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 Clearing stocks before the coming crash, what have I missed out in the analysis?

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Fortezan
post Aug 29 2018, 02:25 PM

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Just a sharing from a global economy outlook workshop organized by a brokerage firm which I attended. According to their panel of speakers, most of them are of the opinion that this bull run will continue at least until the next US presidential election in 2020, reason being DT will do everything in his power to keep the US economy in good shape so that he can get re-elected for the 2nd term. After that, be very careful, the mother of all crash is coming
Fortezan
post Aug 29 2018, 04:42 PM

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QUOTE(markedestiny @ Aug 29 2018, 02:37 PM)
I'd be surprised if they did not discuss or take into consideration of the possibility of his impeachment, and yet encouraged investor to look far ahead into 2020
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Like the trade war, whether the impeachment will be successful is still anyone's guess, but most signs are still showing a continuing bull run. 2020 is not that far ahead either, you'll probably have around 2 years to make the most out of this bull
Fortezan
post Aug 29 2018, 04:48 PM

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QUOTE(foofoosasa @ Aug 29 2018, 04:37 PM)
don't confuse it with Bursa.

Seriously I don't see bursa will enjoy the last bull run. ( In my opinion )
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I'm not, forgot to mention, they are actually encouraging investors to invest in US stocks and ETF
Fortezan
post Aug 29 2018, 04:54 PM

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QUOTE(cherroy @ Aug 29 2018, 03:05 PM)
The impeachment is unlikely or very low possibility only.

Also US market is mature enough that the market generally won't be affected greatly by who is the president, as long as the economy is growing (which is red hot currently for US), and corporate earning is good, and interest rate is subdued.

The interest rate situation has more risk than impeachment.
Should pay more attention to the flatten yield curve, it may give more indication how market may behave.
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Good point, I'm staying invested but very cautiously monitoring
Fortezan
post Oct 12 2018, 04:35 PM

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QUOTE(markedestiny @ Oct 12 2018, 09:47 AM)
Mini meltdown in the US stocks since Wednesday, is this the start to bigger crash or just another 'traditional' black october occurence...any thoughts?

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/201...nd=premium-asia
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Truth is nobody knows, those who believe this is just a correction would have collected yesterday and tell you to do the same in hope that price can be pushed higher, those who believe a major crash is coming would tell you to save your bullets in hope that price can drop further for them to collect at a bargain

 

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