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 USD/MYR v4

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Ramjade
post Nov 4 2016, 02:19 PM

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QUOTE(Hansel @ Nov 4 2016, 02:15 PM)
Yeah,... the ridiculous RM weakened again today,....
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It's news about china currency. So since most of malaysian debts are owned by China, so MYR drop with China. haiz...
Ramjade
post Nov 5 2016, 01:51 PM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Nov 5 2016, 01:49 PM)
u mean 4.25.

after potus elections nov 8, usd likely to strengthen after retreating lately; fed rate hike imminent dec 14.
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But if Donald Trump becomes the president, I think it will be postponed?
Ramjade
post Nov 5 2016, 02:16 PM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Nov 5 2016, 01:54 PM)
i think not.

potus does not decide on such policies.

my read: fed is ready and will hike, whoever wins.
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I think it does. Cause if Donald Trump wins, there will be chaos globally which can affect their decision to hike.

Of cause if Clinton wins, status quo. Hike will go on as plan.
Ramjade
post Nov 8 2016, 02:21 AM

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QUOTE(Puteih @ Nov 7 2016, 10:44 PM)
Will the USA's election have any effect on our currency soon? Like Brexit, although in short amount of time but the rate goes down so quickly
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Yeah if trump wins. But unlikely.

This post has been edited by Ramjade: Nov 8 2016, 02:27 AM
Ramjade
post Nov 9 2016, 10:51 AM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Nov 9 2016, 10:44 AM)
Trump about to win.

Market sees that as anti trade.

Reactions so far...

Usd, yen, stocks, fall.

Bonds, gold, rise.

Will be explosive later in the afternoon, tonight.
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Sure or not? Results not out totally yet.
Ramjade
post Nov 9 2016, 11:50 AM

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If he win, can say goodbye to US Fed increase. biggrin.gif drool.gif
Hello early Christmas.
Ramjade
post Nov 9 2016, 12:52 PM

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Hansel now's your chance to "exit"
Ramjade
post Nov 9 2016, 01:58 PM

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QUOTE(bee993 @ Nov 9 2016, 01:56 PM)
xe.com usd 4.24
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Don't worry. When the cloud clears, USD will fall.
Ramjade
post Nov 9 2016, 06:00 PM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Nov 9 2016, 05:27 PM)
api said +4.4mil.

if eia says same or higher, your 4.25 will be here. laugh.gif

and if fed hike rates (still >60% priced in after trump win), 4.30 will be on the cards by dec 31.
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I believed Fed just lost their bullet to hike. If choas continue into Dec, they cannot hike.
Ramjade
post Nov 10 2016, 09:04 AM

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QUOTE(MR_alien @ Nov 10 2016, 08:04 AM)
weird..it didn't go the direction it should be?
trump wins?
USD hit 4.25
yen is recovering so fast...yesterday night its still 4.10x....9 hours later, its back to 4.01x??
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QUOTE(bee993 @ Nov 10 2016, 08:06 AM)
Xe.com 4.25  d
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Didn't expect US to recover so quickly. sad.gif
Ramjade
post Nov 10 2016, 08:08 PM

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Damn la. Don't know why so weak. Where's china money? sad.gif

Coukd be because end of the year? Everytime end of the year, RM fall.
Ramjade
post Nov 11 2016, 09:10 AM

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QUOTE(MR_alien @ Nov 11 2016, 09:08 AM)
what happen?
YEN and USD just went wild and have a spike
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I think got something to do with the fact that US may raise rates. Everything is already on the table. sad.gif

USD/RM now at 4.40334 sad.gif sad.gif

This post has been edited by Ramjade: Nov 11 2016, 09:12 AM
Ramjade
post Nov 11 2016, 10:25 AM

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Because of this

QUOTE
Developing-nation currencies tumbled after the prospect of increased spending under a Donald Trump administration propelled the Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index to the highest since March on Thursday.
ā€œThere’s thin liquidity and strong dollar sentiment,ā€ said Wu Mingze, a foreign-exchange trader in Singapore at INTL FCStone Inc., a Nasdaq-listed global payments-service provider. ā€œEmerging markets are going full crazy at the moment. It’s not central bank intervention or any major news.ā€


http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/201...d-asia-declines
Ramjade
post Nov 11 2016, 10:31 AM

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QUOTE(OPT @ Nov 11 2016, 10:29 AM)
Main stream papers also Tak berani repot...MYR so weak
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See tomorrow news. Sure got.
Ramjade
post Nov 11 2016, 12:16 PM

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QUOTE(OPT @ Nov 11 2016, 12:11 PM)
Looks like some buying to support MYR...4.40 now
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I think reserves are being used so that it won't cause a panic.
Ramjade
post Nov 11 2016, 06:08 PM

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QUOTE(Hansel @ Nov 11 2016, 06:04 PM)
This is the offshore rate,... hence, logically, if we are able to buy USD INSIDE Msia, and then use this USD outside of Msia, it would be better than to convert RM into USD outside of Msia.

BUt,... I'm sure no one would want to chg USD into us inside Msia now,... money-changers would close their doors already,....
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There's still a door which don't close. Bitcoins. Whole world accept bitcoins.

When argentina gov impose bans on foreign currency, Argentina turn to bitcoins

This post has been edited by Ramjade: Nov 11 2016, 06:13 PM
Ramjade
post Nov 13 2016, 11:04 PM

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QUOTE(nexona88 @ Nov 13 2016, 10:19 PM)
Really cannot predict the movement tomorrow..
Could be bad devil.gif
Who knows could even reach 5 MYR blush.gif
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How to reach RM5? BNM holding the ball. Hopefully won't be until RM5 sad.gif
Ramjade
post Nov 13 2016, 11:27 PM

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QUOTE(Hansel @ Nov 13 2016, 11:18 PM)
When we say RM5 or any rate that we desire for that matter, we are effectively saying that we are keen to 'act' on that rate, be it to buy or to sell the USD at the desired rate.

But now, BNM has stopped us from taking actions on that rate, so,... we are literally stuck with USDs that can't be used in conjunction with our livelihood in the country.

Secondly, even if they do let us act on that rate, the spread will be so big that it becomesĀ  nonsensical to act on it.

This experience has taught us a lesson in that if we keep foreign currencies in the country, it is still not safe.
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No it's not. If you have a USD in FCA, you can straight transfer without going through the exchange at bank. Also, I think it's good idea to change when the controls are in place as we will be getting more USD worth (compare the onshore USD/MYR with offshore USD/MYR).

Of course if you are talking about changing USD > MYR then it's not worth it as you will be getting less MYR/USD changed. That's just my opinions.

This post has been edited by Ramjade: Nov 13 2016, 11:28 PM
Ramjade
post Nov 14 2016, 12:17 AM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Nov 14 2016, 12:14 AM)
given that, i would think some other pegs may fail soon.
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You think Brunei can fall?
Ramjade
post Nov 14 2016, 12:20 AM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Nov 14 2016, 12:19 AM)
what u think?
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I think if Saudi can have trouble so can Brunei. But there's no news about brunei situation.

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