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 Multiple Signs of Malaysia Property Bubble V20

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kurtkob78
post Sep 13 2019, 02:24 PM

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i say, reduce the price of the unsold units by at least 50%.

that also need my insight ka

This post has been edited by kurtkob78: Sep 13 2019, 02:24 PM
kurtkob78
post Oct 17 2019, 05:33 PM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Oct 17 2019, 04:07 PM)
According to Khazanah Research Institute and Bank Negara, the signal of a well-functioning affordable home market is when the median price for the whole housing market is three times the gross annual household income.

Bank Negara would add that the monthly payment for the house should not be more than 30 percent of the income. Payments of more than 30 percent would be considered as an overburden for the consumer.

https://m.malaysiakini.com/news/496217
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Meanwhile developers ask banks to give 45 years loan
kurtkob78
post Dec 8 2019, 07:55 AM

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QUOTE(SapuraM @ Dec 8 2019, 01:04 AM)
Malaysia land is pretty limited, much more most satellite cities, biggest mall & jobs opportunity are concentrate in Klang Valley, Penang, Johor which attracted whole malaysia to stay, work & enjoy here, thus these places, price would certainly grow-high and not possible to drop, with tremendous amount of new-migrants every year!

How many, would want to stay, work & enjoy in Kelantan or Terrengganu?
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then explain the increasing number of unsold units?
and where's your stats of population increase especially in urban areas
kurtkob78
post Jan 15 2020, 12:42 PM

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QUOTE(smartalex @ Jan 14 2020, 11:18 PM)
"Looking at data collected by the National Property Information Centre, the analyst said total residential property transactions rose 2.1% year-on-year (y-o-y) in the third quarter of 2019, led by units priced between RM150,000 and RM200,000 which saw a 13% increase in value y-o-y.

Residential units priced between RM250,000 and RM300,000 saw their transaction value rise 6% y-o-y"

Bubble? What bubble? XD
(Selective cut & paste)
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the napic stats did not include auction props. which is alot

the bank interest is higher. confirm losing money
kurtkob78
post Apr 9 2020, 08:14 PM

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In 6-9 months time, the prop market will fall. no way it will increase during this time.

people are losing jobs, pay cut. i dont see people buying prop during this time unless got discounts and this means price decrease
kurtkob78
post Apr 11 2020, 01:54 AM

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QUOTE(AhBoy~~ @ Apr 10 2020, 03:02 PM)
some youtuber say property market will not fall but price will increase some more ler because of 6 months moratorium  biggrin.gif
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Then u go buy
kurtkob78
post Apr 11 2020, 07:52 PM

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QUOTE(AhBoy~~ @ Apr 11 2020, 05:06 PM)
did I say I am some youtubers?

ooo oOo you also youtuber?
thx for youtuber's advise ooo o0o
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lol. you mentioned the youtuber (some property guru) so that means you agree with his view?

if not, u should mentioned u dont agree with the youtuber or dont reply at all

This post has been edited by kurtkob78: Apr 11 2020, 07:55 PM
kurtkob78
post Apr 11 2020, 11:32 PM

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QUOTE(AhBoy~~ @ Apr 11 2020, 10:43 PM)
mentioned mean agree?
the world is full wankers that think they have an opinion in everything the moment they hear of some thing .. u?

if everyone know everything no need to discuss lo.  rclxms.gif  because already agree or disagree.. cannot talk about things if still not sure, no wonder so many losers.. buy buy buy or scare scare scare.. cannot see 1st, discuss or talk about facts  doh.gif
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u didnt give any of your opinion. so whats your say on this ?

Whatever, lets focus on the topic. I say the prop price index will decrease further in 6-9 months from now. even the Q3 2019 the residential price index has fall. the prop price index for KL has fall for 3.2% and Selangor fall for 0.3%. look at the stats from Napic.
Attached Image

http://napic.jpph.gov.my/portal/web/guest/...1&fileURI=10124

your say ?

This post has been edited by kurtkob78: Apr 11 2020, 11:38 PM
kurtkob78
post Apr 22 2020, 01:43 PM

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QUOTE(AskarPerang @ Apr 22 2020, 01:33 PM)
This owner bought 2 units subsale in 2018. Both units enter lelong.
1 sold as above.
1 still active as below.
This unit S&P price at 520k.  doh.gif  for a 1 bedroom unit. 
Now at half price?  rclxub.gif

user posted image

C-18-3, Hedgeford 10
Reserve price 🔥🔥RM 252,000🔥🔥
Freehold
556sqft, 1 car park slot
Highest floor unit
Auction: 06-May-2020 (Wed)
*Non bumi lot

» Click to show Spoiler - click again to hide... «

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nowadays brickz still compiling sufficient prop transaction information ? i see the list keep shrinking
kurtkob78
post Apr 27 2020, 08:10 PM

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QUOTE(jassicaskylpm @ Apr 27 2020, 07:48 PM)
It might drop 10-30%

1997 max only drop 30%, some lesser

You may keep you thoughts , no right or wrong

pessimistic is a drug, it doesn’t not relate to age , news or history
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so are u optimistic now and buying props in the near time?
kurtkob78
post Apr 27 2020, 09:42 PM

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QUOTE(jassicaskylpm @ Apr 27 2020, 08:40 PM)
Optimistic is a good thing  wub.gif
I wan 10 also please
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prove you are optimistic and buy some props.
similar to prop gurus ask to be optimistic and buy props as investment. look what happened now.

talk is cheap

This post has been edited by kurtkob78: Apr 27 2020, 09:44 PM
kurtkob78
post Apr 30 2020, 08:19 PM

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QUOTE(everdomdom @ Apr 30 2020, 08:06 PM)
Hi sifus

Is it now a suitable period to invest in property?
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In 6 month from now the price will likely reduce because of unemployment, salary cut, retrench etc.
Also if can find more than 10% discount from market value, can buy.
kurtkob78
post Aug 10 2020, 05:29 PM

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QUOTE(Zwean @ Aug 10 2020, 05:22 PM)
You don’t know how to read graph?
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the graph does not show the real situation. as many mark up the loan
kurtkob78
post Aug 12 2020, 01:23 PM

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QUOTE(XXXOOOXXXOOO @ Aug 12 2020, 01:19 PM)

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when the value drop is more than the volume. what this means ?
kurtkob78
post Aug 19 2020, 07:42 AM

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QUOTE(AskarPerang @ Aug 19 2020, 01:10 AM)
Attracted 12 bidders just now.
Unit sold at 210k.

user posted image
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is this app for online bidding
kurtkob78
post Aug 26 2020, 09:56 AM

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QUOTE(mroys@lyn @ Aug 26 2020, 09:43 AM)
The worst is over
Lim believes the property market has seen its worst, as most negative factors have been priced in.
“Our property sales performance is a good indication [that the worst is over]. Some people are still waiting for property prices to drop, but in reality, property is a necessity,” he says.

https://www.theedgemarkets.com/article/lbs-...tart-bear-fruit
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already fall 14%. only thing is wait napic publish the house price index. lets see if the stat change
kurtkob78
post Feb 22 2021, 01:31 PM

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QUOTE(Liamness @ Feb 18 2021, 09:06 PM)
No it's not..

A standard middle wage income in KL is at least 8k-12k a month.
rent in KL is cheap.


Property prices are hovering around RM 800k - 1.2mil
this is okay still.

Compare this to say Australia, Melbourne/Sydney. Aussie average income is roughly 7-10k aud a month. Average property price in CBD is around 950-1.5mil aud for a small townhouse.

But taxes in Australia is much higher. So you have to factor that in your decision.

Property price in Malaysia is still 5x to 7x of your annual income.

Comparable to other countries, where property can easily reach 10x - 20x of your annual income.

Malaysia property prices is still reasonable.
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BS
kurtkob78
post Apr 30 2021, 02:23 PM

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QUOTE(Syie9^_^ @ Apr 30 2021, 02:19 PM)
So cheap this auction

https://www.ngchanmau.com/property/44101?ut...mpaign=20210430

Freehold, serviced apartment @270K laugh.gif
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not cheap. less than 600sqft need to drop below 200k
kurtkob78
post Apr 30 2021, 03:16 PM

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QUOTE(Syie9^_^ @ Apr 30 2021, 02:57 PM)
Okie thank you. that remind me of 60sqm only blink.gif
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actually got 2 lelong for this project last year people bid and win at 236k and 242k. so thats the benchmark
kurtkob78
post Apr 30 2021, 04:19 PM

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QUOTE(Syie9^_^ @ Apr 30 2021, 04:08 PM)
Last year. OK. so this year must press further down.  laugh.gif 212k?
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i think will about last year's price, if can get lower than 230k, good catch

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