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 USA Stock Discussion v8, Brexit: What happens now?

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AVFAN
post Nov 4 2016, 10:10 PM

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QUOTE(yok70 @ Nov 2 2016, 02:31 AM)
beautiful....been waiting for a meaningful correction....
very nice, apple now 110 level....please come to 106....  biggrin.gif
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almost 108 just now.

i'm go uwti at 15. tongue.gif
AVFAN
post Nov 4 2016, 10:49 PM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Nov 4 2016, 09:50 PM)
ah... some opec man said saudi said something behind closed doors:

"The Saudis have threatened to raise their production to 11 million barrels per day and even 12 million bpd, bringing oil prices down, and to withdraw from the meeting," one OPEC source who attended the meeting told Reuters.
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so very sensitive! biggrin.gif

Oil prices rebound as OPEC Sec Gen denies Saudis threatened output hike
AVFAN
post Nov 4 2016, 11:51 PM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Nov 4 2016, 11:29 PM)
It's almost there..

Also, did you notice that UWTI has decayed quite a bit since the last low on Sept 28, which on the same
day when DWTI scored the last high of $86. DWTI revisited the same spot tonight but UWTI is $2 below that $20 price.

Hopefully, Crude can find its temp bottom here at 44-45 and hold till after US election. The general market seems to be going nowhere now.
Volatility spiked up this week but recoiling tonight. Two more trading days next week till election (up to Tuesday).
A lot of traders are re-positioning themselves for the big event next week.
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i see crude finding support only at 43, $1 more to go.

elections... i just think stocks will rise whoever wins. it's the uncertainty that's doing all the selling, worldwide.

QUOTE
user posted image


This post has been edited by AVFAN: Nov 4 2016, 11:51 PM
AVFAN
post Nov 5 2016, 10:50 AM

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next week will be wild.

elections on tue.

and daylight savings end on sunday.

get some good sleep this weekend!
AVFAN
post Nov 8 2016, 01:49 AM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Nov 8 2016, 12:53 AM)
330+ pts on Dow.. time to take my money off the table here.  biggrin.gif
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betting on a trump win?
AVFAN
post Nov 8 2016, 10:40 AM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Nov 8 2016, 04:00 AM)
No, I think the market will fade this rally.. or simply sell the news. 
No harm taking profits early.  biggrin.gif
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i also felt jittery.

sold off at 3am, went to sleep. biggrin.gif

i see a lot of risk in it.

.. bitoech, healthcare will get hammered whoever wins.
.. techs like appl, goog been gyrating.
.. oil/energy is tricky, very fluid.

better crouch and hide a bit. tongue.gif
AVFAN
post Nov 8 2016, 11:54 PM

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tonight... can sleep early.

elections results only tmrw local time.

tmrw night... all action. laugh.gif
AVFAN
post Nov 9 2016, 10:48 AM

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the trump effect...

dow futures -500.
AVFAN
post Nov 9 2016, 04:54 PM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Nov 9 2016, 03:38 PM)
Supersale coming..this is like Brexit.
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will be looking for bargains tonight! biggrin.gif

wti sank to just over 43 earlier, now back to 44.40.

may fall again later with API's +4.4 mil buildup no.
AVFAN
post Nov 10 2016, 12:31 AM

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risk off turned risk on, sell off turned rally - quite annoying! biggrin.gif

trump is still human, big talk can mean small action..?! tongue.gif

maybe... so much cash floating around, gotta go somewhere.

even crude didn't lose even a bit in the end despite stocks build up.

but i think emerging markets may not see the same strength as the developed ones.

ok, no action, sleep early, again. laugh.gif


AVFAN
post Nov 10 2016, 11:42 PM

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nasdaq hammered, reacting to trump, it seems.

facebook, amazon, netflix, goog, aka FANGs fall 3-5%.

time to buy! tongue.gif

This post has been edited by AVFAN: Nov 11 2016, 01:00 AM
AVFAN
post Nov 11 2016, 10:03 PM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Nov 11 2016, 01:26 AM)
Agree...
AAPL 110 BUY!
FB 117 BUY!
GOOG 755 BUY!

Just a little here and there and hang on to them.
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i took some GOOG at 760.

futures now trading:

AAPL 107
FB 120
GOOG 759
AVFAN
post Nov 12 2016, 12:27 AM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Nov 12 2016, 12:13 AM)
Oh.. wow. Oil really beaten up here.
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finding some support at 43.15.

if it breaks lower... 40?!


AVFAN
post Nov 12 2016, 02:11 AM

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QUOTE(zacknistelrooy @ Nov 12 2016, 02:03 AM)

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should be a done deal.

good news is it's almost all priced in now.

QUOTE
Investors currently see an 82 percent probability of a quarter percentage-point hike at their Dec. 13-14 meeting, according to pricing in federal funds futures.
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/201...y-down-election

AVFAN
post Nov 12 2016, 02:56 AM

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QUOTE(mikehwy @ Nov 12 2016, 02:18 AM)
wow. crude is negative now at 43.50. expwcting it to touch 42 maybe next week. just hope that market can withstand the shocks from so many quarters. itbyear end soon n fed is raising its tail soon.
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if the api/eia numbers next week are bad, it should go 41-42.

otherwise, with good support at 43.1x, it may bounce around, capped at 44 until opec meet nov 30.

fed... should be hike but priced in already... won't be much of a shaker.
AVFAN
post Nov 14 2016, 11:13 PM

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10 yr now 2.258% and rising.

fixed income all over the world under pressure, dropping like flies!

for emerging markets, this is a tsunami, $ fleeing, currencies smashed.

USD/RM = 4.345.




AVFAN
post Nov 15 2016, 01:42 AM

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nasdaq crumbling for another day.

FANG, aapl all hammered.

seems no stopping...
AVFAN
post Nov 15 2016, 02:07 AM

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QUOTE(mikehwy @ Nov 15 2016, 01:53 AM)
wondering what havew been the trggers? nasdaq been hammered twice now since last friday. looking quite bad atm. rclxub.gif
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trigger was aapl.

china newspaper "warned" if trump impose tariff on china imports, app phone sales will die...


moon.. just another full moon - same size, same side, same brightness.
AVFAN
post Nov 15 2016, 02:14 AM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Nov 15 2016, 01:09 AM)
Intraday may hit., just need another -15~16 pts downside.
Let see how tomorrow brings. More fear.. more selling by retail investors.
Maybe Bersih 5 rally may trigger more selling to let it hit the target.
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what counters r u looking at?

i may want to take a bit if i sell some $ if it goes >4.4.



oil... dead cat bounce or what...?
AVFAN
post Nov 15 2016, 01:17 PM

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mr trump better say something diff to ease this!

QUOTE
Trump Tech Meltdown Hits Fourth Day With Amazon Cut by $35 Billion
FANG group falls 8% for worst four-day drop since February
Trade policy, immigration limits, campaign retaliation posited
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/201...t-by-35-billion


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