QUOTE(silverwave @ May 7 2017, 05:25 PM)
I see, does this apply to individuals or businesses too? MNCs have way more than that amount flowing out of the country especially if their manufacturing plants are in Malaysia.
Back then, it made sense since they were most probably carrying cash with them but with online banking that is accessible worldwide today, how do they control it? I foresee more money leaving the country with the amount of Malaysian students studying abroad.
Just to give you another perspective contrary from the pessimistic view of bro ramjade that seems to imply capital control is on the BNM's discussion table now
Capital control is the very last resort a country would take. In the AFC in 1998, Mahathir was forced to impose capital control to stabilise the currency attack by George Soros (purportedly). Malaysia's currency reserves was very low at that time, so he has not much choice to fight Soros. The reserve level is different now so it is way more risky for a speculator to repeat the same thing and be successful like AFC.
During capital control at that time, business (import and export) are still on going. It doesn't mean no inflow or outflow of forex during that period. Just that BNM required the banks for stricter documentation. In fact, after the peg of 3.80, all import and export businesses got a relief and resume businesses with more certainty. So, capital control doesn't mean a stop to forex transfer. It just means for business, more documentation has to be provided to the banks for scrutiny. If capital control means no forex movement, then you cannot buy stuff like BMW, Iphone, grapes/apples, Hollywood movies, petrol for our cars and what not. Exporter cannot sell their good overseas...It is a big misconception capital control means no forex transfer.
For individual, same applies. Eg. Money used for education were still allowed. Like businesses also, the banks required strict documentations from individuals. So, necessary personal expenses were permitted during that time
Investment activities will be curbed though. Just like in 1998, share market trading activities, investment money in and out of the country are restricted (not banned, but need strict review and approval by BNM)
Reading bro ramjade's comment, it seems to me that capital control is a possibility now. Not saying it is impossible, but If you feel it is a possibility, then increase in GST would most probably precede capital control. Instead of the rhetoric in Ramjade's comment, you should see signs and numbers in deterioration of GDP growth, inflation, unemployment, debt level, Malaysia' current account turns deficit, interest rate hike at unusual quantum, the big 3 international rating agencies downgrading Malaysia's economic position....all these signs will give you some warning before BNM take the drastic and emergency action on capital control.
I think Hudud law be implemented and opposition wins the next GE is more likely to happen than BNM imposing capital control
Implementing capital control is like a doctor using defibrillator on a person whose heart stops beating. It is the only last hope trying to revive the crisis