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 USA Stock Discussion v8, Brexit: What happens now?

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AVFAN
post Mar 19 2020, 10:02 AM

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QUOTE(anakMY @ Mar 19 2020, 09:04 AM)
Covid hasnt reached the peak yet in US, and the oil price continue tumbling, I dont think US stocks has reach bottom yet right.
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it hasn't even peaked in europe.

when italy new cases and deaths decline 3 days in a row, maybe that's the cue.

china hubei/wuhan new cases very low now... but shanghai index still red everyday.


AVFAN
post Mar 19 2020, 09:50 PM

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3 dead cat bounces so far.

4th one seems not coming today. yawn.gif

AVFAN
post Mar 19 2020, 10:01 PM

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QUOTE(yok70 @ Mar 19 2020, 09:56 PM)
today test water 2200 would be great.  laugh.gif
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2200 not so soon, i think... more likely in a few weeks time when cov19 peaks in europe and/or north america.

for now... i see up, down, down, up down, down.... high vix.
AVFAN
post Mar 19 2020, 10:29 PM

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QUOTE(robert82 @ Mar 19 2020, 10:16 PM)
what if covid resolved/peak but Saudi n Russia agreed on production cut.
Will that led to DJIA going up back?
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crude price is just one factor.... if it stays low, v good for recovery, except for producers countries.

covid peak is a point where there is better visibility, damage assessment/control gets more certain.

a vaccine or cure will be required to "close" the problem.


AVFAN
post Mar 19 2020, 11:36 PM

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got a mini bounce... better than nothing!

hope it sustains.

AVFAN
post Mar 20 2020, 12:52 AM

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QUOTE(oOoproz @ Mar 20 2020, 12:18 AM)
It always fall after the covid conference, just be careful
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definitely shaky. biggrin.gif

i'm done tonight.

just one small trade, small profit....gotta zzzzz...
AVFAN
post Mar 20 2020, 11:25 AM

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QUOTE(ChAOoz @ Mar 20 2020, 09:36 AM)
Regulatory fillings show buffet is buying now. Is this a signal to dip our toes in ?
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if true, most likely very early selective buying.
last night, it was evident the major tech stocks were very active, some bargain hunting there.

just reading... i get a sense that markets may make a soft but short rebound.
only to go gradually lower in the next few months when the fallout everywhere becomes clear.

.. trump says he may intervene in saudi-russia oil price war.
.. china NOT lowering loan rates anymore.
.. $ climb stopped.
.. asian bourses clawed back this morning, incl shanghai..?

buy after considering all kinds of risks.
maybe good opportunities to trade! tongue.gif


AVFAN
post Mar 20 2020, 11:45 AM

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QUOTE(ChAOoz @ Mar 20 2020, 11:39 AM)
Human trial for vaccine already started. My take is trump will fast track everything due to his re-election campaign.

From the speed that fed and US treasury secretary is making, I don't expect this thing to drag out long. The response this round was WAYYY faster than 08.
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that is certain.

he's great at "looking good". laugh.gif
AVFAN
post Mar 20 2020, 03:41 PM

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dow futures has gone from -300 to +5xx.

a reprieve...
AVFAN
post Mar 20 2020, 06:50 PM

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QUOTE(Yggdrasil @ Mar 20 2020, 06:31 PM)
Dead cat bounce.
last nite's bounce #4 too soft, doesn't count.

tonight will count. laugh.gif
AVFAN
post Mar 20 2020, 07:45 PM

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b4 u start pushing buy 2nite, here's some food 4 tot...

QUOTE
The upcoming job losses will be unlike anything the US has ever seen

The coronavirus crisis is likely to result in layoffs on a scale that the U.S. has never seen before.
Economists expect April to be the first reporting month when the damage starts to show up.
Forecasts for that month range from 500,000 to 5 million.
The worst month during the financial crisis saw nonfarm payrolls decrease by 800,000.
Weekly jobless claims numbers are expected to be so bad that the White House has reportedly asked state officials to delay releasing precise counts.
https://www.cnbc.com/2020/03/20/the-upcomin...-ever-seen.html

AVFAN
post Mar 21 2020, 09:49 AM

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so much fear...

asian bourses will scrambling again on monday.

have a peaceful weekend.
AVFAN
post Mar 23 2020, 09:49 AM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Mar 23 2020, 12:28 AM)
I wonder why BNM hasn't step in to defend the Ringgit?  hmm.gif
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i dun think they will... not yet anyway.

it's the $ ramping up as demand surges with bonds selloff.

almost all currencies hammered, esp emerging marts.

against SGD, baht, RM is fine.

RMB is gaining on the RM though... can expect local raw food prices to rise soon... on top of supply shocks.
AVFAN
post Mar 23 2020, 01:41 PM

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New York has a big problem.

Risk of financial center shutdown?

QUOTE
New York has 5% of Covid-19 cases worldwide as city becomes battlefront
State now has 15,000 cases – around half of US total – with residents of New York City facing further lockdown from Sunday evening
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/mar/...rldwide-covid19


AVFAN
post Mar 23 2020, 09:42 PM

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even the "expected good news" fail to lift.

S&P should get to 2200 later.

AVFAN
post Mar 23 2020, 11:30 PM

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this is bad, very bad...


New York coronavirus cases surge 38% overnight to 20,875
https://www.cnbc.com/2020/03/23/new-york-co...t-to-20875.html
AVFAN
post Mar 23 2020, 11:46 PM

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whoa.... sinking so dem fast...

just before they vote and pass the trillion $?

resistance is futile?!
AVFAN
post Mar 24 2020, 09:42 AM

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QUOTE(ChAOoz @ Mar 24 2020, 09:25 AM)
Hmm china ah.. maybe.

I really have no idea on this. Could also be most asian markert already at a decade low. So fund flowing back in preparation for unlimited stimulus. Confuse
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i think it's just that asian markets late yesterday were reacting to us limit down futures.

things weren't so bad afterall, just -5xx despite failure to pass the trillion$ stimulus bill.

and dow futures now green +5xx.

so, big reason to go green this morning!


very volatile... can go red anytime.

berhati-hati di pasaran saham. laugh.gif
AVFAN
post Mar 24 2020, 03:42 PM

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QUOTE(Cubalagi @ Mar 24 2020, 03:35 PM)
Already topped up 0829EA New China last week, better than any HSI/HSCEI in my opinion.
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why is 0829 is better than hscei 02828?

0829A liquidity is very poor, no?


AVFAN
post Mar 24 2020, 04:45 PM

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QUOTE(SUPERBGEEK @ Mar 24 2020, 04:15 PM)
Hi, just wanna ask, how do you guys buy USA stocks? I have been buying from a remisier and was wondering if there is any platform which I can trade by my own means, planning to do some short term trades to raise a bit of capital. Thanks all!
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u can use brokers of local major banks which is costly.

or u can go thru some hassle and open foreign account:
https://forum.lowyat.net/topic/4843925/+540
foreign acc is cheaper in brokerage fee % but is subject to certain condition, even monthly fee.
do read and ask there.

QUOTE(moosset @ Mar 24 2020, 04:29 PM)
sorry. I haven't got any experience on futures.

only etf.
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this hscei 02828, think u r buying thru local platform-HKEX.
i has this before in HKD, quite ok, good liquidity as well.

the other one u can consider is FXI on nyse since u r already doing hkex .
FXI composition is a bit similar to 02828.

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