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 USA Stock Discussion v8, Brexit: What happens now?

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AVFAN
post Nov 25 2016, 11:49 PM

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QUOTE(mikehwy @ Nov 25 2016, 11:43 PM)
so, dwti and uwti are to be replaced by another set after deletion?
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no.

but only this 3x pair from credit suisse going on dec 8.

the rest - uso/szo (1x), uco/sco (2x) - no plans.

guess they will pick up the volume.

This post has been edited by AVFAN: Nov 25 2016, 11:50 PM
AVFAN
post Nov 26 2016, 12:00 AM

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46.70! biggrin.gif

the power of saudi....

RM's gotta get pounded again tmrw...

AVFAN
post Nov 26 2016, 12:07 AM

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QUOTE(mikehwy @ Nov 26 2016, 12:04 AM)
dwti touching 72 anytime. i stay aside. undecisive earlier.
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hmm...

yr broker may not let u buy due to impending delisting.

i just tested on IB, message came... "this counter can only be closed", i.e. cannot by anymore.


AVFAN
post Nov 26 2016, 12:21 AM

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QUOTE(zacknistelrooy @ Nov 26 2016, 12:18 AM)
Yeah, IB sent an email last week saying they will not be accepting orders to buy but only sell.
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never mind, i now got enough of sco.

now wait for next week.

will see if the ikan bilis will morph into tuna. laugh.gif
AVFAN
post Nov 26 2016, 12:52 PM

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ooo...

wti - 4%.

fireworks next week... will be alert!


AVFAN
post Nov 28 2016, 11:38 PM

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crude very fragile today.

waiting on opec, wed nov 30.

one comment from saudi, iraq or iran will swing it 2-3%! biggrin.gif



meanwhile... nice to see GOOG running away today! thumbup.gif


AVFAN
post Nov 28 2016, 11:48 PM

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QUOTE(mikehwy @ Nov 28 2016, 11:41 PM)
strange that crude is green as opec meet in 2 days time. another 'foul' play to push it up to near 50 before opec says NO?
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saudi said something negative, -1%.

then iraq said something positive, +3%.

opec is scrambling to put some deal together by wed.

they are looking for a "goldilocks 55" - $55, a price high enough price to get more revenue but not high enough to revive a wave of shale drillers.

maybe... strong deal -> 55-60, no deal ->35-40! laugh.gif



my bet is still on no or poor deal.

AVFAN
post Nov 29 2016, 09:56 AM

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gotta be very careful next 2 days.

broader markets may be ripe for a correction after a hefty trump rally.

the spark may be opec's failure to clinch a deal by wed.

i do think there will be major fireworks all round if that happens.




AVFAN
post Nov 29 2016, 11:56 PM

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opec... looking like a failure.

wti now stable... after -4%.

if failure it is tmrw, maybe another -5%?


AVFAN
post Nov 30 2016, 12:39 AM

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oil is very shaky...

will be interesting to see a combo of opec no deal-us stock buildup-rising $ next day or 2!

sco, +7.5% now, see if it will become +15% tmrw. tongue.gif

AVFAN
post Nov 30 2016, 08:21 PM

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QUOTE(mikehwy @ Nov 30 2016, 07:19 PM)
what? crude now +6.5%!
opec speculation again and again???
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wti +8.3% at 49!

oil traders, punters, even "tourists" in euro oil markets are having a field day now.

but we have to see what opec says AFTER the meeting later.

10.30pm nymex opening will be very interesting.
AVFAN
post Dec 1 2016, 12:18 AM

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OPEC reaches agreement to cut oil production to 32.5 million barrels a day: Oil ministers


i doubled up last night and lost! biggrin.gif
AVFAN
post Dec 1 2016, 10:51 AM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Dec 1 2016, 07:40 AM)
But, it isn't a big deal. More or less what they said last time. Is this enough to reduce the over supply?
Probably so to help the market re-balance itself but I don't think it will cause price to surge back to old highs like 80s or 90s.

Not sure how they will enforce this because we know some OPEC members will cheat by
over produce and a lot of US shale eager to jump back in once it has reach 55-60 level.
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brent already crossed 50, target achieved.

wti will cross 50 with the tail end of the saga.

still early days... will the cut be honored?

still plenty of surplus lying around.

50-55 for 2017 most likely.

80-90 is history, won't happen for a long long time.



AVFAN
post Dec 2 2016, 09:09 AM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Dec 2 2016, 04:39 AM)
Oil backing down from $51!  rclxms.gif

Come 'mon bears.. where are you?  laugh.gif
Hopefully, he's right:  devil.gif
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/opec-countri...-183557513.html
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will take more development to get over 52.

anyway, the short squeeze was on, not a joke it shot up 13% in 2 sessions.

for dwti (to be delisted tmrw), it was -40% in 2 days!

opec target achieved - new output x 51 > old output x 45.

think the volatility will persist for a while.

slightest sign of cheating will bring it down again.


AVFAN
post Dec 3 2016, 12:02 AM

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QUOTE(mikehwy @ Dec 2 2016, 11:22 PM)
i think its time to sell crude. 51+ seems a bit high now. and the opec effects shd wade off bit by bit.
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very tough battle now.

been 3 days of very steep climb.

if bulls win, cross 51.70 and then onwards to 60?

if not, will retreat to 48?

the next significant dev will have big impact, i think.
AVFAN
post Dec 3 2016, 01:19 PM

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be informed - some new forms of capital control on the RM wef dec 5.

http://www.bnm.gov.my/index.php?ch=en_pres...ac=4316&lang=en
http://www.bnm.gov.my/documents/2016/Suppl...ation_Rules.pdf
http://www.thestar.com.my/news/nation/2016...nd-for-ringgit/
http://in.reuters.com/article/malaysia-for...s-idINL4N1DX37B

more discussion here:
https://forum.lowyat.net/topic/3995728/+2820&#entry82829190
AVFAN
post Dec 6 2016, 11:42 PM

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QUOTE(wlcling @ Dec 6 2016, 11:28 PM)
not sure if this is of any interest to you guys

http://www.velocitysharesetns.com/wp-conte...ess-Release.pdf
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old news, we already know...
AVFAN
post Dec 7 2016, 01:06 AM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Dec 7 2016, 12:03 AM)
Finally, we got some bears for Oil tonight. But, wish for more so that we can see sub $50 again so that I can reload.

The rally for XLE being so strong last week and I've jumped off the train too early.
Missed about 4 points off.  mad.gif
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price will likely stick around current levels until dec 10's opec-non opec meet.

we should see some major moves then.
AVFAN
post Dec 8 2016, 12:41 AM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Dec 8 2016, 12:06 AM)
Seeing price squeeze formation.. higher low. Lower high.  hmm.gif

The question is will it break up or down?
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it does look like it will break either way in a big way.

all waiting on dec 10.

which makes it high risk-high reward to hold positions now.

i still have some sco, will probably clear by fri.
AVFAN
post Dec 8 2016, 02:14 AM

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QUOTE(zacknistelrooy @ Dec 8 2016, 12:00 AM)

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this is the interesting part:


The U.S. Energy Information Administration said on Tuesday it expected domestic crude oil production for 2016 and 2017 to fall by less than previously expected. Preliminary production figures released Wednesday showed U.S. output was little changed in the last week.

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