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 Malaysian Estimated Weekly RON95/RON97 Price, RON95 ◆, RON97 ◆ on 7/3 (Estimation)

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jamespaul
post Dec 24 2020, 07:38 AM

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QUOTE(isr25 @ Dec 24 2020, 07:35 AM)
Calculation and table of estimated prices can be found at this link: https://goo.gl/cpYiBN

If calculating 17/12 to 23/12 cycle (Thursday to Wednesday - weekends are using Friday prices), the actual retail price for RON95 & RON97 should be RM1.75 and RM2.05 respectively (±1 sen).

If we follow the Automatic Pricing Mechanism and Sales Tax Act, the government is allowed to "tax" us higher by 60sen per litre for petrol products sold.

For the past few weeks, the government applied a hidden tax of approximately 5 sen. Thus, I estimate that RON95 and RON97 would increase by 2 sen from last week to RM1.80 and RM2.10 respectively (±1 sen).

note: The Australian Institute of Petroleum where I get the MOPS95 graph below will usually take a 2 week break for Christmas and New Year holidays. I expect to not be able to update the fuel price for the next 2 weeks. Have a Merry Christmas to those that celebrate it & happy holidays to all!

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Merry Christmas!
jamespaul
post Mar 10 2021, 02:35 PM

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QUOTE(MGM @ Mar 10 2021, 01:21 PM)
When our oil is depleted in 10+ years time, we will be playing catchup in EV.
Norway is already very involved in EV even though they r big in oil.
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Can you share the information whereby our oil will be depleted in 10 years time?

Would like to know more about this.
jamespaul
post Mar 11 2021, 03:59 PM

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QUOTE(lucifer_666 @ Mar 10 2021, 02:43 PM)
This might help.

Data on available reserves & consumption trend.

Malaysia Energy Information Hub

Should be around 15+ years for oil and like 30+ years for natural gas, depending on the consumption trend and new discovery of reserves. hmm.gif
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Not sure how you estimated that.

We do import and export oil as well.

I think as long as we continue to import and continue to export, we will not be touching the reserves.

That said our consumption has gone up, but we will not be running out of oil, unless we no longer produce fresh oils.

Assuming we do not import oil at all, we have 12 years of oil reserves. But we do import 70% of petrol for motor usage


Thanks for the link, new info for me
jamespaul
post Oct 7 2021, 06:51 AM

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QUOTE(6UE5T @ Oct 6 2021, 08:25 PM)
Targeted fuel subsidy will not work cuz difficult to properly target cuz got many loopholes to be exploited. Indonesia has been tinkering with this idea also for the longest of time and can never implement. Fuel subsidy is either just give to all equally or not at all, that's it.
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Yes, implementation of targeted is very difficult. I was involved in that project, and it was impossible to get stakeholders happy, as they believe syndicates will sell low income persons subsidies
jamespaul
post Oct 7 2021, 06:53 AM

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QUOTE(muhammadb @ Oct 6 2021, 06:39 PM)
Gov is creating a sort of like “fake” economic environment where inflation is capped with the heavy subsidies on ron95, cooking gas, cooking oil, electricity and etc whilst other countries are grappling with energy crisis now.

How long can we last without embracing inflation.  bangwall.gif

Bulk of the ron95 subsidies still goes to people who drive big cars/motorbikes, not the common folks or poor people.
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This fake economy, needs to last for at least throughout the recovery period of the country.

Once, the country is back economically, then reduction of subsidy can be done. Malaysia is at its lowest point, long lockdowns, and now is not the time to reduce subsidy

I would suggest that the gov announce reduction in subsidy say March 2022, and allow it to float (reduced subsidy)



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