QUOTE(TOS @ Nov 14 2020, 11:31 PM)
The key things here is market structure. Tencent is monopolistic-like in their pricing, and they have huge market power (like Alibaba, they build products branching out of their "ecosystem" exactly why Grab start off with less-profitable car-hailing then venture into fintech and other high margin stuff), only competitors with the scale as large as Alibaba can challenge it.
If the PRC government insists to break up the monopoly/duopoly/oligopoly, the resulting company will still lose its market power, not unlike what happened to Rockefeller and AT&T. These days, governments give too much leniency to tech firms, added with their low-cost business model, making them rising very fast and gaining huge market share. It's only time when break-ups will happen. (Of course also depends on political lobbying).
Don't be too naive to think quarterly result looks good. In fact the more profitable the company, this will arouse more suspicion from the top-level government officials. (Remember what happened to game addiction due to the frenzy over Honor of Kings?) You never know what will happen tomorrow, more so in communist China. It's certainly not the CCP's wish to see extreme inequality in the society.
Profits don't simple arise in economics. If producing something is profitable, someone else would enter into the business and cut the margin. This is not happening in oligopolistic and monopolistic market, which is I believe what the CCP is looking at.
I certainly agree with the sit-still and top-up when drop strategy, works well for long-term investors in their early phase of their financial goal.
Already western countries want to kill Huawei. CCP want to kill the like of Baba and Tencent? I don't think CCP so stupid. And tech is the future of their competition with USA for global leadership.
Having said that there are alwaus many bad possibilities in investing, that's called risk. But so far buying the dips have worked well for tech.
Anyways, I'm pretty diversified when it comes to my exposure to China tech as I invest indirectly via ETFs only. 0829EA on Bursa and 3173 in HK. Combined, that's about 370 Chinesenee economy companies (not all tech though) in HK, US ADRs, Shanghai and Shenzen.