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 Clearing stocks before the coming crash, what have I missed out in the analysis?

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powerlinkers
post May 25 2019, 07:43 PM

On my way
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652 posts

Joined: Jun 2017


QUOTE(plumberly @ Aug 23 2018, 10:19 AM)
Plan to clear most of my stocks in the next few months before the coming crash. Did some analysis to help in my decision making later.

Appreciate feedback on things I over looked etc in my analysis.

Assume 4-6% pa growth and 20-30% drop in price during the crash, it will take 3-4 yrs for the price to recover.

Instead of wasting the 3-4 years for the price to recover, won't it be better if I sell out before the crash, put that money in FD etc. That is, a positive net gain during the 3-4 years.

I know this is too idealistic but what have I done wrong?

Yes, I do not have a crystal ball to know when it will crash. But a crash WILL happen. Just a matter of time.

Appreciate a constructive feedback/discussion. Thanks.

P/S I think I put this in the wrong place. Should be in the discussion section. Can someone help me to transfer it? Or tell me how to? Thanks.
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Agreed. Try to consider self contribution EPF, Amanah Saham, Bonds(if you a HNWI).
Sovereign bonds of countries with stable currencies would be a good choice as well.

Gold will go down along with GDP contraction.

 

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