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 FundSuperMart v17 (FSM) MY : Online UT Platform, UT DIY : Babystep to Investing :D

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xuzen
post Jan 8 2017, 01:58 PM

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QUOTE(contestchris @ Jan 8 2017, 01:37 PM)
I'm a noob yes (for now), but I am NOT talking about speculation. I am talking about concrete market trends.

Anyway if/when I do such a tactic, I will be sure to update everyone here with regards to its success or failure. I personally think there is margin to eke out even higher returns by doing some minimal informed tactical switching/redemption/re-allocation from time to time - but I guess I will have to put this hypothesis to test myself.
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Look out for your transaction cost. If you are tactical type playaz, better to use a wrap account, for that feature allows you unlimited free switching. Think of wrap account like your monthly parking season pass to your condo Parking.

Then you can switch around and perfom tactical hit & run tactic, but it is high risk. Sometimes you can make a wrong call.... like the Trump winning the POTUS. Prior to him winning, you ask ten fund manager, nine of them will say Clinton will win.

Xuzen

This post has been edited by xuzen: Jan 8 2017, 02:02 PM
xuzen
post Jan 9 2017, 12:11 PM

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My port is up again. Asia - Pac has awaken from its slumber. Yay! rclxms.gif

But this post let me take you down memory lane for 2016.

Early 2016, we all woke up to a shitty start. China circuit breaker fiasco... remember? All mkt was down, none was spared. It was a sea of red everywhere. Where can you go?

It took about four to five mths to reverse that carnage. Then it was Brexit. But it was not a big issue really except Europe focus fund. This shows really Europe as a world player has diminished role. It did not do any f3cking much.

And the market continue to rally and up and up and up.

I remember in one particular month, my port gave me a return equivalent to my one month salary. Imagine getting an early bonus.

Then f3cking h3ll, Trump won POTUS and my port went south coz I was in the view that Clinton will win the POTUS.I think if Clinton won, my port would have given me a fat fat CNY angpow.

But notwithstanding that issue, I was cash heavy at that time and my port bounce up and down and did nothing much in the rest of Q4. It just moved sideways. As of 31/12/2016, my port gained 3% (4 mths tracking). Oh, well... such is the excitement that comes from investing in risky assets.

Xuzen

This post has been edited by xuzen: Jan 9 2017, 12:16 PM
xuzen
post Jan 9 2017, 03:20 PM

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QUOTE(puchongite @ Jan 9 2017, 01:10 PM)
What is the take home message ? Just ride it through and spring will come eventually ?  sweat.gif
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No take home message, just a taking some veterans down memory lane and also to let noobs know what happened in 2016 in a very nutshell form. No take home message, key note message.

Xuzen
xuzen
post Jan 9 2017, 09:44 PM

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QUOTE(hurtedheart @ Jan 9 2017, 08:49 PM)
I noticed most of the funds you guys recommended here is on the rising side ...
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You ain't seen nuttin' yet! cool2.gif

Xuzen

xuzen
post Jan 9 2017, 09:51 PM

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QUOTE(AIYH @ Jan 9 2017, 09:03 PM)
It is still better diversified compared to its peer, Eastspring Investments Global Leaders MY Fund

50% US https://www.fundsupermart.com.my/main/admin...eetMYPRUGLL.pdf

As far as global funds is concern, I see most global funds literally heavy in US, make the fund heavily dependent on US market (i know US dictate global market performance, but still thats too heavy for a fund that is in the global fund league)

Just my opinion smile.gif
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Global funds are benchmarked against MCSI World Index [MCSI = Morgan Stanley Composite Index]. And this index is made up of 55% USA stock market weightage. That is why instead of buying world index fund, you are better of buying USA focused unit trust fund. Or CIMB Global Titan. Those global fund are .... ..... .... buang masa aje.

Xuzen

This post has been edited by xuzen: Jan 9 2017, 09:52 PM
xuzen
post Jan 9 2017, 09:55 PM

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QUOTE(puchongite @ Jan 9 2017, 07:41 PM)
There is a big discrepancy in Manulife US Equity fund price between FSM and Manulife website. Please tell me I read the figures wrongly !
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Must be different date. But if in doubt, the own Unit Trust Management Company webpage's NAV should overide any third party website's NAV.

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xuzen
post Jan 9 2017, 10:22 PM

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QUOTE(AIYH @ Jan 9 2017, 10:09 PM)
So you will suggest to diversify the region allocation by self picking fund instead of relying on global fund because most global fund still bias over US/developed market?
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A global fund is made up 75% of the developed market, that is, USA + Europe + Japan = 77% of MCSI World Index. Rest of the World (ROW = 23%). And if a global fund is benchmarked against MSCI World Index, they will most likely be heavy on that three developed market, and CIMB Global Titan is exactly exposed to the three develped market. The rest are just too small to make any impact.

Out of these three developed market, which country in now on a bull run?

Xuzen
xuzen
post Jan 10 2017, 10:29 AM

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QUOTE(AIYH @ Jan 10 2017, 10:12 AM)
I do monthly RSP regardless of performance to average the performance in the long run smile.gif

Losing wise, you must understand why it is losing, whether is it a systemic (market down) or non-systemic (losing to its peer)

If systemic, continue DCA to average down your cost smile.gif

If non-systemic, compare to its stronger competitor or peers and switch to it smile.gif
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Well said friend.

Xuzen
xuzen
post Jan 12 2017, 02:40 PM

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It is syiok again to see the portfolio inching upwards. Asia-Pac ex Japan is pushing forward after it was beaten down during the last two month, immediately after Trump POTUS win.

thumbup.gif

Xuzen

p/s Port is very green again.


This post has been edited by xuzen: Jan 12 2017, 02:40 PM
xuzen
post Jan 13 2017, 01:51 PM

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If I remember correctly the nickname " kapchai fund" being assigned to eastspring investment small cap fund was the initiative of Avangelice.

This post has been edited by xuzen: Jan 13 2017, 01:52 PM
xuzen
post Jan 13 2017, 01:55 PM

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Friend Contestchris,

Try not to read to many of those so called analyst reports or media reports.

Why?

If you have been long enough as a participant in unit trust fund, you will notice that on the similar subjects, different medias / reports will recommend different sets of action to be taken. Sometimes they are opposite of each other. If you are too reliant on these, you may go mad.

Xuzen

p/s If one possesses the crystal balz™, then it is a different story.... whistling.gif rclxs0.gif

This post has been edited by xuzen: Jan 13 2017, 02:07 PM
xuzen
post Jan 14 2017, 12:18 AM

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QUOTE(Ramjade @ Jan 13 2017, 11:34 PM)
Last year suppose to have 4 hikes but only 1. Feds like to cry wolf. Besides REITS is for long term. Boglehead investors use only 3 or 4 ETFs. For those with 4 ETF, from what I read can keep ~10 REITS (Source:Singaporean investment blogger) - 1 global fund, 1 bond fund, 1 STI, 1 S-REITs portfolio. I must say his portfolio is quite resistant and very boring but it gets the job done.

For more info check out http://www.turtleinvestor.net/asset-allocation/
That's true. But 3 years performance are slightly better than AmAsia. Besides I have been reading up about S-REITS, it would seems retirees over there use S-REITS as a source of income. If it can work for old people, it's alright  laugh.gif
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AmAsia Reits got Selina Yong as fund manager. wub.gif : wub.gif wub.gif

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Manulife Asia Pacific Reits fund got who?

This post has been edited by xuzen: Jan 14 2017, 12:26 AM
xuzen
post Jan 15 2017, 04:39 PM

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Friends and fellow participants of Unit Trust Funds,

1) Today is Sunday, 15th of January 2017 afternoon and after taking a refreshing afternoon nap, my mind in now fresh to write something that I have been thinking on for a while.

2) This topic came about when some of you earlier was talking about volatility and return. We know that for the same degree of return, a unit trust fund that gives a higher volatility is worse for the final future value than another with lower volatility.

3) Now, let us take a look at the first column of a imaginary fund with a return of 10% per compounding period, or perhaps we can take that as per annual return. It starts off with MYR 1,000.00 as initial capital with no top up. Let's say this is a fixed income fund and we get a fixed return of 10% per annum with no volatility, meaning every year is the same ROI. In another word, this fund offers zero volatility / variance / standard deviation / risk.

4) The second and third column is similar an imaginary fund with increasing volatilty as we move towards the right. If you look at the final future value after the tenth year, the fund with the highest volatility has the lowest future value. This phenomenon is called variance drag. This is why, as illustrated, volatilty is bad for a fund and low volatilty is good. This is applicable to buy and hold style of investing or those who do DCA method of investing. Howeverm if you are those trader / speculator / dump and run type, then volatility is your friend and variance drag is of no concern to these type of investors.

Xuzen

P/s For the three imaginary unit trust fund, the simple average return are the same for each fund. The difference in final future value is due to how great the flucuation of the yearly ROI. The greater the flucuation, the lower the final future value.

This post has been edited by xuzen: Jan 15 2017, 05:20 PM


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xuzen
post Jan 15 2017, 05:11 PM

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QUOTE(contestchris @ Jan 15 2017, 03:29 PM)
Good. Best to hold your horses. I am doing extensive reading in this subject matter and come to one conclusion: NOBODY KNOWS WHATS GOING TO HAPPEN!

Seriously, on the same website I read opposite viewpoints. Some say the Trump rally already happened and the US stock prices don't deserve the current high and people are preparing to short their stocks, so much so there would be a bear market and by end of February it would be much cheaper to get into the US market. In the other hand, I have also read that this bull market will keep going for months to come. Likewise, I have read that even if Trump enacts his protectionist policies, it will come at the expense of large caps like Apple and Google...and China may not necessarily be hurt cause they will look to fill the void left by the US retreat which will enhance their Global and regional trade position, especially in APAC.

So at the moment due to the total uncertainty even with so called experts, I am holding my horses and am not going to be switching around my funds in the coming 2 weeks.
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And it is because that no one knows and are purely speculating and guessing, that is why the stock market is so jittery and volatile.

Xuzen
xuzen
post Jan 16 2017, 10:20 AM

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QUOTE(1malaysiajib @ Jan 16 2017, 12:44 AM)
You guys are pretty famous in SG lol.

I was working with one of the OnG firms there and my colleagues used to read the Finance Section of this forum and that's how i was introduced to this site.
Cool, i'll read the prospectus for 3 funds that you mentioned above.
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Best in Singapore and JB, and some say Batam! thumbup.gif

Xuzen
xuzen
post Jan 16 2017, 11:48 AM

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QUOTE(drew86 @ Jan 15 2017, 10:28 PM)
Nice simulation. Thanks for sharing. Can't be any more clearer to avoid funds with poor risk:return ratio.
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and this is the reason why I have been harping to select unit trust funds that have above peer sharpe ratio. My personal style is more of DCA, hence this strategy is important.

If you are hit and run type, then you should not be looking at sharpe ratio etc. You will be better looking at Technical Analysis methodology ala KimYee style.

Xuzen

This post has been edited by xuzen: Jan 16 2017, 11:49 AM
xuzen
post Jan 17 2017, 06:26 PM

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QUOTE(Pink Spider @ Jan 17 2017, 11:20 AM)
Walao eh

Recent discussions here quite high in quality and level...

Salute u all rclxms.gif
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What high quality and what high level are you referring to? mad.gif vmad.gif ranting.gif

All words only, no pixs of Viet Mois also ..... wub.gif wub.gif wub.gif

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Xuzen
xuzen
post Jan 18 2017, 11:06 AM

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QUOTE(killdavid @ Jan 18 2017, 10:50 AM)
hey sifus, I am new to FSM. I just created my account and about to jump into the waters. But there is still this fear of FSM reliability. As with public mutual, i get to meet my agent, i get official statements from PM and so forth.

Since FSM deals on a virtual level, through a portal, will there be official or rather physical statements sent to me as prove of unit purchases ?
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If you scare FSM is virtual, not real, then take a Grabcar and go to Menara Stanchart in KL downtown and say Hi to Jennifer wub.gif wub.gif wub.gif our reliable and trustworthy CIS!

Xuzen
xuzen
post Jan 19 2017, 02:12 PM

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My input:

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Xuzen

This post has been edited by xuzen: Jan 19 2017, 02:13 PM
xuzen
post Jan 19 2017, 02:19 PM

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QUOTE(xuzen @ Jan 19 2017, 02:12 PM)
My input:

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Xuzen
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p/s If follow Algozen™ style.... I'd cut it down further to two equities one balanced and one bond fund.



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