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 Clearing stocks before the coming crash, what have I missed out in the analysis?

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[Ancient]-XinG-
post Apr 12 2019, 08:47 PM

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US eq going to bull run again after some reading are out.

IMO all those opinion opinion thing should have taken with a pinch of salt. All are history. Lagging data's. They will claim "I told you"

But in fact, never one will earn big base on lagging data. But those article important in assisting us in making decision. Not the decision maker. We are the decision maker.

I still remember Schroeder report last q2 or q4. Mentioned on the inversion curves. And they said, based on the curves, the major corrections shall be on 0219.... I think nothing happen.

Malaysia...... Don't know what happpen la. Still hangovers. Need some ginger water to counter drunk.
[Ancient]-XinG-
post May 29 2019, 12:57 PM

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QUOTE(ChAOoz @ May 29 2019, 12:07 PM)
So many experienced and proven investors has express their view that the valuation is extremely high and what the world did after 08 - massive global QE is unprecedented and by logic is not sustainable. This create the effect of massive increase in Asset Value as compared to yield. Which create this super big gap between rich and poor as rich get richer, cause the rich hold a lot of Assets which are now highly valued.

However many that have this view like Charlie Munger still has their feet in the water, because they just don't know when the music will stop or how this new QE and printing money dynamic will play out. And of all low yield item, stock is still the best place to be optimistic about i guess.

But then we just beat out the 90s - 00s dot com bubble bull run. So if history repeat itself there is a possibility we get wiped out 50 - 70% of our portfolio value especially on hot stock like the FANG gang. That is a scary possibility haha.
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But if the fundamental of the gang is solid, will the 50% wipeofff possible?

Because back then bubble dot com was on not really stable income stream. Look at what we had now.... We can't leave our life without any of the fang products.

Can Stable consumer and income stream cushion the shock?

And some people point out that the tariff war is so small in number and most of the sell off recently are mainly sentimental and baseless.

What remain the true is high valuation. But I think high valuation in US equities I suppose.

Emerging and other market are way below their PE.

Btw, our local market had touch it's low on 1.6k. worthwhile to consider some dividend counter....
[Ancient]-XinG-
post Jul 10 2019, 10:10 PM

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All time highhhhhhhh
[Ancient]-XinG-
post Jul 11 2019, 10:36 PM

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27k whooppsss.
[Ancient]-XinG-
post Jul 16 2019, 08:35 PM

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US earning report started. All above expected earning....

Another bull....

But good news is bad news now.



 

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