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 FundSuperMart v17 (FSM) MY : Online UT Platform, UT DIY : Babystep to Investing :D

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xuzen
post Dec 23 2016, 07:56 PM

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Topic for debate:

Buy & hold versus actively switching around.

Do you all remember the "Pony Express"? In those wild western days of ole, in the West side of America, before DHL or FedEx exist or even before Telegram exist, the fast courier service was called Pony Express.

Total length from start to stop for the whole journey is around 3,100 km. That is from Saint Joseph, Missouri to San Francisco, California. It took the riders 10 days to deliver letters from east to west America. The alternative is through the sea route, which takes a few weeks up to a month.

This is how it works. One rider would ride from one station to another 10 miles (eqv to 16 km) away. At each station the riders would pass the mail bag to another rider with a fresh horse, very much like a relay method.

Sometimes, a rider will ride up to seven to eight stations before changing to another. At each station a fresh horse is readied. Both the riders and horse do not stop, they will sprint to the next station and the next and the next.

How is this related to investment.

Let's say we are investing into Malaysia fund. Right now the country is suffering from some lethargy quite akin to an exhausted horse. You can let it rest and wait for it to recover some time later. Or you can mount a fresh horse (meaning transfer to another performing Unit Trust Fund) and continue your investment journey.

And when this horse / unit trust fund is exhausted, go to next and next.... eventually the original horse will recover then come back to it and recycle it.

This is how I view when switching from fund to fund.

Xuzen

p/s It helps to enjoy zero switching cost and having a working crystal-ballz™. cool2.gif





This post has been edited by xuzen: Dec 23 2016, 08:16 PM
xuzen
post Dec 23 2016, 08:30 PM

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QUOTE(Vanguard 2015 @ Dec 23 2016, 04:05 PM)
I don't know sis. I am not an economist. As usual, my 2 cents worth based on talking to clients, other people and my observation.  tongue.gif

1.  Property market will still be down next year. Developers are suffering. Oversupply of condominiums and office space. Nobody is buying. Young couples who wish to buy a property after paying the 10% deposit...their loan application may still be rejected later by the bank. Local developers are marketing their properties overseas now.

2.  Higher priced food and beverage restaurants are suffering. Some business are down by 30% and some others have closed shop. The surviving ones  are doing promotional lunch set to survive. Of course I am not talking about the really high end restaurant that caters for the rich like Chynna. The rich will still eat and dine as usual.

3.  Banking. Looks bad to me. VSS started this year for Maybank, etc. Not sure whether the banks will have more VSS next year.

4.  Automobile industry. Same problem. The family man will not change his car because of the economy uncertainties. For the young, no issue-lah. Die die also, gaya mesti ada. Just take a 9 years car loan lor. Can always file for bankruptcy later.

So, in summary, the MY market will be flat pending the outcome of the General Election next year. I hope I am proven wrong. I wish the Malaysian stock market and economy well.

Sekian, terima kasih.
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A click of the mouse and you can move your money to another geographical region or another asset class of your desire. Why so sentimental about one particular country?

Xuzen
xuzen
post Dec 24 2016, 11:07 AM

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QUOTE(Avangelice @ Dec 23 2016, 11:05 PM)
you can follow fsm portfolio allocation.

you can follow xuzen's portfolio that has
AmAsia reit (20%)
Manulife US (7.5%)
Manulife India (5%)
Ponzi 2.0 RHB Asia Income Fund (17.5%)

Esther bond fund (Affin hwang select bond fund myr) (15%)
CMF (35%)

you can follow mine
FSM Funds

Affin Hwang Select Bond.... (20%)
RHB Asian Income Fund. ....(15%)
CIMB-P Asia Pac Dynamic ....(10%)
Eastspring Emerging Market...(10%)
CIMB-P Greater China Equity ..(10%)
Manulife US equity fund (10%)
Manulife India.........(10%)
AmAsia REITs .... (10 %)
TA Global Technology Fund...(5%)

divide your 10k into percentages like you see in my portfolio. from there you can either lump sum into each fund or adopt a DCA approach every month.

eg

10,000 x 10% = 1000 myr. (lump sum/vca)
1000 ÷5 months= 200 myr (per month/dca)

think of it like you are building your pyramid from a pile of marble
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Correction.

P/s Tambah nilai lagi for Selina's wub.gif wub.gif wub.gif (AM Asia - Pacific include Japan REITs Fund) and Manulife US Equity Growth Fund.


This post has been edited by xuzen: Dec 24 2016, 11:15 AM
xuzen
post Dec 25 2016, 10:10 PM

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QUOTE(Avangelice @ Dec 24 2016, 10:49 PM)
cash management fund. he is preparing his ammo
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Don't sai lang all....

Leave some bullets for bargain hunting. You will just never know!
xuzen
post Dec 25 2016, 10:14 PM

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QUOTE(contestchris @ Dec 25 2016, 02:23 AM)
Are you able to address my other question? Namely, in the event of a global recession, is it wise to make use of the switch function, and switch out from equity-based funds to balanced/bond/money_market funds? Because I see that in recession equity based funds can easily lose 33%-50% of their value. Or is it the norm that even in a recession we should not touch (switch or sell) our unit trust funds?
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Don't make wild allegation, show us which unit trust fund that loss 33 to 50% value during recession....

Xuzen
xuzen
post Dec 25 2016, 10:41 PM

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QUOTE(contestchris @ Dec 25 2016, 10:17 PM)
Look at this: https://i-access.affinhwangam.com/fund-price

Find Affin Hwang Select Asia Ex Japan Opportunity Fund. Then look at performance from end 2007 to end 2008. From RM0.7782 to RM0.3127 (with RM0.05 div). This is just one example.
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OK OK...

But this UTF, you hardly hear us hear at LYF - FSM thread mention wan.... that is why I don't recall in my memory got UTF drop so drastically.

But then to be fair, this did not suffer such a drop in the next ten years. It only happen once in 2008 to 2009. This is during the infamous Asian Financial crisis. It was a black swan event.

Xuzen

This post has been edited by xuzen: Dec 25 2016, 10:43 PM
xuzen
post Dec 26 2016, 10:18 PM

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.... deleted ....

This post has been edited by xuzen: Dec 26 2016, 10:34 PM
xuzen
post Dec 28 2016, 06:27 PM

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QUOTE(dasecret @ Dec 28 2016, 05:48 PM)
Let me be notty and kacau ppl a bit

A while back many switched from AIF to ponzi2.0 due to AIF's slow returns. I noticed ponzi 2.0 lost 3% in the past 1 month and 1 year returns also lose to AIF and ponzi 1.0

[attachmentid=8322586]

apa macam? Anyone jumping ship?
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Xuzen very good, xuzen stay put with RHB AIF through thick anc thin. Now give Xuzen a lollypop.
xuzen
post Dec 28 2016, 08:12 PM

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Season's greetings fellow UTF participants,

It has been a year, in 2016, some participants made money from unit trust fund participation, some lost money. Whatever it may be, let it be, so be it....

I urge all fortunate brothers and sisters to take some time to consider using a little bit of your wealth to perform meritorious deeds of charity. Do not forget those less fortunate and those worthy of receiving alms and gifts and donation.

To put some icing on the cake, Lembaga Hasil Dalam Negeri (LHDN) allows deductiom under subsection 44 paragraph 6 up to seven percent of your aggregate personal income for the year under assessment.

May your deeds turns to fruit and profit to you in future times.

Xuzen.
xuzen
post Dec 28 2016, 08:20 PM

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QUOTE(Avangelice @ Dec 28 2016, 08:15 PM)
I always thought you were a Buddhist and this further confirms it. I believe in the Buddhist teaching that when blessing fall upon you, it is right to give some to the needy.
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Friend,

Giving donation is universal. It is not exclusive to person who follow the Buddhist faith. Christians, Moslem, Sikh etc also encourage their followers to give / donate.

Even atheist are also philanthropic.

Xuzen
xuzen
post Dec 29 2016, 10:25 AM

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QUOTE(vincabby @ Dec 29 2016, 08:49 AM)
are you securing a place in heaven with good works then brother?
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Why not? Will be served by 72 virgins..... rclxms.gif rclxms.gif rclxms.gif thumbup.gif thumbup.gif thumbup.gif

This post has been edited by xuzen: Dec 29 2016, 10:25 AM
xuzen
post Dec 29 2016, 12:24 PM

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QUOTE(Vanguard 2015 @ Dec 29 2016, 11:31 AM)
A timely reminder, my friend. Thanks.

Sometimes we get so caught up with work that we forget about others who are less fortunate.
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Friend,

We had similar conversation on this topic at almost the same time last year. For me, last year I made donation to Tzu Chi. This year it was to an orphanage. What about you?

Xuzen
xuzen
post Dec 30 2016, 05:05 PM

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QUOTE(iampokemon @ Dec 30 2016, 04:51 PM)
actually how did u guys choose the correct fund to invest in? Just click on recommended unit trust and simply pick one over there?
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Some of us have the privilage of a crystal-ball™.

This post has been edited by xuzen: Dec 30 2016, 05:06 PM
xuzen
post Dec 30 2016, 08:00 PM

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QUOTE(AIYH @ Dec 30 2016, 07:40 PM)
For PRS (at least in FSM) I can recommend 3 equity funds (simply because conservative type doesn't worth it, better put EPF lol)

a) Kenanga OnePRS Growth Fund

This is pure Malaysia fund invested in diversed sectors, feed into Kenanga Growth Fund, but due to Malaysia situation, you may want to consider skipping this if you do not want anymore Malaysia exposure

b) CIMB-PRINCIPAL PRS PLUS ASIA PACIFIC EX JAPAN EQUITY - CLASS C

This is an Asia ex Japan fund invested in diversed sectors, feed into CIMB-PRINCIPAL ASIA PACIFIC DYNAMIC INCOME FUND - MYR, this is not a bad fund, considering that Asia ex Japan region is going to boom in the coming 2 years

c) AMPRS - ASIA PACIFIC REITS - CLASS D

This is an Asia inc Japan fund invested in REITS, feed into AMASIA PACIFIC REITS - CLASS B (MYR), aside from potential boom in Asia ex Japan region, if you think property will be the future boom too, this is not a bad fund smile.gif

See below for 2 years performance (AmPRS one is less than 3 years since launch), and 3 years performance, along with affin hwang prs growth fund as a comparison smile.gif

You may suggest others and discuss here if you find better choice smile.gif
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Pilihan muktamad aku ialah (b).
xuzen
post Dec 31 2016, 10:57 PM

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QUOTE(Ramjade)
Usually yes. If you buy those good bond funds. Affin Hwang Select Bond fund/RHB Islamic Bond fund. Difference is your FD is you won't lose your money and you can get about 4%pa. Enough or not, that one depends on you. For FI, it have huge connection with interest rate of the US and eg Trump massacre where even "safe bonds" were not spared.
Not necessary. Dividends add units to your total units. If the fund don't perform, then it's a different story. If it perform, then long term wise, it's good. Although this was debated with xuzen last time with TA Global Tech dividends.
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Ini orang hor... simply simply tok kok wan....

TA Global Technology Fund mana ada bagi distribution or dividend wan?

Whatever gain is purely, 100% capital appreciation. My kind of unit trust fund wub.gif thumbsup.gif

Xuzen

This post has been edited by xuzen: Dec 31 2016, 10:58 PM
xuzen
post Dec 31 2016, 11:03 PM

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Calling _azam, he works for a Unit Trust Management Company (UTMC) as a junior fund manager / analyst / trainee (or perhaps maybe as a toilet cleaner).

Friend, is it normal for unit trust fund NAV to mark to market? I mean, even if the underlying asset is not sold, but the fund manager will still use the day last done price to calculate NAV right? Not using the cost of purchase right?

I remember the unit trust industry uses the Mark to Market concept, that is, in other word, the will take into account paper loss when preparing the daily NAV.

Xuzen

This post has been edited by xuzen: Dec 31 2016, 11:07 PM
xuzen
post Jan 1 2017, 09:54 AM

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QUOTE(Ramjade @ Jan 1 2017, 09:48 AM)
We were arguing about TA Global Tech unit split. Didn't you remember?
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Unit split and distribution mana ada sama?

I am talking in IOS, you jawab to me in Android pulak! doh.gif

Xuzen
xuzen
post Jan 1 2017, 05:51 PM

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QUOTE(jayzshadower @ Jan 1 2017, 02:33 PM)
How to follow xuzen portfolio closely? Will he update instantly once he shoot the 35% CMF?  rclxms.gif
Very interested to know  icon_question.gif
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Just follow this FSM thread and you can get periodic update on Xuzen's portfolio.....

And by the way:
Attached Image
xuzen
post Jan 2 2017, 02:31 PM

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QUOTE(contestchris @ Jan 2 2017, 02:07 PM)
Yes I 100% understand that concept for unit trust funds. This was explained a few days ago and I totally agree with it. I observed the dividends for many funds and it is true, which makes me angry at Amanah Saham and Public Mutual when they gloat about dividends when the true fact is there's is a net negative return for the year.

But my question was more about the share market. Is it the same there as well? Or are dividends in the share market distinct in nature compared to that of unit trust funds? Would it be wise to say that the closest thing in the share market to the dividend nature of unit trusts is the stock split scenario? Since in both scenarios, the before/after value of your holdings is pretty much he exact same.
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Specially for those a little thick in the skull:

Dividend from stocks are specifically from profits. Anything else are called capital repayment.

Dsitribution don't give a Jack Sh1t, it can come from profit / surplus or from pool of capital. Hence it is called distribution and not dividend.

Can some bean counter verify this? Hint hint to auntie dasecret. wub.gif

This post has been edited by xuzen: Jan 2 2017, 02:32 PM
xuzen
post Jan 2 2017, 02:38 PM

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QUOTE(contestchris @ Jan 2 2017, 02:07 PM)
Yes I 100% understand that concept for unit trust funds. This was explained a few days ago and I totally agree with it. I observed the dividends for many funds and it is true, which makes me angry at Amanah Saham and Public Mutual when they gloat about dividends when the true fact is there's is a net negative return for the year.
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They have nothing to shout about, so shout about distribution lor!

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Why you ask stock market related question at Unit Trust Fund thread ar?

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