USA Stock Discussion v8, Brexit: What happens now?
USA Stock Discussion v8, Brexit: What happens now?
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Mar 27 2020, 01:16 PM
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#561
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All Stars
12,698 posts Joined: Jun 2010 From: kuala lumpur |
come on, give me 1800
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Mar 27 2020, 01:39 PM
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#562
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All Stars
12,698 posts Joined: Jun 2010 From: kuala lumpur |
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Mar 27 2020, 03:06 PM
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#563
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All Stars
12,698 posts Joined: Jun 2010 From: kuala lumpur |
QUOTE(Morning_Star @ Mar 27 2020, 02:55 PM) i can access the homepage. |
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Mar 30 2020, 06:29 AM
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#564
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All Stars
12,698 posts Joined: Jun 2010 From: kuala lumpur |
QUOTE(danmooncake @ Mar 30 2020, 05:05 AM) Yup.. this is what the bears were waiting for. So Bill Gates is after all a real genius. Although whenever he sits side by side with Steve Jobs and Warren Buffet, they always steal the spotlights from him. What to do, he speaks like a nerd, and looks like a nerd, he is boring. Something really unexpected, a real black swan, not even the power of Fed can stop it. All these years, the bulls been buying not stop with liquidity abound and little growth in real economy. I think it's the day of reckoning here this year. 2008-2009..we have housing/financial recession 2019-2020.. now we have the coronavirus/covid-19 recession. This outbreak - no economist really has seen this coming except for the big Nerd himself - Bill Gates - nobody pays attention to him 5 years ago but his foundation been doing good work by providing funding for research and vaccine to the countries that need since the Ebola outbreak. |
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Mar 30 2020, 08:58 AM
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#565
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All Stars
12,698 posts Joined: Jun 2010 From: kuala lumpur |
QUOTE(danmooncake @ Mar 30 2020, 07:53 AM) Oil really baffles me.. I never expect it would fall BELOW that 2008 recession price (around $39/40) OPEC (should say Saudis) has the most un-creative strategic team in the world, I can't recall seeing them doing any creative plan on fighting with oil business. Saudi has no businessmen? Then... bam $20. Wow.. just Wow! That's just WTI. The Western Canadian crude fell to as low as $5 on Friday.. insane! Cheaper than mineral water in the same barrel and cheaper than rolls of premium toilet papers. It's just double whammy. At the same time demand destruction, both the Saudis and Russians are engage in price war by increasing production. It's absolutely nuts.. Opec killing their own members revenue with this kind action. I think Malaysia Petronas suffers the big blunt with TAPIS prices now at $28.. fell 50% from the high $62 just 30 days ago. 2020 is going to the horrible year for Malaysia. |
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Mar 30 2020, 09:38 AM
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#566
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All Stars
12,698 posts Joined: Jun 2010 From: kuala lumpur |
QUOTE(AVFAN @ Mar 30 2020, 09:03 AM) saudi has only one primary objective - to kill off marginal producers. It's not gonna work as they wish. Because shale is just too easy to come back, the technology allows them to abandon the facilities when oil price unfavorable, but can anytime reopen with minimum effort when oil price become favorable. And for Russia, well, if Saudi pushes too hard until Russia economy dying, that can only trigger a suicide war for the Saudi. US might probably just sit and watch the show. not only us shale but the likes of petronas too. this is their golden chance to do it swiftly with help of cov19! |
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Mar 30 2020, 10:57 PM
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#567
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All Stars
12,698 posts Joined: Jun 2010 From: kuala lumpur |
Is it another dead cat bounce?
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Mar 31 2020, 12:36 AM
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#568
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All Stars
12,698 posts Joined: Jun 2010 From: kuala lumpur |
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Mar 31 2020, 06:33 AM
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#569
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All Stars
12,698 posts Joined: Jun 2010 From: kuala lumpur |
QUOTE(danmooncake @ Mar 31 2020, 03:51 AM) Wow.. this market has a lot of optimism built it. if it could hold well by end of this week, and no shocking news in coming weeks, perhaps we had already met our bottom last week (of 2191)? Sold my PUTs again for this week. SP500 2600..15% buffer zone from 2200. Should be able to hold off unless bulls suddenly die out again and became bears by Friday. This post has been edited by yok70: Mar 31 2020, 06:34 AM |
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Mar 31 2020, 11:33 AM
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#570
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All Stars
12,698 posts Joined: Jun 2010 From: kuala lumpur |
QUOTE(danmooncake @ Mar 31 2020, 10:49 AM) Like you always said, we are dominated by robot traders nowadays. A very different game to play now, everything accelerate 10 times maybe. This post has been edited by yok70: Mar 31 2020, 11:34 AM |
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Apr 2 2020, 09:55 AM
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#571
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All Stars
12,698 posts Joined: Jun 2010 From: kuala lumpur |
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Apr 3 2020, 01:09 AM
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#572
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All Stars
12,698 posts Joined: Jun 2010 From: kuala lumpur |
looks like market likes trump's oil talk very much (for today).
guess today won't have any fireworks to see. can go watch tv already. |
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Apr 4 2020, 12:25 AM
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#573
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All Stars
12,698 posts Joined: Jun 2010 From: kuala lumpur |
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Apr 4 2020, 05:56 AM
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#574
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All Stars
12,698 posts Joined: Jun 2010 From: kuala lumpur |
QUOTE(danmooncake @ Apr 4 2020, 04:25 AM) A bit disappointment this week because the bears didn't rampage and take it back down to the lows (SP 2200) despite yes, i still see strong bulls supporting the market. if bears unable to take it down by end of this month, we may actually met our bottom 2 weeks ago, and the bottoming process has been happening quietly. Unless, of course, Trump did something crazy again. I still don't see any major damage to the economy by the covid-19, mainly because its damage is not unpredictable. Financials are still strong and stable, "essential large companies" are still strong although profit will be delay for 3 to 4 quarters if not 2 to 3 quarters. Small or weak companies may not survive, yes, but this may not be a bad thing. It will accelerate the process of M&A and business integrations. Later, market will be more neat, although less competitions mean less pricing power for consumers, but i don't think the situation can turn severe. I'm expecting some revisits to recent lows maybe a few times before the bull returns. Just wild guess lah! I'm always very bad at TA bad jobs numbers. I think it's all because of the Fed PPT. They buying dips on the sidelines and pumping money back into the system. This post has been edited by yok70: Apr 4 2020, 06:16 AM |
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Apr 4 2020, 08:19 PM
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#575
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All Stars
12,698 posts Joined: Jun 2010 From: kuala lumpur |
QUOTE(AVFAN @ Apr 4 2020, 10:17 AM) be patient, as u r, always. thanks for your advice. the fall was very fast, very steep, gotta rebound somewhat. + all the stimulus + all the big bulls with big cash = big bear not arrived yet. when more bad data comes out, the sentiments will change quickly... then with 1 trigger, u get there. when... 2 weeks, 1 qtr, 1/2 year? when full impact is known? whatever, the way some thing works incl stocks may be changed 4ever as this epidemic is not going away so soon. a couple years? or until an effective cure or vaccine is developed... but is elusive. i still trade sometimes, not only buy for long term. so the big swings are good for trading short term, target at 10%-15% swing. |
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Apr 5 2020, 12:55 AM
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#576
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All Stars
12,698 posts Joined: Jun 2010 From: kuala lumpur |
QUOTE(AVFAN @ Apr 4 2020, 08:22 PM) however, my 75% stocks still holding. i'm only playing with the 25% cash on short term trading. i'm still a Buffet supporter. Buffet is right about trading. If we don't hold, if we only follow TA to buy in, we'll miss the huge portion of the rebound. ie in current market. if we only buy after bullish indicator hit, we'll probably buy above 2800. That case, if the bottom is 1800, we'll miss 55% gap on profit. If the mid term peak is 3500, we'll be missing a 55% for a 25%. This post has been edited by yok70: Apr 5 2020, 01:04 AM |
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Apr 5 2020, 09:02 PM
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#577
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All Stars
12,698 posts Joined: Jun 2010 From: kuala lumpur |
QUOTE(danmooncake @ Apr 5 2020, 01:54 AM) If portion of the portfolio is you're long term hold..it's perfectly ok to dollar-cost-average them 'coz those are the ones Yes, I only buy those target for long term stocks. And i also only trade (short term) on the same bags of stocks that targeting long term (double protection that usually give you a best value over much longer them. Just buy them on per dollar cost-basis and keep accumulating until you reach that goal. Thanks for your advice This post has been edited by yok70: Apr 5 2020, 09:03 PM |
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Apr 5 2020, 09:05 PM
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#578
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All Stars
12,698 posts Joined: Jun 2010 From: kuala lumpur |
QUOTE(AVFAN @ Apr 5 2020, 09:56 AM) i'm just the opposite. I understand. Good luck for us and everyone! Every bear market is scary, as they always said. i am hold 25%, 75% ready to go. very strong feeling the worst hasn't come. meanwhile, monday... I still wish we can meet 1800 region in this round of bear market. This post has been edited by yok70: Apr 6 2020, 01:00 AM |
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Apr 6 2020, 10:15 PM
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#579
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All Stars
12,698 posts Joined: Jun 2010 From: kuala lumpur |
oh boy....bull today....
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Apr 7 2020, 12:01 AM
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#580
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All Stars
12,698 posts Joined: Jun 2010 From: kuala lumpur |
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