the site a bit broken presently, so have to try an older cached version http://web.archive.org/web/20200322100503/...et-timing-game/. not perfectly saved but still playable. the line that's suppose to represent your performance is missing, but at least can see current figure vs market figure
without future data cannot time the market. Usually i base on 42 indications and 100 years of data to generate the time.
Joined: Jan 2003
From: Kelana Jaya , Petaling Jaya
QUOTE(RiriRuruRara @ May 10 2022, 02:34 PM)
Hi sifu's, I'm still new to investing and would like to have your opinion. I bought in to netflix at 200 thinking this was the lowest it could drop. But it has since drop almost 20% since I bought it which is quite painful. Do your think I should just cut loss or average down??
what is your plan initially? trade or investment?
if you plan to trade cut loss
investment if were me, not the time yet, more to go for cheaper price
Joined: Jan 2003
From: Kelana Jaya , Petaling Jaya
QUOTE(RiriRuruRara @ May 10 2022, 03:50 PM)
Thanks for the advice. Mostly went it bcs at the time felt like it was at already at super discounted price which I thought should be safe. If drop also I expected it to drop between 1-5 dollars max. But with the further drop, now I'm panicking a bit bcs I didn't expect it to drop this much when enter.
market at the moment is like coming down a staircase, will have a green day, and will have a red day. I only have 3%as at yesterday data to call awaken of the full strong bear,
In fact, now most of my position are in short
I just took my short position on ZS 8.3% in 1 day shorting position. option from SQQQ making close to about 156% at the moment
This post has been edited by tkwfriend: May 11 2022, 01:35 AM
The market now can be very bad for those running full options portfolio, like what he said... If we're not in a retirement age and have a few decades till 60, any market downtrend is a plus for us. Continue DCA and ignore all the red numbers, even it takes more than 18 months. Just don't use the money that's meant to put food on your table and we'll be good.(so to say)
By the way, anyone can teach me how to attach YouTube link here?
yes for those who not sure what the current trend and timing.
those probably doing DCA also at the end might got into the trap too. (just a hint)
Joined: Jan 2003
From: Kelana Jaya , Petaling Jaya
QUOTE(AthrunIJ @ Jun 3 2022, 06:54 PM)
Bruh just buy bit by bit then...
Unless you got an exceptional gift of timing the market if not just go in bit by bit....
if not a gift, a skill that can be learned. is a high profile that requires by the US government secretly.
another way simple of learning is to read more, and do more backtesting. accumulation of data
This round if happen a crisis is call sovereign debt crisis.
So far I got it last since 2019, 2020 bull run, 2021, and 2021 end game and 2022 most trade profit from shorting stocks and etf. I started to time market since 2016
tip, market will be up around July for short period of time
This post has been edited by tkwfriend: Jun 3 2022, 07:37 PM
Joined: Jan 2003
From: Kelana Jaya , Petaling Jaya
QUOTE(dwRK @ Jun 3 2022, 08:38 PM)
you guys need to be more open minded...
yes, one can time the market... no, one cannot guarantee success all the time...
in ta you can trade the trend... or you can trade support/resistance or pivot points... each market has its own structure and moves in certain ways... a competent trader can read the charts, formulate a trading plan, and execute it when the time comes...
You are right, event knownthe trend up or down trend. Still need to charting for enter and exit point.
Joined: Jan 2003
From: Kelana Jaya , Petaling Jaya
QUOTE(Davidtcf @ Sep 14 2022, 02:53 PM)
the worst culprit is actually Ukraine war, it cause much uncertainty in the world.
Sanctions on Russia affected gas, oil, food, minerals prices since Russia is a big exporter of these goods before the war.
if the war faster resolve and Russia back to doing good ol' biz, sanctions lifted, prices should then return to normal and stop rising so fast.
If without the war Fed will have a much easier time controlling inflation. Root cause of US inflation is due to QE (quantitative easing) during Covid period 2 years ago... but with raising interest rates should keep it controlled much easier than with the war going on. Also people started spending more going outdoors, travel hence why inflation spiking also.
US gov under Biden also spending a lot supporting Ukraine War... also causing inflation to spike.
The faster the war is over the better for us investors. Stupid Putin creating war for his USSR vision.. the world is not like last time ok? Get real please.
I would say Putin too soft on this war, This war was created by Nato and US, not Russia
In this view, probably next year 2023 may spike another War, but we don't know who, respect the cycle
This post has been edited by tkwfriend: Sep 15 2022, 03:09 PM
Joined: Jan 2003
From: Kelana Jaya , Petaling Jaya
QUOTE(MystiqueLife @ Sep 18 2022, 01:38 AM)
Hi peeps, how do you buy US stocks? Say for instance AAPL is $150, buying 10 units of it is already $1500 and need to pay tax for buy/sell/dividend unlike bursa right? Sorry, I'm new to this. Enlighten me
just use TD American trade, one of the most reliable platforms compare to the rest, I had tried tifer, ib, and some other still come back here
China in the process of choice, either save the people or save the country, The move now shows saving the country. That is why they devalue the currency,
Normally is , when fed rate increases drastically, the rest of the country will need to increase, but to see in the end who gets burst first.
In a matter of fact, we are just starting to have currency WAR, this not only going to be a long battle until when many of the country cannot afford to do so.