have indicated a light at the end of the tunnel for a property market which has been in a slowdown since 2015/16.

https://www.edgeprop.my/content/1679868/mar...thrown-covid-19

This post has been edited by icemanfx: May 11 2020, 11:04 PM
Zwean
post May 11 2020, 11:09 PM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ May 11 2020, 10:58 PM)
On April 29, 2020, the National Property Information Centre (Napic) of the Finance Ministry’s Valuation and Property Services Department (JPPH) released the 2019 Malaysia Property Market Report revealing that the market which has been in a prolonged slowdown, had grown by 4.8% in the volume of transactions to 328,647 units as well as 0.8% increase in value to RM141.40 billion, from 2018.

The residential sub-sector was up 6%, commercial was up 7.2%, industrial rose by 3.8% and agricultural increased by 2%. As usual, the residential sub-sector contributed the most to total transactions at 63.7%.

If not for the Covid-19 outbreak, the 2019 market performance could have indicated a light at the end of the tunnel for a property market which has been in a slowdown since 2015/16.

https://www.edgeprop.my/content/1679868/mar...thrown-covid-19
*
It is known.
icemanfx
post May 11 2020, 11:25 PM

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QUOTE(Zwean @ May 11 2020, 11:09 PM)
It is known.
*
Many like ManutdGiggs were in denial or 后知后觉 until recently.

This post has been edited by icemanfx: May 12 2020, 01:09 AM
ManutdGiggs
post May 12 2020, 04:15 AM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ May 11 2020, 11:25 PM)
Many like ManutdGiggs were in denial or 后知后觉 until recently.
*
😂😂😂

As u wish my lord. V 9 st behind wan just do Wat v did best. Those 9 st ahead wan sure hav confidence in wateva they wanna blow 🤭🤭🤭
icemanfx
post May 13 2020, 02:00 PM

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James Gorman, the Morgan Stanley chief executive, declined a request for an interview. But he told Bloomberg that the company had “proven we can operate with no footprint. That tells you an enormous amount about where people need to be physically.”

Other major companies, including Facebook and Google, have extended work-from-home policies through the end of the year, raising the prospect that some may never return to the office. Twitter, which has hundreds of employees in its New York office in the Chelsea neighborhood of Manhattan, told all its employees on Tuesday that they could work remotely forever if they want to and if their position allows for it.

But driven by safety or financial considerations — or both — many companies, big and small, are rethinking the future of work.

Small Planet, a small software developer in Brooklyn, said about half its work force is likely to continue working remotely even after the city reopens.

“The world is going to be different when we come out of quarantine, and our habits and how we use office space will absolutely be different,” said Gavin Fraser, the company’s chief executive. “It really took the lockdown, if you will, to accelerate those trends.”

https://www.nytimes.com/2020/05/12/nyregion...pgtype=Homepage

If this filter down to kv via mnc, possible game changer in property market.

This post has been edited by icemanfx: May 13 2020, 02:02 PM
adam1190
post May 13 2020, 06:32 PM

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Are property viewing activities allowed now?
Zwean
post May 13 2020, 07:10 PM

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QUOTE(jianwei90 @ May 13 2020, 06:32 PM)
Are property viewing activities allowed now?
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It is.
Bangala
post May 14 2020, 01:56 PM

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Sure meh property can make money? LOLS tongue.gif
I can buy it at lower than S&P price, plus save on interest bearing & inflation!
Waiting for more negative effect to kick in, hopefully the revival of second wave and further MCO lockdown.
Ini kalilah

icemanfx
post May 14 2020, 02:33 PM

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QUOTE(Bangala @ May 14 2020, 01:56 PM)
Sure meh property can make money? LOLS  tongue.gif
I can buy it at lower than S&P price, plus save on interest bearing & inflation!
Waiting for more negative effect to kick in, hopefully the revival of second wave and further MCO lockdown.
Ini kalilah
*
it is matter of when not if. believe the economical damage will be worse than the first.

This post has been edited by icemanfx: May 14 2020, 02:34 PM
SongChiang
post May 14 2020, 03:11 PM

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doomsayer lol. if really that bad all the da ma da shu bankrupt d lo tongue.gif
to be fair , property overhang is not market crash, just that the construction growth exceed population growth. people still are able to eke out something from it depending on how you manage your property. there is still demand but its slow. if not every property after the bull run will be unoccupied.

but i think you're just a sadist for wishing second wave deals more damage than the first, you must be fun at parties.
Bangala
post May 14 2020, 03:45 PM

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Someone must have gotten burn badly laugh.gif
Haha after moratorium then see bankrupt or not lo, now holiday mood on stress what? brows.gif
Property overhang + foreclosure + retrenchment/pay cut can people still afford it? Stricter lending due to low interest rate? Overstretch DSR/Multiple units? Airbnb units? SME's bankrupt?
Be pragmatic and and let domino effect do its work. Hopefully this will allow hard labor Bangala to have their first piece of cake at property too at the expense of optimistic investor biggrin.gif


Health DG: Second Wave Of Covid-19 Could Hit Malaysia Mid-June
https://www.therakyatpost.com/2020/05/13/he...aysia-mid-june/

This post has been edited by Bangala: May 14 2020, 03:49 PM
SongChiang
post May 14 2020, 03:54 PM

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QUOTE(Bangala @ May 14 2020, 01:56 PM)
Sure meh property can make money? LOLS  tongue.gif
I can buy it at lower than S&P price, plus save on interest bearing & inflation!
Waiting for more negative effect to kick in, hopefully the revival of second wave and further MCO lockdown.
Ini kalilah
*
if you are doubtful property can make money


QUOTE(Bangala @ May 14 2020, 03:45 PM)
Someone must have gotten burn badly laugh.gif
Haha after moratorium then see bankrupt or not lo, now holiday mood on stress what?  brows.gif
Property overhang + foreclosure + retrenchment/pay cut can people still afford it? Stricter lending due to low interest rate? Overstretch DSR/Multiple units? Airbnb units? SME's bankrupt?
Be pragmatic and and let domino effect do its work. Hopefully this will allow hard labor Bangala to have their first piece of cake at property too at the expense of optimistic investor biggrin.gif
Health DG: Second Wave Of Covid-19 Could Hit Malaysia Mid-June
https://www.therakyatpost.com/2020/05/13/he...aysia-mid-june/
*
maybe try renting?
Bangala
post May 14 2020, 04:20 PM

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QUOTE(SongChiang @ May 14 2020, 03:54 PM)
if you are doubtful property can make money
maybe try renting?
*
Yes I believe can make money probably in Grade A/B areas? Just a quick search by comparing previous S&P undercon & current price and I noticed a drop/stagnant in price already
So if there's a difference in price after a few years who is making profit then? The buyer/seller/developer/sales agent hmm.gif
That is excluding maintenance/sinking fund paid, (loan+cash back)x(interest) drool.gif , RPGT, etc. Ofc have to factor in (positive cash flow & capital appreciation)x(if) throughout the tenure

I'm relatively still new in property and my views are based on common sense lol, so much to learn from sifus out there confused.gif

This post has been edited by Bangala: May 14 2020, 04:24 PM
Ckmwpy0370
post May 14 2020, 04:45 PM

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QUOTE(Bangala @ May 14 2020, 01:56 PM)
Sure meh property can make money? LOLS  tongue.gif
I can buy it at lower than S&P price, plus save on interest bearing & inflation!
Waiting for more negative effect to kick in, hopefully the revival of second wave and further MCO lockdown.
Ini kalilah
*
if u hv properties in year 1990ies to 2014
then u are making money
Bangala
post May 14 2020, 04:54 PM

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QUOTE(Ckmwpy0370 @ May 14 2020, 04:45 PM)
if u hv properties in year 1990ies to 2014
then u are making money
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Yeap agreed, sadly born in the 90's sad.gif
icemanfx
post May 14 2020, 06:14 PM

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QUOTE(SongChiang @ May 14 2020, 03:11 PM)
doomsayer lol. if really that bad all the da ma da shu bankrupt d lo  tongue.gif
to be fair , property overhang is not market crash, just that the construction growth exceed population growth. people still are able to eke out something from it depending on how you manage your property. there is still demand but its slow. if not every property after the bull run will be unoccupied.

but i think you're just a sadist for wishing second wave deals more damage than the first, you must be fun at parties.
*
Wait until a few months after loan moratorium has ended then it will be more realistic for you comment about overhang, affordability, etc.

i am not a sadist but realistic. after the second wave hit, you will then find what is reality.

This post has been edited by icemanfx: May 14 2020, 06:15 PM
Ckmwpy0370
post May 14 2020, 07:57 PM

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interesting
https://www.nst.com.my/property/2020/05/592...ys-propertyguru
Salary
post May 14 2020, 08:03 PM

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So far I’ve been keeping tabs on landed houses for my own stay - prices are still as high as it was last year. Lots of rich people with holding power, eh?
cy91
post May 14 2020, 08:18 PM

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QUOTE(Salary @ May 14 2020, 08:03 PM)
So far I’ve been keeping tabs on landed houses for my own stay - prices are still as high as it was last year. Lots of rich people with holding power, eh?
*
Wrong! It is because of 6 months moratorium! Totally disrupted the free market
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post May 14 2020, 08:22 PM

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QUOTE(cy91 @ May 14 2020, 08:18 PM)
Wrong! It is because of 6 months moratorium! Totally disrupted the free market
*
I use developer units around the area as benchmarks. With the rebates developers are dishing out, most subsales are around or even above the what the developer is offering. Why would I buy an 5-year old house at the same price as a brand new developer unit?

I thought it will come down during the MCO, but sellers are sticking to their original asking price. Hoping to land a bargain after the moratorium.
cy91
post May 14 2020, 09:20 PM

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QUOTE(Salary @ May 14 2020, 08:22 PM)
I use developer units around the area as benchmarks. With the rebates developers are dishing out, most subsales are around or even above the what the developer is offering. Why would I buy an 5-year old house at the same price as a brand new developer unit?

I thought it will come down during the MCO, but sellers are sticking to their original asking price. Hoping to land a bargain after the moratorium.
*
Even developer MCO offer also not very attractive only. At best cheaper by 5k to 10k which is negligible to the property price..
DesRed
post May 14 2020, 10:13 PM

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QUOTE(Salary @ May 14 2020, 08:22 PM)
I use developer units around the area as benchmarks. With the rebates developers are dishing out, most subsales are around or even above the what the developer is offering. Why would I buy an 5-year old house at the same price as a brand new developer unit?

I thought it will come down during the MCO, but sellers are sticking to their original asking price. Hoping to land a bargain after the moratorium.
*
It really depends on a lot of things, not only the price alone.

Some of the older projects come with larger build-ups compared to a new launch project where the size have shrunk in the same price bracket and located within the same area as one example. If one can afford the additional costs for the subsale unit, then go for it. If not, then go for the new launch project.
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post May 15 2020, 12:24 AM

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QUOTE(cy91 @ May 14 2020, 09:20 PM)
Even developer MCO offer also not very attractive only. At best cheaper by 5k to 10k which is negligible to the property price..
*
According to a jedi master, some developer could offer up to 30% discount or rebate to bulk purchase. according to him, this time round will be worse than 1984-1987 and high end units will be more affected than cheaper units.

Moving forward, price compression will be the in thing i.e drop of high end price cascading down to cheaper unit.

This post has been edited by icemanfx: May 15 2020, 12:35 AM
Zicoras1
post May 15 2020, 09:09 AM

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A guru said this best, there are a few waves of property buying you can target:
1. CMCO time
-Businessman who need cash desperately willing to sell 40 to 60%
-Condos ready this year. Some developer willing to sell it 4 years ago price just to clear stock. Some developer may even go lower than that.
2. Somewhere in July when Malaysia quarter 2 growth numbers come out will show a massive drop in employment and growth. Right now the people hurting are the SMEs and wage workers. It has not yet affected the GLCs and some Multinational companies. As none of them have been laid off and got pay cuts in large numbers yet. Then can target this group as many will be desperate to offload their investment properties as even their companies will be impacted.
3. After Moratorium between Nov to Feb 2021 as then people desperate and developer also want to clear stock.
SongChiang
post May 15 2020, 09:59 AM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ May 14 2020, 06:14 PM)
Wait until a few months after loan moratorium has ended then it will be more realistic for you comment about overhang, affordability, etc.

i am not a sadist but realistic. after the second wave hit, you will then find what is reality.
*
the swimming naked thing?
nexona88
post May 21 2020, 01:53 PM

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Loaded with cash, property buyers wait for sellers to crack
https://www.theedgemarkets.com/article/load...t-sellers-crack

"Sellers are currently willing to concede discounts of around 5%, while bidders are hoping for about 20% off pre-pandemic prices" tongue.gif
icemanfx
post May 22 2020, 10:09 AM

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Asian investors are beginning to scout for property deals that would benefit from shifts in how people live and work in a post-coronavirus world, according to Hong Kong-based boutique investment advisory firm TTB Partners Ltd.

The expected changes brought on by lockdowns that have swept through cities globally should boost the attractiveness of suburban office parks and warehouses in Europe that serve e-commerce companies, TTB co-founder Jonathan Bond said. TTB specializes in linking investors in Asia with foreign sellers.

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/202...g?sref=bZ8VXc8U

table may turn from high rise.

eric3417
post May 22 2020, 10:15 AM

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There will be small pockets of sellers who will sell their proposals at 10-20% maybe even up to 30% losses due to the need to cash out or cut losses for whatever reasons.

As long as unemployment % do not Skyrocket & the vast majority of home owners still gets to keep their jobs, it is hard to see a Property Market Crash in Msia which has a constant demand due to growing population & relatively young demographics.
icemanfx
post May 22 2020, 10:18 AM

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QUOTE(eric3417 @ May 22 2020, 10:15 AM)
There will be small pockets of sellers who will sell their proposals at 10-20% maybe even up to 30% losses due to the need to cash out or cut losses for whatever reasons.

As long as unemployment % do not Skyrocket & the vast majority of home owners still gets to keep their jobs, it is hard to see a Property Market Crash in Msia which has a constant demand due to growing population & relatively young demographics.
*
>80% of working population will still have job. population growth in this country has slowed and in about 2030 will become ageing nation.

Zwean
post May 22 2020, 10:32 AM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ May 22 2020, 10:18 AM)
>80% of working population will still have job. population growth in this country has slowed and in about 2030 will become ageing nation.
*
Ageing is indication of matured and advance healthcare system.

Many first world countries have aged to over 40 years old for median age.

For the past years from the shift to 30 -> 40 its gradual, asset prices and the economy still grew.

Where is the correlation?

Malaysia
Median age - 30.3 (2020)
65 above - 6.3% (2017)

Singapore
Median age - 42.2 (2020)
65 above - 11.46 (2020)

Australia
Median age - 37.9 (2020)
65 above - 15% (2018)

UK
Median age - 40.5 (2020)
65 above - 18% (2016)

America
Median age - 38.2 (2018)
65 above - 16% (2017)

Sweden
Median age - 40.9 (2015)
65 above - 20.1% (2018)


Thailand
Median age - 40.1 (2020)
65 above - 11.9% (2018)
icemanfx
post May 22 2020, 10:52 AM

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QUOTE(Zwean @ May 22 2020, 10:32 AM)
Ageing is indication of matured and advance healthcare system.

Many first world countries have aged to over 40 years old for median age.

For the past years from the shift to 30 -> 40 its gradual, asset prices and the economy still grew.

Where is the correlation?

Malaysia
Median age - 30.3 (2020)
65 above - 6.3% (2017)

Singapore
Median age - 42.2 (2020)
65 above - 11.46 (2020)

Australia
Median age - 37.9 (2020)
65 above - 15% (2018)

UK
Median age - 40.5 (2020)
65 above - 18% (2016)

America
Median age - 38.2 (2018)
65 above - 16% (2017)

Sweden
Median age - 40.9 (2015)
65 above - 20.1% (2018)
Thailand
Median age - 40.1 (2020)
65 above - 11.9% (2018)
*
https://www.dosm.gov.my/v1/uploads/files/6_...tter/Ageing.pdf

https://www.dosm.gov.my/v1/index.php?r=colu...mtZYnhUeVBEdz09

https://www.dosm.gov.my/v1/index.php?r=colu...U5wamlLUFB5UT09

https://www.dosm.gov.my/v1/index.php?r=colu...klWdzQ4TlhUUT09

For your reading pleasure.

This post has been edited by icemanfx: May 22 2020, 10:54 AM
Zwean
post May 22 2020, 10:56 AM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ May 22 2020, 10:52 AM)
Thanks, but still there is no correlation as there are many countries that have prospered when their population over 65 greatly exceeded 7%.

Eg: Sweden 20%, UK 18%.. etc.
icemanfx
post May 22 2020, 11:18 AM

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QUOTE(Zwean @ May 22 2020, 10:56 AM)
Thanks, but still there is no correlation as there are many countries that have prospered when their population over 65 greatly exceeded 7%.

Eg: Sweden 20%, UK 18%.. etc.
*
Do you realize how many foreigners and how much foreign money buying into u.k. property?

This post has been edited by icemanfx: May 22 2020, 11:18 AM
Zwean
post May 22 2020, 11:43 AM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ May 22 2020, 11:18 AM)
Do you realize how many foreigners and how much foreign money buying into u.k. property?
*
...not talking about properties, but prosperity of the nation and economy as a whole.
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post May 22 2020, 01:08 PM

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QUOTE(Zwean @ May 22 2020, 11:43 AM)
...not talking about properties, but prosperity of the nation and economy as a whole.
*
MALAYSIA’S Consumer Price Index (CPI) fell 2.9% to 117.6 points in April from 121.1 in the same month last year — the lowest level since 2010 — as low average crude oil prices dragged transport costs lower by 21.5%.

For the period of January to April 2020, the index — which is a measure of the country’s inflationary level — declined 0.1% compared to a year ago, according to data from the Department of Statistics Malaysia (DoSM).

The index for food away from home jumped 1.5% YoY in April 2020, contributed by increases in the prices of nasi lemak, fried rice and cooked beef.

The overall CPI also decreased 2.7% from March 2020, mainly due to transport (-13.5%) and housing, water, electricity, gas and other fuels (-3.8%).

Headline inflation has been declining since March, when the CPI eased 0.2% — the first decline since February 2019 due to lower petrol prices.

https://themalaysianreserve.com/2020/05/21/...st-in-10-years/

The beginning of deflation stage in bolehland? depending on how the gomen handle, if not careful could spiral down.

This post has been edited by icemanfx: May 22 2020, 01:13 PM
Zwean
post May 22 2020, 01:20 PM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ May 22 2020, 01:08 PM)
MALAYSIA’S Consumer Price Index (CPI) fell 2.9% to 117.6 points in April from 121.1 in the same month last year — the lowest level since 2010 — as low average crude oil prices dragged transport costs lower by 21.5%.

For the period of January to April 2020, the index — which is a measure of the country’s inflationary level — declined 0.1% compared to a year ago, according to data from the Department of Statistics Malaysia (DoSM).

The index for food away from home jumped 1.5% YoY in April 2020, contributed by increases in the prices of nasi lemak, fried rice and cooked beef.

The overall CPI also decreased 2.7% from March 2020, mainly due to transport (-13.5%) and housing, water, electricity, gas and other fuels (-3.8%).

Headline inflation has been declining since March, when the CPI eased 0.2% — the first decline since February 2019 due to lower petrol prices.

https://themalaysianreserve.com/2020/05/21/...st-in-10-years/

The beginning of deflation stage in bolehland? depending on how the gomen handle, if not careful could spiral down.
*
Just a part of the economic cycle.


user posted image
icemanfx
post May 22 2020, 01:22 PM

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QUOTE(Zwean @ May 22 2020, 01:20 PM)
Just a part of the economic cycle.
user posted image
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No doubt but some said this round will be worse and last longer than before.

This post has been edited by icemanfx: May 22 2020, 01:22 PM
nexona88
post May 22 2020, 01:35 PM

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QUOTE(eric3417 @ May 22 2020, 10:15 AM)
There will be small pockets of sellers who will sell their proposals at 10-20% maybe even up to 30% losses due to the need to cash out or cut losses for whatever reasons.

As long as unemployment % do not Skyrocket & the vast majority of home owners still gets to keep their jobs, it is hard to see a Property Market Crash in Msia which has a constant demand due to growing population & relatively young demographics.
*
the bold part.

wait after Raya finished..
Employer Association mention big job loss @ unemployment / retrenchments icon_question.gif
Zwean
post May 22 2020, 01:50 PM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ May 22 2020, 01:22 PM)
No doubt but some said this round will be worse and last longer than before.
*
We shall see, if you have a long term plan and did not a short term horizon to begin with you'll be fine.

There are ways to optimise and play around with property investment.

Unfortunately I can truly feel for those who bought overpriced luxury development back in 2014.

They'll bear the brunt of it.
icemanfx
post May 22 2020, 02:46 PM

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QUOTE(Zwean @ May 22 2020, 01:50 PM)
We shall see, if you have a long term plan and did not a short term horizon to begin with you'll be fine.

There are ways to optimise and play around with property investment.

Unfortunately I can truly feel for those who bought overpriced luxury development back in 2014.

They'll bear the brunt of it.
*
During bull run, uuu/bbb advocated they were rewarded for risks they took. similarly, they bear the brunt when the tide turned.

It has been >5 years since 2014, many still in denial.

This post has been edited by icemanfx: May 22 2020, 08:05 PM
kingdomdemon
post May 22 2020, 07:19 PM

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My house seller politely ask his lawyer to cancel the deal as someone want to buy his property at a higher price.
icemanfx
post May 22 2020, 08:06 PM

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QUOTE(kingdomdemon @ May 22 2020, 07:19 PM)
My house seller politely ask his lawyer to cancel the deal as someone want to buy his property at a higher price.
*
Has vendor return your 10% down payment?

This post has been edited by icemanfx: May 22 2020, 08:06 PM
Zwean
post May 22 2020, 08:41 PM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ May 22 2020, 02:46 PM)
During bull run, uuu/bbb advocated they were rewarded for risks they took. similarly, they bear the brunt when the tide turned.

It has been >5 years since 2014, many still in denial.
*
Nah, prices have come down to a saner level since then.
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post Jun 4 2020, 04:34 PM

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Malaysia's exports tumbled 23.8 per cent in April from a year earlier, the steepest fall in a decade, as the Covid-19 pandemic badly disrupted the global supply chain, the government said on Thursday (June 4).

The fall to RM64.92 billion (S$21.27 billion) was much wider than a 15.1 per cent contraction forecast by analysts surveyed by Reuters.

Imports shrank by 8 per cent to RM68.42 billion, data from the Ministry of International Trade and Industry (MITI) showed. Analysts had expected a fall of 14.4 per cent.

"Malaysia's exports are expected to improve in the coming months as the government allowed more industries to resume operations and at full operating capacity since May 4, 2020," MITI minister Mohamed Azmin Ali said in a statement.

The country swung to a trade deficit of RM3.5 billion in April after 269 straight months of surplus, the government said.
https://www.straitstimes.com/business/econo...-fall-in-decade

This post has been edited by icemanfx: Jun 4 2020, 04:35 PM
garyming9191
post Jun 5 2020, 02:37 PM

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QUOTE(kingdomdemon @ May 22 2020, 07:19 PM)
My house seller politely ask his lawyer to cancel the deal as someone want to buy his property at a higher price.
*
Serious? Which area of that property is?
cy91
post Jun 5 2020, 04:46 PM

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HOC is back
daidragon12
post Jun 5 2020, 04:56 PM

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Free tax is coming back. But i think it won’t really affect the property market. Since more supply will come in from people who try to dispose their prop. Prop stocks also go down.
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post Jun 5 2020, 06:28 PM

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QUOTE(daidragon12 @ Jun 5 2020, 02:56 AM)
Free tax is coming back. But i think it won’t really affect the property market. Since more supply will come in from people who try to dispose their prop. Prop stocks also go down.
*
Yes, people who need to cashout now will rush to sell.

Some businessman are struggling to pay for their own personal lifestyle too.
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post Jun 5 2020, 06:36 PM

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QUOTE(eric3417 @ May 21 2020, 08:15 PM)
There will be small pockets of sellers who will sell their proposals at 10-20% maybe even up to 30% losses due to the need to cash out or cut losses for whatever reasons.

As long as unemployment % do not Skyrocket & the vast majority of home owners still gets to keep their jobs, it is hard to see a Property Market Crash in Msia which has a constant demand due to growing population & relatively young demographics.
*
The government is projecting unemployment rate to be at 5.5% which is higher than the 3.2% in 1997 and 3.7% in 2018.

If we were to include all those with 50% paycut and above, the figure would be much worse.
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post Jul 4 2020, 10:49 AM

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KUALA LUMPUR (Bernama): According to an online poll conducted by the Credit Counselling and Debt Management Agency (AKPK), 88% or 1,648 of 1,873 respondents, opted for the deferment of financial repayments under the moratorium introduced by Bank Negara.

AKPK Financial Education Department, Module Development Unit head, Nirmala Supramaniam said a survey on 788 respondents who took up the moratorium found that 48% or 378 of them wanted to build an emergency fund.

"Some took up the moratorium to spend the money on daily essentials and they accounted for 21% or 165 of the respondents; for investment purposes 16% (126), for further borrowings 11% (87) and four percent (32) had no plans.

https://www.thestar.com.my/news/nation/2020...ent-agency-poll

If this survey is representative; about 1/4 of borrowers are stressed and could default after October 2020.

Heard bank is currently overwhelmed with refinance application and it seems most are unlikely to be approved.

This post has been edited by icemanfx: Jul 4 2020, 10:50 AM
mini orchard
post Jul 4 2020, 11:35 AM

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QUOTE(CindyProperty88 @ Jul 4 2020, 11:07 AM)
2 of my clients cancel deal last minute due to COVID 19 sienz.
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Follow up with them around year end. They are cautious not to make financial error.
Hofmann33
post Jul 15 2020, 07:33 PM

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For anyone wondering about covid19 effects on Airbnb revenue, can have some perspective .

Domestic travel hotspots are what will likely sustain it.

https://blog.rentandreturns.com/is-airbnb-s...-a-good-option/
icemanfx
post Jul 15 2020, 08:15 PM

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QUOTE(Hofmann33 @ Jul 15 2020, 07:33 PM)
For anyone wondering about covid19 effects on Airbnb revenue, can have some perspective .

Domestic travel hotspots are what will likely sustain it.

https://blog.rentandreturns.com/is-airbnb-s...-a-good-option/
*
Enough to sustain or not?
deedeee
post Jul 15 2020, 08:46 PM

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QUOTE(CindyProperty88 @ Jul 4 2020, 11:07 AM)
2 of my clients cancel deal last minute due to COVID 19 sienz.
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They're probably waiting to see if there are any drops in prices due to covid-19 as what some of those property consultants mentioned in the press.

E.g. https://www.theedgemarkets.com/article/prop...says-miea%C2%A0
icemanfx
post Jul 15 2020, 11:20 PM

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QUOTE(deedeee @ Jul 15 2020, 08:46 PM)
They're probably waiting to see if there are any drops in prices due to covid-19 as what some of those property consultants mentioned in the press.

E.g. https://www.theedgemarkets.com/article/prop...says-miea%C2%A0
*
It is not if there will be price drop but by how much.

Ckmwpy0370
post Jul 25 2020, 01:27 PM

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Current situation in Malaysia.
As forwarded:
Office space.glut
Top end properties glut has started.
Expect a wave of conversion of office buildings to residences.
Low end and lower middle rental and prices will start to rise.
Shopping malls especially food courts will suffer reverses

Any sifu can comments on this
icemanfx
post Jul 25 2020, 01:34 PM

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QUOTE(Ckmwpy0370 @ Jul 25 2020, 01:27 PM)
Current situation in Malaysia.
As forwarded:
Office space.glut
Top end properties glut has started.
Expect a wave of conversion of office buildings to residences.
Low end and lower middle  rental and prices will start to rise.
Shopping malls especially food courts will suffer reverses

Any sifu can comments on this
*
With supply>demand, how rental and price will rise? Or because you bought?

This post has been edited by icemanfx: Jul 25 2020, 03:34 PM
Zwean
post Jul 25 2020, 01:35 PM

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QUOTE(Ckmwpy0370 @ Jul 25 2020, 01:27 PM)
Current situation in Malaysia.
As forwarded:
Office space.glut
Top end properties glut has started.
Expect a wave of conversion of office buildings to residences.
Low end and lower middle  rental and prices will start to rise.
Shopping malls especially food courts will suffer reverses

Any sifu can comments on this
*
"office buildings to residences"... won't happen

"Low end and lower middle rental and prices will start to rise." yes it is known, downsizing is common

..not a sifu
AFZAARTING
post Jul 25 2020, 01:50 PM

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Good Reading

https://www.iproperty.com.my/guides/beli-at...o4MR8ZqCBL5Fgzc

This post has been edited by AFZAARTING: Jul 25 2020, 01:51 PM
Hofmann33
post Jul 26 2020, 06:09 PM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Jul 15 2020, 08:15 PM)
Enough to sustain or not?
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Depends on location I suppose.

So places I highly doubt can sustain but others seem almost back to normal.
icemanfx
post Jul 27 2020, 03:54 PM

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“Over the six-month moratorium period, total losses are expected to reach RM6.4 billion, equivalent to the reduction in the banks’ capacity to disburse new loans worth RM79 billion whether to the people or to borrowers.

https://www.malaysiakini.com/news/536235

A side effect of loan moratorium which many didn't realize.

m0n0p0ly
post Jul 27 2020, 04:09 PM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Jul 25 2020, 12:34 PM)
With supply>demand, how rental and price will rise? Or because you bought?
*
Just want to ask you one question.. everything in market mostly increase in price now, when props price gonna rise again?
StupidGuyPlayComp
post Jul 27 2020, 04:38 PM

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QUOTE(m0n0p0ly @ Jul 27 2020, 04:09 PM)
Just want to ask you one question.. everything in market mostly increase in price now, when props price gonna rise again?
*
what "everything" in market increase price?

Malaysia is facing deflation now
icemanfx
post Jul 27 2020, 04:47 PM

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QUOTE(m0n0p0ly @ Jul 27 2020, 04:09 PM)
Just want to ask you one question.. everything in market mostly increase in price now, when props price gonna rise again?
*
Amazingly, house prices in Malaysia are still below pre-Asian Crisis 1997 levels, in inflation-adjusted terms, despite the recent housing boom.

https://www.globalpropertyguide.com/Asia/Ma...a/Price-History

This post has been edited by icemanfx: Jul 27 2020, 04:50 PM
ahrapture
post Jul 27 2020, 04:51 PM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Jul 27 2020, 04:47 PM)
Amazingly, house prices in Malaysia are still below pre-Asian Crisis 1997 levels, in inflation-adjusted terms, despite the recent housing boom.

https://www.globalpropertyguide.com/Asia/Ma...a/Price-History
*
I gotta agree on this as Malaysia home pricing is one of the lowest in the region except props in Myanmar, Cambodia or Laos
m0n0p0ly
post Jul 28 2020, 12:18 AM

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QUOTE(StupidGuyPlayComp @ Jul 27 2020, 03:38 PM)
what "everything" in market increase price?

Malaysia is facing deflation now
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Facing deflation so all the living expenses cheaper than B4?
m0n0p0ly
post Jul 28 2020, 12:20 AM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Jul 27 2020, 03:47 PM)
Amazingly, house prices in Malaysia are still below pre-Asian Crisis 1997 levels, in inflation-adjusted terms, despite the recent housing boom.

https://www.globalpropertyguide.com/Asia/Ma...a/Price-History
*
Memang Bolehland! Ask those taikor more focusing on this door instead of the one at the back laaaa...
icemanfx
post Jul 29 2020, 03:48 PM

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1) Three-month extension for those who lost their job this year

To qualify for the three-month extension, a borrower must have lost their job this year and have yet to secure a new job.

If their situation persists after the three-month extension, which expires at the end of the year, the banks may still provide a further extension for such individuals, depending on their respective situation.

2) Reduced monthly repayment amount for those whose salary was reduced

Borrowers whose salary has been cut due to the economic downturn brought about by the Covid-19 pandemic may seek a reduction in the monthly repayment.

The reduction in monthly repayment will be based on the proportion of the salary reduction.

The ratio of monthly repayment reduction to salary reduction may differ depending on loan type.

For housing and personal loans, the monthly repayment can be reduced at the same rate as the salary reduction. The ratio of reduction was not provided for other forms of loans.

This reduction will be allowed for at least six months.

An extension can be considered, depending on the status of an individual's salary.

3) Others may negotiate with banks for certain reliefs if facing difficulties

The government said banks have given a commitment to help individuals, small and medium enterprises (SME), small traders and self-employed individuals who face difficulties in meeting their commitments due to the Covid-19 pandemic.

Among the possible reliefs that can be negotiated by such individuals are:

- Only paying the interest portion of loan repayment for a certain period of time

- Extending the overall loan length in order to reduce the quantum of monthly repayment

- Other reliefs until a borrower is financially stable again
https://www.malaysiakini.com/news/536600

(2) and (3) is basically loan restructuring, unless economy become better, rise of npl will just be delayed.

This post has been edited by icemanfx: Jul 29 2020, 04:00 PM
cy91
post Jul 29 2020, 04:01 PM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Jul 29 2020, 03:48 PM)
1) Three-month extension for those who lost their job this year

To qualify for the three-month extension, a borrower must have lost their job this year and have yet to secure a new job.

If their situation persists after the three-month extension, which expires at the end of the year, the banks may still provide a further extension for such individuals, depending on their respective situation.

2) Reduced monthly repayment amount for those whose salary was reduced

Borrowers whose salary has been cut due to the economic downturn brought about by the Covid-19 pandemic may seek a reduction in the monthly repayment.

The reduction in monthly repayment will be based on the proportion of the salary reduction.

The ratio of monthly repayment reduction to salary reduction may differ depending on loan type.

For housing and personal loans, the monthly repayment can be reduced at the same rate as the salary reduction. The ratio of reduction was not provided for other forms of loans.

This reduction will be allowed for at least six months.

An extension can be considered, depending on the status of an individual's salary.

3) Others may negotiate with banks for certain reliefs if facing difficulties

The government said banks have given a commitment to help individuals, small and medium enterprises (SME), small traders and self-employed individuals who face difficulties in meeting their commitments due to the Covid-19 pandemic.

Among the possible reliefs that can be negotiated by such individuals are:

- Only paying the interest portion of loan repayment for a certain period of time

- Extending the overall loan length in order to reduce the quantum of monthly repayment

- Other reliefs until a borrower is financially stable again
https://www.malaysiakini.com/news/536600

(2) and (3) is basically loan restructuring, unless economy become better, rise of npl will just be delayed.
*
Monthly reduction for those who got a pay cut will still incur interest?
icemanfx
post Jul 29 2020, 07:09 PM

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QUOTE(cy91 @ Jul 29 2020, 04:01 PM)
Monthly reduction for those who got a pay cut will still incur interest?
*
Better still loan interest include those incurred during loan moratorium is forgiven.

This post has been edited by icemanfx: Jul 29 2020, 07:38 PM
chat chat
post Jul 29 2020, 07:26 PM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Jul 25 2020, 01:34 PM)
With supply>demand, how rental and price will rise? Or because you bought?
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ya. that's very basic common sense
propertymart
post Jul 29 2020, 10:04 PM

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1. Justify how much job lost count ? Count 1 by 1 please .

2. At night drive and go that area count how many lights light up. Count how many tenant really staying there. See how good is that area shoplot and retail mall. How many tutup during CMCO? Don't just pure CAKAP . If just one or two then ok. Big malls also got 1 or 2 bad business . What business is at your surronding? Highway , MRT ? Rental rise ? Are you so sure ?

3. Survey , eat or possible stay in AirBnB in that area for 1 week before you buy

4. Read news, newspaper. JPPH (Goverment website) statics survey about overhang properties .Talk with business people . Survey with bosses and landlords . Not read FB, forum only , then you CRY why no people tell you when you bang wall (Sorry say so)

5. Soon those banks with alot NPL will have trouble . They need bring back 35 years maybe i give you all bankers a free idea
reschedule to 45 years loan. Tell your boss . Lesser burden people that own few properties

6. Oversea young people will email goverment and tell them what to do during crisis. Malaysia 90% spoon feed. Pengsan

7. I will post more knowledgable info here soon

This post has been edited by propertymart: Jul 29 2020, 10:12 PM
icemanfx
post Aug 2 2020, 07:41 PM

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QUOTE(EnergyAnalyst @ Aug 2 2020, 06:37 PM)
Developer could apply for extension, will likely be approved and has court's sympathy.
SUSxander83
post Aug 2 2020, 07:54 PM

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QUOTE(propertymart @ Jul 29 2020, 10:04 PM)
1. Justify how much job lost count ? Count 1 by 1 please .

2. At night drive and go that area count how many lights light up. Count how many tenant really staying there. See how good is that area shoplot and retail mall. How many tutup during CMCO? Don't just pure CAKAP . If just one or two then ok. Big malls also got 1 or 2 bad business . What business is at your surronding? Highway , MRT ? Rental rise ? Are you so sure ?

3. Survey , eat or possible stay in AirBnB in that area for 1 week before you buy

4. Read news, newspaper. JPPH (Goverment website) statics survey about overhang properties .Talk with business people . Survey with bosses and landlords  . Not read FB, forum only , then you CRY why no people tell you when you bang wall (Sorry say so)

5. Soon those banks with alot NPL will have trouble . They need bring back 35 years maybe i give you all bankers a free idea
reschedule to 45 years loan. Tell your boss . Lesser burden people that own few properties

6. Oversea young people will email goverment and tell them what to do during crisis. Malaysia 90% spoon feed. Pengsan

7. I will post more knowledgable info here soon
*
Will bound to happen only matter when whistling.gif
EnergyAnalyst
post Aug 3 2020, 12:36 AM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Aug 2 2020, 07:41 PM)
Developer could apply for extension, will likely be approved and has court's sympathy.
*
no need court

ask REHDA can help already

http://rehda.com/covid-19/#faq

» Click to show Spoiler - click again to hide... «


This post has been edited by EnergyAnalyst: Aug 3 2020, 12:39 AM
cy91
post Aug 3 2020, 11:07 AM

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QUOTE(EnergyAnalyst @ Aug 3 2020, 12:36 AM)
no need court

ask REHDA can help already

http://rehda.com/covid-19/#faq

» Click to show Spoiler - click again to hide... «

*
Malaysia laws always protect developer more than buyers whistling.gif
icemanfx
post Aug 3 2020, 11:56 AM

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QUOTE(cy91 @ Aug 3 2020, 11:07 AM)
Malaysia laws always protect developer more than buyers  whistling.gif
*
Many developers are glc or have strong cable.
HereToLearn
post Aug 15 2020, 06:31 PM

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QUOTE(m0n0p0ly @ Jul 27 2020, 04:09 PM)
Just want to ask you one question.. everything in market mostly increase in price now, when props price gonna rise again?
*
When demand>supply, or when minimum wage increases
HereToLearn
post Aug 15 2020, 06:31 PM

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https://www.theedgemarkets.com/content/even...st-decline-4q98

GDP drop that rivals AFC 1997/98.
1997/98 asian financial crisis property price drop is 30-40% with the avg of 37%
flight
post Aug 16 2020, 08:36 AM

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Current gdp drop is not comparable to asian financial crisis. Back then there was true demand destruction and the "capital structure" of the economy was not in the shape it is now.

The drop in gdp this time was self imposed through mco, however it was also accompanied by massive stimulus and interest rate cuts.
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post Aug 16 2020, 10:47 AM

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QUOTE(flight @ Aug 16 2020, 08:36 AM)
Current gdp drop is not comparable to asian financial crisis. Back then there was true demand destruction and the "capital structure" of the economy was not in the shape it is now.

The drop in gdp this time was self imposed through mco, however it was also accompanied by massive stimulus and interest rate cuts.
*
Absolutely agreed

The recovery will be shocking for all


But tauke all still want tongkat
icemanfx
post Aug 16 2020, 10:59 AM

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QUOTE(flight @ Aug 16 2020, 08:36 AM)
Current gdp drop is not comparable to asian financial crisis. Back then there was true demand destruction and the "capital structure" of the economy was not in the shape it is now.

The drop in gdp this time was self imposed through mco, however it was also accompanied by massive stimulus and interest rate cuts.
*
QUOTE(DingDing2233 @ Aug 16 2020, 10:47 AM)
Absolutely agreed

The recovery will be shocking for all
But tauke all still want tongkat
*
Expect q3/20 gdp growth to be double digit. however, the real impact of current economic recession will come from q4/20.

flight
post Aug 16 2020, 01:41 PM

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Theres no harm being careful. If the developed world makes policy mistakes there might be a major crisis in the offing. But there r bargains to be had now
icemanfx
post Aug 25 2020, 12:48 PM

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QUOTE(larainastevens @ Aug 25 2020, 12:04 PM)
Consider asking for LAD/ Liquidated Ascertained Damages - a genuine pre-estimate of the loss that'll be caused to one party in a situation where the contract is broken by the other. Check this out for more informations https://www.propertyguru.com.my/property-gu...calculate-16823 tongue.gif  icon_idea.gif  thumbsup.gif
*
The Temporary Measures for Reducing The Impact of Coronavirus Disease 2019 (Covid-19) Bill 2020 will limit lad during mco.

icemanfx
post Aug 25 2020, 04:05 PM

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He also noted that from an analysis of over 5,000 development launches past and present, 45 percent of projects were 'overpriced' by over 10 percent and some by as much as 80 percent.

Out of those numbers, which were derived from the housing and local government ministry records, about 160 developments are due for completion in 2021.

https://www.malaysiakini.com/news/539933

twincharger07
post Aug 25 2020, 04:58 PM

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QUOTE(HereToLearn @ Aug 15 2020, 06:31 PM)
https://www.theedgemarkets.com/content/even...st-decline-4q98

GDP drop that rivals AFC 1997/98.
1997/98 asian financial crisis property price drop is 30-40% with the avg of 37%
*
low interest rate and stimulus package are still holding up the economy.
Despite the GDP plunge, the share market is still holding up.. there is still a lot of cash flowing in the market..
Property market always lag behind the share market..

However, the real picture will be revealed after moratorium is over. The NPL still unknown..
HereToLearn
post Aug 25 2020, 08:01 PM

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https://www.freemalaysiatoday.com/category/...y-markets-fate/
HereToLearn
post Sep 2 2020, 06:39 PM

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Vacancy tax is comng
heavensea
post Sep 3 2020, 12:28 AM

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QUOTE(HereToLearn @ Sep 2 2020, 06:39 PM)
Vacancy tax is comng
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Developer dai
icemanfx
post Sep 3 2020, 10:30 AM

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QUOTE(HereToLearn @ Sep 2 2020, 06:39 PM)
Vacancy tax is comng
*
QUOTE(heavensea @ Sep 3 2020, 12:28 AM)
Developer dai
*
this policy is unlikely to implement. anyhow, developers are known to have "sold" unsold units (in particular commercial) to their subsidiaries and could practice similar to residential.

as a last option, developer could offer rent to own scheme.
icemanfx
post Sep 11 2020, 02:02 AM

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It seems some developer are offering up to 40% discount/rebate/cash back; spa price is almost valueless. A reason why some bank insist on valuation for developers units in particularly commercial.
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post Sep 11 2020, 10:14 AM

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Some banks directly reject any loan application for certain projects/developers. Either that or the max that the loan that they can offer is up till 70% +/-
icemanfx
post Sep 15 2020, 11:15 AM

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Developing Asia’s coronavirus-battered economy will shrink for the first time since the early 1960s, with the level of output next year still seen below pre-pandemic projections even as growth recovers, according to the Asian Development Bank.

The region’s gross domestic product will decline by 0.7% in 2020, down from June’s projection of an increase of 0.1%, the Manila-based bank said in a report Tuesday. A contraction this year would be the first since 1962, Yasuyuki Sawada, the ADB’s chief economist, said in a live-streamed briefing.

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/202...-1960s-adb-says
icemanfx
post Sep 23 2020, 12:07 AM

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* There were 75,318 residential transactions worth RM25.61 billion recorded in H1 2020, declining 24.6% in volume and 26.1% in value compared to H1 2019.

* The residential overhang continued to increase due to slow market absorption of the primary market. There were 31,661 overhang units worth RM20.03 billion, increased by 3.3% in volume (H2 2019: 30,664 units) and 6.4% in value against the preceding half year (H2 2019: RM18.82 billion).

* The serviced apartment segment, which falls under commercial property albeit its usage as residential, recorded 1,433 transactions worth RM0.97 billion, forming 17.7% of the commercial property transactions volume and 11.5% of the total value. Mirroring the trend of the residential sub-sector, its market performance recorded a decrease of 24.2% in volume (H1 2019: 1,891 transactions) and 25.3% in value of transactions (H1 2019: RM1.30 billion).

* Serviced apartment overhang continued to increase, accumulating a total of 21,683 units with a value of RM18.64 billion, up by 26.5% in volume and 23.9% in value (H2 2019: 17,142 units worth RM15.04 billion). Meanwhile, the number of unsold under construction and unsold not constructed increased to 35,720 units and 10,874 units, up by 5.6% and 42.0% respectively.

https://napic.jpph.gov.my/portal/web/guest/...1&fileURI=14012

https://napic.jpph.gov.my/portal/web/guest/...showButton=true

This post has been edited by icemanfx: Sep 23 2020, 12:16 AM
HereToLearn
post Oct 2 2020, 10:21 AM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Sep 23 2020, 12:07 AM)
* There were 75,318  residential transactions worth RM25.61 billion recorded in H1 2020, declining 24.6% in volume and 26.1% in value compared to H1 2019.

* The residential overhang continued to increase due to slow market absorption of the primary market. There were 31,661 overhang units worth RM20.03 billion, increased by 3.3% in volume (H2 2019: 30,664 units) and 6.4% in value against the preceding half year (H2 2019: RM18.82 billion).

* The serviced apartment segment, which falls under commercial property albeit its usage as residential, recorded 1,433 transactions worth RM0.97 billion, forming 17.7% of the commercial property transactions volume and 11.5% of the total value. Mirroring the trend of the residential sub-sector, its market performance recorded a decrease of 24.2% in volume (H1 2019: 1,891 transactions) and 25.3% in value of transactions (H1 2019: RM1.30 billion).

* Serviced apartment overhang continued to increase, accumulating a total of 21,683 units with a value of RM18.64 billion, up by 26.5% in volume and 23.9% in value (H2 2019: 17,142 units worth RM15.04 billion). Meanwhile, the number of unsold under construction and unsold not constructed increased to 35,720 units and 10,874 units, up by 5.6% and 42.0% respectively.

https://napic.jpph.gov.my/portal/web/guest/...1&fileURI=14012

https://napic.jpph.gov.my/portal/web/guest/...showButton=true
*
Bro can you explain
1. what is existing supply? Does it include the units that have been occupied?
2. what is the definition of demand (transacted data) by NAPIC? Does is include subsale and auction transaction? Or just new units' transaction?
icemanfx
post Oct 2 2020, 10:51 AM

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QUOTE(HereToLearn @ Oct 2 2020, 10:21 AM)
Bro can you explain
1. what is existing supply? Does it include the units that have been occupied?
2. what is the definition of demand (transacted data) by NAPIC? Does is include subsale and auction transaction? Or just new units' transaction?
*
Data and explanation available at napic.
icemanfx
post Mar 13 2022, 03:30 PM

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QUOTE(airtawarian @ Mar 13 2022, 03:08 PM)
Semua lelong. Budak perempuan lagi. Main coxxxxx loan ke🤭

The square one city retail lot - 1
Third Avenue - 2
windows on the park - 1
Pavilion - 1

Hutang >RM 4 juta,1 bulan bayar >RM 20k - Ktard gaji

user posted image

Bincangkan (20,000 markah)
*
Covid19, mco or loan compression fault?

This post has been edited by icemanfx: Mar 13 2022, 03:31 PM
SUSNew Klang
post Mar 14 2022, 10:51 AM

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Parking for knowledge
vinceleo
post Mar 14 2022, 01:11 PM

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CB are meaningful if one can manage it effectively of course not to fall into oversold promises around ROI especially SubLet strategy

QUOTE(icemanfx @ Mar 13 2022, 03:30 PM)
Covid19, mco or loan compression fault?
*
icemanfx
post Apr 12 2022, 03:25 PM

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Despite Malaysia’s reputation as a country with a penchant for shopping, several malls in the capital city appear to be at risk of shutting down, with barely any of their commercial units still occupied and a drop in the number of shoppers and visitors.

It is a situation exacerbated by the onset of Covid-19 which left the economic sector reeling from the consecutive lockdowns imposed since early 2020 in a bid to keep the spread of the virus under control.

And it is a situation that threatens to continue even with the country’s transition towards the endemic phase which began earlier this month.

MalaysiaNow’s recent visit to a well-known shopping complex in Ampang, Selangor, found the three-storey building a ghost of its former self.

Nearly 90% of the shoplots were unoccupied while the few that were open were mainly traditional massage parlours.

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https://www.malaysianow.com/news/2022/04/12...ls-fall-silent/
elimi8z
post Apr 12 2022, 06:37 PM

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Centrepoint and Galaxy has been slowly dying even before 2019
Cavatzu
post Apr 13 2022, 06:26 AM

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Very simply. There are too many malls. Everyone jumped on the serviced apartment + commercial mall/shops combo. Many are white elephants now.

No Chinese tourists = no commercialism.

The only relevance shopping malls have now is to be experiential destinations not so much for shopping. Hence these malls that were stuck in the 80s/90s model will die.

This post has been edited by Cavatzu: Apr 13 2022, 06:30 AM
yushk
post Apr 13 2022, 01:28 PM

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QUOTE(Cavatzu @ Apr 13 2022, 06:26 AM)
Very simply. There are too many malls. Everyone jumped on the serviced apartment + commercial mall/shops combo. Many are white elephants now.

No Chinese tourists = no commercialism.

The only relevance shopping malls have now is to be experiential destinations not so much for shopping. Hence these malls that were stuck in the 80s/90s model will die.
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Meaning it may impact the price of commercial property but not much impact on residential property?
Cavatzu
post Apr 13 2022, 04:34 PM

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QUOTE(yushk @ Apr 13 2022, 01:28 PM)
Meaning it may impact the price of commercial property but not much impact on residential property?
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Haiya there has been so much discourse on this already.

Malaysia has not really benefited from this home ownership drive that has impacted places like US or Singapore where home prices have gone up 30% or more in the past 2 years. You have the lowest interest rates on record yet affordability is a real issue for the average folk.

Business confidence in the country just needs to improve for the money to flow through again.
yushk
post Apr 13 2022, 08:17 PM

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QUOTE(Cavatzu @ Apr 13 2022, 04:34 PM)
Haiya there has been so much discourse on this already.

Malaysia has not really benefited from this home ownership drive that has impacted places like US or Singapore where home prices have gone up 30% or more in the past 2 years. You have the lowest interest rates on record yet affordability is a real issue for the average folk.

Business confidence in the country just needs to improve for the money to flow through again.
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Hope the environment will become better and better in the future.

icemanfx
post May 9 2022, 01:49 PM

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user posted image

'Overhang' in subsale is believe to be a few times of primary/developers.

https://www.thestar.com.my/business/busines...that-never-pops

icemanfx
post Jul 4 2022, 10:03 AM

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Bank Negara Malaysia (BNM) will raise rates by 25 basis points on Wednesday, its first consecutive rise in more than a decade, to rein in inflation stemming in part from a weaker ringgit as the US Federal Reserve hikes aggressively, a Reuters poll found.

BNM, although dealing with low inflation compared with many other economies, unexpectedly raised its key overnight policy rate by 25 basis points to 2.00 percent at its May meeting.

All 22 economists in the June 27-July 1 poll forecast rates to rise by another 25 basis points to 2.25 percent at the July 6 meeting. The central bank last raised rates twice in a row in mid-2010.

https://www.malaysiakini.com/news/627024

If covid19 was the earthquake, rate rise is the aftermath tsunami.

icemanfx
post Jul 30 2022, 02:20 PM

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QUOTE(HikayatSalju @ Jul 30 2022, 11:02 AM)
A whopping 1.9 million out of 9.6 million residential units purchased in Malaysia are unoccupied, according to numbers released by the statistics department in June, raising questions about the housing situation in the country amid the scramble to find affordable homes.

Department director-general Mohd Uzir Mahidin said the data was collected in the 2020 population and housing census, and showed a steep increase from the 700,000 units registered as unoccupied just 10 years before in 2010.

In Pahang, 18% of homes purchased are not fully occupied while in Melaka, the numbers are even higher at 30%.

Speaking at a press conference, Uzir had attributed the situation in part to homeowners using such houses as temporary accommodation or homestays. In other cases, he said, the owners might possess a house in a particular area but work elsewhere.

A similar trend has been ongoing in the US, where one out of every 10 homes is unoccupied – equivalent to about 16 million units.

This is one of the highest figures in the world, followed by Japan (eight million), Brazil (7.9 million) and France (three million), according to the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development.

Property expert Cha-Ly Koh said cities in Malaysia appeared to have been built without data or a comprehensive understanding of conditions.

"A key metric that we track is the over and undersupply of housing in Malaysian cities," Koh, the CEO of a property data company in Petaling Jaya, said.

"The areas with oversupply naturally translate to vacancies."

Speaking to MalaysiaNow, Koh said that unoccupied homes were the result of two main issues, namely the use of houses as a commodity and policies that are not based on real data, coupled with the situation in the real estate market.

Rosli Said of Universiti Malaya's architecture faculty said those who invest in real estate might do so in the belief that such assets will not depreciate in value.

But he said this would also depend on the type of house as well as its location.

"The data issued by the statistics department includes the units that are located in areas with low levels of economic activity," he said.

"This leads to a lack of demand for these units. This is one of the factors leading to vacancies in houses offered for rent."

About 59% of rental demand comes from the private sector with the rest attributed to civil servants.

According to Rosli, tenants from the private sector gravitate towards areas with economic activity while government employees do not depend on location.

If this trend continues, he said, only houses for rent in areas with economic activity will remain in demand while the number of unoccupied units in other locations will increase.

At 76.9%, Malaysia's home ownership rate is one of the highest in the region.

Nevertheless, owning a home is also considered difficult and unaffordable.

"If housing is treated as a commodity, whether it shelters a family or not becomes a secondary concern," Koh said.

"That's why you hear stories of discriminatory landlords who would rather leave their units vacant than rent them out to families who need them."

Describing this as an artificial shortage, she said the government was taking the easiest route by simply building more houses.

She said this was why government policy usually asked developers to cross-subsidise the construction of affordable housing, or increase the density of housing projects.

However, units bought for housing are allowed to remain unoccupied for the accumulation of wealth, she added.

"The government KPI may have been met but the shelter pressure has not been relieved," Koh said.

"This cycle repeats itself to the point that it has risen to the 1.9 million vacant homes reported by the statistics department."

Rosli meanwhile said the country might witness a housing crisis as tenants are increasingly unable to afford homes while investors cannot make repayments to financial institutions if the units that they buy, especially wholesale, fail to obtain the expected rent.

At the moment, he said, there was no appropriate act to deal with the problem of speculation despite the constant changes to the real estate profit tax.

"Appropriate measures should be enforced by limiting the purchase of affordable units, for example to five units," he said.

He said local authorities could also help resolve the issue by limiting the rental period of "rent to own" homes to five years. 

The "rent to own" scheme was introduced several years ago to allow prospective buyers to test out a particular piece of property by renting it before deciding whether to buy it once the scheme ends.

Under this scheme, no advance payments are required.

Rosli suggested that advance payments be included in the monthly rent in the form of an annuity for the first five years.

"This way, the buyers will not be burdened because they will continue to own the house at the same rental payments as the first five years," he said.

Koh meanwhile said that increasing the property supply would not resolve much.

Even though there are already 1.9 million unoccupied units, she said, it is difficult for first-time buyers to purchase these units from the original owners as they would need six to seven times the amount of cash compared to buying a unit in a new project.

"Instead of supplying more housing to the market, the government could simply effect some changes to the rules and unlock these 1.9 million units to those looking to purchase a home," she said.

"Young people should not be encouraged to buy new housing projects," she added. "Older or existing housing projects are better located, anyway."

https://www.msn.com/en-my/news/national/the...52UH?li=BBr8Mk9
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Cavatzu
post Jul 30 2022, 02:58 PM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Jul 30 2022, 02:20 PM)

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1.9M/9.6M so roughly 2 out of 10 homes is unoccupied with a lot more on the way and co-living antics. We really are number 1 in unsavoury categories. The critique on town planning is so apt.
wotpian
post Jul 30 2022, 03:27 PM

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Seems like 2nd home plan need to lower down requirements.

Foreigner min purchase price also need to lower down. Outside of KL min 2mils really die hang, not to said kl 1mil min also hard to push.
elimi8z
post Jul 30 2022, 03:29 PM

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Launch more RSKU and RumaWIP is the best
Cavatzu
post Jul 30 2022, 03:31 PM

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QUOTE(wotpian @ Jul 30 2022, 03:27 PM)
Seems like 2nd home plan need to lower down requirements.

Foreigner min purchase price also need to lower down. Outside of KL min 2mils really die hang, not to said kl 1mil min also hard to push.
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Umm it’s a hard one. The trend now is to discourage property for investment purposes. Let alone encourage foreigners to buy your country’s property. It just depends which swing the capitalism pendulum goes. The visa programme is already a discouragement of foreigners buying here if the lacklustre stats haven’t already done the work.
SUSsinkiebaharu
post Jul 31 2022, 01:03 AM

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Shouldn't things be improving now that the country has opened up?
cy91
post Jul 31 2022, 02:09 AM

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QUOTE(sinkiebaharu @ Jul 31 2022, 01:03 AM)
Shouldn't things be improving now that the country has opened up?
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Interest rate going up real strong.
Cavatzu
post Jul 31 2022, 07:03 AM

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Ongoing or systemic issues don’t go away overnight just because a pandemic crisis is somewhat over. The true extent of the aftermath is not apparent yet.
icemanfx
post Jul 31 2022, 11:33 AM

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QUOTE(Cavatzu @ Jul 31 2022, 07:03 AM)
Ongoing or systemic issues don’t go away overnight just because a pandemic crisis is somewhat over. The true extent of the aftermath is not apparent yet.
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If covid19 pandemic was a earthquake, the aftermath economic recession could be a tsunami.

This post has been edited by icemanfx: Jul 31 2022, 12:39 PM

 

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