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 Ultimate Discussions of ASNB Fixed Price UT, Magical UT only in Malaysia

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MattSally
post Aug 16 2020, 08:26 PM

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First post here gents so please be gentle with me. I am married to a Malaysian and we (or, rather, she) is invested in ASM2 and ASM3. We were looking to live in retirement off the interest but not sure that will be possible now. Has anyone a decent idea of what the dividends are likely to be in September and October please?

Thanks and best wishes to all.

Matt.
MattSally
post Aug 21 2020, 12:05 AM

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Any more educated guesses for ASM2 and ASM3 dividends in September and October please? We have a little (very little) amount of money to invest and are unsure if we should try to get ASM2 ASM3 funds or try something completely different.

Really enjoying this thread. I have been following for quite a while as a guest before signing up.
MattSally
post Aug 21 2020, 01:14 AM

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QUOTE(vanitas @ Aug 20 2020, 08:58 PM)
You will know the dividend for ASM2 next week. You can wait one more week to decide continue trying ASM or try something else.

Personally think the dividend for ASM2 and ASM3 would be higher than ASM (4.25%) as stock market is doing terribly during March (the month where ASM paying dividend), and now the stock market is way better than that time. I would guess around 4.75%.

But many members here feel it will be around 3.8% to 4.2%.
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Thank you.

I can certainly see the sound logic in your argument. I have my own investments in some Russell Global and Fidelity International funds and your are correct about the stock markets in March. Myfunds lost 20% in one month but have subsequently recovered. I am hoping the same is true for ASM2 and ASM3 dividends.
MattSally
post Aug 21 2020, 01:30 AM

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Attached Image

Hopefully ASM2 ASM3 will recover in a similar way.
MattSally
post Aug 22 2020, 02:46 AM

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QUOTE(CSW1990 @ Aug 21 2020, 11:59 AM)
from the 2019 annual report, ASM2 mostly allocate the equity in financial (26%) and utility (11%) sector, and these 2 sector are not doing good or not yet recover from COVID 19 pandemic..
they don't involve in those higher flyers like gloves counters and not much in tech.
so my estimation for ASM2 will be around 4% or even 3.8%
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Yes, that is what a lot of people are predicting. I really have no idea. Anything 4.xx% will be ok for me but anything less and I think we may look to invest elsewhere.

We will find out soon enough I suppose.
MattSally
post Aug 23 2020, 06:26 PM

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QUOTE(cscheat @ Aug 22 2020, 08:28 PM)
1 more week ! hehehe
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I am getting nervous now. I have been made redundant from my job in Dubai and we will be returning to Malaysia in September and will have to live off the dividends for a while.


MattSally
post Aug 24 2020, 02:17 AM

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QUOTE(GodTier @ Aug 23 2020, 07:09 PM)
My past fwb, stewardess, also coming back msia.

Still need to be quarantined upon reaching msia?

She used to stay in sama sama hotel in klia, back then I was a 20k nett salary earner, she invited me to stay together time to time, before going back to her hometown.

Anyone wanna sell units ?

Around Xmas time I want to top up 150k, preferably cod.
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At the moment yes, still need to quarantine 14 days. That could change 31/8/20 but I am expecting the MCO to be extended.

We won't be touching the capital sum. Provided we get 4% we can live off the interest.
MattSally
post Aug 24 2020, 03:09 PM

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QUOTE(TOS @ Aug 24 2020, 10:11 AM)
Should take note of liquidity issue. If he is far from 55 years old, has "little money" (very subjective) and still has financial commitment, one lump sum of 60k might not be advisable, since in case of emergency that 60k is essentially frozen.
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I am 58, British, just been made redundant and married to a Malaysian. We also have a 4 year old Malaysian daughter. EPF not really an option for me. Possibly my wife though. By far our biggest expenses will be education and private health insurance. Thankfully, we have cleared the mortgage on our condo.

I had a decent career to age 58 so, yes, we were able to put quite a bit into my wife's ASB/ASM accounts. When the returns were 6+% we were very happy but now they look to be around 4% we can live off the interest but no provision for a hedge against inflation. My UK State Pension does not pay out until I am 67 and may be delayed further. It is not a huge amount either and, because I will be living outside UK, will not get annual inflationary increases like it would if I was in UK.

In short, if returns don't recover to around 5% in the next couple of years I am going to have to get another job and that will have to be outside Malaysia as it is a condition of my MM2H visa that I do not work in Malaysia. I could transfer to a LTSVP visa if necessary of course.

Until we have got ourselves established in Malaysia we will not really know exactly how much we need to live. We obviously have an idea but we will only know how accurate it is in a few months. We are quite happy to sit on the balcony with a coffee and watch the sun go down. We don't need the flashy cars etc but we obviously want to provide a good upbringing for our daughter.

At least life isn't boring!
MattSally
post Aug 24 2020, 03:53 PM

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QUOTE(hc7840 @ Aug 24 2020, 11:45 AM)
Another billcollector in the making
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Sorry, don't understand.
MattSally
post Aug 24 2020, 11:04 PM

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QUOTE(TOS @ Aug 24 2020, 04:59 PM)
Good that you manage to earn a decent return from ASNB, plus the depreciation of MYR against GBP, I believe your actual earnings would already approach a high single-digit number. The inflation rate in Malaysia is also high, especially in food and property prices, somewhere in the ballpark of 6-7% per annum, which is something that you need to take note of.

EPF's return would match the actual inflation rate (around 5-6% p.a.), so you could consider investing through your wife's EPF account.

But given your case, if you have "a few (low single-digit) millions MYR", that should already be enough for retirement here.
Bill collector: https://www.careerexplorer.com/careers/bill...ount-collector/

Can Google "Bill Collector". Basically he's saying that you are already very rich, can start collecting payments from rent/dividends/interests.tongue.gif
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Thank you for the explanation.

Your maths is pretty good.

If we could count on 6% pa life would be great. If we could count on 5% pa life would be comfortable. If we get to 4% then it starts to affect lifestyle.

But we know that we are still in a better position than many and still count ourselves very fortunate.
MattSally
post Aug 25 2020, 10:29 PM

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QUOTE(Bora Prisoner @ Aug 25 2020, 11:47 AM)
Looks like your wife is a bumiputera.

Forget ASM. Just park in in ASB, ASB2 and ASB3.
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She is but we have already maxed out her allocation of ASB ASB2 and ASB3.
MattSally
post Aug 25 2020, 10:35 PM

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QUOTE(foofoosasa @ Aug 25 2020, 05:59 PM)
Asm2 dividend coming?

Hopefully 4.5% dividend. But 4% I am happy enough
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4.5% would be fantastic in the present economic climate. 4% we can accept.

We have got to know our ASB agent at Maybank quite well and his predictions have been very reliable in the past. This year he says he finds it difficult to call but, if pressed, would go for 4 to 5%.
MattSally
post Aug 25 2020, 11:06 PM

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QUOTE(Bora Prisoner @ Aug 25 2020, 06:48 PM)
ASB3 no limit, sir

Edit: subject to the fund size, but should not be too much of an issue having a few millions there
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Sorry, yes, you are quite right. We maxed out ASB & ASB2.
MattSally
post Aug 26 2020, 02:03 PM

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QUOTE(familyfirst @ Aug 26 2020, 04:55 AM)
Your wife (not you) is very rich  tongue.gif
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Very true. I am being incredibly nice to her.
MattSally
post Aug 26 2020, 02:09 PM

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QUOTE(foofoosasa @ Aug 26 2020, 09:21 AM)
Ok true

Expectation 3.5%
Hopefully 4%
Exceed expectation 4.5%
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My expectation is slightly higher than 3.5% purely because the markets have recovered strongly since the Feb/March crash which will have impacted the disappointing 4.25% return. I expect 3.9% to 4.1%. Anything over 4.1% will be very good news.
MattSally
post Aug 28 2020, 07:14 PM

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QUOTE(MattSally @ Aug 26 2020, 10:09 AM)
My expectation is slightly higher than 3.5% purely because the markets have recovered strongly since the Feb/March crash which will have impacted the disappointing  4.25% return. I expect 3.9% to 4.1%. Anything over 4.1% will be very good news.
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Beginners luck!
MattSally
post Aug 29 2020, 05:06 PM

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QUOTE(brando_w @ Aug 29 2020, 09:30 AM)
With the plundering and unabated leakages; the downtrend in dividend returns will only exacerbate; the sad reality that the masses will not realize till it’s too late.
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Where would you invest that can consistently produce better returns without extra risk?
MattSally
post Aug 29 2020, 08:32 PM

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QUOTE(brando_w @ Aug 29 2020, 02:30 PM)
Investment grade rental properties targeting a niche tenant market (yields should at least double prevailing FD rates).
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Maybe, but would that not give you liquidity issues if you wanted to extract your money?
MattSally
post Aug 30 2020, 12:22 AM

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QUOTE(CoronaV @ Aug 29 2020, 06:06 AM)
ASM3 will have similar dividend rate 4%?
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It may even be a tiny bit better this year as it will have had an extra month of recovery, post Covid-19 crash.
MattSally
post Aug 30 2020, 04:12 PM

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If ASM3 gives around 4% in a month I will leave our investments in ASB ASM. Five per cent would make a huge difference to our lifestyle but I wouldn't want to increase the risk levels so we will manage with 4%. I think we could get back towards 5% in a year or two anyway.

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