QUOTE(Medufsaid @ Aug 20 2021, 09:25 AM)
a well balanced ETF will always go up in the long run (e.g., 8 good years, 2 bad years) so if you turned a profit, you should let profits run. cashing out fully is a form of "timing the market", so just cash out some and leave behind whatever amount you are comfortable with
thank you for your advice.
QUOTE(Hoshiyuu @ Aug 20 2021, 01:16 PM)
I'm terrible at explaining things, so I may mangle some concept and terms... as this is getting closer to financial planning territory - do not take my answer as financial advice, seriously, I don't know shit, if I am well off I won't be sitting in lowyat forums.
You'll have to look into the further details yourself, but the gist of it is, after a certain point of investing, your yearly profits from investment alone can sustain your spending needs without any further income. FIRE's idea is to bring that earlier than retirement age.
3-7% are common withdrawal rate that people choose - i.e. If you have a 2million portfolio, you can spend up to RM5k a month and still have your portfolio grow with 0 additional investment and traditional income.The higher the withdrawal rates are, the more likely your portfolio cannot sustain you until the end of your life due to economic turmoils or other reasons.
So, for your first question,
3.5% is the number I've decided for now as my target safe withdrawal rate. Does that make sense?
Coincidentally - this is also why fees are VERY important. You may imagine the impact of paying SA 0.8% a year when you are sitting at ~3.5% withdrawal rate. This is why partially why SA consist of only 40% or less of my total portfolio as VWRA's fees are only 0.22% a year and have a good chance of going lower.
As for your follow up questions:
I very much agree with that. If you lock it in, your money stops working for you - now they are sitting around getting eroded by inflation and subjected to currency risk - instead of "whether they will run out" - it became a "when it will run out" issue.
It's more likely that you will simply stop depositing when your income stream stops and just let your money grow by itself.
thank you for the example and explanation.
and regarding the highlighted sentence,
1) do you apply this only for ETF products (SA & VWRA) or
2) do you apply this method (3%-7% withdrawal) to your shares stocks also? or
3) do you aimed for the shares stocks growth and dividend?
thank you.