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 USD/MYR v4

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nexona88
post Dec 1 2016, 12:22 PM

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QUOTE(Hansel @ Dec 1 2016, 12:14 PM)
Bro,... I know that !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!  Why do you think I stayed up every night and keyed-in the movements into my program to monitor the momentum ? I buy the crosses, not the USD !!!!!!!!!!
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thumbsup.gif thumbsup.gif thumbsup.gif

needs to learn a lot from u smile.gif innocent.gif
TSwil-i-am
post Dec 1 2016, 03:29 PM

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OPEC deal hurts Asia FX; China takes more steps to curb outflows
http://www.theedgemarkets.com/my/article/o...s-curb-outflows

The pains continue for MYR despite production cut
nexona88
post Dec 1 2016, 03:33 PM

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OPEC production cut has no effect on MYR bye.gif bruce.gif

No surprise as there's are bigger issues that influence the movement yawn.gif yawn.gif whistling.gif
nexona88
post Dec 1 2016, 05:42 PM

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4.46154 (XE rate) vs 4.4695 (BNM rate) at closing today hmm.gif
AVFAN
post Dec 1 2016, 05:42 PM

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QUOTE(wil-i-am @ Dec 1 2016, 03:29 PM)
OPEC deal hurts Asia FX; China takes more steps to curb outflows
http://www.theedgemarkets.com/my/article/o...s-curb-outflows

The pains continue for MYR despite production cut
*
opec deal, oil price up, pressure on rm.
trump win, pressure.
fed hike, pressure.
rmb devalue, pressure.
cpo price down, pressure.
foreigners sell bursa, pressure.
foreginers sell mgs, prsessure.

rm is in a pressure cooker or what?! biggrin.gif


QUOTE
Most emerging Asian currencies eased on Thursday as an OPEC deal to reduce oil production pushed up the dollar and U.S. Treasury yields, adding to views that the world's largest economy will see higher inflation.


now, this is what is diff this time...

normally, when oil price goes up, $ goes down. if both are going up, it does spell trouble for some countries. the energy bill will bloat quickly, fueling inflation.

locally, petrol price just came down, can expect a hefty incr on jan 1.

with a weak RM, what goods will NOT go up in price then?

gotta do another round of shopping soon.

merry Xmas & happy new year! tongue.gif
nexona88
post Dec 1 2016, 05:48 PM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Dec 1 2016, 05:42 PM)
opec deal, oil price up, pressure on rm.
trump win, pressure.
fed hike, pressure.
rmb devalue, pressure.
cpo price down, pressure.
foreigners sell bursa, pressure.
foreginers sell mgs, prsessure.

rm is in a pressure cooker or what?! biggrin.gif
now, this is what is diff this time...

normally, when oil price goes up, $ goes down. if both are going up, it does spell trouble for some countries. the energy bill will bloat quickly, fueling inflation.

locally, petrol price just came down, can expect a hefty incr on jan 1.

with a weak RM, what goods will NOT go up in price then?

gotta do another round of shopping soon.

merry Xmas & happy new year!  tongue.gif
*
well RM is very weak.. everything have some pressure shakehead.gif puke.gif
petrol price come down, I can only think 1 thing.. the big meeting in PWTC going on.. needs make them a bit happy.. can boast saying jibby perhatin nasib rakyat sweat.gif thumbsup.gif innocent.gif devil.gif

as for shopping, it's under way now.. rolleyes.gif sweat.gif

This post has been edited by nexona88: Dec 1 2016, 05:49 PM
nexona88
post Dec 1 2016, 05:52 PM

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QUOTE(xpmm @ Dec 1 2016, 05:50 PM)
pressure cooker with power off, rm already peg, see forever 4.46.
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yup. watching closely past few days on bnm website since u mention got peg..

didn't move above or lower than 4.46 cool2.gif
AVFAN
post Dec 1 2016, 05:54 PM

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QUOTE(nexona88 @ Dec 1 2016, 05:48 PM)
well RM is very weak.. everything have some pressure  shakehead.gif  puke.gif
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maybe something to do with expectations of hunky dory, privilege, handicap.

QUOTE(xpmm @ Dec 1 2016, 05:50 PM)
pressure cooker with power off, rm already peg, see forever 4.46.
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u call it peg, i see intervention.

never mind, same effect... that be the case, we'll see when the power gets turned on again! biggrin.gif

This post has been edited by AVFAN: Dec 1 2016, 06:00 PM
TSwil-i-am
post Dec 1 2016, 06:07 PM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Dec 1 2016, 05:42 PM)
opec deal, oil price up, pressure on rm.
trump win, pressure.
fed hike, pressure.
rmb devalue, pressure.
cpo price down, pressure.
foreigners sell bursa, pressure.
foreginers sell mgs, prsessure.

rm is in a pressure cooker or what?! biggrin.gif
*
Hahaha...
I know when speaker speaks at PWTC, delegate pleasure tongue.gif
nexona88
post Dec 1 2016, 06:17 PM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Dec 1 2016, 05:54 PM)
maybe something to do with expectations of hunky dory, privilege, handicap.
u call it peg, i see intervention.

never mind, same effect... that be the case, we'll see when the power gets turned on again! biggrin.gif
*
hmm wonder how long it will last hmm.gif hmm.gif
AVFAN
post Dec 1 2016, 06:22 PM

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QUOTE(nexona88 @ Dec 1 2016, 06:17 PM)
hmm wonder how long it will last  hmm.gif  hmm.gif
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we see what 2017 will bring.

not good for rm according to goldman:

QUOTE
Fear, on the other hand, would come into play when inflation starts jumping, labor costs accelerate and the Fed springs into action. While the U.S. central bank's current forecast is for two rate hikes next year, Goldman's projection calls for the Fed's short-term rate target to rise by 100 basis points, or a full percentage point — the equivalent of four quarter-point hikes.
http://www.cnbc.com/2016/11/30/goldman-for...es-4-times.html

TSwil-i-am
post Dec 1 2016, 06:22 PM

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QUOTE(xpmm @ Dec 1 2016, 05:50 PM)
pressure cooker with power off, rm already peg, see forever 4.46.
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Some biz man/entrepreneur say 4.46 is gud as they claim 'I can c clearly plus with certainty' tongue.gif
nexona88
post Dec 1 2016, 06:25 PM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Dec 1 2016, 06:22 PM)
we see what 2017 will bring.

not good for rm according to goldman:
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cry.gif cry.gif cry.gif

if no intervention, 5.00 confirm console.gif
TSwil-i-am
post Dec 1 2016, 06:33 PM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Dec 1 2016, 06:22 PM)
we see what 2017 will bring.

not good for rm according to goldman:
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Do u know wat is the assumption on exchange rate USD/MYR during 2017 Budget in Oct 2016?
Afaik tat they may calibrate 2017 Budget in Q1/17 to take into account external factors (as quoted in newspaper)
AVFAN
post Dec 1 2016, 06:41 PM

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QUOTE(wil-i-am @ Dec 1 2016, 06:33 PM)
Do u know wat is the assumption on exchange rate USD/MYR during 2017 Budget in Oct 2016?
Afaik tat they may calibrate 2017 Budget in Q1/17 to take into account external factors (as quoted in newspaper)
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don't know, but i would think about 4.0 since that was the avg in july-sep.

can recalibrate until the cows come home.

result will be the same - issue more sukuks/mgs.

can't see how else to fulfill the spending or more than likely, overspending.


nexona88
post Dec 1 2016, 06:42 PM

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The Malaysian Ringgit is expected to trade at 4.43 by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate it to trade at 4.57 in 12 months time.

http://www.tradingeconomics.com/malaysia/currency/forecast

hello it's already trading 4.46 now.. buta kah laugh.gif
TSwil-i-am
post Dec 1 2016, 06:43 PM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Dec 1 2016, 06:41 PM)
don't know, but i would think about 4.0 since that was the avg in july-sep.

can recalibrate until the cows come home.

result will be the same - issue more sukuks/mgs.

can't see how else to fulfill the spending or more than likely, overspending.
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I predict there will b many takers for Sukuk/Mgs tis time coz the yield (10 yrs MGS) is High
nexona88
post Dec 1 2016, 06:44 PM

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according to Forecasts..

year 2020

1USD = 5.27 MYR devil.gif
AVFAN
post Dec 1 2016, 06:52 PM

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QUOTE(wil-i-am @ Dec 1 2016, 06:43 PM)
I predict there will b many takers for Sukuk/Mgs tis time coz the yield (10 yrs MGS) is High
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hope so.

maybe 5% for 10 yr.

what happens to RM then? tongue.gif
nexona88
post Dec 1 2016, 06:56 PM

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well what I know most Sukuk / MGS is bought by those locals funds like EPF, KWAP and others.. sure they will "support" devil.gif

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