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 Fundsupermart.com v15, 基金超市第十五章 - Rise the Dragon

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AIYH
post Oct 15 2016, 09:52 AM

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QUOTE(Ramjade @ Oct 15 2016, 08:12 AM)
Like I said, I have no problem parking my money >1 year. Before ASX FP, my money 100% of them are in FDs for ~3 years. After finding out about ASX FP, I transferred my money into ASX FP. already coming close to 2nd year holding money in there. All this while I never performed any withdrawal.

Even this year when I had to access RM3k for emergency purpose, I didn't even withdraw from there. So again, locking up the money for years is perfectly fine with me. That 1% exit fees doesn't bother me if I were to choose RHB IBF because I know I can lock my money > 1 year as I have > enough emergency cash reserves.

So for me, the bond fund must be able to generate income when equities fail (got an inspiration from dasecret earlier post that mentioned when equities fail, RHB AIF came to the rescue)

This are my personal reasons:
Reason to go for RHB IBF
(i) consistent returns at ~7% p.a rclxm9.gif

Reason not to go for RHB IBF
(i) is only in malaysia which means I will be overweight in malaysia (KGF, eastspring, ASX FP)

Reason to for RHB ATRF
(i) Potential of higher returns than RHB IBF
(ii) Not focus on malaysia
(iii) In the long run, it will exceed RM as it was mentioned USD-RM forex affect it biggrin.gif

Reason not to go for RHB ATRF
(i) Potential lesser returns than RHB IBF

I am perfectly fine with RHB ATRF risk or RHB IBF exit fees so those are not in my criteria.

Siapa main report some more? vmad.gif mad.gif
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If you can lock the money for more than a year, why do you stick with bond funds instead of equity funds? smile.gif

This post has been edited by AIYH: Oct 15 2016, 09:52 AM
AIYH
post Oct 15 2016, 10:05 AM

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QUOTE(T231H @ Oct 15 2016, 09:59 AM)
see post# 1632...3rd paragraph....for his reason..
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I know, but since he is also worried about overweighting in Malaysia exposure and foreign bond fund might not be stable due to forex, then bond fund would not be suitable for him at the current stage since none of the alternative fufill his expectation? sad.gif
AIYH
post Oct 15 2016, 10:17 AM

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deleted ... double posted

This post has been edited by AIYH: Oct 15 2016, 10:17 AM
AIYH
post Oct 15 2016, 10:17 AM

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QUOTE(Ramjade @ Oct 14 2016, 11:54 PM)
Thank you. But their 5 years return still good hmm.gif
Er, talking about me? hmm.gif
Real intention: which bond fund give the best returns? Buy that regardless of where/how it invest without looking at the volatility. For me volatility is just slightly important - I need something to generate income in case equity fail like early this year so I am perfectly fine with any risk as long as I can get better returns than RHB IBF. If the bond fund cannot outperform RHB IBF, better I buy RHB IBF.
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Ram Rating : http://www.ram.com.my/default.aspx

If you want consistent performance, just stick with RHB IBF/Anita mui

Foreign funds due to forex fluctuation, you would not get consistent performance over a reasonable time frame compared to local exposure.

So is up to you whether you want to stay safe with local exposure bonds or forex influenced foregin bonds smile.gif
AIYH
post Oct 16 2016, 09:57 PM

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xuzen

Actuarial nia, finance just like touching water surface only, basic exposure laugh.gif laugh.gif laugh.gif

Learning via studies vs actual implementation in practice is different laugh.gif

But I believe you need some data to calculate, like downside volatility to calculate Sortino ratio.

If using excel only, you also need a lot of past data and relevant market benchmark to calculate jensen alpha ratio.

Not sure about Modigliani ratio, but, speaking about sharpe ratio and risk return ratio, if you see FSM, CMF has the highest risk return ratio, about 30 times as much as KGF Evergreen fund.

OK, if you say we compare the metrics within the same class, that would be somehow fair comparison. However, if across different asset classes, how do those metrics bring meaningful interpretation and comparison?

Like comparing Ponzi 2.0 and AIF, how does the metrics explained that AIF is better in risk adjusted return than ponzi 2.0 if they are different classes?

Or do you rely morningstar for it?

As you know, during studies, learning the above ratio are by giving ideal values and example, hard to comprehend when comes to personal exposure in investment world, just graduated without much experience, kindly guide and forgive me if I asked something stupid laugh.gif
AIYH
post Oct 17 2016, 02:56 PM

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QUOTE(xuzen @ Oct 17 2016, 01:37 PM)
That is where experience comes in lor! Real world data are never nice and predictable. If it is such, all the finance company would hire robot and you will be out of job even before you graduate. As you participate in the investment world, your mind is able to sieve out the noises more carefully and make better decision.

Yup! Sortino needs downside volatility. If you have the set of data for for standard deviation, you may use that same set and omit the above mean to get Semi-deviation.

Use what is available to you, if the data is not available then don't use.

Modigliani aka M2M ratio is a derivative of Sharpe ratio. And M2M-ratio can bring different classes into parity for comparison sake. Problem is that the parameters needed to compute M2M ratio are not readily available to lay investors. Perhaps if you are working for investment bank or asset management company or perhaps UTMC, you may have access to the data.

He he he.... that is the job best left to Algozen™. She can answer it better than I do cool2.gif

Xuzen
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So for beginner like me where only fsm and morningstar (afaik) are available, sharpe ratio/risk return ratio + jensen alpha are the only practical metrics I can use?

For M2, I thought if I can get the approximate Rf plus the Beta/std dev of the instrument and benchmark from morningstar, can calculate dy right? By simply sharpe ratio * std dev of benchmark + rf?

Unless you are referring to the generalized version laugh.gif

When you always mention Algozen™, is this your KFC recipe from your company or your own work? blush.gif cool2.gif flex.gif innocent.gif laugh.gif

Let say I want to be anal about it rclxs0.gif
If I want to try to analyze between Ponzi 2.0 and AIF, do I benchmark them against the same index?

This post has been edited by AIYH: Oct 17 2016, 02:57 PM
AIYH
post Oct 18 2016, 07:48 AM

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QUOTE(xuzen @ Oct 17 2016, 04:15 PM)
M2M formula bukan macam ni wor. Let me go back to my old notes and recheck the formula. IIRC the above macam tak betul aje!

No, I don't use their benchmark. For me, I choose AIF because risk / return for AIF is better than Ponzi 2.0. Next question you will ask, but AIF ROI is so low, how to carry makan right? Hence if you notice, my portfolio is made up of AIF which is stable and boring, but supplemented by a US fund (TA GTF) plus India. These are the Viagra booster. So, when one is constructing a portfolio, one needs to strategize. Algozen™ helps me in this department by finding the sweet-spot, the Goldilocks' point. The point where the risk and return are just optimized.

Xuzen
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I am referring from here: http://breakingdownfinance.com/finance-top...ent/m2-measure/

Unless I get the source wrong laugh.gif kingly guide laugh.gif

I see smile.gif I am not even thinking of asking ROI issue on that laugh.gif
AIYH
post Oct 18 2016, 10:38 AM

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QUOTE(T231H @ Oct 18 2016, 10:19 AM)
hmm.gif much better risk returns than TA......but just that its fund size is too small...i just scare the fund may close when there is a corrections or major pull out of funds by investor...
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Didn't they have the same risk return ratio?

And TA is solely on technology (global although majority US), while Manulife is more diversified (but exclusively US)

This post has been edited by AIYH: Oct 18 2016, 10:40 AM
AIYH
post Oct 18 2016, 10:53 AM

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QUOTE(Avangelice @ Oct 18 2016, 10:46 AM)
owch. is this one of the reasons you or was it pink spider telling me about investing in new funds? thanks for the input. I learnt something today
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But surprisingly manulife US is earlier than TA Global by 2 years, yet TA fund size is 7.x times of Manulife hmm.gif

QUOTE(T231H @ Oct 18 2016, 10:49 AM)
Yes...i think it was last year...2 rhb funds...(if i remember correctly)
Fsm rated 1 at 8 & another at 10
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Because Manulife US sector is diversified while TA global focus on technology (single sector), thats why manulife have lower FSM risk rating
AIYH
post Oct 18 2016, 11:04 AM

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QUOTE(Avangelice @ Oct 18 2016, 10:57 AM)
from. my neanderthal way of putting it. you are given a whole basket of chicken eggs but in that basket there's another egg that's a different colour. would you pick it up? lol I suck at this. xuxen does it better
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Xuzen recommend TA Global.

However, given they have the same risk return ratio, do he prefer diversified region (although TA has three quarter in US) over diversified sector (but focused in US)?

Or both are within his acceptable risk range (for high risk) but TA simply provide better return (even though higher risk)?
AIYH
post Oct 18 2016, 11:28 AM

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QUOTE(xuzen @ Oct 18 2016, 11:25 AM)
Between TA & Manulife, both have similar risk adjusted performance (RAP). How do you choose? How do you choose?

AIYH,

This is exactly what I meant when I said book smart versus experience. A book smart person without real life experience when comes to this will be dumb-founded.

For me, I choose TA because although it has same RAP as Manulife, TA has more chance of giving better return than Manulife, even though its risk will be correspondingly higher than Manulife.

Why I do this?

Recall that I already have RHB-AIF which is a low volatility fund, hence I can take a little bit more risk with TA to boost my overall portfolio return. Make sense? Strategy forged from being in the field versus book smart.

Xuzen
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So both are acceptable individually, providing similar RAP just up to whether it fits into one's portfolio? smile.gif

This post has been edited by AIYH: Oct 18 2016, 11:29 AM
AIYH
post Oct 18 2016, 11:38 AM

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QUOTE(Ramjade @ Oct 18 2016, 11:35 AM)
Actually I don't know about you but Manulife US topup is pretty steep at RM500 min but if one do RSP, it only cost RM100. For me, I switching over to TA Global (will just leave Manulife US running with whatever I have inside) because of the RM500 issue.

By going for Manulife US, I am unable to topup other funds.
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Since I do via RSP, both pose no difference to me smile.gif

So, I choose TA Global because it provides higher potential return given similar risk performance smile.gif
AIYH
post Oct 19 2016, 06:48 AM

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QUOTE(ivzh @ Oct 19 2016, 12:35 AM)
hi all sifu, i m new in FSM, has been investing DCA in Public mutual since 3 years...ROI is -4% after deduct all the service charges..  mad.gif  mad.gif

Hope i wont be too late to invest via FSM.
let say this is my pocket money for investing

20% in ASNB FP Fund
30% in Public mutual (PRSF, PSSCF) - malaysia EQ
50% Matured FD

I would like to invest the lump sump matured FD, let say 100k in UT via FSM.
reading through the forum, this's what i plan
- CIMB-Principal Asia Pacific Dynamic Income Fund 33%
- KGF 33%
- TA global tech 33%
any comments guy?
currently i m in my early 30, my aim is for long term >10years, and i will invest monthly via DCA method
Should i invest the lump sum regardless the NAV price? or wait till it's relatively low..

thanks
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You want to go for pure equity?

Do you not consider fixed income for your portfolio above?
AIYH
post Oct 19 2016, 03:26 PM

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QUOTE(puchongite @ Oct 19 2016, 03:06 PM)
Where I can get a chart of the historical performance of it, compare to FSM ones at least ! rclxs0.gif
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If all insist to compare (hope I will not bombarded after this laugh.gif ) but this is the 5 year chart.

Orange = Philip Master Money Market Fund

Blue = RHB Cash Management Fund 2


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AIYH
post Oct 19 2016, 03:43 PM

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QUOTE(puchongite @ Oct 19 2016, 03:37 PM)
Hmmm this is hitting the nail on the head.
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Not to mention, the minimum withdrawal is RM1,000, contrast to CMF RM100 laugh.gif

T+0 + postage time + go to branch time + cheque clearance time, 3 items involved extra work, while giro you just wait for it to be in your account laugh.gif
AIYH
post Oct 19 2016, 04:00 PM

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Cannot find any information on RSP, so I ask a few question about PMMMF here (hopefully wont be bombared by sifu here laugh.gif)

1) When you invest, how long does it appear in your holding?

2) From the previous performance chart, it seems like crediting interest to you at the end of each month rather than continuous performance like NAV.

3) If you do RSP, can PMMMF served as a platform to RSP from there to the fund you want to invest similar to how CMF function?
AIYH
post Oct 19 2016, 07:59 PM

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QUOTE(tonytyk @ Oct 19 2016, 07:55 PM)
Don't see specific fund recommended
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That's because this is written by HK FSM.

So you won't see Msia fund recommended inside smile.gif
AIYH
post Oct 20 2016, 08:39 AM

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QUOTE(Avangelice @ Oct 20 2016, 08:33 AM)
hey guys. I'm putting in 20k in libra this coming month as my fd is maturing. what do you think. is this a wise move?
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Background:
At the moment. Anita Mui had a similar return to ASx FP, and Anita Mui is charging platform fee.

RHB Bond/Islamic Bond Fund provide slightly higher return compared to Anita Mui and no platform fee, but if redeem within a year it will charge a redemption fee.

Despite that, Anita Mui possess higher risk return ratio ATM.

Suggestion:
Hence, depends on the money you invest, if you need liquidity, put in ASx FP if you can

If that is not your cup of tea, put in Anita Mui, but prepare some money in CMF for platform fee deduction if you do not want them to deduct from your holding laugh.gif

Or if the money can be put aside for more than a year, RHB Bond/Islamic Bond Fund smile.gif
AIYH
post Oct 20 2016, 09:11 AM

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QUOTE(Avangelice @ Oct 20 2016, 08:46 AM)
Hey I wanna buy you a drink. thanks so much for this and I appreciate it. I was reading your conversations and I was lost until this post AND NOW I GET IT. facepalm moment on my part.

I think I'll look into rhb bond fund and rhb Islamic. Thank you again man

added.

just checked the app. looks like rhb Bond fits my criteria. perfect. I'll make a big pocket for fixed income which has two pockets. one for libra to lock in funds and one for rhb bond for Money you don't touch`
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Want to understand your preference for rhb bond over rhb islamic bond smile.gif


AIYH
post Oct 20 2016, 09:37 AM

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QUOTE(xuzen @ Oct 19 2016, 09:55 PM)
AIYH,

Below is my formula of Modigliani ratio:

You check whether is correct or not with your previous example?

Legends:

R(i) = return on investment of fund (i)

R(f) = Risk free rate

SD(b) = Std-Dev of benchmark

SD(i) = Std-Dev of fund (i)
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QUOTE(xuzen @ Oct 19 2016, 10:00 PM)
AIYH,

Here is the simplified or an alternative way to express M2M ratio:
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Yes Yes is the same smile.gif

It just looks less complicated than what I expected. laugh.gif

I think morningstar can provide the metrics needed to calculate smile.gif

Just want to know, when we compare different funds, for example KGF and EISCF, do I use their respective benchmark for each fund or I need to establish a common benchmark for both to compare them fairly? smile.gif

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