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 USA Stock Discussion v8, Brexit: What happens now?

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tkwfriend
post May 10 2022, 02:36 PM

I always doubt and always something goes wrong
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QUOTE(Medufsaid @ May 10 2022, 05:46 AM)
you can tryout this game to see how good a market timer you are https://engaging-data.com/market-timing-game/

the site a bit broken presently, so have to try an older cached version http://web.archive.org/web/20200322100503/...et-timing-game/. not perfectly saved but still playable. the line that's suppose to represent your performance is missing, but at least can see current figure vs market figure
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without future data cannot time the market. Usually i base on 42 indications and 100 years of data to generate the time.
tkwfriend
post May 10 2022, 02:54 PM

I always doubt and always something goes wrong
******
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QUOTE(TOS @ May 10 2022, 02:39 PM)
Wow, you can consider sending your CV to a hedge fund in SG, HK, London or Wall Street. laugh.gif
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user posted image

just sharing by timing the market. this year has been mentioned about the market going to be very weak.

This round will maybe end around June, and maybe pick up later
tkwfriend
post May 10 2022, 03:03 PM

I always doubt and always something goes wrong
******
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QUOTE(TOS @ May 10 2022, 02:56 PM)
Are you a full-time trader?
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yes and no

the morning day job is a wealth advisor, night time do this. but with sufficient data to plan ahead of the market.

rolleyes.gif what is the difference between a full-time trader and a part-time trader?

I have a friends who we do together with me, also having same result
tkwfriend
post May 10 2022, 03:39 PM

I always doubt and always something goes wrong
******
Senior Member
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QUOTE(TOS @ May 10 2022, 03:09 PM)
Full-time means that is your career. Part-time means just another source of income.

I guess wealth advisory services should be your main career then.
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yup, my part time is to guide my own client some knowledge on invesment
tkwfriend
post May 10 2022, 03:41 PM

I always doubt and always something goes wrong
******
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QUOTE(RiriRuruRara @ May 10 2022, 02:34 PM)
Hi sifu's,  I'm still new to investing and would like to have your opinion. I bought in to netflix at 200 thinking this was the lowest it could drop.
But it has since drop almost 20% since I bought it which is quite painful. Do your think I should just cut loss or average down??
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what is your plan initially? trade or investment?

if you plan to trade cut loss

investment if were me, not the time yet, more to go for cheaper price
tkwfriend
post May 11 2022, 01:34 AM

I always doubt and always something goes wrong
******
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QUOTE(RiriRuruRara @ May 10 2022, 03:50 PM)
Thanks for the advice.
Mostly went it bcs at the time felt like it was at already at super discounted price which I thought should be safe. If drop also I expected it to drop between 1-5 dollars max.
But with the further drop, now I'm panicking a bit bcs I didn't expect it to drop this much when enter.
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market at the moment is like coming down a staircase, will have a green day, and will have a red day. I only have 3%as at yesterday data to call awaken of the full strong bear,

In fact, now most of my position are in short

I just took my short position on ZS 8.3% in 1 day shorting position.
option from SQQQ making close to about 156% at the moment

This post has been edited by tkwfriend: May 11 2022, 01:35 AM
tkwfriend
post May 19 2022, 09:02 AM

I always doubt and always something goes wrong
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QUOTE(Lon3Rang3r00 @ May 19 2022, 08:33 AM)

https://youtu.be/6AEB5aARiz4

The market now can be very bad for those running full options portfolio, like what he said... If we're not in a retirement age and have a few decades till 60, any market downtrend  is a plus for us. Continue DCA and ignore all the red numbers, even it takes more than 18 months. Just don't use the money that's meant to put food on your table and we'll be good.(so to say)

By the way, anyone can teach me how to attach YouTube link here?
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yes for those who not sure what the current trend and timing.

those probably doing DCA also at the end might got into the trap too. (just a hint)
tkwfriend
post Jun 2 2022, 11:59 PM

I always doubt and always something goes wrong
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I am heavy on TQQQ loading about 30% of portfolio now
tkwfriend
post Jun 3 2022, 07:36 PM

I always doubt and always something goes wrong
******
Senior Member
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QUOTE(AthrunIJ @ Jun 3 2022, 06:54 PM)
Bruh just buy bit by bit then...

Unless you got an exceptional gift of timing the market if not just go in bit by bit....
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if not a gift, a skill that can be learned. is a high profile that requires by the US government secretly.

another way simple of learning is to read more, and do more backtesting. accumulation of data

This round if happen a crisis is call sovereign debt crisis.

So far I got it last since 2019, 2020 bull run, 2021, and 2021 end game and 2022 most trade profit from shorting stocks and etf. I started to time market since 2016

tip, market will be up around July for short period of time

This post has been edited by tkwfriend: Jun 3 2022, 07:37 PM
tkwfriend
post Jun 3 2022, 09:35 PM

I always doubt and always something goes wrong
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QUOTE(dwRK @ Jun 3 2022, 08:38 PM)
you guys need to be more open minded... laugh.gif

yes, one can time the market... no, one cannot guarantee success all the time...

in ta you can trade the trend... or you can trade support/resistance or pivot points... each market has its own structure and moves in certain ways... a competent trader can read the charts, formulate a trading plan, and execute it when the time comes...
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You are right, event knownthe trend up or down trend. Still need to charting for enter and exit point.


tkwfriend
post Jun 24 2022, 11:13 PM

I always doubt and always something goes wrong
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I had enter some SPY, Udow, TQQQ for samll rally until end of august,
september

something nice like all short position coming in
tkwfriend
post Sep 15 2022, 03:02 PM

I always doubt and always something goes wrong
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This round For us S&P 500 I this 3 possibility may happen


Scenario A

By October don't break the June low, probably will go down the first quarter of 2023, may go down 30% to 40%


Scenario B

In September to October break the June low to 3400 area and go up , but first quarter of 2023 break down below 3400




Scenario C

This time round Europe has the Lehman brother effect from energy. By October break 3600, 3400, and below all the way low. possible to 2200


As above all

Scenario A has 30% chance to happen

Scenario B has 60% chance to happen

Scenario C has 10% chance to happen
tkwfriend
post Sep 15 2022, 03:07 PM

I always doubt and always something goes wrong
******
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QUOTE(Davidtcf @ Sep 14 2022, 02:53 PM)
the worst culprit is actually Ukraine war, it cause much uncertainty in the world.

Sanctions on Russia affected gas, oil, food, minerals prices since Russia is a big exporter of these goods before the war.

if the war faster resolve and Russia back to doing good ol' biz, sanctions lifted, prices should then return to normal and stop rising so fast.

If without the war Fed will have a much easier time controlling inflation. Root cause of US inflation is due to QE (quantitative easing) during Covid period 2 years ago... but with raising interest rates should keep it controlled much easier than with the war going on. Also people started spending more going outdoors, travel hence why inflation spiking also.

US gov under Biden also spending a lot supporting Ukraine War... also causing inflation to spike.

The faster the war is over the better for us investors. Stupid Putin creating war for his USSR vision.. the world is not like last time ok? Get real please.  doh.gif
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I would say Putin too soft on this war, This war was created by Nato and US, not Russia

In this view, probably next year 2023 may spike another War, but we don't know who, respect the cycle

This post has been edited by tkwfriend: Sep 15 2022, 03:09 PM
tkwfriend
post Sep 17 2022, 02:28 PM

I always doubt and always something goes wrong
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Last week Monday had entered some position
SDOW, SQQQ, SRTY, SPXU, buy Put on SPY, EPV , TQQQ (buy put)( all short position)

Individual stock
NVDA took 16% profit on short poisition
LRCX took 10% profit on short position
TSLA too 8% profit on short position using option

Now on
CRWD short position with a paper gain of 2%
AAPL on a short position on a paper loss of 0.5%

Looking at to enter

Meta
ZS


Overall I am looking at option B, after coming week I should be clearing my position for a target 15% growth over the account
tkwfriend
post Sep 18 2022, 08:55 PM

I always doubt and always something goes wrong
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QUOTE(MystiqueLife @ Sep 18 2022, 01:38 AM)
Hi peeps, how do you buy US stocks? Say for instance AAPL is $150, buying 10 units of it is already $1500 and need to pay tax for buy/sell/dividend unlike bursa right?
Sorry, I'm new to this. Enlighten me  biggrin.gif
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just use TD American trade, one of the most reliable platforms compare to the rest, I had tried tifer, ib, and some other still come back here
tkwfriend
post Sep 21 2022, 12:46 PM

I always doubt and always something goes wrong
******
Senior Member
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QUOTE(tadashi987 @ Sep 19 2022, 11:22 AM)
last time tried open account, need mail form etc to SG, so troublesome  shakehead.gif
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this day no longer require
tkwfriend
post Sep 24 2022, 10:51 PM

I always doubt and always something goes wrong
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just to update base on index:

Taiwan = 9800
Hong kong 13,000
US DJI estimate range 19,000 to 22,000 point to be bottom

when by next year end march to 1st week april

more to make money from short selling

We MAY see a war next year

by entering to 2038 we shall look to the East
tkwfriend
post Sep 25 2022, 11:11 AM

I always doubt and always something goes wrong
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QUOTE(Davidtcf @ Sep 25 2022, 08:43 AM)
Something happening in China?

Salute to them if they really did it. What courage:
https://www.indiatoday.in/world/story/xi-ji...4296-2022-09-24

Hope the same thing will happen to Russia soon. 🙏
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What is happening now is,

China in the process of choice, either save the people or save the country, The move now shows saving the country. That is why they devalue the currency,

Normally is , when fed rate increases drastically, the rest of the country will need to increase, but to see in the end who gets burst first.

In a matter of fact, we are just starting to have currency WAR, this not only going to be a long battle until when many of the country cannot afford to do so.
tkwfriend
post Sep 25 2022, 11:47 AM

I always doubt and always something goes wrong
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QUOTE(MGM @ Sep 25 2022, 11:40 AM)
I tot the Zero covid policy is to save the people but destroy the economy/country? It causes biz failure, job loss, property plunge.....
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Well not entirely true, because they are trying to close part of the thing to be limelight, not like the west, We have this and announce to the world
tkwfriend
post Sep 26 2022, 10:43 AM

I always doubt and always something goes wrong
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QUOTE(Fortezan @ Sep 26 2022, 08:52 AM)
I see you are in the same TnY community as me as well... biggrin.gif
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amazing ....

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