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 USA Stock Discussion v8, Brexit: What happens now?

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AVFAN
post Dec 8 2016, 05:35 PM

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QUOTE(mikehwy @ Dec 8 2016, 02:57 PM)
as for me, I am still of the opinion that crude is over optimistic. I cant see any reasons for it to climb for weeks. strange! rclxub.gif
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Brazil opt out of non opec cut.
Nigeria exempted from cut.
Iran just got shell to reassess oil fields to boost production.
US shale oil producers ready to pounce.

I dont see how it can go much higher.
Coming down maybe very fast.
But of course, the volatility may spike.
We watch dec 10.
AVFAN
post Dec 9 2016, 11:18 PM

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QUOTE(zacknistelrooy @ Dec 9 2016, 06:41 PM)
yes, found them.

nice! laugh.gif
AVFAN
post Dec 9 2016, 11:36 PM

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QUOTE(yok70 @ Dec 9 2016, 11:26 PM)
rclxs0.gif
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brand new products, debut today.

uwt, dwt... both at around $24-26.

have fun! biggrin.gif
AVFAN
post Dec 10 2016, 10:13 AM

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QUOTE(zacknistelrooy @ Dec 10 2016, 02:07 AM)
Rig count data showed total rigs rose 27 to 624, oil rigs jump 21 to 498 and gas rigs up 6 to 125
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only natural that rig count keeps rising as oil price moves up, never mind the excess stocks.

still, that does not stop the fervor to push price higher if opec-non opec agrees on some cut, any cut.

but will be different in the event this meeting fails totally, no agreement.

we watch for new today.

AVFAN
post Dec 11 2016, 10:31 AM

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QUOTE
Non-OPEC oil producers to cut output 558,000 barrels a day

The 11 non-OPEC countries taking part in the agreement are: Azerbaijan, Bahrain, Brunei, Equatorial Guinea, Kazakhstan, Malaysia, Mexico, Oman, Russia, Sudan and South Sudan.
http://www.cnbc.com/2016/12/10/non-opec-oi...rels-a-day.html


AVFAN
post Dec 13 2016, 10:01 AM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Dec 12 2016, 11:23 PM)
On another note, the broader US general market, this "Trump" rally been so relentlessly for past 30 days.

It just take 30 days for the Dow to gain 15% for what it took Malaysia KLCI 5 years to gain (or loss depending when you enter).
Even now, KLCI is down 3% YTD.  doh.gif
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bursa... i think it hasn't bottomed yet.

us bond yield's still rising, mgs will continue to be sold.
fed hike is now becoming fed hikes.
weak rm and new fx rulings not helping bursa.
high inflation looming with imminent hefty petrol price increase on jan 1.
consumer spending curtailed, will spend less.
outlook is not looking good.



oil... after 18% gain in 2 weeks, should be time for some profit taking, watch fed moves...
AVFAN
post Dec 13 2016, 12:57 PM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Dec 13 2016, 12:48 PM)
At least the Ringgit seems to have stabilize...
or could it be BNM playing the invisible hand here supporting the fall?  hmm.gif
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they will hv u guessing until next report on fx reserves come out.

how tightly it is now rangebound with $ index bouncing around 100-102 or 2% does say something, no?! biggrin.gif

something to read:

QUOTE

AVFAN
post Dec 13 2016, 10:52 PM

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QUOTE(yok70 @ Dec 13 2016, 08:47 PM)
hmm....so this tax rate hike + lower corporate tax ==> massive businesses moving back from overseas to US? If so, world stock market could be very bearish for a while and US market would rally strong continues.....now the only hope for neutralize effect is to count on China's regional strategic.
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that's trumps' plan - to bring more $ and jobs back to USA.

if the tax reforms go thru, things will get very tough for some markets, bursa included.

and trump rally continues... dow will hit 20k in no time.
AVFAN
post Dec 13 2016, 11:41 PM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Dec 13 2016, 11:27 PM)
Let's get back to Oil discussion...

Yesterday, we got a huge gap up after non-OPEC members agreement during the weekend but it was immediately sold back down half.

That $52.50-$53.50 level seems to be battle ground here for the bulls and bears and likely bears last line of defense,
for that range of $42-$52.

With the market near year end (santa claus or window dressing), and barring any more bad news, I think the bulls got more chance here to push it up to the next trading range.

What do you all think?
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before the opec meet, most were expecting it to get to 50-55 depending on the actual outcome.

for opec, i think target is reached since it was looking to return to low 40s.

with all the positive news out but still skepticism on whether all will comply, profit talking is only to be expected.

fed meeting outcome dec 15 should be a no brainer - 25bps hike.

api/eia stocks data tmrw.

i expect it will be rangebound 52-53.50 for a while, until some big event comes along.

will find opportunities to trade it. tongue.gif
AVFAN
post Dec 13 2016, 11:47 PM

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goog... 803.

tempted to take some profit...

AVFAN
post Dec 14 2016, 10:41 PM

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Data from the American Petroleum Institute showed U.S. crude inventories rose by 4.7 million barrels in the week to Dec. 9, compared with analysts' expectations for a 1.6-million-barrel decline.

EIA data 11.30pm

then, at 3am, 3.30am...

The Fed is scheduled to release its decision at 2 p.m. ET, with Chair Janet Yellen expected to hold a news conference at 2:30 p.m. ET.


it's gonna be a long night. biggrin.gif
AVFAN
post Dec 15 2016, 03:10 AM

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Dow hits record high after Fed raises interest rates



other than oil, the rally continues.
AVFAN
post Dec 15 2016, 11:03 AM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Dec 15 2016, 11:01 AM)
They all turn into bears an hour later.  biggrin.gif
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ya...

when i saw that, i sold part GOOG and shorted oil.

will see if that was a good move tonight! biggrin.gif
AVFAN
post Dec 15 2016, 09:18 PM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Dec 15 2016, 01:36 PM)
plus...

QUOTE
Libya’s Biggest Oil Port, Fields Set to Reopen This Week
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/201...eopen-this-week



others...

$ index 103.10
yen 118.2
euro 1.04
10 yr bonds 2.62%
gold -3%

all that... think can short oil, buy non-oil equities on dips. tongue.gif
AVFAN
post Dec 16 2016, 11:06 AM

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QUOTE(zacknistelrooy @ Dec 16 2016, 01:20 AM)
I think it is the fastest.

It is already the best post election run since the early 1900's
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yup, RSI at 20 year high.
http://www.cnbc.com/2016/12/15/the-dow-may...-year-high.html


oil... ups and downs...

Kuwait Petroleum Corporation (KPC) already said on Tuesday that it had officially notified its customers of a cut in their contractual crude oil supplies for January, in line with a deal with OPEC to reduce production.
AVFAN
post Dec 17 2016, 01:56 AM

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strange... apparently, this drove dow from green to red.

China's Navy seizes American underwater drone in South China Sea

AVFAN
post Dec 17 2016, 03:58 PM

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QUOTE(mikehwy @ Dec 17 2016, 01:36 PM)
cant find the link. got to b interesting to read more. naive Trump flexing muscles or testing chinese patience?
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https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/201...u-s-navy-vessel
http://www.cnbc.com/2016/12/16/china-has-s...-china-sea.html

AVFAN
post Dec 19 2016, 10:02 PM

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QUOTE(mikehwy @ Dec 19 2016, 04:36 PM)
crude hitting +0.8% and still going strong...good show tonight...
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rise due to delay in libyan output.

offset by strong $.

now, -0.6%

day and night, up and down... rclxub.gif


AVFAN
post Dec 20 2016, 10:50 PM

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dow just 20 pts from 20k.


AVFAN
post Dec 21 2016, 01:10 PM

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QUOTE(Gwenstacy321 @ Dec 21 2016, 12:58 PM)
Is this thread specifically about NYSE of NASDAQ
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mainly nyse, nasdaq, nymex.

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